Interesting update!

How do the communist nations handle the same questions? OTL Soviet Russia ended up with a slightly more progressive law code, but mostly because Lenin and friends wanted a clean slate. It even removed legal punishment for homosexuality. Until Stalin tightened it back up. But it wasn't really a complex political statement, just a lack of interest in maintaining the old Tsarist code and its content.

Here, though, the communists seem more revolutionary in their cultural outlook, and their explosion of proletkult could easily champion those causes. So maybe they're more willing to challenge the conservative nature of Russia, especially since they kept the more urban and forward looking parts. In Italy, it could be a way to stick it to the church.

There are some differences between Communist states, but on the whole they are pretty progressive as regards women for the time periodand much of that is enshrined in law. In Russia there is female suffrage, for what that is worth, they are represented in the Central Committee in Moscow by two pretty influential women (these aren't symbolic posts), women are present or slowly entering most professions and women are being allowed to participate in public life on a previously unimagined scale - although how much of that is the result of the general die-off of men and general leveling effects of war and disaster is a question. However, there is still quite systemic discremination and exploitation towards women, outside of a small revolutionary elite women aren't really part of leadership to any significant degree and there are plenty of counter-reactionary movements and sentiments with varying degrees of success.

Italy is considerably more chauvanestic and have excluded women from leadership positions on a pretty broad basis. They are allowed party membership and some have even assumed lesser positions of power within the party, but women are generally kept out of governmental jobs outside of secretarial positions. There is a significant movement within a section of the Italian communist party associated with the Anarchists which wants to expand women's rights and implement some of the Russian positions.
 
I’m not sure how likely the legalization of abortion is at this point of time. Is there any other country in the world where this was done this early, whether ITTL or IOTL (other than the USSR)? Which western country legalized abortion first IOTL? Frankly, I would expect the legalization to be repealed the very moment a conservative government is in power. I mean, this is decades earlier than OTL!

And how on earth was the Kaiser convinced to sign this into law? Was he blackmailed or something, lol? I think this is definitely an issue where he would flat out refuse to even contemplate signing it. And he would have large parts of society behind him. I’m also not convinced that the NLP would be united behind this – they are not the FVP or SPD. I would expect the party to be seriously split about this. I really think this is way too early for something like this, Zulfurium. There’s a reason why even the western democracies didn’t legalize abortion until much later IOTL. Germany isn’t a Republic, just passing a bill in parliament isn’t enough.
 
And how on earth was the Kaiser convinced to sign this into law? Was he blackmailed or something, lol? I think this is definitely an issue where he would flat out refuse to even contemplate signing it. And he would have large parts of society behind him. I’m also not convinced that the NLP would be united behind this – they are not the FVP or SPD. I would expect the party to be seriously split about this. I really think this is way too early for something like this, Zulfurium. There’s a reason why even the western democracies didn’t legalize abortion until much later IOTL. Germany isn’t a Republic, just passing a bill in parliament isn’t enough.

The Kaiser overriding parliament would probably create a lot of unrest and radicalize the SPD, something they may not really be ready for yet? The SPD is probably a massive force here since it wasn't held responsible for losing the war like OTL. And it hasn't burned all its bridges with more leftwing forces. On the other hand, traditional authority and structures to enforce it are still present since they won, so maybe you're right.
 
I’m not sure how likely the legalization of abortion is at this point of time. Is there any other country in the world where this was done this early, whether ITTL or IOTL (other than the USSR)? Which western country legalized abortion first IOTL? Frankly, I would expect the legalization to be repealed the very moment a conservative government is in power. I mean, this is decades earlier than OTL!

And how on earth was the Kaiser convinced to sign this into law? Was he blackmailed or something, lol? I think this is definitely an issue where he would flat out refuse to even contemplate signing it. And he would have large parts of society behind him. I’m also not convinced that the NLP would be united behind this – they are not the FVP or SPD. I would expect the party to be seriously split about this. I really think this is way too early for something like this, Zulfurium. There’s a reason why even the western democracies didn’t legalize abortion until much later IOTL. Germany isn’t a Republic, just passing a bill in parliament isn’t enough.

Abolition of abortion actually came incredibly close in Weimar IOTL, but the depression and subsequent rise of Nazi Germany broke the movement. There were significant moves in that direction and both within the Liberal and Socialist political sphere it was gaining significant ground. Hell, IOTL the late 1920s and 1930s saw Great Britain, Denmark, Turkey, Poland, Sweden, Iceland and Mexico all legalized it under special circumstances, expanding it in the years to come. Keep in mind that Weimar Germany was probably the most progressive country of its time and while ITTL Germany isn't quite as progressive on the whole, the current governmental coalition is contructed of those who would support the move. I haven't gone into it yet, but the eugenics movement was quite in favor of legalizing abortion and plays into all of this as well.

