Was Trans Atlantic Slave Trade inevitable with European Colonization of Americas?

Not if you find some other massive source of potential laborers willing to move over into areas that have a high risk of malaria and other tropical diseases.

For example: larger mestizo or mullatto populations, southeast asians (for example brought over from spanish or portuguese east indies), or chinese
 
I'm not following your line of thinking, let's say there is no real alternative to sugar and tobacco indeed has lower demand and can't fill entire islands with such plantations, isn't this a good thing if you are trying to stop mass slavery(which can't be fed by enslavement of native Americans in the long term)?
Cuba up to the late 18th century was economically "backwards" but that meant it didn't have as much slavery as Jamaica or Haiti, do you think it's impossible for Hispaniola, Jamaica, Puerto Rico and other islands to be like this if we say a stable and self-sustaining European or mixed European-Amerindian population forms?
My point is that plantation owners are going to plant something, so why would they not develop a sugar economy considering tobacco's limitations?

As for Cuba, Sugar was not the dominant crop there until the 19th century since before then coffee and especially tobacco were just as important. This was of course at the very end of the trans-Atlantic slave trade (Cuba was a major destination for illegal slave smuggling) and eventually (1870s IIRC) Spain abolished slavery in their colonies.
I am thinking.....

Make the African tribal nations more into nation states. IOTL, this had happened to a degree (Ghanan trade was controlled by the Kingdom of Ashanti), but African society was still largely tribal. Larger nation states increase African demand for locally produced African agricultural products and give local African forced labor more value in Africa.

To meet the increased demand for agricultural products, the dominate African nations dive into large scale "serfing"- and also adopt Russian Imperial serf rules:

Serfs of the dominate ethnicity (ex. Russian) can only be uhmm...."held" others of the same ethnicity (ex. Russian).
Serfs of any imperial ethnicity cannot be transferred beyond the empire.
Direct sales of serfs can occur on occasion, but its frowned on. Closed door, indirect "transfers" don't facilitate large scale, open air markets that the Europeans need.

So.... when the European clients come calling to west Africa, they are told: 1.) We dont have any exportable forced labor to sell you. 2.) We are strong enough to resist any demands for internal policy changes regarding serfing. 3.) Our serfs are very valuable- in Africa, because we need them to support our system. Yes, we still like your guns. But, we"ll pay for them with other means.

So.... the Europeans leave with no slaves. Some Europeans are allowed to set up large scale agricultural operations under the dominate African empires- so long as they play by local rules regarding serfing. Some Portuguese and Dutch even become long term subjects of the African empires similar to Baltic Germans.
Why would there be serfs when Africa already has a long tradition of slavery, particularly since some of these states are likely to be Muslim states and Islam condones slavery? Imperial Russia's serfdom emerged under local conditions, so it's hard to replicate that in Africa. African states also are unlikely to care about the welfare of peoples beyond their borders, especially those of different religions, or who allegedly are practicing their religion wrong.

I think any attempt by Africans to ban the slave trade is just as likely to create a large amount of African indentured labourers as it is anything else.
 
That being said, there’s no reason such a venture had to expand significantly beyond Brazil; Spain was the only other European power at the time with access to African markets.
What happened at otl, was that the spanish started sugar cane in the caribbean but as soon as they conquered the incas and aztecs they abandoned that production to concentrate on the production of gold and silver. This production returns to the Caribbean with the Dutch who tried to conquer Brazil and after learning the technique with the Portuguese/Brazilians they made a copy in the Caribbean(after being expelled from brazil). Perhaps if the Dutch did not invade Brazil, this would prevent sugar production in the Caribbean, or at least for a long time.
 
Why would there be serfs when Africa already has a long tradition of slavery, particularly since some of these states are likely to be Muslim states and Islam condones slavery? Imperial Russia's serfdom emerged under local conditions,
As your post implies, its far easier to enslave people who are different. Conversly, its harder to enslave ones own people- or closely related people.

Imperial Russia's serf system evolved from slavery. Once Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, Balts etc, coalesced int nation states (even if imperial provinces), slavery was no longer going to socially tenable. The slaves looked and acted too much like their owners. But.... there was still a need for forced labor.

