WI: In 1942, General Gott Had NOT Died & Had Taken Command of the 8th Army?

McPherson

Banned
As mad as that reads; that is quite correct. What were they smoking? And did it come from Turkey?

They were looking at the apparent collapse of the Soviet Southern Armies during Blue. 2nd week of the August the Germans are in Krasnodar Pyatigorsk and have a flag on Mt Elbrus.

And there was nothing they could do that was practical to affect the outcome in Russia, there. What was practical and that action the British could do, and did not do, was clear out North Africa and force the Germans to divert air and ground forces to defend their southern flank from British operations in the Mediterranean. I always maintained Churchill was a landlubber when it came to geopolitical; strategy.

That wasn't the argument used by the British High Command at the time. Instead they mislead Blamey, Freyberg and their Governments and received the required permissions.
The NZ cable is here.

Which refers to operating as a division, with armour and alongside the Australians ( basically get a corps command and you are at the top table) it says nothing about location. In fact the war cabinet sought permission from the Aus and NZ government, which was given in March.

The implication of mistrust and chicanery involved, still, is staggering. It explains how MacArthur, in the Pacific War, is later able to bowl over the Curtin government and it further explains some of the unusual Blamey "political" decisions with respect to the Australian army.

About the lunatic Greek adventure...
Well it was not obvious to Wavell or Cunningham or Longmore in March 41 where, with the knowledge of the German deployment into Bulgaria, they agreed that it was feasible. And it had been the strategy since November 40. The reason there were 80 aircraft there is because they had been deployed since November 40.

Whether it was "feasible" was not the point. Timing of events aside, it was patently obvious, that if the Germans moved airpower into the region and if the British could not respond in kind and sustain, and Wavell said they could not, then whatever ground forces the British commit to Greece were going to be chewed up and spat out. So why be stupid? Pick and choose the fight at the time and place where the enemy cannot win. Same argument as regards SW Russia; cannot do a thing about that one, but can do something about Libya which will help in a sidereal way with the situation in Russia by forcing the Axis powers to divert resources against a threat. Cannot save Greece, but wiping out Libya opens up the Mediterranean and clears the Axis threat to the Middle East all the way to India. Now Allied exploitation is subject to argument, but the necessity for the Axis to guard southern Europe is not. Troops stuck in Greece are not fighting in Russia.

'A point which required instant decision was whether the Italians should be chased back to Tripoli . It was certain that if Tripoli were not captured at once the Germans and Italians would reinforce it. Its capture would remove the last of the Italian troops from North Africa and make it impossible for the enemy to invade Egypt again without first undertaking a sea-borne operation. Tripoli would provide another base from which bombers could attack Sicily, though it would not enable fighters to provide cover for convoys passing through the Narrows. At Tripoli the British forces would find themselves close to the French, which might be useful at some future date. Thus there would be advantages in possessing the place, and it was quite possible that the Army could go forward on the crest of the wave and take it, for Italian morale and fighting power were at a very low ebb and resistance was likely to be weak. But, even if Tripoli were captured at once, its defence would make heavy demands on the resources with which it was hoped to oppose a German occupation of the Balkans, especially the already stretched fighter aircraft and anti-aircraft artillery. The Navy, too, would find it very difficult to safeguard a supply line to Tripoli in addition to its other commitments, to which might soon be added a greatly increased scale of movement to Greece or Turkey. The Defence Committee were firmly convinced that they must retain the ability to intervene in the Balkans and came to the conclusion that they ought to adhere to their previous policy of halting when a secure flank for Egypt had been gained after the capture of Benghazi. No serious operations, therefore, were to be undertaken beyond this. The garrison of Cyrenaica was to be reduced to the minimum, and the largest possible land and air force concentrated in Egypt in preparation for movement to Europe...

