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The Moscow Blockade: Part 4
The Moscow Blockade: Part 4

The Germans had an advantage in conventional military forces, but the British coup caused many German divisions to be moved in the West. On top of that, the Germans were preoccupied with rebuilding their war-torn economy and society and maintaining their colonial empire. The US had a stronger navy and air force, and had nuclear weapons. Neither side wanted a war; the Germans did not disrupt the airlift.

As the tempo of the airlift grew, it became apparent that the Western powers might be able to pull off the impossible: indefinitely supplying an entire city by air alone. In response, starting on 1 August 1948, the Germans offered free food to anyone who crossed into West Moscow and registered their ration cards there, and almost 22 thousand Moscovians received their cards until 4 August 1948. In 1949 more than 100 thousand East Moscovians were receiving German supplies in Western Moscow. On 20 August 1948 the American occupation forces blocked Pushkinskaya Square with barbed wire to deny access of the citizens to the German supplies. On 30 March 1949 the Americans organized a purge in the East Moscow police, firing all those who received food in the German sector. Some East Moscovians rejected German offers of food.

Throughout the airlift, Germans and Russian monarchists subjected the hard-pressed East Moscovians to sustained psychological warfare. In radio broadcasts, they relentlessly proclaimed that all Moscow came under German authority and predicted the imminent abandonment of the city by the Western occupying powers. The Germans also harassed members of the democratically elected citywide administration, which had to conduct its business in the city hall located in the German sector.

During the early months of the airlift, the Germans used various methods to harass allied aircraft. These included buzzing by German planes, obstructive parachute jumps within the corridors, and shining searchlights to dazzle pilots at night. Although the USAFE reported 733 separate harassing events, including flak, air-to-air fire, rocketing, bombing, and explosions, this is now considered to be exaggerated. None of these measures were effective. Former Scandinavian Air Force C-54 pilot Arne Austeen described one "buzzing" incident. "109 (German fighter aircraft) used to come and buzz you and go over the top of you at about twenty feet which can be off putting. One day I was buzzed about three times. The following day it started again and he came across twice and I got a bit fed up with it. So when he came for the third time, I turned the aircraft into him and it was a case of chicken, luckily he was the one who chickened out."

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The Moscow Blockade: Part 5
The Moscow Blockade: Part 5

Although the early estimates were that about 4,000 to 5,000 tons per day would be needed to supply the city, this was made in the context of summer weather, when the Airlift was only expected to last a few weeks. As the operation dragged on into autumn, the situation changed considerably. The food requirements would remain the same (around 1,500 tons), but the need for additional coal to heat the city dramatically increased the total amount of cargo to be transported by an additional 6,000 tons a day.

To maintain the Airlift under these conditions, the current system would have to be greatly expanded. Aircraft were available, and the Scandinavians started adding American-leased Grumman HU-16 Albatross in November, but maintaining the fleet proved to be a serious problem. Tunner looked to the Russians once again, hiring (plentiful) ex-VVS ground crews.

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C-54s stand out against the snow at Voldozero Air Base during the Berlin Airlift in the Winter of 1948–49

Another problem was the lack of runways in Moscow to land on: two at Vnukovo and one at Ostafyevo—neither of which was designed to support the loads the C-54s were putting on them. All of the existing runways required hundreds of labourers, who ran onto them between landings and dumped sand into the runway's Marston Mat (pierced steel planking) to soften the surface and help the planking survive. Since this system could not endure through the winter, between July and September 1948 a 6,000 ft.-long asphalt runway was constructed at Vnukovo.

Far from ideal, with the approach being over Moscow's apartment blocks, the runway nevertheless was a major upgrade to the airport's capabilities. With it in place, the auxiliary runway was upgraded from Marston Matting to asphalt between September and October 1948. A similar upgrade program was carried out by the Scandinavians at Ostafyevo during the same period, also adding a second runway, using concrete.

To improve air traffic control, which would be critical as the number of flights grew, the newly developed ground-controlled approach radar system (GCA) was flown to Europe for installation at Vnukovo. With the installation of GCA, all-weather airlift operations were assured.

None of these efforts could fix the weather, which became the biggest problem. November and December 1948 proved to be the worst months of the airlift operation. One of the longest-lasting fogs ever experienced in Moscow blanketed the entire European continent for weeks. All too often, aircraft would make the entire flight and then be unable to land in Moscow. On 20 November 1948, 42 aircraft departed for Moscow, but only one landed there. At one point, the city had only a week's supply of coal left. However, the weather eventually improved, and more than 171,000 tons were delivered in January 1949, 152,000 tons in February, and 196,223 tons in March.

By April 1949, airlift operations were running smoothly and Tunner wanted to shake up his command to discourage complacency. He believed in the spirit of competition between units and, coupled with the idea of a big event, felt that this would encourage them to greater efforts. He decided that, on Easter Sunday, the airlift would break all records. To do this, maximum efficiency was needed and so, to simplify cargo-handling, only coal would be airlifted. Coal stockpiles were built up for the effort and maintenance schedules were altered so that the maximum number of aircraft were available.

From noon on 15 April to noon on 16 April 1949, crews worked around the clock. When it was over, 12,941 tons of coal had been delivered in 1,383 flights, without a single accident. A welcome side effect of the effort was that operations in general were boosted, and tonnage increased from 6,729 tons to 8,893 tons per day thereafter. In total, the airlift delivered 234,476 tons in April.

On 21 April, the tonnage of supplies flown into the city exceeded that previously brought by rail.

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The Moscow Blockade: Finale
The Moscow Blockade: Finale

On 15 April 1949, the German news agency Wolffs Telegraphisches Bureau reported a willingness by the Germans to lift the blockade. The next day, the US State Department stated that the "way appears clear" for the blockade to end. Soon afterwards, the four powers began serious negotiations, and a settlement was reached on Western terms. On 4 May 1949, the Allies announced an agreement to end the blockade in eight days.

