49. Revolution and Recession
“After emerging victorious from the Atacama War in 1881, Argentina entered a period of great prosperity, helped by the arrival of large numbers of Sicilian and Irish immigrants. Under the rule of the corrupt and oligarchic National Autonomist Party and fueled by a deluge of foreign investments, the country shifted towards industrial agriculture, though the industrialization of later decades had yet to happen. Amid the economic boom, the NAP instituted universal, free, secular education to all children in 1884, and entered into a naval arms race with Brazil [1].
This era of economic expansion came to an end as a series of large corporations went bankrupt towards the end of 1888, causing foreign investment to slow. This, combined with the rise of inflation, caused the speculative bubble in Argentina to burst, and the country entered a deep recession by mid-1889 (that helped cause a global economic slowdown the following year). The working class (many of its members having arrived during the boom years of the 1880s) had begun to organize before the Depression of 1889, and as businesses closed and companies made cutbacks, waves of strikes rocked the cities. President Miguel Celman was incredibly unpopular, and the Civic Union, led by Leandro Alem and Aristobulo del Valle, plotted to oust him. They counted on the indirect support of former President Bartolome Mitre.
The Civic Union secured the support of several army units in Buenos Aires, and Leandro Alem was able to secure the support of most of the expanded navy, as well. Manuel Campos, the leader of the rebel forces, planned to first seize the Artillery Park and establish a revolutionary junta, then secure key government buildings and capture the President and his cabinet, as well as Julio Roca, the President of the Senate and powerful former President. Meanwhile, the navy would simultaneously bombard the Casa Rosada barracks to cripple the ability of government troops to respond. After narrowly evading arrest by the government [2], Campos initiated the coup d’état on July 26th, as planned.
The rebel forces quickly secured Artillery Park, while the fleet bombarded the barracks and caught the government troops unawares [3]. Campo, following the plan [4], moved his well-armed [5] troops out of the park and towards the key objectives. Within six hours of the coup’s beginning, militiamen had arrested President Celman, Vice President Pellegrini, War Minister Levalle, and Senate President Roca. Meanwhile, after fighting their way through the streets, other rebel forces captured the barracks, which had been heavily bombarded by the navy. The remaining government troops surrendered after a brief battle. With much of the executive branch captured and the government troops in the city either captured or in disarray, the remaining resistance to the Civic Union (mostly Buenos Aires police officers) dissipated by the end of the 27th.
From the junta’s provisional headquarters on the Artillery Park, Alem issued the August Declaration, a manifesto of the Civic Union’s aims for the revolution. They had acted to “avoid the ruin of the country” by deposing a “corrupt government that represents illegality and corruption.” The junta condemned the “credo of the government that forces the people to live without voice or vote, witness the disappearance of rules, the trampling of principles and guarantees, tolerate the usurpation of our political rights, and maintaining those in power who have wrought the disgrace of the republic [6].”
There was some resistance from the provinces, but the swift decapitation of the central government and the beginning of insurrections in Corrientes and Tucuman pressured the other provinces to fall in line behind the new Revolutionary Junta, with Leandro Alem as its provisional president. By the end of August, the situation had calmed and Alem called for general elections to take place in April the following year, with secret ballots and universal male suffrage. It was here that the Civic Union split, between Alem’s more radical followers and Mitre’s more conservative followers. Julio Roca, disappointed that the entire system of patronage he had built had been swept away, nevertheless attempted to hold together the NAP and put forth the moderate Roque Saenz Pena as the party’s candidate.
The election was held in April under the terms of Alem’s August Declaration, though the electoral college remained in place. Alem received the unanimous nomination of the Radical Civic Union, and Mitre and Saenz Pena were also unanimously nominated by their respective parties. While Mitre’s National Civic Union was a cohesive party, the National Autonomists splintered into regionalist factions, with the Cordoba faction forming its own party and running Governor Manuel Pizarro, and the Corrientes faction running former Governor Juan Ramon Vidal. The Socialists nominated their leader Juan Justo, but the party was still weak nationally, and most workers gravitated towards the Radical Civic Union.
On election day Alem won a slim plurality of the popular vote, edging out Mitre by 6 percentage points. The National Autonomists completely collapsed, as Saenz Pena, despite his moderation, was unable to overcome his ties to the deposed Celman presidency or win back the Cordoba and Corrientes splinter tickets. When the electoral college met in July, just under a year since the Revolution of the Park, Leandro Alem was elected President with 120 electoral votes out of 232, with Mitre in a distant second with 52 and Saenz Pena third with 49. Regionalist parties and faithless electors comprised the rest. In the concurrent legislative elections, the entire Chamber of Deputies was put up for election. Ordinarily, half of the chamber stood for election every two years, but Alem, Mitre, and the Revolutionary Junta agreed that a truly fresh start mandated fresh elections for the entire chamber. The Radical Civic Union won a plurality of seats, with 44 out of 120. The National Autonomists came in second with 33, and the National Civic Union was the third-largest party with 25 seats. The two Civic Unions formed a cautious coalition to ward off the conservative parties.
