Moonlight in a Jar: An Al-Andalus Timeline

I can see in a later Al Andalusia certain groups filling up a niche. Arabic's will fill up the religous, trading, and upperclass role. Berber will probably make up a majority of soldiers, horse traders, and also conduct in traders. Native Iberian, either islamicized or not, will probably stick to the serf role and being soldiers. Slavs will probably be artisans and valued artists.
I got a feeling the Saqaliba are going to be fractured due to the Plague, causing a huge upheaval in Andalusia society.
 
I can see in a later Al Andalusia certain groups filling up a niche. Arabic's will fill up the religous, trading, and upperclass role. Berber will probably make up a majority of soldiers, horse traders, and also conduct in traders. Native Iberian, either islamicized or not, will probably stick to the serf role and being soldiers. Slavs will probably be artisans and valued artists.
I got a feeling the Saqaliba are going to be fractured due to the Plague, causing a huge upheaval in Andalusia society.
That's actually where we started! Umayyad al-Andalus was basically an Arab-run enterprise with the natives dispossessed from power entirely.

There are not many Arabo-Andalusians left in positions of power. Shu'ubiyya has become a thing under the Saqaliba and non-Arab Muslims have gained significant political power. There are still Arab noble families, but they're increasingly indistinguishable from the natives.
 
That's actually where we started! Umayyad al-Andalus was basically an Arab-run enterprise with the natives dispossessed from power entirely.

There are not many Arabo-Andalusians left in positions of power. Shu'ubiyya has become a thing under the Saqaliba and non-Arab Muslims have gained significant political power. There are still Arab noble families, but they're increasingly indistinguishable from the natives.
It's a bit like Ottoman Anatolia, with many of the elite hailing from a foreign group (Turkmenistan), but they really are somewhat split between 50/50 Native stock and 50% the other group. I wonder how southern Spain will look after the Plague hits as it's the most densely populated region. That's where I'm guessing Berber/Arabic farmers and traders will settle.
I wonder what will happen to Malta ITTL, as now there's probably more contact with them and the Islamic world.
 
ACT V Part IV: Constantinople Falls
Excerpt: The Mediterranean World and the Great Plague - Saul Bendayan, AD 2003

The Great Plague of the early 13th century is best known for speeding and abetting the fall of the Roman Empire. However, its effects were felt throughout the Supercontinent, from Eire to Zhongguo, though the Subcontinent and most of Subsahara were spared its effects.

Modern learning has allowed us to narrow down the nature of the Plague and identify it positively as a recurrence of Justinian's Disease.[1] The same type of plague swept through the Mediterannean world from the sixth century and recurred throughout the seventh and eighth before eventually going quiet as contact with the easternmost reaches of the Supercontinent waned.

It is little surprise that the plague returned around the time of the establishment of the Road of Saint Sergius, which manifested about 20 to 30 years before the outbreak as a network of Naiman merchants established contact with the Kipchaks of the Black Olesh. Archaeological evidence suggests that trade had been going on for a decade or two prior to the establishment of the Naiman Khaganate, largely driven by a westward migration of a few early Naiman families shaken loose by the efforts of the Tayang clan - the great Berke Khagan and his arguably greater son, Chaghagan - to unify the demoralized Naimans following their defeats at the hands of the Khitans, then subdue the Uriankhai and proceed to Jeti-su and the Fergana-Transoxiana region to unseat the Karakhanids. It was under them that trade westward to the Black Olesh increased as Naiman Nestorians encountered their Orthodox Cuman brethren and found grounds for a relationship.

Along that link, however, came a venue for disease to spread - and evidence suggests it came from the east and traveled to the Mediterranean through the Naiman Khaganate by way of the Black Olesh.

Several reservoirs of Justinian's Disease exist in the world. Biohistorical consensus has settled on the Great Plague as being that strain of Justinian's Disease resident in several species of steppeland rodent, likely the marmot known to the locals as the tarbagan. These marmots were occasionally hunted by the locals, and indeed, excavations in the region the tarbagan lives have found some of the oldest plague victims known: Four people buried in Nestorian graves in the year 1192, whose remains show evidence of a strain of the pathogen thought to be peculiar to the tarbagan.