Is from Playfair and reads like the minute of he 10 Feb Defence committee. In fact lead elements of the DAK begin disembarkation on 10 Feb Ariete having started disembarkation in January. The British Intelligence at 10 February is wrong. There were already 5 complete Italian infantry divisions in Cyrenaica, with an Amd Division 5th Light and by the time they could have advanced 15th Pz would be available as well as FleigerFuhrer Afrika and Tripoli the only reason for the advance being in range of Bombers from Sicily.

Given German Air Power it seems obvious that attempting to move as far west as Tripoli is doomed to failure as well. The proposition is that a force with a limited number of hard used Matildas, the cast offs of the Experimental Armoured Force and whatever Italian salvage they could manage operating at the end of a 600- 1000 mile supply line ( only part of the load could be carried by Bengazi this early) across a desert could defeat two brand spanking new Panzer divisions, Italian XX motorised corps, 5 infantry divisions who can operate within a days march of their main supply base with its port and permanent airfields.

And one has to ask, then what?

Ask what? Rommel may have landed lead elements on 10 February, but he was not combat capable of operations in any sense above regimental strength before 10 March 1942. And one has to ask, if the British desert army...

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is at Beda Fomm, it is not unreasonable to ask if they could march 950 km to Tripoli. BTW, since Beda Fomm is at the turn of the Cyrenaica knuckle, it is obvious that it was the British who held Cyrenaica. With the forces diverted to Greece... present in Libya;

62,612 men
100 tanks
200–300 aircraft

Beevor, Antony (1994). Crete: The Battle and the Resistance. (reissue ed.). Westview Press. pp. 26

I don't think much of the Axis' chances in March. In fact it was a blown opportunity.

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Between El Agheila and Tripoli, the Axis logistics were as bad or worse than British logistics back from Benghazi.

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Sometimes you have to grit your teeth and try.

It is by no means obvious that putting British forces into Greece is a rerun of Norway France etc etc ( or possibly you just mean Norway and France.) That only becomes an issue after the deployment with the Greek insistence the Metaxas line is occupied, not the Alaikmon line and the reluctance to withdraw forces from the Epirus army and unexpected collapse of the Yugoslav army. Is it a risk yes. Its a war that is the province of risk.

The British are going to be bombed out. The geography is impossible without air superiority.

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See that chunk of dirt called Yugoslavia? It is a terrain funnel straight down to Athens from there.

And one has to ask and then what. IF it works the British have a lodgement in Europe, an allied army they can equip with all the goods America can produce, will have closed off Rhodes and removed the mining threat to Canal, Alex and Haifa and drawn off a significant part of the Axis forces assembling for Barbarossa. Which the British are convinced is about to happen.

You are stuck and sealed off at the end of a peninsula and going nowhere. It eats up supply and burns up sea and airpower like crazy and allows no path for exploitation because only a damned fool looks at Balkan geography and politics and thinks an attack south to north has a snowball's chance in hell. An argument for Italy could be made, but look how that parallel fiasco turned out?

Second Front NOW. In the context of April 41 with no USSR and no US direct involvement Greece is not in fact the periphery.

Already answered. Greece is utter insane lunacy.

But throughout all of this the main objective of Middle East command is to secure the Canal and oil supply, because as long as this is done the new formations and supplies currently being produced will arrive and then all things become possible.

By not going for the Libya knockout immediately, that is NOT what they did. You fight where you can win... tactically, strategically and geo-politically.
 
Ask what? Rommel may have landed lead elements on 10 February, but he was not combat capable of operations in any sense above regimental strength before 10 March 1942. And one has to ask, if the British desert army is at Beda Fomm, it is not unreasonable to ask if they could march 950 km to Tripoli. BTW, since Beda Fomm is at the turn of the Cyrenaica knuckle, it is obvious that it was the British who held Cyrenaica.

I don't think much of the Axis' chances in March. In fact it was a blown opportunity.

Between El Agheila and Tripoli, the Axis logistics were as bad or worse than British logistics back from Benghazi.

Sometimes you have to grit your teeth and try.

