Blood in the Sand: A story of the Soviet-Iran War and its aftermath

Part 1, Chapter 1
POD: Khomeini is more anti-Soviet than anti-American, though he is still the latter.

-----

In 1978 Iran was under the control of the authoritarian Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi. The secret police, SAVAK, captured and tortured political dissidents, all parties were banned except for the pro-Shah Rastakhiz, and generally most Iranians were poor. Islamists, communists, socialists, liberals, nationalists, democrats, all had reason to dislike the Shah's regime. The former group would end up playing a pivotal role in post-Shah Iran.

However, by 1978, the anger Iranians had towards the Shah exploded into rage. The Islamic Revolution, as it was soon called, had numerous Iranians protesting against the Shah and many in favor of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini who was in exile in Switzerland. The Shah eventually tried to abdicate and attempt, but fail to escape. Mohammad Pahlavi was subsequently executed in a trial most would call unfair.

The new Iranian government refused to align with either the US or the USSR, and had reasons for disliking both (the US supported the Shah while the USSR was a boogeyman as they were a big atheist country to the north). As Iran slowly isolated itself, another event occurred in the region in 1979. Following political instability after the 1978 Afghan Communist (Saur) revolution, the Soviet Union invaded (or, according to its supporters, "intervened in") Afghanistan to support the communist government, which led to an insurgency by Islamic militants supported by Pakistan and the United States. Iran protested the invasion, though little did they know that soon it was them that would be invaded as well.

On April 24th, 1980 news emerged from Afghanistan that Soviet troops had looted a Shia Hazara village named Aliabad in Northern Afghanistan, killing 390 villagers, around 90% of the village's population. The Soviet Union court-martialed the troops responsible, though it did not save them from international condemnation, and the Aliabad Massacre was called the "Soviet My Lai" in international media. However, none were as livid as the Iranians.

"Death to the Soviets! Death to Communism!" was heard in numerous Iranian cities following Aliabad. Soviet flags were burnt, known communists lost their jobs and were even killed. Khomeini used Aliabad as an excuse to ban all leftist parties, which was not a controversial move at the time. However, the anger was not done yet. On April 30th, Iranian students stormed the Soviet embassy in Tehran, killing everyone who was a Soviet. Khomeini being mum on the issue led to numerous countries condemning Iran. However, the Soviets had gained a casus belli. The embassy massacre, along with suppression of the far-left and silence of the government over the embassy massacre had been more than enough proof that if the Soviets do not act, Iran would cause problems in Afghanistan and in the Shia-majority Azerbaijan SSR, a notion which did not sound that implausible. Alongside that, the Soviet Union had a close relationship with Iraq, which was preparing to invade Iran. On May 3rd, the Soviet Union began their invasion of Iran. The war had begun.
 

Toraach

Banned
It is very interesting idea. But I think that the invasion would result in a giant bloodbath. Also the Soviets weren't iraqis and they would just smash the iranian army. Later there be Afganistan on steroids.
 
It is very interesting idea. But I think that the invasion would result in a giant bloodbath. Also the Soviets weren't iraqis and they would just smash the iranian army. Later there be Afganistan on steroids.

Thanks for the nice comments. As for your thoughts, well, we'll see!
 
It is very interesting idea. But I think that the invasion would result in a giant bloodbath. Also the Soviets weren't iraqis and they would just smash the iranian army. Later there be Afganistan on steroids.
only If they go for the whole country which would cause World War 3
 
Perhaps a Allen drury style, roads of earth, scenario, in which the USA makes nice with the anti soviet Iranians under the table.
 
Part 1, Chapter 2: International Reaction
To say the least, the international reaction towards the Soviet invasion of Iran just a few months after the invasion of Afghanistan was not good. The Soviet Union was a bit first hesitant to go hard on Iran for fear of the United States invoking the Carter Doctrine, which states that the United States, if necessary, will use military force to protect its interests in the Persian Gulf. However, Carter feared that invoking the doctrine in this particular instance would lead to nuclear war, and as Ronald Reagan was on track to becoming the Republican nominee for the 1980 Presidential Election, a common attack on Reagan was that he was too hawkish and would lead to nuclear war. Carter also feared funding Khomeini, as he knew that while Khomeini was anti-Soviet, to say he was pro-American would be far from the truth and Carter thought that funding Khomeini would lead to him ending up turning on America. However, this did not sit well with Americans as they were seeing Soviets bomb Iran with little restraint, and could be the reason for Carter's close re-election loss in 1980. However, Carter did use diplomatic means in order to get the countries around the Persian Gulf in line.