While the marmot itself may have been the source of the illness, its probable vector was fleas living on other rodents, particularly black rats endemic to cities and trade lanes at the time, spread by travel along trade routes as human actions carried the rodents from place to place. Direct records from the Black Olesh are hard to come by, but certainly the plague was present in Anatolia by the dawn of the 13th century.

The transmission of the disease through the Black Olesh's network of ports and trade depots created two lines of transmission. One, somewhat slower to spread, transmitted north through the west of Cumania and travelled along the land- and river-based fur trading routes of Rus'. The other and more rapidly-spreading fork preyed on the Black Olesh Kipchaks' favourite trade stops: The Imperial Cities of the Eastern Roman Empire, and from there througout the Mediterranean.

We are assured of the Plague's arrival in Constantinople sometime in 1197 or 1198 through the writings of the merchant Isaac Lampramatias, who writes:

"Now came to the port a vessel of the Koumanoi[2], and it carried a cargo of furs and wheats, but the Koumanoi were turned away, for it was found that they had been stricken by some great affliction, and only the living dead crewed her, and their forms bulged with buboes. And their vessel was cast into the sea and burned, for they were by God truly accursed. And we beheld it as a great torch staining its flame upon the night to consume the damned aboard."

Far from a ship of zombies, it would appear that Constantinople was visited by a ship of Black Olesh Cumans showing the swollen lymph glands diagnostic of Justinian's Disease. The ship may not have been the source of the outbreak. However, by that year, most of the Imperial Cities along the Aegean, along with the Muslim-held cities throughout the Black Sea rim, had been stricken by the plague. It spread from there as traders radiated out from the busy Imperial Cities throughout the Mediterranean. By the end of that year, it was present in the Peloponnese; by 1199, it had spread to Italy, Narbonne, Barshiluna, Cordoba, Alexandria, Tunis, Jerusalem and Aleppo, sweeping through the Mediterranean world.

Yet it was in Constantinople that the Plague was most immediately felt. Though concerted campaigns out of Epirus and Hungary had succeeded in weakening the power of the Patzinaks in Bulgaria, avaricious warlords continued to eye the Queen of Cities. The most prominent among them was Bouchras of Varna, otherwise known as Bughra the Pecheneg.[3] Bouchras had converted to Greek Christianity and embraced Greek and Bulgarian culture, and he had come into the service of the ruling Pecheneg khans in Bulgaria as a general, mainly noted for his success against the Roman remnant. In the years leading up to the Plague, Bouchras had been assembling a fleet of ships and raiding the Imperial Cities with mixed success, suffering a couple of defeats at the hands of the Roman navy but not losing his fleet.

Just as the Plague arrived, Bouchras made his move. Sweeping down the Black Sea coast both by ship and with an army on foot, Bouchras surprised the Romans with their forces in the field to try and retake Nikaea in the east, seizing Selymbria in a short span of time in a land attack before swinging east. The emperor of the day - Michael VI Kamytzes, son of the general-emperor Michael V, who had been chosen to succeed the last of the Apokapes Emperors some years prior - sought to muster a defense and draw forces back to defend the city.

However, as Isaac Lampramatias recounts, the spread of death through Constantinople complicated matters. Bouchras, meanwhile, heard tell of some crisis in Constantinople, but knew little of the details even as his army of Muslim and Christian Patzinaks, Bulgarians, Vlachs and allied Kipchaks arrived to assault Constantinople from the west. Not long thereafter, Bouchras himself arrived with his fleet.

The walls of Constantinople are all but unassailable by land; traditionally, the only hope is to assault the sea walls. The Great Turkmen Mamlakate had attempted conventional land-based sieges in the past, but had failed to breach the Theodosian Walls and had simply left the city alone, shrinking in population but still holding on. An abortive naval invasion by the warlord Alp of Ephesus in the mid-1100s failed due to the inexperience of the Turkmen sailors and the superiority of even the remnant navy of the Late Roman Empire. Bouchras arrived on paper with more ships, many of them crewed by experienced Bulgarian and Greek mariners, built by talented shipwrights. Even then, however, the Roman navy should have enjoyed superiority.

