Qilai! Qilai! - A History of Modern China and The World

Asami

Banned
I find your lac of vim disturbing.
Also invest in a better monospace font.

Vim? Maybe if I knew what I was doing with that.

Also; I'm using an independent tty, not Terminal. My monospace font on the terminal emulator is far different. XD
 
Chapter IX, Part I

Asami

Banned
Qilai! Qilai!
A history of Modern China

360px-Zhao_Ziyang_%281985%29.jpg


Zhao Ziyang (RKMT)
(1990 - 2002)

Part I

Zhao Ziyang, a former Communist Party politico, was elected in the 1989 Chinese elections to the office of President of the People's Republic of China. Having broken with the party during the period of Maoist rule, he became a major figure in the Revolutionary Council of the Kuomintang, a major centre-left party in the New China. His campaign policies promised primarily the "collaboration of China with the international community", "the upstep of Chinese investments and aid to third world countries in extreme need", and the "defense of Asia's independence from foreign aggression".

After his inauguration into office in February 1990, Zhao went on a tour of many nations with which China had major interests in. The first such nation was the People's Republic of Korea. President Zhao met with President Park and the two discussed further cooperation, and the possibility of the PRK to enter the Beijing Pact. Zhao pledged a significant Chinese investment into Northern Korea, which was, even a decade later, playing catch-up to the South's prosperity. Park thanked Zhao for the investment proposal, and said that Korea thanked China for the long-term friendship, and affirmation to the principles of freedom and peace.

Behind closed doors, Park and Zhao discussed many issues; particularly relations with the State of Japan, the United States, and the Soviet Union, and the relations between the two nations. Park expressed his happiness that the Chinese people had fostered a new democracy, and promised for closer cooperation with China for years to come. This also marked a close rapproachment between the PRK and the Beijing Pact, with the PRK heavily considering aligning as a partner of Beijing.

After departing Seoul, he traversed to Singapore to meet with Lee Kuan Yew, the leader and founder of the state. Lee Kuan Yew was much like Park; an insanely popular pseudo-authoritarian figure that had enough political legitimacy to choke any Western ideologue to death. Singapore and the People's Republic had significant cultural ties -- Singapore's native population being over three-quarters Chinese. China had significant interest in expanding her political influence into the Sinosphere outside of China proper, particularly now that she was capitalistic enough to appeal to other nations. In early 1991, the Chinese and Singapore agreed to a strong economic partnership; Singapore would benefit immensely from the agreement in the coming years, and China would expand her capitalistic umbrella.

In April 1991, Chairman Zhao flew west and met with the Soviet Union's leader, General Secretary Ryzhkov. The Soviet leader and China affirmed collaborative cooperation in economics. The Soviet Union remained, in all theoretical nature, a despotic communist state; but the powers of the CPSU were not as strong as they appeared; the slow transitition to a semi-democratic state reflected Russia's long history of "not-so-democratic" regimes. After returning to Beijing following the meeting with the Soviet leadership; an early crisis emerged in the Asian continent that would be something worrying in years to come.

On April 30, 1991, the Republic of India's government was overthrown by a populist military coup d'etat after the concurrent leadership was accused of "placating foreign influences". The opportunistic military cadres that seized power in the state immediately pushed to take "hard-line" stances against Chinese, Bangladeshi, American, Soviet and Pakistani influence; and abruptly declared their full isolation from the major power blocs; severing a long-standing influential relationship with Moscow. To compound this concerning development, the Pakistani regime collapsed less than two weeks later, but to a far more significant threat; Islamists. Right-wing Islamists, primarily from the tribal regions near the Afghanistani border, revolted and joined with several divisions of the Pakistani Armed Forces to overthrow the state and establish and Islamist regime. Many Pakistanis who would have been targeted by this Islamist regime, fled into Iran and Afghanistan, who accepted them en masse; hoping to avoid a humanitarian crisis as best as they could.

Relations on the subcontinent rapidly decayed as both India and Pakistan began to threaten each other with war; however, Pakistan did not have nuclear weapons -- India did. After a number of skirmishes along the border and in Kashmir, a tenative peace agreement was reached in November 1991, ending the chaos for now; allowing both the Islamist Caliphate of Pakistan and the Indian junta to consolidate their power. The United States smarted at losing a major ally in the subcontinent, and all of her military hardware that had been in the nation serving as a reinforcement for Pakistan, was withdrawn into Iran, another major US ally in the Middle East. Similarly, any and all Soviet hardware was withdrawn and given off to Afghanistan to "fortify their borders". The leftist regime in Afghanistan accepted the Soviet (and later American) offers of assistance in battling any Islamist terrorists.

