shiftygiant
Gone Fishin'
Whilst the Community Charge was important to consider in her downfall, it wasn't the singular reason the party rebelled. Thatcher had, from 1987 onwards (and with the resignation of Whitelaw) become increasingly detached from political reality, drunk on the belief that she was unbeatable. The CC was symbolic of the growing gulf between her and her cabinet, especially with Lawson, who was ultimately being sidelined. To put all weight onto the CC is like putting all weight onto the resignation of Howe- important, but removing it won't resolve the underlying issue.The economy improves and she doesn't pursue the poll tax therefore her party doesn't rebel,
Victory in the gulf won't save her if the economy has gone to shit. And to be frank by 1988 there was going to be a recession unless drastic action was taken- action that Thatcher would have never pursued.though the economy continues through a deep recession her popularity remains high after the Persian Gulf War.
Thatcher winning in '92 is ultimately a fantasy (not to mention that she would have called an election in '91) and relies on someone who was out of touch, loathed in large areas of the country- areas that, even without the CC, would only grow because of the inevitable recession- surrounded by young yes men nodding heads for someone who is becoming detached from reality and more concerned with where they'll stand once the party is over as opposed to actually saving the ship, with an opposition that, whilst lead by Neil Kinnock, was becoming a well oiled machine, and after having spent near 14 in power was out of place, out of touch, and irrelevant to the real needs of the country. To borrow a phrase, it was a "grotesque chaos".