This would be accurate if Romney and Sontorum had an agreement not to run in certain states (in which the other one had better chances). Otherwise, Biden would have won thanks to the conservative split.My not particularly serious alternate realignment, which was based on coming up with party names which would usually be thought of as oxymoronic in the American political context. This shows the 2012 election, between Joe Biden (Progressive Nationalist), Mitt Romney (Liberal Conservative), and Rick Santorum (Evangelical Socialist)
I'm thinking that the Progressive Nationalists are a (mostly) socially liberal, protectionist party, focussed on the Rust Belt and the East Coast, mostly - the Liberal Conservatives are center/center-right, federalist, and relatively internationalist, while the Evangelical Socialists are socially conservatives in favor of a big welfare state, especially for whites. I made two maps - one showing the 2012 election, split almost exactly 3 ways by EV, and the map with swing states left out.
I figure that CA/NY/CT/RI are swing PN/LC, TX/FL/KS are swing LC/ES, IN is swing PN/ES, and IA/VA are three-way swing.
View attachment 348081 View attachment 348082
Oh, and Romney wouldn't win in all New England states. Massachusetts and Vermont would probably be blue.
Last edited: