allanpcameron
Donor
Thanks troops, pleasure to read through everything this morning, as it is every day, but today, there's a lot of work to get through.
Thanks again everyone.
Allan
The unstoppable tank. It must feel for Graziani that he's facing a steam roller. I am presuming that he's thinking the same here as OTL, only its happening quicker and more comprehensively. The battle of Beda Fomm is likely to be a bit different here.Rumors of the Valiant tanks would have spread like wildfire by the fleeing truckers and those ten tankettes so despite what Italian commander want morale would have collapse any time when the British met Italian units. Better surrender than facing those tanks.
Depending on how fast he get out with what supplies he can carry allowing them to retreat to the nearest base otherwise they would have to abandon any vehicles or tanks if it ran out of fuel or breakdown on the roads.
The good news is the A9 and A10 production have ended, but with and extra 100 A10 over OTL and both tanks having better tracks TTL, it puts 7th Armoured Division in a much better state than they actually were. They will be remembered more fondly I think here than they were otherwise. The need for HE I think is well established now, pretty much 2 years ahead of schedule.I feel that the after action reports are going to be of "We Want Valiant, and We Won't Wait" variety. I think the last couple of major actions have only succeeded so successfully with so few casualties, is due to the Valiant's of both types being available. The other major part of the AAR will be the tremendous use the 3.7 CS tank gave and that they (the ranks and gentlemen officers) want HE available to all AFV's. The only real use the other types of tanks have given are the speed of, I think, the A9 when they chased down the tankettes, but this does not absolve them of being shoddy tanks that are not Valients.
The Italian army withdrawal left the Settler population in a sticky position. More of that in the next update. But Benghazi won't be a Stalingrad.Not an option, Benghazi is full of Italian settlers ( up to 20000 ) with no realistic way of leaving. Different rules for different theatres, it also does not help its that even through its the biggest city in Cyrenaica, its only 67000 in population, not a big place. OTL it got bombed a lot by both sides and over 80% of the city had been flattened by 1943.
The difference re Benghazi is that it is within range of aircraft, and it takes the Royal Navy longer at sea to get there and back. With the arrival of the Luftwaffe, the RN is starting to feel the heat. HMS Illustrious is knocked out as a carrier, so I wonder if Cunningham will be looking at Tobruk much more as the primary port rather than Benghazi, especially if the Luftwaffe make it to North Africa.So the situation in North Africa. The British have lost one of the weeks they had gained over OTL, not too surprising as some time to rest and refit was always going to be needed. Even so they are still walking over the Italians with a few exceptions. As things stand the British are following the OTL plan pretty much and that's the right call to make. What about the Italians though. Well they are pulling back, and that decision is the correct one, but it's too late. The British will shut the door on any attempt to withdraw in good order and just like OTL the Italians will have to surrender. The question is how fast will they try to get out of Cyrenaica? if they try to go too slowly and destroy port facilities in places like Benghazi they will know they are going to get cut off given how fast the British are advancing. The alternative of just running now and letting the British capture intact facilities is the lesser of two evils for them. If they get out but the British can use Benghazi at least they are hopefully able to reorganise and offer better resistance going forward.
One of the differences here is that the speed of the British over OTL means that some of the reinforcements sent to Cyrenaica, which were then ultimately lost at Beda Fomm, haven't been sent. So the Italians are actually a bit stronger in Tripoli than they would be otherwise.That all assumes of course that the Italians don't simply collapse. IF that happens then North Africa is very likely up for grabs. Any attempts to damage port facilities will be difficult if troops are trying to flee the impending British doom. The other question becomes how able are the British to capitalise, if they sense the whole thing will come down if they can only kick in the door then O'Connor will want to kick in the door. Now an Italian collapse isn't exactly unlikely at this point but what is more up in the air is exactly how much more the British logistics can support. If they can support even a limited push further up the coast then I can see O'Connor being allowed to continue, even if a week or so of rest is needed first. The need to intervene immediately in Greece wont be quite as strong as the OTL desire though it will continue to grow.
How far O'Connor can get depends on the Logistics, the Italians and if they collapse completely or only locally and if the Germans show up. Based on what has happened so far and the fact the Italians have functionally collapsed at best and fully collapsed at worst I can actually see the Germans sitting this one out, it is at least more likely than them getting involved.
