88. Little victorious war? (cont 1)
One army would advance to the Kherlen River and another would march to the North of the Ordos Desert (South from the 1st army) to cut off the retreat route. The Dzungars by that time are going to be overburdened with a cattle looted in Khalka and slow on their move. If necessary, the Qing can pretend that they are ready to have talks and delay the Dzungar retreat. This did work before and why wouldn't it work now? After all, the Dzungars are barbarians (and so are their Russian allies) and are too dumb to learn on their mistakes.
So the only things needed were to mobilize the armies and have them ready on a border of Outer Mongolia to set the trap. Of course, the Khalka Mongols will suffer in a process but what would it matter for the grand strategy? Perhaps they’ll even manage to kill some Dzungars in a process.
The Emperor, unlike his predecessor, was not going to participate in the campaign so the Northern Army would be led by Yue Zhongqi who already conquered Tibet during the previous war with the Dzungars and now served as Minister of War and Viceroy of Chuan-Shaan (with jurisdiction over Shaanxi and Gansu provinces as well as western Inner Mongolia). His deputy was general Bandi, a Borjigit from Mongol Plain Yellow Banner.
Commander of the Southern Army was going to be general Bo Huang, a member of the Chinese Bordered White Banner and governor of Jiangxi [1]. The deputy was Hailancha, a Solon from Manchu Bordered Yellow Banner.
The troops were mobilized, the huge supply trains assembled, the commanders appointed. Now “you have to sit and wait until corps of your enemy will flow down the river.” … Now, there was a problem: a potential corps was stubbornly refusing to go anywhere close to the proverbial river: Galdan Tseren was seemingly quite happy staying within his territory and refusing to ride to his extermination, which was extremely naughty of him.
Actually, immediately after the victory at Barkal Galdan Tseren was itching for an offensive action to subdue the Khalka Mongols and it took Munnich all his charm and newly-acquired prestige to convince him not to do so. Besides the fact that at this stage such an offensive was going to be a fool-hardy adventure (as was demonstrated by Galdan Boshugtu Khan) and another obvious fact that the Russian troops would not be able to move with the same speed as Dzungar cavalry thus eliminating a speed advantage or allowing the Qing to deal with the invaders piecemeal, there was one more consideration, which was not spelled out: Emperor Alexey did not want to have an excessively powerful vassal (which Galdan Tseren is going to be after conquest of Khalka) who may at any point to decide that he does not need Russian protection. The looting raid would be fine but only as a pursuit of the defeated Qing to whom the area will be returned. Peace with the Qing had to be made and the Dzungars will be needed for the conquest of the CA khanates.
Eventually, Galdan Tseren agreed to the arguments: now it was obvious that if the Russians withdraw their support, the Qing will make a complete destruction of the Dzungar a matter of principle and it was definitely better to be a live Khan of a prospering vassal state than a dead ruler of the exterminated people. [2]
As a result, both sides had been sitting tight waiting for the opponent to stick his neck.
There was a steady growth of the Russian troops along the Shilka River on Chita - Nerchinsk line and Munnich got a number of the Russian troops in Dzungaria up to desirable 40,000 following his favorite principle of being rather safe than sorry. The supply depots had been created and a massive number of camels mobilized to be used to carry supplies if and when the war will enter into pursuit stage and construction of the new fortified border line started. There was absolutely no reason for any rush action.
So far, Munnich’s reports to Moscow got a warm reception and a story about destruction of Barkul, grossly exaggerated as it was in the terms of numbers and strength of the Qing fortifications, earned him an Order of St. Alexander. The trouble in the PLC was seemingly averted by flexibility of the future August III who endorsed the Pragmatic Sanction in exchange for the Hapsburg collaboration, the Ottomans and Persian had been busily fighting each other with no end in sight, so there were plenty of resources to be channeled to the East, if necessary.
Rather untypicaly, the Qing lost the patience first: maintenance of the field armies had been hitting the treasury hard and could not last forever.
_____________
[1] The person really existed and was still around (1660-1737) but was seemingly mostly administrator. Simply taken from “Eminent Chinese of Qing period”. The same goes for both deputy commanders (with the reasonable allowances for the dates). 😜
[2] In OTL the Qing exterminated 80-90% of the Dzungar population.
“Haste is needed only for catching fleas”
Russian proverb
“Artillerymen believe the world consist of two types of people; other Artillerymen and targets.”
Unknown
“CANNON, n. An instrument employed in the rectification of national boundaries.”
Ambrose Bierce
“A horse must be a bit mad to be a good cavalry mount, and its rider must be completely so.”
