One of the darker legacies of communism in Bulgaria was the Revival Process - a campaign to forcibly assimilate the country's Turkish minority. During the Process, Bulgarian Turks were forced to change their Turkish names to Bulgarian-sounding ones, the public use of the Turkish language was strongly discouraged, and Islamic and Turkish cultural traditions were officially suppressed. After democratisation, these policies were rolled back, largely under the influence of the Turkish-minority political party, the Movement for Rights and Freedoms. In turn, however, this met with a backlash from many Bulgarians, especially nationalists and former Communist Party officials in provincial cities who were afraid of losing property seized from Bulgarian Turks fleeing the country during the assimilation campaign and/or being held responsible for their crimes. This manifested itself in the addition of article 11.4 to the new Bulgarian Constitution, which prohibited political parties constituted 'on ethnic, racial or religious lines', and in an upswing of support for the self-described 'patriotic left-wing' nationalist Patriotic Labour Party (OPT).
Ethnic tensions came to a head in September 1991, when following a complaint by a group of nationalist activists, the Sofia City Court banned the Movement for Rights and Freedoms from running in the coming October parliamentary elections on the grounds that it violated article 11.4 of the Constitution. The decision caused immediate controversy, especially in the Turk-heavy northeast of the country where ethnic tensions had been running high as a result of Turkish activists campaigning for Turkish-language education in schools and Bulgarian nationalist activists (represented by the Committee for the Defence of National Interests, a front for the Patriotic Labour Party) strongly protesting any official attempts to accommodate the Turkish minority.
In late September, a violent altercation occurred in the city of Razgrad between a group of Turkish activists leading a protest against the banning of the Movement and a group of Bulgarian nationalists gloating about the same. Several of the nationalists were wounded, and in retaliation a larger group of nationalists attacked the homes of several known Turks and desecrated a Razgrad mosque. The escalating violence soon led to a series of ethnic riots across Razgrad Province, as nationalists attacked and, in some cases looted Turkish homes and Turkish activists struck back by attacking nationalist marches. All the while, the violence was fomented by Patriotic Labour leader, Mincho Minchev, who held several rallies in Razgrad at the same time.
The riots electrified Bulgarian public opinion, especially with elections so close. The post-communist Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP) sought to capitalise on rising nationalist sentiment in the wake of the riots, as did (obviously) the Patriotic Labour Party. While the anti-communist opposition alliance, the Union of Democratic Forces (ODS) had been predicted to win the election, the polls soon began to show a surge in support for both the Socialists and Patriotic Labour. In the end, on 13 October, the Socialists won by a surprisingly large margin, while Patriotic Labour came a just as surprisingly strong third. Two other formations made it into the National Assembly - the Democratic Coalition (DK), a centre-left alliance lead by famous anti-communist activist (and Social Democratic leader) Petar Dertliev including the Social Democratic Party, the Green Party, the Liberal Party and the Ekoglasnost movement, all of which were members of the Union of Democratic Forces but left over the course of 1991 due to the Union's increasing domination by its right-wing, monarchist wing, and the Bulgarian Agrarian National Union (BZNS), a merger of two agrarian parties of the same name (one post-communist, one anti-communist) brought together by emigré activist Tsenko Barev. The Socialist Party and the Patriotic Labour Party soon formed a coalition government under Socialist leader Aleksandar Lilov.
The Socialist government pursued only very limited market reform, putting off restructuring and pouring public money into state-owned enterprises, which increased production and, at least temporarily, kept living standards afloat. At the same time, 'nomenklatura privatisation', under which the former nomenklatura were allowed to take over and asset-strip Bulgarian state-owned enterprises, was allowed and essentially encouraged under Lilov. At the same time, egged on by the Patriotic Labourites and increasingly by their own base, the government pursued strongly anti-Turkish policies. Turkish-language education was once again ended, despite complaints from Turkish activists and some of the opposition (particularly the Democratic Coalition) that this violated the Constitution. Officials began impeding the operation of ethnic Turkish organisations, and an indefinite moratorium was placed on restitution of property to Bulgarian Turks who had fled to Turkey during the 80s and had left property behind.
With the Union of Democratic Forces still tearing itself to bits with in-fighting, many hoped that President Zhelyu Zhelev (aligned with the Union) would provide a strong voice of opposition to the government. Zhelev had been elected by the Grand National Assembly in 1990, and the new Constitution mandated that he had to stand for election in 1992. While polls initially predicted that he would win the election in the first round, defeating the Socialist candidate, law professor Velko Valkanov. However, the fact that the government was still in its honeymoon period and the rise of sportsman-turned-actor-turned-populist politician George Ganchev, leader of the Business Bloc, as well as the Democratic Coalition's candidate, former Mayor of Sofia and Green Party leader Aleksandar Karachanov meant that Zhelev won the first round only narrowly, and due to a lower-than-expected turnout among younger, educated voters, lost the second round to Valkanov, consolidating the Socialists' power.
As the economy slowed down and the appeal of nationalism began to fade, the Socialists began working to consolidate their grip on power. The National Assembly soon changed the electoral law to a mixed system, with half the seats elected by a proportional system and the other half elected through first-past-the-post, with the districts drawn in order to favour the Socialists. At the same time, the government took measures to limit the powers of mayors in urban areas which tended to favour the opposition. As the Electoral Commission was entirely appointed by the President, it too was essentially neutralised. Lilov's government resolved to hold on in the face of street protests organised by the opposition, betting on its loyal rural supporters - and its manipulation of the electoral system - to keep it in power.
In spite of the government's increasingly authoritarian tendencies, the Union of Democratic Forces still couldn't quite seem to get over its in-fighting, leading younger, educated Bulgarians to overlook it in favour of the Democratic Coalition, which rose high in the polls as a result of its spirited defence of the democratic system. Of course, with the new electoral system, a split opposition vote would only help the Socialists.
In the end, turnout fell sharply on election day, benefiting the government with its more consolidated and, as the opposition and international election observers would later claim, occasionally bought off rural base. This was largely down to a feeling of hopelessness among many opposition supporters, but it wasn't helped by suspiciously long queues in front of Sofia and Plovdiv polling stations which seemed suddenly much less numerous than four years earlier. As predicted, the Democratic Coalition rose sharply while the Union of Democratic Forces fell back, while the Patriotic Labour Party barely made it over the 4% threshold necessary to win proportional seats due to tactical voting in favour of the Socialists. The populist George Ganchev's Business Bloc also narrowly made it over the threshold, with Ganchev himself winning a single-member district over a Socialist candidate accused of links with organised crime. The Agrarian National Union under its new leader Anastasia Mozer actually increased its vote, but was still hurt by the new electoral system and lost half its seats. And, of course, even though the Socialists' vote share actually fell, they still managed to win a majority of the seats.
Prime Minister Aleksandar Lilov, who was seen as a reformer just five years earlier, now seemed poised to turn Bulgaria back into an authoritarian state after its ever-so-brief flirtation with liberal democracy.