325. The Rivalry
“Germany's superiority at sea cannot be compatible with the existence of the British Empire.”
Sir Eyre Alexander Barby Wichart Crowe
“…Then we will fight, because these are issues of national honor and dignity.”
“My study of history hasn't encouraged me to strive for world domination. In the empire of which I dream, the German emperor will be trusted by other countries and must be seen as a honest and peaceful neighbor.”
Wilhelm II
“We were busy drawing lines on land maps, where a white man’s foot did not step. We gave each other mountains, rivers and lakes, and we were hindered by only a small inconvenience: we never knew exactly where these mountains, rivers, lakes were.”
Lord Salisbury
“…How little can we rely on the assurances of the German government that they want to cooperate with us in Africa. Germany has joined France and is putting pressure on the Royal Company of Niger. It is necessary to be on the out, there may be combinations of Germany with our rivals in West Africa and other parts of the continent. You have to be careful when making any concessions to Germany regarding African issues.”
John Wodehouse, 1st Earl of Kimberley, Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs, to the British Ambassador in Berlin, 1894.
“France now reaps the fruits of its distrust of Germany, which prevented the alliance of both countries from combating the spread of English rule in Africa.”
E.E. Staal, Russian Ambassador in London
“- And you are cooly watching this mayhem?
- No, I’m watching it with a great interest”
Popular soviet-times radio program for the kids
By the late 1890s “everyone” in Europe was spending huge resources on the naval buildup with the most popular explanation being “everybody does this”. Basically, the whole situation was fitting into two fundamental questions formulated by the XIX century Russian progressive literature: “who is to blame?” and “what to do?”.
Who is to blame?
Well, of course, everything (as always in the cases related to the navies, and not only) was blamed on Britain as a general source of all evils. But during the last few centuries everybody more or less used to the British naval supremacy and was not as agitated as now. So in this specific case “everybody” was pointing fingers to Germany as the country which caused them to get into the great expenses because it decided to challenge the status quo. But “Germany” is a big and vague term so there
must be a specific person to blame and here he was.
Allegedly, it all started by Admiral Tirpitz. The details are somewhat murky. It is more or less firmly established that an obscure captain of the US Navy, Mahan, wrote a book about the only way to achieve the world’s dominance (“The Sea Power for the Dummies” or something like that, nobody was quite sure). [1] The book became quite popular among the naval establishment because it had nice pictures of the sail ships and the complicated schemas of the naval battles with the wind and current directions and other cute things looking at which was allowing an intended reader [2] to look smart.
Presumably, after getting familiar with a proposed theory, Tirpitz decided to achieve a world dominance for Germany (quite patriotic) and started working in that direction with an energy bordering on an obsession. However, in most cases familiarity with this opus did not produce any serious lasting brain damaging results so there were speculations that in the case of Tirpitz some dramatic event took place. The most popular analogy was the classic case of Newton and certain agricultural product but the book was too thin to cause the same effect as a descent-sized apple. Which leaves a wide variety of the less likely options including a theoretical possibility that Tirpitz really read the book and by the reason which is rather hard to comprehend was impressed [3].
Perhaps the Mahan’s theory was not as relevant as the existing practice: on each and every international occasion the Brits had been pushing to everybody’s noses the fact that they had the biggest navy with the rather interesting conclusion that based upon that fact they can do whatever they want to whoever they want whenever and wherever they want. Which was quite annoying to the most of the rest of Europe. Taking into an account that the French and Italian naval ideas of that time tended to be on a rather peculiar side, the obvious solution was to do what the Brits were doing: build the big warships. Which indicates a possibility that perhaps Tirpitz came with the idea of German naval buildup on his own and “The Book” was not critically important.
Why this British rather unpleasant habit was not easy to ignore? The obvious answer was “the colonies”. Practically every European country that wanted to be taken seriously considered its duty, unless it was completely landlocked, to get at least some colonies. The most notorious exceptions were Princedom of Monaco, Austrian Empire and Russian Empire:
For Monaco it was easy: anyone who risked to express some doubts about its greatness would be banned from Monte-Carlo and thus remain a social pariah until issuing a profound public apology.
