The Rise of the Tri-State World Order: A Timeline of Orwell's '1984'

Thought you might enjoy this:
1984 Reflection Paper
Its 10 o’clock at night and I’m sitting at my computer typing this paper. Why, you ask? Because my earlier attempt at this paper was flawed and did not make the cut. So now, I am rewriting it. Unfortunately Sunday was one of those nights and I couldn’t get to sleep until 4 in the morning, so the next day I was exhausted and decided to write this paper when I wasn’t falling asleep at the dinner table and in the shower and…oh never mind.
But, the next day I learned there was a band concert at 5:30 that went till 9 and I didn’t want to postpone the paper anymore so here I am, writing it. Its 10:15 now and my eyes start to feel droopy. Fortunately I’ve got my trusty cup of 7 11 coffee next to me and I take a swig. Ah. That’s much better. Well then, let’s get started.
Where do I start? How about I start with rule number 2? Well, that’s a funny thing. I didn’t actually break this rule. I found it to be very inconvenient to have to say “hello comrade” every single time I wanted to talk to someone.
So instead I just thought it. And isn’t the whole message of the party, that the party’s ideals must be believed in? People are persecuted because of their thoughts. So you could say that people’s thoughts are an extension of their words in the world of 1984. And vice versa, our words are just an extension of our thoughts. When you say something, you have to think about it first. Your brain has to process what you are going to say before you say it. It is by that logic that I stand by the fact that simply thinking something is equivalent to actually doing the thing.
Looking at rule number three a similar argument can be made. When I walked into class, my attitude towards learning and participation was enough to indicate that I was eager to learn. There was no need to say it. It’s definitely more efficient that saying it out loud. One of the goals of the party is to make things simpler and efficient which is apparent through newspeak.
Also, the telescreens watch every single little body movement and facial expression for signs of rebellion. Therefore, attitude and body language are an important factor when watching a person for defiance against the party. This proves that my attitude towards learning was sufficient enough to replace stating my eagerness to learn out loud.
Rule number 6 is an important one. Fortunately I have a reason for it. This is supposed to be top secret but I have been given permission to include it in this report. I was given a food permit by an inner party member who I will call Mr. U to protect his anonymity. This came about after a regularly scheduled physical when my bodily food levels were found to be surprisingly low.
This was an anomaly that the Unusualness department of the Health and Sickness division of the Ministry of Love is now doing extensive research on. New subjects with this strange condition have been popping up ever since Unusdep started its research. It’s being kept on the down low as not to create a panic. So, as a result of my low Bodfud levels being low, I was issued a food permit which allowed me to eat in class to raise the levels up to a normal normalness. A copy of the permit can be found in the appendix of this report.
As for rule number 7, I only broke it when an emergency arose. When I reach my education facility one day, I realized that I had forgotten my tennis bat. I needed it to play tennis in physical activity class, but to get it, I would need to contact my mother to have her bring it to my Edufac. I felt that breaking rule number 7 and getting my Tenbat, was more important that having my education suffer because of not having my Tenbat. So I did what I felt to be the correct thing to do and used an electronic cellular communications device to contact my mother and have her bring my Tenbat to my Edufac. Fortunately I managed to get it before Physact but I must have been spotted in the process and reported.
Now, rule number 8 was broken because of threats of physical violence if I didn’t reveal the reason behind my actions towards some individuals. These threats included, but are not limited to, “I will slap you in the back of the face”, “Tell me or I’ll punch you” and “If you don’t tell me I will kill your family”. OK that last one was a joke. But as for the back of the face one, the individual I quoted literally meant the back of the face. As in inserting his hand into my head and pushing it forward. It’s a thing we joke about. Forget I mentioned it.
Anyway, I figured that I would be much more useful to the party if I wasn’t physically hurt. If the reasoning behind this rule is that it distracts from my education to explain the game to others, I think that it would be much more distracting to my education to have a physical ailment. Of course, these could have been empty threats, but you know what they say. Better safe than sorry. If I decided not to heed these threats and had indeed been attacked physically, I would have defended myself. However, a fight like that would also be distracting to my education.
