Qilai! Qilai! - A History of Modern China and The World

Chapter I

Asami

Banned
((And here we have Sakura_F writing a timeline about Modern China. I'm pretty sure I'm going to fuck it all up, but I wanted to write this anyway.))

Qilai! Qilai!
A history of Modern China

1949-plenary.jpg


Mao Tse-tung (Communist Party)
(1949 - 1953)

"The Helmsman"

October 1, 1949 inaugurated a new era in Chinese history. The Communist Party of China had won out in the civil war against the Kuomintang Nationalists that had lasted for over twenty years; and through a Japanese invasion that had left millions of Chinese dead; and the nation demoralized.

Mao Tse-tung became the first leader of modern China, proclaiming the establishment of the People's Republic of China (中华人民共和国 / Zhōnghuá Rénmín Gònghéguó); and through this, began to pilot the future of China through his newly established Stalinist policies.

Relations between the newly established People's Republic of China and their former benefactors, the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, faced some difficulty in 1949 after the establishment of new leadership under General Georgy Zhukov, after the sudden death of Joseph Stalin in September 1949. Zhukov's leadership was unusual for Russia, but Zhukov managed to prevent a counter-coup from being organized; cementing his political authority by early 1950; relations between China and the Soviet Union soon began to spoil as Zhukov piloted a process of “de-Stalinization” after a speech to the Supreme Soviet given in late February 1950. Zhukov was not adverse to Stalin’s policies of purging, however. After conducting a purge of power-rival Beria and the “unruly NKVD”, as well as purging Stalinist influences in the Soviet sphere of influence and reconciling with Josip Broz Tito; Zhukov turned his attentions to Asia.

In April 1950, Kim Il-sung, leader of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, was ousted by the anti-Stalinist influence of the Soviet Union; and a much more “moderate” communist figure was placed into power under Soviet suzerainty. This had been done because of Kim’s fervent desire to get into a protracted war with the Capitalist West to reunite the Korean Peninsula. This new moderate Soviet-backed government eased off tensions and instead made overtures to reach to the South and establish a consistent, peaceful border.

This new Soviet satellite state in North Korea, as well as the loss of Chinese geopolitical power through the negotiations of a plan to invade South Korea significantly damaged Mao's standing internally, and externally; as he looked to find a means to expanding his power base against growing moderate influence in his own party and state. In mid-1950, Mao began to pilot a policy of collectivizing land under a government monopoly on agriculture in order to fund industrialization. This policy proved significantly unpopular with the many Chinese peasants who wanted to keep their land and continue their policies.

The presumed "Father of Modern China" soon faced mounting opposition within his own party as he had little victories to show after the one in 1949; the Nationalists had safely evacuated to Taiwan, the People's Republic remained the unrecognized shadow China, and China had no allies at all.

Mao, desperate to find an outlet for his own, began to increase the amount of aid going into Indochina to fund communist partisans there; however; after three years of unsuccessful actions in Indochina, poor payment of the People's Liberation Army, and the discontent peasantry, Mao had run out of time and out of support from the party cadres. An abortive attempt by him to coordinate a purge of those who opposed his policies was the final step over the line for the cadres, who quickly encircled Mao politically, and then attacked. The leader of the counter-purge, Deng Xiaoping, offered to Mao a rather poor set of choices; Mao opted for his offer of a "way out" out of respect, and to be remembered as China's greatest elder statesman in generations.

So, after a brief four years as the leader of China, Mao was unceremoniously "retired" by the Politburo, and thanked for his "years of service to China", and that his "victories in the Long March, the Revolution, and the victories of the Civil War would never be forgotten." Mao's political career had ended quickly, and China moved on to a new leader.

Modern China recognizes Mao Tse-tung's victories as key to the growth of the state, but very few, if any Chinese, talk about his time as an actual administrator of China.
 
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Oh wow, the Great Helmsman hands over the wheel to another because of Korea! So who will it be? I'm hedging my bets on Zhu De but I'm not discounting others right now.
 
Very interesting, although I didn't have Zhukov pegged as a successor to Stalin. IOTL he didn't seem to manifest such an ambition. Interesting nonetheless, especially the part of earlier de-Stalinisation affecting China. The early 50s was about the only time when Mao's power in the new PRC wasn't so absolute that removing him wasn't possible.

Oh wow, the Great Helmsman hands over the wheel to another because of Korea! So who will it be? I'm hedging my bets on Zhu De but I'm not discounting others right now.

Maybe China follows the trend set by the Soviets and puts a general in charge, such as perhaps Peng Dehuai.
 

