Update #36: Same-Sex Marriage Act
Everyone from journalists to opposition MPs could admit that Pierre Pettigrew made for a better Prime Minister than his predecessor, and seemed to have lived up to the expectation that many held for the late Paul Martin. He had brought the Liberal Party from crisis to stability, minority to majority, from internal division to unity. He had dispatched his Conservative rival handily, and established a healthcare deal with provinces made up primarily of centre-right premiers. But like any politician, even the best, his luck had begun to run out. The first blow came at the 75th First Ministers’ Conference, where the Prime Minister’s proposed Pan Canadian Environmental plan had fallen way to the provinces concerns following the September 27 attacks and the ensuing conflict in the Middle East. Pettigrew had committed some Canadian peace keeping forces, but was hesitant to add any ground troops to the conflict in Afghanistan and the unrest emerging in Iraq and neighbouring regions. As was on display during the healthcare conference with Premiers, Prime Minister Pettigrew held a macromanager style towards policy. He set the agenda, and let others do the work. Thus when it came to conflict in the Middle East, it was often left to his ministers to explain to the house the government’s rationale as to why Canada would not commit resources, even though the ministers themselves did not have the entire picture. There was also the matter of the scandals. As reported by the Globe and Mail in the early months of 2001, documents showed that Pettigrew had taken his chauffer with him on his various foreign trips as Prime Minister, costing taxpayers approximately $10,000. This, when added to the fact that it was wildly known that the Prime Minister frequently vacationed at his Paris apartment that he had owned for the past twenty years, created the image of an aloof government head more interested in luxury than doing his job. For the first time since Pettigrew took office in 1999, the Tories found that there was blood in the water.

The PMO decided to fast-track one of their leader’s coveted pieces of legislation, originally scheduled for after the next election, to pull voter attention away from the scandals and instead on potential historic change. A quick win might reaffirm the Liberal brand as they finalized their campaign footing.

Historically speaking, the golden rule followed by most Canadian politicians was to avoid the controversial stuff and get re-elected. This was especially true after the turbulence witnessed during the eighties to mid-nineties. Within that time span Canada had repatriated its constitution, signed a free-trade agreement with the United States, held various constitutional meetings, which culminated in two failed ratification attempts, and of course two separate independence referendums involving the province of Quebec. Suffice to say, voters were more than tired of the big-ideas and the controversial, and were more interested in a government that embraced the mundane. As such, issues like Same-Sex Marriage fell to the wayside. That’s not to say it wasn’t debated. On September 18, 1995, the House of Commons rejected, 124-52, to legalize Gay marriage. Prime Minister Paul Martin was interested in the country’s finances, not its definition of marriage. Three years later it was rejected once again. NDP MP Svend Robinson, Canada’s first openly Gay MP, tabled a private member’s bill, which was subsequently buried by the house. The House of Commons even voted to reaffirm the definition as being a union between one man and one woman. But if Parliament would not address the issue, it seemed as though the courts would. In 1999 the Supreme Court ruled in M. v. H. [1999] 2 S.C.R. 3 that same-sex couples in Canada were entitled to receive many of the financial and legal benefits commonly associated with marriage. However, this decision stopped short of giving them the right to full legal marriage. Most laws which affect couples are within provincial rather than federal jurisdiction. Thus, rights for homosexual couples varied from province to province. In 2001 and 2002, court decisions in the superior courts of BC, Ontario, and Quebec found that the existing laws were discriminatory against same-sex couples and ran contrary to the equity clause of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms.

Some within the Liberal caucus, like Tom Wappel, hoped that the government would appeal the decisions. But since Prime Minister Pettigrew had made the introduction of Same-Sex marriage legal as a part of his leadership and election manifestos, and thus was glad to see the dirty work being completed by the courts. While an official government sponsored bill would likely have the unanimous support of the cabinet, the majority of the party, both the NDP and the Bloc, it would most definitely not have the support of the Reform Party and a large number of Tories. On September 11, 2002, the Reform Party introduced a non-binding motion to once again reaffirm the heterosexual definition of marriage. The same language that had been passed in 1999 was brought to a free vote, with members asked to vote for or against the 1999 definition of marriage. By a clear majority, the motion failed.

