Hope, Change, and Nutmeg - A US political timeline

Part 0.1 - Point of Divergence

  • Hope, Change, and Nutmeg, 2006





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    Connecticut firmly Blue - Pundits predict Lieberman a safe bet for re-election in 2006.





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    Ned who? Greenwich businessman and selectman Ned Lamont announces campaign bid against Senator Lieberman in the Democratic primary.





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    Lamont attacks Lieberman; claims he is "George Bush's favorite Democrat."






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    Despite anti-war sentiment, Lieberman endorsed by Senator Obama at Jefferson Jackson Bailey dinner.

    Obama: "I am absolutely certain that Connecticut's going to have the good sense to send Joe Lieberman back to the United States Senate."










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    Lieberman still in driver's seat - May Quinnipiac poll shows him up 65-19 in primary, or 57-13-8 if he runs as an independent candidate.







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    Republicans nominate Derby Mayor Alan Schlesinger - considered likely to lose against Lieberman.








    Campaign heats up over summer. Ned Lamont runs attack ad - against himself! Claims he has a messy desk and makes bad coffee in a parody mocking Lieberman attacks.
    (Note: Click the image to see the actual campaign ad.)


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    Lieberman reruns updated 'bear' ad from 1988, compares Lamont to Lowell Weicker. Pundits very unimpressed.

    Latest polling numbers - it's Lieberman 55-40 according to Quinnipiac University





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    Lamont runs ads promising to endorse Lieberman if he loses the primary, calls upon the Senator to do the same. Lieberman refuses - considering an independent bid?







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    Lieberman collects signatures for independent run - wants to guarantee spot on November ballot if he loses the primary. Paperwork filed for new political party: "Connecticut for Lieberman"






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    Alan... Gold? Hartford Courant stuns with revelation that Republican Senate candidate gambled under an assumed name to avoid detection as a card counter, while still an elected official.



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    Republican Senate nominee Alan Schlesinger nudged to quit race by party elders. 2004 Senate nominee Jack Orchulli considered as replacement.







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    The Big Dog alert! Bill Clinton makes a July campaign appearance with Lieberman as his primary poll numbers sink. Lieberman supporters disappointed by lack of kiss.


    Latest Quinnipac poll numbers show Ned Lamont inches ahead in a 51-47 primary lead






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    Could a kiss and a vote sink a Senator? Lieberman struggles in the tide of anti-war sentiment. Polling for the election tomorrow finds Lamont up 51-45




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    It's Lamont by a hair in the primary! Greenwich businessman receives the Democratic nomination, edging out Lieberman by 8,000 votes.




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    Lieberman announces independent bid for Senate as the "Connecticut for Lieberman" nominee; fires campaign manager and spokesman in staff shakeup.




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    Schlesinger out - Orchulli in! Musical chairs in the Connecticut Senate race, as Republicans replace their Senate nominee


     
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    Part 0.2
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    Lamont gets support from Democratic establishment. 2004 VP candidate John Edwards was "first to call": stumps for Lamont and says "I do not think that Lieberman should be running."




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    Lieberman "Un-Democrated"

    The New Haven Independent:
    New Haven peace activists have successfully stripped Lieberman of his party affiliation. They point to Connecticut General Statute 9-61, which states "Knowingly becoming a candidate for office on ticket of a new party automatically separates voter from his former party." After a decision by local register Sharon Ferrucci and a meeting by the local party town committee, Lieberman was thus stripped of his status as a Democrat. The activists claimed that they were acting independently of the Lamont campaign.

    In a statement, the Lieberman campaign described the move as a “purge campaign launched by Ned Lamont’s supporters” constituting “dirty political tricks at its worst, ranking up there with the outrageous tactics that Katherine Harris and the Republicans used in 2000 in Florida to stop all the votes from being counted.”

    Reports indicate that local register Sharon Ferrucci had initially been reluctant to uphold the law, only acquiescing after considerable pressure from local activists and pro-Lamont officials, who pointed out that state regulators had already found her office in violation of state laws three times in running elections. For more information, see our previous story here.





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    Donors demand refund from Lieberman for spent campaign donations - say that they supported his bid as a Democrat, not as an independent.


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    Jack Orchulli: There are three candidates in this race!
    Businessman and Republican Senate nominee stumps furiously for votes in late-entry campaign, hoping to consolidate Republican support and squeeze by while Lamont and Lieberman split Democratic vote.


    Quinnipac poll (August 17): Lieberman still leads among likely Connecticut voters.
    Result is Lamont - 38, Orchulli - 8, Lieberman - 45. Lieberman beats Orchulli among Republican voters 56-24!




     
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    Part 0.3

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    Democrats split by Lieberman independent bid - some angry, some supportive








    David Brooks pens op-ed: characterizes Lamont as "net-root DeLay" and "hyper-partisan", claims and supports emergence of "the McCain-Lieberman Party."






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    Green Party Senate candidate Ralph Ferrucci considering talks with Lamont campaign for potential endorsement, wary of splitting anti-war vote






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    Chuck Roberts on CNN Headline News - says Lamont might be the "Al-Qaeda candidate"?!


    CNN Headline News anchor apologizes for referring to Lamont as “the al Qaeda candidate.”









    Lamont soft on terror? Vice President Cheney: Lamont's victory encourages "the al-Qaida types" who seeks to "break the will of the American people."





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    Lieberman hits Lamont on Iraq; says that withdrawal would be "taken as a tremendous victory" by terrorists.




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    Republican candidate Jack Orchulli stumps state for votes, as Lamont-Lieberman fight draws the attention
     
    Part 0.4

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    I'm sticking with Joe - Lieberman picks up big campaign donations across party lines
    Both Republicans and Democrats supporting him






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    Netroots are Lamont's secret weapon - army of grassroots supporters brought down a three-term Senator





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    Surprise Lieberman endorsement from.... Newt Gingrich?
    Lieberman "not going to accept or regret" Gingrich's support, says that Newt "doesn’t vote here."



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    Republican establishment and donors split - Orchulli struggles to consolidate right-wing support despite ad blitz.





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    Lamont hits Lieberman for not holding Bush accountable on Katrina

    Lamont: "It was Senator Lieberman who said, 'Let's put Michael Brown as No. 2 at FEMA.'"




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    AFSCME rescinds previous Lieberman endorsement, instead endorses Lamont!

    Labor support crucial for Lamont in general election






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    Pinched from left and right - Lieberman having trouble keeping support as Lamont, Orchulli gain.






    September 28 Quinnipiac poll results:
    Lamont: 36%, Lieberman: 39%, Orchulli: 15%

    Republicans: Lamont - 12, Orchulli - 40, Lieberman - 41
    Democrats: Lamont - 54, Lieberman - 37
    Independents: Lamont - 33, Orchulli - 12, Lieberman - 42

     
    Part 0.5

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    NRSC chairman says party is "firmly committed to Mr. Orchulli". Jack Orchulli is gaining in the polls - but fast enough to win?





