八紘一宇 - Hakkō Ichiu

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Interlude: Asia's Newest Republic

Asami

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Flag of the Second Philippine Republic (1947 - 1960)

Interlude: Asia's Newest Republic
After years of uncertainty as to the ultimate destiny of the Philippine Islands, acquired by the United States after the Spanish-American War, the United States finally granted full independence to the Philippines on January 1, 1947, ending 48 years of unconditional rule by Washington D.C., and inaugurating the first native government since the rebellion of 1899.

At various times in the last half century since the territory was annexed, the states had been conditioned for statehood, perpetual colonial enthrallment, and then ultimately, independence-- attempts in the 1920s and 1930s to gain autonomy and "limited independence" had been defeated by the American government whom hoped to establish a permanent foothold in East Asia by admitting the regions of the Philippines into the Union, but the governments of Franklin Roosevelt and Robert Chancey had changed this tune to one of expedient independence.

To no surprise, given how quickly independence was rushed through Congress, the Second Philippine Republic was not nearly as free as one could have hoped for a democratic republic modeled on the United States.

Much like Cuba in it's infancy, the Philippine government granted the United States a large number of rights and privileges, which tied the young republic into the American system, preventing much of any modernization beyond a paper-thin democratic two-party state.

When the islands were under American administration, Japan conveniently turned a blind eye to the ground situation-- they had a good working relationship with the Americans, and didn't seek to upset that by meddling in the Philippines by arming nationalist organizations. Now, as the Philippines became independent in the loosest definitions of the term, the Japanese government began to turn more attention toward the island nation, wondering all the while how to proceed in dealing with this new, independent regime.

For the time being, with a war on, and the Great Diplomat at the helm of state, the Japanese decided that it was perhaps best to let sleeping dogs lie, but the Prime Minister did take the first steps towards opening discussions with some of the groups in the Philippines who had been pushed aside by the Americans and to some extent by the newly inaugurated President Sergio Osmeña. Osmeña was ostensibly a nationalist, as were men such as José P. Laurel-- but many of them had become ensnared in the new republic's attempts to gain legitimacy. Time would only tell how the young republic would evolve and change with the tides of geopolitics in East Asia.

One thing was for sure-- Tokyo's influence couldn't be ignored forever, particularly with paper claims over Japanese-held islands having the potential to become a sticking point between the nascent republic and the titan of the East.​
 
Great, an update!

Much like Cuba in it's infancy, the Philippine government granted the United States a large number of rights and privileges, which tied the young republic into the American system, preventing much of any modernization beyond a paper-thin democratic two-party state.

When the islands were under American administration, Japan conveniently turned a blind eye to the ground situation-- they had a good working relationship with the Americans, and didn't seek to upset that by meddling in the Philippines by arming nationalist organizations. Now, as the Philippines became independent in the loosest definitions of the term, the Japanese government began to turn more attention toward the island nation, wondering all the while how to proceed in dealing with this new, independent regime.

How much locals are discontent, and who else, apart Japan, would be interested to help them? Russia might be, but they are too much occupied with a war in Europe and internal rebellions?
 
Given so many timelines of Magsaysay, I wonder if he will still be a force for TTL. Perhaps turning the Philippines more multilateral and becoming more Asia-centric, allying with Japan against the Helmsman and more extreme forces.

Otherwise, this would be great footing for the socialist/communist Chinese state in countering the dominant Japanese (if they ruffle the right feathers).
 
Given so many timelines of Magsaysay, I wonder if he will still be a force for TTL. Perhaps turning the Philippines more multilateral and becoming more Asia-centric, allying with Japan against the Helmsman and more extreme forces.

Otherwise, this would be great footing for the socialist/communist Chinese state in countering the dominant Japanese (if they ruffle the right feathers).
The powerful, oligarchic families have probably consolidated their hold probably better than OTLwithout the war... And would probably like to tighten their grip on politics and at the same time, make their lands more profitable, to the expense of their tenants... At least Manila's not bombed to smithereens, isn't it?

Cue the Americans evacuating Saigon Manila after a very grueling war.

DOWN WITH THE LORDS!!!
 
The powerful, oligarchic families have probably consolidated their hold probably better than OTLwithout the war... And would probably like to tighten their grip on politics and at the same time, make their lands more profitable, to the expense of their tenants... At least Manila's not bombed to smithereens, isn't it?

Cue the Americans evacuating Saigon Manila after a very grueling war.

DOWN WITH THE LORDS!!!

But no war precludes the existence of the Huk, or at least as we know it, so...
 
1946 Philippine presidential election

Asami

Banned
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The 1946 Philippine presidential election was held in the weeks leading up to the nations' independence from the United States on January 1, 1947. In an election largely considered to be rigged by American officials and nationalist organizations affiliated with the National Democrats, Osmena won 73% of the vote, and a supermajority in the Philippine Congress. Thus began the turbulent Second Philippine Republic.
 
In an election largely considered to be rigged by American officials and nationalist organizations affiliated with the National Democrats, Osmena won 73% of the vote, and a supermajority in the Philippine Congress.

Was this election really rigged? Whether it's true or not, a legitimity issue might cause problems if Osmena bungles the governance.
 