So.... wheel out the serf system. Over time, social norms developed via trial and error in the Russia Empire as to what the society would, or would not, accept regarding serfing. This body of customs and norms creates a socially tenable form of "slavery light". Needed forced labor is preserved while slavery is banned.

Going to Africa....

I like your idea of an earlier and stronger arrival of Islam leading to the rise of African nation states. As in the Russian empire, the unifying power of nation states leads to African slave owners and African slaves getting too close for comfort. Slavery is no longer tenable. Yet, there is still a need for forced labor.

No worries though, the African nation / states implement Afro serfing- a socially tenable form of slavery light. Societies can be governed by the same core concepts. African serfing norms resemble those of Imperial Russia. These norms include absolutely no serf exportation, limited transfers and no direct sales, rules regarding what serfs can be "held" by which uhmm.... "holders" etc.

When the Europeans arrive looking for slaves, they find plenty for forced labor. But..... no slave vendors and no slaves (well, no direct vendors and no slave slaves at least).
 
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As your post implies, its far easier to enslave people who are different. Conversly, its harder to enslave ones own people- or closely related people.

Imperial Russia's serf system evolved from slavery. Once Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, Balts etc, coalesced int nation states (even if imperial provinces), slavery was no longer going to socially tenable. The slaves looked and acted too much like their owners. But.... there was still a need for forced labor.
I don't know about that. The Greeks and Romans, for example, were quite happy to enslave similar peoples -- other Greeks for the Greeks, other Italians for the Romans. Although the Romans ended up enslaving non-Italians more, that was because Italy had already been conquered and so they were no longer capturing large numbers of Italians in war (the primary source of slaves in the ancient world), not because of any moral qualms about enslaving related nations.
 
Come again?
Due to the conquest of the Incas and Aztecs, sugar production was not a priority for the Spanish crown. With its production in the caribbean increasing in the 17 century. Christopher Columbus introduced sugarcane planting to America on his second trip to the continent, in 1493, in what is now the Dominican Republic. When the Spaniards discovered the gold and silver of the Aztec and Inca civilizations in the early 16th century, sugar cane cultivation and sugar production were forgotten.

In 1532 Martim Affonso de Souza brought the first sugarcane seedling to Brazil and began its cultivation in the Captaincy of São Vicente. There, he himself built the first sugar mill. But it was in the Northeast, mainly in the Captaincies of Pernambuco and Bahia, that sugar mills multiplied. After several difficulties (+- 50 years) Brazil started to monopolize world sugar production. Portugal and the Netherlands, which marketed the product, had high profitability. Europe, enriched by gold and silver from the New World, became a major consumer of sugar. The producing regions, especially the cities of Salvador and Olinda, prospered quickly.

Refineries multiplied in Europe, to the point that Portugal prohibited new refineries in 1559 due to the large consumption of firewood and inputs for clarifying the broth (egg whites, ox blood, bones and chicken fat). In the year 1578 Portugal joined a union with Spain. The Spanish king, Felipe II, a fervent Catholic, was bitterly opposed to Holland and England, Protestant countries. Dutch trade collapsed and in 1630 the Dutch invaded Brazil, remaining in Pernambuco until 1654, when they were expelled. To reduce dependence on Brazilian sugar, the Dutch started sugar production in the Caribbean and later the English and French themselves did the same in their colonies, ending the monopoly of Brazilian sugar.
 
@holycookie Ok, but to be clear, there’s a world of difference between “we’re not a priority” and actually not being an economic factor; I’m not sure what “forgotten” here really means, but the Caribbean sugar plantations continued to exist, did they not? Yes, the transatlantic Slave trade grew in the 17th Century, and it grew in the 18th Century further still. That doesn’t mean these plantations in the 16th Century weren’t laying the groundwork for what was to come.
 
