How would a KPD led Germany looks like?

Well, last week video on the timeghost channel showed how the nazis rose in 1933 and how the KPD while influent, was not great enought to be elect.

Let's say that Hitler get's killed in the beer hall putsch and most of the nazis remain self exiled, so the KPD takes over Germany, how does Ernst Thalmann leads the country? Can we expect a german stalin, a german lenin or Thalmann was someone different? Could Thalmann breaks with moscow and claim that he is the real leader of communism?
 
Best case scenario would be a German equivalent of interwar Mexico complete with land reform, art revival and a Bauhaus version of Frieda Kahlo (may be even the real Frieda. Diego could have gone to Berlin just as well as to Chicago...)

The worst case scenario would be a third Communist fraction: Thalmannism next to Trotzkism and Stalinism and the three battling it out in endless civil wars not only in Germany but also in France, Spain, Mexico and even the USSR
 
Honestly I think GDR gives us some ideas, the East German was far less economic illiterate than the Soviet. So we would likely see:

Land reform
Nationalization of large companies
Small companies being allowed to run as cooperation or as small private owned companies.
Very limited price control.
Large scale infrastructure projects.
A parliament with several puppet parties.
Natalist policies
Selfsufficiencies

this aren’t all example from OTL, but it was the way they pushed toward.
 
Honestly I think GDR gives us some ideas, the East German was far less economic illiterate than the Soviet. So we would likely see:

Land reform
Nationalization of large companies
Small companies being allowed to run as cooperation or as small private owned companies.
Very limited price control.
Large scale infrastructure projects.
A parliament with several puppet parties.
Natalist policies
Selfsufficiencies

this aren’t all example from OTL, but it was the way they pushed toward.

Best case scenario would be a German equivalent of interwar Mexico complete with land reform, art revival and a Bauhaus version of Frieda Kahlo (may be even the real Frieda. Diego could have gone to Berlin just as well as to Chicago...)

The worst case scenario would be a third Communist fraction: Thalmannism next to Trotzkism and Stalinism and the three battling it out in endless civil wars not only in Germany but also in France, Spain, Mexico and even the USSR

The main fear that I have has to be with the fact that at that point all communist parties were behind the soviet one, so Thalmann can be as brutal as Stalin if he wants too.

Could this German Republic reclaim some of their territories peacefully? Maybe a war against fascist italy for the control of Austria?
 
OTL's KPD by 1933 was far too weak to pull off a dictatorship. If you want that, you need a PoD so early as to possibly threaten the OTL development of Stalinism even.

It was also too isolated to win in a parliamentary or presidential election.

You need a way to make a SPD-KPD coalition plausible somehow - while preventing the electoral success of the Nazis and the Numbers of the SA. From there, the path to a KPD dictatorship is Not straightforward, either. But on its own, there is No way. The Rotfrontkämpferbund was not large enough. The communists did not Control the Unions. And they were terribly far away from gaining a majority.
 

manav95

Banned
OTL's KPD by 1933 was far too weak to pull off a dictatorship. If you want that, you need a PoD so early as to possibly threaten the OTL development of Stalinism even.

It was also too isolated to win in a parliamentary or presidential election.

You need a way to make a SPD-KPD coalition plausible somehow - while preventing the electoral success of the Nazis and the Numbers of the SA. From there, the path to a KPD dictatorship is Not straightforward, either. But on its own, there is No way. The Rotfrontkämpferbund was not large enough. The communists did not Control the Unions. And they were terribly far away from gaining a majority.

Perhaps Ernest Thalmann could form an alliance with the nationalists and would-be Nazis who lack a Hitler to rally around. A National Bolshevism arises that asserts the supremacy of the German people, promotes mild to moderate anti-Semitism to placate nationalists, and appeals to patriotic and nationalist working class folks and veterans struggling to integrate with Germany. With the Freikorps and their ilk now supporting the Communists instead of ruthlessly crushing them, Thalmann is able to pose a greater threat in the 30s.
 
Perhaps Ernest Thalmann could form an alliance with the nationalists and would-be Nazis who lack a Hitler to rally around. A National Bolshevism arises that asserts the supremacy of the German people, promotes mild to moderate anti-Semitism to placate nationalists, and appeals to patriotic and nationalist working class folks and veterans struggling to integrate with Germany. With the Freikorps and their ilk now supporting the Communists instead of ruthlessly crushing them, Thalmann is able to pose a greater threat in the 30s.
Doesn't sound even a bit like OTL interwar Germany...
 
The KPD, while playing the national populist card, too, was opposed with all its fibre to collusion with Nazbol types. Its entire history it had been fighting all these brown products of the Wilhelmine Empire's decomposition. You'd need Stalin to order them into this, and even then another split is inevitable. Also, why would anyone outside of this weird Querfront suppprt them? The army, the police, the administration, the vast parliamentary majority is against them. And let's not forget that a potentially Querfront-affine wing was a small minority among the Nazis, too.

No, the two ends of the horseshoe don't touch.
 
Could this German Republic reclaim some of their territories peacefully? Maybe a war against fascist italy for the control of Austria?

The issue with this is a KPD-led German Republic probably doesn't play the game of "rapidly burn our economy so we can funnel it all towards military buildup and hope our war loot keeps us afloat" so their remilitarization is slower. With that being the case it's a lot harder for them to make a war not seem worth it for France/French allies. I could definitely see aggressive diplomacy though but since I'm not an expert I have a hard time speculating where that diplomacy might be focused.