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    Lamont slams Lieberman for creating a 'media spectacle' after the 1998 Lewinsky scandal.
    Lieberman responds by releasing 1998 email in which Lamont "reluctantly supported" Lieberman's actions.





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    John McCain says he's supporting Jack Orchulli for Senate in Connecticut.
    NYT: "However, McCain has ruled out campaigning with Mr. Orchulli. According to one adviser, his nominal support for the party candidate has more to do with wanting to avoid alienating conservatives, than with actually supporting Mr. Orchulli."





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    Mary Landrieu (D-LA) campaigns for Lieberman despite his primary loss. "Joe is the type of leader who can take us in a new direction."






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    Bloomberg sends troops to help Lieberman
    The NYC mayor has sent top-level campaign operatives to assist Lieberman's campaign identifying and turning out voters on the eve of the election


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    Lamont pivots back to Iraq war - intensifies anti-Lieberman attacks



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    Former NATO commander Wesley Clark appears in hard-hitting Lamont ad calling the Iraq War 'a mistake'




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    William F. Buckley refuses to say who he's voting for. "Lieberman or Orchulli, vote your conscience"




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    Jack Orchulli hits a ceiling? Despite rapid polling gains with a prolonged ad blitz, the Darien businessman can't break out of third place as the election rapidly approaches



    Pre-election polling:


    American Research Group (ARG), October 20:
    Lieberman - 37%, Lamont - 34%, Orchulli - 21%, Undecided/Other - 8%



    Rasmussen Reports, October 31
    Lieberman - 36% Lamont -38% Orchulli - 22%, Undecided/Other - 4%



    Zogby Interactive, October 31
    Lieberman - 29%, Lamont - 37%, Orchulli - 24%, Undecided/Other - 10%




    SurveyUSA (SUSA), November 1
    Lieberman - 34%, Lamont - 35%, Orchulli - 25%, Undecided/Other - 6%





    Research 2000, November 1
    Lieberman - 34%, Lamont - 36%, Orchulli -23%, Undecided/Other - 7%



    Quinnipiac, November 6
    Lieberman - 38%, Lamont - 36%, Orchulli - 20%, Undecided/Other - 6%



    RCP polling average
    Lieberman - 34.7%, Lamont - 36%, Orchulli - 22.5%



     
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    Part 0.6 - Election Night
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    Good evening, and welcome to CNN America Votes 2006. I'm Anderson Cooper, and besides me are Wolf Blitzer, Lou Dobbs, and Paula Zahn live from our studio in New York. For the last four years, Republicans have held both Houses of Congress, as well as most of the governorships, but Democrats think they have a good chance of coming up on top tonight. It's 7PM and polls have closed in Kentucky, Georgia, South Carolina, Vermont, and Virginia. We expected that they'd be closed in Indiana by now as well, but it sounds like the state is keeping them open a bit longer thanks to voting problems.

    We can start off by making a few projections here.

    CNN is ready to project that Bernie Sanders has been elected to the United States Senate from Vermont. Though this is technically an independent pickup, Sanders identifies as a "democratic-socialist", and is expected to caucus with the Democrats.

    We can also call that Republicans have held on to the governors mansions in Vermont, South Carolina, and Georgia. None of these were expected to be competitive before the election, and so no surprises here just yet.

    In the meantime, we'll be keeping an eye on the Virginia Senate, and a few key House races - Kentucky's 3rd and 4th districts, Georgia's 8th and 12th districts, and Virginia's 2nd district.






    One day later....​






    Senate race highlights:


    Arizona:


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    John Kyl (R): 819,467 (53.00%)
    Jim Pederson (D): 677,782 (43.84%)

    (Republican hold)



    Connecticut:
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    Ned Lamont (D): 431,240 (38.07%)
    Joe Lieberman (Connecticut for Lieberman): 398,884 (35.21%)
    Jack Orchulli (R): 291,426 (25.72%)
    (Democratic hold)




    Missouri:
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    Claire McCaskill (D): 1,082,501 (50.55%)
    Jim Talent (R): 992,432 (46.34%)
    (Democratic pickup)





    Montana:
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    Jon Tester (D): 206,297 (49.96%)
    Conrad Burns (R): 196,153 (47.50%)
    (Democratic pickup)





    Tennessee:
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    Bob Corker (R): 903,647 (49.36%)
    Harold Ford Jr (D): 903,222 (49.34%)

    (Uncalled - Recount?)



    Virginia:
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    Jim Webb (D): 1,179,897 (49.48%)
    George Allen (R): 1,176,146 (49.32%)
    (Uncalled - Recount?)

    Other Democratic pickups: Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island


    Overall Senate vote:
    Democrats: 34,017,747 (53.94%) - 22 seats (+4 gain)
    Republicans: 26,370,080 (41.81%) - 10 seats (-6 loss)
    Other: 2,683,214 (4.25%) - 1 seat (+1 gain)
    Uncalled - 2 seats
     
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    Part 0.7 - Governor race results
  • Gubernatorial election highlights:
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    Alaska
    Sarah Palin (R) - 50.16%
    Tony Knowles (D) - 39.04%
    (Republican hold)

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    Florida
    Charlie Crist (R) - 52.07%
    Jim Davis (D) - 45.23%
    (Republican hold)




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    Idaho
    Butch Otter (R) - 52.89%
    Jerry Brady (D) -43.91%
    (Republican hold)





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    Illinois
    Rod Blagojevich (D) - 48.21%
    Judy Topinka (R) - 40.89%
    Green Party/Write-ins - 10.90%
    (Democratic hold)



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    Maine
    John Baldacci (D) - 38.37%
    Chandler Woodcock (R) - 29.93%
    Other (Barbara Merrill, Pat LaMarche, etc.) - 31.70%
    (Democratic hold)


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    Minnesota
    Mike Hatch (D) - 47.57%
    Tim Pawlenty (R) - 44.83%
    (Democratic pickup)



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    Nevada
    Jim Gibbons (R) - 47.83%
    Dina Titus (D) - 43.97%
    (Republican hold)



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    Rhode Island
    Don Carcieri (R) - 52%
    Charles J. Fogerty (D) - 48%
    (Republican hold)


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    South Carolina
    Mark Sanford (R) - 53.6%
    Tommy Moore (D) - 46.28%
    (Republican hold)



    Other Democratic pickups: Arkansas, Colorado, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, Ohio


     
    Part 0.8 - House race results

  • House race highlights (Percentages are 2-way vote, excluding other parties/independents/writeins/etc.)

    AZ-05:
    Harry Mitchell (D) -103,416 (52.81%)
    J.D. Hayworth (R) - 92,425 (47.19%)
    (Democratic pickup)


    CA-04:
    John T. Dolittle (R) - 132,950 (51.57%)
    Charlie Brown (D) - 124,866 (48.43%)
    (Republican hold)


    CO-04:
    Marilyn N. Musgrave (R) - 112,662 (51.81%)
    Angie Paccione (D) - 104,779 (48.19%)
    (Republican hold)


    CT-02:
    Rob Simons (R) - 122,200 (50.09%)
    Joe Courtney (D) - 121,776 (49.91%)
    (Uncalled - recount!)


