The List Regiment at Havrincourt

The fact that the BoB is starting earlier and the Germans have a real plan and superior numbers plus are not outgunned by Royal Navy this time around, I would say victory for the Wehrmacht is pretty much assured.

You are right, pre-conditions have changed a bit as compared to OTL as the next update will illustrate.
As alluded to before the accumulated changes ITTL have weakened Britain and strengthened Germany to the extent that it is no longer a fair fight.
Despite beeing blockaded, totally under German air supremacy in France and with their aero engine Industry bombed I only cut the British 200 pilots and fighter air craft, but it matters little. The german aircraft are superior in quality and numbers and unlike OTL they are suited to the job at hand (range/loiter time).
 
Chapter 79. Preparation for operation Sea Lion. Naval forces and air/sea landing force.
Chapter 79. Preparation for operation Sea Lion. Naval forces and air/sea landing force.

In June 1940, the Kriegsmarine, partly thanks to the demise of the Royal Navy, was one of the most powerful naval forces in the world. In capital ships, the Germans possessed 6 22000 tons converted liners as aircraft carriers and 2 purpose built fleet carriers. The forces had limited utility in the English Channel were there were plenty of land based aircraft and three of each of the converted liners were formed into 2 Atlantic scouting groups to maintain the blockade with the support of 1 Deutschland class Panzershiffe and 4 destroyers. One of two fleet carriers were held back as a reserve and the last one was being rebuild as part of testing naval handling of higher speed and heavier aircraft.

The remaining 3 Deutschlands (Hipper is under repair) and the 4 Bismarck class heavy battleships, the 6 light cruisers, 6 Spahkreuzers, 34 destroyers (12 new commissioned since summer of 1939, but 3 lost off Norway, 5 undergoing repairs) were assigned to the invasion fleet. A group of 4 new heavy cruisers had been launched and were fitting out, but had not been commissioned yet*.

Against this fleet stood the decimated British navy with no operational capital ships, but still an operational force of 32 cruisers (20 around the British isles, 11 in yards under repair) and in principle 130 operational destroyers (massive losses had been inflicted at Scapa Flow, off Norway and by the German type XII submarines which consistently targeted fleet units with their fast 610 mm torpedoes. More importantly, these units had been withdrawn from the channel as the air defenses at Portsmouth had been overwhelmed.

The expected delay of the emergence of Royal Navy units would allow an additional German advantage to come into play. The Germans had constructed and continued to construct E-boats and Minelayers/Sweepers at a breathtaking pace. They had 175 operational E-boats and 145 operational minesweepers, even though they had endured losses in both ship classes. The wooden E-boats and minelayers were a crucial part of how Germany expected to dominate the channel waters at night. Importantly, both classes of ships could also lay mines and for this operation, they would use a new generation of magnetic mines which had been kept from use near British coasts as countermeasures were possible to implement. The magnetic mines were highly effective against steel hulls and the E-boats could operate over them with impunity. Outside the minefields, the submarines would operate. By then Germany had produced 75 type XII submarines, but they had also taken losses of 15 ships sunk or under repair, a consequence of gambling them in daring anti-fleet actions.

While the surface ships with help of carriers based aircraft were doing the bulk of the blockade work, the submarines regrouped, rested and refitted foroperation Sea Lion. 55of the fast underwater type XII submarines equipped with heavy and fast 610mm torpedoes would be available to patrol and contest the channel waters.

In the day time the situation was even better as Raeder in addition to the ability to call on Luftwaffe support also controlled 550 operational Fi167 and 250 Ar68 aircraft (these had taken some of the highest losses, but the Fi-167 were still in production)

The most important ships for the operations were however undoubtedly the Marinefahrpramen and the fact that Germany had kept up a surpluss of self-propelled river barge construction throughout the mid-1930’s coinciding with their expansion of the domestic waterways, these had been build with better than usual sea keeping ability for barges . For the upcoming invasion it had been decided to use 400 self-propelled barges, 100 purpose modified artillery barges, 1100 MarineFährpramen, 200 artillery Marinefährpramen, and 400 Siebel ferries, and to this could be added approximately 200 transport ships that would have to remain off shore or await the capture of a port.

