On the topic of France (I would keep from commenting on Germany), it feels like latent Germanophobia is underestimated, even though you do point at it.
As I see it, if France and its people are almost evenly despising the Communist bloc and Freyist Germany, and counting that other French habit of despising NATO (it led to rejection of European Defence Community in 1955, development of independent nuclear arsenal and eventually under de Gaulle, withdrawal from NATO), I would say that a logical conclusion is 'Splendid Isolation', except that France doesn't have a sea around.
However, France does have a particular nuclear doctrine made by de Gaulle that roughly says, 'if you invade our national territory, we nuke you' (well, I may be oversimplifying, but that's the spirit).
On that, I was surprised to learn in a recent article (Guerre&Histoire, no 38, pp48-49), about the impact of French nuclear strategical doctrine on Soviet strategic doctrine that appeared in the Vorochilov Lectures (IOTL, documents from a Soviet military academy leaked by an Afghan officer who defected after his country invasion in 1979). In that article, I read that the Soviets considered the French and their doctrine an element so independent that they adapted their war strategy from an all out nuclear war in case of WWIII to a more conventional one. I lack enough knowledge of the subject so I can't elaborate, but that says about how the Soviets may consider France on the diplomatic stage, and if Gorbachev (as Foreign minister) has enough wisedom, he might use that to instill a schism within NATO and create enough uncertainty on the western back of Freyist Germany to calm it down (Frey may use German taxpayer money to hire best public relation firms in the world, that wouldn't help him with century long Franco-German grudge).
