White Dawn – Alternative Timeline of Russian Revolution and WW1

Cardboard castles

November 21st: In the morning, the 4th and 5th cavalry divisions, supported by the 7th and 23rd infantry divisions, push North and reach the South bank of the Sensée river. Their way was barred by the German 20th division, while the German 240th division was cut off from action, closed between the Canal du Nord and the advancing British units. The day closed with a stalemate: British don’t break the German defenses on the Sensée river, the German 240th division doesn’t break the British choke. North to the battlefield, Germans begin the rapid retreat from the La Bassée-Lens salient. While a light screen, provided by first-line units, hold the defenses, repulsing some British diversionary attacks, the main force and the logistical train of the German Sixth Army begin the evacuation.
The political consequences of the German defeat are immediate and stunning. In Vienna, Emperor Karl realizes once again that this defeat gives him the right to disengage immediately from a losing war. Any territorial sacrifice asked by the Entente is now acceptable. He resumed immediately the secret contacts with the Entente, through Prince Sixte in France. He writes to president Poincaré, accepting all the Entente conditions for a separate peace. As a demonstration of good intent, the Emperor realizes one of his long-term project: he released the Proclamation, or “Manifesto of the Peoples”. This reform transforms completely the structure of Austro-Hungarian monarchy. The Poles were granted full independence in order to join the newly recognized Polish state. The rest of the Cislethania (austrian) lands were transformed into a federal union composed of four parts: German, Czech, Slovene and Ukrainian. Each of the four parts has to be governed by a Federal Council and has the right to secede. The future of the Rumanian minority in Bukovina has to be determined by a post-war referendum. Transleithania (Hungary and its dominions) is not included in the reform. Until now.

November 22nd: While the German Sixth Army is managing to retreat from La Bassée salient, the British Fifth Army (gen. Gough) slowly advances in Arras and Loos sectors. The British Third Army is pushing from Sensée river to cut the German retreat. The defences of German Sixth Army left flank are hold by the 20th regular and 20th territorial (Landwehr) division, while the 240th division is cut from the action. By the end of the day, thanks to massive artillery support, the British XIV Corps cross the Sensée, breaking the German field defences. The British tank corps is now almost completely incapacitated, because of German anti-tank fire and hundreds of mechanical failures. Since now, British can rely on barely 100 tanks. But now they have not to break other fortified lines. They are in open fields, for the first time since 1914 and they are ready to move to Valenciennes, as fast as possible, with their Cavalry Corps.

November 23rd: in order to speed up the retreat from la Bassée salient, general Rupprecht orders the Sixth Army to completely abandon all the advanced defences in front of the British Fifth Army. Bad weather (snow begins to fall early in the morning) and rough terrain (the old Somme battlefield) provide a very good screen, while the Germans can rely on quite good road system. As predicted, the Fifth Army follows on very slowly because of disastrous logistic conditions and Germans can evacuate the salient almost completely. Not all the units can escape the British manoeuvre. The 20th and 20th Landwehr divisions, the 240th division and also two first-line Bavarian divisions of the Sixth Army are completely cut off from the rest of the German Army. Before the evening, the British 1st cavalry division enters Valenciennes without fighting, capturing thousands and thousands tons of German ammos and materiel. The mission of the Third Army is accomplished.
In the evening, Emperor Karl I announces openly to German Emperor William II that the Austro-Hungarian Empire will ask for a separate peace in the next 24 hours. A copy of the letter is sent to the OHL’s HQ at Spa, along with all the necessary informations for a quick replacement of A-H units on all fronts with German divisions. The news from the Western front and the announcement of Austro-Hungarian sudden retreat from the war provoke the mental collapse of Ludendorff. After a violent crisis, the German commander in chief has to abandon Spa. He is temporarily relieved by Rupprecht, whose theatre of operation (Army Group North) is fundamental for the defence of the entire Western Front.