-------​

The most notable event of 1992 was the United States presidential election. Alexander Haig sought to pursue a third term; something that was not often done, and hadn't been done since Franklin Roosevelt nearly fifty years prior. Haig's administration had been popular enough to gain grand bipartisan support from many Democrats, but such a move was considered "rather tasteless"; the last President who really had any ambition for a third term was Terry Sanford, who had declined a third term at the 1984 Democratic Convention. In any case, Haig sailed through the Republican nomination process, and came face to face with his Democratic candidate in a number of high-profile debates. The Democratic rival to him was John Conyers, a Representative from Michigan, and the leader of the House Government Oversight Committee. John Conyers marked the first African-American presidential candidate to take the reigns; the ticket was made even more revolutionary by the choice of Vice President -- Bernard Sanders, one of the U.S. Representatives from Vermont. Sanders was an Independent, but aligned with the large leftist Democratic caucus which dominated the party.

The Conyers/Sanders ticket was intensely progressive, and challenged Haig's traditional moderate standpoints. Haig canvassed a new candidate for 1992; dropping his incumbent Vice President, Malcolm Wilson, the former Governor of New York during the 1970s. Vice President Wilson had not supported the third-term for Haig, wanting to run for the office himself, and had thusly refused to participate in the third term wholesale. Haig invited a noted liberal Republican to serve as his Vice President -- Elizabeth Warren became the Republican Party's first female Vice Presidential candidate, and with it, an immense amount of popularity emerged in her favor. This campaign was hard-fought, with the Democrats not conceding a single inch to the Republicans -- many GOP political operatives had suggested targeting the ethnicity and religion of the candidates, but President Haig had refused to "stoop to such awful behavior". American political debates and political discourse had remained much mature through the years, as many people sought to prove that America was *just that much better* at the whole freedom game than the Soviets and Chinese.

In November 1992, the results came in, and it was an air-tight race; aided primarily by "Free Will" party; a party primarily staffed by an odd-combination of left-wing and right-wing people who had a common idea -- the overbearance of government was not to be tolerated. This party had appeared in races before, but hadn't made any electoral votes. In this election, the Party was sufficiently alienated from Haig's third-term, and the Democratic ticket, and gained enough support in a few states to win electoral votes. The party only won in Alaska, Nevada, Oregon and New Hampshire, but it was enough to throw the election into chaos.

PRU5Y2a.png


United States presidential election, 1992
John Conyers (D-MI) / Bernard Sanders (D-VT) - 260 Electoral Votes
Alexander Haig (R-PA) / Elizabeth Warren (R-MA) - 260 Electoral Votes
Carl Richards (F-AK) / James Devain (F-OR) - 18 Electoral Votes​

To compound and make the election worse; Less than twenty minutes after the last polls closed for the election, President Haig collapsed in the Residence and suffered a major heart attack -- President Haig had numerous heart problems, which had come up in both 84 and 88, and had been dismissed as "irrelevant" by many. However, this was no joke, and the President was taken to George Washington Hospital for further checks. The following day's news was dominated by the President's heart attack, and the results of the Presidential election -- Richards/Devain had made it a deadlock, which would therefore be sent over to Congress. The chaotic situation was just not fun for anybody involved. At 9:18AM on November 4th, 1992; Vice President Wilson and the Cabinet invoked the 24th Amendment and formally named Wilson as the "Acting President of the United States" while Haig remained in a coma.

It was confirmed three days later that the United States Congress had chosen a new President -- Conyers and Sanders were to be given the victory of the election, and they were to be sworn in on January 20th, as was standard. President Haig's complicated situation deteriorated, and he remained in a coma through out the "lame duck" period between November 1992 and January 1993. Haig would later be taken off of life support in April 1994, after the last hope for his recovery went beyond the veil. The President offered condolences to the Acting President and the President as well in both his inauguration speech, and in a private letter to Haig's family written after his death.

The United States and Soviet Union had long-since stopped being enemies and more frenemies; however, they remained fiercely alert and prodded each other's defenses constantly. In 1994, a Soviet submarine was seen by the US Navy in United States' waters off the Atlantic coast. While it was kept under wraps and out of the public press on both sides; the President and General Secretary held a terse and brief conversation. Some time later, an American submarine formation narrowly escaped being sunk by Soviets off the Baltic Sea. Both parties acknowledged that this kept each other on their toes, and was more beneficial than not; and was primarily for show and bravado, not for threatening purposes.

China, the Soviet Union, and the United States all became heavily concerned with primary problem zones in the world -- one major issue that China was involved in was the fact that Pakistan and India continued to stare each other down despite the 1992 Peace Accords. In 1994, the Pakistanis tested their first nuclear device, triggering a minor crisis before China's diplomatic corps managed to calm down both sides before they escalated too far. Another concern to all three powers was, well, the continued Apartheid state, and the militant South African-lead community of states. South Africa was ever fiercely continuing it's apartheid policies, and Nelson Mandela, one of the leading anti-apartheid figures, had been found dead in his jailcell in early 1993 without much explanation; which had heavily inflamed the situation in the apartheid state; leading to numerous race riots in Natal and Oranje. South Africa, deteriorating away from democracy and towards dictatorship, violently shutdown the riots and made clear that it would not tolerate foreign nations influencing her affairs. In January 1994, the Chinese, Soviet and American leadership held a public summit with regards to South Africa in Shanghai; and declared the need to "see the end of apartheid by all means necessary."

The Republic of Rhodesia, another state involved in South Africa's bloc of "pro-apartheid nations" broke away from South Africa's influence in March. It had no desire to continue it's current relationship, particularly as it had pushed forward a growing fraternity between it's black and white populations, avoiding a costly and dangerous war. South Africa and her puppet state Botswana launched a military invasion of Rhodesia two weeks after the President of Rhodesia violently decried South Africa's "psuedo-fascist ideology"; and fighting intensified rapidly. This event pushed the three major powers into action.

The Soviet Union, orchestrating influence through the Communist-dominated states of Mozambique and Angola, convinced them to back Rhodesia's bid and finally "shatter the apartheid state". The United States utilized CIA operations to damage the South African war effort, primarily by methods of sabotage and eliminating targets in the South African armed forces. China's role in the conflict was primarily bankrolling the Rhodesians. Chinese money had been trickling into Africa since the start of the Deng administration, and would continue regardless of the situation at hand. Many African states were more inclined to intervene with Chinese money being offered to defend Rhodesia and break South Africa.

To make matters more complicated for the Three Power intervention in Africa. Two months after the start of the South African War, the growing strife in East Africa boiled over. Elements of the Rwandan Army and the Interahamwe assassinated President Juvenal Habyarimana and the President of Burundi by blowing his plane down in Kigali with an anti-aircraft weapon. The death of the President triggered the Interahamwe to take to the streets and start slaughtering members of the Tutsi minority; who were primarily blamed for the partisan war against the Communistic "Rwandan Liberation Front"; bankrolled primarily by the Chinese. Leaders of the new Interahamwe caretaker regime permitted the militia to start slaughtering people indiscriminately.

The Chinese didn't take it very lightly. Having already invested heavily in Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda itself, the Chinese deployed peacekeepers to Rwanda and stationed them in places where violence had yet to overwhelm the situation. China's peacekeepers primarily held onto areas in Kigali proper and the countryside. The Milles Collines hotel was one of the many places China stationed troops at to protect the Hutu and Tutsis targeted by the genocide. China doubled the number of peacekeepers (and started referring to them as "peacemakers" in official press releases) after an attack on the hotel by Interahamwe forces. China began to use her ties to Kenya and Uganda to station aircraft, and the PLAF began to run bombing raids on Interahamwe and Rwandan army positions. China's involvement here was far more intense than her involvement in the South African war, which was fought almost entirely as a proxy war.

The Rwandan regime collapsed and the Chinese soon advanced and installed a pro-Chinese government in Rwanda to ensure peace and prosperity. The Rwandan Genocide was far less severe than it could have been, and came to a bloody conclusion after three months, in July 1994. Paul Kagame, the new President of Rwanda, vowed to maintain peace and order in the aftermath. Chinese forces would remain stationed to Rwanda until 2000, when they were withdrawn due to awful circumstances much closer to home.

The South African war did not end as quickly, and lasted a very long time as a general grinding war between the anti-South African armies, and South Africa; it was expected that the war would go on for years to come.

In 1995, Chairman Zhao was elected to a second term; with little fanfare as the majority of China had been relatively happy with the first democratically elected Chairman's governance, particularly where the wars in Africa were concerned.

-------​

China in relation to the growing technological revolutions in the United States and Soviet Union was relatively muted at first. The Americans were always on edge with the latest and greatest technologies. Soviet Union came shortly behind with their own domestic developments, and China with theirs thirdly. During the early 90s, the computer scene in the United States primarily saw a massive competition for users between the two major fronts -- the Apple Macintosh base, and the IBM-Microsoft joint base, of DOS and Operating System/2. IBM withdrew from the OS/2 project in 1993 after feeling that personal computers no longer held benefit to them, and pursued enterprise-level computing hardware.

