The scale on the world map may be a little off. Niagara state was formed with its border at the OTL counties of Cayuga, Onondaga, Cortland and western Broome (the Cortland-Chenango border extended due south), and with the capital at Geneva. Long Island state consists of Long Island, New York City, Staten Island, and the counties of Bronx, Westchester and Rockland. More broadly, yes, it makes sense of New York, New Jersey, Connecticut (or most of it) and parts of southern Hudson to be drawn into a southern, mostly urbanised region. That analysis makes sense. I'd add that while there is likely to be a big western Massachusetts statehood movement, I'm not sure whether it would get enough traction to be approved. The ATL split of New York state was a combination of the OTL statehood split sentiments, but with the disproportionate weight of New York state in ATL New England politics meaning that there was strong federal support for the split as well. (New York City more or less decided the presidency, due to the high population and the electoral college giving the overall state high weight, and New York City's higher population outvoting upstate New Yorkers.) The federal sentiment to split Massachusetts would be much weaker. Rural areas in New England are in general more conservative, though it depends on the issue. The reason that Vermont and New Hampshire were socialist in the Vitalist era was that they were the strongholds of the old Federalists (conservatives), but that the Federalists were discredited due to supporting Mullins into the presidency, so they switched to the Socialists as the only viable alternative. Their Socialism had a rather values-driven streak, with a focus on philanthropy, helping out people in need, and so forth. Political affiliations have certainly changed from their OTL equivalents in some respects. That said, TTL still has Catholic areas being more anti-Prohibition; that was touched on in chapter #109 (footnote 4). This varies depending on what point in time they're being compared to. For the first few decades, New England had a higher population than in OTL, due to a higher proportion of European immigration to North America going there rather than the *USA, and because some New Englanders stayed home ITTL rather than migrating west as they did in OTL, since that would have been into parts of the *USA. Later on, lower birth rates (due to higher urbanisation) and greater willingness of some continental European migrants to go to the *USA means that they decline compared to OTL.