Suffice to say, the situation was awkward for the Tories, just as the Liberals had hoped.

Jim Dinning was by all accounts a member of the party’s right-wing. After all, he was the architect of the Klein revolution, and was largely known as one of the biggest fiscal conservatives, if at least the most successful one, in the entire country. Yet when it came to social policy, Dinning was far more moderate. This wasn’t a fact he tried to advertise during his leadership campaign. After all, most of the Red Tories and moderates had backed John Tory or Lewis Mackenzie at that point. In order to defeat them, Dinning had positioned himself as the most credible right-wing candidate, meaning he was forced to tamper down on some of his own personal beliefs and instead focus exclusively on fiscal policy. He had won, but was now forced with a situation that could potentially divide his party only a year out from the next election. On the one hand, endorsing the government’s bill would give a large swath of voters the impression that Dinning wasn’t some scary, populist American republican as his opponents attempted to portray him as. On the other hand, if he publicly endorsed same-sex marriage, he opened the possibility of a schism within his own party and a potential revival of the Reform Party in the more socially conservative regions of the country. If the Tories were to be competitive in the next election, they needed their base intact, which meant winning out West. The obvious answer was to allow his caucus a free vote on the matter, knowing that with their majority, and the fact they enjoyed the support from two of the four opposition parties, the government would easily pass their legislation. It was now only a matter of how, as Conservative Party leader, Dinning would vote. He soon announced that he would vote against the measure, but privately made clear that no MP would face retribution if they were to vote in favour of the governments proposed law.

Entitled An Act respecting certain aspects of legal capacity for marriage for civil purposes, the bill was given its first reading on February 1, 2003 following its introduction by Justice Minister Bill Graham. On June 20, a vote was held in the House of Commons. By a margin of 169-125, the bill passed. Liberals Tom Wappel, Jo Comuzzi, and NDP MP Bev Desjarlais voted against the bill, joining the entirety of the Reform Party and a plurality of the Tory party. Although they were engulfed in several scandals, the Liberals had pulled off yet another major victory in parliament, as well as their last major piece of legislation before the next election.

eAdpNpg.png
 
Last edited:
Update #37: Democratic presidential primaries, 2004
Al Gore’s presidency was somewhat of a mixed bag going into 2004. Although many applauded his handling of the 9/27 terrorist attacks, his party suffered notable defeats in the midterms, further handicapping the President’s ability to implement his agenda. For all intents and purposes, Gore had become a lame-duck. But this was not to say he wasn’t capable of doing anything, at least that was the message coming from his press office.

In the aftermath of the midterms, Gore faced the typical internal party pressure to alter course. Party insiders urged the President and his team to embrace more tax cuts, take a tougher stance against Iraq and Saddam Hussein, and reign in his administration’s attempt to introduce healthcare reform. But changing the strategy did not interest Gore, who viewed the circumstances of his presidency more in terms of Harry Truman than Bill Clinton. Despite the calls from Republicans, military officials, and even those within his own party, the President remained opposed to sending ground troops to Iraq while at the same time having committed resources to Afghanistan. By the time of Gore’s State of the Union address in January, rumours Continued to swirl that Iraq was an ally and supporter of al-Qaeda. They persisted despite the fact that Saddam's known distrust of Islamic radicals extended to al-Qaeda. The distinction between belief and reality was becoming blurred by nationalist fever. But again, Gore stood his ground. In his speech he spoke of bringing North Korea to heel following their withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty. He spoke praise of the sanctions against Iraq, claiming that had and would continue to prevent the rogue state from acquiring nuclear weapons. Needless to say, the Republicans were not happy. Luckily for Gore, eventually Hans Blix and the United Nations confirmed that Iraq had not initiated a program to garner weapons of mass destruction, thus giving his administration the excuse it was looking for to not go to war with a second nation in the Middle East.

