I'm going to guess Manchin takes Oregon while Baker very narrowly takes Missouri and Ohio and thus the Presidency.
1976 is definitely the closest modern analogue, since Ford was a moderate Republican and Carter was a socially conservative (at the time, anyway) Southern Democrat.@Tex Arkana Looks like an alt-1976
Are the 3 missing electoral votes due to Nebraska/Maine or due to Washington DC disappearing?The New York Times just put out this piece analysing how counties are connected to eachother by looking at facebook friendships, coming up with some interesting info about how state boundaries and historical migrations still show up in Americans' social networks. There's an interesting feature where you can hover over a county and see which other counties are most connected to it, revealing some interesting dyamics in certain regions.
They also made some maps dividing the US into different regions with maximum social connectivity, so I used the Redraw website to see how their 50-state map would have voted.
I'm pretty shocked in general at the strength of state borders. It looks like Fairfield County's connections to the rest of Connecticut, and Connecticut's connections to Rhode Island and Western Mass. outweigh Fairfield's unexpectedly weak connections to New York City. Perhaps it has something to do with Fairfield being mostly commuters who work in the city but don't really build social ties there?I'm surprised that Fairfield County, CT, isn't part of New York in this scenario.
Yeah, I deleted DC because I wanted it to be an exact copy of the initial map.Are the 3 missing electoral votes due to Nebraska/Maine or due to Washington DC disappearing?
If the second, readd DC, and get 5,000 more Baltimoreans to vote and it shifts to Hillary.
View attachment 409508
Johnson >30
Johnson >40
Johnson >50
Johnson >60
Johnson >70
Johnson >80
Johnson >90
Johnson ~ 100
Trump >30
McMullin > 50
McMullin > 70
Sanders > 30
a state of mindCool, but what is Aleppo?
Wow... take out the DC suburbs from Maryland and the whole state turns red. That’s crazy. Also I like how in the Deep South, the state’s are basically the state lines, but in California there’s like four different states joining others states and so on just kinda interesting. Cool idea!The New York Times just put out this piece analysing how counties are connected to eachother by looking at facebook friendships, coming up with some interesting info about how state boundaries and historical migrations still show up in Americans' social networks. There's an interesting feature where you can hover over a county and see which other counties are most connected to it, revealing some interesting dyamics in certain regions.
They also made some maps dividing the US into different regions with maximum social connectivity, so I used the Redraw website to see how their 50-state map would have voted.
Here's the map from the NYT:
Here's what I made in Redraw:
The closest states:
AppalachiMaryPeake - 8 EVs - 47.8% Trump; 47.6% Clinton - 0.2% difference (4,723 voters)
The most Democratic states:
Virginia - 17 EVs - 37.3% Trump; 58.0% Clinton - 20.7% difference
That's unclear to me. Given both the addition of Delaware and pieces of West Virginia, I'm not sure on the balance which way it goes. And I agree with the original poster. If this area is part of a swing state, there would likely be a lot of voters in Baltimore that would actually show up. There are significant parts of Maryland, particularly the city of Baltimore that had no close races on the ballot in 2016.Wow... take out the DC suburbs from Maryland and the whole state turns red. That’s crazy. Also I like how in the Deep South, the state’s are basically the state lines, but in California there’s like four different states joining others states and so on just kinda interesting. Cool idea!
The Democratic nominee here was an Irish Catholic who had an illegitimate child with his black mistress.
What states does the Democrat win?
Yet New Orleans goes for the Republican?
The Democratic nominee here was an Irish Catholic who had an illegitimate child with his black mistress.