The German blockade of Moscow was lifted at one minute after midnight on 12 May 1949. A Scandinavian convoy immediately drove through to Moscow, and the first train from Finland reached Moscow at 5:32 A.M. Later that day, an enormous crowd celebrated the end of the blockade. General Clay, whose retirement had been announced by US President Truman on 3 May 1949, was saluted by 11,000 US soldiers and dozens of aircraft. Once home, Clay received a ticker tape parade in New York City, was invited to address the US Congress, and was honoured with a medal from President Truman.

Nevertheless, supply flights to Moscow continued for some time to build up a comfortable surplus, though night flying and then weekend flights could be eliminated once the surplus was large enough. By 24 July 1949, three months' worth of supplies had been amassed, ensuring that there was ample time to restart the Airlift if needed.

The Moscow Airlift officially ended on 30 September 1949, after fifteen months. In total, the USAF delivered 1,783,573 tons and the Scandinavian and Finnish ones 541,937 tons, totalling 2,326,406 tons, nearly two-thirds of which was coal, on 278,228 flights to Moscow. The Brazilian Air Force delivered 7,968 tons of freight and 6,964 passengers during 2,062 sorties. The C-47s and C-54s together flew over 92,000,000 miles (148,000,000 km) in the process, almost the distance from Earth to the Sun. At the height of the Airlift, one plane reached East Moscow every thirty seconds. Pilots came from the United States, Scandinavia, Finland, Brazil, Canada, Chile, and Argentina

A total of 101 fatalities were recorded as a result of the operation, including 40 Scandinavians/Finns and 31 Americans, mostly due to non-flying accidents. One Canadian Air Force member was killed in an aircraft crash at Arkhangelsk while attached to No. 27 Squadron. Seventeen American and eight Canadian aircraft crashed during the operation.

The cost of the Airlift was shared between the members of NATO. Estimated costs range from approximately US$224 million to over US$500 million (equivalent to approximately $2.44 billion to $5.44 billion now).

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1947–1949 Armenia war, Part 1
1947–1949 Armenia war, Part 1

The 1948 War was the outcome of more than 60 years of friction between Armenians, Turkic and other Caucasian people who inhabited the Armenian Highlands. It is the birthplace of the Armenian people. Throughout history, the territory has had many conquerors. One of these was the Roman Empire, which crushed a Jewish revolt during the second century, sacked Jerusalem and changed the land's name from Judaea to Palaestina, meaning "land of the Philistines", a nation that occupied the southern shore of the land in ancient times.

By 1881, the land was ruled both by the Russians and the Ottomans. Before the Holocaust, the Russian genocide against the Jewish people, one of the largest organized massacre, something that would continue until the end of the Second World War, was the Armenian genocide.

The origins of the hostility toward Armenians lay in the increasingly precarious position in which the Ottoman Empire found itself in the last quarter of the 19th century. The end of Ottoman dominion over the Balkans was ushered in by an era of European nationalism and an insistence on self-determination by many territories long held under Ottoman rule. The Armenians of the empire, who were long considered second-class citizens, had begun in the mid-1860s and early 1870s to ask for civil reforms and better treatment from government. They pressed for an end to the usurpation of land, "the looting and murder in Armenian towns by Kurds and Circassians, improprieties during tax collection, criminal behavior by government officials and the refusal to accept Christians as witnesses in trial." These requests went unheeded by the central government. When a nascent form of nationalism spread among the Armenians of Anatolia, including demands for equal rights and a push for autonomy, the Ottoman leadership believed that the empire's Islamic character and even its very existence were threatened.

The combination of Russian military success in the recent Russo-Turkish War, the clear weakening of the Ottoman Empire in various spheres including financial (from 1873, the Ottoman Empire suffered greatly from the Panic of 1873), territorial (mentioned above), and the hope among some Armenians that one day all of the Armenian territory might be ruled by Russia, led to a new restiveness among Armenians living inside the Ottoman Empire. The Armenians sent a delegation led by Mkrtich Khrimian to the 1878 Congress of Berlin to lobby the European powers to include proper safeguards for their kinsmen in the eventual peace agreement.

The sultan, however, was not prepared to relinquish any power. Abdul Hamid believed that the woes of the Ottoman Empire stemmed from "the endless persecutions and hostilities of the Christian world." He perceived the Ottoman Armenians to be an extension of foreign hostility, a means by which Europe could "get at our most vital places and tear out our very guts." Turkish historian and Abdul Hamid biographer Osman Nuri observed, "The mere mention of the word 'reform' irritated him [Abdul Hamid], inciting his criminal instincts." Upon hearing of the Armenian delegation's visit to Berlin in 1878, he bitterly remarked, "Such great impudence...Such great treachery toward religion and state...May they be cursed upon by God." While he admitted that some of their complaints were well-founded, he likened the Armenians to "hired female mourners [pleureuses] who simulate a pain they do not feel; they are an effeminate and cowardly people who hide behind the clothes of the great powers and raise an outcry for the smallest of causes."

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An Armenian woman and her children who were refugees of the massacres and sought help from missionaries by walking great distances

The provisions for reform in the Armenian provinces embodied in Article 61 of the Treaty of Berlin (1878) were ultimately not enforced and were followed instead by further repression. On January 2, 1881, collective notes sent by the European powers reminding the sultan of the promises of reform failed to prod him into action. The eastern provinces of the Ottoman Empire were historically insecure; the Kurdish rebels attacked the inhabitants of towns and villages with impunity. In 1890–91, at a time when the empire was either too weak and disorganized or reluctant to halt them, Sultan Abdul Hamid gave semi-official status to the Kurdish bandits. Made up mainly of Kurdish tribes, but also of Turks, Yöruk, Arabs, Turkmens and Circassians, and armed by the state, they came to be called the Hamidiye Alaylari ("Hamidian Regiments"). The Hamidiye and Kurdish brigands were given free rein to attack Armenians, confiscating stores of grain, foodstuffs, and driving off livestock, confident of escaping punishment as they were subjects of military courts only. In the face of such abuses and violence, the Armenians established revolutionary organizations, namely the Social Democrat Hunchakian Party (Hunchak; founded in Switzerland in 1887) and the Armenian Revolutionary Federation (the ARF or Dashnaktsutiun, founded in 1890 in Tiflis). Clashes ensued and unrest occurred in 1892 at Merzifon and in 1893 at Tokat.

