Paper Doves in Flight: Poland & The World After Communism

Okay, just wanted to say that this isn't dead and will be updated in the next few days unless Trump wins and I drink myself into a stupor.

However, because I'm not sure which of my ideas to go with first, I'd like to ask you, all three or so ( :p ) of my readers, what you'd like to see first. Your choices are:

- Brief history of the UPR and PPS from 1989 to 1998
- Canadian 1997 election
- Slovakia 1994

Canada would be awfully boring, with Chretien either winning a larger majority or a strong minority. Unless the Quebec referendum happens.

Actually, what happened with the Quebec referendum? It didn't affect the 1996 American election, so, I guess nothing.

Slovakia it is, then.
 
Canada would be awfully boring, with Chretien either winning a larger majority or a strong minority. Unless the Quebec referendum happens.

Actually, what happened with the Quebec referendum? It didn't affect the 1996 American election, so, I guess nothing.
Without spoiling too much, the Quebec referendum happened on schedule and Quebec voted to remain a part of Canada by a larger margin than IOTL. However, the country paid a rather heavy price for that. ;)
 
Slovak 1996 Parliamentary Election
Apologies about the delay - real life intervened. :)

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While the Czech Republic went through with democratisation and moderate market reform, Slovakia followed a rather different path immediately after the Velvet Divorce. Its politics were dominated by the populist Movement for a Democratic Slovakia (HZDS) and its charismatic strongman leader, Vladimír Mečiar, who was the leading force behind the breakup of Czechoslovakia. Mečiar and his coalition partners, the far-right Slovak National Party (SNS), were sceptical of privatisation and rapprochement with the West and pursued aggressively nationalist policies targeting Slovakia's substantial Hungarian minority population. Mečiar also had a strong authoritarian streak which manifested itself in his attempts to pack the government and civil service with cronies and his tendency to bully the critical press and even the HZDS' own MPs, as shown in 1993 when Mečiar's strongarm tactics almost torpedoed his bid to install loyalist Roman Kovac as President of Slovakia. In response to these tendencies, a group of HZDS MPs led by former Foreign Minister Milan Knazko (who was forced out of the government because of what Mečiar perceived as his overly pro-Western policies) defected and formed the Alliance of Democrats of Slovakia (ADS), which positioned itself on the already crowded liberal right along with the Christian Democratic Movement (KDH) and the small Democratic Party (DS).

While Mečiar would soften his approach somewhat following the defection, it was already too late to save his government. A backlash grew among the population owing to the HZDS' poor management of the economy, and the coalition parties began sliding in the polls. The main beneficiary of this slide was the post-communist, social democratic Party of the Democratic Left, which had absorbed the small Social Democratic Party of Slovakia (notable mostly for briefly being led by Alexander Dubček) and became the Party of the Democratic Left - Social Democrats (SDL-SD), while voters who liked Mečiar's left-populism but were disappointed by the man himself found a substitute in the orthodox Marxist-Leninist Communist Party (KSS). Meanwhile, in response to Mečiar's nationalist, anti-Hungarian policies, three parties representing the Hungarian minority merged to form the Hungarian Coalition (MK), to provide a strong, unified Hungarian voice in the next parliament.

Despite several more defections from both the HZDS and the SNS (which lost its moderate wing to a splinter party), the coalition managed to make it to the end of the term. It became increasingly clear that the HZDS' main opponent in the 1996 election would be the SDL-SD, with both parties polling around 20%. On election day, the SDL-SD was tipped to win, but the HZDS managed to outperform the polls, once again becoming the largest party but losing almost half of its parliamentary representation. Nevertheless, with the SNS out of parliament, Mečiar had no possible coalition partners (as even he considered the Communists beyond the pale, and in any case such a coalition would still be well short of a majority), leaving the SDL-SD's young, intellectual and popular leader Peter Weiss to form a broad-based coalition government consisting of the SDL-SD, the KDH, the ADS and the DS. While the parties differed on specific policies, all four were determined to push forward with market reforms, pursue a pro-Western foreign policy and temper Mečiar's antagonistic approach to Slovakia's ethnic minorities.

However, the HZDS was down, but not quite out yet.

wikiboxslovak96.png
 
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Prime Ministers of Poland (1989-1997)
Got a bit bored during finals revision, so...