Ok, but to be clear, there’s a world of difference between “we’re not a priority” and actually not being an economic factor; I’m not sure what “forgotten” here really means, but the Caribbean sugar plantations continued to exist, did they not? Yes, the transatlantic Slave trade grew in the 17th Century, and it grew in the 18th Century further still.
After Spain conquered the Mexican mainland, the Caribbean islands were used more as protected harbors along shipping routes than as sugar growing islands. But if you have data indicating a high sugar production in the Caribbean during the period by the Spaniards, I would like to see it, because I unfortunately cannot find data on sugar production in the Caribbean and South America in the 16th to 18th centuries. percentage or absolute numbers. Everything I've read about sugar production in the Caribbean always focuses on the sugar boom of the 17th century by the Dutch, British and French. Speaking little of sugar production by the Spanish in the new world, with most cases talking about the abandonment of these farms in exchange for the gold rush. When they talk about sugar production by the Spaniards, Cuba is mentioned in the 18th century, which together with Brazil were the largest producers. But before that, everything I read only states that Brazil was the absolute producer of sugarcane (According to Prado Jr. (1976), until the 17th century, Brazil was the world's largest producer of sugar).
That doesn’t mean these plantations in the 16th Century weren’t laying the groundwork for what was to come.
Yes they helped but the Portuguese and Spanish (to a lesser extent) already used slaves in the production of sugar like Madeira. After the island of Madeira the Portuguese colonization of the Azores in 1439, the Cape Verde Islands (1462), and São Tomé and Principe (1486). producing sugar with black slaves (mostly bought from the kingdom of Kongo). There is already a precedent for the use of slaves in sugar production from the beginning of the 15th century. I am not saying that it is impossible not to have the slave trade, but massive changes must take place so that this does not occur. Producing sugar using slaves was already done by the Abbasid Caliphate.
 
The first colonists weren't seeking to create slave plantations, at least not the Spanish, French or English as far as I know.
The Spanish on Hispaniola enslaved the native people very early on. When this led to much of the native population dying, Las Casas argued for African slaves to be used instead.

You could possibly obtain sugar from other sources (as mentioned), but there are other cash crops : tobacco, coffee, rice, indigo...
 
But if you have data indicating a high sugar production in the Caribbean during the period by the Spaniards, I would like to see it, because I unfortunately cannot find data on sugar production in the Caribbean and South America in the 16th to 18th centuries. percentage or absolute numbers.
I think we can generally assume that if a country is importing more slaves, they’re at least managing to maintain or grow production with it. That said:
 
I think we can generally assume that if a country is importing more slaves, they’re at least managing to maintain or grow production with it. That said:
Yes, in general. From 1695 onwards in Brazil this becomes complicated by the gold rush. But until that period yes. Great website. Being able to select the European country, African region, by time etc,
 
Enslaving fellow-Christians was forbidden for religious reasons, so if West Africa turns Christian sometime before the 15th century, the area wouldn't become such a big source of slaves. At the very least, slave traders would have to capture slaves from much further away, making them more expensive and thus less suitable for cheap plantation labour.
This is unlikely to change much. The African Slave Trade existed long before the arrival of Europeans, they just tapped int the existing market (and greatly expanded the demand). With the partial exception of the Portuguese, most of the slave traders were not themselves raiders. They just traded with the coastal groups who themselves raided and traded with the interior.
 
Yes, in general. From 1695 onwards in Brazil this becomes complicated by the gold rush. But until that period yes. Great website. Being able to select the European country, African region, by time etc,
I discussed the topic using that data in this thread:

 
I don't know about that. The Greeks and Romans, for example, were quite happy to enslave similar peoples -- other Greeks for the Greeks, other Italians for the Romans. Although the Romans ended up enslaving non-Italians more, that was because Italy had already been conquered and so they were no longer capturing large numbers of Italians in war (the primary source of slaves in the ancient world), not because of any moral qualms about enslaving related nations.
Greek enslavement of other Greeks was before they became a unified people. Greeks in the era of the city states did not view members of other city states as being of the same ethnicity. Thus, the "foreign" aspect of owner to slave was maintained.

Likewise, once the Roman city state expanded by conquest to include all of Italy, the peoples of Italy were absorbed Romanized. Following the Romanization, I suspect that keeping these peoples large scale as inherent slaves (as opposed to say, bondage via debts, criminality, or violation of social norms etc) became more and more socially untenable.

I am sure that exceptions to general rules always exist. But at the end of the day, I think that.... The more the slave resembles the owner, and the resemblance is acknowledged, the less likely that full slavery is going to be socially tenable. So.... a socially tenable "slavery light" serf system is wheeled in on occasions where forced labor is still needed.
 
