So, neocolonialism?Decolinization will happen but not in the same was as OTL. A gradual shifting responsibilities to natives followed by 'independence'. It is doubtful many nation's will be truly independent because they cannot leave the sphere they exist in.
The Newest South is something different enough from your standard colony not to warrant the label. Due to racial reasons, its locals are granted autonomy from Columbia, and have some type of rights only in their territories. This may have the side effect of making the creation of regional fiefdoms easier, as the locals a) have no incentive to identify with the US that conquered them b) are outside of the US political system by being in the territories c) are or will be granted autonomy for racial reasons. I 'expect' this to lead to them effectively running the show in their regions, and gradually 'seceding' from the US proper through drains on the economy through patronage, much like the Brezhnev-era fiefdoms of the USSR.
The *US still has far more in common with the OTL US than it does the OTL USSR, most significantly being the incredibly strong hold that the idea of 'America' (or *America) has on the citizens of that country. The *USA has more legitimacy in their eyes than the USSR ever could in the eyes of Russians, Ukrainians, etc, as it is synonymous with their nation.
Just because the empire that conquered them is named after their shared continent, it does not make it synonymous with their nation.
If anything, the legitimacy of the *USA among tets, peons and slaves is going to be weaker than the legitimacy of the USSR among Soviet citizens.
If the *US manages to coopt the Chileans on the basis of shared whiteness and perks for collaboration, combined with indoctrination and purges of *nationalists, it can expect to see a loyal Chile within a generation or so.
I think O'Brian enslaved the Canadians as a political manuever to embarrass his opponents and raise his profile when he was recalled. I doubt he will extend it any further as president as it undermines the *US' message of putting everyone in racial order. Furthermore O'Brian himself is the byproduct of co-opting local whites so he knows the importance of it the way his opponet may have forgotten.The timeline ends with O'Brien being inaugurated as president of the United States. That's the good fellow who start directly enslaving non-American whites. Of course he's supposed to be an improvement over his opponent who proposed outright killing them and making einsatzgruppen, sorry kill squads in DTL a permanent feature. So colour me unconvinced.
Speaking of conquered territories, would the US be able to conquer *Nigeria if Portugal collapsed?
If the US doesn't annex Nigeria, how would it develop as a part of a much larger Kingdom under Portuguese rule?
Does anyone know if/where there is a map detailing the political ideologies of the various countries in DoD? I swear I saw one.
We'd probably see Germany use Portugal and Aragon (the owners of the Congo) as proxies for imperialism in sub-Saharan Africa. Given that they're already trying to hold down their European and North African vassals, they probably don't want to get bogged down in it themselves, but the continent's too valuable to simply leave to the other great powers. Plus, while both Portugal and Aragon hold a great deal of imperial wealth on paper, their metropoles are small and vulnerable to invasion by Germany if they decide that they have ideas above their station. We'll probably see Germany effectively bankrolling the Portuguese and Aragonese colonial forces, hoping to keep both the Restored Empire from spreading further into Africa and the leaders of Portugal and Aragon (especially local colonial elites, who are much further from German guns than the people in the metropole) from getting the idea that the *US might be a better bet to help them save their empires.Probably with an extreme level of German influence. Portugal on its own would be unable to stem Imperial influence, which with it's essentially non-racist/anti colonialist foreign policy has some pretty strong cards to play. Nigeria is valuable enough that the Germans would make sure this influence was minimised. It probably becomes autonomous in a generation or so.
One wonders what would happen if Germany had not included reducing the Royal Navy, and Britain gave up her colonies. Germany, in addition to her existing colonies, would possess British China, Egypt, Nigeria, Sudan, Oman, Palestine, N. Borneo, Minandao and Somaliland. Combined with the French colonies seized at that point, Germany would effectively rule all of Africa, half of East Asia, almost all of SE Asia and a good portion of the Middle East. With victory comes victory disease. I expect Germany to do the following: 1. Incorporate as overseas duchy. Formosans suggested that Formosa be incorporated as a province in the past. Now that Germany dominates the Med and Indian Oceans, and West Pacific, incorporation of cturally Germanized regions like Libya or Formosa is possible and reduces the # of troops needed.
2. Protectorate status. It allows newly conquered peoples some autonomy and makes Germany look better thanBritain, France or Aragon. Practiced inMorroco and Egypt.
This is going to be a dumb question but I'll ask anyway. What it would take for Germany to win a war against Russia in this timeline, after the events of the last major war?
In the no-NAW ATL, would Russia create multiple Chinese states or just colonize the rest?Russia also launches a determined effort later in the war and post-war in China where it still tries to move into the power vacuum caused by the fall of Britain.