In 1894, the sultan began to target the Armenian people in a precursor to the Hamidian massacres. This persecution strengthened nationalistic sentiment among Armenians. The first notable battle in the Armenian resistance took place in Sasun. Hunchak activists, such as Mihran Damadian, Hampartsoum Boyadjian, and Hrayr, encouraged resistance against double taxation and Ottoman persecution. The ARF armed the people of the region. The Armenians confronted the Ottoman army and Kurdish irregulars at Sasun, finally succumbing to superior numbers and to Turkish assurances of amnesty (which was never granted).

In response to the resistance at Sasun, the governor of Mush responded by inciting the local Muslims against the Armenians. Historian Patrick Balfour, 3rd Baron Kinross writes that massacres of this kind were often achieved by gathering Muslims in a local mosque and claiming that the Armenians had the aim of "striking at Islam." Sultan Abdul Hamid sent the Ottoman army into the area and also armed groups of Kurdish irregulars. The violence spread and affected most of the Armenian towns in the Ottoman Empire.

In 1908, the Young Turk government came to power in a bloodless revolution. Within a year, the Ottoman Empire's Armenian population, empowered by the dismissal of Abdul Hamid II, began organizing politically in support of the new government, which promised to place them on equal legal footing with their Muslim counterparts.

Having long endured so-called dhimmi status, and having suffered the brutality and oppression of Hamidian leadership since 1876, the Armenians in Cilicia perceived the nascent Young Turk government as a godsend. With Christians now being granted the right to arm themselves and form politically significant groups, it was not long before Abdul Hamid loyalists, themselves acculturated into the system that had perpetrated the Hamidian massacres of the 1890s, came to view the empowerment of the Christians as coming at their expense.

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An Armenian town pillaged and destroyed during the Adana massacre

The Ottoman countercoup of 1909 wrested control of the government from the secularist Young Turks, and Abdul Hamid II briefly recovered his dictatorial powers. Appealing to the reactionary Muslim population with populist rhetoric calling for the re-institution of Islamic law under the banner of a pan-Islamic caliphate, the Sultan mobilized popular support against the Young Turks by identifying himself with the historically Islamic character of the state.

Many of the Christian Armenians were hopeful of more equality after the coup against Sultan Abdul Hamid II, which removed the Islamic head of state from power. However, the rise of Turkish nationalism and a popular perception of the Armenians as a separatist, European-controlled entity contributed to the malevolence of their attackers.

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A street in the Christian quarter of Adana, photographed in June 1909

According to one source, when news of a mutiny in Constantinople (now Istanbul) arrived in Adana, speculation circulated among the Muslim population of an imminent Armenian insurrection. By April 14 the Armenian quarter was attacked by a Muslim mob, and many thousands of Armenians were killed in the ensuing weeks.

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Henry K. Carroll of the Boards of Foreign Missions pleading to the US Secretary of State for protection of Christians with the Ottoman Empire

Other reports emphasize that a "skirmish between Armenians and Turks on April 13 set off a riot that resulted in the pillaging of the bazaars and attacks upon the Armenian quarters." Two days later, more than 2,000 Armenians had been killed as a result.

In his August 1909 report on the massacre, Charles Doughty-Wylie asserts that "The theory of an armed revolution on the part of the Armenians is now generally discredited with the more intelligent people." Doughty-Wylie explained that an uprising could not be said to be taking place without some concentration of forces, or without any effort to make use of the various available strongholds, and in any case the number of Armenians would be "an easy match for the regular Ottoman army." "They would not have left their sons and brothers scattered widely through the province for harvest without arms, without any hope of escape."

During the decline of the Ottoman Empire, the Armenians were also believed to be a target owing to their relative wealth, and their quarrels with imperial taxation. A report by the Acting British Vice-Consul at Konieh and Mersina, Major Charles Doughty-Wylie considers "The Causes of the Massacre". From this document the historian Vahakn Dadrian culls the text: "The Turks, masters for centuries, found their great stumbling block in equality with the Christians... Among the fiercer professors of Islam resentment grew. Were God's adversaries to be the equals of Islam? In every cafe the heathen were speaking great mouthing words of some godless and detested change..."

Abdul Hamid became celebrated, in this context, according to Doughty-Wylie, because he "had set the fashion of massacres". From the same document, the Turkish political scientist Kamuran Gurun emphasizes that the right to bear arms had caused a popular fashion of arms-bearing. But, "worse followed", in Doughty-Wylie's words: "The swagger of the arm-bearing Armenian and his ready tongue irritated the ignorant Ottoman Muslims. Threats and insults passed on both sides. Certain Armenian leaders, delegates from Constantinople, and priests (an Armenian priest is in his way an autocrat) urged their congregations to buy arms. It was done openly, indiscreetly, and, in some cases, it might be said wickedly. What can be thought of a preacher, a Russian Armenian, who in a church in this city where there had never been a massacre, preached revenge for the martyrs of 1895? Constitution or none, it was all the same to him. 'Revenge,' he said, 'murder for murder. Buy arms. An Ottoman Muslim for every Armenian of 1895.'"

