Leninmir: an Early Twentieth Century Timeline

Pruit Igoe and Prophecies
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"He dreamt of good but created evil."
--Raymond Moley
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"The fortune of Europe was changed by the terrible sickle of death in the closing days of the Great War. People unfelled by bullets were felled by modern plagues. Those who would have lived died; maybe those who would have languished in obscurity rose to prominence."
--Richard Hofstadter
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"Implacable vengeance, rising from a frozen pity in a tranquil, sensible, matter-of-fact, good-humored integument! His weapon, logic; his mood, opportunist; his sympathies, cold and wide as the Arctic Ocean; his hatreds, tight as the hangman’s noose. His purpose, to save the world; his method, to blow it up. "
--Winston Churchill, World Crisis: the Aftermath*
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"The twentieth-century history are the scars communism carved into human civilization, still open as the world threads near the abyss of renewed destruction."
--Harold Macmillan, commenting on the events on the Danton Square, 1960.
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“Old men die, young ones surrender.”
--Vladimir Ilyich Ulyanov
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"All is not lost; the unconquerable Will,

And study of revenge, immortal hate,

And courage never to submit or yield."


--John Milton, Paradise Lost*
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On a certain level, all that ever is are chemical processes. Some of them are sorted into living; others into nonliving. A virus straddles the boundary between both.

A virus is little more than RNA wrapped around in just enough proteins to make it to another cell and replicate. It does not have intent; it does not plan. It changes and adapts but it has so sense of history or time.
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It is October 11th, 1917. A single RNA strand containing 31 kilobases swirls in the nucleocapsid inside a protein envelope adorned with peplomere spikes.

It encounters other copies of itself inside a eukaryotic cell. Genetic recombination ensues. Bases are altered. Virality is enhanced. But most importantly of all, peplomeres governing host receptivity undergo a change.

The novel form proliferates. Lymphocytes failing to recognize the otherwise familiar form.
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It is December 3rd, 1917. A mob of soldiers and sailors celebrates the lynching of Nikolay Dukhonin, the last commander-in-chief of the Russian Imperial Army. He is killed at a railway station in Mogilev, Belarus after surrendering to the Soviets. His hanging body is later used as target practice.* The officer in charge later notices he no longer has the sense of taste.
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It is August 30th, 1918. Several gunshots ring. People scream. Stefan Gil, Lenin's loyal chauffeur lies on the ground, bleeding. The Bolsheviks present swarm over Lenin and try to capture the perpetrators. Lenin demands futilely his driver is taken to the hospital. His calls are ignored.

A day later, Pravda calls for the "The anthem of the working class will be a song of hatred and revenge!"* Red Terror begins.
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It is August 24th, 1920. Hundreds of minor fires spread through the city. Women man the machinegun emplacements. Some houses hold out to the last. Elsewhere churches filled with the elderly and the sick are set on fire. Disheveled soldiers, wrapped in rags loot the dead for their ammunition and guns.

The air is rife with smoke and the smell of gunpowder. A rising share of the Warsaw population and the Red Army can no longer notice the smell. They feel exhausted.
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It is December 22nd, 1918. A prison guard collapses while on duty. He is scolded by his commanding officer but does not rise. He has caught the disease from the prisoners.

He is taken from the prisoner camp in Traunstein to the hospital. Not even a full month earlier he was discharged from another hospital where he was recovering from blindness induced by a British gas attack.
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It is April 3rd, 1919. The young spectacled Bolshevik is released from the Kremlin hospital. He was in a coma for a few days and barely made it through. Lenin himself inquired with the doctors if anything could be done for him.

Yakov Sverdlov can barely stand and still has trouble breathing but resolves to persevere. There is so much to do.
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It is October 26th, 1917. The soldier is riding a cramped train towards the north. It is a freezing night and men are cramped, huddled together. Talk of revolution is in the air. There is not enough vodka or bread. A soldier coughs, fondly remembering that piece of meat he managed to steal away from the officers.
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It is February 2nd, 1921. Starving peasants struggle to catch a dog. Their neighbors have already eaten their child. At least they hope the child died before they started tearing strips of flesh from it.

Guards that were posted to the graveyard have abandoned their duty. The local doctor is rumored to be eating the corpses of the deceased. There is no food. A few strained villagers cough.
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It is October 22nd, 1917. The homeostatic processes governing the complex biochemistry finally fail, overtaxed by external stimuli and the rising cascade of internal difficulties. The oxygen exchange stops. Glucose processing stops

Several hours later sharp metal objects tear into the body of water, protein, and fat, now immobile. The constituent eukaryotic assemblages of tissue are soon redistributed by the planet’s prime omnivore organisms.

Most of the viral envelopes are destroyed by their immune systems, but thousands persist and manage to reach the respiratory system of one of them. New host cells are found.
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It is December 15th, 1917. The Commissar for foreign affairs Leon Trotsky assembles a delegation for the armistice negotiations with the German general Max Hoffmann. On their way to the railway station he realizes that no one in their delegation represents peasants and one is recruited from the street. The peasant coughs but nobody takes notice. It is cold after all.
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It is November 18th 1918. Andrew Bonar Law readies his suit and clears his throat. In a few minutes, he will officially meet King George V.

The King appoints Bonar Law and remarks that the country will undergo a difficult time. Bonar Law assures that he is up to the task.

Six weeks later Bonar Law resigns, chained to his bed by the same pestilence that took his predecessor. During heights of fever, he sees ghastly specters of David Lloyd George and Wilhelm II inviting him to join him.
He dies in his sleep six months later, never fully recovering from the disease.
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It is November 7th, 1917. Thousands of people mill around the city. John Reed is dining in the Hotel France, just off Palace Square, when his waited asks him to move into the main dining room at the back of the building since they expect the shooting to begin. Shaliapin sings in Don Carlos before a packed house at the Narodny Dom.

Not far away, a small group of Red Guards seizes the Winter Palace. Inside they find an enormous wine cellar containing tens of thousands of bottles. The word spreads. Thousands of workers and soldiers arrive to loot the cellar. Unrest and disorder follow. Sailors and soldiers go around the well-off districts robbing people and killing buzhooi. The police cells are filled with drunkards, coughing. Some policemen cough too.
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It is September 22nd, 1918. A woman cries as doctors explain her husband has passed away. A stroke occurred while he was in the hospital bed. They could do nothing.

In the background, a man is talking nervously on the telephone. Thomas R. Marshall has to take the oath as the president of the United States.
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It is October 17th, 1917. The guards note that the local cows are suffering from profuse diarrhea. Their milk yields have dropped significantly. Had it been peacetime of calf season the herd might be culled but it is not. The winter is harsh. The war is demanding. The Germans are on the move. The furious officer shouts at the peasant soldier. A sound of flesh connecting to other flesh is heard.
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It is March 14th 1918. The viral envelope meets another viral envelope.

This one is different. In its core are only 14 kilobases, segmented into eight parts. One envelope coopts the organelle membranes for its new copies, the other takes parts of the cell membrane.

The new viral envelope replicates faster and is more destructive. The respiratory system fills with fluids from both the dead cells and the immune system. Cytokine storm occurs.

The host dies.


This is not the first time the two viral envelopes encounter each other. Each is active in tens of thousands, their number growing exponentially. They spread from host to host, proliferating in the cramped conditions of the trenches. They follow ships and offensives, congregate around stores and cramped rooms.

Sometimes one viral envelope manages to strengthen the host immune system, making it quicker to react faster to the other viral envelope.

Other times it finds a weakened immune system and the host body still recovering. A weakened opponent.
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The viral envelope infects tens of millions.

It grants death to the elderly and the sick.

It takes the sense of taste from some; sanity from others.
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It is December 12th, 1921. Lenin furiously looks at the prosthesis doctors present him. He spent months chained to the bed, a time during which the country seemed to move without him. This will not do.
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It is July 18th, 1917. The guards look for Lenin in vain in the Pravda offices. The Bolsheviks have fled only minutes before.
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It is November 15th, 1931. Gunfire and smoke fill the city. The dreaded Marshal gloats. His dreams of entering the great cities have finally came through.

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*OTL
 
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The Sickle of Death
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Slain, after all man's devices had failed, by the humblest things that God, in his wisdom, has put upon this earth.
--H.G. Wells, The War of the Worlds, 1897.*
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Patients lie in an influenza ward at a U.S. Army camp hospital in Aix-les-Baines, France, during the GWI, Corbis*
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There was no shortage of people finding faith in those days. Some sought hope after so much death and destruction. Others recognized the horsemen of the apocalypse: war, disease, death, and famine. Was this plan of God's plan or God's punishment for the folly of our sins? We in the noble medical profession often devote much greater thought to the spirituality than people usually think. The service does not train you to see people as bags of organs but as frail, suffering things. The flu extinguished so many people, the young and the old, the healthy and the infirm, it seemed to strike everyone and kill at random. So many of us have succumbed to it, including my sister who served in a military hospital. She told me she witnessed people dying within a day of exhibiting symptoms, a common story that is still disputed by the learned men. What kind of disease has the Great War awakened to remind us that God can easily take more people than four years of trenches, machine guns and gas?

Henri, the only doctor that treated us nurses with a degree of respect expired during late 1918, not from the flu but exhaustion. I felt so alone in Paris then, everyone was tense. The disease took down presidents and prime ministers, kings, and emperors. My childhood friend, Marcel, died in 1919 suddenly, after having been demobilized. Within a week of coughing, he was dead in his home after surviving the horrors of Somme. I remember the story of one patient in 1919, a young American who lied about his age to join the war. The foolish youth managed to get to France after multiple attempts, lying about his age and finally arriving in France just after the end of the war as a member of the Red Cross Ambulance Corps. He already survived the disease in America and thought himself to be safe. He spent free time drawing funny little pictures for us, trying to charm us. The silly youth decorated his car with drawings. Initially, he drove little for the Red Cross, studying the streets of Paris instead, but as the disease swung back he was pressed into service. There was something in his eyes, the look of a man who saw unimaginable death suddenly, a look I saw among our soldiers returning from the front. I heard from Jeanne he was shaken by the sight of a mother trying to breastfeed her frozen and rotting newborns, an experience which saw him hug the bottle.

The American claimed he first fell ill while trying to climb a tree to glimpse president Marshall. He was cordial at first, after all, he spent weeks in delirium awaiting deployment home and survived. He would have died there and then if it was his time. But after three days he was crying out of desperation, as he constantly sneezed and coughed, not giving him a moment of respite. We knew those days that influenza sometimes circled back, hitting areas and people back, but in 1919 it was still a rumor. The disease had already taken so many people and many were afraid of the socialist revolutions in the east. One day, Madam Nicole[1] came to the hospital to ascertain the nature of the latest outbreak. Was it tuberculosis hitting people back or the disease had swung back in Paris? Madam quickly pronounced that six people in our ward would be dead within the week: she was proven incorrect in only that five had died, including the American. She would later commit suicide, perhaps fearing her own death.

I remember the American because I ended up guarding his backpack for a few weeks until someone from the military came for them. He had published some drawings for the American army magazines and sketched quite a few cartoons. He intended one for me, a picture of a rabbit nurse caring for children. I took the picture to my heart, as I would later learn I could not have any children. All this time, I remember the American and yet I cannot remember his name - his surname was Irish and his name perhaps German? All evidence I have now is his unreadable initials on the picture, MD.[2]

--Elaine Page, My life during the Great War, 1927

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The First Great War, the War that ended empires, destroyed a generation and pushed the entire civilized world into questioning the nature of humanity was easily outshone by the flu. The phrase "Sickle of Death", also known as "Hammer and Sickle of Sickness", "Sickle of Death" and similar was initially known as Spanish flu due to uncensored reports in Spain which had abstained from the First Great War. The term Sickle of Death only became popular after Hemingway wrote the eponymous novel in 1925, although there is evidence such phrase appeared in the French and Belgian newspapers during 1919 nad 1920, referring to the strange nature of the disease, appearing to reap death like a sickle, killing first the healthy and then mowing the vulnerable.

The variation of "Hammer and Sickle of Death", became popular only around 1930, once it was established that the flu spread through Europe through two principal vectors, from Ukraine, and from France, appearing similar to the communist emblem of hammer and sickle. It is obvious that the phrase is a natural play on the communist iconography in an effort to liken communism to a deadly disease that killed many. The spread of revolutionary ideals has been often compared to the spreading of sickness and there was no shortage of theorists claiming that socialism itself is a sickness of the mind. This even gave birth to the idea of quarantining the spread of communism, an idea that proved disastrous when it was directed against Leninovka in the thirties.

-- The Common History of the Twentieth Century, 1956

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Influenza epidemics are nothing new to human civilization, but the Spanish flu was especially deadly due to several factors. First of all, its exact origins are still unclear with various works pointing the origin to America or China. The disease itself benefitted from mass mobilization, trench warfare, cramping, and poor conditions, allowing it to spread and incubate easily. The Spanish flu had several deadly waves that lend its name to the Sickle of Death. The strain that appeared in the summer of 1918 was much deadlier than the Spring one and more followed.

The disease confused the doctors initially, as it initially killed more young adults and appeared during warm weather. Contributing factors to that were its severity which prompted a strong immune response that killed the otherwise strong individual by drowning his or her lungs; secondary opportunistic infections and poor conditions that followed the First Great War. The most astounding medical discovery about the Spanish Flu only came in the late Twentieth Century when it was proven that the Spanish Flu was actually two different strains of flu coinciding. In the prospect of the Great War the deaths of war and disease were confused and so were the two strains. One acted dysgenically and killed the young by prompting a cytokine storm, the other acted eugenically and mostly killed the elderly and the infirm. This also explains why certain waves appeared to act more conventionally targetting weaker individuals, and why certain people would be reinfected which was previously ascribed to the high mutation rate of the flu. Although the main culprit is Spanish flu, with its main secondary origin in France and America, another entirely different strain emerged from Russia. This was a near repeat of the Russian flu of 1889-1890 which likely originated around Sankt Petersburg and ravaged the world during the following five months. In England, it likely killed the royal heir, Prince Albert Victor, the grandson of Queen Victoria, and confined Prime Minister Lord Salisbury to bed. Due to the rapid increase in transportation and travel, the Russian flu of 1889 reached the United States in a month killing perhaps a million.

It recurred in the following years, now being now more linked to fatigue and brain fog, more commonly known then as neurasthenia.* Doctors at the time believed it to be caused by miasma. Many notable figures complained of having been affected by the Russian flu, being now fatigued and of a clouded mind. The British suffragette Josephine Butler complained in 1892 of a terrible disease. “I don't think I ever remember being so weak, not even after the malaria fever at Genoa.”* The situation continued for months. “I am so weak that if I read or write for half an hour I become so tired and faint that I have to lie down.” The best kept medical records about the disease are the British ones and they show that despite the official end of the Russain flu in 1892, there were major reoccurences in 1893, 1895, 1898 and 1899-1900.* Indeed, three years later, the Liberal Prime Minister Archibald Rosebery, spent a month and a half confined to his bed accelerating the end of his government later that year.* One can only speculate that similar patterns followed in other countries, and the newspaper records about neurasthenia sufferers indeed show patterns of reoccurrence in France and Americas.

Russia in 1917 was in poor enough shape that it is no surprise a new virulent strain of the same family of flu reemerged and incubated among the fourteen million mobilized Russians stuck in a losing war and a country politically dissolving. It is believed that the new strain was carried from Baltic and Ukraine by the Central Powers moving troops to the Western front for the Spring Offensive, ensuring the disease rapidly crossed Europe despite the Great War. This meant that the two different strains of flu coincided in 1918, reaping a wave of death across Europe. Although the Francoamerican strain was deadlier, the Russian strain often weakened or finished up people who would otherwise survive the pandemic. Many doctors noted at the time that the flu seemed to reinfect certain people, confusing the historiography which tried for decades to trace the spread of infection waves.

--The Eugenic History of the Modern Era, 2010

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Before the 2002-to-2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemic, coronaviruses were somewhat neglected in human medicine, but they have always been of considerable importance in animal health. Coronaviruses infect a variety of livestock, poultry, and companion animals, in whom they can cause serious and often fatal respiratory, enteric, cardiovascular, and neurologic diseases. Most of our understanding about the molecular pathogenic properties of coronaviruses has been achieved by the veterinary virology community. [...] The coronaviruses are classified into three groups based on genetic and serological relationships [...] Group 2 contains the murine hepatitis virus (MHV), bovine coronavirus (BCoV), human coronavirus OC43 (HCoV-OC43), rat sialodacryoadenitis virus (SDAV), porcine hemagglutinating encephalomyelitis virus (PHEV), canine respiratory coronavirus (CRCoV), and equine coronavirus (ECoV).

In the second half of the nineteenth century, a highly infectious respiratory disease with a high mortality rate affected cattle herds around the world. The same disease, or a similar disease, is now known as contagious bovine pleuropneumonia (CBPP) and is caused by Mycoplasma mycoides mycoides. In the nineteenth century, the clinical symptoms of CBPP would have been difficult to distinguish from those of BCoV pneumonia, and it can be hypothesized that the bovine respiratory disease in the second half of the nineteenth century might have been similar to the coronavirus-associated shipping fever disease. Most industrialized countries mounted massive culling operations in the period between 1870 and 1890 and were able to eradicate the disease by the beginning of the twentieth century. During the slaughtering of CBPP-affected herds, there was ample opportunity for the culling personnel to come into contact with bovine respiratory secretions. These respiratory secretions could have contained BCoV, either as the causal agent or as a coinfecting agent.

Interestingly, around the period in which the BCoV interspecies transmission would probably have taken place, a human epidemic ascribed to influenza was spreading around the world. The 1889-1890 pandemic probably originated in Central Asia and was characterized by malaise, fever, and pronounced central nervous system symptoms. A significant increase in case fatality with increasing age was observed. Absolute evidence that an influenza virus was the causative agent of this epidemic was never obtained, due to the lack of tissue samples from that period. However, postepidemic analysis in 1957 of the influenza antibody pattern in sera of people who were 50 to 100 years old indicated that H2N2 influenza antibodies might have originated from the 1889-1890 pandemic. However, it is tempting to speculate about an alternative hypothesis, that the 1889-1890 pandemic may have been the result of interspecies transmission of bovine coronaviruses to humans, resulting in the subsequent emergence of HCoV-OC43. The dating of the most recent common ancestor of BCoV and HCoV-OC43 to around 1890 is one argument. Another argument is the fact that central nervous system symptoms were more pronounced during the 1889-1890 epidemic than in other influenza outbreaks. It has been shown that HCoV-OC43 has neurotropism and can be neuroinvasive.

--Complete Genomic Sequence of Human Coronavirus OC43: Molecular Clock Analysis Suggests a Relatively Recent Zoonotic Coronavirus Transmission Event, Journal of Virology, 2005 [3]
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*OTL
[1] Nicole Girard-Mangin.
[2] Actually WD, if you haven't recognized the person in question.
[3] The thread was conceived in 2019 as a response to the anniversary of the Russian Revolution. Only in 2021 did I learn I accidentally made coronavirus pandemic the POD, having learned that the Russian flu of 1889 may be actually a coronavirus pandemic.
 
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Learning a little Russian was one of the worst mistakes of my life because now things like using И instead of N and Я instead of R cause me physical discomfort.
 
The Polish Offensive
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By attacking Poland we are attacking the Allies, by destroying the Polish army we are destroying the Versailles peace, upon which rests the whole present system of international relations.
--Lenin*

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Josef Pilsudski
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It made no difference - the young, the old, the soldiers and the workers alike fled the fires and Red Army bayonets. Our dream was crushed and now our homes were gone. Our only salvation was that there were too many of us to be killed and raped by the Russians. Their fliers spoke of revolution and brotherhood but their bullets and knives spoke of the end of the world. Northwards was fire and death, so we mingled southwards. My brother, himself a worker, a pacifist and a socialist, remained in the city to defend it against the inhuman tide. I would never learn what happened to him but I assume he died.

In fact, I was later nearly shot for asking around about him. Russian political commissars were on the lookout for any homegrown communists but not for the reason I thought. Our convoy was held somewhere south by a group of armed horsemen until the political commissars arrived. Some of the soldiers guarding us were well dressed. Others had unkempt hair and beards, and their uniform was supplemented by scarfs, veils, shirts, well anything. People in our group were forced to trade their clothes for theirs. I watched one of them undress, totally unconcerned for his privacy, and saw inflamed wounds and scars on his legs, held by some kind of rubbery contraption.

Fear of political commissars was the only thing that prevented us from being raped or killed - after all this was supposed to be a noble socialist war. The commissars were looking for targets of interest - landowners, bankers, escaped officers, but also Germans. I was of interest due to my brother. During the night I had guns and fliers bearing pictures of several people brought up to my face. Did I recognize any of them? Did my brother or any of my friends ever speak of them? I only recognized the lady from newspapers - incredibly, they were looking for Rosa in the middle of Poland. We were told the road to the south was closed (it wasn't) and told to return to our homes. After they left the group voted on what to do. I decided to head towards Krakow, and later freedom. Others returned to the city and presumably terror that followed.