But it would seem that Bouchras encountered little naval resistance; indeed, the poet Mahmud of Pladin, along with the fleet as a soldier, gives a lurid description of Roman ships "shining like water set aflame" without ever launching.

After eight days of siege, weather finally worked in Bouchras' favour on July 4, 1198. Picking up a north wind, Bouchras maneuvered his ships along the Golden Horn and up against the sea walls. Mahmud of Pladin reports that the invaders scaled the walls of the city, overcame the defenders and pushed through to two of the city gates, throwing them open and allowing the assembled land army - mostly mounted Patzinaks, Bulgarians and Kipchaks - to stream into the Queen of Cities.

What they found is detailed by the Patzinak Christian monk, Metiga of Silistra, who was along as part of Bouchras's retinue:

"Where we expected to find a Queen of Cities, we found instead a City of Hell. Where fire and war had not scourged her, some vile curse had. The bodies of the Greeks lay in vast heaps, blighted and bulging with the rot of plague, and with them the scent of the dead suffused all things. The soldiery upon the walls were so few because so many had fallen without a fight; the ships lay still in their berths, for there were no Greeks left to man their oars. And the men with Bouchras wept and crossed themselves, for they wished not such a horror even upon the decadent Greeks, nor upon even their worst enemy."

Scholarly estimates suggest that the Great Plague had already killed a large percentage of the population of Constantinople by the time Bouchras seized the city. Upon reaching the city centre, the Patzinaks found Michael VI himself still there, stricken by the Plague and unable to flee. Bouchras spared his life and ordered him confined to a comfortable room, where he would die of his illness some days later.

Plague or no plague, Bouchras promptly pronounced himself rightful Tsar of Rome. In truth, however, the so-called Empire of Bouchras controlled only a triangle between Constantinople, Varna and Alexandropolis - and while the army Bouchras mustered was mighty, his proclamation of Empire had infuriated both the Patzinak rulers of Bulgaria and Malik Muhammad Arslan in Rasht. While his immediate superiors were Muslims (those in Patzinak Bulgaria forming a ruling class over a majority Christian host), Bouchras made his declaration in the name of the Greek Christian God, and it was seen as an act of defiance by the Christian Patzinaks and Bulgarians towards the Muslims. Almost immediately, Turkmen forces began to move westward, while the Patzinaks struggled to mount a defense, with much of their host given over to Bouchras and their Muslim elements beset by raids from Hungary.

The Plague would similarly complicate matters for Bouchras, spreading rapidly through his own army and continuing to ravage the city. By the outbreak's end, up to 60% of the population of Constantinople would be dead, though many of them died from the conventional causes of war; scholars estimate that 35% to 40% of the population died due to Justinian's Disease.

More to the point, the fall of Constantinople created a crisis in the Greek world. Fleeing to Athens, a second cousin of Michael VI, Andronikos Anemas, proclaimed himself Emperor by right. Months later, a second proclamation came from a general in Thessaloniki who had married Michael's uncle's daughter. The remnants of the Roman Empire gradually fractured as various generals and pretenders asserted their intention to restore the Empire.

Only the Plague, which had begun to sweep the lands of the Patzinaks and Turkmens in earnest, prevented force from being brought to bear upon them. But it also prevented them from truly acting. From then on, military action became a hindrance as able-bodied men were brought low by the deepening spread of the illness.

But word of the fall of Constantinople spread, even as the Plague did. Among the men of Christian Europe, particularly those invested in the fight against the Turkmen and the Patzinak, the news was met with shock: It was seen as a punishment from God, chastising Christendom for its failure to wrest Romania from the hands of the Turkmens. And in some pulpits in Hungary and Epirus, murmurs began to arise that the blame lay with Rome and Germany, still locked in schism, so caught up in their own struggle and their own corruption that preserving the faith had slipped beneath their notice.


[1] The bubonic plague.
[2] The Greek form of "Cumans."
[3] Your boy Tzachas, @Soverihn.