Microsoft assumed total control of the Operating System/2 (OS/2) project, and piloted it as a competitive piece with Apple. In the first half of the 1990s, Apple maintained a heated majority over the Microsoft operating systems; primarily because of the ease of use, power and speed of the m68k processor, and the general "common sense" design of the Apple line.

In the early 1990s, the Soviet Union was playing a rather strong game of "catch-up". Steve Jobs, the former CEO of Apple Inc. before his firing in 1985, had gone off to form a business in the Soviet Union building computers. The NeXT Corporation was established in 1987 by Steve Jobs and three dozen engineers from both Soviet enterprises, and Apple itself. Jobs brought with him much of the same ideas he had formulated at Apple, but lacked the particulars of access to the major chipsets from Motorola (68000) and Intel (80386). With cooperation from major Soviet enterprises which were continuing their devolution from state ownership, the NeXT Corporation formed an alliance with the "Silicon Engineering Cooperative" (SEC) in 1988, and produced Russia's first major 16-bit personal computer (minor firms had been working on 8-bit machines since the late 70s). The NeXTStation was demonstrated for the Russian people as a "low-cost step into a revolutionary future", with advertising playing up the use in enterprises, and in education, and even at home to manage many things.

The Soviet public found great interest in this new original design. The machine carried the Baikal-66 processor; a 66MHz processor loosely-based on the m68k processors found in Macintosh computers. The release of the computer and the sudden creation overnight of a Soviet computer industry triggered the flocking of dozens of young Soviets to developing computer software. The operating system of the NeXTStation, NeXT-OS was based loosely on the UNIX operating system, which had been developed in the United States during the late 1960s.

In the first half of the 1990s, NeXT expanded her repetoir and popularity immensely as foreign buyers began to see interest in the NeXT computer; many Apple fans in the United States imported these computers in from the Soviet Union with "English customizations" to see what the great Steve Jobs had done in the backwards Communist East. The results were quite impressive. As well, China was touched as well by it, and sought to jumpstart the computer revolution in their own borders.

They found a great benefit in what would come. In 1988, the computer world was shocked raw when a major Chinese firm, called "Advanced Technologies" purchased the Commodore International corporation; creators of the popular (to Europeans and many Americans) Amiga computer line. Advanced Technologies adopted the Commodore-Amiga brand-name, and brought the entire corporate leadership, engineering staff and development staff from their stations in the United States and Europe, to China.

In the same year, Amiga released the Amiga 2500, a slightly modified version that included signficant upgrades. The Amiga 2500 rapidly took hold in China as the "be all, end all" computer. To piggyback off of this popularity, Apple released a "Macintosh card" for the Amiga 2500, which would run Apple software and operating systems along-side the default AmigaOS. For the next several years, China rapidly entered a new state of modernization at the hands of the personal computer, which delighted China's intellectuals, and the political leadership. The computer revolution was blossoming immensely, and looked to have no end.

--------​

In 1996, President Conyers was elected to a second term as President of the United States -- without much fanfare, very much unlike the previous one. China's leadership witnessed continued blossoming of economic and political strength of China, with many beginning to see China as the "third superpower", particularly after TIME Magazine ran a serious article on the "development of China in the last half-century", going from a wrecked and shattered nation, to one of the most powerful on Earth. The release of the Amiga 5K was hailed as a pinnacle of Chinese cooperation with foreign corporations to better the people's livelihood.

1997 marked the end of the South African war, without the results intended -- South Africa maintained itself, only barely, primarily isolated to the Cape itself and the "Boer-majority" regions. Most of the South African interior was lost to the state as their war-effort collapsed and apartheid with it. KwaZulu-Natal, Oranje, Transvaal were all carved out as independent states, bringing to an end, South Africa's desires for hegemony in the Southern regions of Africa. This conflict marked the beginning of a "rather pointed hope for bettermend of mankind". However, things wouldn't last forever.

While 1998 was mostly silent, 1999 would be a year that no man, woman or child would ever forget...​

End, Part I.
 
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Asami

Banned
OTL Figures of interest as of 1999.

Steve Jobs is the CEO of NeXT Corporation and lives in Moscow, Russian RSFSR, Soviet Union. He has avoided many of his medical issues by taking his medical conditions more seriously than OTL.

Mikhail Gorbachev is the Deputy General Secretary of the Soviet Union, and remains such through the Ryzhkov leadership, which continues to the turn of the century.

Ronald Reagan retired from acting in 1994 without much notification. He remains President of the Screen Actors Guild in 1999, but he intends to resign from this position in 2000.

