The Union Forever: A TL

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The Geneva Accords
December 2003

With the collapse of the Reformer government, the long stalled peace negotiations in Geneva finally made progress. Some Conservative hardliners wished to resume the fighting to recapture all of the lost territory but after nearly four years of conflict, the Conservatives simply did not have the strength to continue. Kuznetsov and his government were desperate for financial support and the people of the IEF faced starvation if large shipments of food did not arrive. Over several weeks in December, at a speed that amazed many observers, an agreement was hammered out between the various powers. Some of the chief terms included...

· A ceasefire between the Conservatives, Reformers, and various separatist groups would go into effect January 1, 2004.

· Reformer and separatist combatants and refuges who took an oath of loyalty to the IEF would be granted amnesty and allowed to return to their homes.

· Kuznetsov’s Regime would be recognized as the legitimate government of the IEF.

· All IEF assets frozen during the war would be unfrozen.

· All sanctions and embargoes against Kuznetsov’s government would be lifted.

· An international aid package of food and medical supplies worth $85,000,000,000 would be supplied to needed areas of the IEF and the newly independent states over the next four years.

· Reformer nuclear weapons and vessels that had defected to other nations would be returned to the IEF.


· Refugees who could not return to their homes would be allowed to settle in nations willing to allow immigration.

· To oversee the peaceful implementation of this agreement a Fellowship of Nations was to be established in Geneva. This organization was to be a formal continuation of the annual international summits that had met there during the civil war.

The most controversial article involved the twelve new nations that had been carved out of the IEF. While most foreign nations agreed that they had in effect achieved their independence, Kusnetsov’s government refused to grant them all recognition on account of a myriad of territorial, legal, and other disputes. In the end, the various powers agreed that the new nations and Kuznetsov’s government would “peacefully resolve their differences at a later time.” Unsurprisingly this agreement, known as the Geneva Accords, failed to satisfy everyone but it did preserve a rocky peace and allow much needed supplies to start reaching the beleaguered people of Eurasia.


View attachment 302895

80 mln displaced with 200 mpl population?
TTL Russian Civil war looks like much more bloody and devastating, than these in OTL.
IEF Economics will be burned to the ground...
 
80 mln displaced with 200 mpl population?
TTL Russian Civil war looks like much more bloody and devastating, than these in OTL.
IEF Economics will be burned to the ground...

The 60 - 80 million displaced includes internally displaced persons and refuges and includes all pre-civil war IEF territory. So that is out of a population of 381 million. A good number of the displaced persons will be resettled fairly quickly as they will be simply returning to their homes. Many however wont be so lucky.
 
So will we get a look at how each of the new nations and Russia is doing after the war?

And could you do something about the Reformers winning the war? Or if the Geneva Accords had failed, and Russia went to war with Germany and the rest of Europe?
 
Looks like the IEF is now effectively a third-world country, and China and Germany will probably benefit the most from this power vacuum.
 
Got a question, what were the ideologies of the reformers and conservatives? It didn't really specify aside from one was for the war in Manchuria and one was against

It's a little more nuanced than that.

The reformers, from my understanding, desired a true federal state, with all of the various federal units sharing power. This had been ongoing for quite a while (I seem to remember talks of a Polish Prime Minister, among others), and was sought by nearly all of the various federal subjects of the IEF.

The conservatives, for the most part, were a Russia first party, and wanted to maintain the supremacy of Russia within the federation (as the largest federal state and most populous one) and to prevent the various other states from gaining too much power in the Duma and other government agencies.

Note that the monarch at the start of the war was pro-reform, but she fell ill before it began. I believe that she died and was succeeded by someone else in the meantime. The only reason that the Conservatives seemed to have won was due to their control of the military and by the various federal states essentially bailing out immediately rather than fight to maintain the reformists. (Poland, Finland, Baltics, etc pretty much immediately jumped ship). This protected those states, but meant that the reformer's large base of support dried up very quickly.
 
Also, why do I have the feeling that China is going to annex Manchuria when the rest of the world is not looking? It was part of the Qing Empire for centures and China is really big on the whole "ancient" territorial claims thing.
 
Also, why do I have the feeling that China is going to annex Manchuria when the rest of the world is not looking? It was part of the Qing Empire for centures and China is really big on the whole "ancient" territorial claims thing.

Probably will just be a puppet for now; that won't happen for a while. In the meantime, they will proceed in removing all Russian cultural emblems with religious zeal.

Of course, with Russia basically ruined and India in pieces, who protects Mongolia/Uigherstan/Tibet/Tuva?
 
Probably will just be a puppet for now; that won't happen for a while. In the meantime, they will proceed in removing all Russian cultural emblems with religious zeal.

