I do not think the Belarussian government would be as unpopular as you think.Their opposition would be the full force of the Red Army, who would be backed by the vast majority of the population
I do not think the Belarussian government would be as unpopular as you think.Their opposition would be the full force of the Red Army, who would be backed by the vast majority of the population
Why do you believe that?I do not think the Belarussian government would be as unpopular as you think
If they didn't support the government too much I do not think there would be very radical opposition to it. It could be quite easily defended if the state was able to have arms and some soldiers from Germany as well as support from Lithuania. The government would not likely be hated as themajority of people would not have much reason to.Why do you believe that?
I can think of several reasons why the vast majority of people might not support the government.The government would not likely be hated as themajority of people would not have much reason to.
Notably, Crimea also remained Russian under Brest-Litovsk.I'm not sure Belarus would extend that far east or whether there would even have been a Belarusian state. In OTL, the western borders of Soviet Russia in the Belarus area were actualy to the west of the USSR's borders in OTL under the Treaty of Riga. As I've noted elsewhere, "As for Belorussia, while it was occupied by German troops, the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk did not recognize its independence (unlike Ukraine). Indeed, Germany never recognized the BNR (Bielarúskaja Naródnaja Respublika).
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Treaty of Brest-Litovsk - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
The Germans were just beginning to discover the idea of Belarus (so for that matter were the Bralrusians!) and they might in the end have decided to go beyond the Brest-Litovsk Treaty and establish a Belarusian state there at Russia's expense, but it is by no means certain. Even if they did, it might not extend as far east as on your map--it was only in 1924 that "Russia returned most of territories that made up the Vitebsk and Mogilev Governorates, as well as parts of Smolensk. " https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Byelorussian_Soviet_Socialist_Republic
I worried that I made it too big, but the lands I gave it seemed logical as those lands are occupied by finnic peoples (I think, I found it hard to find map of their distribution in that region) and the Germans would want them to have as much land as possible to weaken the Russians and to make the border more Eastern. There were powerful people in Finland who wanted to do this during the Russian civil war iotl and so I think it would happen in this timeline due to them having support from a super power (Germany.) But I may be wrong about this.
Finland OTL had strip of land to the North Sea - I think they would have it ITTL as well.Yes... it is cliche... but there is a reason these things are cliche...
I tried to make it accurate/the most likely thing that would happen.
What do you think and what could I improve about it?
I think you might be thinking of the Arctic.Finland OTL had strip of land to the North Sea - I think they would have it ITTL as well.
I agree with the southern borders although I don't think that they would directly annex most of the Caucasus. Much less effort to control it through client states.The mideast might look something like this. The Ottomans gains the mostly muslim lands of the Caucasus and the somewhat low-density western Georgia (for contiguity purposes) with itty bitty Armenia and Georgia as captive states.
Only thing about the Arctic strip at Pechenga was that it had never been part of the Grand Duchy, and might have been off-the-radar as far as German negotiators were concerned...Finland OTL had strip of land to the North Sea - I think they would have it ITTL as well.
I dont think Bulgaria would annex that much of Serbia - Austria would not want it in the first place. The most I see in the north is Nis. Or if they really want an Austrian-bulgarian border a corridor along the Danube - but nowhere near Belgrade like in this map.
Also if Romania was on the allied side like OTL I think Ukraine would get Bessarabia but at the very least Odessa and Bulgaria would get the whole of Dobruja.