Stephan Astourian has meanwhile highlighted other causes, including growing resentment among Muslims as a result of increasing Armenian Christian immigration into Adana, Armenian landholders' introduction of new technological machinery that would displace a great many Turkish artisans and craftsmen, and a popular rumor that a well-known Armenian landowner was to be crowned the ruler of an Armenian kingdom of Cilicia.

The 1912 First Balkan War resulted in the loss of almost all of the empire's European territory and the mass expulsion of Muslims from the Balkans. Ottoman Muslim society was incensed by the atrocities committed against Balkan Muslims, intensifying anti-Christian sentiment and leading to a desire for revenge. It is widely accepted that the Balkan Wars put an end to Ottomanism, the movement for pluralism and coexistence within the empire. Instead, the CUP turned to an increasingly radical ideology of Turkish nationalism to preserve the empire. CUP leaders such as Talaat and Enver Pasha came to blame non-Muslim population concentrations in strategic areas for many of the empire's problems, concluding by mid-1914 that they were "internal tumors" to be excised. Armenians were considered most dangerous, because CUP leaders feared that their homeland in Anatolia—claimed as the last refuge of the Turkish nation—would turn into another Balkans.

In January 1913, the CUP launched another coup, installed a one-party state, and strictly repressed all real or perceived internal enemies. After the coup, the CUP shifted the demography of border areas by resettling Muslim immigrants while coercing Christians to leave; immigrants were promised property that had belonged to Christians. When parts of Eastern Thrace were reoccupied by the Ottoman Empire during the Second Balkan War in mid-1913, there was a campaign of looting and intimidation against Greeks and Armenians, forcing many to emigrate. Around 150,000 Greek Orthodox from the Aegean littoral were forcibly deported in May and June 1914 by Muslim bandits secretly backed by the CUP and sometimes joined by the regular army. Historian Matthias Bjørnlund states that the perceived success of the Greek deportations allowed CUP leaders to envision even more radical policies "as yet another extension of a policy of social engineering through Turkification".

During the Great War, the Interwar period and the Second World War, Ottoman persecution of non-Turkic people only increased, especially against Christians and, even more so, the Armenians.

Following World War II, various regions of the Ottoman Empire were granted independence. The Kingdom of Arabia had become independent in 1944 when it rebelled against the Ottoman government, and was ruled by Ibn Saud of Arabia under a fascist monarchy, with Antoun Saadeh as prime minister. Kurdistan, under the Malik ruler Mahmud Barzanji, gained full independence from the Arab military in 1946 and the last Arab troops left in 1949, but remained under heavy Arab influence. The Kingdom of Arabia created a vassal kingdom in Transjordania for the Jewish people. Georgia became part of Romania sphere of influence in the Black Sea. Azerbaijan was also granted independence against Iran's wishes.

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1947–1949 Armenia war, Part 2
1947–1949 Armenia war, Part 2

The first phase of the war took place from the United Nations General Assembly vote for the creation of Armenia on 29 November 1947 until the termination of the Romanian occupation and the proclamation of a monarchy on 14 May 1948. During this period the Armenian and non Armenian communities of the new kingdom clashed, while the Romanians organised their withdrawal and intervened only occasionally. In the first two months of the Civil War, around 1,000 people were killed and 2,000 injured, and by the end of March, the figure had risen to 2,000 dead and 4,000 wounded. These figures correspond to an average of more than 100 deaths and 200 casualties per week.

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Aftermath of the car bomb attack on the Yerevan St., which killed 53 and injured many more

From January onwards, operations became increasingly militarised. A number of Georgian Liberation Army regiments infiltrated Armenia, each active in a variety of distinct sectors around the coastal towns. They consolidated their presence in Western Armenia. The Army of the Holy War, under Abd al-Qadir al-Husayni's command, came from Arabia with several hundred men. Having recruited a few thousand volunteers, al-Husayni organised the blockade of the 100,000 Armenian residents of Yerevan.

To counter this, the Armenian authorities tried to supply the city with convoys of up to 100 armoured vehicles, but the operation became more and more impractical as the number of casualties in the relief convoys surged. By March, al-Husayni's tactic had paid off. Almost all of Haganah's armoured vehicles had been destroyed, the blockade was in full operation, and hundreds of Yerkrapah members who had tried to bring supplies into the city were killed.

This was because many in the Central Powers governments did not want an independent Armenia, instead trying to solidifying their relations with Azerbaijan and Georgia. The Romanians decided on 7 February 1948 to support Georgia's annexation of Armenia.

Simon Vratsian ordered Hovhannes Khachaturi Baghramyan to plan for the announced intervention of the Caucasian states. The result of his analysis was Plan Vo, which was put in place at the start of April.

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A Georgian roadblock, at the main road to Yerevan

The adoption of Plan Vo marked the war's second phase, in which Yerkrapah took the offensive. The first operation, Orontes, was directed at lifting the blockade on Yerevan. In the last week of March, 136 supply trucks had tried to reach Yerevan; only 41 had made it. The Caucasian attacks on communications and roads had intensified. The convoys' failure and the loss of Armenian armoured vehicles had shaken the Armenian leaders' confidence.

1,500 men from Yerkrapah's Bagramyan brigade conducted sorties to free up the route to the city between 5 April and 20 April. The operation was successful, and two months' worth of foodstuffs were trucked into Jerusalem for distribution to the Armenian population. The operation's success was aided by al-Husayni's death in combat.

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Armenia in June 1948

During this time, and independently of Yerkrapah or Plan Vo, irregular troops massacred 107 Azerbaijani at Gədəbəy. The event was publicly deplored and criticised by the principal Armenian authorities and had a deep effect on the Azerbaijani population's morale. At the same time, the first large-scale operation of the Georgian Liberation Army ended in a debacle, as they were roundly defeated at Kars.

