Is this TL a good start?

  • Yes

    Votes: 8 66.7%
  • No

    Votes: 1 8.3%
  • Maybe

    Votes: 3 25.0%
  • Perhaps?

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    12
  • Poll closed .
Yes new carrier for the russian, btw are you going to use the Shtorm or the lamantin carrier concept for the russia navy, or are you going to use another concept
 
Very Interesting, perhaps Russia might get more involved in the Balkans and Eastern Europe during this timeline. I like the continued existence of Yugoslavia.
 
Honestly speaking, I genuinely like this TL. It's a fairly interesting well-researched take on a Yavlinsky presidency. While there are some grammar issues, they aren't too glaring. I'm not sure if Zyuganov would be Prime Minister under Yavlinsky - sure, they've allied a few times, but a man like Zyuganov doesn't seem probable in that role.

Are we going to see election stuff? I'd like to see how the Russian political system develops with Yavlinsky in power. I can only presume that (obviously enough) Yavlinsky doesn't eliminate direct elections of governors and there are far more mayors that are directly elected. It is safe to assume that Unity does not form without Putin in power (though there is a definite niche for a centre-right conservative party that isn't LDPR), but does Fatherland – All Russia still form or not?
 
Honestly speaking, I genuinely like this TL. It's a fairly interesting well-researched take on a Yavlinsky presidency. While there are some grammar issues, they aren't too glaring. I'm not sure if Zyuganov would be Prime Minister under Yavlinsky - sure, they've allied a few times, but a man like Zyuganov doesn't seem probable in that role.

Are we going to see election stuff? I'd like to see how the Russian political system develops with Yavlinsky in power. I can only presume that (obviously enough) Yavlinsky doesn't eliminate direct elections of governors and there are far more mayors that are directly elected. It is safe to assume that Unity does not form without Putin in power (though there is a definite niche for a centre-right conservative party that isn't LDPR), but does Fatherland – All Russia still form or not?
Thanks. About the alliance, it is tenuous, however it's sticks, and apparently the 1996 proposal between Yavlinsky and Zyuganov called for as such however since Yavlinsky was knocked out in the second polling due to rigging (yes it was rigged. You do not go from such high numbers to 1.5 percent so fast). So it went ahead ITTL.

About politics, yes as the elections come closer they will be more changes coming.
 
About politics, yes as the elections come closer they will be more changes coming.

'kay. Since Yavlinsky has pissed off both Berezovsky and Gusinsky, there's a lot of incentive for them to prop up anti-Yabloko parties, namely a right-wing populist counterweight led by someone like Lebed (though that one is more likely to be sponsored by Berezovsky).
 
'kay. Since Yavlinsky has pissed off both Berezovsky and Gusinsky, there's a lot of incentive for them to prop up anti-Yabloko parties, namely a right-wing populist counterweight led by someone like Lebed (though that one is more likely to be sponsored by Berezovsky).
Yeah, politics will be fun.
 
Construction time? You are correct I will edit that. Return investment? No. According to the Russian Economy: From Lenin to Putin it's actually a very lucrative project as upkeep price, airport price, seaport price etc would decrease and the project was proposed but was derailed due to the 1998 crisis.

Even the 3 years that you've edited too are still irrealistic in my view.
OTL's Transsib took nearly twenty years to build in total.
The Bailkal Amur Mainline took a decade to build with modern equipment and machinery.

Transport costs to the Far East will dramatically decrease if a railway is built, this I can very much agree on. Similarly the railway could trigger a lot of development on its route.
However these things don't always materialise. Up to a dozen industrial and mining projects were planned along the BAM route in the 1970s. Yet only one really took off, the Elginsky coal mine. The Udokan copper deposits were identified in the 1940s and the BAM was built to serve them, however the mine still doesn't exist. Primarily because nobody stepped up to invest.

So far, TTL Russia is pursuing a great approach of aggressively growing its economy. Large megaprojects may have to wait until later in the 2000s though in my opinion.
 