Meanwhile in Afghanistan, the fighting had intensified. There were renewed efforts by the Taliban coming from Pakistan. The Pakistani military had done little to secure their boarder, with rumours suggesting they were openly assisting bin Laden. Suffice to say this did little to build confidence in the Massoud government, who had already been forced to deal with various assassination attempts against many of their officials, including those on their President. Throughout 2003 President Gore signed off on plans to deeply special forces to Indonesia and Turkey to suppress the growth of domestic terror cells in those respective nations. While it allowed Gore to gain some semblance of a Commander-in-Chief with a commitment to chase al-Qaeda and its allies to every corner of the Earth, some charged that Gore was leading from behind and no doing enough to tackle the main problem in the Middle East.

There was little doubt that President Gore wouldn’t seek a second term in office. The last President to refuse to run for re-election was Lyndon B. Johnson in 1968, and that was only thanks to a challenge by Bobby Kennedy. Still, murmurs swept across DC that Gore would face some form of challenger, either from his party’s right or left flanks. The only question was who. The President's approval ratings remained only slightly above fifty percent, and the overwhelming support that Gore had enjoyed following the September 27 terrorist attacks had dissipated. The economy was still weak, the war in Afghanistan had created an ever-growing budget deficit, and many Americans were concerned about the military operations that were ongoing in the Middle East. There was also the fact that the Republicans and their base seemed to have an energy that had not been seen since the Reagan era. Clearly many Republicans believed that after twelve years of a Democratic White House, Americans would be willing to hand the keys to their party, especially in a time of war. After all, wasn't it the Republicans who had ended the Cold War?

Many progressive democrats pressured Minnesota Senator Paul Wellstone to challenge the President for their party’s nomination. Unfortunately for the party’s left-flank, the Senator was facing an uphill battle in his home state. It was rumoured that Republicans had recruited a highly financed moderate in the form of Norm Coleman, and it appeared voters were open to send Wellstone packing come 2008. The progressive firebrand, still suffering from the symptoms of multiple sclerosis, decided that safest bet was to stay in Minnesota. Other names floated included 2000-runner up Bill Bradley, Vermont Governor Howard Dean, and Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich. But challenging an incumbent President was an uphill battle, and doing so opened the possibility of destroying their political career. But that didn’t bother the likes of Joe Lieberman. A foreign policy hawk with more in common with moderate Republicans than his own party, Lieberman had ironically been a finalist on Al Gore’s list of potential running-mates, a position that eventually went to New Hampshire Governor Jeanne Shaheen. But as upset as the Connecticut Senator was about missing his shot at the Vice Presidency, he was more upset about the President’s decision not to go to war in Iraq. Congressman Kucinich eventually joined Lieberman and Gore in the primary, setting up the quizzical contest of a candidate opposing the President for not doing enough in the Middle East, and another opposing him for doing too much.

Much of the Lieberman campaign’s hope relied on toppling the President in the first contest of the primary; Iowa. Home to a large number of traditionally blue-dog Democrats, the Connecticut Senator hoped his pro-war stance would be enough to galvanize potential supporters. While he would come close, President Gore emerged victorious in the caucus by a margin of five percent. Left with only his pride, Lieberman remained in the contest until the President’s clean sweep of mini-Tuesday on February 3. With only Congressman Kucinich left as his primary rival, Gore easy won the remaining primaries and marched into his party’s Convention with his Vice President. Gore was now faced with the challenge of convincing voters not to change horse midstream, and grant the Democrats a historic fourth consecutive term in office.

The Republicans meanwhile, having nominated yet another reliably red-state southerner, prepared for battle. They were desperate to reclaim the White House, and nothing would stand in their way. Well, almost nothing.

vloICUG.png
 
Last edited:

Hunter W.

Banned
Yes, but the 08' financial crisis will still happen and the unfortunate Republican President will be caught in a grand 'sike.'
 
By the time of Gore’s State of the Union address in January, it had become clear that Iraq was an ally and supporter of al-Qaeda. Osama bin Laden had said as much in a tape released to the public.

Saddam didn't even have ties to al Qaeda, much less support them. Even with a POD having occurred over a decade ago by this point, I doubt Saddam's personality and inherent distrust of Islamic radicals would have changed enough to get him to cooperate with a group like al Qaeda, which had quite a large amount of ties (pre-Iraq War IOTL) to the Saudi regime, a major regional rival of his.