There are multiple choke points between El Aghelia and Tripoli where the usual desert left-hook won't work, and the Italians still have forces in Libya (not least opposite the Mareth line), so it is not a simple 600 mile drive to Tripoli (especially for the tanks). Logistics for the Italians are less problematic as they are falling back on their main supply base, while the British are extending theirs.

The key question is where is the culminating point for the British advance. If it is short of Tripoli then the entire adventure is a waste of time, effort and blood.
 

McPherson

Banned
There are multiple choke points between El Aghelia and Tripoli where the usual desert left-hook won't work, and the Italians still have forces in Libya (not least opposite the Mareth line), so it is not a simple 600 mile drive to Tripoli (especially for the tanks). Logistics for the Italians are less problematic as they are falling back on their main supply base, while the British are extending theirs.

The key question is where is the culminating point for the British advance. If it is short of Tripoli then the entire adventure is a waste of time, effort and blood.

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As a practical matter, it should be a right hook (from the sea.) and as to blocking positions, Once you get past El Agheila, the only one worth a damn is Surt. Get past that one, and its game over for the Axis. If they make a stand it has to be Tunisia.

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As a practical matter, it should be a right hook (from the sea.)

No. A small assault from the sea will get isolated, and a large one is too expensive in resources. Outflanking via the desert is much simpler and quicker, as long as you can get your supplies through.

and as to blocking positions, Once you get past El Agheila, the only one worth a damn is Surt. Get past that one, and its game over for the Axis. If they make a stand it has to be Tunisia.

No. Tarhuna-Homs was recognised as the strongest natural defensive position by both sides.
 

McPherson

Banned
No. A small assault from the sea will get isolated, and a large one is too expensive in resources. Outflanking via the desert is much simpler and quicker, as long as you can get your supplies through.

Sea is better as you can float it all the way. And if the British are lunatic enough to ship it to Greece into the teeth of the LW, guess what I think of any objections of assault and sustainment from the sea along the Libyan coast? IOW not credible. The British have the lift. They should have used it better.

No. Tarhuna-Homs was recognised as the strongest natural defensive position by both sides.

You mean this terrain?

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I disagree.

As to Sirte...

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It is hard shelf excellent flotation going along the Gulf of Sidra until you reach the dune line, then the floatation goes to crap except for tracks.
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That was why Khums was so hard. The Sabkhat al Hashay. (See below)

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These are things Montgomery ... did.
 

Dave Shoup

Banned
But which front? - the Italians were not cleared from Red Sea ports until June 1941. The East African campaign is often overlooked but this, and Syria/Iraq campaigns, stretched Wavell's resources.
Technically the British spent much of 1st Alamein on the offensive, but to no great effect. British casualties in this battle were very close to those of 2nd Alamein.

Historically, the East African campaign required what amounted to five reinforced infantry divisions, the 4th and 5th Indian in the north under Platt and the 1st South African and 11th and 12 African in the south under Cunningham. Keeping the 4th Indian Division in Libya and reinforcing Platt's command with either of the infantry divisions that (historically) went to Greece (7th Australian or 2nd New Zealand) or the British 1st Cavalry Division, which had been in the Middle East since 1940 would have more than sufficed. Same for Syria and Iraq, where the expeditionary forces amounted to three reinforced composite divisions (drawn largely from the 7th Australian, 10th Indian, 1st French, and 1st Cavalry divisions). Neither of these campaigns required armoured brigades, obviously.
 

Dave Shoup

Banned
They were looking at the apparent collapse of the Soviet Southern Armies during Blue. 2nd week of the August the Germans are in Krasnodar Pyatigorsk and have a flag on Mt Elbrus.

How did the Axis offensive from eastern Ukraine to the Caucasus in the summer of 1942 influence British decision-making regarding their strategic options in the spring of 1941?
 
How did the Axis offensive from eastern Ukraine to the Caucasus in the summer of 1942 influence British decision-making regarding their strategic options in the spring of 1941?
two conversations here one with you one with McPherson, Answered yours.