Was this election really rigged? Whether it's true or not, a legitimity issue might cause problems if Osmena bungles the governance.
Then they shall accuse the government of sucking American and Oligarch balls... err, after having a trek to the mountain camps to organise.

Will Japan utterly dominate the region after all?
 

Asami

Banned
Was this election really rigged? Whether it's true or not, a legitimity issue might cause problems if Osmena bungles the governance.

It's a mix of both. There were some instances of voter intimidation and fraud, but not on a grand enough scale to massively tip things, but the insinuation does last.

Will Japan utterly dominate the region after all?

Japan isn't immortal or unstoppable. They're going to have a few issues here or there over the next few decades primarily stemming from their imperial conquests and social relations within the Empire--but in a nutshell, yeah kinda? This is called hakko ichiu for a reason. :p
 
Just out of curiosity, does Ho Chi Minh get his letter through to the Chancey Administration to establish some sort of recognition by the United States (i.e., if no support, then complete neutrality in the region)? He tried IOTL to gain support from the United States against France following WW2 to no avail and slowly went alongside the USSR.

Or, with no solid left-wing force and a stronger Japan, is HCM strangled before he began?
 

Asami

Banned
Just out of curiosity, does Ho Chi Minh get his letter through to the Chancey Administration to establish some sort of recognition by the United States (i.e., if no support, then complete neutrality in the region)? He tried IOTL to gain support from the United States against France following WW2 to no avail and slowly went alongside the USSR.

Ho Chi Minh does not have the backing of the United States, who would be recalcitrant to come into conflict with Japan.

Or, with no solid left-wing force and a stronger Japan, is HCM strangled before he began?

I wouldn't call him "strangled before he began". HCM isn't a collaborator with the Japanese, though some members of the Vietnamese left are working within the Japanese system, but he certainly isn't existing in a power vacuum and quickly taking control of half the country.

At the moment, Japan's control over Indochina is quite strong, but there is always room for change in that regard.
 
Profile: Nguyễn Sinh Thành

Asami

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Profile: Nguyễn Sinh Thành
Nguyễn Tất Thành's politics are largely defined by his youth. After his father's being removed from his government job in 1910, Thành began to move around from place to place to get away from home--first moving to Saigon in late 1910, and then subsequently gaining employment upon French ships, arriving in the French metropole in the middle of 1911. He then applied to the French Colonial Administrative School, only to be rejected.

In 1912, employment prospects brought Thành to the United States. It was during this time that he had employment with many places-- the first of which was in Harlem, working various odd jobs such as a baker. In 1917, he was hired by General Motors to serve as a line manager, a job that rapidly changed his political views and lead him to socialism. During his time at GM, Thành became an outspoken supporter of unionization efforts, and joined the International Workers of the World in 1919. Thành served in this position until he was fired in 1925 for trying to agitate for a general strike over working conditions.

Thành's time in the United States came to an end in 1932, when, in the aftermath of the Red Summer, dozens of people of foreign birth with leftist views were rounded up and deported. Thành therefore returned to Saigon, a place he had not lived in close to twenty years. Vietnam had changed demonstrably since that time, with the French colonial administration being all but abolished, and the native monarchy under Emperor Bao Dai controlling the majority of the country's affairs--save for their new colonial masters, the Empire of Japan.

Thành's ties to General Motors soon gained him the attentions of Japanese companies in Vietnam, who were quick to offer him a job-- he soon became a factory foreman for the Saigon manufacturing plants of the Toyota zaibatsu. Thành, whom had remained in contact with his IWW comrades in the United States, began to agitate for unionization efforts among the zaibatsu's workers in Vietnam, becoming a bulwark of native socialist resistance against the Vietnamese government.

In 1934, Thành became one of the figureheads of a general strike that paralyzed the Cochinchina province; done over recent increases in police brutality, corruption, and other factors. Thành fully anticipated the Japanese military police to come down on top of the Vietnamese demonstrators, and to lose his job at Toyota, but the Japanese government instead came down on the Vietnamese police. Japanese Army garrisons attached to the Khmer Empire and Vietnam mobilized and took over direct policing action in Cochinchina and Southern Annam after the embarrassing demonstrations.

Shortly afterwards, Thành and a number of men from the region formed the International Workers' Section of Vietnam with the goals laid out of ending the Vietnamese monarchy and self-determination for the Vietnamese people, primarily under a socialist framework. The International Workers' Section was, if only by fiat by their colonial overlords, allowed to offset the Emperor's favored "nationalist" organization. The Workers' Section came into close cooperation with the Communist Party of Vietnam, and the Socialist Party of Vietnam--all of whom favored similar goals.

Of course, not everything was roses. In 1937, the IWSV headquarters in Saigon was raided, and Thành detained for several hours over allegations of terrorist activity in Hue and Da Nang. Toyota placed him on suspended leave until he was reinstated two weeks after the raid, but with a stiff pay cut for "political activities contrary to company values". Thành quit his job at Toyota the week after that, and took to politics full time while returning to his odd jobs.