The next rule to talk about is rule number 9, dealing with wearing the red party ribbon. This was actually a rule that I was unaware I broke. I thought that I had been constantly wearing my ribbon the entire week. I didn’t notice it was gone until around 5 o’clock on Wednesday when I was at home making a robot out of an old cassette player and some LEGOs. Somehow it must have been removed from my person during the week.
Perhaps it was a cheeky friend attempting to “troll” me. Maybe it simply fell off. Or maybe I never even put it on and simply thought I had. The possibilities are endless. Therefore I chose not to think about it too much as this would distract from my education.
Then there’s rule number 11. I broke this rule because to adequately express one’s opinions one needs to speak. Sometimes the only opportunities to speak about things that differ from education are in the idle periods in classes. When I say idle periods, I mean when the teacher isn’t talking to the class. The teacher might also not be present in the room. Both of these situations provide opportunities to discuss things that don’t have to do with the class.
Now you might be thinking, he’s contradicting himself. He said earlier that thought was an adequate means of expressing feelings and opinions. He also said that people shouldn’t be distracted from their education. First of all I never said people shouldn’t be distracted from their education, I simply stated examples of things that would potentially distract someone from their education.
Second of all my argument about needing to talk proves the concept of doublethink which is somehow such a widely accepted word that Microsoft word has it in its default dictionary and recognizes it as a word. That basically means it doesn’t get a little red line underneath it when you type it into Microsoft word. It has to be in the default dictionary because I’ve never typed it into word before and clicked on add to dictionary.
Anyway, the point is, it’s a very widely known word. It is one of the main motifs in 1984. The concept of doublethink is what the party relies on to keep its points valid. It teaches this concept from a very young age so that it is engraved into the mind. The concept is this. Doublethink is the ability to believe something while simultaneously believing the opposite of that thing at the same time. For example, believing that thinking something is equivalent to saying it, while, at the same time, believing that talking about something is absolutely necessary to express one’s feelings about something.
I love the concept of doublethink. It provides instant justification for anything. In that way, it is similar to saying “what the hey” or “YOLO”. It is an excuse or justification of something that doesn’t have a legitimate excuse. Not that I would use it to justify actions that are morally wrong. I simply enjoy the philosophy behind it. It fascinates me that doublethink is a possibility. It shows verisimilitude, or the realistic factor of things in works of fiction.
Doublethink is a realistic ideology. If 1984 had never been written, it is possible that people would have embraced doublethink to justify some of their not so morally correct choices. Humans are greedy and naturally seek ways to justify that greed. Doublethink presents a pretty good way to do it. That is why doublethink is verisimilitude. It could actually happen. Scary isn’t it? Makes you think twice about being part of the human race.
Finally my anti-big brother crimes. Just a stage is all. Just a phase, an urge, a dirty pleasure. I’m a changed man now. At the time I felt my life was unfair and I protested. I now realize I was wrong. My life is great. I have an education, I have security. What else could anyone else need? Who cares about privacy? I sure don’t.
I also don’t care about being able to express myself and my true opinions. No, my rebellious days are over. They are numbered. No, I’m not going to call them the good old days. That’s too cheesy.
This is the appendix of the paper. This is a party food permit. This food permit entitles the holder of this food permit to eat food during class in order to return bodily food levels to their normal normalosity. Approved by Angel Umana/Mr. U.
So that’s my paper. I hope you enjoyed reading it as much as I enjoyed writing it. Yes, despite the fact that it is now 12 o’clock at night, I actually enjoyed writing this. Also, after listening to A fifth of Beethoven by Walter Murphy and Staying Alive by The Bee Gees on repeat for the past two hours to keep out distractions, I think I’m going to take a break from listening to 80s music for awhile. I’m going to sleep. Goodnight.

