The Sound of Breaking Glass: Ed Miliband and the Last Gasp of Labour Hegemony
In the end, it was the Conservatives who made the move. Their new leader, Sir George Osborne, calculated that the party’s main challenge was to knock out the Libertarians as the main party of the British centre-right and gambled that attempting to force an election worked for them whichever way the vote went. If an election was called, the Conservatives would be in a better position to fight one than the Libertarians, who had spent the last few months in leadership crisis as the top troika of Kwasi Kwarteng, Priti Patel and Dominic Raab collapsed in civil war and donors began to migrate towards the Conservatives. On the other hand, even if the vote of no confidence didn’t go through, that would still give the Conservatives a cudgel with which to beat their Libertarian opponents.
The Libertarians and the Alliance joined with the Conservatives’ motion. After a delay of a day, the Liberals announced that they too would vote in favour of it. In truth, they did not particularly want another electoral fight, not trusting their ability to not keep on losing seats, but the leadership office of Rory Stewart recognised that, as the official Opposition, they had some kind of duty to support no confidence motions. There then followed a few more days of feverish speculation before Umunna confirmed that New Labour - now re-christened the Co-operative Party after the formal disaffiliation of that organisation from Labour - would also be voting for the motion. (The only question regarding the Co-operative’s movements would be whether they could afford to fight a new election - given the circumstances of the party’s birth there was little chance of them propping up Miliband’s government on a point of principle.)
This just left the Progressives’ position in doubt and Miliband immediately made moves to reach out to them both in public and private. Meetings between the two parties’ leadership teams proved productive. As has been observed previously, the Progressives’ former position as the leftmost wing of the Liberals, and their subsequent decade of existence as an independent party had seen them differ from Labour mainly in tone rather than policy, rejecting the more workerist policies of some of Labour’s machine, along with the nastiness that that machine had engendered. As such, there was a lot on the policy front that Miliband could offer to Progressive leader Jo Swinson. But, of course, she was inevitably going to ask for something in return and there was one thing that the Progressive shadow cabinet collectively agreed that they would demand: STV. Not a referendum on the issue (too many Progressives were refugees of the ‘Yes to STV’ campaign of 2013 to let that happen) but a bill passed through Parliament changing the voting system. Labour initially baulked at that and talks broke down. However, on the morning of the no confidence vote, Miliband picked up his phone.
At the vote, the Progressives waited until the other parties had filed into the division rooms and then walked with a gaggle of journalists following them from the chamber and into the Noe lobby.
Miliband’s negotiating had saved his premiership’s bacon but it immediately flung him into another legislative battle, this time over the passing of the electoral reform bill. A vigorous Labour whipping operation got most MPs on side but couldn’t prevent 85 from very publicly voicing their displeasure at being asked to vote for both a change to the electoral system without a manifesto mandate and one which only a decade previously many MPs had spent a good deal of political capital opposing. In the end, however, the bill passed into law in March as the Representation of the People Act 2026, on the back of Progressive and Labour loyalist votes, supplemented by the few Conservative MPs who still represented the party’s Mount-era radical spirit.
The next vote for the Westminster Parliament would be held under the single transferable vote system. Amidst the sense of party loyalties dissolving, it promised to be exciting, if nothing else.
But Miliband had been betrayed.
Only a month after the passing of the Act, the government lost a vote regarding changes to the funding for emergency hospitals (off the back of rebels from both Labour and the Progressives) and the Conservatives immediately put down another no confidence motion. Miliband and Chief Whip Sadiq Khan got to work bringing their own MPs in line and placed a call to Swinson’s team. But they got no response. They finally got Swinson on the phone early the next morning, where she confirmed that her team had decided that the Progressives would be voting for the Conservatives’ motion. Her citing of Labour’s alleged ‘betrayal’ of her party over Labour’s failure to support a Progressive amendment to a mental health bill was generally regarded as specious. In a rancorous atmosphere, Miliband’s government fell the following day and a general election was called for 23 July 2026.
As emerged later, Swinson’s betrayal of her agreement with Miliband caused him great emotional pain and he would reveal in his subsequent memoirs that he had suffered something close to a nervous breakdown that put him out of action for the first two weeks of the election campaign. Responsibility for Labour’s campaign devolved on Rachel Reeves and Sadiq Khan, both savvy politicians in their way but the absence of the Prime Minister was a gaping hole that persisted even after Miliband felt well enough to return to the campaign trail.
The results broke British politics. A combination of a new electoral system, a poor campaign by the government, economic stagnation and changing political trends resulted in the breaking of the Labour Party and the ending of a chapter in British political history. Labour remained the largest party in the Parliament but few people were really taken in by that. They lost more than half their MPs to crash to 172, their lowest total since 1921, and all of the Liberals, Progressives and the Conservatives each had more than 100 seats. Furthermore, the success of the Co-operatives, making gains of 51 to reach 86 seats, confirmed that Labour would be some way from having hegemonic control of the British centre and left for some time. Although the Libertarians also made gains of 13 seats, they were well behind the Conservatives and now clearly in second place in British right wing politics. The success of the Alliance Party, too, confirmed that the constitutional makeup of the United Kingdom would be a live political issue for the first time since the arguments over Irish Home Rule in the 1880s.
But, while the election clearly indicated the death of Labour Britain (or at least the beginning of it), it was unclear what was going to take its place. It was clear that Miliband was in no position to go on, either politically or, indeed, emotionally. The Labour leadership office, under the leadership of Sadiq Khan, put feelers out to the Progressives and the Alliance but it was clear that a majority could not be constructed just on that basis.
The linchpins of any deal would have to be the Liberals and the Co-Operatives and neither party, for their own reasons, had any interest in pursuing a path that would keep Labour in power. During talks that lasted three straight days, the Liberal and Co-Operative leadership came to an agreement that would install the Liberal leader, Rory Stewart as prime minister. Although they were more wary, the Progressives and the Alliance were willing to sign up to an agreement which gave them positions in the cabinet and a big say over policy direction.
Five days after the election, Stewart went to the Palace and received his commission. Afterwards, he stood on the steps of Downing Street and announced the formation of what he called a ‘Government of National Unity.’ A thoughtful man and well-known to the public following his activities in the African Wars, Stewart had been the subject of a ‘Draft Stewart’ campaign by all of Labour, the Liberals, the Progressives and the Conservatives in the early 2020s before he finally entered Parliament in the 2023 election as Liberal constituency MP. His elevation to the leadership only five months later was considered, at the time, to have been a symptom of Liberal weakness but he had proven a competent manager of his fractious parliamentarians and a strong campaigner. His personal charm was considered a vital glue that would knit together the disparate parts of his government, in a premiership that would ultimately be dominated by constitutional and Commonwealth affairs.