In Austria, the official attitude of His Imperial Apostolic Majesty Franz Joseph I toward the colonies was formulated the same way as his attitude toward the housemaids: “His Majesty does not notice them”. Even a possibility to claim the Land of Franz Joseph was rejected.
In the case of the Russian Empire the universal international desire was that it will not start getting colonies: stretching across three parts of the world was scary enough to be taken seriously.
If one thinks that with these three competitors being out of the scramble for the colonies the situation was simple, this is plain naive.
By the end of the 80s of the 19th century, a long streak of disputes and negotiations between Great Britain and Germany on West Africa temporarily ended with the delimitation of spheres of influence on the West African coast. Germany, which was looking for ways of rapprochement with England, made certain concessions on controversial colonial issues. However, at that time it didn't get anything in return. Anyway, the borders established on the map meant little because the territories were not properly researched and mapped. Clarification and change of border lines could not but lead to new conflicts. They were all the more fierce, the fewer territories unoccupied by European powers remained and the closer these conflicts were related to differences in other parts of Africa or the whole world.
Things had been made worse when in 1894 Hohenlohe, an advocate of the colonial expansion, became Chancellor of the German Empire. It meant a course to confront Britain. Nevertheless, the British side decided to use the rival and, with the help of Germany, block France's path from the west of the African continent to the Upper Nile (and thus stop the Brits expanding from the East). These intentions were implementef by the agreement between Britain and Germany, according to which the territory of Cameroon to Lake Chad in the north and the Shari River basin were recognized as a sphere of German influence. However, the British plans to push France and Germany against each other did not come true. After signing an agreement with Great Britain, Germany began negotiations with France. The dissatisfaction of both states was caused by the strengthening of positions and expansion of the scope of activity of the British "Royal Company of Niger". Together, they wanted to put pressure on the opponent. As a result, in March 1894, an agreement was signed under which Germany restricted its possessions to Cameroon, and the French side granted freedom of action throughout the space east of its borders. In other words, France was getting an access to the areas from which Britain tried to block it (and did so by having more troops on a ground).
The conflicts of that types kept going on with the European powers acting in all possible combinations and the schemas getting more complicated and not limited to Africa, like the British proposal to exchange Cameron to the recognition of the German annexations in China.
To add to the general mess, there were lesser players regularly getting the bigger ones involved one way or another with the “hot places” being everywhere from Morocco, where the Sultan was learning how to ride a bicycle thus causing diplomatic tensions between Germany, which was supporting his right to do so independently, and France (supported by most of the European powers, which already had their own problems with this dangerous vehicle) , which demanded that he must invite an instructor (French one)
and all the way Dutch South Africa where, with the Brits actively pushing from the North and the Dutch settlers coming from the South, the border passing tough the territory North of Vaal River became an itchy issue; especially after the gold was found (in this case Germany, which was supporting the Dutch, was joined by most of Europe). In other words, situation in Africa was extremely volatile and there were serious fears that one of these conflicts may cause a major European war.
In general, the German policies toward Britain remained restrained. As State Secretary of the Foreign Affairs explained to the Russian ambassador , “
We are forced, in the opinion of the emperor, to observe the strictest restraint towards Great Britain, whose fleet far exceeds ours and constantly threatens our colonial acquisitions.” The obvious way out of that problem was to remove this impediment and the time was, seemingly, favoring Germany: annual industrial growth of Britain was 2.1% vs 4.1% in Germany.
The rivals.
To a great degree Britain was a victim of its own earlier success because starting from the 1870s a growing trend was export of the capital out of the metropolis and investment in the places where it was producing greater profits, the US, South America, colonies and even European countries. Active export of capital, possible thanks to huge colonial possessions, reduced investment in the domestic economy - which slowed down the pace of economic growth. In addition, the annual growth of industrial production was slowed down by the beginning of the lag in technology. Starting from the 1870s, industrial development in Germany, and not only, was faster and more progressive than in Britain, where the equipment of many enterprises was already outdated and modifications were more expensive because they were disrupting established production cycle. Even some of the British innovations were first implemented in Germany. For a while, profits from the colonies were more than compensating for the lagging technology but then the competitiveness problem kicked in: quality of the German manufactured goods became equal or even better than of the British, while being cheaper. Then, Britain fall in its own trap: while most of the “young” competitors had high protective tariffs, the free trade paradigm allowed penetration of the cheaper German goods into the British domestic market while their own markets had been protected by the high tariffs.