--The Fall of the Polish Dream, 15th Anniversary Collection, 1935

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In 1920 the world held its breath as a most peculiar conflict ensued. The world, ravaged by the Great War, filled with disgruntled veterans and decimated by the influenza epidemic, carefully read the news coming from Eastern Europe. The old historical conflict between Russia and Poland revived immediately after Poland was reborn partly out of nostalgic nationalism, partly out of the need to keep Russia out of Europe, reducing it to Muscovite borders. The Polish anxiety, having been kept off the maps for centuries, manifested in desperate opportunism. More recently, the 28 million citizens of Poland suffered, depending on the definition, four or seven invasions and retreats that ravaged the land, burned the countryside and enabled starvation and disease. Millions were unemployed, their livestock was gone, their money (roubles and kronen) useless, the factories without raw resources and hospitals full of the sick.

Jósef Pilsudski, a minor noble born in 1867 was a fervent Polish patriot who interestingly enough embraced socialism in his youth as a unifying force against the Tsarist regime. He even supplied Lenin’s elder brother with the explosives for the bomb he would hurl at Tsar Alexander III. Over the ensuing decades, political agitation and terrorism settled into a paramilitary organization that functioned under the cover of sporting Sokol associations, waiting for the opportunity to launch a guerilla rebellion. His army was recognized as the Polish Legion in the First Great War and his irregulars fought under their own flag. A sign of troubles to come, Pilsudski refused in 1916 the German plan to transfer the 20,000 Legion fighters to a new German commanded Polish army. Pilsudski did not want to pledge allegiance to the German army nor legitimize the newly promised German-backed alleged independent Poland. As a result, Pilsudski was interned in the Magdeburg fortress until the end of the war.

Pilsudski was set free in the chaos of the end of the war by his colleagues who easily disarmed the surprised garrison. Immediately, he declared the resurrection of Poland under his leadership, not that of the far away Entente backed Paris government. The newly independent Polish population embraced him and he became the head of the new Republic and commander in chief. Troublingly, he marginalized the Entente installed prime minister Ignacy Jan Paderewski (a pianist). His main objective was preserving Poland against Russia. Lenin endorsed various attempts to export the revolution in the other newly independent states. The Soviet Socialist Republic of Lithuania-Byelorussia was established in Minsk as well as a government in exile for Poland under Jósef Unszlicht. The straw that broke the camels back was Soviet occupation of Wilno / Vilnius (historical capital of the Grand Duchy of Lithuania) in late 1919, which was also Pilsudski's hometown.

Pilsudski mobilized the available reserves and liberated the city but continued pursuing the Red Army of the West. Poland soon occupied most of Byelorussia including Minsk. Pilsudski set about the expand Poland to a new commonwealth, one that would have Poland, Lithuania, and Ukraine as partner states. Politically, this was difficult since Ukraine nationalists were incredibly divided while Lithuanian nationalists were unrealistically demanding. Military, Pilsudski was successful beyond the wildest dreams of the West. He set upon occupying as much of the territory as possible in order to force a political acknowledgment of the status. Unfortunately for the West, Pilsudski hated the White armies more than the Bolsheviks.

Denikin’s Volunteer Army of Southern Russia, which was within striking distance of Moscow, was cut-off and badly outmatched even if it captured the city. Pilsudski was encouraged to march towards him and support him, preventing his eradication. But Denikin was open about his hate of independent Poland and Pilsudski offered a secret truce to Lenin enabling the Bolsheviks to redeploy 40,000 troops against Denikin. Once Bolshevik government was secure, it would negotiate about its survival from a position on the battlefield, as it did with Germans.

--The Common History of the Twentieth Century, 4th ed., 1967

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Pilsudski overseeing volunteers to the front.
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Polish field artillery on the market square of Pinsk, spring 1920
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Polish heavy artillery in Ukraine, May 1920
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The Army of the West, as initially approved by the Lenin and the Politburo, was nothing but a glorified scouting force. It was not intended as an offensive force but as a vacuum filling force. Most of the Red Army was still focused on getting rid of the three uncoordinated White armies. While it was intended to probe towards the Soviet revolutions happening in Central Europe, it was not actually capable of overcoming any substantial opposition. In addition, the foolish Bolsheviks encouraged the complete destruction of the Tsarist system which included the murder of officers, desertions and establishing soldier councils. As a result, the Bolsheviks badly undermined their own strength, forcing Trotsky to reintroduce former officers back in the system and back their allegiance and authority with political commissars.

The Polish miracle was a farcical illusion. The new Polish state was barely functioning and the army was mostly rag-tag and badly overstretched. There were constant incidents on the still disputed border with Germany, there was an ongoing stand-off over Teschen/Cieszyn with Czechs and the vast territory occupied by Pilsudski’s offensive resulted in running battles with various resistance groups. Indeed, the Polish advance was symptomatic of the First Russian Civil War, where a minor defeat of victory would easily snowball into a large, but labile, military change.

The West did not understand either of this and falsely believed that both the Polish and the Bolsheviks enjoyed wide national support over the territories they controlled. The changes in leadership in America, Britain, and France did little to change the signals being sent to Poland which were unmistakably warlike, especially from France. Pilsudski obstructed the start of peace talks and cut off Lithuania from Russia by liberating Dunaburg/Daugavpils for the Latvians.

Another thing not understood by the western observers was also how the terrain for the war was limited despite the appearance of large swathes of territories. The thousand-kilometer-long front of 1920 was actually mostly unusable for most of its expanse due to geography. The Warsaw-Smolensk-Kharkov triangle was occupied by a great expanse of bogs, rivers, and forests, the Pripet Marshes, reducing the theater to two corridors – the Northern one which connected Warsaw to Smolensk and Moscow, and the southern one, which connected the Lublin to Kiev.

As a result, Polish advance radiated away its strength as it moved eastward, while the Russian armies would have to operate independently while protecting its flanks. In addition, the Great War destroyed much of the infrastructure. The Germans destroyed over 7,500 bridges and blown up 940 train stations during the retreat. The inherited railways were not a cohesive unit and as Russians used a wider gauge, either side would have to convert tracks to use the trains for supplies. Finally, the telephone network where it existed was vulnerable to marauding cavalry. As a result, the battlefield was nominally conducted by officers trained in twentieth-century warfare but would easily revert to seventeenth-century conditions in case of even minor setbacks.

The Politburo and the Party quarreled over the issue of Poland. Peace talks would be good for exhausted Russia still plagued by resistance, but Pilsudski was distrusted. In the end, the ideology prevailed. Unrest was mounting in Germany and it was hoped that a world revolution could be started if the Red Army could appear near German borders. Commissar for war, Lev Trotsky, who ironically warned against launching an offensive, ended up heading the new army organized specifically to attack and crush Poland.

At the beginning of 1920, the newly organized Red Army for the invasion of Poland could muster about seventy operational divisions. Poland had twenty divisions, but in much better condition, with better equipment and training. On the other hand, Red Army could theoretically reinforce their divisions with an unending stream of demobilized soldiers loitering around Russia. Poland was playing a high-stakes game where a major defeat would lose the campaign while the Soviets could only lose potential new gains.

Pilsudski gambled on a strategy to preempt Russian invasion by launching his own before Poland would be swamped. The plan was to take the southern front, liberating Ukraine in the process, enabling him to reinforce and strike at the northern front. The strategy did have some merit, as Ukraine suffered grievous unrest while remaining the proverbial breadbasket. Pilsudski was motivated primarily by his dream of installing Ataman Symon Petlura in Poland to create a Ukrainian government friendly to Poland and willing to join a common federation. Crucial for this was consolidating Ukraine by July of 1920.

Pilsudski launched his offensive in late April of 1920 after some preparations. Among them was the conquest of Mozyr which drove a wedge between the two fronts although it resulted in the death of Pilsudski’s capable comrade in arms, General Wladyslaw Sikorski. [1]

One Ukrainian and nine Polish divisions under the direct command of Pilsudski managed to rout the two Russian armies of the combined total of 20 000 men. The panicked Russian lines were so desperate that they jettisoned everything swamping over the Polish cavalry which was supposed to encircle them. Pilsudski’s trap failed as was his next attempt. Believing the Kiev would be heavily defended he prepared to encircle it but the initial reinforcements fled at the sight of Polish units.

Within less than two weeks Poland had entered the historically important city of Kiev and taken 30,000 prisoners, moving the front two hundred kilometers. As a result, the myth of the Polish miracle was created with Kiev falling with barely a shot fired. Poland was in trance, the West surprised, while the Polish military was worried – once again they failed to destroy either of the Soviet armies at the southern front. Furthermore, Petlura, despite defections of some brigades, proved to be a powerless leader whose government was mostly ignored. Ukraine had suffered six years of war and fifteen different regimes and there was little confidence or interest in Petlura’s regime. The plan to leave the southern front to Ukraine failed.

The world opinion surprised Poland. The same Pilsudski who refused to save Denikin in 1919 had now launched an aggressive war of his own against Russia. The New Statesmen openly called from London for the destruction of Polish army in order to secure the future peace of Europe. Fervent anti-bolsheviks in Britain viewed this as a betrayal of the Entente, given that Pilsudski deliberately waited for Denikin to be destroyed. Communists called for a boycott of supplies bound for Poland. Despite the setbacks, Politburo was delighted as Poland made the first move, casting the Soviets as victims. The occupation of Kiev renewed Russian patriotism and thousands of volunteers, including former Tsarist officers, joining the Red Army.

Leading the Soviet counterattack was the twenty-seven year-old Mikhail Nikolaievich Tukhachevsky, the future Butcher of Europe. Tukhachevksy imagined himself to descend from a variety of warlords from Genghis Khan to crusaders and was infamously nihilistic. He hated socialists and Christians alike but wanted an army to lead and follow Caesar and Napoleon into pages of history. Tukachevsky had been recruited by Trotsky and had proven himself to be capable first rolling back Admiral Kolchak in Siberia, then mopping-up Denikin. He was appointed the commander of the Western Front in April of 1920 and Pilsudski gave him the grandiose opportunity to lead the Red Army into the first international war.

The counterattack started a week after Polish capture of Kiev. Pilsudski withdrew the troops from the northern front to save Ukraine after the Polish First Army was nearly destroyed. Its commander, general Stanislaw Szeptycki, a distinguished former commander of Pilsudski’s legion died during the breakthrough from encirclement. [2] Ukrainian regime under Petlura could not muster new units in time and Ukraine was soon plagued by the legendary 1st Cavalry Army, Piervaia Konnaia Armia, formed in 1919 by Trotsky as a counter for the White Cossacks. Its commander was Semion Mikhailovich Budionny, a barely literate but capable swashbuckler and survivor, with little ideological loyalties. Budionny was overseen by Voroshilov, a political commissar allied by Lenin’s Commissar for Nationalities, Stalin. The Konarmia mustered 18 000 men, with four horse divisions and countless tachankas (machine guns pulled by any horseback means). The Konarmia had remarkable speed and drove fear into enemy troops, deliberately howling, pillaging and burning everything in their area.

The main Polish force around Kiev, the Third Army under general Edward Śmigly-Rydz, was after some difficulties encircled by the Konarmia [3] and the main attack on Kiev started. The Polish Sixty Army desperately chased away Budionny in order to allow the Third Army to break away and retreat, hampered by poor communication. Pilsudski had foolishly reorganized the front command twice within the past month.* The only thing that saved the Third Army from complete annihilation was not Polish courage but politicking between Soviet leaders. Budionny’s superiors, Yegorov and Stalin forced him to ignore orders and concentrate on the Sixth Army for political reasons resulting in him running into capable Polish cavalry for which Konarmia was unsuited for. At the last chance, the Polish retreat was partially cut-off and Stalin and Yegorov saved their heads from a furious Lenin and Politburo.

Pilsudski was desperate as he lost a good deal of his forces and several capable commanders. His order that "there will be no further withdrawal on the Ukrainian Front"* was ignored as Konarmia successfully broke any attempt of Polish forces to reorganize. As a result, Pilsudski attempted to focus efforts at destroying Konarmia and Budionny was saved from a trap near Równe by developments on the northern front.

Tukaschevsky had been building up his forces throughout June and finally launched his offensive in July. He had 120, 000 men with thousands in reserve facing about 50,000 Polish troops strung over a six-hundred-kilometer-long front. The plan was to launch a massive attack and chase the Polish army back to Warsaw by mid-August. Six weeks for seven hundred kilometers. This was a repeat of the strategy used against Kolchak and Denikin. The Politburo along with communists from every country monitored the situation during the Second Communist International Congress that started in the summer of 1920., watching the daily movements on the large map pinned to the wall constantly updated with movements of troops.

--The War of the Immature States, 2010.

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A Russian Austin armoured car produced by the Putilov works, captured by the Poles in the Kiev offensive and pressed into service under a new name
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SOLDIERS OF THE RED ARMY!
The time of reckoning has come.
In the blood of the defeated Polish army we will drown the criminal government of Pilsudski.
Turn your eyes to the West.
In the West the fate of World Revolution is being decided.
Over the corpse of White Poland lies the road to World Conflagration. On our bayonets we will bring happiness and peace to the toiling masses of mankind.
The hour of attack has struck! Westwards! On to Wilno, Minsk, Warsaw - Forward! *

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The tachanka, a Maxim gun mounted on a sprung buggy and pulled by horses, the secret weapon of the Red cavalry

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French military mission to Poland trying to make sense of the developments. On the right is Major Charles de Gaulle while on the left is general Maxime Weygand.

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The Summer of 1920 was known as Summer of Shock and Dread in most of Europe, but none more so than in Poland. After a majestic victory than renewed the dreams of the old Commonwealth, total defeat loomed near. Pilsudski's enemies forced a new Government of National Defence headed by the Peasant Party leader Wincenty Witos, fearing a general uprising. The Sejm unanimously voted in a land reform bill that would redistribute land to the landless. Desperate appeals were issued to Entente for military help. The Entente response was stern warnings to Lenin and attempts to mediate a peace. Additionally, an Inter-Allied Mission was dispatched to Warsaw consisting of distinguished financial advisors, diplomats, and generals. Furious Pilsudski allegedly shouted at the Allied delegation „How Many divisions have you brought* This was not only because of disappointment but because the delegation tried to place general Maxime Weygand, Foch's chief-of-staff, in command of the Polish army (he ended up assistant chief-of-staff).

The Soviet advance was unstoppable despite the poor condition of the Red Army, fierce resistance, and lawless behavior. At the beginning of August, the final Polish defense line on the Bug river was breached and the retreating Polish troops prepared for the defense of Warsaw. Tukachevsky’s timetable was working in spite of every setback and chaos, despite Russian codes being broken and the morale dwindling. Tukachevsky had meticulously worked to provide his army groups with 30,000 peasant carts, crucial for logistics, and rebuilt bridges and adapted train tracks. His troops were exhausted and tattered, awaiting the final confrontation and finally reaching the alleged bourgeois mansions.

Foreign embassies evacuated their personnel from Poland while European newspapers lamented that Polish army is gone. The four-week march caused euphoria back in Russia. Lenin had created the Polish Revolutionary Committee, the government of future Poland from a cadre of trusted communists. Among them was veteran Polish communist Julian Marchlewski, the founder of Cheka Feliks Dzierźyński, the Jewish communist Feliks Kon and others. The PolRevKom took up residence in a palace in Bialystok, waiting for the fall of Warsaw and future plans were already drafted. The same day as the creation of PolRevKom, Lenin inquired with Stalin of a possible thrust through Romania, Czechoslovakia , and Hungary, with the objective of starting a revolution in Italy. Stalin agreed it was a sin not to try despite being familiar in how bad shape the Red Army was.* In reality, Stalin and Yegorov did not want to be outshone by Tukhachevsky and wanted at least to entertain the notion of liberating Budapest, Vienna, and Rome. This led to further ignoring of orders for the South-Western Front although it amounted to little. The Konarmia could not find its role in the Polish terrain and people and animals collapsed alike. Budionny claimed that the horses were so tired they "could not swish their tails at the flies".*

The war was ultimately won for the Red Army by the Polish. Pilsudski ignored the Inter-Allied Mission plan to save the situation for one of his own. He gambled on a bold plan to allow Tukhachevsky to extend his wing north and west and then launch a focused attack through the center with every available division. The trouble was, the only suitable location for this was near Warsaw itself. If the plan worked, he would stop the Soviet advance and cause a general rout as retreating troops would bottleneck each other. On the other hand, a single error would doom the city, now guarded by women volunteers.

Crucial for this was the success of reorganizing the retreating troops into new units to oppose the Red mob. Unfortunately, the Polish did not succeed in this as too many officers were lost and the troops were totally demoralized after losing so many heroes and territory. [4] In the chaos, Russians learned of the Pilsudski’s plan after multiple identical orders were repeatedly captured from Polish officers. Although Tukhachevsky initially dismissed the first such finding as a Polish ploy, [5] he changed his mind after further reports were found. Pilsudski’s offensive, as a result, ran into a hastily prepared trap.

Pilsudski himself chose to leave Warsaw to take personal command of the strike force on the river Wieprz. While he invigorated the Polish troops, now in as tattered uniforms as the Red Army, the decision was mostly motivated by a desire to be left alone by the remaining politicians and generals. Despite heroics, his troops would be broken, encircled and Pilsudski himself would take his life rather than face capture.

The ensuing battle for Warsaw was, in fact, a series of simultaneous engagements from as far as Plock to Ostow. The overextended Russian lines were frequently pierced by Polish cavalry and faced stiff resistance but everything crumbled once the newly reorganized troops were routed to Warsaw and the nearby fortress of Modlin. The news of Pilsudski’s demise energized or demoralized various divisions but more importantly saved the Red Army whose western flank was nearly broken despite the failure of the Polish counterattack. Tukachevsky moved to encircle the Polish capital where significant troops have retreated for the last stand, while others moved southward where the left (southern) flank of Red Army was weak. Stalin and Yegorov would later have to answer before Lenin and the rest of the party for their countermanding of orders to move the three South-Western Groups to Tukhachevsky’s command, although in reality Konarmia and the rest of the divisions could simply not follow the northern advance.

--The Velleity of the West, 3rd ed. 1980.

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Polish machine gun emplacement in Warsaw featuring captured Russian Maxim gun.
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My personal opinion is that for this purpose it is necessary to sovietize Hungary and perhaps Czechia and Romania too
.
--Lenin confiding to colleagues, summer of 1920*

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Polish infantry advancing against the flank of the Red Army near Warsaw, 1920

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As the siege of Warsaw began, the city was filled with refugees from eastern Poland. Churches were crammed with people praying for salvation, coinciding with the feast of the Assumption. The remaining members of the Inter-Allied Mission noted they could hardly drive across the city due to religious processions.* Soldiers and former Legion members built impromptu barricades and stockpiled grenades and ammo and strategic locations. Women, teenagers, and men manned the hastily prepared defense lines and trenches. The Church spread the rumor that the Virgin Mary had appeared over the Polish lines, while the government lied that a British-French relief force was on the way to liberate Poland.

Owing due to the poor state of the Red Army Tukhachevsky failed to solidify the encirclement of Warsaw before late August and his probing attacks met fierce resistance. The farcical peace talks which were obstructed by the Party became more urgent as Lenin wanted to defeat Poland before Entente could agree to a radical move, such as rearming Germany. At the same time the Party was divided over the issue of continuing the Red Army march to Germany and inciting a revolution, or decisively capturing Warsaw and the rest of the country first. Was there even a working class in Poland willing to rise up? Many Party members have doubted before the advance and the invasion had failed to produce a general uprising. More concerningly, unlike in the rest of the Civil War, new recruits could not be drafted in taken villages and towns to reinforce divisions. Trotsky and Stalin all urged caution even as they jockeyed for power in hypothetical offensive wars against other states. But Lenin pushed on. The Politburo had already ordered sending all German communists in Russia to the Western front and Trotsky had led the Comintern to compose leaflets in German for the distribution by the Red Army for the eventual crossing of the border into Germany.* Italian communists in Moscow for the Congress of the Comintern were told to pack their bags and go home to help organize a revolution.*

Tukhachevsky and Lenin favored leaving the city encircled and “pursuing” the Poles into Germany proper over the objections of Trotsky and others who warned that the Red Army was currently overextended. The Western flank had continued on to Toruń where it advanced suffered a major defeat and had to retreat to the bulk of the army crossing over Wkra and Wistula rivers. Tukhachevsky ordered a general advance in Warsaw, having managed to pursue Polish units to the outskirts, despite believing that he was better off chasing the rest of the Polish forces. Unfortunately, the Party was waiting for the triumphant liberation of Warsaw and pressured him to attack the capital for political reasons.