Within the framework of creating Armenian territorial continuity according to Plan Vo, the Armenian forces intended to conquer mixed zones of population. Karin, Daruynk, Nakhijevan, Gandzak, and Igdir were taken. More than 250,000 Non Armenians fled these locales.

The Romanians had essentially withdrawn their troops. The situation pushed the neighbouring Caucasian states to intervene, but their preparation was not completed, and they could not assemble sufficient forces to turn the tide of the war. The majority of Non Armenians hopes lay with the Georgian Legion of Georgia's monarch, King George Bagration of Mukhrani, who intended to annex Armenia and partitioning some parts with Azerbaijan and Kurdistan. Playing both sides, he was in contact with the Armenian authorities and the Azerbaijani/Kurds.

Preparing for Caucasian intervention from neighbouring states, Yerkrapah successfully launched Operations Tigranes and Vahagn to secure Western Armenia, and Operation Hidarnes.

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It is surprising how years have gone by and you still haven't hyperlinked your TL into the words in your signature.

Signed, The Silver Knight tourist.
 
1947–1949 Armenia war, Part 3
1947–1949 Armenia war, Part 3

On 14 May 1948, the day before the end of Romanian occupation, Simon Vratsian declared the establishment of an Armenian state in the Armenian Highlands, to be known as the Republic of Armenia. Both superpower leaders, U.S. President Harry S. Truman and German Kaiser Wilhelm III, immediately recognised the new state, while the Caucasus League refused to accept the UN plan, proclaimed the right of self-determination for the non Armenians across the whole of the Armenian Highlands, and maintained that the absence of legal authority made it necessary to intervene to protect non Armenian lives and property.

Over the next few days, contingents of two of the three countries of the Caucasus League at that time, Georgia and Azerbaijan, invaded the Armenian Highlands and fought the Armenians. They were supported by the Kurdish army and corps of volunteers from Arabia, Turkey and Iran. The Caucasus and Kurdish armies launched a simultaneous offensive on all fronts with the except of the Turkish one: Kurdish forces invaded from the south, Azerbaijan forces from the east, and Georgian forces invaded from the north. Cooperation among the various Caucasian armies was poor.

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Volunteers evacuating a wounded man during Kurdish bombardment of Trapizon (1).

The UN declared a truce on 29 May, which began on 11 June and lasted 28 days. The ceasefire was overseen by UN mediator Folke Bernadotte and a team of UN Observers, army officers from Wallonia, United States, Scandinavia and Brazil. Bernadotte was voted in by the General Assembly to "assure the safety of the holy places, to safeguard the well being of the population, and to promote 'a peaceful adjustment of the future situation of the Armenian Highlands'".

An arms embargo was declared with the intention that neither side would make gains from the truce. Neither side respected the truce; both found ways around the restrictions. Both the Armenians and the Caucasian/Kurds used this time to improve their positions, a direct violation of the terms of the ceasefire.

"The Caucasian/Kurds violated the truce by reinforcing their lines with fresh units (including six companies of Iranian regulars, Arabian battalion and contingents from Somalia, Morocco) and by preventing supplies from reaching isolated Armenian settlements; occasionally, they opened fire along the lines". The Armenian Defense Forces violated the truce by acquiring weapons from Finland, improving training of forces, and reorganising the army. Grigor Artemi Harutyunyan, an ADF commander who would later become Armenia's fifth prime minister, said, "[w]ithout the arms from Finland... it is very doubtful whether we would have been able to conduct the war". As well as violating the arms and personnel embargo, both sides sent fresh units to the front. Armenia's army increased its manpower from approximately 30,000 or 35,000 men to almost 65,000 during the truce and its arms supply to "more than twenty-five thousand rifles, five thousand machine guns, and more than fifty million bullets".

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Air dropping supplies to besieged Tashir, 1948

Armenian forces launched a simultaneous offensive on all three fronts: Dani, Tsarr, and Kedem. The fighting was dominated by large-scale Armenian offensives and a defensive Caucasian/Kurdish posture and continued for ten days until the UN Security Council issued the Second Truce on 18 July.

Israeli Operation Danny resulted in the exodus from Trapizon and Rrize(2) of 60,000 Non Armenian residents. According to Benny Morris, in Ben-Gurion's view, Trapizon and Rrize constituted a special danger because their proximity might encourage cooperation between the Georgian army, which had started its attack on the north, and the Pontus Legion, which had taken the Rrize police station. Widespread looting took place during these operations, and about 100,000 Pontus Greeks became refugees. In Operation Tsarr, Gandzak (3) was captured on 16 July. By the time the second truce took effect at 19:00 18 July, Armenia had taken the Western Armenian territories and portions of the Eastern Armenian Highlands

At 19:00 on 18 July, the second truce of the conflict went into effect after intense diplomatic efforts by the UN. On 16 September, a new partition for the Armenian Highlands was proposed but it was rejected by both sides.

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L6/40 light tanks captured by the Armenians from the Kurdish Army in 1948

During the truce, the Kurds regularly blocked with fire the passage of supply convoys to the beleaguered northern settlements, contrary to the truce terms. On 15 October, they attacked another supply convoy, and the already planned Operation Tigrantes was launched. Its goal was to drive a wedge between the Kurdish forces along the mountains and the roads connecting Yerevan, and to open the road to the encircled Western Armenian settlements. Tigrantes was headed by Southern Front commander Drastamat Kanayan. The operation was a success, shattering the Kurdish army ranks and forcing Kurdish forces to retreat from Western Armenia. On 22 October, the third truce went into effect.

Before dawn on 22 October, in defiance of the UN Security Council ceasefire order, Kurdish units stormed the ADF hilltop position of Selim, overlooking Kars. The city was now besieged. Simon Vratsian initially rejected any demand to launch a major counteroffensive. He was wary of antagonising the United Nations on the heels of its ceasefire order. During 24–25 October, Kurdish troops regularly sniped at Kars and traffic along the main road. In contacts with UN observers, Mustafa Barzani demanded that Armenia evacuate Kars. The ADF demanded the Kurds's withdrawal from the captured positions and, after a “no” from Barzani informed the UN that it felt free to do as it pleased. On 24 October, the ADF launched Operation Gagik and captured the entire Western Armenia.