Asami

Banned
Oh wow, the Great Helmsman hands over the wheel to another because of Korea! So who will it be? I'm hedging my bets on Zhu De but I'm not discounting others right now.

There are many things that may emerge as a result of the Great Helmsman handing over power in an abortive attempt to purge his enemies. I made a couple revisions; I'd look them over if I were you. ;)

Ooo.. Quite interesting.
This rather different "communist" world might last longer than the one in OTL.

Oh, we'll see.

Very interesting, although I didn't have Zhukov pegged as a successor to Stalin. IOTL he didn't seem to manifest such an ambition. Interesting nonetheless, especially the part of earlier de-Stalinisation affecting China. The early 50s was about the only time when Mao's power in the new PRC wasn't so absolute that removing him wasn't possible.

Zhukov didn't have the ambition IOTL, I kind of greated a mulligan where Zhukov would step into the power vacuum after Stalin's sudden death in 1949. Fill in what you want about Stalin's sudden death, I think I'll leave that vague. I believe that's probably the most unrealistic part of this whole thing; I don't think Russia had a common trait of Generals stepping into leadership positions; particularly Zhukov. I considered others such as Voroshilov; but I figured Zhukov was a popular enough figure to pull off the "Military to civilian leader" kind of thing -- like Eisenhower, but with Communism.

Maybe China follows the trend set by the Soviets and puts a general in charge, such as perhaps Peng Dehuai.

We'll see.
 
DO YOU HEAR THE PEOPLE SING, SINGING THE SONG OF COMMUNIST CHINA

This is a great start. Hoping for an update to the TTL present day.

EDIT: by the way, Rhee is still quite aggressive(his rhetoric justified Kim's aggression IOTL), so with the fall of Kim I suppose the US may also support the rise of a certain general...by the surname of...Park?
 
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Zhukov, if I recall had his hands tied by the simple fact that the NKVD was all over him. One false move and he was in Lubyanka.
 
Chapter II

Asami

Banned
Qilai! Qilai!
A history of Modern China

250px-Chu_De2.jpg


Zhu De (Communist Party)
(1953 - 1956)

"The Marshal"

In the grand scheme of Modern China, the administration of Zhu De was but a minor blip. Zhu De became leader of China in 1953 after the resignation of Mao Tse-tung. He only elevated to the office of China because several factions in the Central Committee refused to allow Zhou Enlai, Mao's favorite, or some of the moderate figures to rise to the forefront as leaders.

However, his rule during its brief, three year term, was tenuous at best. Zhu was more moderate than Mao, but possessed none of the charisma, leadership ability, or stable personality to lead. He backed off on Mao's agricultural collectivism, but threw money into the People's Liberation Army and looked to cultivate the PLA as the "arm of the state".

During his administration, China got involved in a few events; for one, less than a year after him becoming President, the Indochinese Revolutionaries under Ho Chi Minh won a victory over the French Republic at Dien Bien Phu. This victory allowed for Zhu De to maneuver China's diplomatic corps into being part of the Geneva Treaty. The Geneva Conference established two Vietnamese states; the North, governed by the Viet Minh and Ho Chi Minh; and the South, governed by the Emperor, Bao Dai.

After the treaty was signed and ratified in 1954, Zhu De threw money into the Viet Minh and North Vietnam, hoping to bolster it and establish a Chinese sphere of influence in Indochina; he as well, funded leftist movements in both the newly independent Laos, and Cambodia; hoping to cultivate Communist states there.

However, his power soon waned as he remained an unpopular demagogue, incapable of commanding the people, and paying little, if any, attention to the national economy. In 1956, he followed the Great Helmsman and retired. Despite a weak domestic policy and lack of attention therein, The People's Liberation Army had emerged on the other side of Zhu De's administration significantly more organized than it had been in 1953; certainly a force capable of fighting regional conflicts.

The Communist Party's factionalism was even more so pronounced, divided into numerous factions, fighting for the leadership; those who backed Mao's vision for China, through collectivism and political consolidation; those who wanted a more moderate China at various levels; those who supported "Army/Navy first" rather than the other facets of society.

However, after Zhu De, the state decided to opt for an even more moderate solution...
 
Called it. Now, a moderate solution, huh? Sounds like it could go the way of either Liu Shaoqi, Zhou Enlai or Deng Xiaoping. Not sure who it would be, and I could be wrong with these three as well, but I think Deng sounds like the top contender for the spot. From what I read about him, he was chosen to Mao on Zhou's recommendation to succeed the latter after his cancer diagnosis because he was one of the last senior military leaders carrying the legacy of the the Long March, and managed to reconcile the PLA following Lin Biao's death/disappearance and the schism in the PLA. Here I think he could do well in balancing his loyalties to the PLA as part of its "Old Guard" and the civilian authorities since he and Zhou were rather pragmatic and balanced in their decision-making.
 