President Alem and his allies quickly cemented the promised reforms, passing labor protections, legalizing trade unions, and working to diversify the national economy away from agriculture and towards other forms of industry. Argentina began its first steps towards the powerful liberal democracy it is today…”
-From ARGENTINA: A MODERN HISTORY by Jessica Harvey, published 2011
“Amid the devastating recession, there was a resultant reduction in purchases of consumer goods and raw materials. Therefore, rail traffic declined, and railroad companies began laying off workers and cutting wages. In Saint Louis, wage cuts at the Baltimore & Ohio Railroad depot without cuts in prices at the company store sparked protests, and the (un-unionized) workers called for a strike, which began on April 17th, 1891.
With the strike underway, many workers at the depot joined the Federation of Trade Unions [7], which supported the strike by launching sympathy strikes at railroad stations where workers refused to handle B&O rolling stock or service B&O locomotives. Within days, rail traffic at not only the Saint Louis B&O depot, but the Saint Louis Union Station and freight depots in Chicago, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Richmond, and Philadelphia had shut down. The B&O and other railroads affected by the work stoppages began hiring strikebreakers, who were in ample supply due to the high unemployment rate. The strikers often shouted insults and threw rocks as the strikebreakers headed to work, and finally, on May 3rd, violence broke out as strikers began beating strikebreakers in order to prevent them from entering the B&O depot. The brawl escalated into a riot as strikers destroyed locomotives and rolling stock and set fire to nearby buildings.
…strike threatened economic pandemonium if it became a protracted affair. President Carlisle agreed with his cabinet that the strike had to be ended swiftly, and he directed Attorney General Cleveland to obtain an injunction ordering the end of the strikes. This was duly granted by the local circuit court, and Cleveland warned the FTU that they were prohibited from “compelling or encouraging any impacted railroad employee to refuse to perform or hinder the performance of any of their duties.” This was ignored by the FTU, which was determined to make a strong statement and demonstrate its power and dedication to the railroad executives. An attempt by a more radical union, the Brotherhood of International Workers [8], to start a nationwide general strike, was opposed by the FTU and the tension ratcheted. Finally, on May 23rd, federal army troops and the Missouri National Guard moved in to suppress the strike. While the more moderate FTU stood down and urged the preservation of peace, the BIW-affiliated workers were often belligerent, leading to the deaths of 31 railroad workers nationwide. Property damage exceeded $90 million.
Carlisle claimed that his actions were constitutionally required because the railroad stoppages threatened the transport of mail, and the public generally agreed. However, while he won praise for his firm, decisive response to the railroad strikes, it did little to salvage his popularity as the country remained mired in the worst recession since 1837.”
-From LONG VIOLENT HISTORY: THE STRUGGLE OF AMERICA’S UNIONS by Jennifer White, published 2018
“It is difficult to argue that Carlisle was unaware of his crippling unpopularity, but perhaps he simply wouldn’t let himself believe it. The President decided to visit his hometown of Covington in June of 1891, partly to escape from the tension in Washington and partly to campaign for John Y. Brown, the Democratic nominee for Governor of Kentucky. His reception was cool, even in his hometown, and the President was dejected as he walked to his home after being booed at a speech [9].
When a young man called out to him and exclaimed “Mr. President! What an honor would be to shake your hand, sir,” Carlisle turned toward him and smiled, extending his hand. However, Henry Jennings did not intend to shake the President’s hand – he had been laid off from his job at the Stewart Iron Works due to the depression and blamed the President for it. Having already struggled with mental problems and alcoholism, the loss of his job untethered Jennings and sent him into a spiral, and when he heard that Carlisle was coming to visit Covington, he resolved to assassinate him.
Thus, when Carlisle turned to shake hands with Jennings, he was instead met with the barrel of a pistol. Jennings fired three times at close range, striking the President in the lung once and stomach twice. The wounded president was carried by his escorts back to his residence as Jennings was subdued and arrested by a policeman who had come running at the sound of gunfire. Despite the attention of doctors, President John Carlisle contracted sepsis within days and died on June 19th, six days after being shot. Upon being told of the President’s death, Vice President Stevenson ordered a national period of mourning and declared himself the President, not acting-President as some in his cabinet urged him to do [10]. Many Whigs resisted Stevenson’s full assumption of the Presidency, and within weeks the Whig majority in Congress began debating legislation to refer to Stevenson strictly as Vice President-acting President. It seemed that not only was the United States mired in an economic crisis, but it was also mired in a constitutional crisis as well…”
-From WHITE MAN’S NATION: AMERICA 1881-1973 by Kenneth Thurman, published 2003
[1] OTL, the arms race was with Chile. TTL, with a weaker Chile and greater tensions with Brazil, that’s who Argentina has the arms race with.
[2] This happened OTL, and it may have led to Campo turning traitor and collaborating with Roca instead.
[3] TTL, the government doesn’t find out about the coup and so their troops aren’t prepared. Meanwhile, the rebel takeover of the fleet goes a lot smoother.
[4] OTL, Campo refused to leave the park, ceding the initiative to the government. It is unknown why he did it.
[5] From the Civic Union’s OTL 1890 manifesto.
[6] OTL, the rebels found they had half as much ammunition as they thought. TTL, they double check and are properly armed.
[7] Basically a more successful and cohesive AFL.
[8] Basically a more isolated and radical ARU.
[9] This happened to Carlisle in 1896 IOTL. Not the assassination attempt, obviously.
[10] Remember that ITTL, Carlisle is the first president to die in office. The exact role of the Vice President is still unsure.