November 24th: the Austro-Hungarian armistice commission signs the separate peace at Trieste. All conditions accepted days before by Prince Sixte are formally validated in the armistice. Now the Austro-Hungarian army and navy have to demobilize. Six German divisions seizes immediately the control of Brennero Pass and begin the occupation of all the Tyrol. Mackensen Army Group and German Eleventh Army relieves the Austro-Hungarian troops in the Balkans, along with Bulgarian troops. But the Balkan front is becoming indefensible, Mackensen plans for a general retreat beyond the Danube-Sava line, while the Bulgarian government begins secret negotiations with general Sarrail, commander in chief of the Entente Eastern Army. Germans have not enough troops to relieve A-H units along all the Eastern front. OberOst (general Hoffman) has to order an overstretching deployment of the German Southern Army Group and Ninth Army in order to cover Galicia and Moldovan sectors.
On the Western Front, all the German units of the Second and Sixth Army completes their retreat beyond a new defensive line. All the divisions cut out from the action surrender to British forces, one by one. Basically, the British advance to the North is finished and the new front is stabilized. New attacks with tanks against the new German line fails. Tanks are very few, their crews exhausted and artillery support is now insufficient. The logistical train is too slow to follow the advance in a devastated terrain. British Third and Fifth Armies have created a new salient, with Valenciennes at its apex, 80 km wide and 60 km deep. More important: they have captured more than 100.000 German prisoners, nearly 1000 guns and thousands of tons of materiel.
Emperor William II breaks his long held silence and indicts a strategic conference at Spa, with generals Hindemburg, Hoffman and Rupprecht. In the same time, British Admiralty decides to hit again and hard the morale of the enemy and orders the Baltic naval expedition to leave the Gulf of Finland.


November 25th: early in the morning, Bulgaria signs an armistice with the Entente Eastern Army at Salonika. Mackensen orders immediately a general retreat of all German forces in the Balkans beyond the Danube-Sava line.
The strategic conference at Spa opens with the sad news from the Balkans. Rupprecht briefed on the Western Front: the lines can be held very well, now. The incoming Winter will prevent a new Entente offensive and for Spring a new fortified line can be completed in order to block further enemy assaults. An offensive (which can prevent the arrival of American forces) is impossible without the necessary help from Eastern front units. But Hoffman cannot give divisions. He needs desperately reinforces, indeed, because of Austro-Hungarian and Bulgarian defections. The gap opened in the South is too wide to be covered. And Hoffman is sure that the Russians can launch a new offensive for the next Spring.
Shocking news arrives from the North: British battlecruisers Repulse, Renown, Glorious and Courageous are shelling Danzig. Firing at long range with their 15inch guns, helped by the aerial observations provided by the HMS Furious, the British capital ships silenced the coastal batteries of the German city in a 30 minute action. When the German Hochseeflotte leaves Kiel, the battlecruisers are already gone. The fleet is incapacitated, the German coast is exposed to naval attacks, by Spring 1918 the Russian can attack from the East, Entente and new American forces can attack from the West, the Entente Eastern Army and the Italian Army can attack from the South. Germany is isolated. That night, at Spa, after the end of the strategic conference, William II calls field marshal Hindemburg and communicates him his intention to open negotiations with Entente.

To be continued...

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Battle of Van, Entente's victory in the Middle East

Ottoman forces now face a desperate situation. Two British armies are advancing in Palestine and Mesopotamia. The Persian-Caucasus campaign is stalling and all reserves should be dispatched to the Mesopotamian front. The surrender of Austro-Hungarian Empire and of Bulgaria, causes the interruption of main supply lines from Germany to Constantinople. A strong debate erupts in the Ottoman capital. Talaat Pasha, minister of Interior, wanted an immediate separate peace. But Enver Pasha favours the continuation of war in order to carve other territories from Russia and gain better peace conditions. He continues to underrate the British offensives, considering them side-show campaigns. The surrender of Bulgaria exposes directly Constantinople to the Entente Eastern Army’s menace, but the Winter is coming and weather does not allow any further offensive since the end of the year. Enver considers that Germany can hold the Western front and launch new offensives for the next Spring. The “war party” and the "peace party" are already debating on the future moves, when a new Entente offensive stops all discussions.

December 1st: during all the previous month (since the fall of Kirkuk on November 5th), British Indian I and III Corps have completed a 200 km advance to Mosul, until the Ottoman defences entrenched along the Little Zab river. The Indian 18th division manages to cross the river, but it’s repulsed and counter-attacked by Halil Pasha’s troops.
A British diversion is launched on the Persian front, where Dunsterville launches his column in the province of Ardelan, supported by a British cavalry division dispatched from Baghdad. Dunsterville meets quite no resistance in his sector. There are only few dispersed Ottoman battalions which are dispersed in one day. His move contributes to create panic in Ottoman local commands and to stop the movement of reserves from East to West, from Persia to Mesopotamia.