Diana, Princess of Wales still lives, and is still married to Charles. No infidelity, and they welcomed a third child in 1990, named Albert.

Freddie Mercury is still alive and kicking, and Queen still tours to this day. They have miraculously avoided the same kind of "has been" image that bogs down The Rolling Stones.

The Beatles didn't live much longer past OTL; they broke up in 1970 under far more amicable circumstances. Both Lennon and Harrison are still alive in 1999, and the band as reunited a couple times since their breakup for reunion tours. However, this will not be done for some time for obvious reasons. ;)

Vladimir Putin is a high-ranking KGB officer, and has very little desire to be a politician; preferring to be an agent of the KGB. He is currently on assignment to Africa in the aftermath of the South African War.

Margaret Thatcher is consigned to irrelevance. She failed to win the seat in Finchley in 1959, which was instead taken by a Labour Party leader. Thatcher's rise to politics came to an abrupt end, and she ended up owning a small chain of supermarkets, and living life as a middle-class woman; not much better than where her father was as a Grantham grocer.

Richard Nixon served as a Senator from California until 1962. He remains a popular demagogue in California after serving as Governor for several years. His zenith has passed, and he is little more than an elderly Republican figure who chimes in every few years to criticize the way the party is heading. Most Congressional Republicans ignore him.
 
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Asami

Banned
You screwed Mrs. Thatcher? What the... :eek:

No comment on the chapter? Pity. :p

And yes, I screwed Margaret Thatcher good. If you notice, any time I come into contact with her in my timelines, I either make her somebody actually likable, or I completely shaft her. In this case, I completely shaft her. ;)

Also: And now for the musical stylings of Mr. Paul Robeson, to play China's glorious anthem. This very video (Paul Robeson singing the March of the Volunteers), and my recent campaign as Communist China on Darkest Hour inspired me to make a TL around China. ^^
 
Took me a while to read that long chapter. The length is awesome btw. :D

I love the idea of the US and Soviet Union continuing tensions to "keep themselves on their toes", but I get the feeling that actually torpedoing a soviet sub (which undoubtedly led to serious loss of life) went a little too far for there not to be a serious war scare.

Go Computers! Go third party success!
 

Asami

Banned
Took me a while to read that long chapter. The length is awesome btw. :D

I love the idea of the US and Soviet Union continuing tensions to "keep themselves on their toes", but I get the feeling that actually torpedoing a soviet sub (which undoubtedly led to serious loss of life) went a little too far for there not to be a serious war scare.

That has been revised. The submarine was simply seen and scared off.
 
Warsaw and Beijing Pact, 1999

Asami

Banned
Soviet Allies / International Alliance:

Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (leader)
Democratic Republic of Romania
Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia
Democratic Republic of Afghanistan
Democratic Republic of Mongolia
People's Republic of Angola
People's Republic of Mozambique
Socialist Republic of Congo (the small one, not the big one)
People's Republic of Benin
Republic of Rhodesia
Democratic Republic of Botswana

Chinese allies / Beijing Pact:

People's Republic of China (leader)
People's Republic of Korea
Empire of Vietnam
People's Republic of Khmer
People's Republic of Myanmar
People's Republic of Bangladesh
Democratic Republic of Kenya
People's Democratic Republic of Uganda
Republic of Rwanda
Socialist Republic of Transvaal
People's Republic of KwaZulu
People's Republic of Peru

The two major "Communist" blocs have pretty decent power both at home and in Asia. The Warsaw Pact is defunct, primarily because Poland, Hungary, Czechoslovakia are all now western-oriented, but Romania, Yugoslavia (om nom nom Bulgaria tastes good) remain Soviet-aligned.

China is, of course, stronk!

After this upcoming update; I'll post a map both of the political situation on the ground, and the concurrent "alignments" between the three superpowers. China, Sovetsky Soyuz, and America.
 
I see what you just did there: you've made a TL where Bernie Sanders actually gets to move into the White House, without having to become president (not yet anyway). :D

The PLA guarding Hotel Rwanda (great movie BTW) and then subsequently nerfing the Rwandan Genocide is too cool for words.

So TTL South Africa is now a patchwork of various regimes now? Would really look forward to what kind of a mess you'll be drawing for the map. Who now leads the anti-apartheid movement in the rump South Africa now that Mandela is shafted? Tutu?

I must have read wrongly, but are Paul and Ringo also alive in 1999 TTL, or is it only John and George?

BTW, is Zhao's title President or Chairman? You keep mixing these two terms up. In OTL, the "President" is the official title used in English, in Chinese, the title is still refereed to as "Guojia Zhuxi" ("National Chairman). Is that also your intention for TTL President/Chairman?