The Red Army advance now reached the apex of its ruthlessness. The Red Army soldiers, enduring years of war, disease, and starvation were frustrated with Poland. Every village, every town was poor and destitute and there were not often near enough women to rape in the evening before moving on. The houses had nothing to loot or food to steal and the soldiers shat all over the houses of poor Polish and Jewish peasants before killing priests and desecrating churches.* As the battle for Warsaw ensued many of advancing Red army divisions fully abandoned their orders in order to loot and pillage the cities of western Poland. The poetic renaissance town of Plock was first pillaged by Russian horsemen then steamrolled and burnt down by the infantry. Neither side had particularly treated prisoners of war well since neither could afford to guard them, but at the close of the war the crimes became the informal standard, despite the Party urging of civil treatment. Even deserters and defectors were not safe if they seemed too bourgeois. Even before Warsaw, many younger officers removed their insignia from their uniforms fearing reprisals upon capture.* Polish prisoners when not shot were interned in camps where they were attempted to be “educated.” Their continued existence would prove an ongoing problem.

The remains of the Inter-Allied Mission evacuated to Torun where they hastily tried to broker a last-second miracle to no avail. The Polish government once again moved to exile in Paris, evacuating with the mission. One of the military attaches, major Charles de Gaulle, wrote how the Red Army was little more than an army of disheveled half-dead, often killing prisoners of war simply for a coat or pair of boots, starving, unshaved, uncut and pocked by disease. While other allied analysts later evoked the primitive, eighteenth-century nature of warfare, de Gaulle disagreed and emphasized the many rapid victories of the Polish troops which relied on rapid reorganization and coordination to score victories against the Russian tide. De Gaulle believed the war was lost by the narrowest of margin, as “a handful of capable officers or radios” would have turned the tide. The future of warfare was not in fortification but in mobility and communication. His observations would be mostly ignored as the public consensus was the war was lost by Pilsudski’s stubbornness and foolishness, but would later find its way to La Roche’s circle. The idiom, Polish offensive became a commonly used expression for a foolhardy or delusional effort.

Warsaw became an urban battlefield unseen until the wars of the next decade. The desperate Poles fought until death against the invading troops. In many cases, they wouldn’t surrender. In others, they weren’t allowed to surrender with Russians machine-gunning women and the elderly that tried to leave the city. Battle was fought for every building as Russians looked as much as for enemy soldiers as for loot. Many a soldier has been shot or stabbed in the back while carrying out rugs or kitchenware. Many women were taken into sexual slavery and raped to death, often as a punishment for daring to man the guns against them. Fires ravaged the city and Kamenev complained to Tukhachevsky to rein in the troops as they will burn down Poland instead of liberating it. Possibly up to 175,000 lives were lost in the siege of Warsaw and the communist regime would blame it on the capitalists burning down the city during their retreat.

An entire generation was lost, while another loomed. In the years following the defeat women and girls as young as 11 gave birth to children of rape, dubbed Red Bastards and scorned by the population which had lost most of its young male population. The most prized plunder for the victorious West Army were French Renault tanks, former Prussian, French and Austrian uniforms, and various Entente equipment. The Red Army had literally conquered an army to properly equip themselves, some mused. The veterans of the campaign were weary and disappointed, skeletal forces unwilling to advance any further and preferring to pillage Poland after two months of fierce advance. Tukhachevsky later claimed he lost more men to exhaustion than to Polish bullets, a claim which was not far from the truth.

Warsaw would hold out until late September, although the PolRevKom entered the city in early September, frustrated with the possibility that the city would hold out longer than the rest of the country. The other issue was fear of the Entente response and the need to conclude the war as a fait accompli before the world opinion turned once again in favor of Poland. Marchlewski declared the Soviet Republics of Poland and Lithuania and proceeded to “negotiate” peace with the Moscow government. In order to win popular support in Poland, the country was even rewarded with parts of Lithuania and aggression “forgiven” in the brotherly spirit of the revolution. The graceful comrades would seek no reparations. The borders with Byelorussia and Ukraine remained a sore point for the time being. The Polish government signed a treaty of mutual defense and assistance with Moscow even as the Red Army was still chasing the remnants of the free Polish. Domestically, Lenin was furious when Marchlewski planned to nationalize land instead of handing it over to the Polish peasants, forcing him to reverse his position. In addition, Dzierzynski was instructed that "the gentry and the kulaks are destroyed ruthlessly and rather more quickly and energetically"* as Lenin was worried the PolRevKom would be reluctant to conduct terror vital to create a new regime.

Indeed, nearly 25,000 troops in the south managed to advance through the eastward corridor shaming Budionny, Yegorov and Stalin in the process. Their objective was unknown, but the Party feared they were seeking to reinvade Ukraine where the remnant Petlura regime still operated with 30,000 men near Kiev. Other White units still operated in Byelorussia or sought to link up with the White Army of general Wrangel which was advancing from Crimea. There were still fronts in Caucasus, Turkestan and near lake Baikal. Peasants were rising up all over Russia and Ukraine. The new Polish communist regime found itself cut off from the rest of Europe and dependent on the communist regime in Moscow. Lenin's Russia burned down and raped the country, seeing it as little more than a staging base for a push for Germany. Despite the ecstasy of victory, Lenin remained the lone voice in Moscow calling for revolution to be exported to Germany on the basis of Red Bayonets with no pause, claiming he was once again right, as he was in 1918 and 1919. What was a pyrrhic military victory would soon have major ramifications worldwide.

--The Rape of Warsaw: 40 Years since the Polish Tragedy, 1960
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The PolRevKom, Lenin's government for Poland. In the middle are Feliks Dzierźynski, Julian Marchlewski, and Feliks Kon.
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[1] OTL he survived.
[2] OTL he managed to rally the troops and save the army.
[3] Unlike OTL.
[4] OTL they managed due to several days of time more and better-surviving officers
[5] OTL it was dismissed since a single report was found from a unit at the wrong place according to the plan
 
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This was Inspired by the lenin survives thread? and yeah Lenin was the worst of worst, people forgot he would have be proud of stalin and calling trosky a whiny loser
 
This was Inspired by the lenin survives thread? and yeah Lenin was the worst of worst, people forgot he would have be proud of stalin and calling trosky a whiny loser

I think he'd object to some of Stalin's theory and dislike his centralization of power, but he probably wouldn't be opposed to Stalin on humanitarian grounds.

I could see an older Lenin ending up like Bordiga or something.
 
I think he'd object to some of Stalin's theory and dislike his centralization of power...

The core of Leninism was that the Party and the Revolution must be controlled from the top down.

... but he probably wouldn't be opposed to Stalin on humanitarian grounds.
Molotov, who knew both of them, said that Lenin was the "more severe" - more ruthless, more determined on mass killing to impose his program. Lenin's correspondence is replete with orders for mass executions and exhortation to Bolshevik cadres to engage in maximum terror.
 
The core of Leninism was that the Party and the Revolution must be controlled from the top down.

Molotov, who knew both of them, said that Lenin was the "more severe" - more ruthless, more determined on mass killing to impose his program. Lenin's correspondence is replete with orders for mass executions and exhortation to Bolshevik cadres to engage in maximum terror.

That's what I was saying. I don't think Lenin would have a moral objection to Stalin's actions, but I think he'd find them underpinned by the wrong theory. Lenin believed in the party as the embodiment of the class, with Stalin's cult of personality being a betrayal of Marxist materialism and the proletarian ideal. The party was meant to be the guiding force of the proletariat. Also, I can't imagine he'd have much good to say about 'socialism in one country'.

IDK, that's my take.
 
Don’t divide the skin while it’s still on the bear
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By attacking Poland we are attacking the Allies, by destroying the Polish army we are destroying the Versailles peace, upon which rests the whole present system of international relations.
--Lenin *
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Semyon Budyonny and Kliment Voroshilov circa 1920

Nobody saw us as liberators. Our commanding officer had served in Poland before the Great War and lauded the fact that our boot is once again on Polish soil. He boasted of the great Slavic brotherhood until someone reminded him that might sound suspiciously counterrevolutionary. Unlike the year before, we had little reinforcements. Sure someone from every village would agree to join, but that was too little even to maintain garrisons. In the final two weeks before Vistula we lost a dozen soldiers who fled to the forest. I assume they joined the green cadre. It was not uncommon to see our soldiers join the Polish ones in banditry. We were both broken peoples, but the Polish lost any will. We were nihilistic but Polish were withdrawn. Despite all the unsurrendered units, we were met rather meekly wherever we met. The people looked at us marching and taking whatever we had with gloomy faces. Most of them didn't bother to insult us, not out of fear but out of resignation. [...]

I entered Warsaw only after the fire. There were refugees everywhere. Some were sleeping in abandoned barricades, others in street. Streets were full of people moving here or there. Sometimes even shots fired in the air wouldn't disperse them. There was fear of hunger, of us, of Germans. Once we had to break up a fight between some Poles. To our surprise, they attacked some old man claiming France will rescue us. We found so many unused caches of weapons - German, Austrian, French, ours. The Polish equipment was as patchwork as ours was. Initially, we expected to continue pushing to Germany but there were issues. We heard of soldier councils forming again. Units refusing to advance. The Motherland was saved. And there were rumors of Germans and Czechs moving in.

So many people gathered in churches. We ignored them at first, but then came the orders. We were to close them down after liberating any hidden riches for the people. It was madness - Poles only found their backbone there. I've seen old ladies shot because they would not move. Everything to save some sculpture of a Jew bolted to a cross. As much as we had free reign over the city, we were on edge. Diseases were rampant. Food was in short supply. Everyone feared winter. Come November we were placed on a priority task - removing statues and street names. Special orders from Moscow. Destroy the lies of the bourgeoisie. As I had been literate, I was assigned to track how the streets and squares were renamed. Electricity street, Danton square, Darwin's avenue, Progress park. One street was renamed Tukhachevsky street. A week later it suddenly became Equality Street and we heard rumors people have been shot for this counterrevolutionary act. We were to eradicate the cult of the individual and bring about the dogma of progress.

--My Journey West: Out of Russia, Out of Cauldron, 1948

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Red Army soldiers in Soldau
, Polish-German border, 1919
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While the rest of the world was sliding towards a complete breakdown of the barely established new world order, the Polish issue was actually a second-rate priority issue for Lenin and the Party. The Ninth Party Congress and the Second International Congress both coincided with the war and actually were more impactful for the future of the Party.

Lenin, Kamenev, and the rest of the party leadership boasted over victory in Poland before the conquest was even done. There were still tens of thousands of troops that refused to surrender, especially the re-reconstituted Blues in the southwest, and cities still eluding control such as Krakow or Poznan. While politicians trumpeted the complete success in the Comintern Congress, behind private doors there was much more debate and caution.

The Rape of Warsaw prompted a furious exchange over responsibility. Such atrocities would galvanize the population against a revolutionary uprising and diminish the international reputation of Russia. Tukhachevsky blamed the Polish fanaticism and noted he followed orders issued by Kamenev who found himself under critique by Stalin and Yegorov, themselves seeking to avert the blame for the debacle of the southern corridor. Everyone blamed poor communication so it was accepted as a compromise explanation, once again saving anyone from suffering serious consequences for the time being. Lenin even appreciated the zeal of the Red Army but not the result. In his opinion terror in Warsaw was too unfocused and should have been directed at churches and wealthy landowners.

There are conflicting reports on what the Party planned with Poland but there was certainly much debate. It would appear that Lenin strongly favored admitting Poland as a Soviet Republic to Russia, but changed his mind over strong opposition from the rest of the Politburo. While Lenin had allies who would gladly restore Poland to the control of Russia others feared a renewed will of the West for intervention, especially since the victory in Poland was far from a complete one. Lenin then reversed course and proposed creating a satellite Poland as a sister republic which could join with Russia on a later date. It was to be a temporary solution and Poland was a puppet state already. This was an acceptable compromise to the Party even if it left the question of borders quite open.

The victory in the war caused old ruptures to reemerge. Lenin was far from alone in his desire to carry the revolution to Germany and even Italy as he found support in Bolsheviks who wished to prove their credentials. Supporters of the humiliating separate peace with Central Powers now advocated the export of the revolution. Zinoviev, who had opposed the October Revolution publicly called for a German communist seizure of power. Unlike the Party, Lenin was determined to push for an invasion of Germany at all costs. He had already trumpeted at the opening of the Ninth Party Congress that the radio station in Berlin was in the hands of the workers* which was just false. Germany was plagued by strikes, even soviets in the east, but the abortive uprisings have been crushed over the past year.

Lenin demanded Tukhachevsky to aid the German soviets in Prussia, hoping that the arrival of Russian troops would entice the German workers into a general uprising. Bavaria, Ruhr, Saxony were evidence that the birthplace of Marxism was ready for the revolution. But they all fizzled out. Lenin believed them to be the kindling of a fire that could be set aflame. The remaining Polish and White forces were at best a nuisance. Lenin would find the Party firmly united against any export of revolution into Germany right now, no matter how they supported such an act in spirit. The issue was dropped while Lenin claimed he was always only "probing with bayonets"* and overturning the Paris order was the greater priority. Later events would prove Lenin was correct.

Trotsky and Lenin reportedly came to blows after Trotsky reported the Red Army was in shambles and the coordination broken, admitting the political commissars “cannot shoot everyone” and there was nothing that could be done. Troublingly, the Red Army troops were routed or disarmed in the west by German Freikorps moving into Poland and shockingly, there were confusing reports of alleged attempted defections that could not be ascribed to capitalist propaganda.

Publicly, the war aim was complete and the Polish imperialism was defeated and workers saved. Officially among the Party and international communists, outbreaks of flu and typhus were blamed for the poor condition of the army which was not untrue. Unofficially, the Poland campaign was a catastrophe as Lenin had to admit the Polish class uprising did not materialize and workers actually fought against the liberation. Workers in Germany and Britain were more supportive of the Russian liberation war than the workers in Poland. There was one saving grace Lenin noted it was always his ultimate goal – Germany got a strong incentive to oppose the Versailles.

And what was the actual priority of the Party in late 1920? It was not either Poland or the remaining White forces. Officially, Politburo had resolved all questions of international and domestic policy, which was a sort of a lie nobody questioned in the Party. The main issue that worried the Party was that of one-man leadership. Sapronov, a democratic Centralist, acting as a possible proxy for someone else publicly asked Lenin who will be appointing the Central Committee while others more tacitly pointed that Lenin was excessively stressing the need for leadership under one person. The Ninth Party Congress may have turned into a tirade against Lenin had not Kaganovich managed to plead for unity and turn the political momentum.*

Lenin believed the uncompromising zeal of workers and peasants in the Army was responsible for the defeats of Kolchak, Denikin, Yudenich, and Pilsudski, giving credence to the vague militarization of the economy which was actually a cover for having qualified specialists run factories instead of a council of unqualified workers. However, there were significant differences over what it meant and Trotsky was particularly emboldened by the victory in Poland. Hidden to foreign observers, the Party was buckling over the pressure of how to transform and run the economy. And a nasty conflict over Lenin's role in the party was emerging as many built powerbases of their own, and Lenin's role as the great helmsman was coming into question. As the Party grew, how many would honor the informal deciding role of Lenin?
--The Battle for Red Supremacy, 1988
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At the present historical moment, the situation is precisely that the Russian model displays something - and something extremely essential - to all countries about their inevitable and not distant future.


--Lenin, The Infantile Disease of 'Leftism' in Communism*
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Second Congress of the Comintern. summer 1920
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The tireless ideologue took time to compose a “short” pamphlet of 33,000 [1] words in advance of the Second Congress of the Comintern. The title and topic were The Infantile Disease of ‘Leftism’ in Communism. Lenin’s intent was to show that his intuition was always right and to lecture the communists in other countries over their errors. The October Revolution had shown that socialism required a merciless war by the proletariat against the bourgeoisie which in turn necessitated the centralization and strict discipline of the proletariat, leadership, and the party. What Lenin actually attacked was so-called leftism for its own sake. What has to be done to succeed must be done at all costs, even if it seems contradictory to the ideals.

It is debated what prompted Lenin to write this pamphlet, with some thinking it was to shore up his own reputation in the party, others to aggrandize his role as the great teacher among foreign delegates, but in light of later events, it seems it was most likely because of his obsession with Germany and the communists there, especially socialists like Kautsky, Luxemburg, and Liebknicht.

Lenin was furious that the Germans were more concerned over their ideological purity rather than the practical seizure of power. While parliamentarism would not produce a socialist state, no opportunity must be passed up for agitation and propaganda. Revolutionaries could compromise in their zeal. Lenin claimed his policy was to cooperate with Mensheviks to detach their “best workers” which was a blatant lie since Lenin was the embodiment of irreconcilability. The issue of the Comintern was also thorny as Luxemburg strongly opposed founding a new international association instead of reviving the prewar one. Many opponents of Lenin later claimed Lenin wanted to ensure he would dominate the international communist thinking instead of the Germans and that his Germanophilia was aimed at ensuring eventual German communism would not outshine the Russian one. "Lenin was to be the heir, not a sibling to Marx."

The attitude continued during the Second Congress of the Comintern where Lenin lectured that the Great War reduced the former Central Powers to the equivalent of colonial status, even claiming that France was a debtor nation, establishing USA and Britain as the two sole remaining imperialist powers.* Lenin continued to fixate on Germany, attacking Otto Bauer for claiming that Bolshevism was appropriate for Russia but ill-suited for the rest of industrial Europe where social-democracy was the way. Lenin painted him as a Menshevik.

Furthermore, meeting with Paul Levi, the theoretician of the German Communist Party, Lenin impressed upon him that if a non-communist government in Berlin went to war with Allies (a not unlikely prospect given the status of reparations, disarmament, and Ruhr) German communists should not refrain from activity but even join a front to upturn the order, including the extreme right. Levi was confused about how Lenin could endorse a partnership with Kapp’s extreme right. Lenin could not understand how the Germans did not understand Kapp’s circle was firmly against the treaty of Versailles making them distinct from the counter-revolutionaries.* Levi and other communists were barraged about the questions about the possible whereabouts of Rosa Luxemburg and Karl Liebknicht, including rumors they’ve been hiding in Poland. Levi would later impress that he got the impression Lenin was as much as looking for Luxemburg as he was spreading the revolution in Poland.

The debates during Congress centered on the issue of minority dictatorship. Lenin intervened to maintain that only a fraction of any class joins a party and in the case of communism that minority must be the political vanguard of the class, leading the proletariat. This was an excuse to create and mandate policy for all member parties, something Luxemburg and other communists opposed before. The major ideological novelty was Lenin answering for the first time the question of how to introduce communism into non-capitalist countries (i.e. underdeveloped or colonial countries). Lenin proclaimed, contrary to Marx, that capitalist state of development can be bypassed on the road towards communism but left a vague explanation of “practical experience” for concrete answers. Only later would its impact on the future thought become evident.

This was a major change from his past two decades of claiming Russia would have to follow the industrial countries of Europe into capitalism before socialism was achieved. It was as much as a result of the incredibly messy experience of factionalism among Russian socialists and subsequent revolutions and war as to the open question of the Comintern potentially dominated by parties of countries that were not liberal, democratic, or industrial. Lenin had to reverse his claims that Russia was still a mostly capitalist country since the Party was faced with a country that was feudal or even prefeudal in the case of central Asia and Siberia.

The sore point, that no one wanted to point out, was that even Marx did not zealously adhere to his own stages of development as Lenin claimed. Marx encouraged agrarian socialist and peasant communes to take power and create their own socialist society. Lenin, on the other hand, forced his own explanation of Marxism on the stubborn belief Marx's stages of development were a ladder.

The newly proclaimed Soviet Republic of Poland and Lithuania was born in even greater chaos than the Bolshevik Russia was and it was under the heavy influence of Lenin's impulsive character. Lenin’s cure-all panacea for Poland was to be terror – terror against the kulaks, against the priests, against the bourgeoise. He would constantly remind Drzezhinsky and others not to stay their hand but to err on the side of casualties. Actually, it seemed that terror was nearly the only thing Lenin was personally concerned about Poland. The other thing was the specific Sovietization of culture, focused on landmarks as in Russia. He personally initiated the project of having Polish landmarks destroyed or rededicated to the causes of communism and progress. Like in Russia, this was one project he liked to force and even micromanage. Infamously, in October he sent the Polish government a quota of new squares and statues dedicated to Marx, Engels, Darwin, Danton, Herzen and other figures to be completed as soon as possible. This was not unsurprising as this was his pet issue in Russia as well, once threatening to shoot the people responsible for not putting busts of Marx near his residence.