December 2nd: on the Mesopotamian front, general Marshall launches a new vigorous assault against the Little Zab, with strong artillery support. Some advanced Ottoman position is expunged and little bridgeheads are created on the Northern bank of the river.
On the Persian front, Dunsterville completes his diversion and orders his column to come back to bases. He has already taken more then 2000 prisoners and 100 guns.

December 3rd: on the Caucasus, suddenly, Russian artillery opens fire on Ottoman positions. Since the end of September, general Judenic was reorganizing his Caucasus Army. Now its time for a counter-strike. His very skilled in Winter fighting, after the victory at Sarikamish, he wanted to repeat the triumph. Now the Ottoman forces of the Third Army are weak and numerically inferior to Russian Caucasus Army. All the enemy reserves were drawn and sent to Mesopotamia. Three divisions are besieging Van since the September offensive. Then the situation is perfect from the Russian point of view. Using Brussilov’s infiltration tacticts, New Cossack’s assault battalions advance deep in the Ottoman defences and occupy Urmia (West to lake Urmia) and Maragha (East to lake Urmia), breaking Ottoman defensive system.
On the Mesopotamian front, the British Indian I Corps establishes a strong Bridgehead in the Northern Bank of Little Zab. Bad news from the Caucasus front, mines the morale of the Ottoman Sixth Army command.

December 4th: Russian main forces of the Caucasus Army break the Ottoman lines, near Van, Urmia and Maragha. The Ottoman Third Army begins to abandon its positions and retreat South. Near 10.000 men are taken prisoner or missing.
British Indian I and III Corps break the Ottoman lines on the Little Zab. General Marshall orders an advance to Mosul, his last target.

December 5th: the Ottoman Third Army is routed. Russians free Van from a three months long siege, relieving the Armenian national troops which defended the city bravely. The Russian Caucasus Army advances deep in all sectors.
British Indian vanguard occupies Mosul without fighting. The Sixth Army command has already evacuated the city, retreating all his remaining forces to the West.

December 6th: on the Palestinian front, the British XX Corps occupies Jaffo, along with the newly formed Jewish Legion. His flag is raised on the city’s watchtower for the first time. The XXI Corps approaches Jerusalem’s defences.
On the Mesopotamian front, general Marshall dispatches a cavalry brigade to Amadia, where it can meet the Russian advancing forces.

December 7th: the British XX Corps takes Jerusalem. General Allenby enters the Holy City. On the Mesopotamian front, a British cavalry brigade and a Russian assault battalion meet at Amadia. A large ring is now closed around two Ottoman armies, the Third and the Seventh.

December 8th: Palestine, Mesopotamia and Persia are now lost. Four armies (the Fourth in Palestine, the Third in the Caucasus, the Seventh in Persia and the Sixth in Mesopotamia) are routed or cut off from their bases. The situation is now really desperate for the Ottoman Empire. After consultations with Sultan Mehmet V, Talaat Pasha decided to resign with all his government. Mehmet V appoints a new government led by Izzet Pasha and orders him to open negotiations with the Entente.

To be continued...

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Russia votes

December 9th: the Ottoman sudden breakdown induces Emperor William II to accelerate the ongoing peace negotiations with the United States. As requested by president Wilson, the Kaiser orders the immediate suspension of all submarine operations. The same day, he endorses a new government led by the reformer Maximilian von Baden.
The victory over Ottoman forces produced another important side-effect: the rise of national pride in Russia. In Russia, the failure of the Bolshevik coup and the victory of the armed forces over a traditional enemy, provoked a huge shift of the public opinion to the right-wing political forces.

December 10th: elections in Russia for the All Russian Constituent Assembly. Bolshevik and Leftist Social Revolutionary parties are banned. Social Revolutionary and Bolshevik terrorists make a lot of terrorist bombings in electoral colleges in Petrograd, Moscow, Samara, Saratov. But they fail to stop the ballot.

Preliminary results are already clear by the end of the first day. Social Revolutionary Party is first with the 52% of votes. The second party is the Constitutional Democrat with 22%. The third is Menshevik party with 15%. Rightist gorups, Monarchists and Landowners gain an overall 9%

General elections are hold also in Finland, Ukraine and Georgia. In Finland, the Social Democratic Party of Oskar Tokoi (pro-independence) wins more than the 50%. In Ukraine, the Social Revolutionary party of Vynnychenko (again: pro-independence) wins over the 70%. Also in Georgia, the pro-independence local Menshevik party, led by Noe Zhordania, wins with more then 62%.





