Keynes' Cruisers Volume 2

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Driftless

Donor
If it weren't for the substantive damage done to the Allied fleet in the DEI, it would be time to really press the Japanese even harder at any number of points in the Pacific. For the short term, they probably need to settle for incremental advances in the Central and South Pacific, till naval air and surface power has been recouped a bit. The Commonwealth forces can still hammer the Japanese in SE Asia as they have been. Do they press into FIC, with or without French land & air forces? Or does the Commonwealth work to open the road to China more?

I'm guessing that "Europe First" will be back on the front burner soon, especially with the Soviets struggling against the Nazis
 
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I read that 2/3rds of Japanese military deaths were caused by disease and starvation. If IOTL they began having trouble supplying their troops by the end of '43, we should assume that their problems are much worse ITTL. Oh brother, the Japanese soldier is in for a tough couple of years, the IJN sailors not so much...since so many of them are already seafood.
 
The IJA has been attrited ITTL considerably. We have to make a comparison with the OTL. In OTL there were the following fronts during 1942 and 1943:

a) Burma Front: Basically a reinforced size field army that didn't lose great formations during 1942-1943.
b) Solomon Islands/ New Guinea campaign: Never committed more than a corps in each campaign (Guadalcanal, Bougainville etc). Lost a few tens of thousands of men.

IITL just in 1942, the IJA had a compeltely different experience:

a) Lost corps size formations in Java and Timor.
b) During the first 3 quarters of 1942 in Malaya and Burma, losing several division-sized formations and experiencing heavy attrition to the remaining force.
c) The last offensive by the Commonwealth has pretty much destroyed 6 divisions in Thailand and 2 in Burma.
d) Even in the PI, attrition was significant more than OTL.

At least 300.000 men killed or permanently disabled (at the very best senario) - the core of the experienced A level divisions. While manpower is not an issue (yet),the replacement of those artillery pieces, trucks, tanks and the rest of the equipment is an issue for the Japanese industry who has to support also the China quagmire. The fortification of Borneo, Celebes and the Bandas is also a challenge and the IJA had to invest at least a dozen of relatively well equipped divisions.

This is an interesting point - how many Divisions were active in China during this period?

I ask because OTL the IJA generally sent its best units to Malaya, Burma and PI - and it was those units that generally went on to conduct the 2nd wave of invasions (which generally have not taken place or were conducted on a smaller scale ITTL) - TBH I am surprised that they have managed to conduct ops into Burma what with the campaign in Malaya 'not going quite according to plan'

And as not all divisions are created equally they are going to find it difficult to replace those units destroyed and decimated with equal quality formations and at the same time these are going to have to come from the Chinese front which causes even more issues for the IJN as the Chinese forces are being supplied and supported at a far greater level than OTL and so would be causing the IJA more losses there as well.
 

Driftless

Donor
Recalling from faulty memory... I believe that on a couple of occasions ITTL, the Japanese have had to borrow front line units from China to backfill early losses in the Philippines, Malaya, and the DEI.
 
I read that 2/3rds of Japanese military deaths were caused by disease and starvation. If IOTL they began having trouble supplying their troops by the end of '43, we should assume that their problems are much worse ITTL. Oh brother, the Japanese soldier is in for a tough couple of years, the IJN sailors not so much...since so many of them are already seafood.
And any IJN sailors trained up will be stuck in Japan since no more ships since the entire battleline and kido butai got sent down to the bottom of the Makassar Strait.
 
Story 1837
Southern Makassar Strait 0545 January 3, 1943


USS Yorktown turned into the wind. Over the next twenty minutes thirty five aircraft left the safety of the task force. USS Enterprise was also launching aircraft. A section of Wildcats, an octet of Dauntlesses and a trio of Avengers were heading to protect the landing zone and support the Marines.