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Even the 3 years that you've edited too are still irrealistic in my view.
OTL's Transsib took nearly twenty years to build in total.
The Bailkal Amur Mainline took a decade to build with modern equipment and machinery.

Transport costs to the Far East will dramatically decrease if a railway is built, this I can very much agree on. Similarly the railway could trigger a lot of development on its route.
However these things don't always materialise. Up to a dozen industrial and mining projects were planned along the BAM route in the 1970s. Yet only one really took off, the Elginsky coal mine. The Uodkan copper deposits were identified in the 1940s and the BAM was built to serve them, however the mine still doesn't exist. Primarily because nobody stepped up to invest.

So far, TTL Russia is pursuing a great approach of aggressively growing its economy. Large megaprojects may have to wait until later in the 2000s though in my opinion.
Hm, well you are right about the Amur Project. Fine, thanks for the info, and will edit, that part out with greater clarity.
 
2001 (1st Half)
Chapter 7

***

2001 (1st Half)

***

On 1st January, the second 3 year plan went into action. The 1st plan had been a resounding success, and the government was confident that the second would mirror the success of the 1st plan as well. Last year the Russian economy had grown by a huge percentage, slightly above 10 percent marking the zenith of the Russian first 3-year plan.

The second 3 year plan, unlike the first which focused on commodity industries, was now more oriented towards the technological and industrial portion of the economy. This plan was the culmination of the Industry 4.0 economy that Russia was pursuing, and currently with the economic boom in the entire global economy for commodity products, the Russian economy as a whole was growing at a huge pace, and with the first 3 year plan having made the commodity sector of the economy particularly strong, the Russian economy was largely now in the process of making huge gains in the global economic sector.

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Meanwhile in the country of Russia itself, there was trouble brewing. With the elections coming next year, Yavlinsky had pissed off and angered a lot of influential people now in exile due to the legal legislations that Yavlinsky has passed alongside Zyuganov. The Social Democrats of Yabloko and the Communists from the Communist Party were now one the top of the list to be attacked by the minions of the former oligarchs. Many of these oligarchs still held influential positions in some foreign countries such as Turkmenistan as well as the other Central Asian states, barring Kazakhstan, which saw itself too close to Russia to give refuge to these oligarchs wanted in Russia.

Boris Berezhovksy, using the money and influence he had started to fund an anti-Yabloko party, led by Alexey Podberezkin and Stanislav Govorukhin, which was named the National Center Party of Russia or simply Center Party of Russia. It was a center-right party as opposed to the center-left stance that Yavlinsky and Zyuganov’s respective Yabloko and Communist parties.

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Alexey Podberezkin

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Stanislav Govorukhin

This was a direct challenge to the Russian government, and the National Center Party (NCP) officially started to campaign this year, with Alexey Podberezkin being the leader of the party and Stanislav being the co-leader and deputy of the party. Whilst the Yabloko party still held strong alongside the Communists, the NCP was appealing to the older generations who were slightly more or less angered by the posturing of the Yabloko. However this was some and few between, however the NCP was starting to gain some amount of traction and by the end of the year, its numbers would swell from around 120 members to 9200 members. Not the most impressive of growths, however, a notable one indeed.

There were talks of Vladimir Zhirinovsky’s own Liberal Democratic Party merging with the NCP as well to form a united front, however these plans were shot down for the time being.

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Vladimir Zhirinovsky.

The very first technological group created in Russia this year was launched in January 2nd after months of preparation with investments from the private and public sector. This was the beginning of Russian Online Company which was dedicated to developing the internet and online company and online sector of the Russian nation and Russian technology.

That same day, the Russian government announced that their hospital drive as per the FHSR would be completed within the month, and the government would have delivered on its promise to build around 150 new large hospitals around the nation in two years. Many rural areas cut off from the mainland Eurasian Russia, such as Kamchatka and Yakutsk were receiving extra care and monetary resources from the FHSR as a whole to make the healthcare system in Russia better and more consolidated.