    CT-04:
    Chris Shays (R) -106,786 (52.13%)
    Diane Farrel (D) - 98,055 (47.87%)
    (Republican hold)

    FL-13:
    Christine Jennings (D) - 122,225 (50.67%)
    Vern Buchanan (R) - 118,998 (49.33%)
    (Democratic pickup)

    FL-16:
    Tim Mahoney (D) - 115,621 (51.16%)
    Mark Foley (R)* - 110,376 (48.84%)
    (Democratic pickup)
    *Mark Foley's resignation took place too late for his name to be removed from the ballot, but votes cast for him were counted for State Rep Joe Negron, who would have been elected had Foley won the election

    FL-22:
    Ron Klein (D) - 104,578 (50.87%)
    E. Clay Shaw (R) - 101,017 (49.13%)
    (Democratic pickup)

    GA-08:
    Jim Marshall (D) - 81,955 (51.18%)
    Mac Collins (R) -78,168 (48.82%)
    (Democratic hold)


    GA-12:
    Max Burns (R) -71,711 (50.40%)
    John Barrow (D) - 70,576 (49.60%)
    (Republican pickup)


    ID-01:
    Bill Sali (R) - 117,294 (53.04%)
    Larry Grant (D) - 103,854 (46.96%)
    (Republican hold)


    IL-06:
    Peter J. Roskam (R)- 91,847 (51.31%)
    Tammy L. Duckworth (D)- 87,163 (48.69%)
    (Republican hold)

    IN -02:
    Joe Donnelly (D)- 103,299 (52.95%)
    Chris Chocola (R)- 91,807 (47.95%)
    (Democratic pickup)


    IN - 09:
    Baron Hill (D)- 107,322 (51.83%)
    Michael E. Sodrel (R)- 99,752 (48.17%)
    (Democratic pickup)


    KS-02:
    Nancy Boyda (D)- 113,607 (51.46%)
    Jim Ryun (R)- 107,161 (48.54%)
    (Democratic pickup)

    KY-03:
    John Yarmuth (D)- 121,040 (51.55%)
    Anne Northup (R)- 113,774 (48.45%)
    (Democratic pickup)

    MI-07
    Tim Walberg (R) - 119,161 (51.35%)
    Sharon Reiner (D) -112,913 (48.65%)
    (Republican hold)

    MI-09
    Joe Knollenberg (R) - 140,078 (52.40%)
    Nancy Skinner (D) -127,224 (47.60%)
    (Republican hold)


    NC-08
    Larry Kissell (D) -60,663 (50.48%)
    Robin Hayes (R) - 59,514 (49.52%)
    (Democratic pickup)


    NH-01
    Carol Shea-Porter (D) -102,909 (52.15%)
    Jeb Bradley (R) -94,442 (47.85%)
    (Democratic pickup)


    NH-02
    Paul Hodes (D) -104,384 (52.74%)
    Charles Bass (R) -93,531 (47.26%)
    (Democratic pickup)

    NJ-07
    Linda Stender (D) - 95,773 (50.15%)
    Mike Ferguson (R) - 95,205 (49.85%)
    (Uncalled - recount?)


    NM-01
    Patricia Madrid (D) - 105,846 (50.02%)
    Heather Wilson (R) -105,756 (49.98%)
    (Recount!)


    NV - 02
    Dean Heller (R) -117,194 (52.58%)
    Jill Derby (D) - 105,675 (47.42%)
    (Republican hold)


    NV -03
    Jon Porter (R) - 97,782 (50.01%)
    Tessa Hafen (D) - 97,742 (49.99%)
    (Recount!)



    NY-03
    Peter King (R) -85,743 (52.84%)
    David Mejias (D) -76,524 (47.16%)
    (Republican hold)


    NY-25
    Dan Maffei (D) - 100,700 (53.15%)
    James T. Walsh (R) - 88,780 (46.85%)
    (Democratic pickup)

    NY-26
    Thomas M. Reynolds (R) - 94,810 (52.97%)
    Jack Davis (D)- 84,184 (47.03%)
    (Republican hold)

    NY-29
    Eric Massa (D) - 94,056 (50.75%)
    John Randy Kuhl Jr (R) - 91,291 (49.25%)
    (Democratic pickup)

    OH-01
    Steve Chabot (R) -105,452 (51.81%)
    John Cranley (D) - 98,079 (48.19%)
    (Republican hold)

    OH-02
    Victoria Wells Wulsin (D) - 120,093 (50.25%)
    Jean Schmidt (R) -118,902 (49.75%)
    (Uncalled - recount?)


    OH-15
    Mary Jo Kilroy (D) - 112,541 (50.02%)
    Deborah Pryce (R) -112,462 (49.98%)
    (Uncalled - recount!)

    PA-04
    Jason Altmire (D) - 130,818 (52.62%)
    Melissa Hart - 117,790 (47.38%)
    (Democratic pickup)

    PA-06
    Jim Gerlach (R) -119,899 (50.25%)
    Lois Murphy (D) - 118,691 (49.75%)
    (Uncalled - recount?)


    PA-08
    Patrick Murphy (D) -122,991 (50.41%)
    Michael Fitzpatrick (R)- 120,967 (49.59%)
    (Democratic pickup)


    VA-02
    Thelma Drake (R) - 89,713 (51.90%)
    Philip Kellam (D) -83,136 (48.10%)
    (Republican hold)

    WA-08
    Dave Reichert (R) - 125,474 (50.82%)
    Dacy Burner (D) -121,428 (49.18%)
    (Republican hold)



    WI - 08:
    Steven L. Kagen (D) -142,040 (51.54%)
    John Gard (R) - 133,512 (48.46%)
    (Democratic pickup)


    WY-AL
    Gary Trauner (D) -93,840 (50.86%)
    Barbara Cubin (R) - 90,682 (49.15%)
    (Democratic pickup)


    Total seat changes:

    1 Republican pickup (GA-08)
    1 Independent loss (VT-AL)
    35 Democratic pickups (too many to list)
    7 Republican-held seats awaiting potential recounts (4 with Democrats leading, 3 with Republicans leading)
    1 Democratic-held seat awaiting runoff (LA-02) between two Democratic candidates
    1 Republican-held seat awaiting runoff (TX-23) between a Republican and a Democrat
     
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    Part 0.9 - The Aftermath

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    Anti-Iraq wave sweeps Republicans out, Democrats in
    Democrats have picked up at least six seats in the Senate following the concession of Senator Allen (R-VA), winning control of the Senate. A potential seventh pickup - Tennessee, where Democrat Harold Ford Jr. is narrowly behind, is currently pending for a recount.
    In the House, Democrats have picked up at least 30 seats, winning definitive control of the legislature in a rebuke to President Bush. The tidal wave swept out Republicans in territory as deep-red as Wyoming, Vice President Cheney's old stomping grounds.


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    Rebuke to Vice President Cheney?
    Deep-red Wyoming sends Democrat Gary Trauner to the House!

