The Four Horsemen: the Nuclear Apocalypse of 1962

Chapter XVII: The Battle of Washington, 2004-2006.
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Chapter XVII: The Battle of Washington, 2004-2006.

The peaceful political revolution of European integration would affect the United States Presidential election that would take place only a few weeks later. The campaign, of course, was already in full swing with rallies, debates and so on and had already commenced the previous year. Though a Republican victory seemed unlikely in 2004 given President Cassius Clay’s popularity, the GOP prepared to put up a serious offensive as opposed to fielding paper candidates again like they had previously in elections deemed inopportune for the party. They did so because 2004 might not be so inopportune according to their own calculations: a black President wouldn’t do well in the Deep South. The recently passed Universal Healthcare Act was denounced as “communism” because it was funded through a “medtax” that unfairly punished the higher incomes in Republican eyes, and this position seemed to be gaining traction among right-wing voters in the upper middle class. Realizing its popularity among the lower income classes, the Republicans didn’t want to abolish it but intended to reform it. They planned a system of income independent insurance premiums and co-pay through semi-private health insurance companies, with seriously reduced coverage under the guise that people wouldn’t be insured for stuff they didn’t use (the downside, of course, was that additional coverage meant a higher premium). Secondly, they intended to give individual states much more control over Medicaid. The Clay Administration’s economy policies were seen as overly careful and regulatory, and were compared to a mothering “helicopter parent” by the financial and banking sector. The Republicans promised tax reductions, privatization and deregulation. Besides that the Republicans knew Clay was good at inspiring reverend like speeches promising greener pastures, but wasn’t good at details and therefore could be made to stumble in televised debates.

The winner of the GOP primaries, who was subsequently adopted as the nominee at the Republican National Convention in, was Governor of Michigan Mitt Romney. He was the first ever Presidential candidate ever to adhere to the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, more commonly known as the Mormons. He was the son of George W. Romney, who had thrown his hat into the ring into the May 1963 gubernatorial elections (originally scheduled for November 1962, but postponed for six months because of WW III) against incumbent John B. Swainson. George Romney, a spokesperson of the automobile industry, won despite the enormous popularity of the Democrats at the time. He focused much of his energies on rebuilding the damaged car industry of Detroit, the main hub of car manufacturing in the US where almost all domestically produced cars in the US were built pre-1962 (about 90% of cars in the US were domestically built, which increased as European competition virtually disappeared in WW III). He was re-elected in 1966.

Rather than challenging Johnson in 1968 in what he correctly predicted would be a Democratic victory, Romney ran for a third term as Governor of Michigan in 1970. He retired after the end of his third term in January 1975. His youngest son Willard Mitt Romney was 21 years old when his father won his third term and was concentrating on his education at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology where he pursued a degree in engineering. With WW III taking place when he was 15 years old, he remembered its aftermath vividly as it dominated his adolescence and early adulthood. The town where the Romney family lived, Bloomfield Hills, was spared nuclear destruction but they’d seen the mushroom cloud over Detroit and later the desperate refugees and some intermittent looting. Watching his father rebuild the automotive industry, a cornerstone of Michigan’s economy, inspired him to go to MIT to study engineering and specialize in mechanical engineering, getting his PhD in 1975. After a two decade career with Chrysler, during which he became CEO, he decided to step into his father’s footsteps by running for office. In 1998, he was elected Governor of Michigan and was re-elected in 2002 before running to become the Republican candidate for the Presidency. By then, the LDS Church or Mormonism, had evolved from a fringe pioneer religion to one associated with reconstruction as well as free market thought and American business values.

Mitt Romney campaigned on a wide-ranging platform of across the board income tax cuts, lower taxes for major corporations, deregulation, privatization, reducing social security, healthcare reform exchanging government based universal healthcare for semi-public health insurers, outlawing abortion through a new constitutional amendment, opposition to same-sex marriage and civil unions (favouring domestic partnership legislation instead), reducing American dependence on oil imports, and a foreign policy that treated China as America’s “number one geopolitical opponent.” He knew his socially conservative and economically neoliberal positions would put off swing voters sympathizing with the Democrats. He picked the fairly liberal New Hampshire Senator John E. Sununu as his running mate to draw in said swing voters. Given his mixed El Salvadorean, Lebanese Greek Orthodox Christian and Palestinian descent he appealed to a serious range of minorities. It made the race closer cut.