As your post implies, its far easier to enslave people who are different. Conversly, its harder to enslave ones own people- or closely related people.

Imperial Russia's serf system evolved from slavery. Once Russia, Ukraine, Belarus, Balts etc, coalesced int nation states (even if imperial provinces), slavery was no longer going to socially tenable. The slaves looked and acted too much like their owners. But.... there was still a need for forced labor.

So.... wheel out the serf system. Over time, social norms developed via trial and error in the Russia Empire as to what the society would, or would not, accept regarding serfing. This body of customs and norms creates a socially tenable form of "slavery light". Needed forced labor is preserved while slavery is banned.

Going to Africa....
Slavery was no longer socially tenable in Europe because it was an inefficient system compared to serfdom and eventually because the very system was racialised, not because the slaves looked like the owners. Practically every culture with slavery never had a problem enslaving people of their own ethnicity, including state societies like Korea for instance.

And Africa has a lot of diversity among the ethnic groups. The people who lived in the Sahel, including many of the main slaving nations, are clearly different from those in the rainforest zone to the south who were often enslaved. Slavery was perfectly acceptable in Africa, especially under Islam which permits slavery.
Greek enslavement of other Greeks was before they became a unified people. Greeks in the era of the city states did not view members of other city states as being of the same ethnicity. Thus, the "foreign" aspect of owner to slave was maintained.

Likewise, once the Roman city state expanded by conquest to include all of Italy, the peoples of Italy were absorbed Romanized. Following the Romanization, I suspect that keeping these peoples large scale as inherent slaves (as opposed to say, bondage via debts, criminality, or violation of social norms etc) became more and more socially untenable.
The thing is that you'll never have those factors in Africa because of the size and aforementioned diversity of the continent, and it wasn't like African states cared much about selling Arab or white slave traders their criminals or debt slaves.

A better case for Africa is something like the Nri Kingdom's anti-slavery ideology spreading widely to other states (it was a religious objection, and aspects of religions can spread widely within a region) and choking off a major source of slaves. Perhaps even those states and tribes who permit slavery aren't really selling them to other Africans, Arabs, or Europeans since slaves are considered very valuable. So Africa never ends up being a major source of slaves and instead is selling gold, local spices, etc. to Europeans and like I mentioned, indentured labour.
 
Getting back to the point I raised earlier, I think it still mostly stands -- if not for Columbus sailing west along the equator on behalf of Spain, the New World would likely have been opened up by way of the northern route, though with Portugal still likely running into “Brazil” as OTL.

This means that by the time Europeans find the riches of Mesoamerica and the Inca, they will have paid virtually no attention to the Caribbean; and the riches of said region drawing their attention, no European state is going to put the kind of up front investment needed to these islands into plantation economies, at least for the time being. So for the first century of colonizing the western hemisphere, only Brazil will have significant “demand” for imported African slave labor.

Thoughts?
 
Practically every culture with slavery never had a problem enslaving people of their own ethnicity, including state societies like Korea for instance.
Korean Nobi system was far more serf (permanent under class of laborers / sharecroppers ) like than slavery. Nobi could own real property, owned their own homes, could sell excess crops, could buy their full freedom- even had maternity leave.

I imagine that Nobi status was not a "bed of roses". The more olde school part of Russia allowed serfs to be sold or "transferred" from one manor to another under certain circumstances. Most areas, however, did not. My guess is that the Nobi system also had characteristics of out right slavery in parts of Korea, but not in others.

Its also important to look at slavery in two forms:
A. Person is by nature, an inherent slave.
B. Person is a slave by debt, criminal conduct, losing side of political dispute etc.

I strongly that the more the slave resembles the master, the less socially tenable "A" type slavery will be. Its no coincidence that the Europeans only permitted full slavery on the people who least resembled themselves physically and culturally.

Ottoman slavery followed this same practice- sub saharan Africans markets involved Sahel and then Arab middlemen. Also had transportation issues. The Ottomans then turned to Europeans- the nearest fully foreign group for type "A" slaves. Ottomans even passed over Anatolian and Middle Eastern Christians- too much resemblance to the masters (so long as alternatives were available).
 
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