    The defeated incumbent, Barbara Lynn Cubin (R-WY) was unpopular, known primarily for gaffes and improper language, most notably when she infamously distributed (but did not bake, she later insisted) penis-shaped cookies to her state legislature colleagues





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    Liberal physician defeats incumbent Jean Schmidt in blood-red OH-02
    Stretching along the Ohio River in southwestern Ohio, the 2nd Congressional district is deep-red, voting for President Bush by a 64-36% margin two years ago. You certainly wouldn't expect it to elect a Democrat anytime soon. But yet, that just happened, and not just any Democrat, but Victoria Wells Wulsin - a doctor from Indian Hills who ran on a proudly liberal platform including support of gay marriage, a pro-choice vision, opposition to the Iraq War, and repeal of the Bush tax cuts. All issues one would expect to be deeply unpopular in this socially conservative district.


    Though certainly a strong rebuke to the President, one should also keep in mind the unique weaknesses of her opponent, incumbent Jean Schmidt. Ms. Schmidt was elected just last year in a squeaker over Iraq veteran Paul Hackett. Since then, she's earned the nickname of "Mean Jean" after she assailed Vietnam veteran Rep. John P. Murtha (D-PA) with the words "cowards cut and run, Marines never do." Also notable were issues where she falsely claimed on her campaign site to be endorsed by Rep Tom Tancredo and the Family Research Council. Earlier this year, she was reprimanded by the Ohio Elections Committee for "false statements "and "reckless disregard for truth" by claiming incorrectly to have an undergraduate degree from the University of Cincinnati that she was not in fact awarded. Ms. Schmidt insisted the error was a mistake by her staff.


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    Recounts could decide the fate of several crucial races

    Following the concession speechs of Ohio representative Jean Schmidt (R, OH-02) and Democratic challenger Lois Murphy in Pennsylvania's 6th Congressional district, election officials face recounts in 6 crucial races across the nation: Tennessee's Senate race, Connecticut's 2nd Congressional District, New Jersey's 7th Congressional District, New Mexico's 1st Congressional District, Nevada's 3rd Congressional District, and Ohio's 15th district. Although control of the House and Senate is now firmly in Democratic hands, the results of these races could give them greater power to challenge President Bush's policy aims



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    Runoff date for Texas's 23rd district set to December 12th
    It's a long sequence of political manuevering that set the stage for a runoff election for Texas's 23rd Congressional District.

    After the controversial 2003 mid-decade Texas redistricting, Republicans decided to shore up incumbent Henry Bonilla in this Latino-heavy district, removing most of Laredo into the 28th district instead. Bonilla promptly won re-election in 2004 with almost 70% of the vote.

    The US Supreme Court didn't look kindly on this behavior, however. In the ruling of League of United Latin American Citizens v. Perry earlier this year, they decided that the change of the 23rd district violated the Voting Rights Act of 1965 through the destruction of a protected majority-Hispanic district, thereby violating the rights of Hispanic voters. In August, a court-drawn map was hastily issued, but it was too late to hold a proper primary in addition to the general election.

    As a result, an all-candidate primary was held on Election Day earlier this week, with incumbent Henry Bonilla winning 48.6% and six Democrats combining for slightly more - 48.7%. The second-place winner, former Congressman Ciro Rodriguez, will face Bonilla in a runoff election, now decided for December 12th.

    This date has already proved controversial, with Rodriguez and supporters releasing objections and pondering a legal challenge. The crux of the issue is that December 12th is also the Day of the Virgin of Guadalupe, a popular Catholic holiday, especially among Latinos, who expect to spend it in public fiestas and religious celebration. As such, Demorats have alleged that the date was selected in order to suppress the pro-Democrat Latino vote. According to Rodriguez, "This is yet another coordinated Republican scheme to manipulate the electoral process in order to limit voter participation." But Perry spokeswoman Kathy Walt contended the governor had simply complied with the court order that set up the 23rd District’s special election.


     
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    Part 0.10 - NH-01 vignette
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    People power brings Carol Shea-Porter into the House
    Nobody expected it. Nobody called it. According to pundits, New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District was solidly Republican. The pollsters thought they'd confirmed it - Jeb Bradley would win election yet again with double digits. The most cautious of the prognostics came from Larry Sabato, who settled for "Likely Republican" and proclaimed that "National Democrats stopped paying attention to this district when their favored candidate lost the primary. We expect Bradley to survive the Democratic wave in the Northeast." The level to which election analysts ignored the grassroots Shea-Porter is exemplified by Sabato's forecast where he mangled her name, instead proclaiming "Rep. Jeb Bradley (R) will win reelection over Carol Porter-Shea (D)." (sic) On election night, DCCC communications director Bill Burton responded to news of her victory with complete incredulity: "Congresswoman Shea-Porter? What the fuck?"

    Carol Shea-Porter, a political newcomer and social worker from Rochester, certainly pulled off the upset without help from party leaders. In fact, this is the second upset she's pulled off this year - in September, she faced state House Democratic leader Jim Craig in the Democratic primary. Although she was outspent six to one by an opponent who received the endorsement of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and enjoyed the support of party leaders, Shea-Porter won a startling easy 54-34 victory in the primary thanks to grassroots support and anti-war feeling. She ran on a left-wing platform - timeline for withdrawal from Iraq, extending Medicare for all Americans, repealing the Bush tax cuts, and a new federal department for alternative energy sources.

    The day after her victory, Jeb Bradley called her views "extreme." He pointed to a incident where Porter had once been escorted out of a Portsmouth event featuring President Bush while wearing a T-shirt protesting his re-election. He slammed her policies, claiming that they would lead to higher taxes. The district was the only one in New England carried by President Bush in 2004, and no woman had ever been elected to Congress from New Hampshire before; Bradley outspent her three to one and expected an easy victory. And yet, it is Shea-Porter who will be entering the hallowed halls of the US Capital next year - not Bradley. It's the support from her army of volunteers hundreds-strong that let her triumph with an insurgent campaign on a shoe-string budget. Perhaps no politician this year has better exemplified the famous quote from Mahatma Gandhi: “First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.”
     
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    Part 0.11 - New CFL Chairman

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    Wind CEO Jerry McNerney defeats 7-term Rep Richard Pombo
    McNerney was elected in the Republican leaning 11th district of California, which voted 54-45 Bush two years ago. He enjoyed the strong support and endorsement of former Republican Congressman Pete McCloskey (best known for challenging Richard Nixon in 1972) who ran against Pombo for the Republican nomination. McCloskey won 31% of the Republican primary vote in a spirited campaign focusing on anti-war, ethics, and environmental themes, despite being out of office since the early 1980s.


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    Unity08 makes first electoral debut
    Earlier this week, voters in Minnesota's 8th congressional district saw three choices on the ballot: In addition to 16-term Rep Jim Oberstar (DFL) and former Senator Rod Grams (R), voters also had the choice of Harry Welty - a former Duluth school board chair who ran on the Unity ticket, inspired by the Unity08 organization. Founded earlier this year, Unity08 is a non-profit organization supported by a bipartisan group of public figures - Democrats Hamilton Jordan and Gerald Rafshoon, Republican Doug Bailey, and former Maine governor Angus King, who served as an Independent. Unity08's leaders state that they created the group in response to the growing polarization between Republicans and Democrats, and seek to leverage online technology to allow independent American voters to connect and launch a bipartisan presidential ticket in 2008. Potential candidates for the Unity08 ticket are rumored to include New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg, Senator Chuck Hagel (R-NE), and former Senator Sam Nunn (D-GA).