Lenin’s famous misunderstanding of nationalism was responsible for his sharp turns in Poland. Believing nationalism can be sated and then moved on to class struggle, he spearheaded the revival of the Polish-Lithuanian union state, even if it somewhat legitimized Pilsudski's expansionism. Additionally, the Party’s wizard for national questions, Stalin, was asked to help the new government discover any of the historically oppressed groups in Poland which would join the ranks of Belarussians and Ukrainians. The largest such group were the Jews, who accounted for one-tenth of the Polish population but spread mostly over villages that interacted little with the rest of the country, only exceeding 15% of the population of some cities. The attempt would be a difficult one as both the Polish Army and the Red Army committed crimes against Jews during the war. The feudal era Jews itself had little knowledge of bankers, Rothschilds, or even Versailles and would be resistant to communist propaganda. Stalin would soon lobby to send Jews from other republics to the emerging Autonomous Jewish Territory in Poland-Lithuania, to bolster their national consciousness and create a Jewish-dominated area.

The most fortunate turn of events for Russia was the indecisiveness over the Polish borders. The newly proclaimed Polish republic ostensibly claimed itself to be the successor government to the previous one, which would imply the same borders. The borders in the east were problematic enough, with Lenin favoring to even award some of the 1919 expansionism to Poland “since it didn’t matter” in the long run. This was obviously counterintuitive since the defeated country would have its borders enlargened, although Lenin found supporters who believed that it would enable propaganda of gracious peace. An alliance brought by defeat.

The borders in the West would remarkably undo nearly the entire world political balance even if the Red Army troops could not secure them yet. One British editorial from 1920 noted that if you asked five men on a solution to the Polish borders you would get eleven answers. The decision of most of the Polish government to flee to France did not have the desired effect of pressuring the Entente into intervention but left considerable chaos in Poland where some socialists joined the communist government and tried to get Haller to stand down. They claimed this made Poland a successor to the borders with Germany determined in Versailles.

The collapse of Poland coincided with the negotiations on the German disarmament, specifically the government lagging in turnover of weapons and the many ways it was attempting to go around the size limit imposed on its troops. Freikorps were one of them, and the issue of how much control the German government had over them was an ongoing political debate. As soon as the news of Pilsudski’s ill-fated counter-attack spread to Germany, members of the Freikorps started to mobilize to cross the eastern border into Poland with tacit support from at least part of the German government. It was inconceivable that German territory would be occupied by Russia, an enemy defeated only years earlier. Most notably, the Prussian corridor was secured with no difficulty and no opposition from Tukhachevsky who had cut it off from Warsaw prior to the attack on the city.*

This prompted a crisis as Entente, especially the French, threatened occupation and blockade of the country if Berlin did not do something about that – which Berlin claimed it couldn’t without breaking the Versailles by either increasing the army size or crossing the border. Freikorps which crossed the border were met as liberators by the Germans but as conquerors by the Polish and acted appropriately. There is evidence Freikorps has frequently collaborated with the Polish in possible defense as they did indirectly cooperate with the advance Red Army units. Poles were banished from the German areas and directed towards Poland, "each to its own". German communists, seemingly mobilized to the front for the push that never came, were directed to try and agitate among the Freikorps. Many failed but some found that hatred over Versailles was a much better common ground than the class struggle. Following Lenin's texts in Pravda, they proclaimed Germany is now a colony. Most confusingly of all, there were multiple reports of Red Army soldiers surrendering to the Freikorps or even trying to defect. Up to 5,000 troops of defectors and prisoners of war were organized into another White Legion which was intended to join the Blues with Haller.

The issue of what to do over Poland caused a crisis between Britain and France. Britain was not willing to intervene and there were interests that hoped to reopen trade with Russia. France, on the other hand, did not want to risk losing the British guarantees against Germany, but could not either allow Germany to ignore the treaty. Acting upon tremendous public and army pressure, France eventually capitulated to the pressure, occupied Ruhr and prepared a blockade of Germany. This delighted Lenin who hoped this would spark a revolution in Germany, but he would soon face trouble from the Party.

The actual French solution for Poland was to pressure or embolden the neighboring countries. Czechs were encouraged to occupy Silesia under a pending upcoming protective mandate and promises of military help. Fortunately, the Red Army in Poland was in a catastrophic state, and troops rebelled against further offensives even recreating councils. Polish intelligence, which had broken Russian communication, did its best to convey as much information as possible to Paris. The Polish forces reconstituted in the South under Haller and the rebuilt Blue Army marched eastwards but his goals were unknown. The French hope was that the Polish forces would try to cross the marsh and cut off the Red Army in Poland or drive towards Crimea. If Romania could be persuaded to join in the effort, perhaps the war could be won yet.

--The War of Lenin and Marx, 3rd ed., 1970
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We have won the war. Now we have to win the peace and that may be more difficult.
--Georges Clemenceau *
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Marcel was particularly vocal in our discussions before he died. He had hated the chauvinists and the Church but hated the socialists as well. Proust had been a regular at the Salon of Baroness de Pierrebourg which Poincaré had frequented. He claimed that Poincaré was smart and ambitious, but more ambitious than he was intelligent. He despised his political maneuvering and autocratic tendencies but admired his gall. He was no ordinary chauvinist - perhaps he could steer the conservatives and save the liberal Republic from morons such as those in Action Française. When Poincaré entered Ruhr he quipped that "while our president walked into a lake, our prime minister is walking us into Rhine."

Many were surprised at his attitude. After all, hadn't France won the Great War and had a right to reparations? He claimed he doesn't care about Poles or mortars or coal: he cares about France. The French public had a bizarre revanchist disease despite the victory. They forgot the values hard-fought in the revolutions and tolerated corruption and cronyism in politics. Too many French would sign off on giving up the right to vote for a pension and a chance to humiliate the hated Germans. France has consistently grappled with the worst kind of nationalism and the situation is looking a lot to him like those a hundred years ago. Of course, he thought of Charles X. The British were mocking Poincaré as a would-be Napoleon, but he was more of Louis XVIII. "I hope I don't live to see me proven right." He didn't, but not in the way he meant.

--personal writings of Lucien Daudet, circa 1920
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At the beginning of 1918, the British Prime Minister David Lloyd George spoke of a new Europe based on "reason and justice" and "government with the consent of the governed" while only days later the American President Woodrow Wilson issued his Fourteen Points program which demanded free trade, national self-determination and an end to secret diplomacy. Within a year, both their men would be dead.

The Paris Peace Conference was no Vienna of 1815. Instead of five powers, there were 27 allied victors, not counting the representatives of the defeated nations that were soon to come. Paris of 1919 was a city full of soldiers, refugees, diplomats while lacking accommodation, fuel, food, and beset by an evermore increasing number of delegates, reporters, businessmen, and various hangers-on. The Japanese delegation traveled two months to the conference only to later abandon it disappointed. The Parisian press regularly inflamed public opinion independently of other rabble-rousers such as the French president Raymond Poincaré or Marshall Foch, and such passions carried over to negotiations.

The media spoke of the Big Four - Austen Chamberlain, Thomas R. Marshall, Georges Clemenceau, and Vittorio Orlando, but the Paris Conference was actually the work of the Big Two. Orlando had a marginal role besides appearing in photographs, based solely on the status of Italy as a major Entente power. One participant would bitterly remark Orlando was little more than Clemenceaus' baggage. The American President was content to remove himself from discussions once he had secured the acknowledgment of the Monroe Doctrine in the League Charter and found himself annoyed by Clemenceaus' exigent attempts to engage in personal diplomacy. Marshall would ultimately delegate the negotiations to his diplomats, returning to America to fight for the acceptance of the League Charter and deal with domestic problems. Marshall was also very careful in honoring the constitutional intentions on who had the authority to conduct diplomacy and was afraid that Clemenceau wanted to lure him into overstepping his authority.

This left the British and French Prime Ministers to chart the future of Europe. Prime Minister Austen Chamberlain and Georges Clemenceau had a complicated relationship that would oscillate from animosity to personal respect. Both men were more pragmatic than others would admit, played hard to get, and ultimately had the same major goals. However, the paths to their vision were quite different.

Clemenceau was a proponent of building alliances and guarantees to secure that Germany could never reform an opposing block while France would always have allies. Chamberlain believed this was a temporary measure and was uninterested in the long-term functionality of the borders among the new states. He believed that in a generation or two, Germany would recover the majority of German areas lost to Czechoslovakia and Poland due to economic pressure. There was no need for Little Entente as Europe would naturally reorder itself to the eventual Franco-German economic axis. The Little Entente was superfluous to the League or the question of the lasting settlement between France and Germany.

The two men worked quickly and amicably to secure the borders in western Europe but would found themselves beset by problems in their own countries. Clemenceau faced strong opposition from his rival, Henri Poincare, and Marshall Foch, who wanted harsher terms on Germany. He was also nearly assassinated by an anarchist. Chamberlain faced more pressing issues at home despite the Conservative landslide slide in the general elections. The Irish Parliamentary Party was wiped out in the elections and the victorious Sinn Féin formed its own parliament and declared war against England mere days after the opening of the Paris Conference.* Further rifts emerged on the issue of economic policy and factional struggles within the party as many Tories were unhappy how Chamberlain had to replace Bonar Law at the beginning of 1919. Chamberlain was favorable to the French, distrustful of Germans, and more ambivalent to America than most of his colleagues. [...]

Germans lamented the death of Wilson whom they believed would have kept Germany as a great power. They had asked president Marshall for an armistice based on the Wilsons' Fourteen Points* but despite his assurances, Marshall was far more willing to work within a framework of the Entente alliance and to delegate the issues to other diplomats. There would be no savior American mediation. Marshall was content to leave the old continent to be sorted out by the old powers recognizing that America cannot foot the bill for all the promises of the Fourteen Points. Already the Entente allies wanted to extend wartime credits and issue additional bonds.

As much as the Germans would later claim they had done away with the dreaded Monarchy, the imperial regime was brought down by the old elites who realized the war was lost and the prospect of a revolution was near. In the days before the opening of the Paris Conference, the streets of Berlin were awash with fighting between the tacitly government-backed Freikorps and Spartacist revolt by the German communists. In the elections that followed only days later, the victors were moderate parties that moved to form a Weimar coalition. Their common domestic goal was to introduce necessary changes not to transform but preserve the essence of the constitutional framework of Germany.

This obviously did not satisfy the lower classes which were fed up with the continued existence of aristocratic privileges and the strong class divides. Further uprisings occurred in Germany. In April, a short-lived Soviet Republic was established in Bavaria and some feared Karl Liebnecht and Rosa Luxemburg would reemerge. The Weimar Coalition warned of a constant Bolshevik threat unless the Fourteen Points were honored in peace, hoping less to avoid unavoidable humiliating terms and more the get the support of the German public. This resulted in Fourteen Points being a perennial German mantra despite being mostly abandoned early in the Conference.

--The Footprint of France, 1956
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"Nothing must happen which might separate the four powers [...] for this unity I will make every sacrifice."
--Georges Clemenceau outlining his plan for the conference, 29th December 1918 *
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Austen Chamberlain and his secretary George H Duckworth leaving the House of Commons in 1919
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The opening of the Paris Peace Conference on the 18th January 1919 was somewhere between ceremonial and expedient. Clemenceau was indomitable and refused Geneva. The French also wanted to mark the anniversary of the humiliating declaration of the German Empire in the Hall of Mirrors in 1871.

The opening of the conference was mostly for show and prestige as there was not a single timetable or a plan on how it would proceed. There were no representatives from the defeated countries yet there were over two dozen victors. So instead of working on hashing out the terms, it was necessary to first determine how future decisions would be made. It was assumed that a preliminary conference would be held between the victors to decide the terms before they would be presented to the defeated parties. It turned out that the preliminary conference actually became the entire conference.

There were 52 committees holding negotiations yet their conclusions would be ignored and uncoordinated. Three different commissions dealt with financial issues.* The Japanese delegation traveled two months to the conference and soon realized they were unwanted among their allies. [...]

In Britain and France, the Prime Ministers deliberately behaved obtusely and kept the details to themselves, hiding them even from their advisors, although Chamberlain was far more trusting to his allies. Clemenceau debated every clause and bypassed traditional advisers. Some territorial issues were resolved quickly, based on hastily reads of the committee recommendations mostly due to April approaching.* Others would prove to be a continuing source of debates. The question of Poland and its borders caused constant problems especially since the British and the French differed on their designs. Another issue was the Ottoman Empire and the Middle East. A third would be the provisions of the London Treaty.

The German delegation arrived at Conference only to wait for two weeks for the draft version of the terms. [1] When the final text had to be rushed to the printers for signing, the American President refused to endorse it until it was thoroughly reviewed by his diplomats even if that risked further delays at the conference. This caused a permanent rift with Clemenceau and Clemenceau found himself backed by Chamberlain. Time was of the essence. As telegrams and calls were exchanged, the diplomats used the time to review the treaty, finally reading it in full. The longer they studied the more inconsistencies they found and deemed it possibly too harsh for the German delegation to accept. The treaty was pilloried not only by Americans but also by other Entente diplomats.

The entire dispute was a fiasco as Marshall could not risk making America seem ungracious towards its allies and risk condemning the peace or the League of Nations to failure. Neither could France risk alienating Americans whose support and the guarantees it would need. The whole issue was resolved hastily in four and a half days during which the diplomats working on all sides noted many inconsistencies in the document as a whole while statesmen discussed it in heated debates. Marshall, Chamberlain, and Clemenceau agreed to present the terms fearing domestic and international backlash if it seemed that the terms were back on the drawing board, but by then it was too late. The affair leaked to the press.

The culprits were suspected to be Wilsons' allies. Although Marshall was the first vice-president since Calhoun to be reelected, the relationship between Wilson and Marshall could have been best described as functional animosity. The two men did not like each other but respected their mandates. Wilson effectively marginalized Marshall and kept him in the dark, but personally kept him on the 1916 ticket against the wishes of his confidantes. In turn, Marshall was content performing his legislative duties. In fact, Wilsons' allies hated Marshall more than Wilson himself and thought of his jovial character as unbefitting for a statesman.

One of them was Edward M. "Colonel" House, a close ally of Wilson and chief advisor on European diplomacy and politics during the war. Although there were overtures for him to keep his role in the upcoming Conference, House broke away with Marshall due to personal dislike (and his other enemies such as Wilsons' widow Edith) and left Europe. However, he was kept appraised of the developments through his backchannels. It was widely believed that House learned of the Marshalls' refusal to endorse the treaty and leaked the details to the press out of a personal vendetta. This resulted in French, British and American newspapers running sensational stories with headlines such as "Marshall Torpedoes the Peace", "America backs Hun", and so on.

House denied having a hand in this, blaming Marshalls' rivals in the Democratic party making him a patsy. Later another theory emerged, that the affair was a result of British manipulation, most notably Sir Edward Grey, who had particular sway over House during the war. This too has been criticized as a setup by Greys' opponents seeking to sabotage his prospective chances of becoming the ambassador to the USA or future prospects of Liberal leadership, Due to his impending blindness, it is even possible that Grey was taken advantage of by a third party. Yet another theory is that Henri Poincare leaked the affair to the press in order to turn the opinion against Clemenceau and force another vote of confidence. Poincare certainly frequently resorted to underhanded methods and it is not out of character. Poincaré would indeed end up replacing Clemenceau within less than a year.

The Draft Treaty Affair or the Marshall Affair, as it was called in the newspapers, did not sink the peace conference but caused significant lasting damage to the Entente's internal collaboration. It revived German hopes that America will back their territorial integrity although nothing came out of it. Many prominent Britishmen and Frenchmen believed that America got the upper hand on the Entente, having secured a third of the globe as its mandate, and then vacillated on her allies.

Marshall was right about the German reaction. After being presented with the text on 29th May, the German representatives quickly produce a 100-page reply which objected to basically everything. They claimed peace under the proposals of late Wilsons' Fourteen Points even willing to offer to pay 100 billion marks in order to retain prewar territorial integrity. They objected to changes in the East, notably the loss of Memel, Danzig, and Upper Silesia as well as the loss of Saar in the west. The acceptable losses to France would already mean the loss of 30% steel production (most of it in Lorraine) and a significant downfall in the iron-ore output also in the areas of Saar, and Alsace-Lorraine. The disappointment about the lack of American mediation even led to theories that Wilson had been murdered in order to facilitate a more palatable president for the Entente. Germans pushed for plebiscites in eastern territories, namely Danzig and the rich Upper Silesia, but were ignored.

Clemenceau remained stubborn about the terms as they were the minimum he could get through the Chamber. The virulent Parisian press and public opinion had constantly criticized him and only the vote of confidence prior to the Conference gave him a mandate. Now with the Marshall Affair, there was a justification for Poincaré and Foch to push for a second vote of confidence on the basis he is squandering just peace for nebulous guarantees and concessions to allies. Ire for the Americans and their diplomatic delegation in Paris was everywhere as they were falsely seen to be lenient to Germans. Chamberlain faced problems of his own as he was asked by Clemenceau to guarantee Britain would join a renewed blockade and even occupation. Although Chamberlain was sympathetic to Clemenceau and considered promising a blockade, he had staunch critics at home who believed he was inching away from Anglo-American partnership towards underwriting French continental hegemony.

Germans have presented the treaty with minute alterations on 19th June with a five-day ultimatum to accept it. The alterations mainly concerned various disagreements on how the total amount of reparations will be decided later. The wording blaming Germany for aggression and the full costs of war remained. If Germans did not comply, Foch's plans for military advance to the capital were approved by the Entente leadership.

The German delegation advised rejection despite knowing there was no alternative. Their train to Weimar was stoned by an angry population regardless of their protests. The German government fell days before the deadline, divided over whether to either reject the treaty unless the war guilt and extradition of Germans were excluded or reject the treaty completely. President Ebert had to be persuaded not to resign either and he put together a new center-left government that offered to sign the treaty sans the war guilt and extradition of German criminals. It was in vain.

Chamberlain, Marshall, and Clemenceau gave 24 hours to the new government to accept it and the new government capitulated, but not before consulting with the Reichswehr if there was a chance to resist and dig in. The Germans signed the treaty on 28th June 1919 in the Hall of Mirrors, five years to the date after the outbreak of war.

Ironically, the hatred of the Treaty was probably the only unifying force binding the Germans. The issue of reparations still loomed large as many of the border issues with the new states. Germany was still the largest and most populous country in Europe outside Russia and with Russia gone to the Bolsheviks, its strategic situation had theoretically improved. This was not unnoticed in France.

Mirroring the German situation, the only thing uniting the French politicians was the pressing need to punish France and force peace, but when the peace came, Clemenceau found himself under criticism. He had been accused of giving out on just peace in favor of dubious guarantees, especially the American ones. Others criticized the terms as inconsistent, not concerned about fairness to the Germans, but about the French prestige and functionality. Foch attacked Clemenceau that instead of peace, Clemenceau negotiated a truce for a generation.

Soon following the signing of the treaty, a series of accusations were levied against Clemenceau in the Chamber of Deputies which forced a vote of confidence. The official cause was the alleged mismanagement of the negotiations and the unresolved questions of the reparation amount. Clemenceau defended himself, noting the peace is "the work of human beings and, as a result, it is not perfect. We all did what we could to work fast and well."* But it was to no avail.

In a dramatic vote, the Chamber voted against Clemenceau by a vote margin of 45 and Clemenceau had to resign in disgrace. The new prime minister was Gaston Duoumergue, the former prime minister who had served for about half a year prior to the outbreak of the Great war. Duoumergue would not last long as at the end of the year scandals forced him to resign. Duoumergue was unmarried, but a series of stories in the newspapers accused him he was under control by German freemasons (of whom he was a member) through alleged German mistresses to be lenient on the issue of reparations. Duoumergue resigned despite ostensibly having political support because he believed the public pressure made his task impossible. A later court investigation cleared him of all charges.

Duoumerge was followed by Raymond Poincaré whose presidential term had coincidentally just expired. Poincaré was anti-German, more so than Clemenceau, although not nearly as radically as some people whom he had courted like Marshal Foch. What distinguished Poincaré was his willingness to act alone if he believed the British or the Americans would not support him believing Clemcencau was too afraid of breaking unity, a unity which was from his perspective nowhere near perfect as Clemenceau had claimed. And Germans certainly remembered Poincaré as the man who had plunged the world into the Great War in 1914 which infuriated him. He would decide to act alone before the end of the year.