In 1939, Thành went to Phnom Penh, the capital of the Khmer Empire (another Japanese protectorate), and agitated for socialism there as well, attempting to radicalize workers and peasants alike. He was arrested and brutalized by the Khmer police, before being forced to return to Cochinchina province, where he was arrested again at the border by the Vietnamese government, and subsequently released with no charge once transferred to the local Japanese garrison for prosecution under trumped up charges.

In 1940, he was summoned to Hanoi by the Governor-General of Indochina, along with representatives from his organization, as well as the other major political organizations in Vietnam. Nishizō Tsukahara was a IJN veteran, having previously served as the commander of the carrier Akagi. He had been shuffled to governing Indochina following the retirement of the previous Governor-General, and Tsukahara had survived the numberless purges in his long career-- a testament to his political non-partisanship in the grand scheme of things.

But Tsukahara... wasn't quite as nonpartisan as he lead on. Much like many of the remaining officer classes, he was a shrewd operator, and addressed the assembled groups at his home outside Hanoi. To Thành, it became quickly evident that the meeting was being done without the blessing of the Emperor, and Tsukahara made it clear what his intentions were.

The Japanese Empire, in due time, would want to withdraw from Indochina in a favorable position. Having three hostile powers as a wedge in the southeastern Asian region would not due to encourage pan-Asianism, as Prime Minister Sugihara had envisioned with his recent hakko ichiu speech to celebrate the Empire's 2600th anniversary. To that end, Tsukahara envisioned one of the largest issues with the current state of affairs-- the monarchs of Lan Xang, Vietnam and the Khmer. They would have to go, inevitably, so that the people of Asia could enjoy harmonious co-prosperity.

While Thành was certainly interested, he did not see purpose in becoming a Japanese collaborator as many other nationalists and left-aligned people had over the course of the last twenty years. But, Tsukahara simply asked that he continue to agitate the Hanoi government, and that the Japanese government would turn a blind eye to some actions, but warned him to not get "too extemporaneous" lest he be forced to take actions he didn't want to take.

Soon after, most of the leftist organizations that were not collaborating with the Emperor's government coalesced together to form the Movement for a Democratic Indochina, a democratic-socialist organization intent on unseating the pre-existing power structure in favor of a new one. The MDI was allowed to operate unmolested, causing headaches for not just the Vietnamese government and police, but also the Khmer and Lao as well.

In 1944, with the outbreak of the Second Great War, Thành's movement was violently suppressed by the Vietnamese police, with most of the leadership imprisoned upon the war's breakout with Thành slated for execution by guillotine. His execution was stayed by the Japanese Governor-General and Thành was subsequently released, but as the war rages on, Thành continues to suffer from police provocation on a daily basis...
 
Been reading through this timeline and it's been rather interesting. I like how Communism has become even messier than before and Stalin as a Democratic Socialist (but still authoritarian) was rather amusing. Also Japan becoming a proper Democratic nation during the 1920s is cool to see.

Quick question though what happened to Stafford Cripps Labour Government, one minute it's there the next Churchill is voted in. Also I can see Labour having more far left members since the Communist Party of Great Britian isn't really as much of a thing.
 

Asami

Banned
Quick question though what happened to Stafford Cripps Labour Government, one minute it's there the next Churchill is voted in. Also I can see Labour having more far left members since the Communist Party of Great Britian isn't really as much of a thing.

The Liberals and Labour have been in a coalition consistently for the last twenty or so years, and have held decisive positions in both 1935 and 1940. Cripps fell ill in 1941 and stepped down as Prime Minister, allowing Churchill, as his deputy, to ascend to the position of Prime Minister. The subsequent 1941 general election saw the Liberals be just slightly ahead of Labour as the largest party, keeping Churchill as PM.

The 1946 election was put off due to the war in which British boys were fighting and dying, so the election is scheduled to go ahead once the war concludes, which is expected to be sooner, rather than later.

As of January 1947, the current electoral projections show Labour retaking the #1 position, with Liberals in #2, and the newly unified "Unionist" party in third place.
 
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The Liberals and Labour have been in a coalition consistently for the last twenty or so years, and have held decisive positions in both 1935 and 1940. Cripps fell ill in 1941 and stepped down as Prime Minister, allowing Churchill, as his deputy, to ascend to the position of Prime Minister. The subsequent 1941 general election saw the Liberals be just slightly ahead of Labour as the largest party, keeping Churchill as PM.

The 1946 election was put off due to the war in which British boys were fighting and dying, so the election is scheduled to go ahead once the war concludes, which is expected to be sooner, rather than later.

As of January 1947, the current electoral projections show Labour retaking the #1 position, with Liberals in #2, and the newly unified "Unionist" party in third place.
Ah okay, makes sense. Churchill being a Liberal PM after Stafford Cripps as Labour PM is certainly interesting. I can see Clement Attlee being Chancellor or Minister of Defence.

Who's leading Labour at the moment? I could see Nye Bevan being leader since he seems like a good successor to Cripps.
 
Two things:

1. IOTL Edward VIII was rendered infertile by orchitis as a side effect of a case of mumps that he contracted at the Royal Naval College in 1910 - a year before the POD.

2. What are Wellington and Juliana Koo up to ITTL?
 
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