Prime Ministers of Poland (1989-1997):

1989: Czesław Kiszczak (Polish United Workers' Party)¥
1989-1990: Tadeusz Mazowieckj (Solidarity/Democratic Union)
1990: Jan Olszewski (Solidarity/Centre Alliance)¥
1990-1991:Jan Krzysztof Bielecki (Solidarity/Liberal Democratic Congress)
1991-1992: Jan Olszewski (Centre Alliance leading Centre-Christian National-Confederation for an Independent Poland-Peasants' Agreement-Real Politics Union coalition)
1992: Waldemar Pawlak (Polish People's Party)¥
1992-1993: Henryk Goryszewski (Christian National Union leading Christian National-Democratic Union-Liberal Democratic-Centre-Peasants'-Party of Christian Democrats coalition)
1993-1994: Gabriel Janowski (Peasants' Agreement leading Peasants'-Christian National-Centre-Confederation-Christian Labour coalition)
1994-1996: Waldemar Pawlak (Polish People's Party leading People's-Freedom Union-Reform Forum coalition)
1996-1997: Roman Jagieliński (Polish People's Party leading People's-Freedom Union-Reform Forum coalition)
1997—: Józef Oleksy (Democratic Left Alliance leading Democratic Left-People's coalition)

¥ - appointed to office of PM but failed to form government
 
Slovak political scene

This doesn't seem that much different from OTL. Kňažko's ADS seems like an ATL party, though. Right ?

Does your ATL also include some variation on Mečiar's OTL attitude of insisting on Slovakia being "militarily balanced between the West and Russia, but not aligned with either" ? He had a bit of a fetish for that, in a "poor man's Non-aligned Movement pretentions" sort of way. :p

Jan Langos looks like a sweeter version of Hitler.

Honestly, Langoš was instrumental in founding the Ústav pamäti národa (Nation's Memory Institute) in the early 2000s. It specialises on cataloguing, archiving and researching those periods of Slovak history that are particularly linked to the two totalitarian regimes we've suffered through. It's basically a failsafe against denialism of military or governmental crimes and human and civic rights abuses committed on Slovak citizens by past regimes.
 
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This doesn't seem that much different from OTL. Kňažko's ADS seems like an ATL party, though. Right ?
Well, with the difference that there's no 1994 vote of no confidence and therefore Mečiar limps on until the end of his term.

The ADS existed IOTL but merged into another party before the 1994 election.


Does your ATL also include some variation on Mečiar's OTL attitude of insisting on Slovakia being "militarily balanced between the West and Russia, but not aligned with either" ? He had a bit of a fetish for that, in a "poor man's Non-aligned Movement pretentions" sort of way. :p
Yes, it does, I didn't really spell it out but I did mention Kňažko getting sacked for his support of NATO membership and the like.
 
Well, with the difference that there's no 1994 vote of no confidence and therefore Mečiar limps on until the end of his term.

Yes, I've noticed.


Ah, now I remember ! Was just a young'un back then, so I hardly had a grasp on the different political parties.

Yes, it does, I didn't really spell it out but I did mention Kňažko getting sacked for his support of NATO membership and the like.

I've figured, I was just curious whether his ATL self is equally vocal about it.
 
@Heat I was wondering... Do you have plans for Italy TTL? Besides the CEE countries, Italy was probably the biggest case of political reconfiguration in the continent in the light of the end of the Cold War, so it'd be interesting to see where you take it. Plus, in Italy's case the left really did snatch defeat from the jaws of victory due to Berlusconi.
 
@Heat I was wondering... Do you have plans for Italy TTL? Besides the CEE countries, Italy was probably the biggest case of political reconfiguration in the continent in the light of the end of the Cold War, so it'd be interesting to see where you take it. Plus, in Italy's case the left really did snatch defeat from the jaws of victory due to Berlusconi.
I definitely want to do an Italy update sometime but I haven't had a chance to really research it yet.
 
The timing of your PoD means great potential indeed for Italian shenanigans, the problem is with finding English sources on Tangentopoli.
 
The timing of your PoD means great potential indeed for Italian shenanigans, the problem is with finding English sources on Tangentopoli.

It's a bit broad, but Paul Ginsborg's "Italy and its Discontents, 1980-2001" is a great place to start.

EDIT: The best source, even if you don't speak Italian, in order to get a hang of the situation (at least visually) is a wonderful 1997 four-part 80 minute each documentary, Mani Pulite but it's sadly no longer on Youtube.

1. Maruoli a Milano. (Mario's undertaking in Milan)
2. Gli uomini d'oro (The men of gold)
3. I viceré (The viceroys)
4. Il duello (The duel)
 
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