I don't see why the Kaiser would be particularly opposed to it. Everything I have read on him emphasizes how he was infatuated with new technologies, ideas and science - with the Eugenics movement firmly backing the move he doesn't really have a reason to oppose it. Nothing I have read makes him out to be overly religious or any other reason to oppose it. There is the moral degredation argument, but Wilhelm rarely followed convention on much of anything - it is one of the things which made him so difficult to deal with in foreign affairs, and I have found nothing that would give reason for him to be especially opposed to the measure. He was a major promoter of science and generally pushed for technologically progressive measures and in this case would have had one eugencist after another arguing in favor of the move.

As for the rest of society, I would remind you that the NLP is far less conservative than the OTL DVP, which absorbed several smaller conservative parties IOTL. The NLP is far more pro-army than the FVP but on social issues they aren't very far removed from each other - having only gotten closer aligned while in government together - and the NLP has actually absorbed some of the smaller progressive parties which were floating about early in the post-war period, further strengthening its progressive wing. This will have consequences on the right, and will strengthen them, but at the point in time at which it is passed

There are reasons why abortion wasn't passed more widely in the 1920s and 30s was because it was preempted by the explosion of far-right and right-wing governments across many of those western Democracies. As for the United States, it has been far more religiously influenced than European states for quite a while at this point. Germany was at the forefront of the eugenics, sexual reform and abortion legislating movement IOTL and ITTL there is even more reason for it to move forward. The 1920s are a uniquely suited time for abortion to be legalized given the way in which social and moral structures had been shattered by the great war and the chaos which followed. I agree that if this was OTLs later 1930s, the 1940s or 1950s then it would be ASB, but the 1920s are a uniquely suited decade for this to pass - which is one of the reasons why the movement gets off to a quicker start and succeeds in its goals before the start of the 1930s.
 
I don't see why the Kaiser would be particularly opposed to it. Everything I have read on him emphasizes how he was infatuated with new technologies, ideas and science - with the Eugenics movement firmly backing the move he doesn't really have a reason to oppose it.

While he might be convinced of such a measure in isolation, it’s important to note that this would likely be seen by him and other contemporaries as part of a wider socio-cultural movement. The way you described it, the movement to abolish Paragraph 218 was basically a leftist-progressive affair, including communist backing. I guess i was just expecting some conflict between crown and Reichstag during the 20s, considering the kinds of big cultural changes that occured during the period IOTL. This makes me wonder if Hindenburg would have signed such a law during his time as Reichspräsident IOTL...
 
While he might be convinced of such a measure in isolation, it’s important to note that this would likely be seen by him and other contemporaries as part of a wider socio-cultural movement. The way you described it, the movement to abolish Paragraph 218 was basically a leftist-progressive affair, including communist backing. I guess i was just expecting some conflict between crown and Reichstag during the 20s, considering the kinds of big cultural changes that occured during the period IOTL. This makes me wonder if Hindenburg would have signed such a law during his time as Reichspräsident IOTL...
I would expect Willy2 much rather to Veto any Land reform bill...
 
While he might be convinced of such a measure in isolation, it’s important to note that this would likely be seen by him and other contemporaries as part of a wider socio-cultural movement. The way you described it, the movement to abolish Paragraph 218 was basically a leftist-progressive affair, including communist backing. I guess i was just expecting some conflict between crown and Reichstag during the 20s, considering the kinds of big cultural changes that occured during the period IOTL. This makes me wonder if Hindenburg would have signed such a law during his time as Reichspräsident IOTL...

I do plan to get into detail with the Hohenzollern reaction to the many changes in the next update. I will also be going into the influential eugenics movement in the next post which should help explain the situation. The repeal of Paragraph 218 is passed by a NLP-FVP-SPD governmental coalition, but there are a variety of other movements which prove influential. Alongside the sexual reformers, communists and various other groups mentioned in the update is the eugenics movement which has pretty deep connections in the SPD and the liberal parties, as well as within the general modernization-focused sphere. There is a significant sub-section of the nobility and other elites who are firmly in favor of the move as a means of improving the potential for eugenics to create the "best possible German population". It is the same impetus which has led to a wider healthcare craze, widespread educational efforts, the aforementioned sexual revolution and eugenics-oriented scientific efforts. If this comes across as worrying, then good - it should be.

I would expect Willy2 much rather to Veto any Land reform bill...

On first look he would veto any land reform bill, yes, but it is a deeply complicated and complex issue which has a lot to it so there is probably (can't think of any atm) some form of reform which he would prove supportive of.
 

Vuu

Banned
Sex in politics? I didn't know that the '20s were so similar to nowadays - but with mass sexual liberation the problems of depopulation and degeneracy rarely get better - the abortion rates just go stupid high, and diseases run rampart - Eastern Europe is depopulating so quickly because of the ludicrous abortion rates really. But these things can't be fixed without some sort of extremism, they just have to burn themselves out really.
 
Sex in politics? I didn't know that the '20s were so similar to nowadays - but with mass sexual liberation the problems of depopulation and degeneracy rarely get better - the abortion rates just go stupid high, and diseases run rampart - Eastern Europe is depopulating so quickly because of the ludicrous abortion rates really. But these things can't be fixed without some sort of extremism, they just have to burn themselves out really.