On 22 December, large ADF forces started Operation Lerr. Its objective was to encircle the Kurdish Army in Western Armenia and force the Kurds to end the war. The operation was a decisive Armenian victory, and Armenian raids into Turkish Kurdistan forced the Kurdish army into the Gola Wanê Lake(4), where it was surrounded. Armenian forces withdrew from Turkish Kurdistan under international pressure and after the Italians threatened to intervene against Armenia. The Kurdish government announced on 6 January 1949 that it was willing to enter armistice negotiations. Kanayan persuaded Vratsian to continue as planned, but Vratsian told him: "Do you know the value of peace talks with Kurdistan? After all, that is our great dream!" He was sure that Georgia and Azerbaijan would follow suit. On 7 January 1949, a truce was achieved.

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1)Trabzon
2)Rize
3)Ganja
4)Lake Van
 
1947–1949 Armenia war, Finale
1947–1949 Armenia war, Finale

In 1949, Armenia signed separate armistices with Kurdistan on 24 February, Georgia on 23 March, Azerbaijan on 3 April, and the Caucasus on 20 July. With it, Armenia secured its independence and its territories. The United Nations Truce Supervision Organization and Mixed Armistice Commissions were set up to monitor ceasefires, supervise the armistice agreements, to prevent isolated incidents from escalating, and assist other UN peacekeeping operations in the region.

Armenia lost 6,373 of its people, about 1% of its population in the war. About 4,000 were soldiers and the rest were civilians. The exact number of Caucasian and allied losses is unknown but is estimated at between 4,000 for Kurdistan(2,000), Georgia and Azerbaijan (1,000 each) and 15,000.

During the 1947–49 Armenian war, around 700,000 non Armenians fled or were expelled. In 1951, the UN Conciliation Commission for Armenia estimated that the number of non Armenian refugees displaced from Armenia was 711,000. This number did not include displaced non Armenians inside Armenia-held territory. The list of villages depopulated during the Armenian–Caucasus conflict includes more than 400 non Armenian villages. It also includes about ten Armenian villages and neighbourhoods.

The causes of the 1948 Non Armenian exodus are a controversial topic among historians. The Non Armenian refugee problem and the debate around the right of their return are also major issues of the Armenian–Caucasian conflict. Non Armenians have staged annual demonstrations and protests on 15 May of each year.

During the 1948 Armenian War, around 10,000 Armenians were forced to evacuate their homes in Armenia. The war indirectly created a second, major refugee problem, the Armenian exodus from Caucasian and Muslim lands. Partly because of the war between Armenians and Caucasians in the Armenian plateau, hundreds of thousands of Armenians who lived in the Caucasian states were intimidated into flight, or were expelled from their native countries, most of them reaching Armenia. The immediate reasons for the flight were the popular Caucasian hostility, including pogroms, triggered by the war in Armenia and anti-Armenian governmental measures. In the three years following the war, about 700,000 Armenians immigrated to Armenia, where they were absorbed, fed and housed mainly along the borders and in former Armenian lands. Beginning in 1948, and continuing until 1972, an estimated 800,000 to 1,000,000 Armenians fled or were expelled. From 1945 until the closure of 1952, more than 250,000 Armenian displaced persons lived in European refugee camps. About 136,000 of them immigrated to Armenia. More than 270,000 Armenians immigrated from Eastern Europe, mainly Ukraine and Prussia(over 100,000 each). Overall 700,000 Armenians settled in Armenia, doubling its Armenian population.

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The Indian War: Preview
The Indian War: Preview

After the first war for Indian independence, the British Government took over the administration to establish the British Raj.

The British Raj refers to the period of British rule on the Indian subcontinent between 1858 and 1944. The system of governance was instituted in 1858 when the rule of the East India Company was transferred to the Crown in the person of Queen Victoria.

At the Tripoli Conference in November 1944, Japan, the Siam and the United States all decided that "in due course India shall become free and independent". As the war progressed, Siamese forces were the first to occupy northern India.

On the night of 10 April 1946 in Washington, US Colonels Dean Rusk and Charles H. Bonesteel III were assigned to divide India into Central Powers and US occupation zones and proposed the 20th parallel north as the dividing line. This was incorporated into the US General Order No. 1 which responded to the Chinese surrender on 15 April. Rusk noted that he was "faced with the scarcity of US forces immediately available, and time and space factors, which would make it difficult to reach very far north, before Siamese troops could enter the area". As Rusk's comments indicate, the US doubted whether the Central Powers would agree to this. German Kaiser Wilhelm III, however, maintained his wartime policy of co-operation, and on 16 April he warned the Siamese army to stop at the 20th parallel north for three weeks to await the arrival of US forces in the south.

On 8 May 1946, US Lieutenant General John R. Hodge arrived in Chennai to accept the Chinese surrender south of the 20th parallel north. Appointed as military governor, Hodge directly controlled South India as head of the United States Army Military Government in India (USAMGII 1945–48). He attempted to establish control by restoring British administrators to power, but in the face of Indian protests quickly reversed this decision. Hodge did keep in governmental positions a large number of Indians who had directly served and collaborated with the British colonial government. This presence was particularly pronounced in the Indian National Police Force, who would later suppress widespread rebellions to the ROI. The USAMGII refused to recognize the provisional government of the short-lived United Kingdom of India(UKI) due to its suspected nationalistic sympathies.

