That PoD is probably too late. By this stage, even if the Serbian-Austrian conflict gets defused, SOMETHING is going to set off WWI. It might be a very different WWI, but it's still going to be a horrific conflict that will kill millions.
That's not to say the situation can't be diffused, only that another situation will arise to take its place, and then another. Eventually, ome minor (or not so minor) disagreement will blossom into the First World War.
This.
Everyone's forgetting about the ultra-revanchist mood in France. They were begging for a fight with Germany.
You are probably right, but the Same would have been Said of WW III if the Cuban or Berlin Crisis had escalated.
Your challenge is to prevent the Great War - however, your POD must be after the assassination of Franz Ferdinand.
Your challenge is to prevent the Great War - however, your POD must be after the assassination of Franz Ferdinand.
Well Wilhelm II sent a message to his cousin (Tsar Nicholas) hoping to prevent war between their nations. Perhaps there's a quick reply from "Nicky" who stresses the need for a conference to be held between the European powers. That however will only delay the issue for a few more years as they had been in the past.
Russian Revolution 3 years earlier. Russia wants to go to war against Austria-Hungary but its soldiers mutiny from the start and therefore Russia cannot mobilize. The Russian Revolution starts a few years earlier, and Serbia, seeing no allies to back it up, reluctantly agrees to Austro-Hungarian demands. With the dissolution of the Triple Entente, treaties are going to get shuffled around a bit, defusing the situation.
Funny Thing is: the Serbs killed the One Guy in Vienna who would have been least excited about war against Serbia...
Those were binary disputes - two Great Powers. Five Great Powers = different story.
Thats why they killed him... Serbia counted on russias help, so they viewed that a war would be an easy way to expand.
Yes, easier to maintain Peace As any Power wishing to go for war needs the reassurance of its partners. ;-)
Kind of, but that was Not their Core Problem with FF. He was Ready to grant the South Slavs in the monarchy utmost autonomy, and they feared that would solidify the loyalty of all the regions Serbia claimed. And As FJ was aged 84, the matter was urgent.
Some teenagers killed FF. I doubt there was much beyond the opportunity to their motive.
That's quite a lot of historical revisionism there, I hope you have something to back that up with.