Nah. For population to drop, you need more than abortion. You also need people not wanting kids at all. Which usually happens when their personal situation isn't enjoyable. Of course, abortion without sex ed and contraceptives means a lot of them will happen, but that doesn't mean a population drop, as long as people have families.
 

Vuu

Banned
Nah. For population to drop, you need more than abortion. You also need people not wanting kids at all. Which usually happens when their personal situation isn't enjoyable. Of course, abortion without sex ed and contraceptives means a lot of them will happen, but that doesn't mean a population drop, as long as people have families.

Yes, but there's a rather nonsensical (read: it's something subconscious related) thing that for whatever reason, makes any sort of reactionary/conservative regime boost population growth, while liberal regimes seem to cause populations to drop - see the population growth before and after the nazi party came to power
 
Yes, but there's a rather nonsensical (read: it's something subconscious related) thing that for whatever reason, makes any sort of reactionary/conservative regime boost population growth, while liberal regimes seem to cause populations to drop - see the population growth before and after the nazi party came to power

I think you can lay that one down to the nazi getting women out of workplaces and back in homes where they're more likely to get and raise kids. Plus a lot of propaganda on the subject. The main reason liberal regimes tend to have lower birth rates is that they just care less about keeping them up.
 
The repeal of Paragraph 218 is passed by a NLP-FVP-SPD governmental coalition, but there are a variety of other movements which prove influential.

So the Centre party has left the government? Because I believe an earlier update mentioned that Erzberger kept the party within the coalition after the DKP left. Not that they would have ever supported the repeal, considering they are a catholic party.

But that makes me wonder: how exactly is the electoral system for the federal elections set up? When we discussed this the last time, you mentioned that it is comparable to an electoral college, with local electors electing the members of the Reichstag. But you also said that the Bundesrat was abolished, and that the Reichstag has taken over its role. Since the Bundesrat existed to ensure that the smaller states weren’t totally overshadowed by the larger ones (similar to the US Senate, where small and large states have the same amount of Senators), I assume that the composition of the Reichstag in this case is not weighted according to population size. In that case rural areas, like in East Prussia for example, would actually be overrepresented – which sounds like something the conservatives would have certainly approved of when those constitutional reforms were passed. But this would also make it harder for mostly urban parties like the SPD or FVP to secure a majority.

Otherwise – if the Reichstag is elected on the basis of population size – Prussia would be even more dominant than before the war, which I can’t see the other German states accepting, since they would have no other political representation on the national level. So this is something you should keep in mind when thinking about future parliamentary majorities – the German system ITTL is quite unique, and something we haven’t seen IOTL.

The main reason liberal regimes tend to have lower birth rates is that they just care less about keeping them up.

Weren’t the French quite concerned with their birthrate, mostly because Germany’s was higher prior the Great War? But it is an interesting phenomenon: liberal societies in general really struggle with getting their women to have children, even if they implement generous pro-natal policies. Germany’s birthrates during the Weimar period were especially low – below replacement level even (meaning leass than 2.0 children per women), though that had probably a lot to do with the instability and economic hardship at the time.

But you are right that female participation in the labor force is probably the main driver for birthrates. Which brings me back to an earlier post of mine, where I brought up the role economics plays in shaping culture. If one wants to raise or keep up birthrates for example, it would probably be better to ensure wages keep rising, or stay on a high level, since this would allow single-earner households to live more comfortably. I think the phenomenon of continuous inflation we have seen IOTL, especially after WW2, is probably one of the main drivers behind the rise in female participation in the labor force, and thus in falling birthrates. In that regard, I think it‘s fair to say that the second wave of feminism we’ve seen in the 60s and 70s was merely a reflection of the new economic and social realities of the time, and not just a case of women suddenly deciding that they didn‘t like being housewives anymore.
 
So the Centre party has left the government? Because I believe an earlier update mentioned that Erzberger kept the party within the coalition after the DKP left. Not that they would have ever supported the repeal, considering they are a catholic party.

Damnit! This is actually a spoiler which made its way through...

As I said, the conservatives are not going to be pleased. This is a key event which will see Centre break from the governmental coalition, leaving behind a significantly weakened government coalition teetering on the very edge of viability for the next couple years. It is one of the things I was going to discuss in the next full update.

But that makes me wonder: how exactly is the electoral system for the federal elections set up? When we discussed this the last time, you mentioned that it is comparable to an electoral college, with local electors electing the members of the Reichstag. But you also said that the Bundesrat was abolished, and that the Reichstag has taken over its role. Since the Bundesrat existed to ensure that the smaller states weren’t totally overshadowed by the larger ones (similar to the US Senate, where small and large states have the same amount of Senators), I assume that the composition of the Reichstag in this case is not weighted according to population size. In that case rural areas, like in East Prussia for example, would actually be overrepresented – which sounds like something the conservatives would have certainly approved of when those constitutional reforms were passed. But this would also make it harder for mostly urban parties like the SPD or FVP to secure a majority.