The population problem within the Russia Federation itself was also promising. The Total Fertility rate had grown by 0.2, and objectively in numbers only, that seemed low, however in TFR, terms it was a mild increase and improvement which beckoned for good futures. The tariffs on abortion were raised to their maximum and fixed level of 10% finally by the government after 5 years of slowly trickling tariffs into the abortion system within Russia. The government had also created tariffs into abortion machine parts, etc which largely made abortions around 20% more expensive and less desirable for the Russian population. The ones that did gave up a hefty sum for the Russian government to fill its coffers. Tariffs on alcohol had also been increased to their maximum to 4% to make alcohol related deaths in the nation less likely because of lower consumption. Of course consumption was still a problem, however due to the FHSR, and tariffs and all other laws combined, the alcoholic problems regarding the demographics of the Russian Federation were growing more even and were improving within the Russian nation itself.

In January 20th, George W. Bush was inaugurated as the President of the United States of America. This was largely met with suspicions by the Russian Federation. As a part of Russia’s economic drive for more productivity, Russia had been investing into the economies of Latin America and the rhetoric of Bush for Nation Building in Latin America directly challenged Russian investments into Latin America, and the Russian economists were already starting to draw up plans for the Russian government and the Russian economy to cope with the competition and adapt to it, and certain investment capability laws were passed through the Duma.

The January 21st Taba Summit was supported by Russia, as no actual war, and only tensions in the region, would make Russian weapons, mostly cold war weapons which Russia was selling fast even more lucrative for the nations. Meanwhile, speaking of this, Russia was selling much of its huge inventory of cold war weapons to other nations; namely to name a few, China, Pakistan, North Korea, etc. Some wartorn nations such as Nepal which was going through the Nepalese Civil War was also supplied with Russian weapons, and Russian income from the selling of these weapons grew. Heavy equipment was largely bought by Pakistan and China with small amount of heavy equipment filtering into North Korea as well. This however led to a small arms race in general in the Indian Subcontinent as India saw the arms being bought off by Pakistan with increased suspicion, and more and more portions of the Indian economy was becoming dedicated towards their military expenditure, which was hurting the process of Indian economic liberalization very acutely, and the Indian growth rate which had been growing ever since 1990, started to stagnate noticeably.

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Taba Summit logo.

Throughout the early weeks of February, the Russian nation found itself mired in an economic competition with the United States for economic domination between the Latin American states. America was largely playing through credit and lending programs, whilst Russia was playing through with industrial products and production. Both had their pros and cons in Latin America; and no clear victory in this economic rivalry was seen as Russian influence was starting to be seen in the usually American dominated region.

In February 10, however FSB leader Vladimir Putin informed Yavlinsky about an immediate crisis within the FSB as the FSB had garnered intelligence regarding a spy within Russia. An anonymous double agent for the Russians against America who went by the name of Ramon Garcia was on the verge of being outed by the FBI and the CIA in America. All the information he had fed to the Russians had been true, and he had been a reliable source of intelligence. If the spy was caught, then most probably, the international prestige of Russia which had been growing since 1996 would die down immediately. It would also lead to an espionage crisis within Russia itself, which was not going to be acceptable under any circumstances. The fact that FSB agents had found out about this was impressive, and Yavlinsky convened in an emergency session with the cabinet that day alongside the heavyweights of the FSB. All contact was to be cut, and all Russian involvement was to become void and null immediately and the order to remove evidence was sent.

In February 18, Ramon Garcia, or Robert Hannsen was arrested by the FBI and the CIA on suspicions of counter-espionage against the United States of America. Due to Russian removal of the entire involvement on Russia’s part, the claims and suspicions could not be substantiated, however he was expelled from the FBI as a result, and rumors of either Chinese or Russian espionage gloomed, however they remained unverified rumors and nothing else, much to the breather of the Russian Federation as well as the FSB as a whole.

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Robert Hannsen.

By the late days of February, Russia has finished their hospital building program for the FHSR, and now the government was drafting a new proposal for the Russian FHSR expansion scheme, which largely was based upon the foundation of the FHSR in Kazakhstan as well as Ukraine, both nations which had expressed interest into such activities, which would be a boon for the Russian economics as well as medical sector.