As @El Pip mentioned: unlikely. The flimsies were made locally. The jerrycan will need better production facilities. I mentioned some being taken to India, so Tata Steel might end up being a big producer. The question which I haven't really alluded to here is that OTL the first copies by the Western Allies weren't actually very good. The went for a cheap knockoff version, rather than the well-engineered German original.@allanpcameron what's the status of localised production of jerrycans e.g. in Cairo and Alexandria?
I would presume these coming on stream would bring enormous flexibility to maneuver locally.
The water plant was captured OTL, but yes the port facilities at Tobruk are better. There is a virtuous circle, but its diameter is still quite small.Whilst this is true and the geography cannot change, the logistics element can and indeed already has. Capturing the water plant means that less water needs trucking up from the delta, allowing more trucks to carry more fuel and ammo. Less wreckage of port facilities means earlier and better ability to handle dhows and coasters further forward, with the same net effect. More reliable tanks mean fewer spare parts required and less fuel allocated to salvage operations. Lower losses and battles one faster leads to less fuel used on medivac and more importantly, less artillery ammunition required.
There’s a virtuous circle forming here.
Not dealing with the RN and RAF situation has been kind of deliberate on my part. It would make my life much more difficult. But it is happening as OTL, so presume OTL losses to both British and Italian convoys/ships.Haven't really looked at the North African Campaigns in years TBH need to fix that but the Italians have taken their losses a lot more rapidly than OTL with a lot of loot being taken by the allies earlier on. I can't see any way for them to hold Benghazi with what they have left heck they haven't been able to pull out the forces they did in OTL compass adding to this with what asserts the RN and RAF probably have hunting in the Western Med I can't see any convoy making it through without losses.
If the British copies of the jerrycan are effective (see above) then the chances are that more of them will be ordered, this is their debut, a lot will depend on the feedback.The photos of the German ABP works appear to show a fairly meaty press being used and firms like "Briggs Motor Bodies" and "Pressed Steel Company" involved in British manufacturing, you would not waste those heavy engineering firms and their valuable presses if simple machine shops could do it.
Timeline appears to be Late 1940 people in hte UK started asking about design and manufacture of the Jerrycan but even by early 1943 'only' 2 million had been produced and production had to ramp up still further The US forces in Normandy needed 1.3 million a month just to replace cans that got 'lost', so you need massive production to make a difference.
I do think some production can be done in India, possibly Australia too. Canada definitely. Like Canadian Pattern Trucks, the jerrycan will be a big part of the RASC's success.True but the issue was that the British weren't convinced of the merits of jerrycans until late 1942 (the troops had to scavenge captured German ones). Once they accepted the need then they made millions (20 million in a year I think). Factories to make the jerrycans could and were located in the Middle East but it's not a back street / souk operation - as you say you need the tooling from UK.
I would agree.I still cant get over peoples predictions that they can push alot further than in otl . Maybe 50 km more at best but thats it , the harbors arent big and modern enough to supply forces that far away from egypt without having time to amass logistics for a few months first ! The reaction for the italians should be the same as otl since they are just collapsing a little faster and thats it rather than this being a radical departure from otl . Operation compass was truly a disaster for the italians , a slightly better compass is still just a disaster and not a regime collapsing event as some have suggested.
I need to do more research on the Greek campaign before I can comment fully, but, realistically, having better British tanks there might help a bit. But, I'm not sure it will be enough.But what about my idea of sending o`connor to greece or if not him then atleast if we are doing greece in this timeline still insist that the greeks cover their retreat route back to greece from albania from a flanking attack from yugoslavia/bulgaria? Cause you cant get them to retreat preemptivly before a invasion to be honest without alot bigger pod but insisting if you really want to be deployed there then atleast please for the sake of sanity please post a force to defend your vunerable flank since most of greek army is being supplied by 2 passes into albania ! In otl this force got cut off by like battalion sized german motorized forces and forced to surrender . There is a chance if you do this you could delay campaign atlaest a week or two if the forces can be evacuted south and help the brits defend the southern defense lines and maybe abit longer even? While also evacuating to crete like they did in otl or even to egypt ? Cause in otl like 40k greeks surrendered with the brits in otl in crete i mean and i imagine almost all of them were evacuated from the mainland but the issue was that these troops were like troops in dunkirk and after in that they were useless and needed alot of time and effort to reorganize and this is a place where the italian gear could be useful , equipping the greek army at first . Would honestly prefer that the greeks be supplied by the americans when they join at the end of the year ? Altough a valiant equipped greek armored divison to fight in italy isnt a bad idea in 1943 as part of a corps sized force ?