Otherwise – if the Reichstag is elected on the basis of population size – Prussia would be even more dominant than before the war, which I can’t see the other German states accepting, since they would have no other political representation on the national level. So this is something you should keep in mind when thinking about future parliamentary majorities – the German system ITTL is quite unique, and something we haven’t seen IOTL.

Well, see the thing is that the specific way in which representation to the Reichstag is determined is a state-by-state matter. When the constitutional reforms were passed, you would have had a Lib-Conservative majority in the Reichstag, with particularly representatives from Prussia filling out a lot of seats. However, with the rise of the SPD and FVP government in Prussia and their rather concerted efforts to weaken the conservatives grip on power - including working to reduce the power of the sub-state divisions of the Kingdom of Prussia in favor of Kingdom-level representation - has led to a slow but steady shift away from Junker power in favor of FVP-NLP-SPD power. East Prussia and other Prussian sub-states have increasingly seen their regional representation in the Reichstag reduced in favor of Prussia-wide representatives. The abolition of the Bundesrat weakened the power of the smaller states but at the time the focus was more on ensuring the continued exclusion of the SPD from the halls of power. Few of the conservative or NLP powerbrokers at the time thought the SPD would be an effective governmental force, and certainly never imagined they would be able to consolidate their power on a Kingdom level in Prussia sufficiently to accomplish what they are doing. So alongside a general undermining of the power of conservative landholders in favor of championing land reform, the urban powers have also been steadily siphoning the outsized power previously held by the rural backcountry of Prussia.

The Reichstag is based on a weighted-population representation. Prussia is represented by a large number of representatives than the smaller states, but it is weighted such that the larger the state, the smaller the ratio of representatives to population. Please don't ask me to give numbers on that, because I don't think my mind could bear it. The current balance in the Reichstag comes out so that the NLP, FVP and SPD, as well as a range of smaller regional parties and Farmer-Labour parties are able to just barely eke out a majority. However, this governmental majority is reliant on these smaller interest parties which does hamper the government quite a bit. The SPD is strongly in favor of further constitutional reforms to strengthen federal power, restructure the electoral system to be more favorable towards more populist parties - including implementing direct elections to the Reichstag. It is a complicated, unwieldy system which few are completely happy with but for the time being people are able to live with it.

Weren’t the French quite concerned with their birthrate, mostly because Germany’s was higher prior the Great War? But it is an interesting phenomenon: liberal societies in general really struggle with getting their women to have children, even if they implement generous pro-natal policies. Germany’s birthrates during the Weimar period were especially low – below replacement level even (meaning leass than 2.0 children per women), though that had probably a lot to do with the instability and economic hardship at the time.

But you are right that female participation in the labor force is probably the main driver for birthrates. Which brings me back to an earlier post of mine, where I brought up the role economics plays in shaping culture. If one wants to raise or keep up birthrates for example, it would probably be better to ensure wages keep rising, or stay on a high level, since this would allow single-earner households to live more comfortably. I think the phenomenon of continuous inflation we have seen IOTL, especially after WW2, is probably one of the main drivers behind the rise in female participation in the labor force, and thus in falling birthrates. In that regard, I think it‘s fair to say that the second wave of feminism we’ve seen in the 60s and 70s was merely a reflection of the new economic and social realities of the time, and not just a case of women suddenly deciding that they didn‘t like being housewives anymore.

While there were definitely economic and social factors which played into the rise of second wave feminism, it doesn't hinge fully on that. As mentioned, you had a similar attempted sexual revolution in the 1920s, not just in Germany but in France, Britain and the United States as well. Female employment is an extremely effective way of reducing birthrates, but contraception is really the big game changer - you can't stop people sleeping together, but if you can significantly reduce the dangers of unwanted pregnancies then the number of abortions and unwanted children suddenly plummet. As for liberal societies struggling to push up birth rates, I think that it has more to do with education, availability of medical services and openings for female employment than anything to do with the ideological positioning. Look at the Baby-Boomer generation across much of the western world for an example of liberal societies with high birth rates. I also think that you are on the right track as regards the need for stability in society as a key factor in all this.
 
Weren’t the French quite concerned with their birthrate, mostly because Germany’s was higher prior the Great War? But it is an interesting phenomenon: liberal societies in general really struggle with getting their women to have children, even if they implement generous pro-natal policies. Germany’s birthrates during the Weimar period were especially low – below replacement level even (meaning leass than 2.0 children per women), though that had probably a lot to do with the instability and economic hardship at the time.

France did succeed in improving its demographics OTL. In fact today, it's still one of the best European countries on the subject, well above of Germany.
 
France did succeed in improving its demographics OTL. In fact today, it's still one of the best European countries on the subject, well above of Germany.

True, but the French birth rate is still below replacement level, and has been since the 1970s. The main reason why western populations haven‘t shrunk so far is the rise in life expectancy and immigration.