1999 will probably see a 9/11 terror-attack equivalent, or a Hitler invades Poland/Pearl Harbor moment, with the Indian subcontinent being the primary suspects.
 

Asami

Banned
I see what you just did there: you've made a TL where Bernie Sanders actually gets to move into the White House, without having to become president (not yet anyway). :D

I have a soft spot for that old man. ^^

The PLA guarding Hotel Rwanda (great movie BTW) and then subsequently nerfing the Rwandan Genocide is too cool for words.

The United Nations was "concerned about the deteriorating situation in Kigali", all the meanwhile, the People's Liberation Army was giving General Bizimungu, Gregoire and their cadre of genocidal maniacs a good kick in the pants. China captured a lot of "war criminals", and China didn't take lightly when they discovered the mass graves and mass instances of rape.

Something about Nanking all over again. I can only wonder why the Chinese General in charge of the peacemaking force in Kigali has been covering up China's own war crimes against the Interahamwe...

So TTL South Africa is now a patchwork of various regimes now? Would really look forward to what kind of a mess you'll be drawing for the map. Who now leads the anti-apartheid movement in the rump South Africa now that Mandela is shafted? Tutu?

South Africa now consists of a few independent states.
  • Republic of South Africa (rump)
  • Northwestern Territories (independent anti-apartheid Boer regime)
  • Oranje
  • Transvaal
  • Natal

South Africa and the Northwestern are Boer-majority, while the Oranje, Transvaal and Natal are not; but have sizable minority populations.

I must have read wrongly, but are Paul and Ringo also alive in 1999 TTL, or is it only John and George?

It is implied that all four Beatles are alive.

BTW, is Zhao's title President or Chairman? You keep mixing these two terms up. In OTL, the "President" is the official title used in English, in Chinese, the title is still refereed to as "Guojia Zhuxi" ("National Chairman). Is that also your intention for TTL President/Chairman?

1999 will probably see a 9/11 terror-attack equivalent, or a Hitler invades Poland/Pearl Harbor moment, with the Indian subcontinent being the primary suspects.

Yeah, I guess. Primarily it's because I'm inconsistent in labeling (how many times have I jumped around on Soviet leader names hahahaha). It is implied that Chairman and President when referring to the Head of State of the PRC is interchangeable.
 
Chapter IX, Part II

Asami

Banned
Qilai! Qilai!
A history of Modern China

nuclear_57-046-60f5b6f991b3e30513cdf4c575e64312fa852445-s900-c85.jpg


I Don't Want To Set The World On Fire

May 3, 1999 - May 30, 1999​


NOTICE -- ALL TIMES ARE REPORTED IN PAKISTANI STANDARD TIME (GMT+0500)

05/03/99 06:14
Local shephards in the Kashmir region report to local Indian administrator of Pakistani incursion into the neutral zone at Kargil.

05/03/99 06:16
Report recieved by Indian high command; small patrol of soldiers sent up into Kashmir to investigate claims and deter further Pakistani aggression.

05/03/99 06:35 - 07:19
Indian patrol and Pakistani forces encounter each other outside Kargil. Skirmish erupts between Indian forces and Pakistan. Indian forces retreat after approximately one hour of fighting. Five Indian soldiers are taken prisoner by the Pakistanis and are tortured for information. All five prisoners are killed by Pakistan after they reveal Indian military positions outside of the Neutral Zone.

05/03/99 07:22
President Conyers, Vice President Sanders, Secretary of State Albright and other high figures of the United States government are summoned to the Situation Room at 22:22 EDT.

05/03/99 07:25
Chairman Zhao is informed the situation by the PLA Central Command.

05/03/99 07:26
Chairman Zhao places phone-call to Washington D.C. and speaks briefly with President Conyers on the situation in possibility of escalation in the sub-continent.

05/03/99 07:40
At the Pentagon's suggestion, US forces worldwide are brought to DEFCON 3; down from DEFCON 4.

05/03/99 07:56
Pakistan shells Kargil; severely damages an ammunitions dump; 3 civilian casualties.

05/03/99 08:00
India formally condemns Pakistani incursion and demands withdrawal from the region.
United States, China and the Soviet Union all issue statements urging both parties to maintain calm and exercise diplomatic solutions.

05/03/99 08:15-10:45
Pakistani Army advances and begins mobilization into the Dras, Kaksar and Mushkoh sectors of Kashmir and Jammu.
Indian army begins mobilizing armed forces along the Pakistani border and orders strategic placement of forces in the Kargil sector as to "chokehold" Pakistani troops.
Fighting erupts in numerous locations, grinding primarily to stalemates.

