Here's another addition to the Rutherford Scenario. I've created a map showing my best guesses as to how the white vote by county would go in this scenario:
For reference, here's the original white vote by state map that I posted:
As I established previously, Rutherford wins the white vote in 39 states and D.C., carrying it in every non-Southern state except for Arizona, and in the Southern states of Delaware, Kentucky, Maryland, Oklahoma, Texas, and West Virginia (the South here including the former Confederate States, the Border States bar Missouri, and Oklahoma). As the county map makes clear (especially when compared to the actual results by county map:
https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/novelas/images/e/ed/United_States_presidential_election_results_by_county,_2016_(plain).png/revision/latest?cb=20181010050544), Rutherford would not have won Arkansas, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee without nonwhite voters. He would have suffered landslide losses in Alabama and Mississippi, while several other states (i.e. Idaho, Indiana, Kansas, Nebraska, Texas, Oklahoma) would have been closer. The map, however, also displays the vast difference between Southern and Northern whites in this election. Leach wins Southern whites 53-47%, while Rutherford carries Northern whites 60-40%. He wins whites 64-36% in the Northeast, 59-41% in the Midwest, and 57-43% in the West.
Non-white voters handed Rutherford some major counties (i.e. Staten Island and Queens in New York; Essex in New Jersey; Lancaster and Dauphin in Pennsylvania; Hamilton in Ohio; DuPage and Kendall in Illinois; Waukesha in Wisconsin; Bexar, Dallas, Fort Bend, and El Paso in Texas; Orange, Riverside, and San Bernardino in California; Prince William and Virginia Beach in Virginia; Charleston and Richland in South Carolina; Orange, Osceola, Seminole, St. Lucie, and Manatee in Florida; Caddo and Jefferson in Louisiana; Fulton, Cobb, Chatham, and Richmond in Georgia; Hinds in Mississippi; Washoe in Nevada; Fayette in Kentucky; Sedgwick and Wyandotte in Kansas; Douglas in Nebraska; Oklahoma and Canadian in Oklahoma; Shelby in Tennessee; etc.) and pushed him over the 60% mark in California, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Texas, and Wisconsin.
Overall, I think this map is relatively plausible. In some states, the county map is exactly the same, and Rutherford wins whites in every county in New England, Delaware, Alaska, and Hawaii. As always, comments are welcome.