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The Road to Peace

December 11th: an Ottoman delegation joins the Entente Eastern Army HQ in Salonika in order to discuss peace terms. The Entente command asks from Paris and London for instructions. The Entente peace conditions follows the lines drawn in the Syskes-Picot agreements and in the San Giovanni di Moriana conference. Then: Hijaz will become an Arab independent kingdom, Palestine will become a British protectorate (and, according to the Balfour declaration, a Jewish national home). All the rest of the fertile crescent, from Jordan river to Mesopotamia, will be under formal Ottoman sovereignty, but it will be partitioned between French (North) and British (South) “areas of influence”. Lebanon will become a French protectorate. The Ottoman Empire have to recognize full Italian sovereignty over Dodecanneso islands and recognize their temporary protectorate over the city of Adana. Then, they have to concede temporarily Smirna to Greece. Russian government has no direct territorial claims, but it asks for a large and independent Armenia, protected by Russian army. Those terms are very hard, they are unacceptable. But the Ottoman Empire cannot fight anymore, the news from Berlin are clear (Germany is seeking for peace), then the armistice is signed in Salonika.

December 12th: The Young Turks triumvirate (Talaat, Enver and Djemal) leave Turkey and dispersed abroad. They fear Entente reprisals after the war.

December 13th: the Kaiser sends the second letter to Woodrow Wilson, through Vienna. The German peace proposal admits the cession of Alsace and Lorraine to France against the recognition of the status quo ante bellum of the Eastern frontier.

December 14th: the Russian government signs a new agreement with the newly appointed Finnish government, along the lines of the 1917 Power Act. This agreement transfers all executive powers to the Finnish government, except with defence and foreign policy, which belonged to Petrograd government. Internal laws, justice, police, culture and language, administration, local taxes, all will be managed by Helsingfors, now Helsinki.

December 15th: the Russian government signs a second agreement on autonomy with Ukraine, in Kiev. The conditions are the same adopted for Finland: full independence of Kiev government in all sectors, except with finance, defence and foreign policy. Petrograd recognizes the integrity of the Ukraine territory, along with Crimea and all the Eastern regions. The future of Ukrainian speaking Galicia (Austro-Hungarian Empire) will be soon decided by a referendum. In case of Ukrainian victory, its territory will be annexed by Kiev.

December 16th: German army begins its retreat from Poland. Pilsudski is released from prison. General elections will be soon held, as Berlin promises.

December 17th: in Reval, the Russian government signs a copy-cat of the Power Act with Estonian autonomous administration. Reval will become the capital of the new almost-independent state with the new Estonian name of Tallin. Local election will be hold as soon as possible. Miljukov, Russian foreign minister, promises the same status to Latvia and Lithuania, currently under German occupation.

December 18th: the Russian government signs the last agreement for autonomy with the last remaining separatist nationality: Georgia. The Petrograd provisional government and the Georgian Menshevik-led government, sign the agreement in Sochi. Georgia is now an almost independent nation, with his own government and internal laws. The same day, the Russian Provisional Government recognizes the independence of Armenian Republic, under Russian military protection, including all the territories conquered to the Ottoman Empire.

December 19th: President Wilson answers to the Kaiser. He asks more then a simple territorial change. He asks for a political change: the government should be responsible in front of the Parliament and not in front of the Kaiser.

December 20th: time have come for a change in Germany. Maximilian von Baden is the right person in the right place, in the right time. He presses for and obtain a radical project of reforms towards a parliamentarian government. Emperor William knows that he can keep a strong influence over the government. And that this is the only way to the peace. Then he signs the project.

December 21st: third letter to Wilson, from the Kaiser. Now Germany agrees to all conditions and a constitutional reform is already drawn and signed by the Emperor. Details over disarmament and compensations will be discussed later.

December 22nd: Wilson discusses the peace terms with Entente leaders. France wanted Alsace and Lorraine, huge economical compensations, German partial military disarmament. British want the surrender of all the Nassau class battleships and the SMS Baden, Belgian independence, limits on future German naval constructions. All parties accepts the status quo ante bellum of German Eastern Frontier. All Russian occupied territories has to be immediately rendered to Petrograd. Poland will be independent inside his current borders, plus Western Galicia (from Austro-Hungarian Empire). Preliminary conditions: immediate cease-fire and retreat of all German forces from Russia, Poland, Galicia, Tyrol, Belgium and France.