The battleplan devised called for the loading of trucks and soldies in the marinefährpramen so they could be immediately off loaded and return for a second sortie after providing initial direct fire support (each carried a 75 mm gun) whereas the barges would be loaded with light vehicles and foodstuff, fuel and ammunition for more gradual unloading after the first attack wave made it a shore. The artillery marinefährpramen carrying 2x88 mm guns and 20 mm guns each would remain around the landing sites, and the Siebel Ferries would off load their flak unit for use on shore and then carry materials from off shore transports. The purpose build artillery barges “artilleriprähmen” (not “Fähr”) was designed to carry a single 150 mm DP gun in units of 5 Prahm’s were the fifth unit would carry a search radar and range finder for naval artillery guidance. The 150 mm gun was way too heavy to operate from even the purpose build barges and the barges were to be beached and filled with water in tanks on the inner side of the hull, thus creating an unsinkable gun station at the landing sites. These stations would be able to perform either shore bombardments or naval self-defense of the beach heads.

Using these forces, the first wave of the invasion force could be equipped to carry 2 Panzer divisions and 4 infantry divisions for a total of 100000 troops (10000 logistics troops) and 10000 vehicles ranging from tanks to motorcycles, and 50000 tons of supplies to be off loaded from the static barges over the next couple of days.

The Panzer divisions would take up most of the transport capacity from the invasion force and acquiring the needed mobility for blitzkrieg tactics would in principle have to await reinforcements. However, one of the key strengths of the invasion plan was the airborne troops and a dramatic air lift capacity based on 950 JU-52 and 1050 Ar232 and 200 of the gigantic Bf323 transports. The Germans had formed 3 true and dedicated airborne divisions, but for the operation sea lion they further formed 6 light divisions using forces from their Panzer grenadier divisions (12 divisions were halved and send to Poland for reassembly). These forces were part of the troops trained for rapid decisive battles and were now re-equipped with light weapons similar to the paratroopers, this enable them to fight with more limited supplies and to be flown in by air as soon as air fields were being captured. Further adding to the air lift would be 6 mountain divisions also equipped with lighter weapons that could be flown into captured air fields.

The airborne troops would be supported by air lifted Panzer I’s, 105 mm self-propelled artillery and Kätze units for transports forming 4 batallion sized air borne light armor/mobile divisions with the support of propelled 75 mm anti-tank guns.

The 15 light divisions could be engaged in heavy fighting at 100% fighting capacity on 100 tons per day whereas the infantry divisions would need 250 tons and the Panzer divisions 300 tons during heavy fighting. This required a total of 2800 tons per day, a figure that in theory could be completely supplied by air at least after the light units had been flown in and a number of air fields had been captured (The ruggedness of the Ar232 is a key feature of this claim). With reinforcements, after 2 weeks the German forces in Britain was expected to consist of 6 mountain divisions. 3 paratrooper divisions, 6 light divisions (flown in), 6 Panzer divisions (shipped in via 4 follow-up waves) and 16 infantry divisions for a total of 37 divisions and a supply requirement of 7300 tons. At this time it was expected that not all divisions would be engaged in heavy fighting, so that maybe 4-5000 tons of supplies would be sufficient.

The discrepancy caused by poor weather, insufficient air field infrastructure would have to be taken from the original bridgehead and be ferried in by subsequent waves of self-propelled barges and Marinefährpramen, Also, harbors like Folkstone (definitely) and Portsmouth or Dover were likely to have been captured by then and Organization Todt were prepared to rapidly upgrade the capacity of captured sea ports among other initiatives by installing new cranes for rapid offloading of deep-water ships.

*Using the modernized turrets from the original Deutschland class with triple 8 inch barrels and quick-firing automatic-loading.

EDIT: Southampton changed for Portsmouth
 
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Damn, posted it twice and now I cant delete it.

So, very close now. The German preparations would make a poor overlord, but the British expeditionary force are all POW's and the home guards are short about 400000 out of the 500000 rifles they received from overseas IOTL due to the severely effective blockade ITTL.
This actually make the fighting capacity of the British rather ridiculous, despite the probably close to 1-1½ million volunteers in their home guard.
 
Chapter 80: The miniature war of perception, intelligence and propaganda.
Chapter 80: The miniature war of perception, intelligence and propaganda.