    Their first electoral debut, however, was unsurprisingly poor seeing how Welty had little to no help from the rest of the organization. He placed third with only 2% of the vote. The other challenger didn't do much better: despite his statewide profile and time in Congress, former Senator Grams made a shockingly poor showing, managing only 33% of the vote.




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    Arizona first state to defeat anti-gay marriage amendment!
    State election officials have certified that Proposition 107, which sought to amend the Arizona constitution and prohibit the state from recognizing same-sex marriages and civil unions, was defeated by a margin of 52-48%. This marks the first time that a constitutional amendment against same-sex marriage has been defeated by popular vote.

    Previous states that passed anti-gay marriage constitutional amendments by referendum are Alaska (1998), Hawaii (1998), Nebraska (2000), Nevada (2002), Arkansas (2004), Georgia (2004), Kentucky (2004), Louisiana (2004), Mississippi (2004), Missouri (2004), Michigan (2004), Montana (2004), North Dakota (2004), Ohio (2004), Oklahoma (2004), Oregon (2004), Utah (2004), Texas (2005), and Kansas (2005.) Before this year, the closest of the votes occurred in Oregon, where the amendment passed with 57% of the vote.

    Gay marriage supporters should not rejoice too quickly, however. 8 other states passed similar referendums against same-sex unions this year; the closest of these took place in South Dakota, where Amendment C was approved by a narrow 51% of the vote.



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    The end of an era - Lieberman rejected at polls once again
    Though he ran on the Democratic ticket for Vice President in 2000, voters soured on Lieberman due to his support of the Iraq war and other Bush administration policies. Even creating a political party of his own - Connecticut for Lieberman - was not enough to save him in the general. Election officials have certified that the third-term Senator fell short to Greenwich businessman Ned Lamont by more than 30,000 votes.





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    Truly a party of one - even Connecticut for Lieberman rejects Joe Lieberman!
    Below are excerpts from a press release published by John Orman, chair of the Connecticut for Lieberman Party. Mr. Orman is a political scientist at Fairfield University, and was previously known for being a fierce anti-war critic of Senator Lieberman.
    Excerpt from CFL Press Release said:
    Orman Elected New Chair of Connecticut for Lieberman Party

    I called the Secretary of State's Office in Connecticut to find out how many people joined the Connecticut for Lieberman Party and I was told that no one had joined, not even Senator Joe Lieberman. I went down to Trumbull town hall and changed my registration to the Connecticut for Lieberman Party. Then I went home and called a meeting of all the registered Connecticut for Lieberman members to reflect on our party's narrow loss in the U.S. Senate race with Senator Joseph Lieberman. Senator Lieberman did not attend the organizational meeting for Connecticut for Lieberman because he no longer wants to be labeled as a member of the party.

    Excerpt from CFL Press Release said:
    At the first meeting I nominated myself to be party chair for Connecticut for Lieberman. I seconded my own nomination and then I voted for myself. I was selected unanimously as Chair of Connecticut for Lieberman on November 15, 2006.

    These new rules were adopted:
    1. This party is open to every citizen who wants to keep Senator Joseph Lieberman accountable. It is open to critics, opponents, bloggers and everyone else who will work to provide citizen oversight for Lieberman's actions, words and deeds over the next six years.
    2. The chair of the party shall be elected for a period of six years, or until Lieberman decides to run again.

    Excerpt from CFL Press Release said:
    New Connecticut for Lieberman Rules:

    a. If you run under Connecticut for Lieberman, you must actually join our party.
    b. The party will nominate people for office who have the last name of Lieberman and/or who are critics and opponents of Senator Lieberman.
    c. If any CFL candidate loses our party's nomination in a primary, that candidate must bolt our party, form a new party and work to defeat our party endorsed candidate.
    d. We in the CFL intend to run the same candidate for three different jobs at the same time, ie. House, Senate and Governor.


    Sincerely

    Dr. John Orman
    Chair, Connecticut for Lieberman


    Senator Lieberman has refused comment on the new developments in the party he founded.

     
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    Part 0.12 - Election season continues

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    More votes trickle in before Tennessee recount
    New tally is Corker - 904,100; Ford - 903,663



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    Harold Ford Jr defends decision to seek a recount on Meet the Press: "Let's just go through to make sure the votes were properly counted and nothing has been missed."
    Republicans slam Ford as a 'sore loser' for requesting the recount.





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    ES&S iVotronic 8.0.1.2 machines centerpiece of recount controversy

    Significant undervoting in Democratic-leaning Shelby and Davidson counties (Memphis and Nashville) draw attention - tens of thousands voted in the Governors race, but did not vote for Senate. Will Ford launch a lawsuit?

    Most counties in Tennessee use only direct-recording electronic machines without a voter-verified paper audit trail. This means that for almost all votes cast in Tennesse, only an electronic review and retabulation can be conducted, and there's no way to do a proper recount.

    According to voting activist Bernard Ellis, "In Tennessee, 93 of our 95 counties use nonverifiable, paperless touch-screen voting machines. Last week, over one in every six Tennessee counties reported problems with this equipment. Our state is not alone, but (sadly) it is now one of the worst states for voting security and accountability in this nation."




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    Recounts starting smoothly in Ohio's 15th district, other Congressional districts around the country.



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    Poll finds Henry Bonilla leading in runoff election​
    In Texas's 23rd Congressional District, incumbent Republican Henry Bonilla appears to edge Democrat Ciro Rodriguez, 53% to 46%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WOAI-TV San Antonio. Democrats have targeted the seat, hoping to make additional gains after their shellacking of House Republicans two weeks ago.

    Still, veteran political observers believe that the edge lies with incumbent Henry Bonilla, who enjoys a massive cash advantage with challenger Ciro Rodriguez's campaign heavily in debt. The DCCC has began making significant independent expenditures in campaign, totaling $400,000 thus far in ad production, media buys, and direct mailing. But it's unclear if they can close the gap with Bonilla's superior organization, popular support, and financial base.

    Further compounding issues for Mr. Rodriguez is the fact that the runoff date is December 12th, coinciding with the Day of Our Lady of Guadalupe, one of the most important dates in the Mexican calendar. Most of Rodriguez's supporters would thus be celebrating in church or at home - drawing them to the polls may be difficult as a result.


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    Karen Carter Peterson believed likely to win in LA-02
    The state representative will face eight-term representative William J. Jefferson in the runoff election. Jefferson is currently being investigated by the FBI on corruption charges, and was reportedly videotaped receiving $100,000 in a leather briefcase at the Ritz-Carlton hotel. He has also been reportedly implicated in corruption schemes involving an internet company in Nigeria.

