So first off, I want to be clear. I am totally aware that there is literally less than a zero percent chance this would end well for Germany. This isn't intended to be a Fourth Reich wank scenario or anything. Also, apologies if this scenario goes against the rules, please remove it if so.
Alright, so with that out of the way, I'll lay down the rules. With a POD no earlier than May 8, 1945:
1. The war must be a total war involving the full scale invasion of involved countries, not just a minor border skirmish.
2. Germany must at least be at war with both France and Poland, but you can add as many countries as you want. For simplification, we'll call them the New Allies.
3. Germany must penetrate into New Allied territory, and the New Allies must get far into Germany, even totally occupy it if you want.
4. The war must last 3 months minimum. It can end with nukes if you think there isn't any other way to prevent their use, but it must be conventional for a time.
5. The war must be considered a major war. It doesn't need to be WW3, but it can't be some obscure conflict either. Iran-Iraq/Ethiopia-Eritrea level at least.
6. Germany must be the main aggressor, so no West or East Germany being the starting location for a larger conflict between the US and the Soviets.
Here are my thoughts as to how this could come about: Germany is never divided, or only divided briefly. Instead, Germany becomes a unified neutral nation, still with the Oder-Neisse border. Liberalization never occurs to the same degree, so Germany is extremely nationalistic. Almost certainly not Nazi, but still nationalist.
The US and USSR think Germany is still sufficiently suppress, so the Cold War still goes on as usual, minus Germany. The German economic miracle still occurs, but it also occurs in East Germany. Fearing NATO and the WP, Germany invests heavily into it's military. All in all, Germany is fairly powerful. Definitely not on the level of the US or USSR, but still formidable in their own right.
Eventually, the Cold War ends. The USSR either collapses, or just lets go of the Warsaw Pact. For whatever reason, the US decides NATO has fulfilled it's purpose, and NATO also dissolves.
Anger fueled by an economic crisis, ailing support for the ruling regime, popular support of the idea: whatever the reason, Germany looks at Europe and decides it has a chance. Germany also thinks the US and Russia won't get involved. Mind you, that doesn't mean the US and Russia actually won't get involved, but Germany thinks they won't. Germany strikes. Seeing history repeat, France, (also almost definitely the UK), comes to Poland's defense. No Phoney War, actual military action.
You would also probably need Germany to get nukes at some point, because I don't see France going along with a conventional war without the threat of MAD. Alternatively, avoid anyone in Europe aside from the USSR getting nukes, or at least limit how many nukes they have.
Alright, so with that out of the way, I'll lay down the rules. With a POD no earlier than May 8, 1945:
1. The war must be a total war involving the full scale invasion of involved countries, not just a minor border skirmish.
2. Germany must at least be at war with both France and Poland, but you can add as many countries as you want. For simplification, we'll call them the New Allies.
3. Germany must penetrate into New Allied territory, and the New Allies must get far into Germany, even totally occupy it if you want.
4. The war must last 3 months minimum. It can end with nukes if you think there isn't any other way to prevent their use, but it must be conventional for a time.
5. The war must be considered a major war. It doesn't need to be WW3, but it can't be some obscure conflict either. Iran-Iraq/Ethiopia-Eritrea level at least.
6. Germany must be the main aggressor, so no West or East Germany being the starting location for a larger conflict between the US and the Soviets.
Here are my thoughts as to how this could come about: Germany is never divided, or only divided briefly. Instead, Germany becomes a unified neutral nation, still with the Oder-Neisse border. Liberalization never occurs to the same degree, so Germany is extremely nationalistic. Almost certainly not Nazi, but still nationalist.
The US and USSR think Germany is still sufficiently suppress, so the Cold War still goes on as usual, minus Germany. The German economic miracle still occurs, but it also occurs in East Germany. Fearing NATO and the WP, Germany invests heavily into it's military. All in all, Germany is fairly powerful. Definitely not on the level of the US or USSR, but still formidable in their own right.
Eventually, the Cold War ends. The USSR either collapses, or just lets go of the Warsaw Pact. For whatever reason, the US decides NATO has fulfilled it's purpose, and NATO also dissolves.
Anger fueled by an economic crisis, ailing support for the ruling regime, popular support of the idea: whatever the reason, Germany looks at Europe and decides it has a chance. Germany also thinks the US and Russia won't get involved. Mind you, that doesn't mean the US and Russia actually won't get involved, but Germany thinks they won't. Germany strikes. Seeing history repeat, France, (also almost definitely the UK), comes to Poland's defense. No Phoney War, actual military action.
You would also probably need Germany to get nukes at some point, because I don't see France going along with a conventional war without the threat of MAD. Alternatively, avoid anyone in Europe aside from the USSR getting nukes, or at least limit how many nukes they have.
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