With the defeat of the RAF, the withdrawal of the RN from the channel ports, the news of an invasion fleet appearing across the channel, and the refusal of the Germans to enter any peace talks, the inescapable conclusion that Britain was going to be invaded downed on the premier minister Halifax and panic arose. At one time a decision was taken to prepare chemical weapons, but this was leaked to the Germans through multiple sources and Hitler responded with oratory outrage and effective propaganda. After a couple of preparations, Hitler made a public declaration which was also transmitted to England stated that: his informants (Hitler’s), of which there were many within the British armed forces, had told him of a British decision to forego all honor and reintroduce the weapons they had themselves opted to forbid in the sake of humanity. As Hitler spoke, air raids were made throughout England, but this time dropping many thousands of leaflets which repeated Hitler’s statement and also said: Where you receive this message, we could just as easily have delivered chemical weapons.

Halifax would deny Hitler’s accusation and quickly cancel the preparations, but the rather massive preparations were no secret among the armed forces, and Halifax bowing to Hitler’s will did nothing good for the British morale.

Overall, the British expected to lose the upcoming battle, but credit must be given where credit is due. When war came to the British shores, they did put up a fight, even when there was no prospect of success.
 
Artwork-showing-a-map-of-Battle-of-Britain-airfields-of-South-East-England-1940.jpg

Just wanted to provide this map before the next chapter.

OTL sea lion plans below:
800px-OperationSealion.svg.png
 
Chapter 81: Operation Sea Lion goes ahead. First 2 weeks.
Chapter 81: Operation Sea Lion goes ahead. First 2 weeks.

Operation sea lion went ahead at the highest possible tides to land its ships as close as possible to the shores. This meant July 7-11th and the 9th was picked as the "Sea Lions Day" day, delaying a few days to offer the defenders the illusion that the invasion would await the next high tides on August 5-9th. This was not to be and the German invasion forces embarked from the English channel in the evening of July 8th to land in the early morning on the 9th of July in what would be the greatest amphibious operation ever conducted. The landings were conducted between Barnham in the west (between Portsmouth and Brighton) and Folkstone in the east on a relatively narrow front of 125 km’s, with paratroopers landing at the airfields Westhampnet and Tangmere (north of Barnham), and Lympne, Hawkinge and Manston. Paratroopers were landed with gliders as well as parachutes, while giant gliders transporting tanks and Bulldozers to rapidly turn the abandoned airfields into operational status.

The British had insufficient forces and arms to effectively contest the beach landings that were supported by more than a thousand direct fire artillery guns, and the British were further incapable of counterattacking during the daytime due to absolute Luftwaffe air supremacy in southern England. Consequently, the beachheads rapidly expanded and the German air borne units captured their air fields and bridges and interrupted the railroads. This was fortunate because the landing of heavy equipment were not proceeding without troubles with several trucks, tanks and artillery pieces being stuck in the shingles.

Despite having planned for early resupply, the German 7th panzer division under general Erwin Rommel which had landed near Brighton, did clear the beaches with most of its tanks by the afternoon and then decided to rapidly sent every available tank and tracked supply vehicle west towards Portsmouth in concert with an infantry attack by the paratroopers which had landed near the air field of Westhampnet. Attacking during the night against inexperienced troops that were being infiltrated by paratrooper infantry, the German Panzer III and Panzer IV tigers could easily drive the 20 kms without resupply and were already in late night, early hours of the morning entering Portsmouth. Portsmouth was evacuated by remaining naval units during a dramatic panic in the early mornings of the 9th, at a time when the Luftwaffe seeing the prize ahead concentrated much of their CAS on Portsmouth. The escaping naval units were then met and destroyed by the forces of the Kriegsmarine waiting outside of the straits of the isle of Wight.
Portsmouth had fallen to the German Panzer virtually intact within 24 hours of the invasion which was a dramatic shock for the British defense and underpinned the German position in Southern England. In the east, the second Panzer division landing near folkstone under Heinz Guderian could not live up to Heinz Guderian’s nickname “Schnelle Hans” as it tok much longer for its tanks to clear the beaches, also here because they frequently got stuck in the shingles. Consequently, Guderian did not strike with his panzer before the 11th when a second wave of material were arriving to secure the beachhead. When he struck, he did not strike towards Dover as expected, but rather towards Ashford which was obliterated by Luftwaffe attacks and the towards Canterbury that offered stiff, but brief resistance with forces incapable of dealing with the medium and heavy German tanks. This maneuver cut off Dover from the rest of Britain and allowed linking up with the Paratroopers attacking from the east from Manston and still German forces were pouring in. Over the next three days, the Germans consolidated their gains and establish a front running from Chatham to Tonbridge, over Horsham, Midhurst and Botley outside Southampton. This meant that on the 14th, the Germans were in possession of the harbor of Portsmouth, Brighton, Eastbourne, Folkestone, Dover and Ramsgate of which Portsmouth, and Brighton had been captured relatively intact and the remaining harbors were being rapidly reconstructed. The British had mounted counterattacks on the beachheads, but as in France, the tanks were committed and defeated en detail.

