Is this TL a good start?

  • Yes

    Votes: 8 66.7%
  • No

    Votes: 1 8.3%
  • Maybe

    Votes: 3 25.0%
  • Perhaps?

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    12
  • Poll closed .
Good chapter.

Presumably 9/11 went down as OTL?
Interesting that Sergey Shoyu did not mention the Jewish faith in his 9/11 speech.
 
Good chapter.

Presumably 9/11 went down as OTL?
Interesting that Sergey Shoyu did not mention the Jewish faith in his 9/11 speech.
yeah, though with more soft Russian approach. Russia was involved in the War against Terror, but it was so little, you could barely know of it. Publically it's still the same case, however in the inside, the Russians are taking a soft approach to the War in Afghanistan.

Yeah, the 2001 Summit Against Racism kinda blew things apart about Zionism. It wouldn't be good diplomacy to talk about the jewish at that time.
 
1. So will India try to align more with the US and Europe to counter Pakistan/Russia and China.

2. In order to promote fertility and replacement rates why not provide health care for expectant mother, child care and work leave?
 
1. So will India try to align more with the US and Europe to counter Pakistan/Russia and China.

2. In order to promote fertility and replacement rates why not provide health care for expectant mother, child care and work leave?
1. Yup most likely.
2. It's been provided. As it is during this time, russian birthrates started to climb and with greater health incentives the growth rate will be higher.
 
Great chapter
I think Russia must develop pak in some way to at least stay a regional power because India with time and the help of the west will grow wings in the Futur
 
I'm curious to see how the Indian Carrier Program goes in this timeline I doubt that a Western Allied India will buy the
INS Vikramaditya a modified Keiv Class from Russia. I don't see this Russia modifying her either (but I might be mistaken). I don't know what India would do short term to replace her either.
 
Great chapter
I think Russia must develop pak in some way to at least stay a regional power because India with time and the help of the west will grow wings in the Futur
By virtue of its powerful military Pakistan remains a regional power, though diminished from it's glory days.
Yes though, things will change in Pakistan.
 
I'm curious to see how the Indian Carrier Program goes in this timeline I doubt that a Western Allied India will buy the
INS Vikramaditya a modified Keiv Class from Russia. I don't see this Russia modifying her either (but I might be mistaken). I don't know what India would do short term to replace her either.
Yeah, slight changes will be coming on some of the topics.
 
2002 (1st Half)
Chapter 9

***

2002 (1st Half)

***

The year 2002 began with an earnest bang, as Melnikov remained adamant in his position regarding that the Communist Party would not join Yabloko in another coalition government. Yavlinsky was initially willing to join in another coalition government and national front with the Communists, however Melnikov’s refusal for another coalition meant that Yavlinsky was now fully free to commit into a fully Social Democratic rule over Russia for the next 6 years now.

On January 3rd, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the Yabloko jointly announced that they would not be extending their coalition government for another term, and that they would each seek to fight in the elections on their own terms.

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Logo of the Yabloko Party, a Social Democratic Party, currently the ruling Party of Russia.

This was a monumental declaration as this meant that other parties such the National Center Party would have a chance against winning against the Yabloko Party as well as the Communists, however tenuous this ideal may have been.

For the electoral campaign, Yavlinsky announced that Boris Nemtsov would be his prime minister appointee should he win the elections once again. On January 5th, the members of the Open Skies Surveillance Treaty officially announced that the treaty was now entering force between the writers of the treaty. Russia had signed the treaty in 1992 and it entered force within Russian airspace as well.

1595766650184.png

Boris Nemtsov.

Meanwhile this was going on, Russia’s Ruson OS announced that they had reached a deal with the private contractors in Brazil, and that Brazilian investors as well as contractor dealers would be buying 5% of the total shares of the Ruson OS system, and the OS system came into Brazilian markets, as Brazilians quickly started to buy the goods from Ruson. This was good news, as Brazil was the first nation barring the CSTO alliance to start buying Ruson products and Russia Online products, and with the advent of it being bought in Brazil, Russia hoped to make it spread all over Central and South America in terms of selling capability and ability.