SUMMARY:
July 4, 1198: The Christian Patzinak warlord Bouchras of Varna successfully besieges Constantinople. He finds the reason the city's defenses were so weak: The bubonic plague has already killed much of the city. Bouchras proclaims himself Emperor and rebels against the Great Turkmen Mamlakate as the Plague continues to spread through the Haemus and the Mediterranean world.
 
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Fall of Constantinople in 1198? While that sounds extremely early, (compared to OTL) so far this seems to be of similar effect to the Latin Empire and that the Empire will be restored: ofc as a shell of its former self.
 
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Fall of Constantinople in 1198? While that sounds extremely early, so far this seems to be of similar effect to the Latin Empire and that the Empire will be restored: ofc as a shell of its former self.
It's not early if you read the events that lead up to it, is the thing. If anything, the ERE had an absurd run of luck OTL to survive as long as it did.
 
@Planet of Hats what is this western islam view of of the holy cities? In alot of islamic politics the control of the holy land is important and all sects have a vested interest shia want to make it shia again, sunni status quo, suadi and wahhabist want to destroy it if they could. So what is this western islam view? Also can we have the name of this sect of Islam now as it makes it easier to refer to instead of western islam.
 
@Planet of Hats what is this western islam view of of the holy cities? In alot of islamic politics the control of the holy land is important and all sects have a vested interest shia want to make it shia again, sunni status quo, suadi and wahhabist want to destroy it if they could. So what is this western islam view? Also can we have the name of this sect of Islam now as it makes it easier to refer to instead of western islam.
A name hasn't been codified for this branch of Islam yet.

Of course there's healthy respect for the holy cities and the Holy Land. But there's also a realistic assessment that they're not going to be able to get over there any time soon. Certainly Andalusis with sufficient means will undertake the hajj, no different than any other Muslim in this time period and our own time period.
 
How about combining the two and having horseback shooting competitions? I don't know how much of a horse archer tradition Andalusian horsemen would have.
Not a lot. The Saqaliba tend to throw javelins from horseback, in the style of the Berbers. But equestrian sports are pretty big for those elites who own a horse, and there are horse breeders in Andalusia now who breed fantastic horses not just for war, but for sport. Archery usually takes place on foot. There's no real horse archer tradition; the terrain isn't flat enough and there are no Turkmens around to reintroduce it.

Aside from those two, falconry's huge with the elite. Among the Saqaliba, exhibition combat and tournaments are not only part of their training, but part of their culture; they tend to want to be the most splendid faris among the lot.

For the lower classes, archery is pretty notable. So is wrestling, and so are foot races. Cockfighting also has a notable constituency. Along the coasts and in communities on lakes or rivers, swimming has a lot of importance; many become good swimmers just to stay cool, as we are in the Medieval Climate Anomaly and it's hot.



As for the non-physical, there are no dice games (...officially, anyway...), so the big game is chess, with checkers and backgammon also coming over from the east. The more literate classes (and literacy is higher in the Islamic world than in the Christian) also tend to have poetry contests, which often involve truly overwrought love poetry.
 
How did medieval people capture wild cats as they are importing them from siberia someone has to get them.

At @Planet of Hats what education do girls and boys get when they are growing up? Also do girls get educated in medicine alot more as during early islam women used to be nurses and treated the wounded in the early battles in islam.
 
For the lower classes, archery is pretty notable. So is wrestling, and so are foot races. Cockfighting also has a notable constituency. Along the coasts and in communities on lakes or rivers, swimming has a lot of importance; many become good swimmers just to stay cool, as we are in the Medieval Climate Anomaly and it's hot.

Interesting. One of the biggest problems with forming units of foot archers is the time it takes to train them, but if the lower classes already practice it, you can get a quick start on it. Could be an interesting development for warfare.
 
For the lower classes, archery is pretty notable. So is wrestling, and so are foot races. Cockfighting also has a notable constituency. Along the coasts and in communities on lakes or rivers, swimming has a lot of importance; many become good swimmers just to stay cool, as we are in the Medieval Climate Anomaly and it's hot.
You should add fencing(specially Stick Fencing among poorers) based on Egyptian Fencing https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tahtib and an arab inspired destreza among upper class? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Destreza
 
ACT V Part V: The Plague in Al-Andalus
"It was as if the voice of existence in the world had called out for oblivion and restriction, and the world had responded to its call."