The OIC - Organization of Islamic Cooperation - condemned the Soviet Union, and to a lesser extent communism in general, in the harshest words. The OIC not only called for withdrawal of Soviet troops from both Iran and Afghanistan, but also independence to Muslim majority SSRs and ASSRs. In the same statement it also denounced communism as un-Islamic and said that the USSR was launching a "War on Islam" and pointed out the fact that many Soviet Muslims are not observing. The statement released from the OIC was translated into numerous languages and was seen in Iran, Afghanistan and in the Soviet Union, and to a lesser extent China, and many terrorists would cite this as a reason as to why they carried out attacks in the USSR. To this day many speculate as to the US involvement in influencing the OIC while they were releasing the statement.

Pakistan, a country which while officially was a US ally was becoming more and more pro-Chinese what with American sanctions placed on them for their nuclear program, began to come back to America's orbit what with the invasions of both Iran and Afghanistan. Pakistan already were in contact with Islamic extremists in Afghanistan, and now with the invasion of Iran had opened up links with Khomeini. While Zia ul-Haq, the current president of Pakistan, was pursuing an Islamization of Pakistan and leaned more in favor with implementing Sunni law which began to cause problems with Shias, Zia tried to stifle his own sectarianism towards Shias in order to establish ties with Iran. Not only that, but in Afghanistan Sunni extremists were willing to ally with Shia extremists to both fight against the Soviets.

While the United Nations condemned the Soviet Union for their invasion, some countries stood by it. There was the Warsaw Pact, which always be in favor of the Soviets along with the COMECON. At the same time, a certain dictator to Iran's west not only supported the Soviets, but also began to make plans...
 
Part 1, Chapter 3: The Beginning, May to July 1980
At the stroke of the midnight hour of May 3rd, the Soviets launched an air offensive around Iranian positions around their northern border. Alongside that, Iranian naval positions around the Caspian were destroyed fairly easily, crippling a part of the Iranian military. With much of Iran's northern forces damaged, the Soviets make a move capturing village after village. However, on May 5th Iranian shelling kills 19 Soviet border guards.

By May 7th, the Soviet Union launches a week long offensive which ends with the capture of Tabriz and Mashhad. Tehran is looking increasingly vulnerable, which is clear to the Iranian government which begins to move to Bandar Abbas. The first Pakistani weaponry reaches Iran by this time as well. Arabian governments along with the British government begin to also align with Khomeini and aid to them has begun, though military aid will not begin until 1981.

The Battle of Tehran was a watershed moment for the war. The battle only lasted the better part of two weeks, yet the impact could not be denied. Not only did it demoralize the Iranian government, but made Saddam Hussein believe that Iran was about to lose and launched an attack into the Khuzestan province, much against the advice of his generals who at most was suggesting that an attack should happen in September so as to be fully prepared.

With Tehran captured now the Soviets had the problem of choosing who would be the leader of Iran. Their three options were the Tudeh Party and their leader Noureddin Kianouri, which were a party which were more closely aligned to the Soviets, the Mujahedin-e-Khalq and their leaders Massoud and Maryam Rajavi, an Islamic communist party funded by Iraq, and choosing it had the advantage of the "Soviet's War on Islam" argument propagated by many Islamists to hold much less water and the Fedai Guerrillas and their leader Ashraf Deghani, which were Maoists. Deghani's group was discarded only on for being, well, Maoists, something which the Soviets post Sino-Soviet split had less tolerance for. Kianouri and the Rajavis were different as both groups had support among both the hardliners and moderates. Eventually it was decided that a popular front government with Kianouri and Rajavi being in power as some sort of duumvirate. On June 1st, the People's Republic of Iran was formed. On that same date, the Soviet Union had solidified control over most of Iran north of Kashan.

Soviet leadership could not help but cringe at how pathetic Iraq was doing. Indeed, by this point many western commentators began comparing Saddam to Mussolini. Eventually, the USSR decided to cut Iraq's losses by sending 2,000 troops to Khuzestan, which ended with Iraq capturing Abadan and Khorramshahr within two weeks of their arrival. Iraq also formed a group known as the Arabistan Liberation Army, which was meant to separate the Arab parts of Iran from it and make it independent.

Numerous separatist movements from Iran wanted support from the Soviets and Iraqis. Azeri separatists and Turkmen separatists were ignored as the Soviets feared they could stab them in the back and support separatism in the Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan SSR, and Kurdish separatists in Iran were supported by Iraq on the condition that they cut off all ties with Kurdish separatists in Iraq, many of which did. In return, Iran began to fund Kurdish separatists in Iraq. Iraq also tried to restart the Baloch insurgency in Iran, which would end up causing problems in Pakistan. Iran, in an attempt to hurt the Soviets in their own state began to create Azeri militias such as the Azerbaijan Patriotic Front, which also began to receive Turkish and Pakistani support.

