WI: Louisiana taken by the British after War of 1812

So, one tricky factor with this timeline is that Louisiana gained statehood in April of 1812. The remaining LA Purchase became the Missouri Territory. It would be quite the coup for the British to claim an admitted US state.

Indeed. As the Constitution guarantees every state protection from invasion, the federal government would be an obvious failure.
 
Indeed. As the Constitution guarantees every state protection from invasion, the federal government would be an obvious failure.

Right. So any concession of a state to a foreign power in war would lead to enormous civil strife. If the US lost the war of 1812 badly enough to cede the state of Louisiana, the US is in MUCH worse shape than even the POD supposes.

Unless we suppose that the POD is before 1812 and for some reason Louisiana is not split off from the Purchase territory and admitted as a state before the beginning of the war.
 
Britain never really wanted Louisiana, they wanted a port on the Upper Mississippi and maybe navigation rights, but their goals were elsewhere. They actually wanted Florida more than Louisiana.

I think they just use it as a bargaining chip if anything, but the war is probably over before it would ever come into play anyways. If anything happens, and I consider this somewhat unlikely, I think they the original sale null and retro-cede it to Spain and make America buy it again. So nothing changes except America pays a few million bucks to Spain. What I'd like to see is some three way horse trading where America keeps Louisiana, Spain gets some cash and Britain nabs Florida. Needs some hand-waving but it's more likely than British Louisiana.
 
Indeed. As the Constitution guarantees every state protection from invasion, the federal government would be an obvious failure.

Hadn't the Americans promised, during negotiations for the Treaty of Ghent, to cede parts of Maine north of the Penobscot to British Canada? I swear I remember reading that somewhere, I just can't remember where.

Right. So any concession of a state to a foreign power in war would lead to enormous civil strife. If the US lost the war of 1812 badly enough to cede the state of Louisiana, the US is in MUCH worse shape than even the POD supposes.

Unless we suppose that the POD is before 1812 and for some reason Louisiana is not split off from the Purchase territory and admitted as a state before the beginning of the war.

For the list that I had made, everything is the same until President Madison is killed in August 1814. The British might be able to argue that America's admission of the State of Louisiana was illegitimate since the sale of Louisiana to America was illegitimate. With the US in utter disarray, and economically broken, they don't really have a choice but to give the British the territory.
 
Hadn't the Americans promised, during negotiations for the Treaty of Ghent, to cede parts of Maine north of the Penobscot to British Canada? I swear I remember reading that somewhere, I just can't remember where.

Your right in that the Britsh always wanted to turn Maine/half of Maine into 'New Ireland' during the Revolution and kinda of in the War of 1812. ( Battle of Hampden.)
 
Hadn't the Americans promised, during negotiations for the Treaty of Ghent, to cede parts of Maine north of the Penobscot to British Canada? I swear I remember reading that somewhere, I just can't remember where.

The British wanted the Americans to cede eastern Maine, but the American negotiators refused. It did, though, take several months for the British occupation forces there to withdraw.
 
Hadn't the Americans promised, during negotiations for the Treaty of Ghent, to cede parts of Maine north of the Penobscot to British Canada? I swear I remember reading that somewhere, I just can't remember where.

You're right. This goes back to the Revolutionary War and carried through 1812. The Maine/New Brunswick border dispute goes back deep into the French Acadia days. That said, settling a preexisting border dispute post-war by ceding land is quite different from the wholesale unraveling of a state admitted to the Union. I'm not saying it couldn't happen, I'm just saying that failure of the US in the War of 1812 would need to be ENORMOUS the consequences of such for internal US politics would be catastrophic.

For the list that I had made, everything is the same until President Madison is killed in August 1814. The British might be able to argue that America's admission of the State of Louisiana was illegitimate since the sale of Louisiana to America was illegitimate. With the US in utter disarray, and economically broken, they don't really have a choice but to give the British the territory.

I'd imagine that it's more likely than not that disunion lies in the US's future going forward. Why trust the government in Washington with defending the nation in the future when it failed so miserably that a co-equal state was absorbed by a foreign power?

I'm trying to conceive of the economic and geopolitical circumstances that would lead Britain to favor going all-in on the American continent and what expense that would have for empire building in Asia and Oceania. What returns is Britain getting from its new territory? A new agricultural sector for cotton, sugar, timber, etc. A new link for trade with Native Americans, a geographically closer destination for sending settlers than Australia, potentially access to the copper resources around Lake Superior.

What costs? Needing troops to contain the United States, needing to deal with settlers via the US, playing diplomatic tango between former Spanish colonial possessions and the Spanish Caribbean.

I don't think it would immediately affect India operations; the BEIC was largely independent and succeeded in subjugating the Marathas in the late-1810s without large infusions of support from the Empire. It could have an effect on Anglo-Burmese relations into the 1820s and beyond. OTL, the First Anglo-Burmese War nearly bankrupted British India. ITTL if the Empire is also expending resources to securing and developing North America, difficult choices will need to be made with regard to Britain's expansion in Asia versus North America. Likewise, development in Australia likely slows to a crawl. I think that settlers and convicts who go to Australia OTL are likely to be diverted to British North America, although the more isolated Australian continent may be a more attractive destination for convicts than the diplomatically complicated Gulf region.
 
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