05/03/99 10:45 - 05/05/99 03:31
Continued fighting in Kashmir continues for two days without end; current civilian casualties reach up to the high eighties; India and Pakistan accuse each other of "aggressive acts" and vow to not stop until either side capitulates.

05/05/99 03:33-13:41
People's Liberation Army formally mobilizes and increases readiness level. Military exercises begin in Indochina between China, Bangladesh and Burma.
India warns China that "wanton aggression will not be tolerated" and mobilizes in Arunachal Pradesh.
China issues condemnation of Indian "militarism and aggressive behaviour" and steps up war-games.
President Conyers calls Beijing and asks for China to "dial down the rhetoric".
China complies and winds down war-games in Indochina.

05/05/99 13:41
Confirmed by USAF, PLAF, NASA and the Ministry of Space Exploration in Beijing; Pakistan has tested another nuclear weapon.

05/05/99 14:20
Confirmed; India has tested another nuclear weapon.

05/05/99 18:18
Two fighter jets under the Indian Air Force; A MiG-21 and a MiG-27, are downed by Pakistani anti-air near the Pakistani border. Fleet Lieutenant Nachiketa is taken as prisoner of war by the Pakistanis; and is tortured.

05/05/99 21:38
Pakistan ramps up military attacks. Bombs NH 1A; India's primary highway into Kashmir. Significant military casualties are reported, as well as 24 civilian ones. The civilian casualty count now exceeds 110 by midnight on May 6th.

05/06/99 00:01
India issues ultimatum to Pakistan: "Withdraw from Kashmir or face war."

05/06/99 00:04
Pakistan withdraws Ambassador from New Delhi, rejects ultimatum.

05/06/99 00:10
Indian Army attacks Pakistan in two thrusts; in the South towards Karachi; and in the North, attempting to push Pakistan from the outskirts of Kargil.

05/06/99 02:45-06:30
In an emergency meeting, Pakistan formally declares war on India.
United States formally raises readiness state from DEFCON 3 to DEFCON 2, after another string of Indian nuclear tests.
People's Republic of China issues full mobilization order.
Soviet Union and her allies mobilize for war.

05/06/99 06:31-07:18
Military declares martial law in Luang Prabang; Laos' CIA-backed government, after decades of power, collapses.
United States requests formal explanation from Beijing after new junta announces intentions to join the Beijing Pact.
Beijing claims to not know what goes on in Laos, and mentions that it has not had ties to the leftists in Laos since the government of Aisin-Gioro Pu-yi.

05/06/99 07:19
Indian army calls off military offensive after failure to push Pakistan back on all fronts. Pakistan launches salvo of bombing raids upon India's border cities in Kashmir and across the standard border. Over 245 civilians die in the bombing raids; bringing the death toll now into the mid-300s.

05/06/99 11:09
Pakistan launches offensive against India. Kargil, Jaisalmer, Bikaner, Ludhiana and Srinagar are all pounded by Pakistani air and artillery.

05/06/99 - 05/13/99
Pakistan conducts lengthy military offensive against India and sees great results. Over the seven days, India is rapidly pushed back in Kashmir.

05/13/99 00:00-08:30
While losing ground in Kashmir, India launches large-scale military offensive into the heart of Pakistan to capture Islamabad. Indian artillery and air support bombard the capital city of Pakistan through the early morning. India, either purposefully or by accident, during a bombing raid at an air field, bombs a large Pakistani school, currently housing over 3,000 children who are attending classes. The bombing kills 763 children, and injures over 1,100.

05/13/99 08:33
Pakistani state media issues warning that "India has worn out the good graces of Allah's children," and that a "great jihad will soon darken your doorstep".

05/13/99 08:35
Osama bin Laden, leading Press Secretary for the Sultan of Saudi Arabia, calls for "calm restraint in the coming days" by both sides.
President Conyers as well, makes personal appeal to both India and Pakistan's rulers and is firmly rebuffed.

05/14/99-05/20/99
India launches "Operation Saphalat" and begins rapidly advancing against Islamabad and begins to push back in Kashmir. However, heavy casualties begin to pile up, both of Pakistani civilians, and of Indian troops.

05/20/99 08:15
Pakistan formally issues orders for nuclear weapons to be activated and institute "full readiness policy".
India does the same twenty minutes later.
China, fearing the worst, formally goes to total readiness in all matters, and prepares nuclear arsenal for deployment.
United States and Soviet Union both enter nuclear readiness.