Look at the Baby-Boomer generation across much of the western world for an example of liberal societies with high birth rates. I also think that you are on the right track as regards the need for stability in society as a key factor in all this.

The period between 1945 and 1965 is quite interesting, since it was more or less the last hurrah for the cultural ideal of the nuclear family with the husband as the single earner, even if female labor participation was already on the rise. Cultural factors definitely play a role, as evidenced by the fact that religious people (or ‚conservative‘ people in general) have on average more children than those who aren’t religious, despite having the same access to birth control and abortion.

But I think another important – and usually overlooked – factor in all of this is the fact that western governments have taken on the role of financial caretaker for the elderly through public pension schemes and social security programs etc. Children are no longer seen as an investment in the future to provide financial and material support for their parents in their old age.

It is a complicated, unwieldy system which few are completely happy with but for the time being people are able to live with it.

I wonder how this would eventually be resolved. Once there is a right wing government in power i could definitely see some serious efforts to change the electoral system, or the political system as a whole. I can see many conservatives – even moderate ones – begin to see the post-war system in an increasingly negative light, and associate it with the cultural changes since the end of the war, especially if there is an economic downturn in the early thirties (even if it’s not as severe as the Great Depression). I doubt it would be possible to abolish universal suffrage at this point, but there are other ways to favor certain parties over others. There is good old gerrymandering of course, but i think that would be too obvious. I think an interesting idea would be to grant parents (or rather, the head of the household) the right to vote for their (non-adult) children – meaning that the vote of a father of three children for example would be counted as four votes, instead of only one (1 father + 3 children). I remember reading about this idea in an article some years ago. Such a proposal could easily be justified – after all, children are citizens too. However, since they are too young to sign contracts, they are also too young to make political judgements, so it makes sense for their parents to cast votes in their name. This would of course favor large families – but as I said, such parents are usually more conservative than others, and more likely to be found in rural areas than in the big cities.

Alternatively (or additionally), the electoral and political system might be revamped entirely. You might remember my earlier ramblings in this regard, back in August when we were discussing how the German post-war system might look like:

One possibility would be to diffuse the political power of the legislative, while also making it more ‚democratic‘. A way to do that would be to federalize Germany even more than it already was, by granting cities and municipalities lots of autonomy, similar to Swiss Cantons. Then you give those empowered local representatives (members of city councils etc.) the right to elect the parliament of their respective German state, instead of the general population of that state. And the members of those state parliaments then elect the Reichstag. An indirect democracy from bottom to top, basically.

The members of the state parliaments and the Reichstag then wouldn‘t be representing the ‚German People‘ as such, but would be agents representing the interests of their respective town, city or municipality. Maybe restrict the right to taxation entirely to the local level, which means the German states would have to tax their municipalities instead of the population itself, while the federal government would do the same with its states. The federal government could be allowed to collect taxes from the general population only for certain things, like military spending, reflecting the army‘s somewhat privileged position.

Ironically, this would resemble a kind of ‚Soviet‘ system (as it was originally envisioned) – just without the communism. But more importantly, depending on how it is set up, rural areas would be strongly overrepresented under such a system, especially if large cities like Munich or Berlin elect the same number of representatives to their state legislature as smaller towns and rural districts – after all, there are many more small municipalities than there are large cities. And if the state legislatures elect the members of the Reichstag, then this state of affairs would be transferred to the federal level as well.

This would in effect restrict left wing parties to the local level (mainly in the cities), where they would be allowed to ‚play around‘ politically, while right wing governments dominate on the state and federal level – unless the SPD or FVP were to enter into a coalition with right wing parties, of course.

This might be a kind of soft coup, but if a right wing government had the political will, and the Kaiser and the other German Kings and Princes are in favor, then these kinds of radical changes could easily be pushed through, especially if large parts of civil society – like the churches – are supportive as well. Neither the judiciary nor the army would oppose such measures, since those were right wing strongholds IOTL during this time, and i assume the same is true ITTL as well. I think the Centre Party would be the key here, since IOTL they were the only party at the time that had support across class lines (prior to the rise of the NSDAP), and i assume this is true here as well. If the party takes a turn to the right in the wake of the spread of communism in Europe and the cultural changes of the 20s, and someone from its reactionary wing takes over (like Franz von Papen, who has already been mentioned in a previous update), then a coalition with the DNVP (and maybe other right wing parties) could pave the way for something like this.

Of course, this doesn‘t necessarily mean that non right wing parties would never achieve electoral success ever again, they would just have to find a way to appeal to rural voters.
 

You are right in stating that the conservative range of people in Germany are becoming increasingly disillusioned with what they view as the moral decay of Germany and what has come to be seen as the betrayal of the Liberals from the historical consensus of keeping socialists out of politics when possible. There are also probably going to be efforts at reforming the system at some point, but what form that reform might take and whether it will be the left, right or fringe which makes changes remains in question.