The Germans were now having the options of turning towards Southampton where the British defenders had been digging in or north towards Aldershot to encircle London from the west. As the port in Portsmouth was still within shelling distance from Southampton and the Isle of Weight it was decided to clear these obstacles first while the full complement of reinforcements would arrive, thereby providing a high capacity Deep-Water port for the German ships ro resupply the invasion fleet in the long run.

Southampton was thus attacked by a head-on attack while the Isle of Wight was attacked by a secondary amphibious landing. Over the next week the German panzer cleared Southampton, reached the outskirts of Aldershot and Hampshire, captured Dorking and Raigate, Seven Oaks and Rochester in heavy infantry infighting. The Panzer divisions now numbered 6, 4 of which took up position near Ramsey, 5 km’s west of Hampshire and two assembled at Rochester. Meanwhile two of the paratrooper divisions had been pulled out of front line combat as they were invisioned to perform a second landing north of the Thames near Southend.

The German advances were naturally combated from from both the air and sea, but in the air there was really nothing which could be done. The Germans maintained a continuous fighter cap over the bridgeheads and as the Germans had captured the Chain home installations (which worked the best over the sea), and installed radars of their own (which worked well on land), the Germans had all the quantitative, qualitative and tactical advantages, and the effect of the attempted RAF intervention which was demanded by desperate politicians was to rapidly destroy the RAF as a fighting force.

At sea, the odds were seemingly better and the Royal navy had maintained a superiority in cruiser and destroyer sized vessels. The problem was that the bulk of the Royal Navy had been driven off to north-west Scotland by the Luftwaffe and arrived two days late for the campaign, but this did not stop terrified politicians from demanding immediate action. En route they were intercepted by air strikes from the German Atlantic carriers groups which obviously were informed of the Sea Lion time table. The German carriers only conducted one full strength raid and then withdrew to avoid interception by land based air craft remaining in England (which was still a factor two days after Sea Lions Day). This meant that when the cruisers and destroyers finally arrived in the English Channel, several ships had been sunk or damaged and given the German air superiority, it would be suicide to conduct a raid during the day time. Problem was the night time was no better as dense new field of magnetic mines had been laid during the night south of the Isle of Wight and the area immediately to the south west of Saint Catherin’s point. Very close to sain Catherin's Point, mine laying had been impeded by shore batteries on the isle off weight, but these waters were heavily patrolled with type XII submarines. The Waters were suited for these units as the waters rapidly acquired more depth. With a submarine density of 1-2 per km there was no chance of escaping this picket line and the first burning wreckages signaled the attacks for swarms of E-boats which risked the shore batteries on the Isle of Wight. Soon the area was ablaze with cruiser and destroyer wreckages after which the German battleships and cruisers joined the battle and started to slowly pick of the disorganized enemy.

The confusion was immense, but the result was undoubtedly a royal navy disaster. It was estimated that the Royal Navy lost 4 cruisers and 12 destroyers to submarines, 2 cruisers and 9 destroyers to mines and 2 cruisers and 5 destroyers to E-boats on the approach for the loss of 23 E-boats. The German heavy units picked off a further 3 cruisers and 11 destroyers before the British withdrew and lost a further 7 destroyers to mines and 2 cruisers and 2 destroyers to submarines. The slaughter was not over because the German submarines maintained pursuit of damaged ships, sinking a further 2 destroyers, and guiding the navy Fi-167 squadrons towards the returning fleet the next morning (as it was in July, there were only a handful of dark hours) were the British cruiser force was almost completely destroyed (losing a further 3 ships and a further 11 destroyers). In total, the RN lost 18 cruisers (3 limping home damaged, 2 operational) and 61 destroyers without sinking more than 2 U-boats (submarine hunting was not the priority during such a massive and confusing battle) and 23 E-boats. Damage had been received by the German heavy units, but apart from the Deutschland class cruiser Admiral Graf Spee which was sunk by a British submarine, damage was limited as the British forces were already committed in a knife fight against the German E-boats. These events prevented the Royal Navy from taking any further action except for the use of submarines.


