Alternate Electoral Maps II

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Turquoise Blue-1976 in President Elect
  • Played a bit in President Elect 1988, and found this scenario really interesting, so I made a write-up to go with it.

    1968 Delayed.

    After sixteen years of Democratic government, first under Kennedy (1961-1969) and then Johnson (1969-1975) and finally under Humphrey (1975-), there was an atmosphere for change.

    President Humphrey was determined to win a term in his own right, to continue the Democratic dominance and to see off yet another Republican challenger. This Republican challenger was yet another "old hand", former Vice-President and Governor of California Richard Nixon who challenged Kennedy in his first election all the way back in 1960. He too was determined to win an election and show that he was more than just a vice-president.

    And then the former President of the Ford Company, Lee Iacocca, declared that he too was running. Iacocca reached dizzy heights in the polling, but after the campaign trail wore down the three, he fell to third place, behind the two former vice-presidents determined to prove their worth for the top office.

    As the campaign went on and Iaccoca fell behind, Humphrey and Nixon turned their fire on to each other. No way was the other going to take their ambition, their aim, from them. As the Times dubbed it "The Final Charge", the two campaigns attacked each other and challenged their candidate as the best. Iacocca still remained strong, but in terms of the Electoral College he was merely a "who?".

    Their running mates Governor Mike O'Callaghan of Nevada and Senator Lowell Weicker of Connecticut were essentially excluded entirely from the narrative as the "Final Charge" dominated the conversation. Which of the former vice-presidents would win in this final lunge for victory after careers of many decades? As November approached, the polls tightened even more.

    On Election Night, Humphrey had the lead at first, but as more polls came in, Nixon tightened it further and finally took the lead as the majority of Plains states came in. In the end, those who really really wanted to know who would win the election stayed up until Alaska, which finally put Nixon over the top and confirmed him as the nation's thirty-eighth president.

    upload_2017-5-30_0-6-49-png.325165

    Fmr. Vice-President Richard M. Nixon (R-CA)/Senator Lowell P. Weicker, Jr. (R-CT): 272 EV, 34,110,080 votes (42%)
    President Hubert H. Humphrey (D-MN)/Governor Mike O'Callaghan (D-NV): 266 EV, 33,640,264 votes (41%)
    Businessman Lee Iacocca (I-MI)/various candidates (I-US): 0 EV, 13,526,986 votes (16%)
     
    Turquoise Blue-2006 as it should have been?
  • As a 'sequel' of sorts to 1968 Delayed, comes...

    2006 As It Should Have Been?

    As the titanic figure of President Jeane Kirkpatrick prepares to leave office, one question remains "Will the Democratic dominance ever end?". First under Roosevelt (1933-1945) and Truman (1945-1953), then under Kennedy (1961-1969), Johnson (1969-1975) and Humphrey (1975-1977) and finally under Kirkpatrick (1981-1989), the Democrats have dominated America, with Eisenhower and Nixon merely bookends.

    The man who many called "the second Nixon", Governor George Deukmejian of California, has a reputation as a moderate-conservative with a law and order streak, as shown when he cracked down on race riots in the long summer of 1987. With this creating controversy, he announced his run for the Presidency and easily won the primaries, uniting the moderates and conservatives behind him, becoming the first nominee to be of Armenian descent. Opposing him was the person who was charged with continuing the Democratic dominance, Senator from Texas Henry Cisneros, the first Latino to win a party nomination. This was clearly a first, both parties nominating non-WASP candidates. The Times declared it "a splash of color". Paul Laxalt, a failed GOP Senatorial candidate, declared his candidacy as the nominee of the Libertarian Party but he was wholly irrelevant.

    Kirkpatrick's presidency was a success, but the American people was getting weary of Democrats, and indeed this was Cisneros' main problem - "What can you do that past presidents haven't?". Meanwhile Deukmejian was crafting a vision of a more conservative America, one of tax cuts and fiscal sensibility, blaming rising inflation on Democratic spending policies. Still, a lot of people were still wary of the Republicans, seeing Deukmejian as a risk and Cisneros as embodying "safe continuity". Thus the polls were tight, with the leading candidate never beyond a 4% margin.

    The two chose their vice-presidents wisely. Deukmejian chose Ohioan Representative John Kasich to underline his "change" message - "Vote for change. Vote Republican." - while Cisneros chose former Governor of Georgia Jimmy Carter to appeal to moderates and to reassure people concerned about his youth, that there would be an experienced "old hand" advising him.

    In the end, the polls remained tight until Election Night, where Deukmejian gained a narrow lead, but that lead was enough to give him victory. As Illinois was called for Deukmejian, Cisneros conceded the election despite the fact that California was still pending. Cisneros was certain it would go Deukmejian [and put him over the magic number] and it eventually did. Remarkably for a tight election, the congressional elections were more Republican as fossilised Democratic incumbents were wiped out in favour of Republican newcomers. The House went Republican for the first time in forty years, heralding a new era.

    upload_2017-5-30_17-36-1.png

    Governor George Deukmejian (R-CA)/Representative John Kasich (R-OH): 310 EV, 48,114,712 votes (50%)
    Senator Henry Cisneros (D-TX)/Former Governor Jimmy Carter (D-GA): 228 EV, 46,502,784 votes (49%)
    Former Senatorial Candidate Paul Laxalt (L-NV)/Doctor Ron Paul (L-TX): 0 EV, 391,697 votes (0%)

    List of Presidents

    35: John F. Kennedy (Democratic-Massachusetts) 1961-1969
    1960: def. Richard M. Nixon (Republican-California)
    1964: def. Nelson Rockefeller (Republican-New York) and George Wallace (Independent Democrat-Alabama)
    - Camelot lost its luster, but he held on thanks to a successful economy.