I think someone posted shedloads of maps without porter capacity and water resurces ergo meaningless.
 

McPherson

Banned
two conversations here one with you one with McPherson, Answered yours.

I think someone posted shedloads of maps without porter capacity and water resurces ergo meaningless.

Ships at least US ones in WW II used desalinators. (^^^) Water is not a problem at all. Neither is portage; unless one is logistically incompetent.
 
Sea is better as you can float it all the way. And if the British are lunatic enough to ship it to Greece into the teeth of the LW, guess what I think of any objections of assault and sustainment from the sea along the Libyan coast? IOW not credible. The British have the lift. They should have used it better.



You mean this terrain?

Khums-Libya-2.png


I disagree.

The generals at the time agreed

See Rommel - Papers p386

the Tarhuna-Homs line was difficult to outflank. In other respects too the defensive possibilities were extremely good for any British attack from the south or south-east had to be made over sandy or adverse country. In fact, given a somewhat better stock of supplies, we could have kept the enemy at bay here for a considerable time.

And Montgomery -

Why... did he stand at Buerat? This position could be outflanked and was.
Behind was the Tarhuna-Homs line. This could have been made very strong indeed; the position favoured the defence; if the work put into the Buerat position had been put instead into the Taruna Homs line then I consider we would not have been in Tripoli on 23 Jan.
 

McPherson

Banned
No seawater in the desert.;)

Wells, oasis, wadis. (for Rommel). Those British and American tanks, trucks, and PLANES cannot use seawater at all. Men can drink mostly desalinated water. You can run a pipeline or use bowsers and trucks from ports where desalinator equipped ships can berth. This is not complicated. If worse comes to worst you bring desalinizers ashore and freshen seawater that way. The point is that the equipment is portable and you have a whole sea on your right flank. Just drop in the hose and run the condenser cycle.

The generals at the time agreed

See Rommel - Papers p386

And Montgomery -

Hmm Page 386. (Yes: I had to refresh my memory.)

Rommel informs the Italian high command on the Midday of 17 January that because of British superiority in men, material and logistics he could not hold the Taehuna Homs line. He had been outflanked at Beni Ulid and the British were on his left constantly. So I have no idea what you are talking about. Please enlighten me?

Montgomery... Went around. There is some hard going to the immediate south. I don't happen to agree with either man's contention as you state they wrote. As I showed you, the ground is breachable. (^^^). Murphy knows what Rommel thought or why he wrote it, but Montgomery knew better and acted on it.
 
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Rommel informs the Italian high command on the Midday of 17 January that because of British superiority in men, material and logistics he could not hold the Taehuna Homs line. He had been outflanked at Beni Ulid and the British were on his left constantly. So I have no idea what you are talking about. Please enlighten me?

Montgomery... Went around. There is some hard going to the immediate south. I don't happen to agree with either man's contention as you state they wrote. As I showed you, the ground is breachable. (^^^). Murphy knows what Rommel thought or why he wrote it, but Montgomery knew better and acted on it.

And?

You disagreed that Tarhuna-Homs was a strong natural defensive position; none of what you've posted addresses this key point. Rommel choosing to put the effort into the Buerat position was a mistake that led to Tripoli falling earlier.

And another German's general's assessment of defensive positions in North Africa:

The following positions offered the most favorable opportunities for defense in the North African desert:

(1) At the El Alamein position, it was necessary to defend a strip of open desert and steppes sixty kilometers long by field fortifications. There were no possibilities for envelopment movements by major formations, since the position was blocked off on both flanks. In the north, it was protected by the Mediterranean. In the south, the position had direct-flank protection in the form of the northern edge of the Qattara Depression (Senke), which has only three easily guarded passes, namely, the one directly west of the Alamein position at Munquar Abu Dweis, then along the trail between Mersa Matruh and the Quara Oasis, and along the trail between the Quara Oasis and the Siwa Oasis. Of these passes, only the first was actually guarded by minefields and troops; the two others, however, were utilized by the small sabotage teams of the Long Range Desert Group to penetrate the German rear area.

