Alternate Electoral Maps II

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Codae

Here I've used it to map out the 435 candidates who got the most votes in the 2016 House elections. If we elected, not the leader in each district, but anybody who got at least 144,450 votes, this is what we'd have (red = 1 Republican, blue = 1 Democrat, purple = 1 of each):
absolutecongress.png
 

Woolly Mammoth

Weaker Reform Act #2: Isle of Wight

1833 IoW.png


Quite a quick county to produce; the Isle of Wight had quite a high amount of over representation prior to 1832 IOTL, with Newtown on the north-west coast considered second only to Old Sarum in terms of 'rottenness' on Drummond's List. ITTL the reluctance to disenfranchise boroughs results in the preservation of Yarmouth and bringing in the growing town of Cowes. The arrival of railways and a Solent tunnel later in this timeline will likely result in the either the dissolution of boroughs into a general county pool or the shifting of which towns are part of the district. The weaker Reform Act will leave the Vectis Boroughs likely still a 'pocket' appointment for the government whilst the county will be firmly in the Preservative Party camp. Actually the same number of MPs as OTL in this version but fitting the 'Districts' model.

Did consider having Newport keep its OTL status as an independent 2MP seat and grouping most of the rest of the Island's towns together but that would make he county electorate a tad small even by contemporary standards.
 
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TheSaint250

1992 Election
​
A poll done in June of 1992 showed the following:

H. Ross Perot: 39%
George H. W. Bush: 31%
Bill Clinton: 25%

The final results of the election were as follows (popular vote):

Bill Clinton: 43%
George H. W. Bush: 37.5%
H. Ross Perot: 18.9%

I decided to make a map using universal swing based on the poll. I added 20.5% to Perot's margin in every state and took away 18% and 6.5% from Clinton's and Bush's, respectively. I did this with the 1948 election, but I guess a more...popular third party candidate messes things up.

Here is the map:


IMG_7359.jpg


The 1992 election essentially becomes an unrealistic Perot-wank. For example, Clinton loses a number of safe Democratic states.

In case anyone wants to know, here are the close states:

Kentucky: Bush +0.6
New Jersey: +2.0
Louisiana: Bush +2.2
Georgia: Bush +2.6
Maryland: Perot +2.9
Mississippi: Bush +3.3
Indiana: Perot +3.9
Nebraska: Perot +4.0
West Virginia: Clinton +4.0
Arkansas: Clinton +4.3
Virginia: Bush +4.4
Hawaii: Perot +4.7
Tennessee: Bush +5.3
New York: Perot +5.6
New Mexico: Perot +5.8
Florida: Perot +5.9
North Dakota: Perot +5.9
Illinois: Perot +6.5
Oklahoma: Perot +7.3
Wyoming: Perot +8.0
South Dakota: Perot +8.1
Iowa: Perot +8.4
Texas: Perot +8.4
Pennsylvania: Perot +9.1
South Carolina: Bush +9.4
Ohio: Perot +9.6
Alabama: Bush +9.8
Michigan: Perot +9.9
 
Peebs

Peebs

X-posted from Atlas.
1976: Primaried
genusmap.php

Former Governor Ronald Reagan (R-CA) / Senator Richard Schweiker (R-PA) - 277
Former Governor Jimmy Carter (D-GA) / Senator Walter Mondale (D-MN) - 261
1980: Started From The Bottom
genusmap.php

Senator Joe Biden (D-DE) / Senator John Glenn (D-OH) - 365
President Ronald Reagan (R-CA) / Vice President Richard Schweiker (R-PA) - 173
1984: Now We're Here
genusmap.php

President John Glenn (D-OH) / Vice President Gary Hart (D-CO) - 521
Former Vice President Richard Schweiker (R-PA) / Representative Olympia Snowe (R-ME) - 17
1988: Johnson Couldn't, Glenn Shouldn't (But How 'Bout He Does Anyway?)
genusmap.php

President John Glenn (D-OH) / Vice President Gary Hart (D-CO) - 335
Governor George Bush (R-TX) / Senator Richard Lugar (R-IN) - 203
1992: Hart Failure
genusmap.php

Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)/ Representative Jack Kemp (R-NY) - 353
Vice President Gary Hart (D-CO) / Governor Bill Clinton (D-AR) - 185
1996: Strong and Stable
genusmap.php

Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)/ Representative Jack Kemp (R-NY) - 384
Senator John Kerry (D-MA) / Senator Al Gore (D-TN) - 154
2000: Madam President
genusmap.php

Former Governor Ann Richards (D-TX) / Donald Trump (D-NY) - 388
Vice President Jack Kemp (R-NY) / Secretary Dick Cheney (R-WY) - 150
2004: Four More Years
genusmap.php

President Ann Richards (D-TX) / Vice President Donald Trump (D-NY) - 378
Senator John McCain (R-AZ) / Senator Orrin Hatch (R-UT) - 160
2008: Them That Dance With The Donald...
genusmap.php

President Donald Trump (D-NY) / Vice President Buddy McKay (D-FL) - 324
Former Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA) / Senator Kay Bailey Hutchinson (R-TX) - 214
2012: ...Are Bound To Get Scorched
genusmap.php

Senator Gordon Smith (R-OR) / Representative Paul Ryan (R-WI) - 294
Vice President Buddy McKay (D-FL) / Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN) - 244
2016: Or Would He?
genusmap.php

President Gordon Smith (R-OR) / Vice President Paul Ryan (R-WI) - 419
Senator Bernie Sanders (ID-VT) / Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) - 119
2020: GOPocalypse Now
genusmap.php

Senator Daniel Mongiardo (D-KY) / Governor Roy Cooper (D-NC) - 438
Vice President Paul Ryan (R-WI) / Governor Mike Pence (R-IN) - 100
 
Turquoise Blue

Turquoise Blue

Just worked out the electoral numbers for the EC of Lagellania.

upload_2017-7-16_22-21-20.png


2016 numbers: 304 Freedom, 264 Progressive, 97 Patriotic, 16 Liberation.