Meanwhile, the Russian foreign ministry was also inside negotiations with the European Union regarding the convertibility of Russian rubles with the Euro now being announced and used all over the European Union’s member states barring few like Sweden and the United Kingdom. However whilst this was going on, another small diplomatic incident and event, which would change the shape of Europe, at least in the east was going on. In Crimea, Russians made up the majority of the population, and the declaration of the CSTO free movement zone that would be implemented next year, was like a kettle steaming over itself, and the unsolved issues from the leftover problems from the 1994 Crimean Referendum reared its ugly head in Ukraine, as protestors in Crimea dropped into the streets of Sevastopol, Yalta etc to protest and stated their desire to rejoin Russia, as the 1994 greater autonomy proposal hadn’t even been implemented properly by this point in Ukraine, frustrating the people of Crimea. The 1994 referendum promised greater autonomy, which wasn’t delivered, dual citizenship with Russia which wasn’t delivered and more trade deals between Crimea and Ukraine itself to stimuli the Crimean economy which also hadn’t happened till this point, and protests rocked the peninsula asking to rejoin the Russian Federation throughout the month of January.

1595766719616.png

The pro-Russian protests in Crimea 2002.

Ukrainian President Leonid Kuchma was taken very offguard by the sudden spike in unrest in Crimea. The province had always been a rebellious province against Kiev, and this was now being highlighted. His regime in Ukraine wasn’t the most famous at all, and he stood in power on shaky foundations. The economy of Ukraine was plummeting in Ukraine, and this renewed period of unrest in Russia was anything but helpful to the Ukrainian Economy. However Leonid Kuchma opened negotiations with the Russian government over the possibility of Crimea being handed over to the Russian Federation for a good enough sum. The Russian economy currently stood $862 Billion strong and growing faster, whilst the Ukrainian economy stood at only $39 Billion strong and continuing to stagnate and continuing to contract in many sectors, which was something that Leonid Kuchma was currently coming under fire for.

It looked very real that Kuchma could be ousted by a revolution, and that if the situation in Crimea and the entire country did not improve, then the Kuchma Presidency would die out quickly in Ukraine. Kuchma announced that he would seek diplomatic negotiations with Russia over the issue of Crimea and on February 2nd, the Russian President, Grigory Yavlinsky and Ukrainian President Loenid Kuchma met each other in Kharkiv beginning the Kharkiv Summit. It was pretty clear by this point that no referendum was even needed because of the fact that the Crimean populace was openly asking for annexation into Russia, and the discussion was regarding economics and regarding diplomacy. In the one week summit between the two head of states, both of them reached an accord with one another. The Kharkiv Agreement signed between the Republic of Ukraine and the Russian Federation. The deal was a very strong deal for both sides. The Russian Federation was to purchase the Crimean Peninsula from the Republic of Ukraine for $10 Billion dollars. In return the rights of the ethnic Ukrainians living in Crimea would be guaranteed, and those that wished to return to Ukraine would be allowed to do so. The agreement also stipulated that the Ukrainian Navy had indefinite naval basing rights for its Black Sea Fleet within Crimea and Sevastopol for military use, and the Ukrainian Armed Forces would have the right to station 5,000 Armed Forces in the Crimean Peninsula. The deal would take effect on 10th of March next month by which point the Ukrainians who wished to migrate back into Ukraine proper would have likely done so by that point.

The $10 Billion deal was an extreme breather for Leonid Kuchma, as it suddenly made the Ukrainian economy growing 25% and the economic incentives that came with this purchase suddenly made his economic base for the Ukrainian presidency a whole lot more stronger and a whole lot more capable in the long term.

1595766772482.png

Leonid Kuchma, the President of Ukraine.

Within Russia itself this was an electorate coup in favor of Yavlinsky as this made his popularity grow by a very good margin, and the Yabloko party made very good use of it. Electoral campaign was proceeding pretty easily within Russia and the Yabloko party’s popularity was running very high. Boris Nemtsov made a campaign movement for Yabloko in the Russian Far East and in Belarus, Lukashenko praised the acquisition of Crimea and campaigned for a second term as First President of Belarus.

On February 6th, the former President of Yugoslavia, Slobodan Milosevic was brought for the Hague Tribunal to attest for his warcrimes in the Yugoslav wars, where he was found guilty and he was convicted for his warcrimes. King Alexander II of Yugoslavia gave a speech condemning the man and stating that he wished for future rapprochement between all southern slav states so that they all could live together in economic and diplomatic prosperity with one another bypassing old wounds. The same day, Queen Elizabeth II celebrated her Golden Jubilee as monarch of Great Britain and all the Commonwealth Realms. The Russian ambassador to Great Britain paid his respects to Queen Elizabeth II reportedly remarking that – “If only the Czars had been like the Monarchs of Great Britain, they would have still been in power in Russia!”