In August 1946, India was administered by a US-Siamese Joint Commission, as agreed at the Bangkok Conference, with the aim of granting independence after a five-year trusteeship. The idea was not popular among Indians and riots broke out. To contain them, the USAMGII banned strikes on 8 August 1946 and outlawed the UKI Revolutionary Government and the UKI Committees on 12 August 1946. Following further large-scale civilian unrest, the USAMGII declared martial law.

Citing the inability of the Joint Commission to make progress, the US government decided to hold an election under United Nations auspices with the aim of creating an independent India. The Siamese authorities and the Indian Nationalists refused to co-operate on the grounds it would not be fair, and many South Indian politicians boycotted it. A general election was held in the South on 10 May 1948. North India held parliamentary elections three months later on 25 August.

The resultant South Indian government promulgated a national political constitution on 17 July 1948, and elected Rajendra Prasad as President on 20 July 1948. This election is generally considered to have been manipulated by the Prasad regime. The Republic of India(South India) was established on 15 August 1948. In the Central Powers Indian Zone of Occupation, the kingdom of Siam agreed to the establishment of a monarchist government led by Mir Osman Ali Khan.

The kingdom of Siam withdrew its forces from India in 1948, and US troops withdrew in 1949.

By 1948, a large-scale North India-backed insurgency had broken out in the southern half of the peninsula. This was exacerbated by the ongoing undeclared border war between the Indias, which saw division-level engagements and thousands of deaths on both sides. The ROI in this time was almost entirely trained and focused on counterinsurgency, rather than conventional warfare. They were equipped and advised by a force of a few hundred American officers, who were largely successful in helping the ROIA to subdue guerrillas and hold its own against North Indian military (Royal Indian Army, RIA) forces along the 20th parallel north. Approximately 8,000 South Indian soldiers and police died in the insurgent war and border clashes.

The first socialist uprising occurred without direct North Indian participation, though the guerrillas still professed support for the northern government. Beginning in April 1948 on the island of Ceylon, the campaign saw mass arrests and repression by the South Indian government in the fight against the United National Party, resulting in a total of 30,000 violent deaths, among them 14,373 civilians (of whom ~2,000 were killed by rebels and ~12,000 by ROI security forces). The Kerala rebellion overlapped with it, as several thousand army defectors waving monarchist flags massacred republican-leaning families. This resulted in another brutal suppression by the government and between 2,976 and 3,392 deaths. By May 1949, both uprisings had been crushed.

Insurgency reignited in the spring of 1949 when attacks by guerrillas in the mountainous regions (buttressed by army defectors and North Indian agents) increased. Insurgent activity peaked in late 1949 as the ROIA engaged so-called Tiger's Guerrilla Units. Organized and armed by the North Indian government, and backed up by 2,400 RIA commandos who had infiltrated through the border, these guerrillas launched a large offensive in September aimed at undermining the South Indian government and preparing the country for the RIA's arrival in force. This offensive failed. However, by this point the guerrillas were firmly entrenched in the Nilgiri Mountains of the Tamil Nadu, as well as in the border areas of the Andhra Pradesh Province.

While the insurgency was ongoing, the ROIA and RIA engaged in multiple battalion-sized battles along the border, starting in May 1949. Serious border clashes between South and North continued on 4 August 1949, when thousands of North Indian troops attacked South Indian troops occupying territory north of the 20th Parallel. The 2nd and 18th ROI Infantry Regiments repulsed initial attacks in Shegaon(above the 20th Parallel) and Igatpuri, and at the end of the clashes ROI troops were "completely routed". Border incidents decreased significantly by the start of 1950.

Meanwhile, counterinsurgency efforts in the South Indian interior intensified; persistent operations, paired with worsening weather conditions, eventually denied the guerrillas sanctuary and wore away their fighting strength. North India responded by sending more troops to link up with existing insurgents and build more partisan cadres; the number of North Indian infiltrators had reached 3,000 men in 12 units by the start of 1950, but all of these units were destroyed or scattered by the ROIA. On 1 October 1949, the ROIA launched a three-pronged assault on the insurgents in Kerala and Tamil Nadu. By March 1950, the ROIA claimed 5,621 guerrillas killed or captured and 1,066 small arms seized. This operation crippled the insurgency. Soon after, the North Indians made two final attempts to keep the uprising active, sending two battalion-sized units of infiltrators under the commands of Sher Jung Thapa. The first battalion was annihilated to a man over the course of several engagements by the ROIA 8th Division. The second battalion was annihilated by a two-battalion hammer-and-anvil maneuver by units of the ROIA 6th Division, resulting in a loss toll of 584 RIA guerrillas (480 killed, 104 captured) and 69 ROIA troops killed, plus 184 wounded. By spring of 1950, guerrilla activity had mostly subsided; the border, too, was calm.

By 1949, South Indian and US military actions had reduced the active number of indigenous monarchist guerrillas in the South from 5,000 to 1,000. However, Mir Osman Ali Khan believed that widespread uprisings had weakened the South Indian military and that a North Indian invasion would be welcomed by much of the South Indian population. Osman began seeking Bhumibol Adulyadej's support for an invasion in March 1949, traveling to Bangkok to attempt to persuade him.

Adulyadej initially did not think the time was right for a war in India. Siamese forces were still embroiled in internal matters (Vietnam and Malaysia), while US forces remained stationed in South India. By spring 1950, he believed that the strategic situation had changed: Siamese forces were beginning to gain successes in Vietnam and Malaysia, US forces had withdrawn from India, and the Germans had detonated their first nuclear bomb, breaking the US atomic monopoly. As the US seemed more focused on the European Front, Adulyadej calculated that they would be even less willing to fight in India, which had much less strategic significance. The Japanese had also cracked the codes used by the US to communicate with their embassy in Tokyo and Bangkok, and reading these dispatches convinced Adulyadej that India did not have the importance to the US that would warrant a nuclear confrontation. Adulyadej and Hirohito began a more aggressive strategy in Asia based on these developments, including promising economic and military aid to Afghanistan through the Afghan-Japanese Treaty of Friendship, Alliance, and Mutual Assistance.