EDIT: Grammar, clarity and typos
 
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Chapter 82: Blitzkrieg in Great Britain.
Chapter 82: Blitzkrieg in Great Britain.

When the rested and resupplied German Panzer did make their breakout on July 24th, supported by CAS and fighters operating from 5 air fields in southern England, the defenders did not stand a chance. The Panzers smasjed through defenses at Stockbridge and drowe towards Whitchurch, Basingstoke and Reading. Fron here the plan had been to drive towards Wallingford and Aylesbury, but aerial reconnaissance suggested that only refugees remained on the road towards Windsor and from there to London. Rommel consequently got a green light for a reconnaissance-in-force and drove his entire 7th panzer division towards London. News of the collapsing defenses spread like a wildfire and to the east Heinz Guderian got impatient waiting for engineers to build bridges over the Thames estuary. He called for and received hundreds of air strikes, and then attempted a head on assault which succeeded, largely thanks to the presence of a few of the heavy Panzer IV “Tiger” tanks. From here it became a race for the trophy where only feeble resistance delayed a rapid German advance, which was ultimately won by Rommel’s 7th Panzer which raise the Swastika from Buckingham Palace.

Meanwhile, the Panzer at Reading were driving towards Liverpool via Oxford and Guderian was sending a second Panzer division towards Cambridge. The British cabinet had been evacuated from London by cars, but was stuck in traffic jams made by refugees on the highways. Halifax ultimately lost his nerves seeing the effects of strafing aircraft over refugee columns, and we he finally made it to Bedford, the Germans had captured Oxford and Cambridge and were hot in pursuit having already captured Hertford.

From here, Halifax risked airborne evacuation to Leeds and then issued his executive orders. Operational units of the fleet were ordered to evacuate to Canada, bringing with them as much as possible military personnel. He then asked for an armistice and declared the unilateral laying down of British arms on the ground of England, Scotland and Wales.

Operation Sea Lion had succeeded and the Germans would from then on occupy England.
 
Not so good news, but it spell out I do agree with assesment from Cortz#9. Bear in mind, that to Hitler ITTL, Britain with the US, are the ultimate nests of the Jewish conspiracy that have broken Germany in the past and which are conspiring to dominate all other countries. With the exception of the jewish people and the Kelts, there is little racism involved here (many settlers in England came from Denmark which are as pure as Germans, but until the parasite has been weeded out, the occupation will not be kind and Hitler will not allow Britain to resume its perceived role as the opulent master of World trade.
 
Not so good news, but it spell out I do agree with assesment from Cortz#9. Bear in mind, that to Hitler ITTL, Britain with the US, are the ultimate nests of the Jewish conspiracy that have broken Germany in the past and which are conspiring to dominate all other countries. With the exception of the jewish people and the Kelts, there is little racism involved here (many settlers in England came from Denmark which are as pure as Germans, but until the parasite has been weeded out, the occupation will not be kind and Hitler will not allow Britain to resume its perceived role as the opulent master of World trade.
Dark times for Britain, will the peace be worse than the war?
 
Dark times for Britain, will the peace be worse than the war?
Much worse, sadly.

Holy raviolis, he actually did the Unspeakable Sea Mammal
Fourth attempt, including one I Think works ok, where the Germans win, but there was no reason to go to Sea Lion.
I think peace is possible before a Sea lion is realistic so we really need Hitler to reject the peace offerings. Hence the Dark times ahead.
 
Just a few remarks on the TL so far. Obviously, getting to a point were Sea lion was not only possible, but actually a foregone conclusion was a major point in the TL, and in my past failed attempts. Took quite a POD and some fortunate events for the Germand to get it that far (and it didn’t need to go this bad), but I think we reached a “it COULD have gone worse following WW1” conclusion.
There are other events that make little sense right now, eg. Otto Hahn killed among all others, but these things which COULD have followed from the POD will become important later.
Next there is a Bear and an Eagle. I would like some points about how they react?
The US did pass their two ocean navy act in 1939, but that doesn’t quite cut it anymore.
 