Germany started much later and almost from the scratch, which allowed to install the most modern equipment and made it easier to adopt the most innovative technologies. However, Germany had two fundamental problems: shortage of its own natural resources and a need of the external markets. To
some degree the first issue was addressed by the friendly relations with Russia and Sweden but only to
some degree. From Russia the agricultural supplies were available and the same goes to the oil-based products but most of the rest, especially supplies needed for metallurgy, were consumed by its own domestic development thus forcing Krupp, Siemens and other to open factories in Russia (German investments were mostly in the areas of metallurgy, machinery, electrical appliances and chemical industry) . Sweden was a big exporter of iron but the growing German industry still needed more. Then, there was an issue of the markets and in this area Germany was in a more difficult position than Britain with its colonial empire. In an effort to conquer foreign markets, German entrepreneurs carefully studied the tastes of the population of those countries where they were going to sell their goods. The success of the Germans was also facilitated by the fact that in Germany the level of consumption, as well as the standard of living of the general population, was quite low, which forced German entrepreneurs to look for markets for their goods abroad.The main exports of Germany were tools, machines, electrical products, chemical and pharmaceutical products, light industry products, i.e. Germany pressed goods similar to the British ones, and in territories that had long had close ties with England. By the late 1890s the German investments abroad were equal to 50% of the British and 60% of the French.
Obviously, in the world-wide competition the British naval hegemony was a trump card which it was repeatedly using as the
ultima ratio. It was not a big surprise that in a “young” country like German Empire the frequent public demonstration of its inferiority was causing resentment not limited to the emperor or a small circle of the bellicose maniacs and this made allocation of the huge sums on naval development politically feasible. The general situation on the continent also was favorable: having good relations with both Russia and France, not to mention the smaller players, made continental military confrontation rather unlikely allowing to concentrate investments and technical resources on the navy at the army expense. Both Russia and France had been encouraging German naval progress: whatever minor conflicts of interests existed between them and Germany, those with Britain were much greater and it was expected that a need to confront Germany in the North Sea is going to weaken the British (and by extension Italian as well) position on the Med, which both France and Russia considered zone of their interests.
In Russia, it was expected that forcing Britain to build more and more capital ships for the North Sea meant that, even with the vast resources it possessed, it would have to cut on construction of the long range cruisers, which was important for the Pacific where Britain was actively stirring the pot trying to attract Japan on its side with a purpose to “restrain” Russia. It was hard to tell what exactly this meant because so far RE was not expanding on the East and was quite restrained even in its spheres of interest. However, Russian Far East still was in a process of development and, as such, vulnerable.
As a result, Wilhelm II was receiving all encouragement he needed and, with a full approval of his subjects, could get fully engaged in his naval hobby.
What to do?
So far, Britain and Germany had what looked like the irreconcilable differences: the officially proclaimed British goal was to have a navy stronger than two biggest European navies combined while the German purpose was to have a navy equal to at least 2/3rd of the British navy. Unless both France and Russia were willing to comply by cutting their navies or the Germans gave up on their program, the British formula would not work without a further upgrade of its naval program. So far, the Brits had been heavily relying upon the
numbers [4] and in this area they were doing fine having 63 battleships vs. 26 German but the Germans had been increasing rate of their construction: according to the new plan proposed by Tirpitz Germany will have (at some point in a future) 45 battleships and armored cruisers.
Of course, by that time Britain will build more but, taking into an account that both France and Russia started their own construction of the new battleships and that, as was shown, however unconvincingly, by the Sino-Japanese war, technological progress is making the battleships obsolete in an alarmingly high rate, Britain was seriously risking to end up with a huge fleet of an useless junk. Building 50-60 brand new capital ships simultaneously was too much even for the British resources so there was a need for brand new approach. The problem was to just figure out what this approach is going to be.
Minor developments.