-Guess Who ;)
 
if everyone's too uncomfortable with a 1940 Silver Shirt victory,

something more plausible would be a successful version of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_Plot under Pelley--pushing things a little earlier than 1948 (which was what Orwell was lampooning)
nor is this really incompatible with a British North Korea scenario: Airstrip One could just be a heavily-propagandized backwater: in 20s technocratic fashion, Oceania would favor California, the U.S. east of Texas and Minnesota, south Brazil-to-Buenos Aires, and the Latin American cities, while rendering the hinterlands politically subordinate; London would be just another city amidst the likes of Vancouver, Auckland, Houston, etc.
all that said, this is an honor to read
 
something more plausible would be a successful version of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_Plot under Pelley--pushing things a little earlier than 1948 (which was what Orwell was lampooning)
nor is this really incompatible with a British North Korea scenario: Airstrip One could just be a heavily-propagandized backwater: in 20s technocratic fashion, Oceania would favor California, the U.S. east of Texas and Minnesota, south Brazil-to-Buenos Aires, and the Latin American cities, while rendering the hinterlands politically subordinate; London would be just another city amidst the likes of Vancouver, Auckland, Houston, etc.
all that said, this is an honor to read

How did I forget the Business Plot while writing this?

I was considering having Roosevelt run with Pelley as Vice President during some election, but I couldn't make it work out. This Silver Shirt victory in 1940 was done regretfully.
 
sorry, rvbomally, I couldn't help but play with your map for 2 months

Rhode Island and Delaware are gone, and Mexico, Brazil, and Argentina have seen some consolidation. Nevada and Utah became Utah Territory again in the 40s, for tests of h-bombs, jets, and techniques on turning Mormons into meat pies. Baja, Yucatán, Patagonia, and Amazonia never got elevated to statehood, and Labrador and Iceland get downgraded as Airstrips 2 and 4. Oaxaca to Bolivia is basically a backwater used for resources, though there are hellish maquiladoras in the cities. And of course it wouldn't be a dystopia without a unified Dakota and Portugalicia! Ireland is unified, and probably under control of the Northern Ascendancy (which I just learned taught Apartheid to ZA since the 20s/40s).

Eurasia is made of 40 Council Socialist Republics, and hopes to add like four more: Maghrebi, Arab, Persian--and British. Budapest gets the Magyar Autonomous Region, Yerevan Karabakh, and some more got split or merged to fit the ethnic boundaries (which are "whatever Big Brother Kaganovich wants"). Constant production (which is in turn consumed by warfare and resource concentration) means environmental disaster, as can be seen in the Caspian, Aral, and Chad. The Russian Arctic is under the military since the Pole is the site of ICBM duels half the time.

Japan has taken Manchuria and Korea for colonization, the Han get Xinjiang, and the Javanese the surrounding islands as far as Luzon and New Guinea--filling them with farmer-soldiers of the local dominant ethnicity as constantly-besieged buffers. Eastasian Newspeak would be a matter not of Simplifying the Hanzi characters but of constantly shifting the meaning of existing words.

A lot of Huxley has come into this TL (especially since he, James Burnham, Vonnegut, and C.S. Lewis wrote about the same 20s-60s trends as Orwell). In practice, gin, intentionally-fickle hysteria, McCarthyism, experimentation camps, the flip-flopping of history itself, self-threatening security apparatus, perpetual hot and cold wars, and telescreens alone won't entirely snuff out the human spirit: that needs a lot of experts and technocrats.

IRL postcolonialists in Latin America, Africa, India, and China have decried local elites' desire to imitate Europeans: denigration/destruction of native culture, de novo nation-states papering over ethnicities, developmentalism (in the style of Seeing Like a State), clear-cutting. At the heart of all dystopias/genocides/world wars is not the idea that "this is a really lousy world" but that "people are seen as means to be used toward an end: something is taken from them and they're turned into numbers."

Museum massacres do occasionally take place in Oceania when some Inner and Outer Party members get too "cultural." Oceania's opinion leaders have already begun blessing "our [Frederick] Taylor and our [Henry] Ford" for the tremendous industrial instrument--stretching from St. Louis to Rochester--that makes Oceania actually technically stronger than Eurasia. More disturbingly, a few of the most double-logical brains of the outfit have begun foaming at the mouth and running amok in the glass-walled Ministries, from Lima to Omsk, screaming about a poetic divinity whose whiteness burned from the inside out.

orwell.gif
 
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Interesting. The divisions of Europe I can easily see, as well as Eastasian China (also, that conception of Newspeak for them is fascinating). The reorganization of the US seems a tad arbitrary, but in character for the party (confuse them and they will listen to Big Brother, etc.) Also interesting was the environmental stuff.

This has my seal of approval.
 
I just read 1984 yesterday, and wow. I can see you put a lot of work and research into this.

Well, thanks!

This took me about a month to write with a good deal of procrastination - the last eight or so pages were written at 11 at night the night before because I was performing in a band concert then.
 
yeah, NV was just so low in population without Las Vegas

you got White Sands there, and Bonneville in UT, so by a1984 it's a land of perchlorate and strontium (don't stand too close by the Great Lakes, either); RI and DE would be considered too small for a superstate to bother with (though I did keep NH and VT); the Maritimes just lose PEI; united!Dakota makes good concentration-camp land
there's actually a lot of connections between the Birchers and the right wing of 50s Mormonism--but the LDS probably wouldn't go totally for National Socialism and thus get mashed

on edit: did not mean to steal rvbomally's thunder: I do love that map!
 