    36: Lyndon B. Johnson (Democratic-Texas) 1969-1975
    1968: def. Jesse Helms (Republican-North Carolina) and John Lindsay (Liberal-New York)
    1972: def. John B. Connally (Republican-Texas)
    - The Texan who lost Texas both times, much to his annoyance. The creator of the "Modern Society".

    37: Hubert H. Humphrey (Democratic-Minnesota) 1975-1977
    - "President Humphrey". Something he longed to hear for ages, but his time in office was brief.

    38: Richard M. Nixon (Republican-California) 1977-1981
    1976: def. Hubert H. Humphrey (Democratic-Minnesota) and Lee Iacocca (Independent-Michigan)
    - Much like Humphrey, Nixon found his time in office disappointingly brief, and worse, unsuccessful.

    39: Jeane Kirkpatrick (Democratic-Pennsylvania) 1981-1989
    1980: def. Richard M. Nixon (Republican-California)
    1984: def. Ed Clark (Republican-California) and Phil Crane (Constitution-Illinois)
    - The Iron Lady of America, as many Americans dubbed her [either in awe or in anger].

    40: George Deukmejian (Republican-California) 1989-
    1988: def. Henry Cisneros (Democratic-Texas)
    - The harbringer of the 'Conservative Revolution'?
     
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    Peebs-1992, but Clinton gets 5% less in his OTL states and Bush gets 5% less in his OTL states.
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    1992, but Clinton gets 5% less in his OTL states and Bush gets 5% less in his OTL states.
     
    Tex Arkana-County map if Trump stays where he currently is in terms of Approval ratings
  • NRboR7A.jpg


    If Trump stays where he currently is in terms of approval ratings, I think this is the Democratic nominees floor in terms of counties in 2020. they win every county Hillary won, plus every county where Trump won with less than 50% of the vote (save for a few in Utah where Hillary only got 10-15% of the vote but McMullin kept Trump under 50%). Ignore Iowa, I forgot to do it. Oh and apparently I also forgot to do Maryland.
     
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    Rhad-1972 and 1976 if the popular vote was tied
  • Rhad

    Banned
    The map still makes no sense! Party loyalty is a thing! Just because the Dems nominate a rural candidate and the GOP one from the city doesn't mean literally both party's bases fully flip.

    1972 tied.png 1976 tied.png . These are 1972 and 1976 if they were tied. Mcgovern would have won 17 states. Carter would have won 6 of them. Meanwhile, he carried four of the five most republican states, and nearly won Oklahoma. Party loyalty isn't neccesarily the be-all and end-all of elections.
     
    Gog-Clocthoth-Can't Keep Cool in 1928
  • Can't Keep Cool in 1928, Wedith a Twilsont
    genusmap.php

    Governor Alfred E. Smith (D-NY) / Fmr. First Lady Edith Wilson (D-DC): 274 EV
    President Calvin Coolidge(R-MA) / Judge William S. Kenyon (R-IA): 257 EV

    266 to win

    Pulled from an old Boston Globe article; here's an extended prediction from Hugh Campbell Wallace Ambassador to France in the final years of the Wilson administration. Dated Oct. 27, 1927.

    Supposedly the addition of Edith Wilson would "keep the South solid and insure the Democrats several western states (which Wallace goes on to list and I've highlighted)". Al Smith would "contribute his part in the victory by carrying the East". I tacked Smith's home state of New York on in light of this, since it gives the ticket a narrow win and Amb. Wallace couldn't know how Smith would perform.

    If someone has a good source on women voters by state and party at the time; another possible map could be based on Wallace's assertion that "The Democratic party gave women suffrage to the country and [the only female Govs. and Sens. have been Democrats]... women resent being ignored by the Republicans and I am sure at least 10 percent of Republican women voters would be glad [to elect a female VP]...especially one as well versed in statecraft as Mrs. Wilson."
     
    Pericles-Closer 2008
  • Closer 2008 US election
    genusmap.php

    Barack Obama/Joe Biden-Democratic: 291 EV 49.86%
    John McCain/Sarah Palin-Republican: 247 EV 48.60%
     
    Pericles-Obama landslide in 2008
  • Bigger Obama victory
    genusmap.php

    Barack Obama/Joe Biden-Democratic: 394 EV 55.86%
    John McCain/Sarah Palin-Republican: 144 EV 42.60%
     
    Pericles-Obama does better in 2012
  • Bigger Obama victory 2012
    genusmap.php

    President Barack Obama/Joe Biden-Democratic: 364 EV 55.01%
    Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan-Republican: 174 EV 43.15%
     
    Tex Arkana-Carter runs a better campaign in 1976 and picks Frank Church as his running mate, winning in a landslide.
  • genusmap.php



    Carter runs a better campaign in 1976 and picks Frank Church as his running mate, winning in a landslide.
     
    DPKdebator-Trump landslide in 2016
  • Bigger Trump victory 2016
    nD3gzZu.png

    Chairman of the Trump Organization Donald Trump / Governor Mike Pence - 350 EV, 52.39%
    Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton / Senator Tim Kaine - 188 EV, 46.21%
     
    wildviper121-Trump landslide based off of someone's Campaign trail game
  • Donald Trump electoral landslide based off someone's campaign trail game: https://www.americanhistoryusa.com/campaign-trail/game/208197
    The Trump-Brown campaign ruthlessly attacked Clinton throughout the campaign, driving down her numbers tremendously. Clinton was not able to properly retaliate thanks to all her insults being considered compliments by Trump.
    genusmap.php

    Businessman Donald Trump / Senator Scott Brown -- 371, 52.67%
    Secretary Hillary Clinton / Senator Tim Kaine -- 167, 43.78%
     
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