The actual system you described probably won't become a mainstream view in one of the larger right-wing parties, but I do have an idea where such a proposal might get started - should be able to get that topic into it in the final section of the current update (this current update has really been killing me). The Centre party will be an important power in all of this and the future of that party will be a future focus of internal German politics.

It is certainly an issue I am keeping an eye on.
 
Update Twenty-Five (Pt. 3): Society in Flux
Society in Flux

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Electrification of Paris

Technology On The March

The 1920s would see a massive technological boom as mass production techniques, business rationalisation methods and technological upgrading led to major steps forward. Perhaps most significant of the technological developments which came to a head during the 1920s was the mass electrification of factories in America and Europe. Though electricity was a well-established technology in 1920, its impact on productivity had been limited by old-fashioned industrial design. Prior to the 1920s, most factories were powered by big steam engines which sat in the basement and powered machines on the upper floors through vertical shafts that ran up the side of the building, and horizontal shafts on each floor of the building. At first factory owners were reluctant to waste all their sunk costs: they simply replaced the steam engines with electrical motors and expected the workers to put up with the inconvenience of tall buildings and lots of horizontal shafts. But during the 1920s, factory owners realised that it might prove beneficial to start from scratch: they started powering their machines with individual motors and laying out their factories horizontally rather than vertically.

The electrification of households in Europe and North America began in early in the century in many major cities and in areas served by electric railways before increasing rapidly, reaching nearly 70% in the United States by 1930. Mass production improved productivity, which was a contributing factor to economic growth and the decline in work week hours, alongside other factors such as transportation infrastructures, canals, railroads and highways, and agricultural mechanisation. These factors caused the typical work week to decline from 70 hours in the early 19th century to 60 hours late in the century, then to 50 hours in the early 20th century and would finally reduce it to 40 hours by the middle of the 1930s. Mass production permitted great increases in total production with the result that by the late 1920s many previously scarce goods were in good supply, allowing for the evolution of consumerism by lowering the unit cost of many goods used.

At the same time, a revolution within agriculture initiated by the invention of the combine harvester began to present a major issue as overproduction of grain placed increasingly immense pressure on the rural population of particularly the United States. The Great War had created an atmosphere of high prices for agricultural products as European nations demand for exports surged. Farmers had enjoyed a period of prosperity as U.S. farm production expanded rapidly to fill the gap left as European belligerents found themselves unable to produce enough food. When the war ended, supply increased rapidly as Europe's agricultural market rebounded. Overproduction led to plummeting prices which led to stagnant market conditions and living standards for farmers in the 1920s. Worse, hundreds of thousands of farmers had taken out mortgages and loans to buy out their neighbours' property, and now are unable to meet the financial burden. The cause was the collapse of land prices after the wartime bubble when farmers used high prices to buy up neighbouring farms at high prices, saddling them with heavy debts. By the second half of President McAdoo's Presidency this crisis was growing to a such a proportion that governmental intervention was becoming increasingly necessary (15).

The post-war era was a golden age of physics, particularly theoretical physics, and although it was very much an international effort, the centres of gravity in those years were three institutes, in Copenhagen, Göttingen, and Munich. Niels Bohr’s Institute of Theoretical Physics had opened in Copenhagen in January 1921, quickly followed, in 1922, by the award of a Nobel Prize. Just before the Great War, Bohr had explained how electrons orbit the nucleus only in certain formations, which married atomic structure to Max Planck’s notion of quanta. But, in the same year that he was awarded the Nobel Prize, Bohr also explained the fundamental links between physics and chemistry, showing that successive orbital shells could contain only a precise number of electrons, and introduced the idea that elements that behave in a similar way chemically do so because they have a similar arrangement of electrons in their outer shells, which are the ones most used in chemical reactions. In 1925 the center of activity moved for a time to Göttingen.

Before World War I, British and American students regularly went to Germany to complete their studies, and Göttingen was a frequent stopping-off place. Bohr gave a lecture there in 1922 and was taken to task by a young student who corrected a point in his argument. Bohr, being Bohr, hadn’t minded. The young Bavarian Werner Heisenberg was invited to Copenhagen by Bohr where they set about tackling further challenges of quantum theory. Heisenberg returned to Göttingen enthused by his time in Copenhagen but also confused. Over the coming years, Heisenberg and a growing menagerie of physicists including the Frenchman Louis de Broglie, the Austrian Erwin Schrödinger, Einstein and Max Born all provided crucial contributions to the development of quantum weirdness.

At the same time, a coalition of anti-relativists, opposed to Einstein's theories grew increasingly vocal in their opposition to relativism and the increasingly complex theoretical nature of the field of physics, led by the notable scientists Philipp Lenard and Johannes Stark. While both were competent physicists and Stark was a Nobel prize winner, their hatred and opposition to Einstein and what they viewed as the general "degradation and Jewishness" of the current forefront of theoretical physics led them to abandon relativity and quantum physics in favor of what they described as "German Physics". While Stark and Lenard would succeed in finding far-right backers, they were laughed out of the respectable scientific community and soon found themselves pushed to the margins, subsisting largely on the good will of sympathetic Junker sponsors.