Steven Pressfield
A double defeat at Barkul and a loss of the whole army was a serious but not critical blow to the Qing and, with the details being unknown, the Emperor and the court tended to consider it as a fluke: the Dzungars managed to get an upper-hand in a border encounter, happened more than once in the earlier conflicts and after this the victors had been losing a sense of reality and advance deep into Khalka Mongolia with their tiny army exposing themselves to the superior Qing numbers with a resulting annihilation of their army, as did happen with Galdan Boshugtu Khan in 1696. Kangxi Emperor demonstrated how this can be done: just have two armies, approximately 30 - 40,000 each, with couple hundreds pieces of a camel artillery.Russian proverb
“Artillerymen believe the world consist of two types of people; other Artillerymen and targets.”
Unknown
“CANNON, n. An instrument employed in the rectification of national boundaries.”
Ambrose Bierce
“A horse must be a bit mad to be a good cavalry mount, and its rider must be completely so.”
Steven Pressfield
One army would advance to the Kherlen River and another would march to the North of the Ordos Desert (South from the 1st army) to cut off the retreat route. The Dzungars by that time are going to be overburdened with a cattle looted in Khalka and slow on their move. If necessary, the Qing can pretend that they are ready to have talks and delay the Dzungar retreat. This did work before and why wouldn't it work now? After all, the Dzungars are barbarians (and so are their Russian allies) and are too dumb to learn on their mistakes.
So the only things needed were to mobilize the armies and have them ready on a border of Outer Mongolia to set the trap. Of course, the Khalka Mongols will suffer in a process but what would it matter for the grand strategy? Perhaps they’ll even manage to kill some Dzungars in a process.
The Emperor, unlike his predecessor, was not going to participate in the campaign so the Northern Army would be led by Yue Zhongqi who already conquered Tibet during the previous war with the Dzungars and now served as Minister of War and Viceroy of Chuan-Shaan (with jurisdiction over Shaanxi and Gansu provinces as well as western Inner Mongolia). His deputy was general Bandi, a Borjigit from Mongol Plain Yellow Banner.
Commander of the Southern Army was going to be general Bo Huang, a member of the Chinese Bordered White Banner and governor of Jiangxi [1]. The deputy was Hailancha, a Solon from Manchu Bordered Yellow Banner.
The troops were mobilized, the huge supply trains assembled, the commanders appointed. Now “you have to sit and wait until corps of your enemy will flow down the river.” … Now, there was a problem: a potential corps was stubbornly refusing to go anywhere close to the proverbial river: Galdan Tseren was seemingly quite happy staying within his territory and refusing to ride to his extermination, which was extremely naughty of him.
Actually, immediately after the victory at Barkal Galdan Tseren was itching for an offensive action to subdue the Khalka Mongols and it took Munnich all his charm and newly-acquired prestige to convince him not to do so. Besides the fact that at this stage such an offensive was going to be a fool-hardy adventure (as was demonstrated by Galdan Boshugtu Khan) and another obvious fact that the Russian troops would not be able to move with the same speed as Dzungar cavalry thus eliminating a speed advantage or allowing the Qing to deal with the invaders piecemeal, there was one more consideration, which was not spelled out: Emperor Alexey did not want to have an excessively powerful vassal (which Galdan Tseren is going to be after conquest of Khalka) who may at any point to decide that he does not need Russian protection. The looting raid would be fine but only as a pursuit of the defeated Qing to whom the area will be returned. Peace with the Qing had to be made and the Dzungars will be needed for the conquest of the CA khanates.
Eventually, Galdan Tseren agreed to the arguments: now it was obvious that if the Russians withdraw their support, the Qing will make a complete destruction of the Dzungar a matter of principle and it was definitely better to be a live Khan of a prospering vassal state than a dead ruler of the exterminated people. [2]
As a result, both sides had been sitting tight waiting for the opponent to stick his neck.
There was a steady growth of the Russian troops along the Shilka River on Chita - Nerchinsk line and Munnich got a number of the Russian troops in Dzungaria up to desirable 40,000 following his favorite principle of being rather safe than sorry. The supply depots had been created and a massive number of camels mobilized to be used to carry supplies if and when the war will enter into pursuit stage and construction of the new fortified border line started. There was absolutely no reason for any rush action.
So far, Munnich’s reports to Moscow got a warm reception and a story about destruction of Barkul, grossly exaggerated as it was in the terms of numbers and strength of the Qing fortifications, earned him an Order of St. Alexander. The trouble in the PLC was seemingly averted by flexibility of the future August III who endorsed the Pragmatic Sanction in exchange for the Hapsburg collaboration, the Ottomans and Persian had been busily fighting each other with no end in sight, so there were plenty of resources to be channeled to the East, if necessary.
Rather untypicaly, the Qing lost the patience first: maintenance of the field armies had been hitting the treasury hard and could not last forever.
_____________
[1] The person really existed and was still around (1660-1737) but was seemingly mostly administrator. Simply taken from “Eminent Chinese of Qing period”. The same goes for both deputy commanders (with the reasonable allowances for the dates). 😜
[2] In OTL the Qing exterminated 80-90% of the Dzungar population.
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