--The Precipice of Peace, 1966
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"We must show the world the extent of our victory, and we must take up the mentality and habits of a victorious people, which once more takes its place at the head of Europe."*
--Georges Clemenceau, resignation address before the cabinet [2]
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newspapers, summer of 1920
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"It's a question of whether these are the Germans who destroyed the mines of the north and whether we are the ones to go begging for coal. Are the Boches to continue to have eight million tons a month while we, the victors, must be content with 3.8 million?"
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French deputy Amedée Peyroux (Entente républicaine démocratique), Chamber of the Deputies, 1920*

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France was as politically unstable in peace as was Germany prior to the armistice. While foreign observers thought the French were obsessed with Germans (and they were), their elite was actually obsessed with coal. The French Tiger, Georges Clemenceau, had indeed won a large vote of confidence to conduct peace talks but the French political scene was a vast arena of underhanded dealing, backstabbing, impulsiveness, vendettas, and general animosities. The French public held its breath as the 78-year old Clemenceau was nearly assassinated a month after the start of a conference by a young anarchist.* Although Clemenceau survived and mocked the perpetrator who had failed to shoot him successfully in the back, in his absence nothing could be settled at the conference until he returned in mid-March.* Clemenceaus return signaled the transformation of Council of Ten into a Council of Four, which would soon devolve into a Council of Two, once Marshall got what he wanted and Orlando realized his voice carried no impact, walking out a month later.

Although it seems incredible from the perspective of today, the professional diplomats that dominated the political conferences found themselves marginalized due to a prevailing vision of distrust towards their expertise. They have been viewed with suspicion by the world at large for the Great War and a series of failures including secret deals, failing to anticipate Russian problems, various failures with lesser powers, and so on. The new experts were few in numbers and were members of the nascent intelligence agencies that advised the statesmen and the few of their trusted confidantes.

Clemenceau had to grapple with the realities of the French national pride and tragedy. France had suffered tremendously dysgenically: it lost 1,3 million soldiers, a quarter of all men aged between 18 and 27, and had over 700 000 wounded. Most of the industrial heartland was devastated as it was the main battlefield in the West. But perhaps the greatest shock was psychological. France had won over Germany only with the help of allies and even then it failed to actually invade Germany. The German threat loomed deeply in the minds of nearly every Frenchman.

The elderly Clemenceau was perhaps one of the few statesmen of his time that were in the position to realize that a realistic permanent solution to the German threat was guarantees and alliances with others to isolate and keep demilitarized Germany in check. His goals were approved by a vote of confidence on 29th December 1918 in the Chamber of Deputies 386 to 89, but this did not mean he had solid and unwavering support. He was a personal rival to the French president Raymond Poincáre, hated by the French military especially Marshal Foch, and so on. Clemenceau had to strategically conceal his intentions from others to keep his domestic enemies off balance. This was not without problems. The foreign minister, Stephen Pichon, mattered less in the conference than Italy, perhaps even the Czechs.

Clemenceau had confided to Poincaré that "We will not perhaps have the peace you and I would like. France will have to make sacrifices not to Germany but to her allies."* He would also quip that it was fortunate that the Influenza had taken slippery Lloyd George giving way to Chamberlain who was sympathetic to France and removed Wilson who truly believed in his vague Fourteen Points. That did not mean Marshall and Chamberlain were perfectly in tune with Clemenceau. While Clemenceau saw the League of Nations merely as a way to keep America in the alliance system, Chamberlain turned out to be a true believer in its potential (mostly as a vehicle for the old British role of balance maker), even as he paradoxically dismissed the new states. Marshall was neither pragmatic nor idealistic but somewhere between, and uninterested in debating every issue personally, trusting "the diplomatic system." He was slippery and retreated towards the constitutional questions of the authority to make war and peace. Chamberlain too was under pressure from within his party not to underwrite French demands even as he was somewhat sympathetic to Clemenceau's plans. This was known to Poincaré and others who believed Clemenceau had to seize the initiative.

When compared to his rivals and successors it is frequently thought of Clemenceau as less jingoistic and imperialistic, but that is an error. Clemenceau wanted a border on the Rhine as much as Foch or other rabble-rousers but was unwilling to doom alliances with others. Neither was Poincaré as brash as his later actions would seem to imply. France fought for the immediate annexation of Alsace-Lorraine, Saar (for strategic and industrial reasons), and the detachment of the left bank of the Rhine from Germany into neutral independent states. Clemenceau had to abandon the creation of an independent Rhineland as April began but made the mistake of implicitly permitting the French army to encourage local autonomist and separatist movements. This led to chaos where conflicting policies were enacted in Rhineland without the knowledge of anyone in Paris.

Just as the deadline for the acceptance of the Versailles term was approaching (28th June), the Rhenish Republic was proclaimed. This was also mere weeks after the Marshal affair. The "president" Hans Adam Dorten enjoyed little support of the population and had no backing of the French occupation forces which were strictly neutral. The German Supreme Court in Leipzig issues a warrant for Dorten for treason and Dorten had to hide in Rheinland where the warrant could not be enforced due to occupation. Clemenceau was later lambasted for failure to use this opportunity although the Tiger had merely opined that a more realistic outcome was that of the mayor of Cologne, Konrad Adenauer, who had proposed to create an autonomous state of Rheinland within the Reich but free of the central government. That option would also not require significant changes to the terms of the treaty but enable a Rheinland which the French could dominate economically.

Perhaps the greatest political issue of the difference between France and its Entente allies was in the question of Eastern Europe. With Russia falling to the Bolsheviks, an eastern check to Germany disappeared. The best alternative was the creation of strong states which would be in French orbit economically and politically - Poland, Czechoslovakia, and the enlargement of Romania and Serbia. Marshall and Chamberlain objected to violations of the self-determination principles but their objections were meek since they were unwilling to risk the negotiations. Marshall did not see America fit to influence borders in Central in Eastern Europe but in Central and South America. Chamberlain saw through the French intentions but believed that the Sudetes and other disputed areas would revert to Germany by the middle of the century once the German economy recovers and France and Germany are bound by common interests.

Despite all these political problems, tinder was not in the borders or guarantees but the economic problems. Clemenceau was notoriously inept when it came to financial matters and his various advisors tried to convince him Germany could pay the entire cost of the war, such as finance minister Louis-Lucien Klotz, who did so without producing a table or any numbers. Although Klotz was pilloried for his claims, Clemenceaus' confidantes quarreled over whether reparations should be done in cash transfers or in-kind to avoid inflation. The issue would continue to plague Clemenceau's successors.

France suffered from a serious lack of grain and coal. Grain problems would disappear with war, but not those of coal. Wartime shortages were alleviated by pooling the resources, especially after America entered the war, but all attempts to continue those agreements post armistice fell on deaf ears. America wanted to return to normal trading as soon as possible while Britain could not commit to a post-war economic union although it was intrigued by continued cooperation. Chamberlain tried to fight for a common front with France regarding the war debts but found himself beset by domestic problems. So the reparations from Germany, especially in the form of coal deliveries would be crucial for French long-term goals. France had become dependent during the war on deliveries of British coal which was triple the prewar price. The government had to control the price, procurement, and distribution of coal since 1916, but measures continued into peacetime. This caused immense pressure on the politicians from the industrialists as such measures favored small consumers instead of large, such as steel manufacturers. Prices in the industry spiraled. There was not enough affordable coal for industry nor steel orders for them. When it came to essential goods, transport capabilities were prioritized for food. France was the hardest hit by coal shortages. It had to import half of the coal in 1919, and 70% of coal came from Britain. French finances were tied between past debts, future obligations to sustain the industry, and current rents. German reparations were the main solution for every French problem, practical or psychological.

This was not so in the other Entente countries. Americans under Marshall were satisfied when the Reparation Commission was authorized to extend the deadline for payments as needed fit based on the German ability to pay, although that did not mean that the demands would be relaxed only that they could be. It was no wonder that the Americans basically retreated from the issue especially since one of the objections noted in the Marshall Affair revealed that American experts believed Germany could not pay even the temporary amount of 1 billion pounds. Additional factors were various unacceptable British and French proposals about issuing bonds for reconstruction or delaying repayment of war debts which would place the costs for the war on America. Marshall quipped that America "wants the business back to usual" and neither he nor his opponents nor the Congress will accept anything less. "This was likely a one-off" he famously told Chamberlain and Clemenceau about the American involvement in the Great War. This left the issue down to Chamberlain and the French. Britain was hard hit by debts but it was still a creditor; its problem was that London was supplanted by New York as the banking center of the world. Coal exports to France were an advantage.

This is why French revanchism spiraled out. Not sorely out of national pride, but out of necessity. In April 1919 over 300 deputies in the French Chamber published a manifesto demanding that Germany should be forced to pay for the entire cost of the war, not just damage. The French were not alone as British newspapers attacked any rumors of compromise about the reparation claims. Chamberlain had to return to London as he faced a serious possible challenge for the leadership of his party. Australian prime minister Hughes accused Chamberlain of being unwilling to punish German aggression and became popular in the British and French press. Hughes had campaigned to make Germany "pay up to the limit of her capacity [...] that will go a pretty long way." *

The saga over the total amount of reparations continued past the signing of the Versailles treaty with many hoping the figure being decided later would be saner. It went the other way as demands grew and amounts inflated. Chamberlain was willing to speak of one thing publicly but practically support extending the time for repayment long into the future in order to save the German economy and the state from destabilizing. Raymond Poincaré, despite knowing better, pushed for more reparations sooner. He had won priority of reparations over Belgium and sought any way to make payments more frequent. [3] When Poland started to collapse in August of 1920 it became obvious that it would be even harder to force the communists to acknowledge Tsarist debts to France, yet another potential source lost. Poincaré also faced another problem - there was a significant leftist presence in politics and he could maneuver his political coalition and alliances for only so long. Aristide Briand was his immediate rival. Getting more from Germany would mean he would both satisfy the revanchist impulse as well as pay the socialist demands.

There are conflicting accounts on what Poincaré truly believed. While some claim he wanted to fully split Rheinland from Germany, others claimed he only gave that impression for political reasons knowing better that Clemenceau had likely performed admirably well. He had stated on multiple occasions that cooperation with allies is of paramount importance. Other contemporaries thought he wanted to humiliate the Germans who have launched claims that Tsar Nicholas II and Poincaré needlessly caused war over a regional issue, aimed at the British public and the Americans. Poincaré's personality prone to autocracy, backstabbing and manipulativeness did not help his image. However, where Clemenceau would back down when faced with a lack of support, Poincaré would decide to act alone and hope his allies would be forced to support him out of common interests.

Immediately after becoming prime minister he had inquired with the army if France could fully occupy Ruhr if the need arose. The military deemed it impossible without remobilizing the reserves. Poincaré had inquired how soon a reserve force could be ready to act. Meanwhile, he had tried to engage Chamberlain to support French demand more readily. Chamberlain did not like Poincaré and it is unclear if this dislike stemmed from the prewar, War, or postwar period. He was aware France was dependent on British coal and believed Poincaré had much less breathing room than he claimed to; this, in turn, fueled Poincarés' suspicions of the British, especially since Chamberlain openly believed that after just peace France should strive to reconcile with Germany, ideally by the end of the decade. Although reconciliation would make France no longer dependent on British coal, it would make them dependent on German.

It did not help that the British could not fulfill their own promises about coal. The British Coal Controller promised to export to France 1.5 million tons a month (over half of all British exports). Not only this was not enough for French needs, but Britain failed to export that much in the first quarter of 1920.* France needed coal but all her allies were willing to only support sanctions against Germany. Britain and Italy declared that it was pointless to set the reparations into numbers until the German economy was stable, not to mention uprisings occurring and the pending elections. Paris had to ration heating and lightning.

--Grandeur and Misery: France in the Twenties, 1966
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"I love France as I would a woman. Just as a woman was, it is not always rational in her demands."*
--Austen Chamberlain [4]
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League of Nations, 1920
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The League was far from one mans' project but it was strongly affiliated with the late Wilsons' vision. Wilson had wanted to end secret diplomacy and form a body that would promote and enforce peace if necessary. In his notes, he originally wanted to call the League Charter a Covenant, a decisively spiritual base of the new social contract. He wanted universal compulsory arbitration, universal disarmament, and so on, yet had left no details or plans on how League should operate.

His successor, Thomas R. Marshall wanted to fulfill Wilsons' intent to create the League but was skeptical about its possibilities and its acceptability both to the American public and the other powers. There would be no implied mandatory mechanisms for collective actions. The proposal for the League was worked out in early January and February between the American and British delegates. Chamberlain had a personal interest in the workings of the League, as had Marshall in some measure. Both men saw the League as a tool to further the clout of their own countries. French wanted it to enforce the Versailles treaty and even to have an International army but this was unacceptable to the British and the Americans and the Charter was divorced from the negotiations with Germany. Seeing that League would not be a defensive alliance it turned to hash out its own system of alliances in Europe.

A disappointed Italian writer lamented that various provisions meant that America was ceded a third of the globe under the aegis of stewardship, leaving the remaining two-thirds outside Europe to the British Empire. The "regional understanding" in the Charter exempted the Monroe Doctrine and granted it preferential rights for stewardship. In return, Marshall had agreed to a naval agreement, delaying the completion of the 1916 program and reconsidering the 1918 schedule in the expectation that a comprehensive agreement would be developed.

In reality, every great power gained something. Japans' Pacific ambitions were acknowledged as Marshall agreed to grant it various mandates in Asia although under the strict obligation of free trade and access to foreign nationals (this left the more nationalistic Japanese unsatisfied as they wanted outright annexation). The mandate system came from the British Dominions as general Smuts conceived the system as a way to manage new colonies as a way to bridge the annexationist ambitions of the Dominions with the demands of the disputed areas in Europe. It was readily accepted by major powers as it institutionalized the system of colonialism while giving it an enlightened, even humanistic excuse.

Mandates were divided into A, B, and C categories. The first category would imply only administrative advice and assistance, B would mean direct rule and C would mean that the mandates were integral portions. Japanese mandates in Asia were a mix of B category mandates (in China) or C mandates (such as German Pacific islands), while British mandates in Africa were a C category.

The Charter turned into a mess as it was not part of the Versailles treaty [5] so the diplomatic quibbling continued on. The Executive Council had five great powers, all Entente members - Britain, France, Italy, Japan, and the United States. Minor powers fiercely fought to admit four other smaller states on a rotating basis, beginning with Belgium, Brazil, Spain, and Greece. However, the council had no real power as there was no mechanism to guarantee against aggression in uncertain terms. Even then, the permanent Council members would have to be unanimous on all major decisions. If there was no unanimous decision, the member states would carry on in good faith as they saw fit to maintain justice.* Even economic sanctions were not binding. One Swiss diplomat noted that the League was not a body for peace but for armistices.

The Charter of the League of Nations was signed in early 1920, mostly out of fear that without signing it would die in the negotiations. The early months saw debates over the category of mandates intended for Turkey which were mostly supposed to be Category A mandates but many feared (or in Greek case wanted) they are upgraded to a higher status. The situation in Turkey would turn into a diplomatic quagmire just as Poland caused the first major test of the system. Poland had undoubtedly attempted a war of aggression then collapsed when Bolshevik Russia mounted a counterattack. French found themselves a lone voice of concern for the Polish cause in the Council. In fact, the council was more concerned about the proclamation of the Soviet Republic of Poland and Lithuania, as it implied Bolsheviks intended to retake Lithuania (and the rest of the new states) in the near future, than the fate of Poland.

The most serious concern turned out to be, paradoxically, Germany. With the collapse of the Polish, German freikorps poured into Poland ostensibly to fight against the Bolshevik threat and "save" their brethren. The volunteer origin of them was quite problematic as Germany claimed it could not disarm the paramilitary without a larger army. The French were adamant in their belief that Freikorps should be counted for all intents and purposes as the members of the German army and were no longer to be tolerated because of the internal unrest in Germany. After all, Poland was not a part of Germany. Poland was to be a bulwark against both Germany and Russia, a bulwark that had collapsed. The "safe parts" included West Prussia, Poznan, and other areas with two million Germans.

While battles were still being fought in Warsaw and around Torun, France brought the issue of German disobedience of the treaty before the League of Nations, proposing various sanctions against Germany for breaking the promises on disarmament and trying to possibly expand its eastern border. This included the permanent union with Saar, blockade, and even full occupation of the Rhineland. The Inter-Allied force (mostly Belgians and the French) had already occupied river bridgeheads in the Rhineland, and the issue of reparations was already linked with the threat of the immediate reoccupation. The occupation was to last for thirty years [6] regardless of German fulfillment of obligations to the Entente.

As the situation in Poland collapsed, the inciting goal happened in the Gdansk. Clemenceau insisted it would be given to Poland in order to give it a viable port in the Baltic and was supported unanimously by the allied commission. Chamberlain reluctantly accepted it as he believed it would be the seed of possible future conflict but did not oppose the conclusion of the allied commission.

The city had a majority German population with an overwhelming Polish population in the rural areas around it. As a compromise solution in order not to cause further trouble for the German government, a provision was included to hold a plebiscite in 1935 over the fate of Gdansk. Regarding the borders, the 1772 pre-partition borders were followed when possible but complicated by the issue of recent German colonization and two railways that connected the city with the mainland.

The German population of Gdansk did not agree with this solution, although the opposition had a significant socialist component. An illegal underground election was organized in the summer of 1920 to parallel the elections in Germany. It turned out that most of the illegally elected representatives were leftists although the plurality winner was the German National Democratic Party. They were barred from entering Reichstag although they were hailed as heroes all over Germany and some of them went into tours, being received publicly or privately by many politicians, generals, and aristocrats.

The issue of why they traveled to Berlin was a thorny one. Officially they went there to ask for help although the French suspected they wanted to illegally join the Reichstag, thus overturning the Versailles border. Some of them refused to return since they claimed persecution by the Polish, which was not unfounded. Indeed, the Poles have made some moves towards encouraging the emigration of Germans from the city, mirroring the 1908 Prussian measures to great consternation by the Entente. French all but openly hoped that Poles will try to Polonize the area before the plebiscite but in 1920 barely anything systematic was done. The new Polish state had quickly bungled into a failed war of aggression.

When Tukachevsky cut off Gdansk from the rest of the country and started to take Warsaw, German veterans poured into Poznan and other ceded areas. Gdansk was left isolated, theoretically a bastion of the Polish Republic. There were few Polish police or forces present in the city and it was a question of time what would happen. In fact, the city was maintained by the international Entente forces as a result of a previous agreement until a conclusive treaty would be signed. Various forces in the city waited for the opportunity.

Once the Soviet Republic of Poland and Lithuania was proclaimed, they had their excuse. Various paramilitaries took over the governmental offices in Gdansk and replaced Polish flags and placards with German ones once again. The process was uncoordinated but gained steam once the first post office was captured. People cheered in the streets and rushed to join the fervor. One observer noted that many veterans rushed to find a building they could capture but could not find one.


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French Hotchkiss M1914 machine gun section before senior officers of Allied occupying forces in Danzig, 1920

The situation was chaotic as international forces were unsure what to do. Should they fire into hundreds of Germans surrounding them and risk a massacre? Some turned over their posts peacefully and simply left for the docks, others fortified themselves waiting for relief that never came. Shots were fired in the air and there were vastly disputed accounts of German civilians being killed.

The city came under the control of a handful of people. The de facto military governor was Captain Walter von Reichenau, ambitious son of the 19the century Prussian Lieutenant General Ernst August von Reichenau. He sought to ingratiate himself with the head of the Reichswehr Hans von Seeckt joining his Truppenamt underground forces and also with the aristocracy by marrying Silesian Alexandrine "Alix" Maltzan.

Reichenaus' command of Danzig proved to be complex - he had insisted on peacefully escorting allied troops safely to the docks but brutally executed Germans who had been suspected of supporting the Polish government, especially suspected communists. It is unknown if the freikorps uprising was instigated by Seckt through Truppenamt although it is highly suspicious that Reichenau appeared in Danzig at an advantageous time with arms.

Reichenau proclaimed the Freidstadt of Danzig in early October of 1920 and announced elections for 1921 "at the earliest". He would be a military governor until then to safeguard against the communist threat. There is some debate if this was either a calculated move not to provoke the Entente or the fact that most of the illegally elected representatives in 1920 had leftist allegiances. It was certainly used by the German government to claim it had nothing to do with the situation and technically it had not annexed the city so it was abiding by the terms of the city. The German members hoped that Entente would let this slide past given the Bolshevik threat as a fait accompli. This was not to be so.

The German government was faced with an ultimatum from Poincaré to restore Gdansk to Poland and to stop supplying freikorps in Poznan and elsewhere or face military occupation. Of course, this position was untenable. The head of the Reichswehr Von Seeckt had refused to use the military to attack fellow soldiers only months earlier and any government that would forcefully restore Danzig to collapsed Poland would immediately lose any popular support. Chancellor Constantin Fehrenbach tried in vain to reach a solution with the French which would not require him to commit political suicide, but too much bad blood had already been spilled over the issue of reparations and Ruhr. Faced with no other option, Fehrenbach and most of his cabinet resigned the day before the French ultimatum expired on 16th November 1920.