05/21/99 06:29
Pakistan detonates two tactical nuclear warheads against advancing Indian troops along the Kashmir and Islamabad front. The resultant fallout carries into India.

05/21/99 06:30
United States confirms nuclear attack against Indian divisions; DEFCON 1 declared, United States nuclear assets go live.
President Conyers, Vice President Sanders and other members of the United States government are evacuated to bunkers and safe zones.
Soviet Union issues emergency warning and begins evacuations.

05/21/99 07:00
India launches full-scale nuclear attack on Pakistan.
Pakistani nuclear launch occurs, however, the Pakistani nuclear program is significantly less powerful; Pakistan targets a handful of cities in Northwestern India.

05/21/99 07:17
Islamabad is hit.

05/21/99 07:30
New Delhi is hit.

05/21/99 07:30-09:00
For one and a half hours, India and Pakistan's major cities in the region are devastated by nuclear attack. The United States, Soviet Union and China hold their breath and are a hair away from pulling the trigger on their own nuclear arsenals.

05/21/99 09:01
President Conyers and General Secretary Rzhykov converse again, and affirm that the situation is not relevant to them, but to the sub-continent.
United States remains at DEFCON 1, but civil defence emergency is rescinded and all-clears are given.
Soviet Union does the same.
China, however, formally enters Arunachal Pradesh after reports of Indian units turning on each other is reported.

05/21/99 09:01-23:59
Fallout settles across the northwestern subcontinent, killing millions. India and Pakistan effectively cease to exist as sovereign governments, as remaining Pakistani military units declare themselves in rebellion and carve out weakened warlord states with the help of surviving natives.
India, similarly, completely collapses as military units turn on each other. Within the next 9 days, India will effectively collapse.


05/22/99 - 05/25/99
NASA, Pentagon and other sources confirm that India and Pakistan have both been devastated; as several major cities were hit by nuclear attacks.

Chinese forces formally declare the annexation of Arunachal Pradesh, and enter into Kashmir and Jammu to restore order. United States and Soviet Union do not comment.
Bangladeshi forces enter into Bengal to "restore order". Soviet forces do similarly into parts of Pakistan, avoiding known radioactive locations.
American forces enter into Balochistan and Sindh from their ally in Iran.

The Soviets occupy the provisional capital of Pakistan that the Islamist regime fled to, and arrests all leaders for war-crimes. They are given a kangaroo trial and promptly executed. Soviets prop up a rather obvious Soviet puppet regime called the Democratic Republic of Pakistan.

The China does similarly, using her ties to Indian communists to prop up the remaining Indian rump regime as the People's Republic of Hindustan.

05/25/99
United Nations emergency session is held and the situation is discussed.
Attempts by more moderate influences in the UN to declare the entire subcontinent a "UN emergency zone" and deploy peacekeepers is rebuffed by the Big Five, who have no interest in allowing the UN to continue the situation.
The UN, Red Cross and foreign aid organizations begin the process of working on the famine that is bound to begin very soon.

05/30/99
The rump India and Pakistan formally sign a peace agreement after a week of chaos and rapid movement by foreign forces into the Subcontinent to "restore order".
The Kargil War, which has killed millions of people, formally comes to an end.​
 
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Aftermath of the Kargil War

Asami

Banned
Pakistan:
Rawalpindi
Islamabad
Muzaffarabad
Mansehra
Abbottabad
Dera Ismail Khan
Layyah
Multan
Gujranwala
Faisalabad
Lahore
Bahawalnagar
Bahawalpur
Sialkot
Gujrat​

Estimated Pakistani death toll (immediate): 6,378,150 people
Estimated injuries (immediate): 8,928,590 people
Average yield of nuclear detonation against Pakistan: ~300kT

India:
New Delhi
Jammu
Kargil
Amritsar
Ludhiana
Dehradun
Srinagar
Anantnag
Shimla
Agra
Jodhpur
Jaisalmer
Bikaner
Udaipur
Chittorgarh
Kota
Gwalior
Kanpur
Lucknow
Sitapur
Lakhimpur
Pilibhit​

Estimated Indian death toll (immediate): 5,581,960 people
Estimated injuries (immediate): 8,781,390 people
Average yield of attack against India: 150kT

Total death toll: 11,960,110 people
Injuries: 17,709,980 people
Expected death toll by end of 1999: Significantly more as radiation poisoning and other maladies set in; particularly after famines, radioactive pollution of rivers and valleys, and rioting, looting and other things take place.
 
I wonder what will eventually happen to the largely unhit Southern portions of India (besides the obvious chaos/fighting between confused armies)
 
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