On February 13th, Yavlinsky officially began to publically campaign for the 2002 elections and began to give campaign rallies throughout the nation. The man along with his party Yabloko boasted the economic scores of the Russian nation which had been very impressive and the military and diplomatic events which had happened under the rule of Yavslinky majority of which had been under the rule of Yavlinsky. Within the Communists they went ahead using the Federal Health Service of Russia (FHSR) as their platform for the campaign as Melnikov publically stated that the FHSR program had been a program driven by the Communist Party of Russia more than anyone else. The ongoing construction of the Yakutsk-Anadyr railway was also being attributed to the Communist Party of the Russian Federation.

During the Winter Olympics of 2002 being held in Salt Lake City in the United States, the Russians won around 29 medals, and returned back home to Russia triumphantly. However more importantly this was the first public event in the United States that the FSB could partake in. Unknown agents were injected by the FSB on orders of Yavlinsky and Vladimir Putin, who were growing worried about the continuously belligerent stance of President George W. Bush in the Middle East and his continuous warlike tendencies which was starting to irritate the Russians to no end. Russian aerial assets had been the only assets used actively in the War Against Terror by the Russians with them bombing key Taliban targets on the ground from air bases in Kazakhstan and Tajikistan, however the accusations from America about doctrinal espionage on part of Russia was starting to irritate the Russians to no end. Technically this was true however Russia maintained that in joint operations doctrinal intelligence would pass no matter what. They reiterated that America was currently learning about Russian aerial doctrine due to the Russian bombing of the Taliban, which the United States repeatedly refuted, though somewhat tenuously.

1595767155847.png


On February 26th, the company Russia Online finally announced that British contractors had managed to strike a profitable deal for both sides, and the Ruson OS system would now be exported to the UK finally entering the Russian technological giant into the Western European technological market. This was a huge deal, as it now meant that the Russians had achieved their Industry 4.0 goals, at least the initial goals. On February 28th, Russia and Japan restored their diplomatic ties which had been cut off after the Kuril Islands dispute. Japan still claimed the southern Kuril Islands as their own, however they were now open to dialogue and so was Russia.

On March 5th, the Russian government announced that Russia and China had reached a deal regarding oil imports and exports and that a new oil trading deal had been reached between China and Russia. A small pipeline system began construction on both sides in Khabarvosk and Vladivostok alongside the Anadyr-Yakutsk railway line. This was largely very beneficial to the Russians, as the Far East had always been one of Russia’s most unemployed zones, and having two economic projects happening meant that the old unemployment woes were gradually dying down for the benefit of the Russian people and the Russian government as well as the Russian economy as a whole.

On March 10th, Crimea officially rejoined the Russian Federation with all the clauses of the Kharkiv Agreement being slowly enacted. The Crimean population began to celebrate this event and within the State Duma of the Russian Federation, the proposal for uplifting Crimea to become a republic within the Russian federation passed and quickly the Province of Crimea became the Republic of Crimea within the Russian Federation with its capital being Sevastopol.

1595767200508.png

Flag of the Republic of Crimea.

Within Crimea itself the FHSR quickly began to open up shop and the Russian government was now using the ports made available to them within the Crimean Peninsula to their economic advantage. Prominent shipbuilding companies like Yalta Shipbuilder Cooperation and Sevastopol Shipbuilding Corporation were consolidated to become the Crimean Shipbuilding Corporation to increase their productivity and the incentives for small scale shipbuilding was increased to create competition in the peninsula.

On March 28th, the Russian government announced a new economic investiture deal with the Pakistani government which placed around $10 Billion dollars on part of Russia to be invested into the Pakistani economy. This also freed up much of Pakistani’s economic subsidies in certain sectors, and somewhat predictably, they were funneled into the Pakistani Armed Forces, and Pakistan ordered even more Russian weapons to be bought, and the Russian inventory of cold war weapons obliged as around 100 MiG-31 warplanes were ordered by Pakistan from Russia, which Russia accepted. This was a monumental deal as the 100 new warplanes would make the Pakistani Air Force or the PAF a whole lot more troublesome than what it was, and India quietly started to look into buying some American made or European made warplanes to counter this threat from the western borders of India that they now faced.

1595767243688.png

MiG-31 Interceptor.

Speaking about India, the country was suffering from this new renewed arms race with Pakistan. Their economy which had been growing so largely in the 1990s had completely stagnated due to this arms race and India did not have the luxury of having China and Russia bail your economy out and the plummeting of economic growth rates and the rise in unequal distribution of wealth highlighted this fact. The Indian government was still in the desperate process of trying to stabilize their deficit finances by this point and it looked like with the combined Russo-Chinese investment into Pakistan, the Pakistani Purchasing Power Parity Gross Domestic Product would overtake the Indian one again by 2005 or 2006, and this was something that India wanted to avoid desperately.

