Is it possible to see Cortes in command of a second expedition?Would be fun to see the old man at it again.
I don't see how they couldn't hold the coast.I think it's the other way around.If the Spanish can somehow take the coast with their small numbers,can they actually hold it despite constant attacks?Woot a surviving Inca TL!
Assuming they can hold out against the reinforcements, they might just be able to modernize fast enough to make life a living hell for the Spaniards who try to take the whole of the Empire. Though the coasts are pretty much doomed, the Inca's lack of a real naval tradition or natural defenses on the coast mean they can't hold it if the Spanish try to take it.
I don't see how they couldn't hold the coast.I think it's the other way around.If the Spanish can somehow take the coast with their small numbers,can they actually hold it despite constant attacks?
I don't see how they couldn't hold the coast.I think it's the other way around.If the Spanish can somehow take the coast with their small numbers,can they actually hold it despite constant attacks?
Assuming they have a flotilla parked right off the coast, then they can hold it easily using cannons to bombard any army foolish enough to come into range. Though on the other hand, gorilla warfare would render such a tactic worthless.
Assuming they have a flotilla parked right off the coast, then they can hold it easily using cannons to bombard any army foolish enough to come into range. Though on the other hand, gorilla warfare would render such a tactic worthless.
Assuming they have a flotilla parked right off the coast, then they can hold it easily using cannons to bombard any army foolish enough to come into range. Though on the other hand, gorilla warfare would render such a tactic worthless.
Why would they spend so much to transport, support, equip, and resupply the huge fleet required to do so for decades, when Spain is about to jump into war with England in relatively short time. With no escapees from Pizzaro's expidition, all the Spaniards would think of the inca would be primitive tribes.
...?
The Spanish don't have that kind of power projection yet, nor the resources to dedicate to such a useless endeavor. Once it becomes clear that they can't loot the Inca they'll back off and try to trade. In all likelihood, with little success.
Alright, I'm convinced that Spain wouldn't bother taking the coast for long, at best they'd hold it as a beachhead to assault the Inca, but once they realize they aren't succeeding they might give up. The reason I thought they'd keep it up is since they never really stopped in OTL until the whole of Central America and most of Southern America was under their control.
Speaking of that, how are the Inca going to overcome the immediate smallpox epidemic? Constant low-level quarantines and deurbanization? Their populace is likely to remain at risk for quite some time unless the Inca come upon inoculation.
Inoculation was invented at least three times independently. It's not that difficult an idea to come upon once you're acquainted with the disease.
Most of the population lived in the fields, not in the cities. But the epidemics have wiped out not only huge tracts of population but the commanding nobles of Cusco.
So Atahualpa will have to integrate most of the remaining local classes of the Empire to replenish his ranks. That will help against any attempt of repeating the strategy of Cortes against the Aztecs.
*insert incredibly lame chess pun here*
Atahualpa seems to be reacting well.
Is it possible to see Cortes in command of a second expedition?Would be fun to see the old man at it again.
Woot a surviving Inca TL!
Assuming they can hold out against the reinforcements, they might just be able to modernize fast enough to make life a living hell for the Spaniards who try to take the whole of the Empire. Though the coasts are pretty much doomed, the Inca's lack of a real naval tradition or natural defenses on the coast mean they can't hold it if the Spanish try to take it.
I don't see how they couldn't hold the coast.I think it's the other way around.If the Spanish can somehow take the coast with their small numbers,can they actually hold it despite constant attacks?
^This. The Inca are now fully aware of Spanish capabilities and will be more than ready to meet them. The Spanish hold no hope of conquering large stretches of land now.
The Conquest of America was a low cost, high benefit endeavor for Spain. What they would do if they had to put a lot of funding into it……
No mention of cannons and paper? I was under the impression that it was the Spaniard's cannons that awed the Inca the most. Paper being overlooked for now makes sense though; the Inca traditionally did not immediately understand its utility when presented with a bible after all, and isn't something that's immediately useful towards their survival.
What are the chances of preemptive campaigns into more of the Colombian Andes by the Inca?
Cannons are in the same boat as guns and paper has yet to impress them.
Assuming they have a flotilla parked right off the coast, then they can hold it easily using cannons to bombard any army foolish enough to come into range. Though on the other hand, gorilla warfare would render such a tactic worthless.
Gorilla =/= South America.
This is the 1500s.Artillery's still ridiculously short ranged and inaccurate.A flotilla of ships is not going to be able to defend the entire Incan coast.You are also assuming that the Incans won't get their own artillery in time.Another thing is that the Spanish will have trouble getting to the Peruvian coast.They will have to rely heavily on ships operating out of the Mexican Pacific Coast.Most Spanish ships will be concentrated in the Atlantic fending off pirates later on.Another problem is that the Spanish simpy wouldn't be able to get enough ground forces.Most of the Spanish colonial armies during this period number 2000ish at most.Most of these troops were glory seekers(a.k.a conquistadors) who are only doing what they are doing because of potential wealth in loot and land.They are not going to get much of that if they are consistently repulsed by the much larger Incan armies.In fact,the chance of getting killed is now much higher than getting money and land.This means that not a lot of people will volunteer for this kind of venture and therefore the chance of getting much Spanish troops to attack the Incans is in doubt.The most they can do is go viking on the Incan coast.
Yep.
Why would they spend so much to transport, support, equip, and resupply the huge fleet required to do so for decades, when Spain is about to jump into war with England in relatively short time. With no escapees from Pizzaro's expidition, all the Spaniards would think of the inca would be primitive tribes.
Conquistadors were not unknown to disappearances.
...?
The Spanish don't have that kind of power projection yet, nor the resources to dedicate to such a useless endeavor. Once it becomes clear that they can't loot the Inca they'll back off and try to trade. In all likelihood, with little success.
Spain does have a lot on their plate.
Alright, I'm convinced that Spain wouldn't bother taking the coast for long, at best they'd hold it as a beachhead to assault the Inca, but once they realize they aren't succeeding they might give up. The reason I thought they'd keep it up is since they never really stopped in OTL until the whole of Central America and most of Southern America was under their control.
Certainly the other areas of America have become appealing.
Not to keep on questioning you here, but how exactly would they hold the coast from the Inca for longer than a few months? The best they could hope for would be a Morocco-like situation where they hold a few key coastal forts but are unable to push into the hinterland, except this hinterland is even more hostile to the Spanish in terms of terrain, plus a supply line many, many times larger than the one from Cadiz or Almeira to Melilla. Plus the big question of, how would they even construct these fortresses? They won't have access to the materials needed to construct such structures.
Not to mention, the Spanish aren't conquering the New World via a top-down approach, it's private individuals. These individuals won't see strategic interests of a Spanish state, especially as of the current TL year where Spanish Mexico is still a relatively new phenomenom. All they'll see is an absurdly difficult nut to crack, and this'll become more and more true over the years. The window for Spanish conquest is over and done with now in all likelihood.
True.
The Smallpox issue is a problem.
That could be interesting, having more local allies, could slower the spanish advance, until finally get in contact with the other european powersIt's possible that the smallpox epidemics, like the Plague in Europe, would lead to a lot of vacant land, which the Emperor could grant to various individuals in the empire. So if the Sapa Inca has a clear successor, preventing civil war, then central power could be preserved through the period of intermittent chaos.
In New Spain, the population continued to decline until the 1600s. So the Incas may have to ally with non-Spanish colonists--possibly Caribbean pirates--against the Spanish to retain their territory.
Once they have built up some basic "industry" and can build large ships, the Incas could also recruit Chichimeca from New Spain as mercenaries.