    Jefferson has often reminded voters about the universal presumption of innocence in his campaign for re-election, pointing out that he has not been charged with a crime and questioning the motives of prosecutors.



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    Sheriff Harry Lee blasts Karen Carter, spends own money on anti-Carter campaign
    The legendary Jefferson Parish sheriff has excoriated state Rep. Karen Carter, spending $14,000 of his own campaign money on anti-Carter mailings. Not content with that, he then held press conferences for the media to personally expound on his "utter contempt" for the candidate with a profanity-laden rant.

    Carter has criticized the Jefferson Parish deputies for preventing residents from fleeing New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina. She labeled the actions by law enforcement officers "disheartening and unacceptable" and called for the police involved to be "reprimanded accordingly." The situation had a racial undertone as well - Jefferson Parish is largely white (Sheriff Lee is Chinese) whereas Orleans Parish is mostly black.

    Sheriff Lee responded with anger: "She made us look like we're a bunch of yahoos down here, a bunch of racists." He says that he will make sure that Jefferson Parish voters vote against Carter. "They will vote for [Rep] Jefferson or they will stay home," Lee said. He also pointed to Carter's abortion-rights and pro-gay marriage stances as views most of the parish residents do not support.

    Conventional wisdom is that Carter is favored by white voters upset by Rep Jefferson's corruption, but this development could throw a new twist into the race. Rep Carter has stood by her remarks in response to the criticism.


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    Karen Carter Peterson goes all-in, slams Harry Lee while campaigning in Orleans Parish.
    Black supporters of Rep Jefferson angered to learn Harry Lee supporting Jefferson in the race, demand he deny the Sheriff's support and repudiate Lee's comments.
     
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    Part 0.13: Recounts and coin flips

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    Connecticut: Courtney concedes in CT-02, will not request a recount
    Warren Stewart, VoteTrust USA: Ending over a week of speculation, Democratic challenger Joseph Courtney has conceded defeat and will not ask for a further recount of his 434 vote loss to Joe Courtney. The deadline to file legal challenges is Tuesday. State Democratic leaders say they have uncovered a number of voting "irregularities" and may pursue their own elections complaints, but will respect and support Courtney's decision not to legally contest the outcome. Rumor has it that Courtney intends to seek a rematch in 2008, and thus wishes to avoid being perceived as a sore loser.

    In related election news, CT Secretary of the State Susan Bysiewicz announced Wednesday that a 20% audit in 17 voting precincts will be conducted Nov. 22 to 28. This audit will not include precincts in the Second District. The audit, which will be overseen by the secretary's office and by the University of Connecticut computer science department, will involve a hand count of every paper ballot fed into the Diebold AccuVote optical-scan machines that counted votes on Election Day.


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    Linda Stender keeps lead in New Jersey recount
    As the standard voting system in New Jersey consists of direct-recording electronic machines without a voter-verified paper audit trail, only an electronic review of initial returns was possible for most votes cast throughout the state. This review found no irregularities. A hand recount was initiated among absentee ballots and provisional votes and resulted in a gain of 54 votes for Democrat Stender, and a gain of 122 votes for incumbent Republican Mike Ferguson, narrowing the margin but insufficient to change the overall result.

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    Heather Wilson comes up short in recount - Patricia Madrid elected
    New Mexico uses only paper ballots that are tabulated by optical scanners. Candidates or voters initiating a recount may request either a recount conducted by hand or a retabulation conducted by machine, referred to in New Mexico as a “recheck.” Heather Wilson, the Republican incumbent, requested a hand recount which duly proceeded. Election officials have certified a new vote tally of 105,968 votes for state Attorney General Patricia Madrid, and 105,912 votes for Rep Wilson.

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    Recount finds new winner in Nevada's 3rd district:
    Tessa Hafen elected to Congress!

    Nevada uses direct-recording electronic voting machines with a voter-verified paper audit trail in its elections. Although a hand recount of 5% of the precincts selected by challenger Tessa Hafen did not find any significant discrepancies, a hand recount of absentee and provisional ballot saw the acceptance of over a hundred improperly rejected votes, resulting in a gain of 129 votes for Democrat Tessa Hafen, and 62 votes for two-term Republican incumbent Jon Porter. As a result, Tessa Hafen has been certified as the winner of the election by a 27-vote margin.


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    Ohio recount results in tied election!
    After a recount of votes in Ohio's 15th district turned up several 'forgotten' precincts in rural Madison and Union counties which election officials had mistakenly neglected to include in the results, state election officials have certified that the incumbent Deborah Pryce (R) has received 112,670 votes. The challenger, Franklin County Commissioner Mary Jo Kilroy (D) has also received 112,670 votes.

    Pursuant to the Ohio Revised Code, Title 35, Chapter 3505.33, "When the board of elections has completed the canvass of the election returns from the precincts in its county, in which electors were entitled to vote at any general or special election, it shall determine and declare the results of the elections determined by the electors of such county or of a district or subdivision within such county. If more than the number of candidates to be elected to an office received the largest and an equal number of votes, such tie shall be resolved by lot by the chairman of the board in the presence of a majority of the members of the board." As such, it appears that the next Congresswoman representing the citizens of Ohio's 15th Congressional District shall be selected by lot.



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    Conservatives denounce "public gambling" in Ohio's 15th District
    Although candidates Deborah Pryce and Mary Jo Kilroy have agreed on a public coin flip as the method of resolving the election by lot, some social conservatives have denounced the decision as "public gambling."

    Motivated by anti-gambling concerns, they point to Ohio's Revised Code, Title 29, Chapter 2915.04, which states "No person, while at a hotel, restaurant, tavern, store, arena, hall, or other place of public accommodation, business, amusement, or resort shall make a bet or play any game of chance or scheme of chance.... Whoever violates this section is guilty of public gaming. Except as otherwise provided in this division, public gaming is a minor misdemeanor. If the offender previously has been convicted of any gambling offense, public gaming is a misdemeanor of the fourth degree." They claim that an election board counts as a 'public accommodation', and that the event will set a bad example to children.


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    Tennessee review finds narrowed margin, but Harold Ford Jr still comes up short
    A review of electronic votes and recount of paper ballots (primarily absentee ballots and provisional votes) resulted in a gain of 1,048 votes for Harold Ford Jr (D), and 624 votes for his opponent Bob Corker Jr. The tally is now 904,724 for Mr. Corker and 904,711 for Mr. Ford - a margin of only 13 votes. The ball is now in Mr. Ford's court as to whether he wishes to pursue legal action over what state Democrats call "worrying irregularities" with undervotes on ES&S iVotronic voting machines in Davidson and Shelby counties. If he decides against, Mr. Corker shall be the next U.S. Senator from the state of Tennessee.


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    Democrat Ciro Rodriguez elected in surprise 56-44 blowout
    Election observers in Texas's 23rd district expected incumbent Henry Bonilla to triumph in the low-turnout runoff with the advantages of incumbency, and the political machine that he'd built. At best, they expected Rodriguez to make it a close race. Even Democratic operatives were surprised to learn that they had not just won the election, but done so comprehensively by double digits.