- Ibn Khaldun (OTL)


+


Excerpt: Al-Andalus in the Precrossing Period - Gharsiya Jalaleddine, Academia Metropress, AD 1996


7
THE GREAT PLAGUE IN MUSLIM SPAIN
How European Muslims Confronted the Era's Greatest Health Crisis


Broadly speaking, the Great Plague arrived in the Mediterranean world more swiftly than it did in Russia. The spread of the disease through the Imperial Cities of the Aegean facilitated its introduction into the lands of the Turkmens, Greeks and Patzinaks, and from there, into Italy, following the trade routes established by Greek, Turkmen, Genoese and Pisan merchants.

The Plague struck Al-Andalus at roughly the same time it arrived in Italy - in about 1199. Studies of the illness suggest that once it spread from the initial vector - a marmot species endemic to the Zubic Steppe - the Plague was typically carried by the fleas carried by common rats of the sort which could easily be found in the bilges of seagoing ships in the Mediterranean.

But Andalusia was always likely to be struck, even if the Plague had not arrived in Italy, simply because of the nature of their society. Al-Andalus of 1199 remained under the stewardship of the late Saqlabid Amirate, ruled by the Saqaliba warrior caste - essentially enslaved Russic and Haemic Slavs who would be trafficked into Andalusia and raised as an elite slave army. While the current ruling group among them originated in the Haemus, Saqaliba continued to arrive from the lands of the Rus'. And though the Kipchaks of the Black Olesh were largely dominated by a Christian ruling class, they continued to tolerate the slave trade, with the former Roman ports around Chersonesus providing a major outflow of slaves with their endpoints in southern Sicily, North Africa and Iberia.

On paper, Al-Andalus had some advantages over Christian Europe when dealing with the arrival of the Plague:
  • A greater understanding of the naturalism[1] of sanitation and hygiene. A century earlier, the great early naturalist Abu'l-Hasan Aair ibn Tariq ibn al-Layth had issued the treatise Methods of Proof, which laid down an extensive study of cleanliness, filth and the spread of sickness. While not immediately accepted, by 1200 his work had become relatively widespread. Upper-class Andalusis tended to wash more frequently than their Christian peers, tended to live in cleaner buildings and tended to maintain cleaner cities.
  • A greater prevalence of cats. It is commonly cited that many Christian polities blamed cats, among other scapegoats like Jews, Tellians[2] and the Teutonic Schism, for the Plague, often exterminating cats by the thousands. By contrast, Islamic teachings called on good Muslims to respect cats. In most cities in al-Andalus, stray cats could be found just about anywhere, and common wisdom often attributes to them a curtailing of the plague by virtue of their catching and killing plague rats.
  • * A higher standard of living than most Christian kingdoms. This is perceived to be common to the Muslim world of the period over the Christian world, particularly those regions within the Germanic Circle.[3] Particulary in the colder parts of Europe, food shortages were more common, in part due to heavier soil and colder climatic conditions. Food shortages were apparently an issue in these areas for a few decades before the arrival of the Plague.
In reality, however, these issues in and of themselves do not always stand up to scrutiny, and many of their assumptions are borne of a tendency in much later Arab, Berber and Andalusi histories to view Christian Europe with some level of condescention. Because it has become popular to think of the Muslim world as more scientifically and culturally "advanced" than the Christian one, assumptions are made concerning the Plague which do not necessarily stand up to the evidence. And while these factors may have played some small role in the spread of the Plague in al-Andalus, in fact they cannot offset the actual conditions: Namely that while Andalusian cities were cleaner than Christian ones by some small measure, humans still shared the streets with animals and rodents; while cats were more prevalent, plague fleas still proliferated; and while quality of life for commoners in the Germanic Circle was low, life expectancies and levels of hunger among peasants in both Christian and Muslim areas of Europe tended to be fairly low in those centuries.