Colored in map and the proper results coming soon. :)
 
Turquoise Blue

Turquoise Blue

And here's the map for the election. Wikibox is here.

upload_2017-7-17_1-12-11.png

2016
Juan Ferrier/Aleida Vander Plaats (Freedom): 304 EV, 84,378,411 votes (34.1%) - 2nd ballot: 388 EV
Thomas Suzuki/Lance Mulberry (Progressive): 264 EV, 77,872,541 votes (31.5%) - 2nd ballot: 272 EV
Ben Clements/Frank Hayashi (Patriotic): 97 EV, 51,675,901 votes (20.9%) - 2nd ballot: 13 EV
Catherine Yukimura/Simon Moon Eagle (Liberation): 16 EV, 29,041,411 votes (11.7%) - 2nd ballot: 3 EV
 
Turquoise Blue

Turquoise Blue

And of course, here's a "broad analogues" electoral map in which the election is transferred to the OTL USA. :p

genusmap.php

Ferrier/Vander Plaats (Freedom): 214 EV
Suzuki/Mulberry (Progressive): 197 EV
Clements/Hayashi (Patriotic): 101 EV
Yukimura/Moon Eagle (Liberation): 26 EV
 
killertahu22

killertahu22

Turquoise Blue said:
And of course, here's a "broad analogues" electoral map in which the election is transferred to the OTL USA. :p

genusmap.php

Ferrier/Vander Plaats (Freedom): 214 EV
Suzuki/Mulberry (Progressive): 197 EV
Clements/Hayashi (Patriotic): 101 EV
Yukimura/Moon Eagle (Liberation): 26 EV
Click to expand...
is this a tl? coz id like to give it a look
 
Zachary VIII

Zachary VIII

Banned
My idea of what the 2016 election would look if Trump failed to get the nomination and ran as a third party candidate, like how he threatened to do in late 2015.
proxy.png


Hillary Clinton/Tim Kain (Democratic): 386 EV, 49.6%
Ted Cruz/Joni Ernst (Republican): 146 EV, 30.2%
Donald Trump/Buddy Roemer (American Freedom): 6 EV, 13.9%
Gary Johnson/William Weld (Libertarian): 0 EV, 4.2%
 
Rosa Luxemburg

Rosa Luxemburg

Banned
Zachary VIII said:
My idea of what the 2016 election would look if Trump failed to get the nomination and ran as a third party candidate, like how he threatened to do in late 2015.
View attachment 334086

Hillary Clinton/Tim Kain (Democratic): 386 EV, 49.6%
Ted Cruz/Joni Ernst (Republican): 146 EV, 30.2%
Donald Trump/Buddy Roemer (American Freedom): 6 EV, 13.9%
Gary Johnson/William Weld (Libertarian): 0 EV, 4.2%
Click to expand...
With Trump as a third party nominee, I think that he could have won in South Carolina and have a shot in Pennsylvania and some other states. Also, if Trump ran as an independent, it is entirely possible that the Republican Party doesn't get such a huge populist surge, preventing Cruz from getting the nomination
 
Turquoise Blue

Turquoise Blue

Zachary VIII said:
My idea of what the 2016 election would look if Trump failed to get the nomination and ran as a third party candidate, like how he threatened to do in late 2015.
View attachment 334086

Hillary Clinton/Tim Kain (Democratic): 386 EV, 49.6%
Ted Cruz/Joni Ernst (Republican): 146 EV, 30.2%
Donald Trump/Buddy Roemer (American Freedom): 6 EV, 13.9%
Gary Johnson/William Weld (Libertarian): 0 EV, 4.2%
Click to expand...
Flip Mississippi to Hillary. African-American vote is too high for GOP-Mississippi to survive a split.
 
Zachary VIII

Zachary VIII

Banned
Kaiser_Wilhelm said:
With Trump as a third party nominee, I think that he could have won in South Carolina and have a shot in Pennsylvania and some other states. Also, if Trump ran as an independent, it is entirely possible that the Republican Party doesn't get such a huge populist surge, preventing Cruz from getting the nomination
Click to expand...

My reasoning for Trump's fairly bad performance is the Access Hollywood tapes doing more damage to him than in OTL for whatever reason, as well as him having less resources and money as an independent. You are correct with Cruz, but without him trying to catch up with Trump during the nomination process he might be less populist and more of a standard conservative.
 
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IFwanderer

Banned
Kaiser_Wilhelm said:
With Trump as a third party nominee, I think that he could have won in South Carolina and have a shot in Pennsylvania and some other states
Click to expand...
Not sure that's possible, he won PA by less than 1% and he'd mainly be taking votes from the GOP, the state is safely blue in this particular scenario.
 
Zachary VIII

Zachary VIII

Banned
Turquoise Blue said:
Trump's best region was the South, and he only gets less than 18% here despite getting 13% nationwide?
Click to expand...
Fair enough. This scenario was just a product of idle speculation, I think that Cruz might have won it if he concentrated in the South, but I don't know, whoever wins Mississippi would win it by less than 5% in any case.
 
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