    In retrospect, the decision by state Republicans to schedule the runoff on December 12 - the Feast of Our Lady of Guadalupe, a day of worship and celebration for many Latinos - appears to have contributed to the margin of Rodriguez's victory. According to a veteran GOP operative who insisted on remaining anonymous, "The state scheduled the election for December 12 since we thought that Hispanics would be too busy worshiping at church to have time to vote. In retrospect, we forgot to consider that many churches double as polling places."

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    Karen Carter Peterson elected in narrow polarized victory
    Election results by parish:

    Jefferson Parish (100/100 precincts reporting):
    Karen Carter Peterson - 3,066 (20.38%), William J. Jefferson - 11,982 (79.62%)

    Orleans Parish (392/392 precincts reporting):
    Karen Carter Peterson - 31,297 (59.41%), William J. Jefferson - 21,386 (40.59%)

    Total: Karen Carter Peterson - 34,363 (50.73%), William J. Jefferson - 33,368 (49.27%)


    Disgraced eight-term Representative William J. Jefferson lost his re-election bid, rejected by voters at the polls yesterday. Contrary to expectation, the election remained a tight-fought race to the end, and Jefferson nearly pulled it off with overwhelming support from white voters in Jefferson Parish, thanks to Sheriff Harry Lee's barrage of criticism of Jefferson opponent Karen Carter Peterson. However, his remarks appear to have also created a backlash in the larger Orleans Parish among Jefferson's black voter base, enough for Peterson to clinch a majority.

    The root of the disagreement lies in an incident last year during Hurricane Katrina, when Jefferson Parish police forcibly stopped a crowd of predominately black storm victims from escaping downtown New Orleans after being stranded there for days. The cops fired warning shots over the heads of the crowd, preventing them from seeking refuge. Carter Peterson repudiated and criticized the Jefferson police's actions, causing Harry Lee to launch a diatribe against her.


     
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    Part 0.15 - Election wrap-up
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    Kilroy triumphs in coin toss
    Democrat Mary Jo Kilroy has defeated Deborah Pryce in the coin-toss decided election



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    Harold Ford Jr decides against contesting election
    Rumor has it that he plans to run again in two years and doesn't want to be perceived as a sore loser.


    Map of 2006 election results below (top: Senate, center: Governors, down: House.) Light blue corresponds to Democratic pickups; light red to the singular Republican pickup, while yellow is Independent (Bernie Sanders in Vermont.)

    2006 election results:
    Senate seats: 6 Democratic gains.
    Gubernatorial elections: 7 Democratic gains
    House elections:
    40 Democratic gains (39 from Republicans, 1 from a Democratic-caucusing Independent)
    1 Republican gain
    Net: +39 Democratic gains

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    Part 0.16 - Tennessee Blues
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    Netroots cry foul over Harold Ford Jr concession
    They point to mathematical discrepancies in undervoting between Shelby and Davidson Counties and surrounding counties. One analysis posted on the liberal Dailykos website compares undervotes between the two different types of early voting in Shelby County. In mail-based early voting with optical scan paper ballots, undervotes were about 2.4% of the total vote, according to the Dailykos analysis. In contrast, the analysis claims that in-person early votes, which used ES&S iVotronic touchscreens, saw a 18.5% undervote tally. It further states that overall Shelby country undervotes tallied slightly above 15%, similar to Davidson county - and more than six times the undervote rate in surrounding Tennessee counties.

    The analysis claims that this is proof that at least tens of thousands of Tennessee voters lost their constitutional rights due to machine malfunction. As such, some liberal bloggers have called upon the now Democrat-controlled Senate to refuse to seat Senator-elect Corker, instead voiding the election results and calling for a new election.


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    TACIR to consider paper ballot question
    The TN Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations(TACIR), a permanent nonpartisan body created in 1978 by the TN General Assembly, will begin a study of Tennessee's current electronic touchscreen method and whether the adoption of paper records would improve the integrity of the election process. They point to a recent outpouring of emails and messages received from Tennessee voters over the past few weeks as influencing their decision to begin this investigation. The result of the commission will be non-binding, but due to its nonpartisan nature would likely have considerable influence over the state legislature.

    This decision has already been applauded by several Tennessee state legislators, including Sen. Joe Haynes, D-Goodlettsville. According to Sen. Haynes, "I trust the Commission will do a good job," he said. "This is long overdue and I think it's a vote of confidence issue."
     
    Part 0.17 - Election aftermath

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    Andrew Sullivan bemoans Lieberman loss, proposes McCain-Lieberman Party
    Sullivan: "Now that the Democratic left has ejected Lieberman, what then if in the Republican primaries, the religious right rejects McCain? Both are too centrist for their party’s base. Both can reach out to the disenchanted in both parties and maybe form a new movement of the centre: a Ross Perot-style movement without Perot’s lunacy."






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    David Brooks celebrates victory of the middle in midterm election
    In his post-election column for the New York Times, Mr. Brooks celebrated what he characterized as a victory of angry moderates in American politics. He claims that "voters kicked out Republicans but did not swing to the left. For the most part they exchanged moderate Republicans for conservative Democrats", pointing to the victory of conservative Democrats such as Senators-elect Bob Casey Jr and Jim Webb, and the re-election of moderate Republicans such as Chris Shays and Arnold Schwarzenegger.

    Brooks also points out that despite the electoral defeat of Joseph Lieberman, the election was decided by plurality vote, and Lieberman would likely have been the Condorcet winner of the election - a political theory term referring to the candidate (if any) who would win by majority vote in all possible pairings against other candidates. But due to the first-past-the-post nature of the US political system, extreme voices unfairly triumphed, resulting in the election of Ned Lamont to the US Senate.






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    Fox News hires Joseph Lieberman
    Former Senator Joseph Lieberman, the Democratic nominee for Vice President in 2000, has signed up as an analyst for Fox News. He will debut on the O'Reilly factor next month, starting January 16th.

    Lieberman lost his Senate seat last month after losing the Democratic primary to Ned Lamont, and then losing once again in a three-way general election with Mr. Lamont and Republican nominee Jack Orchulli.





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    Speaker Hastert upset over scale of Democratic victory, considering exit to politics.
    Despite being re-elected by a comfortable double-digit margin last month, the Speaker of the House saw his own party lose control of both the Senate and the House. Rep Hastert has also been dogged by accusations over his role in covering up the Mark Foley sex scandal, and public polling has consistently shown that many Americans wish for him to resign. Our sources indicate that Hastert will not run for the post of House Minority Leader, leaving current House Majority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) likely to take that position. Furthermore, those same sources suggest that Hastert may be planning to retire early from politics, before the end of this new term.
     
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    Part 1.1 - Legislative overview

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    Congressional Democrats pass most parts of "100-Hour Plan"
    Key tenets include a raise of the minimum wage to $7.25/hr, enacting the recommendations of the 9/11 commission, and curbing lobbyist influence.