When it came to abroad, Jimmy Carter began to lift sanctions on Pakistan and offered 400 million dollars, though they were rejected by President Zia ul-Haq, who called them "peanuts". As Reagan was leading in the polls as a result of Carter's few steps to counter Soviet aggression in the Persian Gulf, Zia thought, correctly, that he could get a better deal from Reagan, seeing as how in the past Democrats were pro-India were Republicans were pro-Pakistan (Kennedy openly supported India in their war against China, while Nixon stood by Pakistan even as it was committing a genocide). The United Kingdom also began to establish ties with the Iranian government, though limited as the US was not coming around to that idea yet. Arab governments, however, began to openly support the Iranian government.

The Soviet Union by mid June began to pick up on Iranian activities in Azerbaijan, and began to plan an offensive with the goal of capturing Isfahan, which was the capital of the Safavid Empire in the 16th century and held plenty of cultural importance to Iran. Preparation on July 1st, 1980.
 
POD: Khomeini is more anti-Soviet than anti-American, though he is still the latter.

-----

In 1978 Iran was under the control of the authoritarian Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi. The secret police, SAVAK, captured and tortured political dissidents, all parties were banned except for the pro-Shah Rastakhiz, and generally most Iranians were poor. Islamists, communists, socialists, liberals, nationalists, democrats, all had reason to dislike the Shah's regime. The former group would end up playing a pivotal role in post-Shah Iran.

However, by 1978, the anger Iranians had towards the Shah exploded into rage. The Islamic Revolution, as it was soon called, had numerous Iranians protesting against the Shah and many in favor of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini who was in exile in Switzerland. The Shah eventually tried to abdicate and attempt, but fail to escape. Mohammad Pahlavi was subsequently executed in a trial most would call unfair.

The new Iranian government refused to align with either the US or the USSR, and had reasons for disliking both (the US supported the Shah while the USSR was a boogeyman as they were a big atheist country to the north). As Iran slowly isolated itself, another event occurred in the region in 1979. Following political instability after the 1978 Afghan Communist (Saur) revolution, the Soviet Union invaded (or, according to its supporters, "intervened in") Afghanistan to support the communist government, which led to an insurgency by Islamic militants supported by Pakistan and the United States. Iran protested the invasion, though little did they know that soon it was them that would be invaded as well.

On April 24th, 1980 news emerged from Afghanistan that Soviet troops had looted a Shia Hazara village named Aliabad in Northern Afghanistan, killing 390 villagers, around 90% of the village's population. The Soviet Union court-martialed the troops responsible, though it did not save them from international condemnation, and the Aliabad Massacre was called the "Soviet My Lai" in international media. However, none were as livid as the Iranians.

"Death to the Soviets! Death to Communism!" was heard in numerous Iranian cities following Aliabad. Soviet flags were burnt, known communists lost their jobs and were even killed. Khomeini used Aliabad as an excuse to ban all leftist parties, which was not a controversial move at the time. However, the anger was not done yet. On April 30th, Iranian students stormed the Soviet embassy in Tehran, killing everyone who was a Soviet. Khomeini being mum on the issue led to numerous countries condemning Iran. However, the Soviets had gained a casus belli. The embassy massacre, along with suppression of the far-left and silence of the government over the embassy massacre had been more than enough proof that if the Soviets do not act, Iran would cause problems in Afghanistan and in the Shia-majority Azerbaijan SSR, a notion which did not sound that implausible. Alongside that, the Soviet Union had a close relationship with Iraq, which was preparing to invade Iran. On May 3rd, the Soviet Union began their invasion of Iran. The war had begun.
Will Iraq still invade Iran if the Soviet Union has done so before they get to declare war?
 
I like it. Perhaps the Soviets could expand the Azeri SSR by annexing Iranian Azeristan? Would the local population be in favour of something like that?

I don't think so seeing as how that would hurt the Soviets even more on an international stage.
 
This is going to be an total bloodbath for the USSR in every sense of the word.

And get ready for good old Reagan winning in a landslid like OTL.
 
Thanks for the kind comments everyone.

I am expecting Islamic Terrorism to start popping up in the Soviet Union, culminating in a much bloodier collapse.

Given the Afghan war didn't cause terrorism or rebellion in Central Asia. A war in Iran won't cause it.

To bad, since such a scenario would be fascinating to see happen. I mean what would happen if Jihadist took over a Soviet Base during this time?

We'll see.
 
Top