December 23rd: Germany accepts Entente preliminary conditions; a peace delegation starts from Spa.

December 24th: an armistice is signed in Compiègne, France.

December 25th: at 12 o’clock, the first minute of Christmas Day, the Great War is over.

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The Peace Treaties

The Great War was won by the Big Six: Usa, Great Britain, France, Italy, Russia and Japan. Along with minor allies: Belgium, Serbia, Montenegro, Rumania (whose territories were already under German military occupation when the war ended), Greece, Portugal.

There were many differences between the Big Six, both in war aims and balance of forces. About war aims, the Big Six were divided between idealists (Usa and Russia) and realists (Great Britain, France, Italy and Japan). About balance of forces, four winning powers contributed decisively to the military victory (Great Britain, France, Italy and Russia) and two made only a semi-symbolic intervention (Japan and Usa).

Usa occupied a very strong political position: President Wilson actually negotiated peace with both Austro-Hungarian Empire and Germany in November 1917, then he can exploit his reputation of “peace maker” among Nations. But the American military intervention in France was nearly symbolic and the American presence in the other theatres of war was inexistent. Then the Usa had little chance to influence the negotiations, other than suggesting the institution of a newly conceived League of Nations (accepted by both Russia and France), based on the Fourteen Points, in order to prevent future conflicts, settle disputes and make all Nations accept universal principles of human rights, democracy, free trade and self-determination.

Great Britain’s military muscle was decisive to victory. Its Navy defeated the German High Seas Fleet, its Army destroyed German morale in Cambrai. British expeditionary forces occupied large portions of Balkans and dominate the Middle East, West and East Africa. Great Britain’s PM David Lloyd George is the real “king maker” of 1917 Peace. His war aim is clear: create a new World order based on British hegemony. Naval victory in Skagerrak marked a second momentum (after Trafalgar) for British dominance over the oceans. This project included: redraw the map of the Middle East, creating a great semi-independent Arab Kingdom under British protection and a little Jewish Palestine as a British new Dominion; the annexation of part of German African Empire; the confiscation of the best survived battleships of German High Seas Fleet (Nassau class and Bayern). David Lloyd George opposed the idea to dismantle Austro-Hungarian Empire (a useful counter-weight to Germany) and wanted a united, but disarmed, Germany (a future, possible, peaceful economic partner). He opposed the idea of a powerful League of Nations, but accepted it as a symbolic International institution.

French war effort was decisive to victory since 1914, but French Army was exhausted in 1917. Then the political weight of PM Clemanceau was weaker than that of Lloyd George. The main war aim of France is the annexation of Alsace and Lorraine, of some of the German colonies in Africa and of Lebanon. Clemanceau paid fewer attention to Syria and the Middle East. And no French troops took part to Middle Eastern battles, until the end of the war. Clemanceau favored the dissolution of Austro-Hungarian Empire and the creation of three new States: Poland, Czechoslovakia and Yugoslavia. As a preventive defense against Germany he favored a permanent military occupation of Rheinland and the complete disarmament of Germany. He wanted Germans pay for all war reparations. He favored a League of Nations, if only they are dominated by a Council formed by the Big Six.

Italy war effort was decisive for the defeat of Austro-Hungarian Empire. Whose collapse was decisive for German surrender. Italy’s troops occupied large portions of South-Western Empire (Trieste and Istria) and Albania. The new Italian PM, Vittorio Emanuele Orlando and his Foreign Minister, Sidney Sonnino, are “king makers” in Balkan settlements. They wanted the annexation of Italian speaking regions of the Empire (Trento, Trieste, Istria, Dalmatia), leaving Fiume to the Empire (in order to grant it a sea outlet), a protectorate over Albania, sovereignty over Dodecanneso Islands and a protectorate over the Turkish city of Adana and its hinterlands. They paid little or no attention at all to a League of Nations. They oppose the dissolution of the Austro-Hungarian Empire, nor they want the creation of new Nations (especially Yugoslavia) to negotiate with.