Of course, with Russia basically ruined and India in pieces, who protects Mongolia/Uigherstan/Tibet/Tuva?
No one, really. China can basically do what it pleases until the United States kicks out Zaal for his really garbage isolationist policy.

And the Technate of China is basically the USSR equivalent in the Cold War of this TL.
 
2003: Foreign and Domestic Developments
2003

Foreign and Domestic Developments

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Telesurgery Demonstration​


In January, the first telesurgery was conducted by Dr. Isidore Euguene Bloxham operating from Quebec City on a patient in Christchurch, New Zealand. Although the procedure was a standard appendectomy, it served as a proof of concept for the communication, computer, and automantonic technology needed to conduct remote surgery.

On February 18, Tariku Birra and his All-African People’s Party staged a coup seizing control in the Empire of Abyssinia. A staunch African nationalist, Birra reduced the aged Emperor Menelik III to a mere figurehead and spent much of the rest of the year violently consolidating his power.

While the 2003 World’s Fair was originally planned for St. Petersburg to celebrate that city’s tricentennial, the IEF Civil War made that decidedly impossible . Tunisi, Italy the runner-up was able to put on a highly praised exposition by the time visitors arrived. Having grown into an extremely cosmopolitan city over the past century, Tunisi provided an exotic mix of Italian, Arab, French, and Berber cultures. One of the biggest announcements at the fair occurred when Popsonic, the musical division of Vantage Industries, unveiled Vox a digital audio player that would revolutionize the music industry.

On September 28, Zambezia became an independent republic inside the Commonwealth of Nations. Henry Miyanda, who had served as prime minister when Zambezia gained dominion status in 1977, was sworn in as the nation’s first president.

During the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, the Muslim Hui minority in the Technate of China faced widespread discrimination as the Directorate of Health tried to enforce mandatory breaking of the ritual fast. While done officially for health reasons nearly all understood it to be a crackdown on a religion that disagreed with the state sponsored creed of Techno-Confucianism. While only partially successful, news of the repression of a small peaceful religious minority further sullied China’s reputation on human rights, even drawing an official condemnation from Pope Gregory XVIII.

On November 21, a reactor in a nuclear power plant near Breslau, Germany suffered a partial meltdown. The accident resulted in the unauthorized release of radioactive gases and iodine into the surrounding area. While the German government downplayed the incident as “a minor accident caused by the unlikely combination of human and mechanical errrors” it emboldened ecoists and anti-nuclear activist around the world like the Better World Society and Anti-Atomic Alliance. Needless to say, the German government's spotty handling of the situation led to a drop in public support for Chancelor Osterloh.

In December, the Tsugaru Strait Tunnel opened. At nearly 54 km, half of which lay beneath the ocean floor, it slightly surpassed the Cook Strait Tunnel making it the longest undersea tunnel yet constructed. Connecting the Japanese islands of Hokkaido and Honshu, the newly enthroned Emperor Takahiro presided over the ribbon cutting ceremony after his father’s unexpected death earlier that year. While the emperor no longer wielded any real political power in Japan, Takahiro’s youthfulness symbolized to many the vigor and energy of the post war generation that increasingly dominated the country.
 
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Also, why do I have the feeling that China is going to annex Manchuria when the rest of the world is not looking? It was part of the Qing Empire for centures and China is really big on the whole "ancient" territorial claims thing.

Probably will just be a puppet for now; that won't happen for a while. In the meantime, they will proceed in removing all Russian cultural emblems with religious zeal.

Of course, with Russia basically ruined and India in pieces, who protects Mongolia/Uigherstan/Tibet/Tuva?

No one, really. China can basically do what it pleases until the United States kicks out Zaal for his really garbage isolationist policy.

And the Technate of China is basically the USSR equivalent in the Cold War of this TL.

Regarding Manchuria, honestly I could see it go either way. On one hand, China has a claim the territory dating back centuries and may want to annex it while Russia is at its weakest. On the other hand they may want to simply keep it as a satellite state as it has been under Russian control for nearly 90 years. Any else care to weigh in on this?
 
MacGregor, if possible, could you show the various claims that the IEF is making? Parts of Central Asia, the Caucasus, and Manchuria, I imagine?

As of the beginning of 2004, the IEF still technically claims all of its lost territory but the reality is far murkier. Kuznetsov's government has deliberately left it vague trying to placate hardliners while not starting an all out war with foreign powers.
 
Regarding all the new independent states in the Commonwealth of Nations, how close is everyone to the British Government in London? Is it sort of like a League of American States type situation?
 
Regarding Manchuria, honestly I could see it go either way. On one hand, China has a claim the territory dating back centuries and may want to annex it while Russia is at its weakest. On the other hand they may want to simply keep it as a satellite state as it has been under Russian control for nearly 90 years. Any else care to weigh in on this?
Puppets are good for working around tarrifs and embargoes.
 
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