The French did not wait for a new government to be formed. The French and Belgian troops, supplemented by smaller units of Italians and other countries moved in to occupy the Ruhr under the auspice of League of Nations and enforcing the peace settlement as well as protecting the safety and integrity of the Polish state (which was invaded by Russia, not Germany). Poincaré claimed that the loss of Gdansk doomed Poland to succumb to isolation and prevent its access to much-needed reinforcement and supplies, effectively blaming Germany for the Polish defeat. The French military believed it was now or never to act. Marshall Foch had discouraged Poincaré from expanding the occupation during the spring since a common enemy would distract the communists and the right-wingers from starting uprisings. [7] But the advent of the Bolsheviks on the eastern border proved to be a rallying cry for Germany. There was nothing to be gained by waiting and winter was approaching.

Chamberlain was angry at Poincaré noting he knew very well that Poland had been lost by then and putting the blame on Germany was only an excuse to further French aims. Poincaré believed that with Rhineland secure under occupation, Germany would have no excuse not to follow up with coal reparations and disarmament. He claimed to Chamberlain that France was in fact securing the east of Europe against flagrant German attempts to overturn Versailles. Chamberlain pointed out that this only emboldened the nationalist in Germany who would gladly defy the Versailles treaty and risk further conflict. Does Poincare want to resume the Great War and occupy Germany if need be? British newspapers mocked Poincaré as wannabe Napoleon, depicting him planning to march through Germany to Poland and Russia.

Poincaré had not planned to renew the Great war but approved a series of plans to deal with the German and Polish situations. Inquiries were sent to Czechoslovakia and Romania for a possible intervention in Poland in order to save Poland. However, the new states were wary of risking a possible invasion of the Red Army unless seriously backed by the great powers. They felt Poland had been left alone, and if they would not rescue the alleged safeguard against Germany or Russia, how would they rescue Romania or Czechoslovakia? However, they did probe about possible territorial readjustments. The countries would be willing to act under the auspice of the League, but only collectively and if great power involvement was a given the dangers present in their own countries or neighbors.

Germany was in turmoil and Ebert considered resigning but was once again convinced not to do so. As he could not build a government that would accept being forced to deal with the Danzig issue and freikorps, new elections were called, four months after the last one. Poincaré did not wait and forced the issue: the full occupation of Ruhr started on 16th November 1920. The British did not join as Chamberlain had previously noted that "not one British postman would die for the Polish cause." Chamberlain objected that the German government has been destabilized again needlessly which jeopardized future negotiations but supported allies in principle.

Ebert complained that the situation is untenable for Germany - the proximity of Bolsheviks in Poland risked provoking civil war in Germany. 100 000 men would not be enough to secure the German border. Poincaré point of blanc replied that it is enough - after all, they only have to secure the eastern border - the western was in "honest hands". Meanwhile, in what remained of free Poland, news spread that the French are marching across Germany to reach Poland, evoking the Napoleon era imagery and the establishment of the Duchy of Warsaw. A counterattack was even launched from Torun on the Red Army lines. Members of the Polish government in exile tried to lobby for such action with the Paris government, promising to help in the occupation of Germany later. Allegedly, the French officials were out of words and Foch threatened to defenestrate one of them before launching into a litany on Polish transgressions.

The greatest slap in Franco-British relations came somewhat later. British diplomats got a proposal through intermediaries for an armistice with Chicherin regarding Poland. It included a guarantee of the territorial integrity for Lithuania (and other Baltic republics), a hold on further Red Army advance towards the border with Germany, and the promise of at least partial Polish sovereignty to Gdansk if the Bolsheviks did not raise further trouble there. Poznan, Silesia, and other areas would be demilitarized, put under League administration, and plebiscites held after 10 years to determine if they wanted to join Poland or another option. They would be secured by international troops under the provision of the League. A common government would be formed including members of the Soviet one and the existing Polish parties.

The proposal was an attractive offer as it created a buffer between Germany and Bolsheviks, preserved original Poland, and opened a way to resume trade with Poland and Russia. Bolsheviks also saved their face as they still had little to no control over the south of Poland, their troops refused to advance, and there were still White armies and Hallers' troops wandering around. Bolsheviks gave away nothing they did not have, and Politburo hoped that through agitation and propaganda demilitarized areas would join through plebiscites to Poland. And who is to say the world revolution would not spread to neighboring countries before that? In fact, the Bolsheviks had potentially won a far more important victory. Soviet Poland was not officially recognized as the legitimate government but strongly implied as at least partially legitimate.

This did not mean the proposal had the support of the backing of the Politburo. Lenin and other hardliners strongly opposed dropping the Soviet epithet from the republic or admitting bourgeois politicians in the government, even as tokens. After all, the socialists had defected to the new regime and that was enough in their opinion. Lenin also wanted the Red Army to reach the German border, constantly dropping and re-engaging the matter. Others were more receptive to this solution as Russia was nowhere near ready to devote more time to Poland and it had won a victory. But the proposal was definitely something that could be worked on. Chicherin strongly hinted that Russia wanted to be admitted to the League of Nations which would mean international recognition of their government. Regardless of that, Lenin would proclaim before the end of the year that a way of coexistence alongside bourgeois states has been found.*

The proposal was also a concerning one for the League as security of demilitarized areas would mean significant involvement of allied troops overseeing millions of Poles and Germans let alone acknowledge potential division of the country. Ruhr was easy to occupy as it bordered France and Belgium and had the bonus of Rhine to rely on. The League forces would have to rely on Czechoslovakia from the south and Gdansk from the north. While Poincaré demanded the Germans to remove Reichenau themselves, other proposals circulated such as acknowledging the city, giving it a ban on reunification with Germany, turning it over to the League, and binding it in customs union.

The city was in turmoil. In November strikes spread through the city, seemingly aimed against Reichenaus' oppression which targetted union leaders. The city seemed to want to mirror the failed Kapp putsch earlier that year and force Reicheanau to give up his place. Many freikorps veterans supported the strikes as they did not want to be commanded by a mere captain. Then another problem occurred. Polish refugees had sporadically arrived at the city mostly avoiding it due to the frontlines. But a battle over Torun meant a partial collapse of Red lines (mostly due to rebellions and the diversion of forces to stop the Haller's Blue Army) and a path opened towards Gdansk. Thousands of refugees, including Polish soldiers, poured towards the city expecting support from Entente troops there. Reichenau did not want Poles in the German city. At the same time, another force of freikorps moved to the city headed by recently retired lieutenant general Friedrich Wilhelm von Willisen, likely dispatched by Von Seeckt.

--The League of Nations and the World: Vol. 1: 1920-1925, 1987

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*OTL
[1] OTL they waited for half that time.
[2] OTL words but earlier IOTL:
[3] OTL Belgium had the priority.
[4] Paraphrasing later OTL comment.
[5] With Wilson dead before the Conference, he does not insist it to be an explicit part of the Treaty.

[6] Longer than OTL and unlike where it was proposed it could end earlier if Germany fulfilled its obligations prior to the expiry.
[7] OTL he discouraged Millerand, not Poincaré, for the same reasons.


** chapter significantly updated after posting
 
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A Pole is wise after the harm’s been done
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"We are in the position of not having gained an international victory, which for us is the only sure victory, but of having won conditions enabling us to co-exist with capitalist powers who are now compelled to enter into commercial relations with us. In the course of the struggle we have won the right to an independent existence . . . [It] will be clear that we have won more than a breathing space—we have entered a new period in which we have . . . won the right to our international existence in the network of capitalist states . . . Today we have to speak, not merely of a breathing space, but of there being a serious chance of a new and lengthy period of development."
--Lenin, 21st November 1920 *
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It darkened my heart to learn that the conditions in Pinsk were scarcely better than those in Petrograd. The tyranny here is even worse than in the Russian cities and the "ends justify the means" mentality has given little result. The revolutionaries are touting the liberation of the Jews and the end of persecution, yet the people of Pinska seem to be more destitute than their Russian compatriots. Their personal and group identity has been enslaved in an institutionalized perversion that rewards the most brutal and lowest instincts of man. People are shipped around mindlessly like cattle, homes are taken and given away, all while the officials boast of growing numbers of Jews like they are talking of bushels of grain.

Many of these Jews are illiterate, do not understand the revolution has happened, and find themselves alone at the mercy of winter and the commissars. The much-vaulted school they opened is empty and cold and one party member boasted that education for the Jews is bourgeois nonsense. Nine out of ten Jews will never amount to anything. The conditions here are worse than those that led me to leave Russia in the first place, only now they are touted in the name of brotherhood, national dignity, and liberation. The same liberated Jews are shot for stealing meager measures of bread for their family while people openly talk of people going missing in the daylight. The party members take little notice of suffering and speak of the greater cause, of the destruction of Poland, a false imperialist state, and the days when Lithuania will be joined with Soviet Lithuania.

What horrified me the most was the willingness to crush anything - be it human life, liberty, or a building, to build a vaulted better future. The revolutionaries have managed a truly unique achievement - they have fully divorced the ethical values of goals from its methods. Yet today is the parent of tomorrow. Means become foundations of the future, conveniences laws, delusion truth. Russia had already strangled the revolutionary ideas and it hopes to one day do the same elsewhere. I've seen it happen. Poland is an accelerated experiment for its future.
--Emma Goldman, 1922

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The quick rise of conflict between Politburo and Sverdlov seemed obvious in retrospect but completely surprising to everyone who had participated in the Revolution. Lenin was the ideologue who came up with ideas, Sverdlov made them workable policies. The two were were in perfect tandem and were previously never in conflict over radical policies. When one of Cheka leaders in Petrograd and Lenins' chauffeur [1] were killed in August of 1918 during separate assassination attempts, it was Sverdlov who made the resolution calling for "mass red terror against the bourgeoisie and its agents."*

Two years later, Lenin and Sverdlov found themselves at odds with the Party over the nascent issues of the Soviet State. Politburo grew suspicious of Sverdlov due to his steadily rising influence as the man who made everything happen. Sverdlov appeared not to have personal ambitions at the time but grew increasingly frustrated over time with the myriad problems the new state faced, with most of the Politburo increasingly denying the practical problems ideology imposed. Ironically, when Sverdlov was out of commission due to bouts of the Flu in 1919, Lenin mentioned that his loss was felt more than "a loss of an entire army" against the Whites. Zinoviev privately noted that both men became more difficult after their brushes with death and subsequent problems. [...]

At the same time, Red Army was fighting at Warsaw, the so-called Antonovs Uprising started in the Tambov region as a revolt against forced grain confiscation. The starving peasants refused to give up grain to corrupt, violent, and incompetent procurement teams and killed several of them. The incident spiraled into a general uprising against the expected Red Army's reprisal. After a failed attack on the Tambov, they were joined by Alexander Stephanovich Antonov, a Left-Socialist-Revolutionary who had been sentenced to death for a prior underground insurrection. He took command of them and turned them into a remarkable fighting force. The uprising continued in 1921 and was an unpleasant issue for the Party as the farmers claimed the Red flag as their banner, reorganized themselves based on Red Army regiments with their own political commissars, and even had infiltrators in the Cheka.

Due to the low presence of Red Army troops and the leadership abilities of Antonov, the peasant army managed to regularly capture railway trains carrying grain or conduct devastating surprise attacks against military outposts. By October of 1920, Bolsheviks lost control of the region outside of the Tambov and some other cities and the rebellion swelled to 50 000 fighters, many of them army deserters. The rebellion continued to spread to the neighboring areas.

Sverdlov singled this out as the most imminent military threat facing the regime, first indirectly and then directly quashing with Stalin, Trotsky and others who still fawned over Poland. "Tukhachevskys' army was needed at Tambov, not Krakow or else it will be needed at Kremlin. " Sverdlov also pushed for an immediate focus on the problems with grain, noting that large-scale famines were unavoidable and the grain requisition regime had proven to have been unsustainable. Sverdlov authored a November resolution that called for a "rebirth of the agriculture, distribution, and production" and called for finding a "temporary way of coexistence with the bourgeois powers" and a "greater role of collective Party organs" in the running of the country.

Although this was not far out of tune with Lenins' own ideas and plans, the Central Committee had interpreted this as an attack on the Party itself. Sverdlov was technically the leader of the state as both the Chairman of the Central Executive Committee. and the Chairman of the Secretariat of the Russian Communist Party. Zinoviev had inquired if a single person should fulfill both roles which were obviously aimed as a barb against Sverdlov. The Ninth Party Congress had raised the question of one-person leadership, but a wave of discontent was narrowly avoided by pleas for unity. Even Lenin wondered if Sverdlovs previous loyalty was gone and he was either behind those calls or supportive of it. Certainly, Sverdlov did not lack an independent streak, the question was if he was ambitious enough. An alternative hypothesis was that Lenin sought to create another bogeyman to unite the Politburo against instead of him.

The resolution gained a lot of support as problems in Russia were evident. Even as the White forces dwindled down, the economy had fully collapsed. Stubborn as Lenin was, he finally decisively switched tracks and agreed with Sverdlov to a series of comprehensive changes although he would first release a series of essays and proclamations about he was correct and the end of the unfair Versailles order was at hand, all thanks to the victory in Poland. When the government announced a one-third reduction in rations in all cities, protests spread through Russia.
--The Battle for Red Supremacy, 1988
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"The war in Poland was started by the Polish and lost by the Polish. The Polish state was created by the Entente and lost by the Entente. Communists snatched victories out of defeats by failures of the civilized West."
--Winston Churchill
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With the apparent "victory" in Poland, the questions of what front should be prioritized now stressed the differences between Lenin and the rest of the Party. Lenin still toyed with the idea of continuing to press westwards to the horror of his associates. Lenin directed his fury at Stalin and Yegorov due to the absolute failure of the southern westward trust. Not only had they failed to follow Tukhachevsky, but 25,000 Polish troops under Haller have moved eastwards.

Yegorov and Stalin blamed the situation in Ukraine and a collapse of logistical lines, and Stalin lobbied that the Party should refocus itself on Crimea where general Wrangel was still based. This is was possibly a political maneuver to save himself and take away prestige from Trotsky but Lenin refused to refocus from Poland and Germany, even when Trotsky came against it. Yegorov and Stalin were saved by the far greater impact of the Rape of Warsaw and the influence of Sverdlovs' On Economic Problems.

Allegedly, Politburo was nearly pressed into discussing how to restrain Lenin after he opposed British probings into an armistice in Poland, obtained through Chicherins' channels. While Politburo was content to use the proposed terms as the starting point for discussion, rejecting many of the terms, only Lenin wanted to prolong the negotiations indefinitely believing that the Red Army could be reinvigorated for a 1921 push towards Germany which would be ripe for a socialist uprising.

Lenin demanded securing Poland east of the Vistula, including Krakow, Torun, and Gdansk which was not tactically feasible at that moment without further manpower and equipment. The Red Army was exhausted, uncoordinated, and rebellious. The battle for Warsaw nearly led to a massive rout of the army and it is arguable that the fires and the refugee crisis narrowly prevented a more successful Polish urban resistance. However, if south Poland could be secured, the Bolsheviks would have a very successful advantage. They could persist and claim sovereignty over all of Poland through their puppet government or they could leave the west of Poland under some kind of international management, implicitly dividing Poland back to pre-Great War lines which would encourage new conflicts within Germany. Yegorov and Budionny got the redemptive task of intercepting and destroying Hallers' thrust.

Trotsky had an especially finicky role as he won the most from the victory in Poland yet he had to pressure for the cessation of advances knowing very well that the Red Army was barely holding the occupied areas. His influence was rising on the heels of victory in war he opposed and it was difficult to ascertain what he honestly believed and what he claimed as politically expedient. The capture of Warsaw had turned into a disaster which he could claim he warned of, yet he could not leave out Kamenev and Tukhachevsky dry. Trotsky was supportive of a general westward push, just not right now, and avoided taking a hard stance on negotiations with the British and the League.

Karl Radek, who had previously warned that Polish workers would never welcome Russian invaders found himself increasingly out of tune with the unrealistically jubilant mood in the Party. Lenin blamed the failure of the worker uprising solely on the "wrong application of terror" and informally proposed a timetable of 2 to 5 years before Poland would formally join the rest of the Soviet Republics in one unified federation, along with Ukraine and other freed republics. Lenin's timetable was based mostly on his calculations of worldwide revolutions and mostly disregarded Polish nationalism. Lenin had furiously accused Stalin of chauvinism when he warned that Poles are too proud to be joined with any federation centered in Russia.*

Lenin was very much alone in his plans although it did not seem so to those unable to read between the lines. Stalin had been forced to double-down on ethnic reengineering of Poland, Radek had been marginalized, Trotsky made sure he was supportive of the world revolution. The Party, although nearly desperate for the resumption of the trade, the end of the blockade, and humanitarian aid, bitterly and sarcastically refused the British offer of arbitration over the Polish situation, refusing all the proposed terms and reaffirming claims over Gdansk. This bout of insanity happened even as it was obvious that soviet revolutions in Baltic countries were lost and local forces were pushing out communist forces; indeed Chicherin had already approved negotiations for peace treaties with the Baltic republics.

--The War of Lenin and Marx, 3rd ed., 1970

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"Our Warsaw, terrorized and ready to surrender, is crying, but we do not hear its clear voice ... we are in a crisis; the struggle in Russia is becoming international - the fate of the world is being decided."
-- Felix Dzerzhinsky,17th August 1920*
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The number of Red Army troops had dropped sharply since the beginning of the drive. At the time of the Battle of Warsaw only 50 000 soldiers could be committed and 75% of the troops allocated to the Western front were out of commission.* Only around 150 000 soldiers were fighting by mid-August,* and the number dropped to 100 000 by the start of October. Over 60 000 reinforcements awaited in Russia but could not be shipped due to lack of locomotives. Incredibly, 3 out of 4 locomotives were inoperational and in demand of repairs making the railroads useless.* The unpleasant truth was that a modest international intervention could have easily forced the Red Army out of Poland and possibly could have forced the Bolshevik state into a collapse. A drive from Danzig or Lithuania towards the south could have easily cut off the Red Army.

Especially given that Haller did not intend to pursue the Reds into Ukraine but attempted a difficult crossing from the south into the north corridor, hoping to catch the Red Army off guard and cut them off. The maneuver would likely be successful if the Polish army was better equipped to cross the marshes, swamps, and dense forests near the Bug river. Initially, Poles managed to avoid Red scouts and accomplished surprising progress before their progress was detected. Due to the destruction of telegraph lines and chaos of the frantic drive towards Warsaw, it took days before Budionny and Tukhachevsky learned of the Blue Army. Tukhachevsky immediately tried to rush troops to stop Haller. Interestingly, fresh troops rushed from Russia arrived quicker than the Red units already around Warsaw and managed to slow the Polish advance. Although Haller managed to win the initial engagements, crucial time was lost and other Red Army troops marched or galloped towards them.

Hallers' gamble could have worked if there was perhaps a concerted drive from Lithuania, or from Romania and Czechoslovakia in the south. But nothing would come out of it. Just before the turnaround in the war, the Czechs were forced to concede a number of border issues to Poland and there was no way to induce Czechs to risk conflict with the Red army. Indeed, France and Britain could not even renege on the recently concluded border on Cieszyn Silesia that came about just months ago (at the Spa Conference) although Czechoslovakia would soon be offered a mandate over Cieszyn. Romania on the other hand was incredibly paranoid about Russia and the Bolsheviks, especially given the recent acquisition of Bessarabia, but was unwilling to engage in an offensive war alone. It had little to gain since it was already doubled as a result of the Great War. Both countries heavily disapproved of Poincarés' growing occupation of Ruhr, fearing it will force Germany and Russia into an anti-Versailles pact.

The Blue Army was trapped in November and soon nearly encircled as Yegorov managed to bring back the Konarmia through the south corridor in a second attempt to capture Lwow. This time Budionny savagely raided the Polish troops, already stretched too much. The Konarmia failed to capture the army, as they were overwhelmed in the rout and received contradictory instructions, including one to immediately head towards Krakow. Half the Polish force was lost while the other escaped south, finally settling in Romania. The Romanian Prime Minister, Constantin Coandă, offered the Polish military men to settle in select areas of Bessarabia. Over the following years, they would be joined by other Poles.

By the end of 1920, the Red Army nominally controlled the bank of Vistula, but had failed to capture either Torun or Krakow. Tukhachevsky and Budionny had to be evacuated east to deal with White forces in Ukraine and the Antonov Uprising which also committed much-needed artillery. Chicherin and the League agreed to an armistice in December of 1920 which meant an end to any possible siege of Torun or Krakow. Indeed, the Red Army could only manage raids across Dunajec river. Tarnow and Lodz were liberated and recaptured twice before the end of the war. Poles had concentrated and fortified in western areas, bolstered uneasily by the Freikorps.