Asami

Banned
Some leaders thus far:

Chairman of the People's Republic of China:
1949-1953: Mao Tse-tung (CPC)
1953-1956: Zhu De (CPC)

General Secretary of the Soviet Union:
1922 - 1949: Joseph Stalin (CPSU)
1949 - present: Georgy Zhukov (CPSU)

President of the Republic of France:
1947 - 1954: Vincent Auriol (SFIO)
1954 - present: Georges Bidault (Popular Republican)*​

Prime Minister of the United Kingdom:
1947 - 1951: Clement Attlee (Labour)
1951 - present: Winston Churchill (Conservative)

President of the United States:
1945-1953: Harry S. Truman (Democratic)
1953 - present: Estes Kefauver (Democratic)**​

Chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany:
1949 - present: Konrad Adenauer (CDU)

General Secretary of the German Democratic Republic:
1949 - present: Walter Ulbricht (SED)

President of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea:
1948 - 1950: Kim Il-sung (KWP)
1950 - present: Pak Hon-yong (KWP)

President of the Republic of Korea
1948 - present: Syngman Rhee (Liberal)
 
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President of the Republic of Korea
1948 - present: Syngman Rhee (Liberal)

It may certainly be my bias, but I don't see Rhee lasting this long TTL due to two reasons:
  • Rhee was equally, if not possibly more, belligerent to Kim. It certainly requires two to do the tango but as said before I can foresee the US having less shits than OTL to give about Rhee, particularly he's now just a bumbling old man pissed at everything.
  • Rhee was, furthermore, quite anti-US; his rhetoric was profoundly ultranationalistic from the fact that his original supporting base(pro-Japanese collaborators) was very small and he needed support from the wider population - and no country went untargeted in his speeches, whether Japan, China, the Communists, or America.
He would also be getting more angry at the US for not giving supporting troops for the war, and would possibly use coercive measures - there did exist a paramilitary group, based on Chiang's fascist Blue Shirts Society.
 

Asami

Banned
It may certainly be my bias, but I don't see Rhee lasting this long TTL due to two reasons:
  • Rhee was equally, if not possibly more, belligerent to Kim. It certainly requires two to do the tango but as said before I can foresee the US having less shits than OTL to give about Rhee, particularly he's now just a bumbling old man pissed at everything.
  • Rhee was, furthermore, quite anti-US; his rhetoric was profoundly ultranationalistic from the fact that his original supporting base(pro-Japanese collaborators) was very small and he needed support from the wider population - and no country went untargeted in his speeches, whether Japan, China, the Communists, or America.
He would also be getting more angry at the US for not giving supporting troops for the war, and would possibly use coercive measures - there did exist a paramilitary group, based on Chiang's fascist Blue Shirts Society.

He's held on for the moment by quieting down (the US is not as defensive as they were OTL), but I wouldn't discount the near future -- his leash is short, and he leaves OTL in 1960; but who knows? ;)
 
It did exist in OTL, actually, until Ngo Dinh Diem toppled Bao Dai and proclaimed a Republic.
oh shit, nevermind then.
He's held on for the moment by quieting down (the US is not as defensive as they were OTL), but I wouldn't discount the near future -- his leash is short, and he leaves OTL in 1960; but who knows? ;)
;)
If you're curious as to what made me make this TL: Click
his Chinese was certainly outstanding for the period. :D
 
Chapter III

Asami

Banned
Qilai! Qilai!
A history of Modern China

dengxiaoping.jpg


Deng Xiaoping (Communist Party)
(1956-1958)

"The Reformer"
The first administration of Deng Xiaoping had great promise for the everyman in China, and for the welfare of the state in terms of international relations; however, Deng's reformist policies soon found massive opposition from within the "Zhu De" faction of the Communist Party, who thought Deng's steps away from militarism and expanding the PLA were the "wrong path to take"; similarly, the "Maoist" faction as well, felt the steps taken by Deng were incorrect and taking China too far into capitalism and the "poison of the West".

Despite a rather well-premised start to reforms, two years into his administration as Chairman of the People's Republic; a cold February morning brought that all to an end.

On February 11, 1958, the People's Liberation Army, acting on the accord of several high-ranking officers and political cadres, declared Beijing under martial law and moved in to arrest Deng Xiaoping for "counter-revolutionary activities", accusing him of conspiring with the Kuomintang on Taiwan, as well as a long litany of false charges.