Assuming a relatively democratic Germany (as opposed to a Stalinist or more radical sort which would quickly become another diplomatic and potentially economic pariah) I think a war with Italy over Austria is possible, though also potentially shut down by France/UK. The best path for expansionism might be to stay relatively democratic and on good terms with the French so that they could justify their territorial gains as becoming a stronger power to stand against the Soviets. But even then France/Poland/Czechoslovakia might be too nervous at the thought of a stronger Germany to let it happen, and in this scenario Germany has less it can do about that.
 
Well, last week video on the timeghost channel showed how the nazis rose in 1933 and how the KPD while influent, was not great enought to be elect.

Let's say that Hitler get's killed in the beer hall putsch and most of the nazis remain self exiled, so the KPD takes over Germany, how does Ernst Thalmann leads the country? Can we expect a german stalin, a german lenin or Thalmann was someone different? Could Thalmann breaks with moscow and claim that he is the real leader of communism?

My own belief is that the only way to get a KPD-led Germany is conquest by the Red Army. In any event, I am sure that the absence of Hitler is not going to bring it about. I'll recycle two old posts of mine:

***

(1) How are the Communists going to gain power in Germany? Obviously not by free elections, as I noted at https://www.alternatehistory.com/disc...37&postcount=9 And the conditions for a successful Communist revolution simply did not exist. Germany in the 1930's was not Russia in 1917--even apart from the obvious fact that it was not at war.

Unlike Russia in 1917 there was a strong middle class opposed to Communism and a strong reformist labor movement represented by the SPD. (The employed working class largely continued to vote for the SPD even in 1932--the Communists were mainly the party of the unemployed, and it is really hard to bring down a government with a general strike of the unemployed...) And of course the military are hardly likely to look kindly on a Communist attempt at a takeover. (In Russia in 1917, of course, the military had been largely destroyed, partly as a result of Bolshevik agitation--of the kind which appealed to war-weary Russian "peasants in uniform" but it hardly likely to undermine the Reichswehr in the 1930's.) Moreover the prospects of the KPD would probably become even weaker after 1933 as the economy improved (as it would with or without Hitler--there was a pretty general world economic recovery from 1933 to 1937).

The Communists never came close to winning control of Germany, and the reason is *not* that Hitler got support that would otherwise have gone to the KPD. in fact the NSDAP attracted few voters of the sort who would otherwise favor the KPD. "Relatively few KPD voters switched to the Nazis, despite a popular stereotype. Workers were far less likely than middle-class elements to be members of the NSDAP or to vote for the party...The massive rise in the NSDAP vote between 1930 and 1932 left the combined SPD/KPD vote more or less solid, again suggesting that previously organised workers were more immune to Nazi propaganda than many other groups in German society." https://books.google.com/books?id=deGGAgAAQBAJ&pg=PA25

***

(2) Richard F. Hamilton in *Who Voted for Hitler?* has concluded through an analysis of election results in fourteen cities, that the NSDAP had a higher-than-average vote in districts inhabited by the upper and upper-middle classes. https://books.google.com/books?id=dcX_AwAAQBAJ&pg=PA219 In fact, in some cities, such as Berlin, Hamburg, Essen, and Dortmund, such wards were the very best wards for the NSDAP in the city. It hardly seems likely that in the absence of the NSDAP such voters would turn to the KPD.

Another major source of NSDAP support was farmers (especially Protestant ones--Catholic farmers largely stuck with the Zentrum or the BVP)--again a group unlikely to go for the KPD.

The NSDAP did enjoy substantial working-class support. However, it was more in areas of artisan or cottage industry than in heavy-industrial areas like the Ruhr or large cities. "More than half of all those registered as 'workers' in the occupational census of 1925 lived in small towns or villages of under 10,000 inhabitants. Thus there existed significant potential for Nazi success without that success undermining traditional working-class support for the SPD (or the KPD), which had been largely concentrated in the big cities. " https://books.google.com/books?id=deGGAgAAQBAJ&pg=PA27

In short, the NSDAP's strongest support was in segments of society unlikely to support the KPD, even if there had been no NSDAP.

***

I realize that this does not answer your question of what a KPD-led Germany would look like if the KDP did somehow gain power in 1933. (I guess my answer to that would be that by 1933 the party was pretty thoroughly Stalinized, so it would follow the Soviet pattern.) But I do think it is important not to contribute, however unintentionally, to the "Hitler saved Germany from Bolshevism" myth.
 
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Wouldn’t this Germany likely have close relations with Soviet Russia? In which case, won’t the rest of Europe freak the collective hell out? It’ll be the Molotov-Ribentrop pact times 100 in their eyes.
 
Well, this heavily depends on what type of KPD would lead Germany.

Would it be the Luxemburgist wing (including Liebknecht and Luxemburg herself)? Then you can expect some type of socialist democracy.
Would it be the Stalinist KPD of Ernst Thälmann? The question here is how they should come to power. They may have been the strongest left-wing party in some parts of Germany but they alienated everyone else so they couldn't have reached power.

Or would it be the right-wing "conciliation"-wing which was purged from the party from 1929 to the end? They heavily supported a coalition with the SPD. If they had played their cards correctly, they might have been able to push themselves before the SPD as the more resolute (but still serious) alternative. But then Germany would not be the classic Stalinist dictatorship, which many imagine, but rather a social democratic state with nationalisations in some sectors of the economy (Great Britain after 1945?).
 
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