The fresh data that the new physics was producing had very practical ramifications that arguably have changed our lives far more directly than was at first envisaged by scientists mainly interested in fundamental aspects of nature. Radio moved into the home in the 1920s; television was first demonstrated in August 1928. Another invention using physics revolutionized life in a completely different way: this was the jet engine, developed almost simultaneously by the Englishman Frank Whittle and the German Hans von Ohain which would begin to see theoretical and experimental use in the 1930s (16).


An area which would see considerable change and adaptation to new learnings from the 1910s were the medical sciences. After the Great War and the subsequent wars, the massive world-wide catastrophe of the Spanish Flu and the famine which had torn across Russia, there had been plenty of opportunity for doctors across the world to work towards improving their methodologies. Large-scale wars were attended by medics and mobile hospital units which developed advanced techniques for healing massive injuries and controlling infections rampant in battlefield conditions while thousands of scarred troops provided the need for improved prosthetic limbs and expanded techniques in plastic surgery or reconstructive surgery. These practices would be combined to broaden cosmetic surgery and other forms of elective surgery in the post-war period. Furthermore, during the Great War, Alexis Carrel and Henry Dakin developed the Carrel-Dakin method of treating wounds with an irrigation, Dakin's solution, a germicide which helped prevent gangrene while spurring the usage of Roentgen's X-ray, and the electrocardiograph, for the monitoring of internal bodily functions. This would then be followed in the post-war period by the development of the first anti-bacterial agents such as sulpha antibiotics.

However, arguably the most significant medical development of the 1920s was the wide spread of the eugenics movement, particularly to Europe from America. While the roots of modern eugenics arose with the writings of the British Francis Galton, it had been the United States which was quickest to adopt and implement the concept. Over the course of the pre-war years, organisations had been formed to win public support and sway opinion towards responsible eugenic values in parenthood, including the British Eugenics Education Society of 1907 and the American Eugenics Society of 1921, both of which sought support from leading clergymen and modified their message to meet religious ideals. In 1907 Indiana had become the first of more than thirty states to adopt legislation aimed at compulsory sterilisation of certain individuals, mostly institutionalised individuals. Starting in 1896 with Connecticut, many states had begun implementing marriage laws with eugenics criteria while scientific efforts to map eugenics criteria were established, truly taking off with the establishment of the Eugenics Record Office in 1910.

By 1910, there was a large and dynamic network of scientists, reformers and professionals engaged in national eugenics projects and actively promoting eugenic legislation. The American Breeder's Association was the first eugenic body in the U.S., established in 1906 under the direction of biologist Charles B. Davenport. The ABA was formed specifically to "investigate and report on heredity in the human race, and emphasise the value of superior blood and the menace to society of inferior blood". In the years to come, the ERO collected a mass of family pedigrees and concluded that those who were unfit came from economically and socially poor backgrounds. However, the ERO's suggested solutions, ranging from deportation, segregation and sterilisation to outright extermination, and research methodologies met with considerable scorn from Mendelian biologists and geneticists, with the criticism focusing on the crude methodology of eugenicists, and the characterisation of almost every human characteristic as being hereditary, rather than the idea of eugenics itself (17).

On the basis of the American model, eugenic sterilisation policies were soon being developed in Europe. The first eugenic or "racially hygienic" forced sterilisation and forced castrations in Europe took place in Switzerland in 1890, with more to follow in the years to come. However, it would be Scandinavia which quickly emerged at the very forefront of the worldwide eugenics movement. One of the most comprehensive eugenics programs in the world would come to be conducted in Sweden where as early as 1909, a Swedish Society for Racial Hygiene was founded for the purpose of eugenic research. A network of people from different parties worked to establish a state institute for racial biology and advocated a law for eugenic sterilisation while two legislative proposals for the foundation of such an institute were introduced in 1921 in both chambers of the Swedish parliament. On the basis of the legislative proposals, the Swedish Parliament decided in 1921 to found the State Institute of Racial Biology at the University of Uppsala. In 1922, the Social Democrats drafted a bill to sterilise the mentally disabled.

The spread of eugenic ideas in Swedish Social Democracy was furthered by close contact with German Social Democrats, which was also cultivated through the mutual exchange of visiting scholars at the Berlin Society for Racial Hygiene and the University of Uppsala. Thus, while American eugenics were the initial instigation point for German eugenics, it would be to Scandinavia they turned for inspiration in the years to come. That is not to say that German eugenics were anything other than pioneering, from seeking to take a Medelian approach to social Darwinism - seeking to explore the hereditary development of a population based on its socio-political state, and working towards the exploration of the mythologized Aryan race and its connection to the Nordic peoples. In 1920, the German National Assembly decided to introduce a eugenic leaflet with warnings about possible hereditary offspring by registrars in the run-up to each marriage , but strictly rejected possible marriage bans against allegedly "inferiors".