With only Congressman Kucinich left as his primary rival, Gore easy won the remaining primaries and marched into his party’s Convention with his Vice President.

TFW your Joementum stalls because Democratic primary voters don't like to getting into unnecessary wars.

Senator-Joe-Lieberman.jpg


Gore was now faced with the challenge of convincing voters not to change horse midstream, and grant the Democrats a historic fourth consecutive term in office.

Just to be pedantic, a fourth consecutive Democratic term wouldn't be historic. We've had one party win five consecutive terms before (FDR & Truman) and the Republicans would have had six straight terms in the White House (from Lincoln to Arthur) if Andrew Johnson hadn't been the one to take over for Lincoln after his assassination.

The Republicans meanwhile, having nominated yet another reliably red-state southerner, prepared for battle.

I look forward to the transcripts of President Gore's debate with Governor Marceaux.
 
Damn! How did you know it would be Marceaux! Now I have to change it...

I guess I could change "historic" to "first Democrat to win a fourth term for his party in roughly sixty years". Sounds a bit wordy though.

Well that's my bad! Although I did write this update a month ago it's no excuse. No idea what I was thinking when I wrote it. I will endeavour to be better.

UPDATE: fixed it @lord caedus
 
Last edited:
Republican Primary will be up today. I tried to finish it yesterday but something personal came up.

Any predictions as to who Gore will face off against?
 
Update #38: Republican presidential primaries, 2004
Whereas the 2000 Republican Presidential Primary was essentially a two-man show between Texas Governor George W. Bush and Florida Senator Connie Mack III, the 2004 primary was a free for all, minus the frontrunner. Every Republican Governor and high ranking Senator in the country were running polls and checking their finances to see whether or not they had a chance at securing the top job. There were even rumours that a Bush would seek the nomination yet again, with it either being the one from Texas or from Florida. But more candidates in the race meant that the job of defining the party would be more difficult. Although party stalwarts wanted a quick contest to shore up the GOP’s chances in the general campaign, they too were divided over who to support. There was Arizona Senator John McCain, wildly known as the administration’s harshest foreign policy critic. McCain had contemplated running in 1996 and 2000, and had made the VP shortlist for both eventual nominees, but had always opted out to support a friend, Bob Dole and later Senator Mack, respectively. Polls showed him a popular choice with independents, but his maverick streak had proven unpopular with the wider Republican base in the past. From the early outset of the campaign it appeared as though that former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani would be McCain’s main challenger for the nomination. Dubbed “America’s Mayor” for his handling of the response in the immediate aftermath of the terrorist attack, Giuliani seemed the ideal hybrid for Republicans. First, he was a moderate on most social issues, and yet had earned a reputation as a tough-on-crime, law-in-order conservative, and had near-universal name recognition across the country. His campaign team hoped that fact would reduce the amount of work for their candidate. Rather than go to fundraisers, fundraisers would come to him.

Then there were the remaining candidates, at least those who made it to the primary season. Bill Frist was number three in the Republican leadership and scored high with conservatives of all stripes, at least those who knew his name. His connections down south were part of his plan to build momentum on the fact that there was no clear frontrunner. Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum was young, well spoken, and chairman of the Republican Senate Conference since 2000. He was also another arch-conservative that, with a lot more name recognition, would no doubt be a more significant player down the line. Most felt as though his campaign was, at best, an attempt to bypass years of working up the ladder and become Vice President. George Allen had dethroned star Democrat Chuck Robb to become a Senator from Virginia, the same state where he had served as Governor. His name often appeared on Republican’s wish-lists. Ron Paul, a congressman from Texas, also threw his name into the ring. A self-described Libertarian, Paul seemed more willing to run a campaign on policy and ideas than actually win. Then there were the Governors. Bill Owens had only been Governor of Colorado since 1999, but had quickly garnered favour with many of the people who had backed Governor Bush four years earlier. Re-elected with the largest majority in his state’s history, some mused that the recently re-elected Governor would be able to put the Western portion of the country into play against McCain. There was considerable support for Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee. A folksy former Baptist minister, Huckabee was essentially the most popular southern Republican in the country, and a champion of the party’s religious right wing that had elected the likes of Nixon, Reagan, and Bush I. So popular with the party’s grassroots, Huckabee had even placed first in a straw poll of Christian coalition leaders in February 1998, ahead of even George W. Bush. Finally, there was Fred Thompson. An equally folksy politician, Thompson had been elected to replace Vice President Gore as the Senator from Tennessee. An attorney before that, Thompson had gained notoriety for his publicly celebrated involvement in the Watergate trails. The future-Senator would go on to play a role in the corruption case against Tennessee Governor Ray Blanton. Interestingly enough, Thompson was also known for his film and television career, with roles in Die Hard 2, The Hunt for Red October, and Matlock. Principled, easygoing, and like McCain a straight-shooter, it seemed as though Fred Thompson had the chance to emerge as a real player in the race, depending on his showing in the first few contests.