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    Lieberman refuses to rule out future political runs
    The former Senator from Connecticut has became more popular with moderates and conservatives since losing the election and moderating his political views. Most recently, he published an op-ed arguing that abortion laws should be re-examined because medical advancements have lengthened the window of when a fetus is viable. He's also been known for his religious advocacy as an observant Jew, arguing that there exists "a constitutional place for faith in our public life", and that the Constitution does not provide for "freedom from religion." Rumor is it that he's considering a national bid in 2008





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    Controversial Protect America Act passes House
    The bill, which removes warrant requirements for certain government surveillance targets, passed the House of Representatives in a vote of 219-191, with 40 Democrats and 179 Republicans voting yea. Speaker Nancy Pelosi was among the opponents.





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    Cloture vote on Medicare negotiation fails in Senate
    Senate Republicans successfully blocked a proposal to allow Medicare to negotiate lower drug prices for millions of older Americans, a practice now forbidden by law. This follows an earlier success for Senate Republicans, when they also blocked an attempt by Senate Democrats to cut interest rates on need-based Stafford student loans. Both proposals had earlier passed in the House.






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    Employee Free Choice Act fails in Senate
    A cloture attempt for the pro-union legislation failed with only 51 votes out of the 60 necessary.






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    Filibuster threats skyrocket as Senate blocks legislation
    Congressional Democrats are reportedly upset by what they call "unprecedented" obstructionism by Senate Republicans, despite a landslide victory for Democrats in recent elections.






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    Congress passes Water Resources Development Act, overturns President Bush's veto!
    Senate Majority Leader Reid: "Now that we've overrode this irresponsible veto, perhaps the president will finally recognize that Congress is an equal branch of government and reconsider his many other reckless veto threats.”

    The vote tally was 361-54 in the House and 79-14 in the Senate







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    Immigration reform fails in Senate
    Despite bipartisan support, the bill failed a series of cloture votes thanks to opposition from left-wing Democrats who claimed it would be too friendly to business interests. The final cloture effort received only 46 votes.






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    Senate blocks DC Voting Rights Act
    Proponents proposed to balance the creation of a DC House Seat by adding a House Seat to Republican-friendly Utah. But this failed to win enough support for the bill to pass cloture.







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    President Bush signs Energy Independence and Security Act into law
    The key piece of legislation championed by Congressional Democrats had earlier passed the House and Senate. An especially controversial part was the repeal of $32 billion in tax breaks for the oil and gas industries. Thanks to the controversy, the bill only survived a Senate filibuster attempt with 61 votes after the return of presidential candidate Senators Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Chris Dodd, Joseph Biden, and John McCain. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) was reportedly indecisive about the legislation until an amendment added the allocation of $5 billion in post-Katrina green home restoration/reconstruction funding.

    Other parts of the legislation include a national renewable electricity standard requiring that utilities provide 15% of their electricity from renewable sources by 2020, a renewable energy feed-in tariff based off the successful example in Germany paid for by the repeal in fossil fuel tax breaks, and an unlimited net metering requirement for utilities.







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    Trans Americans thrown under the bus for nothing?
    Barney Frank introduces Employment Non-Discrimination Act without gender identity protections; bill fails to pass Congress anyways.
    Prominent liberal gays such as John Aravosis blamed the bill's failure on the opposition of queer activist organizations. Mr. Aravosis claimed in a Salon article that "over the past decade the trans revolution was imposed on the gay community from outside" and "It is simply not p.c. in the gay community to question how and why the T got added on to the LGB, let alone ask what I as a gay man have in common with a man who wants to cut off his penis, surgically construct a vagina, and become a woman." He has since been heavily criticized for historical revisionism and transphobic sentiment. Trans people have been instrumental in the modern gay rights movement, from the Compton and Stonewall riots to activists such as Sylvia Rivera who were sidelined or expelled for being transgender.





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    Yield curves turn negative
    Market indicating fear of recession?

    Fed Chairman Bernanke disagrees: "There's been a good bit of evidence that the declines in the term premium and perhaps a great deal of saving chasing a limited number of investment opportunities around the world have led to a somewhat permanent flattening or even inversion of the yield curve, and that pattern does not necessarily predict a slowing in the economy or recession."






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    President Bush vetos Defense authorization bill
    The President states that his opposition is due to a hate crime amendment which he deems unnecessary. The amendment expands the 1969 United States federal hate-crime law to include crimes motivated by a victim's actual or perceived gender, sexual orientation, gender identity, or disability.

    Lacking the votes to override the veto (the amendment only won 60 votes, the bare minimum to stop a filibuster), the Senate is now expected to pass a version of the bill without the amendment in question.







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    US Congress considers economic stimulus to boost economy and avert recession
     
    Part 1.2 - Democratic primary field
  • Presidential campaign 2008
    A quick guide to everyone who's created an exploratory committee



    Democrats

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    US Senator and former First Lady Hillary Clinton



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    Former North Carolina Senator and 2004 VP nominee John Edwards



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    Illinois Senator Barack Obama





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    Delaware Senator Joseph Biden





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    Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd





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    Former Alaska Senator Mike Gravel


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    Ohio Representative Dennis Kucinich




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    New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson




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    Former Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack




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    Former Virginia Governor Mark Warner


    Potential candidates who have declined: Evan Bayh, Wesley Clark, Tom Daschle, Howard Dean, Russ Feingold, Al Gore, John Kerry, Al Sharpton
     
    Part 1.3 - Republican primary field

  • Republican presidential candidates

    (Everyone who's created an exploratory committee in mid-2007)



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    Arizona Senator John McCain





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    Former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani





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    Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee




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    Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney



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    California Representative Duncan Hunter



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    Texas Representative Ron Paul


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    Conservative activist Alan Keyes



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    Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson



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    Kansas Senator Sam Brownback



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    Former Virginia Governor Jim Gilmore



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    Colorado Representative Tom Tancredo



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    US Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice


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    Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush



    Potential candidates who have declined: Tommy Thompson, Colin Powell, Newt Gingrich, George Allen, Bill Frist
     
    Part 1.4 - Senate landscape

  • The Senate Landscape - 2008
    A quick look at who's certain to leave the Senate in 2008


    Wayne Allard (R-CO): Retiring

    Susan Collins (R-ME): Retiring to fulfill a term limit pledge

    John Warner (R-VA): Retiring

    Ted Stevens (R-AK): Retiring

    Thad Cochran (R-MS): Retiring

    Chuck Hagel (R-NE): Retiring

    Trent Lott (R-MS): Resigned; Chip Pickering was appointed to replace him, and a special election will be held in November

    Craig Thomas (R-WY): Passed away after a battle with leukemia; Tom Sansonetti was appointed to replace him, and a special election will be held in November

    Frank Lautenberg (D-NJ): Retiring

    Despite persistent questions about health issues and his involvement in Attorneygate, Senator Pete Domenici (R-NM) has stayed defiant, insisting that he will fight out his re-election. Other Senators who staved off speculation of retirement include Elizabeth Dole, Lamar Alexander, Jim Inhofe, Larry Craig, and Tim Johnson.
     
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