16 March 1942. Canberra, Australia.
John Curtin, Prime Minister and Minister for Defence Coordination, had greeted General Claude Auchinleck at the door of the Lodge (official residence of the Australian PM). Auchinleck had been delayed, so when he walked into the meeting room, Peter Fraser, the New Zealand Prime Minister, rose and shook his hand and that of Auchinleck’s deputy, Lieutenant General George Brett USAAF.
As well as the Prime Ministers, the Chief of the General Staffs of Australia and New Zealand, Vernon Sturdee and Edward Puttock, were also present. Later there would be a larger meeting involving staff members and other interested parties, but this meeting, ostensibly drinks before lunch, was in fact a chance to hammer out the main point of the agenda before the official meeting after lunch.
The focus of attention for both Australia and New Zealand had become the Pacific and South China Sea since the Japanese declaration of war. While strengthening Malaya with Australia’s 6, 8 and 9 Infantry Divisions, 7 Australian and 2nd New Zealand Infantry Divisions were still in the Middle East. The New Zealanders had played an important part in the defeat of Italian North Africa, and were currently underemployed. Although 7 Division was preparing to go into action in Rhodes, the New Zealanders were now back up to full strength in men and equipment, were sitting around keeping an eye on the Vichy French.
It was becoming very difficult politically to keep such strong and important forces in the Middle East when they could be doing something to knock out the Japanese threat. Curtin and Fraser wanted Auchinleck’s thoughts on how things were going, and particularly, what the end of American resistance on the Philippines meant.
Feelers had been put out to Washington DC to ask about American plans. The gathering of the infantry force on New Caledonia, and the build up of the USAAF in Australia and on Java were concrete signs that the Americans were starting to get onto a war footing. It was only a few months since the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbour, and while no one expected miracles of the Americans, the resources of the allies in the area weren’t going to be anywhere near enough until the Americans were fully deployed.
Strategically, the Americans would naturally want the Philippines back, but getting to it, needed the Netherlands East Indies secured. If the war had to be taken all the way back to Japan, there would either have to be an island-hopping exercise across the vastness of the Pacific, or, possibly, go through China, for which French Indo-China would need to be taken, and that would involve seizing Thailand.
If Churchill would agree to release the ANZACs from Wavell’s command to Auchinleck, ABDA would have an extra battle-hardened Corps to play with. The fact that 7 Division was trained for amphibious warfare was another desirable skill set. Coupled with the British reinforcements heading for Burma and Malaya, then the Japanese enterprise would be thrown off the rails completely.
The problem for both Australia and New Zealand was that they were just about at their maximum available manpower. Curtin and Sturdee were conscious that the Civilian Military Force (CMF) consisted on paper of five Infantry and two Cavalry Divisions. As these units were made up by conscripts, under the Defence Act, they were precluded from serving outside Australia or Australian territory. They were also undertrained and underequipped, while not at the same level as the Home Guard in Britain, garrison duties were about all that could be expected of them. Maintaining four AIF Infantry Divisions in the field and an Armoured Division about to join them, didn’t give Australia much leeway.
The New Zealand Army was looking at forming a second Expeditionary Force for the Pacific. They had increased the numbers of Battalions defending Fiji, creating two Brigades. There had been discussions about creating a third Infantry Brigade to augment the two on Fiji and create 3rd Infantry Division. The problem was that Fiji needed to be defended. If the Americans would take over that responsibility, then New Zealand could provide another strong force to the fight. In addition to the two Infantry Brigades, New Zealand had formed its 1st Army Tank Brigade, the previous October. So far, they had received thirty Valiant I tanks from Britain for training. Without more tanks the three Battalions weren’t anywhere near ready for deployment. If they were fully equipped, adding them to the two Infantry Brigades would provide a strong punch. The fighting in Malaya had shown the Infantry tank to be a potent weapon.
From Auchinleck’s point of view the idea of having the ANZACs in his area of responsibility would be an excellent addition, especially if 7 Division arrived with the Royal Navy’s amphibious capability. While that wasn’t likely, the Japanese had shown that amphibious assets didn’t have to be too sophisticated. It also wasn’t an immediate priority. First and foremost, the Japanese had to be stopped dead, and with the fall of the Americans in the Philippines, the Japanese would have more men to put into their efforts to gain the resource rich Netherlands East Indies.
Auchinleck asked Brett to give his assessment of the situation regarding the Philippines. Brett noted that the garrison on Corregidor still held out, and that there were other American forces spread over some of the other islands. However, for all intents and purposes, the Philippines were now under Japanese control. The question was how long it would take the Japanese to regroup and move their main force to somewhere else.
The best Intelligence evaluations suggested that, unless something happened to the Japanese navy’s ability to control the sea lanes, then one or possibly two Japanese Divisions would be available to expand their conquests. The American Pacific Fleet, without the battleships lost at Pearl Harbour, consisted of a few Task Forces based around their aircraft carriers. The British fleet was still in the Indian Ocean while awaiting the arrival of another couple of carriers. The good news was that the submarine forces of both fleets were being strengthened and that Japanese losses in its merchant fleet continued to grow.
Brett’s assessment of the American build up was that by the middle of the year, the USAAF would be a potent force for both offensive and defensive actions. The USN would continue to do its best to jab at the Japanese, while keeping itself intact until the ship building program got into its stride. The US Army and Marine Corps would continue to build itself up in the Pacific and Australia, and hopefully be in a position to go on the offensive in another few months. Curtin and Fraser knew most of this already, but the idea of another two Japanese Divisions being let loose on the overstretched Dutch and allied holdings was frightening.
Auchinleck was more sanguine about the situation. It had become clear that the Japanese had gambled on a fast and furious campaign, trying to take advantage of the general weakness of the European colonies, just as they had with French Indo-China. As far as he could see, they planned to gain the resource rich area to allow them to finally finish off the Chinese. Knowing that it would take time for the allies to gather strength, the Japanese would have time to fortify themselves and make the task of defeating them too expensive to contemplate. That gamble had failed. They had been stopped in Malaya, Burma, Celebes, and unable to take Java. Yes, they had captured Rabaul, the Philippines and Borneo, but had paid a heavy price for it.
While that part of the Japanese gamble had failed, the other thing that they hadn’t taken account of was how long it would take the allies to gather reinforcements on land, sea and air. If indeed Auchinleck got the ANZACs from the Middle East, and the Americans continued to send troops and aircraft at the same rate, then taking back what had been lost wouldn’t be too long delayed.
Waiting for the Americans to build up their forces to go on the offensive would mean it would likely be 1943 before anything concrete could happen. The other problem that the Australians and New Zealanders had identified was a concern about what the long-term cost would be for the American help. They were aware that there was some kind of unspoken animosity towards the British Empire in America, and while New Zealand was more concerned than Australia, it was worrying. The reinforcements to Singapore before the Japanese invasion, had reassured them that they weren’t just being used by Britain. The Australians were particularly pleased with the growing links with Canada and felt that there was still something to be said for the Sterling Zone.
There were other issues to be discussed after lunch, but for the moment, there was a general agreement that the ANZACs would be best placed support the Dutch forces and hopefully stop any more Japanese expansion. Having two, preferably three experienced, some would say ‘crack’, Divisions in theatre would give real stability to the situation. The two Prime Ministers, with Auchinleck’s approval, would cable London and make their request for the ANZACs to be released, but were prepared to allow Australian 7 Division to remain until Rhodes had been liberated.