Suez is French.Note. I went back through and looked at only the postings that are excerpts from the book "Belgique Rouge".
What I think I put together is
1) The current crown prince of Belgium (the one sent to Mexico and then El Paso) will become king (Presumably Leopold IV) at some point between "now" and the middle of the CEW.
2) That the Author needs to make the decision (may have already made it) if the death of Leopold IV will be most similar to Louis XIV (Guillotine), Nicholas II (entire family sent to the middle of nowhere and then killed) or Mussolini (eventually hung Naked from a lamppost). The changes that Leopold IV will be King of the Belgians n 1924 are somewhere below the chance that will be President of the CSA.
3) Belgium will survive *mostly* because the French (while disagreeing with them on almost everything politically) will still see them as a useful buffer state relative to the Germans.
4) It will be interesting to see what happens to the Belgian Congo.
*Britain - *maybe*
*Germany - depends on how they view the value of the materials, as compared to the *dozen* or more other places they could take.
*Italy - *maybe* since the Ottomans are still in good shape (I'm not sure what the situation is iOTL Libya)
*Russia - Lacks even the religious ties that makes them help Ethiopia in some TL
*US - Not sure it wants another African distraction, Liberia is enough.
*Brazil - There are enough Portuguese speaking areas (Angola, Goa, East Timor) to focus on.
*Spain/Portugal - don't seem likely, both have small empires left and weren't really interested in Africa beyond the horizon iOTL
*Mexico, Ottomans, Japan, Sweden or one of the Balkan. I'm simply going to say that wierder things have happened, but can't really see the justification.
*Independent?????
(Also looking forward to who gains control of the Suez Canal, that's French, correct?)
Good post!