The new Polish government failed to mobilize the Poles into an effective garrison force and various partisan raids continued. Due to directives from Kremlin, the Bolshevik troops were often directed towards confiscation of capitalist goods or futile search for bourgeoise enemies in the cities. As 1921 continued on and famine hit Poland, the Drzezhinsky government was ordered to direct "surplus" grain to hard-hit areas in Russia, working off Stalins' suggestion to punish rebellious or weaken "overly populated" areas. At the same time, Bolshevik propaganda used the same areas of Poland in their pleas for international help as the "imperialist" war of aggression waged left its fields burned down out of spite. The Bolsheviks now had to graciously care for their former enemies and the refugees fleeing from Poznan and Danzig.

Another problem was the captured Polish soldiers who numbered in the tens of thousands. To the great annoyance of the Bolsheviks, if they were released they would seek to rejoin the partisans, if imprisoned they would require a guarding force, and worst of all, many of them refused to initially join the Bolshevik ranks (this would change the following year with famine). Neither forced conscription nor massive executions were deemed possible "at this point." Dzerzhinsky initially ordered a campaign of purging the officer corps but that left tens of thousands of ordinary soldiers. He had encouraged a policy of transporting captured troops towards various dungeons or prisons where they would be eliminated, all under the guise of a short prison sentence. The government would later officially claim they were resettled in penal colonies with "developing or lacking infrastructure."

The weak Bolshevik position in 1921 could be have been used by the remaining Polish troops reorganizing in Poznan and other western areas of Poland had there not been a breach of uneasy trust between the Germans and Poland. Sporadic incidents become frequent as it was obvious that the Bolsheviks will remain on the Vistula. Local Germans sought to disarm Poles bolstered by the anger over the situation in Germany proper and weapons frequently appeared in their hands, delivered by Freikorps. Although Germans were a minority, they could count on support from Germany; the Poles could count only on weakened communist Poland.

The issue was complicated by demographics: the Germans had accounted for one in twenty citizens of Poland [2] and one in five citizens of Western Lands. About one-third of 600 000 Germans lived in ten counties, and the remaining two thirds were spread out over the remaining 48 counties. Many Germans started to leave the area without Polish encouragement and Poznan itself changed in only a few years after the war from a city with one-half Polish population to a city of Polish population of over 90%. In order to Germanize Poznan and other western areas, millions of Germans would need to migrate to the area, or millions of Poles would need to migrate out.

--The War of the Immature States, 2010.

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Pinsk, Agudat Israel (Union of Israel) event
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The question of Jews and Bolshevism was always an unpleasant one. At their core, the popular zionist ideas favored getting Jews out of Europe just as did the antisemites. Many among the Bolsheviks, despite prominent examples of Jewish intellectuals and activists among their number, favored getting rid of the Jews not dissimilar to the Tsarist era pogroms. Others favored "solving" their problem by giving them their own autonomous republic. The Party expert for national questions, Stalin, favored settling them in areas such as Crimea or Ukraine, but Lenin wanted to make Poland quickly ready for assimilation into a communist federation. Tantamount for this was quickly resolving the questions of nationalism so Stalin was given the task of organizing an autonomous territory in Poland.

This of course raised many problems like the question of Polish borders with Ukraine and Belarussia were wide open. Effectively though, the Tsarist Pale of Settlement region or more specifically the Okraina (Kresy in Polish) was revived barely three years after it was ended. In the east, a Lithuanian Republic was established centered in the areas inhabited by Lithuanians and Karaites, and within its confines, the Jewish statelet centered in Pinsk and focused around Polesia.

Officially, the Tuteyshi[3] and Jewish Autonomous Kraj was declared on April 5th 1921, the anniversary of the Pinsk massacre of 1919, in which the Polish commander executed three dozen jews over alleged collaboration with the Bolsheviks and Zionism (a crime which was described by Jewish-American diplomat Henry Morgenthau Sr.*). The Party's plan was to resettle Jews from around Poland and Russia into commanding majorities into Volynia, Lublin, and Bialystok. This did not go as planned in 1921 mostly due to the complete logistical collapse of the Bolsheviks who had suffered uprisings, disease, and famine. The Polish regime tried to gain favor with the population by "freeing" many cities of the burden of Jews, mostly eradicating entire villages and removing the poor from the cities by forcing them to settle in TJAK. Poles in TJAK and other ethnicities were initially not forced to resettle, although some moved on their own to the "freed" houses of the arriving Jews.

There was some cautious embracement of the new regime and the Territory. The Bolsheviks strove to eradicate illiteracy (the highest in Poland) and awarded seized land to peasants under the auspices of the New Economic Policy. The Pinsk Massacre took the centerpiece of a new history heavily emphasizing Polish antisemite history and the victimhood of Jews and Tuteyshi. Bolsheviks emerged as liberators and righters of wrongs. This struck a chord with some international Jewish organizations although TJAK technically existed as a rival for a homeland in Palestine.

The TJAK was only one among the projects of the ethnic reengineering of Poland (the next one was Ruthenian Territory). Lenin hoped that like in Russia, by settling various national questions through liberations, class consciousness would be born. And if not, local parties would be hard-pressed to give their liberties to any remnant nationalist Poland.
--The Grand History of the Hurbans in the Twentieth Century, 1998
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"We are ready to make a rampart against Bolshevism, as you can see it is not only in our interests, but also in the interests of Western countries. We just ask them to provide us with the weapon.”
--Hans von Seeckt, letter, January 31st, 1920*
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As the German governments complained futilely of the Bolshevik threat in Poland and the Third Internationale boasted of the upcoming revolution in Germany, in reality, both countries had a common interest: bypassing the Paris order and the League. General von Seeckt had sought an understanding with Bolshevik Russia since 1919, dispatching secret missions to Russia. Von Seeckt was incredibly interested in military cooperation against Poland and the Polish foolishness accomplished that goal in 1920. Poland seemed to have been de facto partitioned again. Trotsky assured him that Poland will be a bridge between Germany and Russia, not a barrier and the 1914 borders were more than acceptable to Russia.

The second order of common interest was evading the Versailles limits on German armament and standing army. The great Red threat was also a perfect location for an unholy military-industrial alliance. Over 1921, von Seeckt started to prepare plans for a collaboration with Russia independently of any diplomatic effort by the German governments. Banned production and research would be moved to Russia and investments hidden in the Reichswehrs's black budget. But the chaos in Germany, renewed outbreaks of the flu, and economic disaster in Russia delayed the efforts to 1922 and 1923. Lenin approved of those plans and allowed for special concessions for German companies. They would be effectively given control over the Russian industrial plants under the political supervision of communist officials. Military research and development would continue there, while Russians would gain access to technology, engineering and train thousands of new experts.

Another independent party would be German industrialists. Power industrialist Walther Rathenau was one of the businessmen and financiers who visited Karl Radek in his Berlin cell prior to his deportation. Rathenau raised the possibility of increased German-Russian trade. Ideology took second place towards the practical gains that could be gained by the Russian markets. In 1922 and 1923, Germany managed to beat Britain as Russia's major source of imports.*

The Russian victory over Poland aroused the nationalists in Germany. Victor Kopp, the Russian representative in Berlin wrote to Chicherin in September of 1920 that as a result of their victories on the Polish front and pending collapse of Poland the idea of eastern orientation in Germany has never been higher. "The rightist nationalist circles, which linked his idea with the dreams of a military attack, jointly with Soviet Russia against France, now call for an open alliance." [3] As a result, a number of right voices adopted a more forgiving attitude to Soviet Russia, either out of hope of an unofficial alliance or preventing a French-Russian rapprochement.

In the coming years, despite economic difficulties for Russia, the diplomatic constellation would prove to be favorable for Russia. Britain wanted to resume trade, Germany wanted to cooperate in any way possible, secret or international, and even circles in France considered if a rapprochement with the Bolsheviks could be considered in order to neutralize Germany, especially with the Anglo-French tensions. Provided of course, Lenin and the Party would be amenable.

The Russian policy coined in 1921 was simple. They would pursue both their pragmatic and revolutionary aims without sacrificing either, shifting emphasis according to circumstances.* There was no inherent contradiction between traditional diplomacy and trade, promotion of international proletarian revolution, or secret pacts. Comintern would be carefully distinguished from the Russian state to confuse the observers. Disputes between Zinoviev, head of the Comintern, and Chicherin, commissar for the foreign affairs would be approved topic for caricatures and discussion in the papers. The battle for the power of the institutions would only begin.

--The Inking of the Unholy Alliance, 1964

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*OTL
[1] RIP Stefan Gil.
[2] Actually 1 in 25, but the ITTL the number is overestimated in German favor.
[3] Tuteyshi is a slightly distorted spelling name for the OTL Tutejszy, under influence of russification.
[4] OTL he wrote a different letter. "As a result of our failures on the Polish front and the pending peace with Poland . . . the idea of eastern orientation [in Germany] even if not completely disappeared, in any case, got blurred. The rightist nationalist circles, which linked this idea with the dreams of a military attack, jointly with Soviet Russia against France, now call for its complete abandonment"


> The update has been updated post-publishing, mainly altering details of internal Soviet dynamics and economy. Further footnotes were added.
 
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America First
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"Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard."
--H.L Mencken, The Smart Set, 1915*
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I've read in the newspapers about that biological theory of evolution they teach now. Animals change over time, they adapt to suit their environment. This is why those African animals with long necks have long necks. They need them to reach the leaves which are very high. I am not sure if the theory is correct I gather that human life is very much like that. Not the biology, the opportunities. America changes from place to place, year to year. Until recently there weren't any Negroes in the city and the war brought them here. Women could not vote and they would soon be able to vote just like their husbands. The bars would be closed down soon. The Father says it is good, the people whom I shave say this is bad. The factory that employed a thousand closed down, leaving thousand and a half unemployed, both war veterans and the Negroes that were brought in to replace them. My brother's union went from nonexistent to recognized to illegal within several years. He had gone to fight in France and died last autumn in his bed due to Flu. Some people have started going to the Church on other days than Sunday; others declare the Bible to be inaccurate. I hear a lot of arguments in the shop. The people argue a lot.

I do not know whom to trust. I read the papers when no use peruses them in the barbershop. One day they say the Bolsheviki are everywhere and another that is all just criminals and panic. We welcomed veterans one day and then shunned them after they came down with some kind of disease, newrastenya [1] I believe it is called. The League is good - it will mean no war. The League is bad - it will mean war. The tariffs are too low, the tariffs are too high. News about bribes are side by side with news of strikes being broken down. It puzzles me.

Papers are just as fickle as people. Some got rich by the war, others are barely making things by due to rising prices. They say they want normal, but everyone wants change, to get better. They just don't want to lose anything. The older people, theysay there was enough change or hasn't been enough change. My people, the young, they just want the opportunity to enjoy new things like the radio or the movies. I don't drink; I save my money, and I hope to one day move out and get one of Ford's machines. Mom told me some people inquired why I don't have a girl, am I one of those sodomites? The death of our president has everyone on the edge. I am actually saving to move to Emporia where I intend to apply for a newspaper. I am self-educated, but I know how to read and write well. I know who killed McKinley and who killed Taft. I've read every editorial of Mr. White - I want to work for him one day. He says Wood is the man, and with his election a new time will dawn for forgotten people, a dawn of clarity. I like that. I want things to be clear one day. Clear America.

--diary of Jonah E. Smith, 1920
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"I was the Wilson administration's spare tire - to be used only in case of emergency."
--Thomas Riley Marshall*
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President Marshall signs suffrage into law, 1919
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"They call it a promotion, but it feels more like a punishment. Overnight I moved from the legislative to the executive branch."
--Thomas Riley Marshall
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President Marshall often joked he had preferred his role as vice-president due to his preference for the legislative branch of the office, but that seems at odds with his life. He had previously been the governor of Indiana, an office he had preferred to that of his run for the Indiana Congress. Some more welcoming biographers have called Marshall a complex personality, that of contrasting tendencies. Although he was politically active since his youth, he had not run for any office before he was asked to run for the Indiana General Assembly. As a governor, he was driven, progressive, and effective, but had little taste for political fighting. As such he was pretty different compared to Wilson. One was grandstanding and serious, the other one was low-key and jovial. One was an idealistic mule-head, the other one was prone to compromise to progress.

Of course, they have not found each other on the ticket together to balance their personalities. Indiana was a battleground state and he was considered a safe choice for the Party. Even if Wilson could not stand him personally, they shared many of the same political convictions. Marshall once quipped that "Democrats, like poets, are born, not made."* Marshall for his part was content with his marginalized position, and following Wilsons' lead while often being kept in the dark. [...]

The greatest contrast between the two men came when it came to trusting the system. Marshall found the European statesmen too much like Wilson - indomitable and distrustful of their own government, their own servicemen. Marshall had no illusions about the failures of men but he trusted the system and was highly unwilling to exceed the authority intended for him by the Constitution. This had proven quite irksome to Clemenceau and others at the conference since American guarantees to France had to be phrased rather creatively.

Marshall in turn disliked Clemenceaus' attempts to have Marshall personally intervene in the proposals about the continuation of wartime resource pooling, the question of allied debt, and a number of other private issues. Marshall placed his trust in Robert Lansing which caused an obvious shift towards a more pro-British position. When the Marshall Affair erupted, he was mostly amused by the situation as the French newspaper ran afoul with the story when the tense issues were already resolved. "They tried to light a cigar after it was already smoken."

However, Marshall was no fool. He knew better than Wilson the tumultuous nature of America; he had navigated successfully to secure the Congress would vote for the Charter of the League of Nations. He had lobbied for what goals of Wilson he considered to be reachable but thought America could not deal with problems outside of its hemisphere. The French newspapers would condemn Marshall, accusing him of dishonoring the dead soldiers. At one point during the summer of 1919, Marshall explained that America will help Europe with "bankers and diplomats, instead of soldiers."

[...]

As soon as the defeat of Germany was secured, the prospect of international intervention in Russia arose. Certainly, the country was wracked with famine and civil wars and most Entente leaders did not believe the Bolshevik government would survive. Early interventions in Russia were incursions meant to protect the war materials stockpiled there and ensure that anti-Bolshevik forces were subsidized. When the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk was signed, the British and the French stopped encouraging Bolsheviks to stay in the war and started dividing Russia into future spheres of operation. British interventions followed in Murmansk and in Archangel, followed by later interventions in Central Asia in the Autumn of 1918. The French engaged more following the Armistice sending a mixed force of French, Greek and Polish troops to secure Odessa. The less said about the French expedition the better given they ended up fighting not one, not two, but five mutually hostile groups.

It was not surprising that Marshall was heavily skeptical about the prospects of American involvement. The American interest in the Russian Civil War was mostly prompted not by prior promises made by Wilson to the Entente but the size of the Japanese intervention which devoted 70 000 men to eastern Siberia and avoided decisively helping either Kolchaks armies or fighting Bolshevik forces. Marshall resisted all demands to send more troops besides those already sent by Wilson in the summer of 1918 and withdrew Americans from Archangel by June of 1919. This helped fuel the distrust between the French, the British, and the Americans, with Marshall pointedly placing the issue as a problem for the yet-to-be-officially- founded League of Nations.

Despite fierce pressure from the Conservatives, Chamberlain wanted to start negotiations with the Bolsheviks given that there was no support for a possibly prolonged war in Russia, not for troops nor for aid nor for loans. The British Prime Minister repeatedly clashed with Churchill, Curzon, and Montagu over whether a major intervention would make a difference in the long term. He was also pressured by Clemenceau who opposed any negotiations with the Bolsheviks unless they acknowledge Tsarist debts and obligations. Marshall, Chamberlain, Clemenceau, and Orlando all found repeated presentations for a massive coalition by Marshall Foch and Churchill "ludicrous." Clemenceau had to back down once he realized that Romanians, Poles, or Baltic Germans could not be organized to be the troops in the coalition, but opposed negotiations believing that the prolonged civil war would turn against the Bolsheviks.

Marshall adopted a similar position, pulling Americans out of the conflict but ruling out any diplomatic effort which was helped by a divided Senate. In the end, Marshall famously "left it to Hoover." Herbert Hoover was at the time one of the most powerful men in the world as he had amassed significant power as the chief of the Allied relief administration. Hoover favored continuing the status quo in Russia by offering the carrot of humanitarian aid. Lenin and the Politburo refused the terms but continued to negotiate for relief assistance which was later granted.

[...]

Marshall's cabinet was fraught with trouble. Despite Marshall's willingness to not be confrontational many of the Wilsonites tries to enforce their will or refused to work with Marshall. Rumors circulated about suggestions he resigned so that the secretary of state, Robert Lansing, could succeed to the presidency. Of course, it turned out that Lansing and Marshall forged an excellent working relationship. During 1918 and 1919 nearly half of the cabinet and other elected officials left their office, unsatisfied with Marshall. Marshall demanded respect but was averse to personal conflicts and encouraged dissenting opinions. He wanted to be guided by common consent but not be subordinated to it.

In a less charitable view, Marshall managed to be just independent enough to annoy the Party but pliant enough not to be seen as an heir to Wilson. His strengths as a vice-president and in the Senate translated poorly into the presidency. Marshall had simply too many responsibilities and not enough will and time to carry them out. His office hid that he spent nights and evenings trying to educate himself on all the hidden wheels behind Wilson's presidency, preferring to keep his image as a vigorous quick-witted jokester.

Privately he had called the ratification of the Eighteenth Amendment a "foolishness" and dismissed the importance of the Nineteenth Amendment although he had not used his office to attempt to prevent its passages, recognizing they are inevitable. All the major legislation during Marshall's two years in office came from outside out of his own initiatives, outside of two meek infrastructure bills. Marshall had managed to ensure Senate ratified the Treaty of Versailles by six votes, mostly by convincing doubters that the League Charter will contain no provision obligating the United States to war (in other words, not of Congressional choosing). On the issue of immigration and tariffs, Marshall was hamstrung by trying to ascertain what an acceptable goal was for the Party and achievable in the Congress and became a non-entity in the debates.

When it came to strikes and riots, Marshall readily encouraged local governments to deal with them. The two anarchist bombing waves caught Marshall unprepared and he was blamed for not doing anything. The Overman Committee took the lead on the First Red Scare. A star in the movement emerged in Archibald E. Stevenson, a New York attorney who testified about the far-reaching "dangerous, destructive and anarchistic sentiments" and named numerous individuals, ranging from pacifists to, university professors. Marshall was forced to intervene and have his Cabinet dismiss Stevenson as a false expert with little credibility on intelligence.

The hysteria continued as a state senate committee was formed in New York to study Bolsheviki activities which continued to operate into late 1920 in which Stevenson was prominent. Another star of the Overman Committee was the Alien Property Custodian Palmer who testified on the danger of German interests. The Overman Committee on the other hand winded down after the lengthy report published in the summer of 1919, warning of the dangers of communism, namely "a program of terror, fear, extermination, and destruction." That would not be the end of the anti-German nor the anti-Bolshevik hysteria, nor of Palmer's influence.

--American Presidency in the Third and the Fourth Party System, 1986
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"The storm is within and very soon will leap and crash and annihilate you in blood and fire. We will dynamite you!"
--Galleani, 1919*
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In early 1919 Marshall had to appoint a new Attorney General. The leading candidate was Alexander M. Palmer, who had been appointed the United States Alien Property Custodian in 1917. Palmer was overseeing the seizure of enemy property and had amassed significant political support within the Democratic Party. Marshall however refused to nominate Palmer despite his popularity opting for a candidate with more legal expertise which surprised some observers.

Palmer had courted Wilsons' circle but had been primarily opportunistic and ambitious enough that any personal dislike should not have been a factor. Palmer had extensive support in the Party since he rewarded many Democrats with positions. Seeking to remain relevant after the war, he had claimed in the Overman Committee hearings held at the twilight of the Great War that there is a significant threat to American industry from the German one.* Although the industry in question was about the brewers association and alleged pro-German sentiments by the liquor industry, Palmer maintained his previous position that Germany intended to conquer the world through industrial expansion even after the War. His powers should thus be increased and continued. This went hand in hand with various nativist sentiments and fears about the German metals industry.

The Office continued to operate after the Armistice and even after the signing of the Versailles treaty. There were thousands of trusts overseeing businesses worth hundreds of millions of od dollars, many of them still awaiting evaluation. Palmer publically stated the Office managed the "biggest general store in the country".* Not only were the military acts not terminated, but Palmer also kept his powers to sell confiscated assets. [...]