Furthermore, the sandy soil of the Qattara Depression itself, which was filled with salt marshes, hampered movements by major units. Farther to the south, the great sandy desert served as a barrier to the hinterland. The only passage between the steep edge of the Qattara Depression and the sandy desert led through the Siwa Oasis, which was fortified as a strongpoint.

(2) Farther to the west, the Marsa el Brega position was the first to offer good opportunities for defense again. Here, the area of steppes and desert south of the coast contains many salt marshes and dunes so that only narrow zones have to be guarded by field fortifications. The open desert begins south of the El Faregh wadi and extends to the area north of the Marada Oasis. The attackers, therefore, are forced to make a wide detour.

(3) The Tarhuna-Homs position east and south of Tripoli is flanked by the Djebel Nefusa in Tripolitania and takes advantage of the mountainous terrain, which is not easily covered by motor vehicles.* Since the mountains descend steeply to the west but gently to the east, it can be more easily defended from attacks from the west.

*The word "djebel," when used as part of a place name, indicates that the area mentioned is near a mountain (CSI editors).

(4) The two positions farthest west, which are the ones most favored by nature, lie in southern Tunisia in the area of Mareth and Gabes. The former takes advantage of the heights of the Matmata Mountains and is protected against extensive envelopment in the south by the Great Eastern Erg (region of sand dunes). There is open terrain there in the form of a 25 kilometer strip between the coast and the Djebel Matmata (eighty kilometers wide between the southern end of the Matmata Mountains and the great sandy desert). The Mareth position could be enveloped along this strip eighty kilometers wide, as first became evident during the fighting around the Mareth position.

The Akarit position situated north of Gabes is partially protected along its front and in its southwestern flank by salt marshes, which cannot be traversed by major units, and in the northeast by the sea. During the fighting here, the British broke into the position at the places that were not protected by salt marshes and forced the defenders to surrender.
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Between the five positions named above, there were also three more defense lines that were used by either the Germans or the British during the hostilities. These positions were without any protecting obstacles and were only established as the result of the combat situation at the time, when the area behind them had to be held by the defender for tactical reasons. These were the following:

The Sollum position had no frontal obstacles. All strongpoints had to be dug into the ground. The northern flank was protected by the sea; the southern flank was open and could be easily enveloped, This position was chosen out of necessity, since the Germans intended to hold Tobruk and since this position was the key to the coastal highway and the important Halfaya Pass. Mobile units were organized behind the defense front to repel any enemy attempts at envelopment by mobile operations. During the British offensive in the winter of 1941, the front of this position was pinned down and enveloped in the south by strong British forces.

The Gazala position west of Tobruk was selected by the British as an outpost area for the fortress of Tobruk. It had no frontal obstacles, was protected in the north by the sea, and was open in the south. In May 1942, Rommel surrounded this position in a wide enveloping movement.

The Buerat position east of Tripoli had one weak frontal obstacle (Wadi Zem-Zem). The northern flank was protected by the sea; in the southern flank were several wadis that could be easily overcome by an attacker. Occupation of this position was ordered by the Wehrmacht High Command for the purpose of defending the eastern outpost area of Tripoli. It was enveloped by Montgomery during the British offensive in January 1943.

The three positions mentioned above were thus of slight value for the defense. The terrain situated between all these eight positions is unsuitable for a lasting defense, because everywhere it contains more or less extensive areas of open desert and steppes. A defense in these areas, therefore, can only be conducted along mobile lines.
 
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You can run a pipeline or use bowsers and trucks from ports where desalinator equipped ships can berth. This is not complicated. If worse comes to worst you bring desalinizers ashore and freshen seawater that way. The point is that the equipment is portable and you have a whole sea on your right flank. Just drop in the hose and run the condenser cycle.

Desalination at ports doesn't help as there will be civilian water supplies anyway. For desalination elsewhere please provide the maths for water supply for the army to show:
Water is not a problem at all.
 
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