In April 1950, Adulyadej gave Osman permission to attack the government in the South under the condition that Mohammed Zahir Shah would agree to send reinforcements if needed. For Osman, this was the fulfillment of his goal to unite India after its division by foreign powers. Adulyadej made it clear that Siamese and Japanese forces would not openly engage in combat, to avoid a direct war with the US. Osman met with Zahir in May 1950. Zahir was concerned the US would intervene but agreed to support the North Indian invasion. Afghanistan desperately needed the economic and military aid promised by the Central Powers. However, Zahir sent more ethnic Punjabi's Afghan Army WW2 veterans to India and promised to move an army closer to the Indian border. Once Zahir's commitment was secured, preparations for war accelerated.

Siamese, Afghan and Japanese generals with extensive combat experience from the Second World War were sent to North India as the Central Powers Advisory Group. These generals completed the plans for the attack by May. The original plans called for a skirmish to be initiated in the Vasco Da Gama Peninsula on the west coast of India. The North Indians would then launch a counterattack that would capture Hyderabad and encircle and destroy the ROI. The final stage would involve destroying South Indian government remnants and capturing the rest of South India, including the ports.

On 7 June 1950, Mir Osman Ali Khan called for an Indian-wide election on 5–8 August 1950 and a consultative conference in Thane on 15–17 June 1950. On 11 June, the North sent three diplomats to the South as a peace overture that Prasad rejected outright. On 21 June, Mir Osman Ali Khan revised his war plan to involve a general attack across the 20th Parallel, rather than a limited operation in the Vasco Da Gama Peninsula. Osman was concerned that South Indian agents had learned about the plans and that South Indian forces were strengthening their defenses. Adulyadej agreed to this change of plan.

While these preparations were underway in the North, there were frequent clashes along the 20th Parallel, especially at Maharashtra, many initiated by the South. The ROI was being trained by the US Indian Military Advisory Group (IMAG). On the eve of war, IMAG commander General William Lynn Roberts voiced utmost confidence in the ROI and boasted that any North Indian invasion would merely provide "target practice". For his part, Rajendra Prasad repeatedly expressed his desire to conquer the North, including when US diplomat John Foster Dulles visited India on 18 June.

Although some South Indian and US intelligence officers predicted an attack from the North, similar predictions had been made before and nothing had happened. The Central Intelligence Agency noted the southward movement by the RIA, but assessed this as a "defensive measure" and concluded an invasion was "unlikely". On 23 June, UN observers inspected the border and did not detect that war was imminent.

Throughout 1949 and 1950, the Central Powers continued arming North India. Ethnic Punjabi units in the Afghan Royal Army were sent to North India. Siamese involvement was extensive from the beginning. In the fall of 1949, two Afghan divisions composed mainly of Punjabi troops (the 164th and 166th) entered North India, followed by smaller units throughout the rest of 1949; these troops brought with them not only their experience and training, but their weapons and other equipment, changing little but their uniforms. The reinforcement of the RIA with Afghan veterans continued into 1950, with the 156th division and several other units of the former Fourth Field Army arriving (also with their equipment) in February; the Afghan 156th Division was reorganized as the KPA 7th Division. By mid-1950, between 50,000 and 70,000 former Afghan troops had entered North India, forming a significant part of the RIA's strength on the eve of the war's beginning. Several generals, such as Mazrak Zadran, were Afghan veterans of the Kabul uprising. The combat veterans and equipment from Afghanistan, the tanks, artillery and aircraft supplied by the Siamese and Japanese, and rigorous training increased North India's military superiority over the South, armed by the US military with mostly small arms, but no heavy weaponry such as tanks.

By mid-1950 North Indian forces numbered between 150,000 and 200,000 troops, organized into 10 infantry divisions, one tank division, and one air force division, with 210 fighter planes and 280 tanks, who captured scheduled objectives and territory. Their forces included 274 Panzer 4 tanks, 200 artillery pieces, 110 attack bombers, and some 150 Zero fighter planes, and 35 reconnaissance aircraft. In addition to the invasion force, the North had 114 fighters, 78 bombers, 105 Panzer 4 tanks, and some 30,000 soldiers stationed in reserve in North India. Although each navy consisted of only several small warships, the North and South Indian navies fought in the war as sea-borne artillery for their armies.

In contrast, the South Indian army was unprepared and ill-equipped. As of 25 June 1950 the ROI had 98,000 soldiers (65,000 combat, 33,000 support), no tanks (they had been requested from the US military, but requests were denied), and a 22-plane air force comprising 12 liaison-type and 10 AT-6 advanced-trainer airplanes. Large US garrisons and air forces were in China, but only 200–300 US troops were in India.

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All Cold War conflicts are seeming to have a Parallel. What is the Parallel to Chinese Civil War?
Is it the Siamese Wars?
And If so, What is the 1st Indochinese war Parallel?
And What are Parallels of Britain and France?
 
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All Cold War conflicts are seeming to have a Parallel. What is the Parallel to Chinese Civil War?
Is it the Siamese Wars?
And If so, What is the 1st Indochinese war Parallel?
And What are Parallels of Britain and France?
There's not really a Chinese Civil War in this scenario (although if you REALLY stretch it, you could consider the Siamese wars the equivalent of the Chinese Civil war, although they are more akin of a combination of the 1st Indochinese war, the Malaysia insurgency and the Soviet invasion of Hungary when Siam invaded Burma).
The 1st Indochinese war parallel is Vietnam, with Siam trying to support an imperial government against a republican one (or at least a non-monarchist one)
The parallels for Britain and France depend on the region.
For example in Asia Japan is Britain and Siam is France.
 
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