Before the PLA could capture him, Deng fled from Beijing along with several high-ranking reformers, first to Manchuria, then into the Soviet Union, where the Soviet government provided them refuge in the Amur. General Secretary Zhukov and the United States both condemned the PLA for their actions, and the United States bolstered Taiwan with more arms than the previous year's total.

While China dealt with political intrigue and inner turmoil, President Syngman Rhee of the Republic of Korea sought to violate the Panmunjom Accords which had established a permanent border at the 38th parallel and affirmed both states to "continued negotiations on the future of the Korean Peninsula". The United States, rather unhappy with Syngman Rhee's ultranationalist rantings, and his desire to invade North Korea (and possibly trigger World War III), decided to act.

The Blue House Coup took place on April 20, 1958. Syngman Rhee was ousted from power by a large-scale military coup d'etat undertaken by General Park Chung-hee, who sought to strengthen South Korea without regard for petty unification. China's unstable position through the months prevented them from being able to get the drop in on the situation, giving the PLA militants justification to further push their coup on the Central Committee, this time going as far as to blame the entirety of the Communist Party for their transgressions.

The Central Committee was dissolved by the People's Liberation Army on April 27, 1958, pending the "further investigations into the anti-revolutionary and anti-state actions of the Party cadres"; an excuse primarily to purge reformers and moderates from the leadership of the state. Deng Xiaoping quietly waited in the wings to return to Beijing and acclaim his victory over the hardliners. He lamented in a letter that was published across China and the Communist bloc that "the Revolution is lost in China, as there can be no substituting moderate, practical policies, with that of reactionary militancy."​
 
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Chapter IV

Asami

Banned
Qilai! Qilai!
A history of Modern China

Lin_Biao.jpg


Lin Biao (Military)
(1958-1959)

"The Caretaker"

The military junta administered China for about a full year before it transitioned power back to a civilian government; a piecemeal civilian government, but a civilian government anyway. In this year in which the military ruled China, a lot of the moderate actions of the previous administrators had been completely reversed on a whim; angering the Chinese people, and sending the People's Republic into a mad frenzy.

First, the junta, more than just Lin Biao, agreed to implement Mao's collectivism policies to "jumpstart the state economy and China's industrialization"; this, combined with unfavorable weather and incompetency after dozens of bureaucrats were purged for being unfavorable to the regime, lead to the Great Chinese Famine. The Junta knew that they were becoming more and more untenable in their positions of power, but they gripped on knowing that they would be able to finish their counter-reforms before the powderkeg burst.

Secondly, the People's Liberation Army began to conduct more daring exercises. In late 1958, PLA operatives, combined with Khmer leftists, overthrew the monarchy and established the People's Republic of Khmer; a radical communist state aligned with that of the PLA Junta (who were by and large dominated by Maoists); An attempt to do the same in Laos failed miserably after a CIA counter-coup was quickly organized and defeated the PLA-backed Revolutionaries.

In a final grasp, in the Spring of 1959, China invaded Tibet, hoping to gain a few marginal victories to secure a continued power base. Despite a victory over the Dalai Lama and the Tibet state, China suffered higher losses than expected during the campaign; which damaged the Junta's standing in the public eye.

With the famine worsening, and their figurehead's health fading rapidly, the Junta began to plan a handover of power. Their political situation worsened in the Summer of 1959, as most of the surviving Moderate and Reformist leaders of the Party, whom had all fled to North Korea and the Soviet Union, met in Pyongyang and formed the People's Party of China, and decried the legacy of the Communist Party, saying that it "no longer stood for the good of the Chinese proletariat, and that they had lost their way through militarism and egregious political purging".

The newly formed PPC gained the backing of both the Soviet Union and North Korea, who found Deng's political goals to align very well with their own. The United States watched the situation with baited breath; President Kefauver was reluctant to involve the CIA or any American assets in the chaotic politics of China, and preferred to observe from a distance.

Despite China's rapid step towards totalitarianism, many nations began to recognize her as the proper government of China. From only 1 (Soviet Union) in 1949, by 1959, all of the Communist states, along with all of the African nations whom had already achieved independence, recognized her as the sole Chinese state.

The Chinese government began to petition the United Nations for recognition as the proper successor to China, arguing that with the fact that all of historic China being under the PRC's purvey, that there was "no reason why the People's Republic should not represent the Chinese nation in the United Nations, as opposed to the Taiwanese, who are confined to an island."

On October 1, 1959; ten years after the establishment of the People's Republic, the Junta formally handed power back to a civilian government, this one thoroughly purged of non-Maoists. While the Great Helmsman could have taken power back himself, he was advised by the Junta to "not do so", as his presence could have enflamed the growing discontent.

Instead, the Junta appointed somebody else to rule China...
 
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