Sterilisation laws were repeatedly discussed by various parties, most consistently by the SPD, and would be implemented in Prussia, Bavaria, Mecklenburg-Schwerin and Hesse by the end of the decade, with attempts at federal implementation of sterilisation laws having failed. In 1923 Fritz Lenz's appointment to the University of Münich would be the first of a chair for race hygiene at a major German university. More and more racial hygienists were also involved in policy advice and found their way into the SPD, FVP, NLP while a rather large fringe with a more outwardly racist and anti-Semitic outlook found themselves welcomed into the DNVP, both Centre and the DKP preaching actively against the movement on the basis of its advocacy of what they viewed as interference with God's work.

In contrast to these positions was that of the Communist movement, building out of the nascent Russian eugenics movement in the years prior to the Russian Revolution. Russian eugenics largely unanimously criticised and rejected the racial and class elements of German racial hygiene and British-American eugenics, and especially after the revolution emphasized the importance of the social environment, education and upbringing. They condemned measures of negative eugenics such as segregation and sterilisation of the "unfit", which were so popular in Germany, Scandinavia and the United States and as an alternative, they proposed an improvement in social conditions, reforms and preventive medicine. This would be taken up by the global communist movement as well, with the result that in Germany a number of positive eugenics measures, such as rewards for large and healthy families as well as for the families of children who exhibited wished-for traits, while research into genetics, invitro fertilisation and even cloning would receive considerable financing, were implemented alongside communist-promoted and backed social reforms and wider preventative medical research alongside the pre-existing negative eugenics measures (18).

Footnotes:

(15) I have decided to largely keep technological development at least relatively on track for the time being and as such much of this mirrors a lot of what was going on IOTL. The major point which should draw attention here is that the American agricultural sector is faltering under massive debts, low demand and rapidly rising global productivity increases. This happened IOTL and led to a push for agricultural subsidies which IOTL failed in favour of smaller and more disparate measures. While subsidies might not be implemented ITTL, although the likelihood of a Democratic government doing so is much higher than with a Republican one, the issue will play into events the next time we turn to the United States.

(16) This is again largely OTL but keep in mind that there was a lot of disruption within the field of theoretical physics in the 1930s. Perhaps most significant in this case is that Stark and Lenard's push towards "German Physics" proves even less popular ITTL and is largely ignored outside of far-right nationalist circles. IOTL they were able to ride the Nazis rise to power to the top of German science and essentially trashed the immense scientific framework and community which had previously put Germany at the forefront of science internationally.


(17) The 1920s saw major progress within the medical sciences, from x-ray technology to antibiotics, as learnings from the Great War were processed. The Flu was also influential in developing quarantine measures, public health campaigns and other large-scale interventions against epidemics. This is all OTL. As for the intro to Eugenics, I thought that it would be best to introduce it in this segment and cover some of the developments in America before getting into what is happening in Europe - particularly Scandinavia and Germany. American Eugenics were viewed as pioneering for their time with Europeans travelling to America to learn more about how they were accomplishing it - much as they did with visiting Ford to learn of assembly lines. The 1920s largely just see a continuation of prevailing trends from previous decades, with more sterilisation laws passed and various positive eugenics measures implemented. There is, however, significant hesitancy when it comes to implementing the complementary reforms championed by communists and addressed in the next section.

(18) While most of the information on Sweden is based on OTL, there are some divergences in Germany - most significantly the passage of sterilisation legislation in the 1920s which IOTL was prevented by religious conservatives. Of the states where it is passed, it bears mentioning that of the four, the Bavarian ban is unique because it comes out of the DNVP rather than the SPD and is far more focused on preventing miscegenation than sterilisation on criminal or medical grounds as it is in the three other cases. As for the Communist opposition to eugenics, that is all OTL. The fact that the German Communists are unable to prevent eugenics from being implemented is a major blow but the welfare system they are able to push for does help make up for it. The Communists pressure the SPD to make welfare reforms by challenging their claims to represent the working class, forcing the SPD to push for more welfare reforms, which in turn pushes the governmental coalition slowly but steadily further to the left.

End Note:

First of all, Happy New Year Everyone!

I have now been working on TL on Alt-History for one-and-a-half years in all and feel that I have gotten a lot out of the experience. It has been extremely educational and helped me work through a lot of stuff. I would like to thank all of you for following along and (hopefully) enjoying the ride.

I had meant to get more into the specifics of the eugenics movement and its interaction with the political scene, but it has proven rather difficult to find out all that much about what specifically was going on outside of the very broadest of outlines. I will be getting into its impact on politics more as we move forward, but for now I hope people can accept this rather basic description of the rise of eugenics. This section was a pain to research, particularly because it is a topic I know relatively little on, but now I can look forward to the final section on the ideological developments of the 1920s and a return to the more normal updates. I know that I didn't really have all that many divergences in this section, but that is again partly due to my lack of knowledge on the area. Let me know what you think.
 
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Finland had an extensive eugenics program as well (Arvo Ylppö is a key figure here) starting from 1918, and would likely follow that route in TTL as well.
 
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