On April 15th, the Russian Federal Elections finally took place. After a week of the elections on April 22nd the results of the election came out.

Parties:-

  • Yabloko (Yavlinsky) – 53.4%
  • Communists (Melnikov) – 29.5%
  • National Center Party (Podberezkin) – 5.9%
  • Liberal Democratic Party (Zhirinovsky) – 3%
  • Konstatin Titov – 2.9%
  • Yury Skuratov – 1%
This meant that Yavlinsky had won the elections once again, and this time a small cabinet shuffle was done with the Communists officially taking up the position as the opposition party in the State Duma.

Cabinet of the Russian Federation:-

President: Grigory Yavlinsky

Prime Minister: Boris Nemtsov.

Minister of Agriculture: Vladimir Bulgak

Minister of Education: Vladimir Filipov

Minister of Defense: Sergey Shoyu

Minister of Economy: Yevgeny Yasin.

Minister of Foreign Affairs: Igor Ivanov.

Minister of Internal Affairs: Anatoly Kulikov.

Minister of Justice: Sergey Stephasin.

Minister of Transportation: Nikolai Tsach.

Minister of Health: Yury Shevchenko.

Minister of Culture: Vladimir Yegerov

Minister of Emergency Affairs: Alexander Lebed.

Director of the FSB: Vladimir Putin.

In his second inaugural speech, Yavlinsky promised that he would continue the economic reforms of the Russian Federation and consolidate the Russian economy as one of the world’s most firm and strongest economies. Considering his track record in this matter, many believed him as well.

On April 29th, in order to emphasize this, Yavlinsky and the Cabinet announced that the cabinet was working on an economic bill to further incentivize the Russian technological sector and to make the Russian technological sector a giant in its own field on the world economic forum. This was met enthusiastically by Russia Online as their economic production was booming as their product, the Ruson OS was starting to spread into Ireland and France as well, and this was causing the technological firm to gain even more economical resources to expand on itself and create more economic productivity.

On May 2nd, the Russian spaceshuttle, Buran was caught up in a storm and subsequently destroyed by said storm resulting in the deaths of around 20 cosmologists. This was one of the greatest material losses for the Russian aerospace industries in known history for the time, and the disaster made the Russian government look over the natural disaster defensive capabilities of its shuttles all over the Russian nation. The previously made laws regarding safety which had been passed for the airplane industry and economy of the nation was quickly extended to the Aerospace capability of the Russian Federation as well.

1595767292796.png

Buran Spaceshuttle.

On May 20th, the Republic of East Timor regained independence with Russia recognizing the state among the other states of the world. Russia quickly opened diplomatic negotiations regarding a trade deal with the tiny Timor state and was looking into the strategic position that Timor had in regards to the East Indies for further Russian economic investment into the new country.

However the big event of the month was the Strategic Offensive Reductions Treaty which was signed on May 24th between the United States of America and the Russian Federation. America agreed to limit their nuclear capability to 2000 deployable nuclear warheads whilst Russia agreed to limit their nuclear capability to 2500 deployable warheads. This was agreed bilaterally by both the United States of America as well as the Russian Federation. This was off particular importance to the Russian economy as this meant that the Russians could now scrap around 7000 warheads without fear of America or the west. This would make the Russian revenues in the economic sector increase by a very good margin, and the Russians quickly began to implement the treaty and started the scrapping of old warheads only keeping the most modern 2500 around as the older ones were sent for scrapping.

1595767414754.png

Russian Nuclear Missiles on mobile devices.

On June 6th, the Russian anti-air defenses in the Black sea suddenly flared up as an unidentified object came free falling down from space and detonated mid-air over the Mediterranean sea. This event would become known as the 2002 Eastern Mediterranean Event. The object would detonate over the airspace of the Libyan waters and the pieces of the meteorite made itself known in some shores of the Libyan coastlines.

Another major event that happened in the month was the 2002 Annular Solar Eclipse which forced around 99% of the sun’s surface to be covered by the moon. The entire event could be seen as far away as Los Angeles and Vladivostok simultaneously.

SolarEclipse2002Jun10A.gif

2002 Solar Eclipse.

The last major event to happen in the first half of the year was on June 28th, as Afghan officials announced the creation of the Interim Islamic Republic of Afghanistan.

***
 
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