The Australian and Indian Armoured Divisions will be a thing. OTL the Indian's served primarily in Persia, and the Aussies didn't quite get it fully together, mostly because of where they were fighting, it was less essential. If the two Divisions are fully trained and equipped in advance of OTL, maybe they'll find a use, but I doubt it will be in the European Theatre.And what about my idea of sending the last 800-1000 mark 1 valiants with the 2 pounder i mean to australia and indians to equip a armored divison with plans being that they will be deployed to europe theater in 1942 and this is only about 2 months of production i think so it wont be as big of a hole as planned while also helping in deployable forces? Mainly this can be excused that this will gain the brits 2 armored divisons without weakening home defenses since army isnt very thrilled about sending armored divisons overseas atleast right now and that they will be abit meh compared to the 6 pounder versions wich they will be upgrading to anyway ? This should happen sometime in the first half of 1941 tough asfar i can tell is the issue and there arent very many drivers for this altough the lack of tanks india has been mentioned. The indians are forming a armored divison but dont have tanks for it and the australians were interested in a tank divison aswell .
There's a lot of good stuff in this. AIUI a lot of captured Italian supplies went to Greece anyway, probably along with the British stuff which mostly supplied the ANZACs. Sending the Indians Italian tanks is a fun idea. Not sure how many of the better M13/40s have been captured intact, at least the M11/39 and tankettes would be useful for training. Thanks for that.I’m unclear on how much material support was sent to Greece OTL but wondered about the swapping of captured Italian supplies in lieu of British supplies.
An Italian captured truck has possibly? A better chance of surviving in Greece which I am assuming would be more familiar with the trucks then British/dominion troops and possibly more access to parts. That being said trucks are going to be worth their weight in gold in North Africa and would be a fight to release of any kind.
I could see captured Italian tanks going to India however for training with newly raised units and with infantry units there. Also as security for Iraq and the lend lease road corridor there instead of shipping new construction around.
If desert force tankers can “borrow” Italian tanks to keep up the advance on the fly I can see captured units shipped east as an temporary measure until new construction catches up.
It sucks to be Mussolini at this point, especially once East Africa falls. His position at home must be shaky after all these set backs. But a Peace Treaty with Honour, at the moment, I can't see it. Maybe, speak to me if Tripoli falls.Just trying to put my "What if?" hat on for a moment.....
With the Italians about to collapse throughout Africa and Greece, is there any room for a back-channel negotiation for a "Peace Treaty with Honour" to quickly knock the Italians out of the war?
Key Objective: Provide Mussolini with an option that allows him to back down without public embarrassment.
Again, I think that's an accurate assessment. Not sure that the Germans won't be sent. Their orders were to defend Tripoli. Rommel decided to defend Tripoli from the Suez canal! You're earlier point about not getting much further than they did is true. Yes, 7th Armoured Division will be in a stronger position. Makes what happens in March kind of interesting.A slightly faster compass acheives almost nothing diffrent compared to otl since it was a disaster anyway and they didnt collapse in otl and this will acheive the same thing but just like 2 or 3 weeks faster wich isnt that diffrent to be honest . Hell mussolini was loosing in the invasion of greece and actually albania got counter invaded wich probably was a bigger deal than the empire losses as far as i can tell .
The main thing might be that the force that stay in north africa should be in better conditon compared to otl since they will have more time to refit and rest. And i mainly mean the 7th armored to answer to rommels attack since the australians are going to greece and i imagine the british brigade will aswell . Since the 2nd armored wich was sent to the middle east can be directed to greece instead of the 7th .
A quicker compass just might cancel german involvement tough if the author wants to pursue that since the germans might feel that the brits would be outside tripoli before enough forces can be sent tough and im very sure that the german high command wasnt thrilled with diversions from preparing to fight the soviet union . And this was a hitler decision wich distracted the germans at another place with horrific logistics.
Thanks for that. You wouldn't a source by any chance. Getting info on these things can be problematic.It has occurred to me that if Sir John manages to develop, and get accepted, a tank gun based on the Vickers Model 1931 anti aircraft gun, that this would also make a good basis for an excellent Anti-Tank gun.
The Romanian Army used their license built Resita Model 1936 as the basis for the Resita Model 1943.
(Which bears a quasi-similar relationship to the Pak 40 as the Polsten did to the Oerlikon)
The main advantage would be in the bulk and weight. The Resita Model 1943 massed only about 200kg more than the Ordnance QF 6-pounder, and less that half that of the 17-pdr.
Thanks again everyone.
Allan