Nevertheless there is some divergence. In its sweep through the region, the Plague is estimated to have resulted in the deaths of up to 33% of the population of Muslim Iberia. In the Kingdom of Santiago, the death toll is believed to be closer to 35% to 40%.[4] However, suggesting that Christian kingdoms were universally more vulnerable is a truism: The death toll in the Kingdom of Apulia, for instance, was comparable to that in al-Andalus, while it was higher in Francia, Hellas, the Haemus and the Holy Roman Empire and lower in Prussia and Scotland.

Perhaps more telling are the regional divides in its impact within each polity. In al-Andalus, Sicily, Ifriqiya and the Maghreb, cities proved to be hotbeds of the disease: The death toll was likely above 40% in Córdoba, Fes and Mahdia, while it was less pronounced in the countryside areas such as Beja. Outside of the urban areas of Ifriqiya and the Maghreb, deaths from the Great Plague seem to have been less pronounced, likely owing to the wider dispersal and tribal nature of society in those regions. Also notably, the Plague did not really migrate south of the Atlas Mountains; there are no records of it, whether written or archaeological, among the Veiled Sanhaja of the Sahara, and it never made it to the embryonic Manden Empire of the Western Sudan,[5] nor to Liwaril or the Juzur al-Kaledat.

Nevertheless, while the Great Plague would not claim the lives of any monarchs or religious leaders outside of the famous example of Roman Emperor Michael VI Kamytzes, the chaos it caused would create headaches and crises throughout Europe, including in al-Andalus. Even in a known centre of health naturalism such as Córdoba, learned men were utterly at a loss to explain the onset of the disease.

Broadly, Muslims tended to react somewhat differently than Christians to the arrival of the Plague. Most jurists held fast to the teachings of hadith: The formative early years of Islam coincided with another outbreak of Justinian's Disease, and the Prophet had opined on the matter on several occasions, saying that "If you hear that (the plague) is in a land, do not go there, and if it breaks out in a land where you are, do not leave, fleeing from it." Similarly, the Prophet denoted five different kinds of martyrs, one of them being "those who die because of plague."

While Christian scholars tended to view the Plague as a punishment from God and a harbinger of the End Times, Muslim scholars and jurists often viewed it as something sent by God rather than an apocalyptic event. Of course, these opinions were far from universal, and the Plague appears to have been hotly debated both in its own time and for decades afterwards - and the spread of the Plague suggests that people did in fact flee from plague-stricken regions in fairly significant numbers, the most notable example being the alleged flight of the entire population of Kairwan. And though the Muslim world largely avoided the large scale persecution of Jews and the local backlash against clergy which took place in parts of Christian Europe, there is evidence of isolated persecution of minority groups in almost every Muslim region, though in few cases do they appear to have had any kind of official sanction.

In practical terms, the Plague not only killed hundreds of thousands and caused an economic and social crisis, it also choked off the inflow of new Saqaliba into al-Andalus. The ability of the Saqaliba to sustain their numbers depended not only on breeding, but on the purchase of new "recruits" through the slave trade. The Plague, however, resulted in those trade routes being disrupted. As well, the arrival of the Plague through that trade route resulted in the Saqaliba experiencing the Plague as keenly as most common people.

It's said that Sa'd al-Din, who remained hajib in al-Andalus in this period, warded off the plague by sitting surrounded by a ring of incense and praying constantly. (It's said more jokingly that he survived because his cats ate every rat in the Alcazar.) But even if the Plague was less severe in al-Andalus than in Santiago, it was still a crisis of colossal proportions, and the Saqaliba were powerless to stop it as it devastated the population.


[1] Science.
[2] The Tellians are an anti-clergy Christian heresy influenced by the Bogomils. More on them later.
[3] Northern Europe, broadly.
[4] Because Europe is less overpopulated and somewhat warmer in 1199 than in the 1340s, spread of the disease hits some hurdles, and the overall deaths per capita are somewhat lower than was seen OTL. The Great Plague is a catastrophic event, but not one in which half of Europe dies.
[5] Mali. We'll get to them.

SUMMARY:
1199: The Great Plague reaches Al-Andalus and sets to work killing almost a third of the population.
 
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Does an earlier plague still affect European bathhouse culture? Before the Black Plague, bathhouses were still common and going to them was considered healthy and normal. After and during the Black Plague, they were shut down as vectors of disease, which they were.
 
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