The next update (when it comes) will be about the British Empire. Stay tuned!
I wonder, will we see a sino-japanese alliance?
I wonder, will we see a sino-japanese alliance?
That might be the only thing that can defeat TTL Russia.An unholy alliance that will shake half of the world.
That might be the only thing that can defeat TTL Russia.
There's just one problem. China isn't communist/Japan isn't a democratic Republic.Pan-Asianism is underrated! A key objective for Sun should be getting rid of Chiang (easily explained by his insubordination when he killed those left-wingers, thus 'undermining the revolution', and took in the people that Japan wanted to execute and stuff). It shouldn't even be that hard - older leaders tend to be even more paranoid.
Meanwhile, Sun studied in Japan. He's bound to be more pro-Japan than normal Chinese people (and normal people wouldn't even be anti-Japan at that time). PLEASE at least get East Asia in an alliance (easily fulfilled by just getting China in - Indochina, Korea, Japan, and China would basically be East Asia). I've never seen something like this before (which would be amazing and lovely).
There's just one problem. China isn't communist/Japan isn't a democratic Republic.
This feels eerily OTL.
Never before have I wished for the CCP to take over quickly as I have now.
I tried to compile an ATL geo-political outlook by 1931:I was wondering if China would be the main anti-communist power in Asia like it was in the original map threat version, but who knows considering the divergences already? After all, Japan needs its equivalent of a Warsaw Pact . Of course, the multipolar world post GW2 will make politics much more dynamic as well.
That definitely seems useful thanks. It may be good to calculate the interwar period and the economic situation that's for sure. German domination takes a tumble due to the economy, while the need for war will grow in comparison.I tried to compile an ATL geo-political outlook by 1931:
The total war-making potentials:
US: 38% (stagnating in Great Depression)
Germany: 19% (likely stagnating together with US)
British Empire with India: 11% (slowly falling)
Russia: 8.5% (rapidly falling)
Japan 4% (rapidly rising)
Semi-independent British colonies (Canada (1.8%), South Africa (0.4%), Australia (1.2%), New Zealand (0.2%)) - 3.6% (rapidly raising)
Italy 2.9% (slowly rising)
France 2% (slowly falling)
Spain 1.5% (slowly falling)
Ottoman rump state 1% (slowly falling)
Core of Republic of China - 1.32%.
Xinjiang - Muslim theocracy under Russian control (Military power ~0.1%)
Tibet - Buddhist theocracy? (Military power ~0.12%)
Qinghai - Muslim theocracy? (Military power ~0.08%)
West Gansu - buffer warlord state with Japanese, Russians, and China fighting for influence? (Military power ~0.02%)
Mongolia - indigenous monarchy? (Military power ~0.06%)
Manchuria - surviving Qing monarchy under Russian control? (Military power ~0.3%)
Korea - indigenous monarchy under nominal Russian control, hotbed of communist resistance. (Military power ~0.36%)
Dutch - 0.8%
Rumania - 0.7%
Bulgaria - 0.65%
Greece - 0.6%
Yugoslavia - 0.5%
Hungary - 0.4%
Belgium - 0.4%
Afghanistan - 0.3%
Brazil - 0.7%
Argentine - 0.5%
Mexico - 0.3%
Ethiopian Empire - 0.25%
Chili - 0.2%
Colombia - 0.2%
Total world 100%
Any comments?
That definitely seems useful thanks. It may be good to calculate the interwar period and the economic situation that's for sure. German domination takes a tumble due to the economy, while the need for war will grow in comparison.
Point taken. Yes, i remember the IOTL Manchukuo troops quality and reliability was particularly bad. Although IOTL it was partly caused by low-quality equipment provided by Japanese. Taken 0.22% from Manchuria and distributed among neighbours.I'd have to disagree with Manchuria. It's majority Chinese and would chafe under the rule of non-Chinese people. It would probably have a large Chinese resistance, which would suck up a lot of troops without providing many troops in return.
If Qinghai really be stronger, Tibet would not dare to attack repeatedly in the first place. The OTL success of Qinghai defense against Tibet should be attributed to the standard advantage of defender (attacker on fortified positions need 3-times advantage to succeed if all other parameters are equal).I would think Qinghai would be stronger than Tibet. IOTL, Qinghai won the Sino-Tibetian war of 1930.
The white British colonies had a very positive demographic trend in early 20th century. It overweighted any transients from the Great Depression. Also, the colonial mining and smelting sector was much more relevant for hypothetical "total war" war-making potential estimation than any "colonial goods". For example, Canadian Arvida aluminium smelter started to operate in 1927 grown gradually to become the largest aluminium production center of the world by WWII.Shouldn't the "Commonwealth" colonies (not sure if that term is anachronistic or not ITTL) of Britain be "stagnating," not rapidly rising, due to the Depression?