Seventy miles to the south, Force Q had finished launching their one large strike. Forty three torpedo carrying bombers were accompanied by another two dozen bombers each carrying a quartet of five hundred pound general purpose bombs. The magazines were running low for anything other than bombs that the Marines ashore would appreciate.

Even before the Dauntlesses from Yorktown could reach cruising altitude, the sharper eyed scouts could see a trio of battleships and a half moon shield of cruisers and destroyers around a single crippled monster. Smoke was scarring the pre-dawn air. Flecks of flame were still visible on four of the ships. None of the victors looked ready for another battle. A few could fight if need be, but the admiral below would want to avoid a clash until the cripples could be sent back to Surabaya and the torpedo tubes refilled.

Even as daylight rose, the single finishing strike continued north to where the battleships laid.
 
Story 1838
Central Kra Isthmus, Siam 0600 January 3, 1943

Three regiments of twenty five pounders fired their initial rounds. The spotters quickly called in adjustments. Some batteries were short. Some batteries were over. One battery was just about perfectly placed. A few batteries had their shells land to the west. By now, none of the guns had factory fresh barrels. Equipment was fighting against the ever increasing skill of the gunners. The men could plot a nearly perfect round given the weather, ammunition type, humidity and terrain but the barrels were introducing dispersion that at the start of the campaign was the result of the accumulation of miniscule manual errors.


Within a minute, the entire artillery line was firing. Each gun had a nine shell allotment to wake up the Japanese defenders that had been besieged for a week. They were caught off and isolated. But hopelessness had not forced a surrender. Either they were entranced with death or they were hoping for relief from their navy.


Digging them out took time.


Each day, more bunkers were cleared.


Each day, more hospital beds were filled.


Each day more graves were dug.


Two battalions of Ghurkas were scheduled to go over the top and clear out another section of defenses. Scouts had been probing the lines over night. Engineers had stockpiled more line charges and satchel charges and a dozen other specialized things that go boom. Medics had stockpiled morphine and tourniquets. Infantrymen had found another bandolier of bullets over normal allotment and khukris had been honed to their optimal edge.


And then they did not advance. The brigade commander had gotten a call from division to not attack. The army commander had ordered no more offensive infantry operations that were solely seeking to mop-up. Rumors started to fly up and down the lines.
 
Story 1839
Southern Makassar Strait, 0700 January 3, 1943

Another series of small explosions shook USS South Dakota. That section of the ship was almost empty. Her crew was exhausted and limited. The danger to their survival was further forward. The inner citadel of armor had mostly held. A dozen super heavy shells had punched through the armor and ruined her ability to fight but the explosions and detonations inside of the citadel did not open the ship up to water. Instead, her shot out bow had dragged her down to that her A turret guns were touching the water on every swell. She could only slow move in reverse at four knots. At least she was moving under her own power as a tow would do little but add complexity to the operation.

Suddenly power went out. The explosions had shook free some of the impromptu breakers that had been supplying pumps with power. Darkness descended on nearly flooded compartments as engineering teams went from repair and reconstruction duties to damage control and containment duties in seconds.
 
It seems unlikely that the Japanese commander of the surrounded troops on the Kra Isthmus would offer to surrender. Perhaps something is happening with the Thai government? And if the Thais switch sides or at least surrender to the Allies how will that effect the deployment and operational actions of the Japanese troops in Thailand?
 

Driftless

Donor
What's the cause of the small explosions and how serious are they - by themselves? If they're controllable, then the South Dakota may get to limp to Surabaya. If it's TCL, would they be able to start pillaging the shell for usable equipment, or just complete enough repairs so that it may be moved to a bigger base, or just left at anchor?
 
What's the cause of the small explosions and how serious are they - by themselves? If they're controllable, then the South Dakota may get to limp to Surabaya. If it's TCL, would they be able to start pillaging the shell for usable equipment, or just complete enough repairs so that it may be moved to a bigger base, or just left at anchor?

Probably AAA rounds cooking off.
 
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