Russian war effort was undermined by devastating military defeats of 1915 and 1917. The Eastern Front run well inside its immense Western territories until the end of the conflict. Russians hold on and engaged huge Austro-Hungarian and German forces on his front. But Petrograd’s war effort was decisive only in the Persian-Caucasus front against the Ottoman Empire. Kerenskij’s position is weaker than anyone’s else. His war aims, as declared in March 1917 statement, are clear and idealistic: peace without annexations nor compensations, full respect for self-determination principles, creation of a League of Nations. “Self-determination” doesn’t mean: dissolution of Austro-Hungarian Empire, but only full respect of autonomies inside its borders, because both Kerenskij and his Foreign Minister Miljukov feared a similar dissolution of Russian Federation. Both favored the institution of a League of Nations.

Japan wanted only the annexation of the largest portion of German Empire in the Pacific Ocean.

The other minor allies had territorial claims, but, being occupied by Germany and Austro-Hungarian Empire until the end of the war, they rely only on Big Six support. Belgium, Serbia, Montenegro and Rumania aim, first of all, to the restoration of their own sovereignty, then to the annexation of part of the German Empire in Africa (to Belgium), of Bosnia-Hercegovina (to Serbia) and of Transylvania (to Rumania). Serbia and Montenegro wanted to merge in a united Kingdom and they favored, supported by France, the dissolution of Austro-Hungarian Empire and the birth of a new Yugoslavia. Portugal has only little pretenses over parts of German Empire in Africa. Greece, despite its little contribution to the Entente’s war effort, wants a protectorate over Smirna (Turkey) and, possibly, the annexation of the entire European Turkey (Constantinople included).

The negotiations between the Big Six started in late January 1918 in Paris and lasted six months.

To be continued...
 
The Czar's aim was to annex Austrian Galicia (plus Constantinople and the Eastern Anatolia). But here we have no Czar anymore.
 
Yes, but Russia will try to avoid losing any territory, which means they'll have to strongly oppose the creation of a Polish state, and thus probably move in on Galicia.
 
Peace Treaty with Germany/1: Western Frontiers

The primary target for France is a secure frontier with Germany. French right-wing intellectuals suggesting a complete and permanent annexation of Rhineland dominated the public opinion. In the immediate post-armistice days, Rhineland was occupied by French troops indeed. But both premier Clemanceau and general Ferdinand Foch opposed the idea of a French annexation over the German speaking region. Foch envisioned a permanent French military presence in a “buffer zone” along the Rhine. Clemanceau suggested the creation of a Rhineland independent Republic, separated from Germany. This vision prevailed in Paris, in the end. Both government and military command presented the plan of a political division of Germany, through the creation of a new democratic republic in Rhineland, with a permanent French military presence in its territory. This idea was not at all “up in the air”. An over-productive industrial and commercial area in peacetime, the Rhineland, close to the frontline, paid the highest cost of war, much more then any other region. Animosity against “Prussian domination” (which caused the war) was very diffused from Saarbrucken to Bonn. Political discontent, republican and separatist sentiments were very diffused when the war ended in December 1917. In January 1918, French occupation troops were respected (if not greeted) by local German populations.
When negotiation started with allies, both Us president Woodrow Wilson and British premier David Lloyd George opposed a French permanent occupation or annexation of Rhineland. But the idea of a separate neutral republic, like a “second Switzerland”, sound nice to the ears of the American president. The self-determination principle was saved, through the project of a local referendum for independence. The French military presence was justified as a provisional expedient aimed at the training of a new local Rhineland Defence Army. Clemanceau prospected also the creation of a free-trade area between Belgium, Luxembourg and Rhineland. This idea too sound good to Wilson’s ears.
More than those arguments, the balance of forces determined the final settlement of the new frontiers. In the end of 1917, French forces, although very weakened, represented the two thirds of the overall Entente military force on the Western Front. The British Expeditionary Force was decisive but numerically inferior. Americans had no boots on the ground. More: French government is taking decisions over its own frontiers. British and American allies were powerful but distant.
Persuading Wilson was quite easy for Clemanceau. The French prime minister accepted the constitution of the League of Nation and promised his ally the full recognition of universal human rights and self-determination principle. But David Lloyd George opposed a far harder resistance to French aims. Clemanceau had to promise him carte blanche on the Middle East and reduce his claims on German war reparations to the “reasonable” limit of nearly £3,5 billions (present day UK £108 billions), as the British premier wished. And, finally, he obtained what he wanted.
In May 1918, German citizens of all Rhine regions voted for independence 57% to 43%. The vote was obviously “influenced” by massive French military presence. On June 1st 1918, Rheinische Republik declared independence. A new democratic government was elected and Konrad Adenauer became the first president of the new state. The day after, Kaiser William II abdicated to a regency council. On June 28th, prime minister Maximilian von Baden signed the peace treaty at Versailles, recognizing the new “entity” of Rhine.
With Versailles Treaty, France annexed Alsace and Lorraine, obtained the largest quota of German war reparations (£1,5 billions) and contributed decisively to create a new State on his Eastern frontiers: a democratic Rheinische Republik, with permanent French military bases on its soil.
(below: Konrad Adenauer proclaims the independence of Rheinische Republik)