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something more plausible would be a successful version of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_Plot under Pelley--pushing things a little earlier than 1948 (which was what Orwell was lampooning)
nor is this really incompatible with a British North Korea scenario: Airstrip One could just be a heavily-propagandized backwater: in 20s technocratic fashion, Oceania would favor California, the U.S. east of Texas and Minnesota, south Brazil-to-Buenos Aires, and the Latin American cities, while rendering the hinterlands politically subordinate; London would be just another city amidst the likes of Vancouver, Auckland, Houston, etc.
all that said, this is an honor to read
MacArthur would mkae way more sense than Pelley.
 

tehskyman

Banned
can you please make a tl about the world of 1984 after 1984 to the present day and potentially the future?
 
A thank you

I would just like to thank those of you who voted for this timeline in the Turtledove polls, and that it has won the Turtledove Award for the Best New Speculative category. It is an honor to have my work be featured in such a way, and for this I thank you.

On a related note, this success has made me seriously consider writing some new works set in this universe, to flesh out the parts that I had not sufficiently developed during the writing of this timeline, and possibly an expansion into the future.

On another related note, I would like to respectfully ask that any of those who were sufficiently interested in this timeline take a look at my other works. There is a link in my signature to my page on the site Wiki, where there is a list of all my works on this board. In particular, I would like some feedback on Emancipation and Exodus, in my signature, if any of you are so inclined.

Again, my highest thanks for your support.
 
The only criticism I have of SpanishSpy's timeline is the idea that the Grand Mufti of Jerusalem could unite the Middle East into a single Caliphate. I find it rather implausible, as political Islam really didn't become a potent force in Middle Eastern politics until the 1980's: indeed, political Islam was associated with reactionary regimes like Saudi Arabia, which tended to be allies of the western powers most Arabs despised. Prior to 1967 and the death of Nasser, pan-Arab Socialism in the form of Ba'athism and Nasserism was the dominant ideology in the regions intellectual circles. There is no doubt in my mind that Eurasia would support Ba'athism in the Middle East - if only to deprive Oceania and Eastasia of light, sweet crude. ;)

It'd certainly be plausible enough to see a unified Ba'athist or Nasserist Middle East under Eurasian tutelage. A UAR under Ba'athist rule would probably be brutal and dystopian enough for the world Orwell created, considering the atrocities Ba'athist Iraq and Syria have committed since 1963. If the Middle East must adopt a system of government where Islam plays a pivotal role, I could see the UAR adopting a government similar to that of Gaddafi's Libya (which would still allow it to be an ally of Eurasia). Again, a Jamahiriya stretching from the Atlantic to the Persian Gulf would probably be dystopian enough to fit into Orwell's world.
 
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The only criticism I have of SpanishSpy's timeline is the idea that the Grand Mufti of Jerusalem could unite the Middle East into a single Caliphate. I find it rather implausible, as political Islam really didn't become a potent force in Middle Eastern politics until the 1980's: indeed, political Islam was associated with reactionary regimes like Saudi Arabia, which tended to be allies of the western powers most Arabs despised. Prior to 1967 and the death of Nasser, pan-Arab Socialism in the form of Ba'athism and Nasserism was the dominant ideology in the regions intellectual circles. There is no doubt in my mind that Eurasia would support Ba'athism in the Middle East - if only to deprive Oceania and Eastasia of light, sweet crude. ;)

It'd certainly be plausible enough to see a unified Ba'athist or Nasserist Middle East under Eurasian tutelage. A UAR under Ba'athist rule would probably be brutal and dystopian enough for the world Orwell created, considering the atrocities Ba'athist Iraq and Syria have committed since 1963. If the Middle East must adopt a system of government where Islam plays a pivotal role, I could see the UAR adopting a government similar to that of Gaddafi's Libya (which would still allow it to be an ally of Eurasia). Again, a Jamahiriya stretching from the Atlantic to the Persian Gulf would probably be dystopian enough to fit into Orwell's world.


I think this criticism is completely fair, and I can definitely see where you are coming from.

The reason I united the Arab World and some other areas was for the sake of having a state to be built up, then toppled into anarchy.

Orwell said that there was a quadrilateral area of anarchy throughout the area marked by the corners of Brazzaville, Tangier, Hong Kong, and Darwin, which when pinpointed on a map covers an area comprised of India, some of Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and North and West Africa. Free France was created to serve the same purpose, as was the Indian regime I created.
 
I think this criticism is completely fair, and I can definitely see where you are coming from.

The reason I united the Arab World and some other areas was for the sake of having a state to be built up, then toppled into anarchy.