Much like Lieberman’s strategy, most of the more right-wing Republicans placed their chips into Iowa, hoping to emerge as the candidate best prepared to take on whoever won New Hampshire, which polls showed to be a dead heat between McCain and Giuliani. Campaign flyers were put in mail boxes, speeches were given, and babies were kissed in every corner of the state.

Even before Election Night everyone knew that Huckabee would win Iowa, here he had led in the polls for much of the year. The real question was who would come in second. By a margin of six votes, Senator Fred Thompson emerged as the runner-up over Bill Frist. Like Huckabee, McCain would go on to win New Hampshire as expected, setting up a four-way battle royal in South Carolina between McCain, Huckabee, Thompson, and Frist. Although polls again showed Huckabee in the lead going into Election Day, a late swing to Fred Thompson by flustered McCain and Frist supporters pushed the Tennessee Senator just barley over the Arkansas Governor. Fred Thompson, for all his apparent lacklustre campaign skills, had vaulted into becoming one of the race’s frontrunners. Voters appreciated his folksy nature, the seemingly impromptu one-on-ones with locals, and the fact that unlike the other candidates, Thompson didn’t always come across as a typical politician.

Following divided victories across the South between himself and Huckabee, with Thompson pulling off yet another in Florida, this time against McCain and Giuliani, a dilemma had begun to emerge. Frist had indicated his preference for Thompson, and Allen had backed Huckabee, but with a divided southern conservative vote, McCain might have the chance to run up the middle and prolong the race longer than necessary. Now Fred Thompson and John McCain were old friends, and weren’t interested in trading blows in the debates. Thus, prior to Super Tuesday, a private meeting was set up between the two Senators, where Thompson offered McCain three positions in his potential administration; Secretary of Defence, State, and the Vice Presidency. Although McCain would most likely do well in the Northeastern states like Massachusetts and Vermont, it was Thompson and Huckabee who would sweep the South. With diminished funds and weakening poll numbers, McCain accepted his friend’s offer. The race was now a contest between “Fred” and “Mike”.

While McCain supporters were disappointed that their man had lost, most sided with Thompson, who would go on and capture the Republican nomination following his victory in Ohio. Now all that was left was the choice of a running-mate. Although many expected that McCain would be the obvious choice, the Arizona Senator had shown more interest in the State Department than cutting ribbons and sitting behind a potential President. His advisors drew up proposals, followed the vetting procedures, and gave the Senator his final shortlist, containing seven names; Governor Jeb Bush of Florida, Senator Richard Lugar of Indiana, Representative John Kasich of Ohio, Senator Chuck Hagel of Nebraska, Governor Tom Ridge of Pennsylvania, former Assistant Secretary John Bolton, and former Defense Secretary Bill Cohen. Most had, to varying degrees, the foreign policy credentials that the candidate lacked.

Having met individually with each of them, Thompson came to his decision, made his call, and informed his staff of the ticket. New campaign material would need to be printed, placards created, and a running-mate brought up to speed on the Thompson campaign’s strategy to bring down a first-term President and end the Democrats hold on the White House.

vewIHqV.png

(Credit to @True Grit for the wonderful map)
 
Top