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Peace Treaty with Germany/2: the Eastern Frontiers

Germany had to surrender its military presence, even its territorial integrity on the West, but it preserved the (nearly) status quo in the East, as the Entente promised during the armistice negotiations. France, Great Britain and Italy recognized the independence of Poland since 1915. United States lobbied harder for the creation of the new sovereign Nation since its entry in the conflict in 1917. The Russian provisional government recognized Poland as an independent state in the October 1917, just after the proclamation of the Russian Federation.
All the Big Six supported the re-birth of the Polish nation, after two centuries of Austrian, Prussian and Russian domination. But no one agree on its borders. United States and France wanted a greater Poland with a outlet in the Baltic, through the annexation of German speaking regions of Western Prussia (Danzig included) as suggested by Clemanceau, or with a series of local referenda in German and Polish speaking regions and the creation of a “free zone” in Danzig and hinterlands, as suggested by Wilson. British was quite neutral in this territorial dispute. Russia strongly opposed a powerful Poland with an outlet in the Baltic. Both Kerenskij and Miljukov favored the creation of a more little Polish republic inside the borders of the old “Grand Duchy of Warsaw”.
Russian military presence in the area prevailed, finally. Kerenskij persuaded Woodrow Wilson to accept his design, on the basis of self-determination principles, against the annexation of German speaking regions in Western Prussia. On American and French pressure, Poland obtained the organization of local referenda in Grand Duchy of Posen (the Polish-speaking German province in Western Prussia) and in Western Galicia, already autonomous since November 1917. Both Posen and Western Galicia voted for Warsaw and Poland annexed them in May 1918.
When the Peace Treaty was signed, both Germany and Austro-Hungarian Empire had to recognize their new Eastern frontiers and the independence of Poland. Russia restored all of its frontiers in the Baltic and established its new border with Poland.

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Peace Treaty with Germany/3: dismantling the Empire

Germany has to surrender to Great Britain her best surviving battleships: the Sms Bayern and all the Nassau class battleships. Very strict limits were imposed on future military German naval constructions: 6 heavy cruisers (no more than 10.000 tons displacement each), 6 light cruisers (no more than 6.000 tons displacement each), 12 destroyers (no more than 800 tons displacement each) and 12 torpedo boats (no more than 200 tons displacement each). Submarines are forbidden. The maximum personnel for the Navy was limited to 15.000 men.
Without her naval force, a reconstruction of the German colonial empire became simply impossible, as Great Britain wish.
Military limits on the ground forces were not so hard, indeed. France had already obtained the separation of Rhineland from Germany and Foch was not persuaded that disarming Germany was a good idea at all. “They fought bravely, let them keep their weapons” he declared at the end of the war. The frontier on the Rhine line was an adequate life insurance for the future of France security. The only restrictions were: no armoured cars nor tanks, no chemical weapons and stricter limitations over the military aviation (no heavy bombers, no military Zeppelins).
German colonies were partitioned by all the Entente powers. In Africa, Britain and France divided German Kamerun (Cameroons) and Togoland. Belgium gained Ruanda-Urundi in northwestern German East Africa, Great Britain obtained by far the greater landmass of this colony, thus gaining the ‘missing link’ in the chain of British possessions stretching from South Africa to Egypt (Cape to Cairo), Portugal received the Kionga Triangle, a sliver of German East Africa. German South West Africa was annexed by the Union of South Africa.
In the Pacific, Japan gained Germany’s islands north of the equator (the Marshall Islands, the Carolines, the Marianas, the Palau Islands) and Kiautschou in China. German Samoa was assigned to New Zealand; German New Guinea, the Bismarck Archipelago and Nauru to Australia.

below: the partition of German Empire.
Blu: to France.
Red: to Great Britain.
Yellow: to Belgium.
Red Circles: to Japan.
Green: Poland.
Brown: Rheinische Republik