The ongoing colonial and naval race had been watched in Moscow with a great interest which, besides serious, definitely had a big amusement component. Of course, general attitude of AIII to the European affairs was formulated in his famous “when the Emperor of Russia is busy fishing, the European affairs can wait” but to a great degree this was PR bluff for both international and domestic consumption (or it would not be widely known). RE could not just ignore the naval race because there were interests, its own and of the Baltic League, to protect outside the more of less “internal” Baltic and Black Seas (both Denmark and Sweden had far away colonies). The most important of these interests were those on the Pacific: Russia had to protect a huge perimeter from Alaska to Vladivostok with the limited regional resources. Most of the battleships and cruisers under construction or planned were intended for deployment there, even if this was not advertised.
But, besides the ocean coast, there was a long border by the Amur. It was strengthened by the removal of Chinese enclaves on the Russian side but it was anything but quiet. The honghuzies, pushed out of the immediate border area during the war had been back because the Chinese administration of Manchuria was doing nothing to eliminate them and some of the local governors were even legitimizing them by a formal inclusion into their provincial “armies” (of course, with the inability to pay salaries, they were not preventing these “soldiers” from being engaged in their “professional activities”). What was worse, there was a seemingly growing broad based unrest in China caused by what many Chinese were considering blasphemous activities of the Christian missionaries who were definitely causing major natural disasters like including the
Yellow River flooding and droughts. Besides, the generally xenophobic population was fed up with a massive influx of the foreigners and things foreign. In 1896 there were already attacks on German missionaries in the regions of Western Shandong.
Quite obviously, very few people in the Russian Empire cared about the German missionaries but there was a memory of Chinese attack on Blagoveschensk and continued reports about the raids of the Chinese gangs across the Amur, especially into the gold-mining district near the border. And from time to time there were attacks on the ships sailing by the Amur. By that time 160 steam vessels and 261 barges were operating on the Amur and 1 steamship, 15 sailing ships and 20 barges on the Selenga River. In other words, the river traffic was economically important and must be protected.
Some of the steamships received small caliber artillery and machine guns but there was a need for something more serious and for the purpose the
Amur River Flotilla was created. The first step included three gun boats of “Buryat” class made in Sormovo, transported disassembled by the railroad and then assembled in Kokui settlement of the Amur.
Each of them had displacement of 193 tons, machines providing 480 horse powers, speed of 11 knots, had been operating on
oil, had range of 1,100 miles on 8 knots. Armor: elevators, ammunition cellars and gun shields -12 mm. Armament: two - 75 mm guns with a barrel length of 50 calibers (fire range - 48 cables; rate of fire - 8 rounds per minute), four 7.62 mm machine guns, two 64 mm; two 64 mm Baranovsky landing guns; two 47 mm salute guns; one spotlight with a diameter of 60 cm. 1.5 kW radiotelegraph station ("Telefunken").
Then 7 more powerful boats of “Vogul” class were added. Each had displacement of 244.5 tons, the same power installation as “Buryat” with a resulting lower speed of 10 knots. Range was 1,700 miles at 8 knots. Armor: side belt and wheelhouse - 12.7 mm. Deck and traverses - 9.5 mm.
Armament: two 120-mm guns with a barrel length of 45 calibers (fire range - 70 cables; rate of fire - 9 rounds per minute; ammunition of 150 rounds per barrel); one 122 mm howitzer (munition - 200 rounds); four - 7.62 mm machine gun; one spotlight with a diameter of 60 cm.
Radiotelegraph station with a capacity of 1.5 kW ("Telefunken").
Flotilla also included numerous auxiliary ships.
__________
[1] “
While in actual command of a ship, his skills were not exemplary; and a number of vessels under his command were involved in collisions with both moving and stationary objects. He had an affection for old square-rigged vessels rather than the smoky, noisy steamships of his own day; and he tried to avoid active sea duty.” Why, with this record he was appointed a lecturer in naval history and tactics at the
Naval War College is anything but clear.
[2] Term “reader” has to be understood in a broad terms including those who just looking at the illustrations. It would be rather unrealistic to expect that most of those with the admiral rank to read a
book on the naval issues: they supposed to know everything worth knowing on the subject.
[3] Not being concerned with a world domination, I found this book rather uninspiring, besides a great revelation that a country which has a biggest fleet with the best trained crews is probably going to dominate the sea. Which was really not too important for the “land-oriented” countries with enough of the natural resources of their own.
[4] Text on a caricature below: - Should we attack, Sir? - Oh, no. First we must signal for help! We hardly three times as strong as the Germans!