Although America was arguably the greatest Entente victor of the Great War, it too had its significant share of problems. Proponents of unions, racial unrest, economic inequality, and others were pushed into the backseat with the shadow of the Great War. Arguably, the Great War ended too quickly for America, as the production had just switched to wartime production and now had to return to normal. Inflation exceeded 15% in 1919 and 1920, eradicating wage gains made during wartime. Employers rescinded their recognition of unions, prompting strikes. Black Americans found themselves fired in favor of returning veterans, soon after having migrated to cities outside the South. Racial tensions rose in the competition for low wages. Shipyard workers stuck in Seattle, policemen in Boston. The Congress blamed the revolutionaries inspired by the Bolshevik revolution in Russia. After all, short-lived Soviet republics popped up in Germany and Hungary. Despite widespread fears, by and large, American labor was mostly not receptive to revolutionary ideas. But in a country of millions, radical groups were present.

One of them was the anarchist followers of the Italian anarchist Galleani who had urged "propaganda by the deed" and promoted violence through spreading information about both bomb-making and personal details of capitalist figures such as businessman, strikebreakers, politicians, and other enemies of the people. Galleani published an anarchist newsletter for 15 years which was shut down only in 1918 under the provisions of the Sedition Act. Bombings by Galleanist have started as early as 1914 in New York and some of the failed plots included blowing up the St. Patrick's Cathedral or mass poisoning in Chicago, but their activities diminished greatly after the initial peak when Galleanists urged his followers to flee to Mexico in 1917 to avoid being drafted.

This did not last as by 1918 many of them returned to America and resumed bombings. Galleano's newsletter was shut down in February and police acquired over 3000 names of subscribers, although nothing would come out of it. Bombing campaigns continued in 1919 and attempted to coordinate. The first wave of mail bombs attempted to target prominent figures and anti-Galleanists all over the country, but due to the incompetence of the bombers, many of the mail bombs were not shipped to insufficient postage, they were delivered too early or too late, or failed to detonate.

The second wave of bombings followed in June of 1919 and featured personal delivery of much larger dynamite bombs (up to 25 pounds of it) at the homes of government officials who had endorsed various anti-sedition laws. Ironically, the Alien Property Custodian, Mitchell Palmer was targeted again due to his strong support for deportation and imprisonment of anarchists. Palmer and his wife survived, although the anarchist and two of Palmers' neighbors perished. The neighbors from across the street, Assistant Secretary of the Navy Franklin D. Roosevelt, and his wife Eleanor, were returning home and caught the anarchist in the act which led to premature detonation and the deaths of all three of them. [1] They were the only people who died in the second wave of bombings, although a number of people were wounded.

The Palmer residence was largely demolished although both of the Palmers survived. The investigation uncovered that each of the nine bombs was delivered with pink flyers with the text calling for a violent class uprising. Palmer had been vindicated. He had always warned about the threats of the communist radicals, which seemed in tune with the events in 1919. Race riots, strikes, assassinations, and other events led to Palmer using his connections to paint himself in the newspapers as the man for the job. Headlines called "Draft Palmer" and equated the red threat with Bolshevism and alien threats from abroad.

Marshall considered nominating him but did so in agreement with the Department of Justice when it became apparent Marshall the current Attorney General (wounded by an attempted bombing) will not return to his duties. Palmer became the Attorney General in August of 1919 and initially showed little results, blaming his recent appointment. He soon responded frantically, launching thousands of indictments based on political leanings. One of his raids resulted in a shootout that wounded seven bystanders and killed one, while the targets, including communist John Reed, escaped capture. Palmer refused to take the blame for the incident, and instead blamed the Boston police and their leftist sympathies.

A confrontation emerged with the presidential cabinet as Palmer demanded that an obstructing member of the Department of Labor is fired. In the process, Marshall's Secretary of Labor nearly resigned over interference. President Marshall in turn tried to course-correct and forced Marshall to dismiss his head of the Radical Divison, the young and paranoid J. Edgar Hoover, over accusations levied against Felix Frankfurter in an unrelated issue. In the aftermath, Palmer was forced to retract many of his warnings about the upcoming Bolshevik violence as an internal review revealed Hoover had invented many of the claims. He was dragged before the Senate to testify about the previous warnings but received a slap on the wrist due to conservative fears of revolution. However, this meant not only he would not get further funding and authority, the internal audit actually curtailed his activity.

Palmer was furious as he regretted leaving the office of the Alien Property Custodian. He complained about his hands being tied by reticent politicians, but the public started to lose interest in the vast conspiracy and show more sympathy towards the leftist given the worsening recession. Palmer continued to look for signs of German spying and sabotage, managing to guess they could be possible proxies for Bolshevik influence. He used old debts to encourage newspapers to run with speculation he could be nominated as the vice-president at the Democratic Convention but nothing came of it (although a number of delegates did cast votes for him). When it seemed that Palmers' star faded, a criminal act launched his star again.
--The Inking of the Purple Curtain, 2nd ed.
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"War, Class war, and you were the first to wage it under the cover of the powerful institutions you call order, in the darkness of your laws. There will have to be bloodshed; we will not dodge; there will have to be murder: we will kill, because it is necessary; there will have to be destruction; we will destroy to rid the world of your tyrannical institutions."

--
messages attached to the second wave anarchist bombs, 1919*
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Wall Street bombings, 1920
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In the summer of 1920, a Yale professor of law was murdered by a vengeful criminal. The professor of law was a former president and the criminal was a son of Prussian immigrants.

Carl Panzram was a dysgenic person since his birth in 1891 in Minnesota. He had frequently included in thievery and larceny and refused to follow authority. Seeking an outlet for his behavior, he had enlisted in the U.S. Army in 1907 but not surprisingly found himself poorly suited to follow a military life. He was sentenced to several years in For Leavenworths' Disciplinary Barracks for larceny. The sentence was approved by then-current Secretary of War, William Howard Taft.

Panzram raked an impressive number of criminal feats, including robberies, rapes of (male) victims, arson, shootouts, and prison escapes culminating in his successful escape in 1918. Unlike previous escapes, he was not recaptured quickly. He had graduated to an unknown number of deliberate murders and moved throughout the country. He found himself in New Haven, seeking revenge against Taft. Panzram invaded Tafts home but found Taft and his assistant there who had unexpectedly returned home to retrieve some papers. The details were never clarified but Panzram nearly beat the assistant to death and killed Taft. The 62-year old Taft had tried to defend himself futilely, even managing to fire a bullet.

Panzram proceeded to sodomize the former president while he was still alive, vandalized his home, stole a large amount of jewelry and bonds as well as Taft's handgun, before leaving misleading messages on the walls and escaping. The police would investigate the New Haven residence to find a grizzly scene, including misspelled messages scribbled on the walls in Taft's blood, purporting this is the work of "comunists" and that "Keyser", "London" and "Debs" send their regards. Panzram would later admit he had allegedly previously hoped to start a war during the American neutrality* and did not want to as much to hide his identity as he hoped to spark a new war. He lamented that he had not chosen a single culprit but he was riding high on the thrill of having gotten his revenge.

The news shocked the public and newspapers which ran away with the speculation about the murders. Especially after one newspaper acquired the details about the murder, including sodomization, which was initially hidden from the press. Rumors ran wild on who committed this and why while a manhunt searched for the perpetrators. Thousands of European immigrants and suspected socialists were questioned, and over a hundred detained as possible suspects.

The newspapers and the public opinion settled on anti-red hysteria given that there was already significant labor unrest and anarchist bombings and persisted even after Panzrams' capture. Panzram was captured two weeks later while trying to sell off a piece of jewelry. He nearly died after the arrest due to injuries sustained during his capture and his trial would not start until 1921, when Tafts' assistant also recovered enough for the trial. This infuriated the American public who was outraged at Taft (who they had voted out less than a decade ago) being sodomized to death by an immigrant sexual deviant. Spontaneous acts of vengeance appeared all over the states. Immigrants, homosexuals, black Americans, socialists, and others were blamed. Eugene Debs was nearly beaten to death in his cell. Ku Klux Klan embraced the fight against sexual deviancy and claimed it is the result of miscegenation. Various influential people demanded stronger eugenic laws, a harsher prison system, and the expansion of the death penalty. As the elections were in full swing, Republicans and Democrats readily embraced this into their platforms.

Palmer launched various renewed raids against suspected German-Bolsheviki collaborators and warned of a conspiracy between various criminal, immigrant, and leftist groups to undermine America. He claimed that Panzram was paid off by foreign spies and defied the attempts of executive oversight, bolstered by his support in the Senate. Marshall lamented that the "damned fool is more popular than Washington and as effective as typhus." When anarchists bombed Wall Street in September (killing over three dozen people), Palmer went into a frenzy. Over five thousand people were arrested during the next two weeks on vague suspicions, and announced war on "anarchy, communism, and sedition." He rejected constraints imposed on him, using vague court injunctions to sanction his raids. His critics commented that he was acting increasingly manic, but he was too popular and too determined to reverse the constraints placed on him.

Palmer soon overstepped when he issued a public warning that the elections would be likely attacked by a coalition of unAmerican elements and called for the national guard, state militias, army, and the police to be mobilized. Within two days, he was condemned by everyone who was someone in politics, calling him a fool who created panic and interfered with the sacred process of democracy. Newspapers believed he Palmer was dragged before the now uniformly hostile Congress and announced he would resign in 1921, regardless of the outcome of elections.

--The Eugenic History of Twentieth Century America , 2nd ed.

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"The platform of America is America first, first through justice and fair dealing; government under the constitution with each department functioning within its own limits; no autocracy of wealth; no autocracy of labor, but a real democracy for both; no class domination of legislation, and untrammeled and fearless judiciary. Courts free from any taint of political influence or control. [...] An intense spirit of national solidarity is needed, avoiding loose-fibered internationalism as we would death, for it means national death. [...] A strong but not quarrelsome foreign policy; tolerant, seeking peace, but protecting the interest of Americans wherever they are residing. [...] A careful regulation of immigration with a view of keeping out undesirable and dangerous elements."

--general Leonard Wood explaining Americanism, 1920*
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Democratic Convention, San Francisco, 1920

The 1920 Democratic National Convention was held in California, the first time any party held its convention on the West Coast. The nomination was naturally handed over to the current president, Thomas R. Marshall, the first vice-president to have been reelected in a century. There were still curious personalities in the Party. For one, William Jennings Bryan hoped that he could emerge as a candidate for a fourth time although he did not run.* Another personality emerged in that of the rising star of Alexander Mitchell Palmer. Various allies of president Wilson had tried to push for another candidate, perhaps out of spite, perhaps to send a message to Marshall. Unexpectedly, although Marshall was nominated for the president, a notable minority of delegates tried to cast their votes for various unofficial or illegal candidates, such as the deceased Wilson, Alexander Palmer, and even Jennings Bryan. Prior to the Convention, the progressives wanted to push for the former secretary of the treasury and prohibitionist William Gibbs McAdoo to be placed on the ticket or even challenge Marshall, but McAdoo did not want to be blamed for a 1920 defeat and refused to acknowledge such efforts.

Marshall faced an unexpected difficulty. Filling the vice-presidential slot had proven to be quite problematic due to the strong Party dynamics. Although Marshall had frequently joked that the position is a dud, twice in recent history deaths of a president had given way to people who were thought to have been politically neutralized. McKinley was assassinated and Wilson had been felled by the Flu. Marshall finally nominated a Wilsonite John W. Davis, Wilson's Solicitor General. [...]

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Republican Convention, 1920

Republicans met in Chicago, with no obvious frontrunner. Theodore Roosevelt had died, Charles Evans Hughes ruled out another run, and there were plenty of contenders. The leading contender, Major General Leonard Wood won on the seventeenth ballot despite the fierce resistance of leading Republicans who had tried to deadlock the convention in order to nominate a non-progressive candidate more amenable to the old guard.

The Convention was both bitterly divided over supporting the League of Nations and over personal issues such as the fantastic amount Leonard Wood spent on the campaign. Wood cautiously supported the League despite the pressure to oppose the Democrats, announcing in a speech that League is a necessary institution to prevent further war through honest diplomacy but he will oppose any unnecessary further commitment in the League outside the special "regional understanding" mentioned in the Charter.

Despite the incoming lead, Wood failed to break the deadlock with his contenders, such as the progressive California Senator Hiram Johnson or the Illinois Governor Frank Lowden and it seemed that the convention will turn to the dark horse candidates. Unfortunately, Hiram Johnson backed the Pennsylvania Senator Philander C. Knox, sinking the hopes of the Republican Party Leaders to nominate the conservative Warren Harding as the compromise candidate. Harding, who finished fourth in Indiana during the primaries* was seen as unfit after his support collapsed after the initial rally. A factor in this might have had his illness as Harding had been recovering from the Flu and rumors spread the convention despite the best efforts of his campaign manager. Harding plateaued at the twelfth ballot and was a non-entity by the fourteenth. Lowden and Wood continued to remain in the race, but after other dark horse candidates failed to receive much support (in part due to conflicting backdoor machinations), Wood managed to allegedly buy enough delegates to become the frontrunner again on the sixteenth ballot and clinched the nomination on the seventeenth ballot.

When it came to the vice-presidential nomination Harding once again found himself on the list, but the delegates opted for Calvin Coolidge resulting in further balloting until a compromise candidate was found to be acceptable to the old guard - James Eli Watson of Indiana. Interestingly enough, Watson was beaten for the Indiana governorship by Marshall in 1908. Despite various advantages, Wood refused to consider Harding at even a nominal level, partly since he learned rumors that Harding's campaign manager (and not any of Johnson's allies) might be responsible for the Senate investigation into his campaign funding. Ironically, it was widely believed that Harding's campaign manager sunk other dark horse candidates in order to leave Harding as the only viable alternative.


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General Leonard Wood and his son Osborne in Japan, 1920

The election campaign saw both sides being forced to effectively debate the legacy of late President Wilson. Both Marshall and Wood favored a return to normalcy, American involvement in the League, moderate military readiness, praised the military, and supported a number of progressive reforms. In the campaign, however, differences were accentuated. Wood for example strongly emphasized the League as a diplomatic debating club while accusing Marshall of allowing it to grow into a world constabulary. As Wood declared "will we turn our people to war, it is going to be done under the sole mandate of the American people, and not under any group of foreign nations."* Wood also promised to request additional assurances from the League about American obligations, a promise that was ultimately overblown and targeted towards ensuring support from isolationists in the party. Ultimately, the League membership was an issue that mostly bothered the rank and file politicians, not the electorate.

Marshall's base support was eroded by several factors. Several Wilsonites accused him of abandoning the progressive legacy of Wilson, giving him the appellation of a "hollow bureaucrat" which the Republicans quickly stole for their campaign. Marshall was also found to be too indecisive in dealing with domestic problems, such as the race riots, anarchists bombings, and the Irish problems. Marshall had refused to take a clear stance in the Irish crisis or the anti-German sentiment following the gruesome murder of former president Taft which led to Irish- and German-Americans abandoning him as untrustworthy. Marshall had previously opposed women's suffrage and prohibition, a fact that was brought up by his opponents. Although Marshall did not oppose suffrage now, seeing that it was adopted by the Party, he neither seemed enthusiastic about it when it passed. The Democratic platform was silent on the issue of the prohibition although Marshall continued to oppose Prohibition as a personal citizen.

Marshall and Davis made frequent attacks on the corruption in the Republican party. They reminded that the present Republican majority in the Senate was enabled by a convicted Republican Senator, as well as the popular accusations that Wood bought the Republican election. Another issue where the platforms clashed was the Phillipines. The Democrats endorsed quick independence for the islands while Wood opposed it, saying that "the job is not done yet and Americans are not quitters". There was also the issue that many in the Republican Party tried to take control of the convention and were deeply unhappy about a very progressive candidate coming out on top. [...]

General Wood managed to catch the eye of the public after some initial difficulties. His supporters emphasized his manliness. Wood was one inch shy of six feet, enjoyed swimming, riding, and boxed with Colonel Roosevelt. He was declared the greatest living son of New Hampshire. A popular slogan about Wood was "the man who fits the hour."* Wood emphasized his model governorship of Cuba and promised to create for himself "a neutral background of medicine men."* Wood was outspokenly progressive and clearly supported suffrage. During the convention, the first female endorsement of a candidacy occurred when Corine Roosevelt Robinson (sister of Theodore Roosevelt) endorsed Wood.*

Republicans encountered difficulties facing charges of corruption and their economic policy. Wood avoided touching the worker rights, preferring general statements like "No man should be compelled to work and no man should be prevented from working if he wants to work."*On the other hand, Republicans benefitted tremendously as the party whose candidate clearly endorsed suffrage, offered economic solutions for the recession, and was the party of law and order, especially after Tafts' murder in August. Wood was named Army Chief of Staff by Taft who had met him while they were both in the Philippines.

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The elections of 1920 were also known as the most racist election in recent history, with the resurgent KKK mobilizing against Wood and the Republicans and warning of "a Negro boot on the white man's shoulders." The police prevented two separate possible plots to assassinate Wood, both involving KKK sympathizers, which was another factor in the Secret Service Act of 1921. President Marshall explicitly condemned the violence of the KKK at the urging of his close advisor and secretary Thomas Taggart, even as it provoked criticism from his own party, deeply divided on the issue. Marshall did remark publicly in one occasion that Wood would be elected by the "inexperienced hands of the Negro and the woman." Many black Americans openly stumped for Wood or organized leagues that would afford black Americans the right to vote and even help them cast their vote. They were frequently harassed in the South and every book thrown at them. Palmer's warnings of attacks were used as an excuse to investigate them for supposed "radical danger."

Newspapers infamously discovered that Watson had courted KKK support in Indiana, but Wood refused to dismiss him from the ticket. Watson was well-liked by many Old Guard Republicans despite other differences with Wood. For one, Watson was an isolationist who opposed the League and wanted cuts to the army budget. One newspaper claimed that Wood liked neither Harding nor Watson, and would have preferred another man as his vice-president. Wood did not dismiss the claim and issued a nonstatement that implicitly admitted that Watson was a compromise. Watson was humiliated but could not do anything without sinking his political future.

As the elections approached, Marshall came to attack Wood as a candidate who would centralize power in favor of his progressive views while he would return America to the Congress and the people. Marshall was thus the real candidate for a return to normal and not Wood whose progressive agenda was unsuited for the nation. On the other hand, Wood compared his attitude to leadership as that of a cavalryman and his horse: "sometimes the man has to force the horse through the mud to cross the rapids." Democrats run away with this and accused Wood of considering common Americans to be little less than "mules."

Famously, Marshall accused Wood of being a walking contradiction, "a doctor who favored war, a military man used to commanding civilians like soldiers, a man who believed might makes right." In another speech, Marshall declared that "Wood is a sort of a man who demolishes a family house only to rebuild it in his image." Wood refrained from directly addressing Marshall but noted that his opponent prides on being a "dawdler" and a "drudge." The best zinger Marshall came with was that "his opponent makes enemies out of his colleagues, while I enjoy a good smoke with them." In another exchange of statements, Wood hit Marshall hard by claiming he wants to return the country to the past, while he wanted to prepare it for the future. Marshall famously quipped "What is so bad about our past?"

Wood's campaign funding was brought up again and again. He had outspent all his opponents in the Republican campaign and he had the edge again. About 40% of the funds came from William C. Proctor, manufacturer of Ivory Soap. Democrats accused Wood of trying to buy the presidency for the various military suppliers, directly linking his background and his supporters. Marshall joked that "a Wood America will see each citizen forced to eat soap three times a day." [...]

Marshall proved to be a poor campaigner. While genuinely entertaining and witty in upper circles, he had poor appeal for the common citizen. His wit was lost on the common worker and farmer. Compared to Wood, Marshall was small, thin, and walked with a limp. Caricatures frequently depicted Marshall as a baby and Wood as a giant of a man. Although Marshall strove to campaign all over America, his campaign tour favored proximity to railway stations.

Unlike him, Wood traveled America far and wide, even riding if necessary. He evoked Roosevelt and used his stature and physique at every opportunity. He also did not shy away from answering questions on his personal progressive beliefs and intimated openly that those who oppose him are too backward. At least once he warned that the educated, moral majority is with him and his detractors are people who would "be dismissed by our founding fathers as fools." Wood had to cut down on the number of appearances after coming down with a respiratory disease, but this not mean much. His supporters were enthusiastic and vocal and had the favor of the newspapers.

The elections of 1920 were ultimately unwinnable for Democrats. The recession, the social debts incurred by the Great War, recurrences of the Flu, and the eight years of Democrats meant that any campaign was doomed, lest one where the leading candidate seemed indecisive and distant. Wood won the respect of Americans, some of his opponents, and the vote in a landslide, capturing 63% [2] of the vote and every state outside of South. America was preparing for an imperial presidency, a second Roosevelt.

--American Elections in the Third Era, 4th edition, 1992
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*OTL
[1 ] Actually it is spelled neurasthenia.
[2] OTL the bomb detonated prematurely only minutes after Roosevelts returned from a walk, passing Palmer's residence. Body parts of the anarchist fell down on Roosevelt's property.
[3] OTL Harding captured 61% of the popular vote.
 
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