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Peace with Austro-Hungarian Empire

Emperor Karl I have already signed a separate peace agreement with Entente in November 1917, thus provoking an acceleration in the Central Power’s collapse. In order to compensate his exit from war, the most single important factor in Entente’s victory, both Us president Wilson (who negotiated the peace agreements) and French PM Clemanceau (who negotiated directly the separate peace with AH emissaries) promised Karl the territorial unity of the Empire. This decision was not coherent with the promises made to nationalist leaders of Czechoslovakia (Benes and Masaryk) and to the supporters of a Yugoslavian project. Both projects implied the complete dissolution of the A-H Empire, indeed.
But both Us and Russia, along with Great Britain and Italy, didn’t want the end of the central-European largest Empire, which was seen as an element of stability. Despite the traditional hostility to Vienne, the Italian government didn’t want the end the Empire, also because it feared much more the birth a rival Nation on the other side of the Adriatic (i.e. Yugoslavia) than the survival of a weakened Empire. Great Britain saw the A-H as a necessary counter-weight to both Germany and Russia. Us, despite high-level relations with Czechoslovak nationalists, wanted to grant the peoples of A-H “the freest opportunity to autonomous development” (Wilson) inside the Empire. Autonomy doesn’t mean independence. Russian aims on A-H were similar to those of Us: full autonomy for all peoples inside a reformed Empire. This could be a model for nationalities inside Russia too. Only France wanted independence of all A-H nationalities. But this was contradicted by the separate peace agreement with Emperor Karl I. Although numerous meetings were hold from 1914 to 1917, no formal treaty or accord was signed between Yugoslav and Czech national councils and the French governments.
In Versailles negotiations, the unanimity of the Big Six eventually opted to sign the peace treaty with the Austro-Hungarian Empire as a whole. They decided not to dismember it. But Vienna and Budapest had to make all the territorial concessions required by the winning Nations. Vienna had to surrender Trento and Trieste provinces, the entire Istria and parts of Dalmatia and its islands to Italy; it had to surrender Western Galicia to Poland and Eastern Galicia to the Ukrainian Autonomous Republic (federated with Russia). Bosnia (A-H protectorate since 1907) had to be annexed by Serbia. Budapest had to surrender Transylvania to Rumania and grant full autonomy to Slovakia and Croatia, according to the Manifesto of the Peoples of the Empire, proclaimed by Emperor Karl I.
Italian territories were already militarily occupied by the Italian army by the end of 1917 and they were annexed directly, without any consultation. The same for Bosnia: its territory was partially occupied by Serbian army in November-December 1917. In January 1918, Belgrade completed the occupation of all Bosnian district and annexed the entire territory. But Western Galicia, large parts of Eastern Galicia (whose eastern districts were occupied by Russian troops) and Transylvania were not under Entente’s military occupation when the war ended in December 1917. For those territories, after pressure by both Us President Wilson and Russian PM Kerenskij, it was adopted the formula of local referenda. It always resulted in a success for Entente. The Polish speaking population of Western Galicia voted Warsaw. The Ukrainian’s speaking people of Eastern Galicia voted for Kiev (i.e. Petrograd). The task was harder in Transylvania, in which large Hungarian and German population lived. But a pro-Bucharest majority prevailed. Rumanian government granted equal rights for minorities before their formal annexation.
When the peace treaty was signed, Austro-Hungarian Empire survived. Its size was heavily reduced, but it was always the largest political entity of Europe. Some nationality problems were solved (Italian regions became part of Italy, Rumanians with Rumania, Ukrainians with the new autonomous nation of Ukraine, Polish with Poland), but many other were created. Millions of Hungarians and Germans were annexed by Rumania. On the West, hundreds of thousands Slovenes and Croats were annexed to Italy. Other hundreds of thousands Muslim Bosnians and Croats were annexed to Serbia. This was a huge problem for the winning nations in the immediate aftermath of the war. In Hungary, the sudden loss of 1/3 of Hungarian territories caused no less than a national shock. Violent disorders erupted immediately in Budapest and the government fell. But the new nationalist government, led by former admiral Horty, had no independent national forces to resist Entente’s terms, already accepted by his Emperor. On June 28th, both Vienna and Budapest had to accept peace terms.
Below: the map of nationalities of the A-H Empire and its new frontiers (bold black)

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