This is frightening, but I love it.

PS post 340 needs threadmarking
Thanks, when I am sometimes asked why I want to make WW2 worse, I tend to say it makes the rather imperfect OTL looks better.
Having said that, I think this TL will make OTL look like a paradise. We will see if I can make it work.
I Will look into the threadmark when I am at a PC.
 
Chapter 83: Reactions abroad following the English surrender.
Chapter 83: Reactions abroad following the English surrender.

The conditions of the British surrender were incredibly harsh. England would remain occupied until the population could be re-educated. This was estimated as 10 years and no more than 20 years after which the southern channel coast would remain annexed into Germany and Northern Ireland would be a part of Ireland. The future annexed counties would be Kent, East and West Sussex, Hampshire, Dorset, Somerset, Devon and Cornwall, and the treaty was very unspecific with regards to under what conditions a new British government could be formed.


counties_of_england_large.jpg

Map of the Counties of England.

Such were the punishment for attempting to dominate European Continental affairs for centuries and from 1914 in particularly (the official justification). Further, the Italians would occupy Egypt and the UK would have to give up all interest in the middle-east which became an Italian protectorate with the exception of the independent Persia. The UK could maintain the rest of its empire from its new capital in Canada, but the British would have to agree to favorable trade tariffs to allow continuous British food import from its colonies. The issue of food import had been central for the peace negotiations. Whenever the British had declared German demands unacceptable, the Germans had stated that the British Isles were not self-sufficient in food production, with the implicit threat of willingness to make the British people starve to death. This kind of cynicism was more than the British negotiators could stand up to. The future of the remainder of the empire was untouched by the negotiations and in principle, the British Empire could continue governed from Canada, until it could return to Britain in 10-20 years’ time, but without the military might, the offering of unfavorable trade arrangements to its colonies was a cause of major anxiety.

The downside of this German negotiation strategy is that it revealed the scale of the German resolve to the US government and populace which were outraged. Roosevelt had already in 1939 gained approval for its two ocean navy act, and now succeeded in increasing military funding in general. Compared to the beginning of 1939, US military spending would rise from 2% to 10% of GDP, with provisions enabled to increase future spending. The US would not only spend on its Navy but also on the army to create a 50 division standing field army, a 10000 aircraft air force (standing, 50000 aircraft to be purchased over the next 5 years), and establish coastal defenses at and surrounding east coast harbors that would be suitable for an invasion fleet (this was a minimal part, but Roosevelt played on the panic factor). Culturally speaking, there was a mixture of “Kraut-scare” and support for the new Germanized Europe. In communications abroad, the perspective voiced was that the Germans had no quarrel with the USA. Britain had been punished for its meddling on the continent, including their bringing in of the USA, and Germany considered the USA an innocent bystander to British war crimes. While the Kraut scare captured a majority and helped push rearmament legislation through congress, a sizeable minority saw themselves as the voice of reason in wanting to establish cordial relations with what was now de facto the masters of the old world. With an existing intelligence network already operating, this climate offered excellent opportunities for espionage, were agents who considered themselves patriotic would nevertheless become useful idiots for the foreign branch of the Sicherheitsdienst.

The British surrender had obvious consequences in other parts of the world as well. Most importantly the Soviet Union were Stalin realized that his gamble to pit Germany and the western democracies against each other had failed and in Japan were an undefended Empire was simply to prove too big a temptation. The events in the Soviet Union and Japan will be described in later chapters.
 
Stalin must be shitting in his pants and the Japanese must be salivating at the mouth. Roosevelt in the meantime is pissed off and dumbstruck at the current stream of events.
I also have to imagine that no one is happier than Mussolini.
 
Stalin must be shitting in his pants and the Japanese must be salivating at the mouth. Roosevelt in the meantime is pissed off and dumbstruck at the current stream of events.
I also have to imagine that no one is happier than Mussolini.
Mussolini is almost as happy as can be. The only discontent is with the Abysmal performance of his military until now. And yet he is a winner.
However, he has to contribute to the fight against communism and dont want too many bodybags sent home to ruin the mood.
I’ll cover the strategy for that in two chapters.
 
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