Orwell said that there was a quadrilateral area of anarchy throughout the area marked by the corners of Brazzaville, Tangier, Hong Kong, and Darwin, which when pinpointed on a map covers an area comprised of India, some of Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and North and West Africa. Free France was created to serve the same purpose, as was the Indian regime I created.
Having a unified Ba'athist or Nasserist Middle East (Newspeak: Afrasia?) collapse before 1984 wouldn't be all that difficult. Oceania and Eastasia could support Islamists that were driven underground by 36 years of Ba'athist rule in an attempt to tear apart what would probably be Eurasia's primary ally. This is saying nothing of the fact that Eurasia, like OTL's Soviet Union, has a fairly substantial Muslim population that could be mobilized against Communist rule. Since you used many OTL figures in your TL, perhaps Nasser manages to create a United Arab Republic that encompasses the Middle East and North Africa - with Eurasian support, of course.

Nasser dies in 1967, but not before naming Ali Sabri as his successor. Sabri does little in office other than continue Nasser's policies. He tries to pass a series of reforms (reforms that Nasser passed IOTL), but lacks the political capital to do so. The most crucial of these reforms were the ones placing the armed forces under the President's control and the ending of the so-called Mukhabarat state. As a result, the armed forces and the Mukhabarat have a greater degree of autonomy than IOTL. After dying from a heart attack in 1970, Anwar Sadat becomes President of the UAR. Sadat decides to move the UAR away from Nasserism (read: trying to reduce the UAR's dependency on Eurasia) with the "Corrective Revolution" in May of 1971.

The armed forces remain loyal to Nasserism, however, and a group of Colonels led by Muammar Gaddafi of Libya stage a coup against Sadat's government in October (Nasser was initially quite fond of Gaddafi, and briefly considered him to be his spiritual successor as "leader of the Arabs" before becoming disgusted with Gaddafi's impetuous nature). Gaddafi has the UAR undergo a cultural revolution from 1973 to 1977. In 1977, the United Arab Republic is officially transformed into the Socialist People's Arab Jamahiriya. Gaddafi's system ends up eroding the power of the central government and plunges the Jamahiriya into turmoil (which is consistent with what actually happened in Libya in the late 70's and early 80's).

Disillusioned with pan-Arab socialism and Gaddafi's leadership, the citizens of the Jamahiriya begin to turn to political Islam (something that also happened in Libya at one point, as well as Egypt). The Muslim Brotherhood and other Islamist organizations begin to carry out terrorist attacks against the Jamahiriya, leading to massive crackdowns and reprisals against Islamists. Undeterred by (or perhaps unaware of) the precarious situation his government is in, Gaddafi decides to liberate the nations of the Sahel from French imperialism. Free France, which has already lost around a third of its African territory to the Jamahiriya (Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco and Mauritania would probably be part of the UAR from around 1961 or so), responds by fomenting dissent in the southern portion of Jamahiriya-held Sudan. An Islamist uprising takes place in Syria in 1982, only to be crushed by the military with an almost inhuman level of brutality.

This, combined with the war in the Sahel and the economic, social and political turmoil caused by Gaddafi's leadership, results in the once mighty UAR breaking down into a messy patchwork of territories held by anti-Gaddafi rebels of all stripes: Democrats, Islamists, Kurds, Christians, Jews and Shiites are just a handful of the groups that have effectively taken control of the Jamahiriya. Think the Libyan or Syrian Civil Wars, except on a massive scale. Eurasia backs Gaddafi, while Oceania and Eastasia back a variety of anti-Gaddafi rebels, hoping to use them as proxies to carve out chunks of territory for themselves.

EDIT: I added more details about the rise of Gaddafi and Nasser's (potential) successors ITTL.
 
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Another thank you

I'd just like to give another round of 'thank yous' to those who voted for this timeline in the superlative polls for best overall ASB. It didn't win, but that doesn't matter - it is wonderful to know people have enjoyed this work.

Again, if you enjoyed this timeline, I would humbly ask that you sample some of my other works on this board, all of which can be found in the link provided in my signature.

Once again, thank you.
 
An interesting idea. I'll definitely consider this if I ever rewrite this timeline.

If you need info on Gaddafi's brand of Arab Nationalism, I'd recommend:

Russia and the Arabs: Behind the Scenes in the Middle East from the Cold War to the Present, by Yevgeny Primakov
Libya's Qaddafi: The Politics of Contradiction, by Mansour Omar El-Kikhia
Libya: The Rise and Fall of Qaddafi, by Alison Pargeter

Awhile back I checked out some books on Nasser from my college library, but I don't have the titles handy ATM. I'll try to see if I can dig them up again, since they give an insight into the politics of the Egyptian revolution and Nasser's attempts at Arab unity.
 
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