By march, the government was also looking into the military situation of the Russian Armed Forces. The navy was currently putting up the ones slated for retirement for sale, and much to the thankfulness of the Russian economy, both Pakistan and China were buying up the naval vessels which Russia had put to be sold gladly, though the Pakistani economy was showing signs of not being capable of putting up with such contracts in the future, the selling off of cold war Russian naval assets which had been slated to retire, was a good boon for the Russian economic stability and growth as well.

March 24th, saw the MAC OS Operating System released for the public from MAC and the operating system was a revolutionary one. The investments into the technological sector of the government were increased as Russian Online, which had been successful in their part for business and entrepreneurship in Russia, to begin working into an operating system for Russia and maybe the Eastern Block as whole.

Meanwhile, the Russian government was advocating for an EU style, economic union between the nations of the CSTO and the former Soviet Republics. This was met with much positivity, and some negativity, however a plan for a meeting regarding the topic was announced in March 29th to take place on June 1st in Tallinn. Estonia in order to remain friendly with its Baltic neighbors who had rejected the offer, had applied only for an observer status and had been willing to be neutral ground for such negotiations. This was much thanked by the Russian government, and process of naturalization citizenship and extradition between Russia and Estonia came to a close by this point, as around 50,000 ethnic Russians from Estonia became Russian citizens.

As the early days of April rolled around, former Yugoslav President, Slobodan Milosevic was charged by the Yugoslav state for warcrimes and crimes against humanity by the Yugoslav government. They sentenced the former president into lifetime of servitude in prison, much to the anger of many former Milosevic supporters, however the support had always been tenuous for the man, and the sentence was seen favorably in neighboring states, and most especially the Kosovars looked at this decision with favorable views. Meanwhile however, the agitation in Yugoslavia had grown by a huge lot, and Yugoslavia declared than a referendum would take place in April 30th regarding the question of restoration of the Yugoslavian monarchy within Yugoslavia. Prince Alexander thanked the Yugoslav government for this opportunity and started a small scale campaign for the yes vote.

The campaign was supported by the Russian Orthodox Church and they were also campaigning though in an indirect manner to restore the Romanov Dynasty in Russia. Though the political apparatus agreed that increasing the importance of Orthodox Christianity in Russia, which has always been a focal point of Russian nationalism, was important and would be carried out, the restoration in Russia itself was not possible. There were multiple claimants for one, and the government were unsure whether the people would actually like it, or even support it, as the rule of the Tsars had been distant memory by this point, unlike for some older generation Yugoslavs who still remembered the good days of the Yugoslav royalty to make younger generations like the idea. The idea was shot down then, however the Russian government kept quiet on the Orthodox Church’s campaign for the restoration of Alexander on the Yugoslav throne.

In April 30th, the Yugoslav Referendum of Restoration took place in Yugoslavia regarding the question of restoration. The votes were:-

  • Do you support the restoration of the Kingdom of Yugoslavia as a constitutional Monarchy? – 58%
  • Do you not support the restoration of the Kingdom of Yugoslavia as a constitutional Monarchy? – 33%
  • Invalid Votes – 10%
On May 3rd, the government announced that on May 20th, the inauguration of Prince Alexander would take place, as the results of the referendum became known. The Russian government praised the democratic process of the referendum and encouraged the Balkan states who had claimants to their thrones to ensure the same democratic process in any hypothetical monarchical referendums, which Albania in 1997 had not abided by, as later found out.

In May 20th, Alexander was raised to the throne of Yugoslavia as Alexander II of Yugoslavia and the Karadordevic Dynasty with crowds cheering out of the halls and streets of Belgrade. The reinstitution of the monarchy had been very good for the stability of the country, as shown in the following months and the Kingdom of Yugoslavia as a Constitutional Monarchy was restored in the Balkans.

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King Alexander II of Yugoslavia.

On June the meeting between the CSTO nations began to discuss the economic relations between them in the future and the topic of an EU style economic union.
***
 
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