In the first televised debate they had in October, President Clay had some trouble holding his own against Romney who had a whole list of concerns against the administration’s policies, most of them stemming from the circles of big business, banking and the top incomes. Romney additionally appeared to be very well informed about certain drawbacks of the current left-wing policies and had compiled an extensive list of examples of social security fraud that took advantage of the generous system Clay had set up, of people abusing Universal Healthcare to score drugs, and of overly meddlesome government policies that hampered business choices and investments. Clay, having become complacent perhaps, was unprepared for this onslaught as he thought his bigger picture greener pastures rhetoric would cut it. In the second he was better prepared, possessing documents showing that in most cases the system worked. Additionally, Mario Cuomo proved superior in his vice-presidential debate against Sununu, portraying his superior experience.

Clay lorded the good economy and the success of his foreign policy regards to European integration – itself a product of European reconstruction kickstarted by Robert F. Kennedy – over the Republicans. They in return argued the economy was strong despite and not because of the current leftist policies and believed that with a small government approach growth would be even faster. In regards to foreign policy, they denounced Clay’s relaxation of relations with China as weak. The result was that Cassius Clay, the first black President of the United States, won a second term by carrying 22 states plus DC, getting 284 electoral votes and raking in 50% of the popular vote. The Romney/Sununu ticket carried 28 states, won 254 electoral votes and got 49% of the popular vote. The Democrats’ sway over Congress also grew: the Democratic majority in the House of Representatives grew; they also gained another seat in the Senate, reducing the Republican majority there to exactly fifty plus one.

The start of Clay’s second term more than anything was dominated by a single event. Initially, it seemed like his second term would be unperturbed smooth sailing with foreign and domestic policies being a continuation of those of his first term, supported by a strong economy. The year 2005 was one of those rare years of almost complete tranquillity in the greater scheme of things, with the economy continuing to grow steadily and no major events or incidents in foreign politics. Furthermore, in purely economic terms, i.e. disregarding international controversies, the early to mid-00s are considered to be part of a golden age that some say stretched back to the 80s and was only interrupted by two sharp recessions (1990-1992 and 1999-2000).

By summer the year 2006 was shaping up to be a very good year, but President Clay was about to face a ghost from his past that would threaten to ruin the domestic peace. This ghost was directly related to his unsuccessful ’96 Presidential campaign, a rare product of the US justice and prison system: Timothy McVeigh. After being sentenced to ten years for assault and battery with a deadly weapon in 1997, minus time served, he was scheduled to be released in 2006. McVeigh appeared to be a model prisoner as he ostensibly seemed to distance himself from extreme right prison gangs like the Aryan Brotherhood even though such groups adored him. He spent much of his time reading law books he checked out from the prison library so he could adequately represent himself in his parole hearings.

McVeigh was released for good behaviour after seven years, having served two thirds of his prison term, and became a free man again in 2003. That would prove to be a mistake as prison had done nothing to deradicalize him. He moved back to the city of Manhattan in Riley County, Kansas, close to his old army base. He immediately poured over extreme right-wing writings from Mein Kampf to white supremacist interpretations of the bible. Using the burgeoning interweb, he created a website that was basically his online diary that he kept adding to, in effect one of the first blogs, and from which any reader could easily discern his political views (the site was taken down shortly after the 2006 attacks). The site contained comments and diatribes on current politics interlaced with anti-tax, anti-immigration, racist, antisemitic, survivalist, gun rights, sovereign citizen, libertarian, land rights and conservative Christian views. His daily posts ranged from arguing that federal taxes were unconstitutional to declaring America to be “the dominion of the White Anglo-Saxon Protestant man” and dismissing white people in interracial relations as “traitors of their race and of God.” Besides his website, he used an old-fashioned CB radio to spread his views as well. The fact that he was attacked on the streets and that at one point a Black Power activist threw a Molotov cocktail into his house didn’t discourage him.

He joined the Sovereign Kansas Militia, which shared his views. His far reach through the interweb had earned him a following outside the militia consisting of neo-Nazi activist groups, the Aryan Brotherhood and the Ku Klux Klan (after a first incarnation had flourished in the 1920s, a second incarnation had risen in the 50s and had become a force to be reckoned with after WW III, lasting all the way until the late 80s before slowly declining again). In promoting the Sovereign Kansas Militia (SKM), he helped increase its membership tenfold to 10.000 people and organized it along military lines. Its members were involved in numerous racially motivated crimes like assault, assault with a deadly weapon, arson, theft, vandalism and harassment. Furthermore, members of the organization were involved in drugs to finance the organization and in gun running to arm it. In no instance were prosecutors able to prove McVeigh had ordered any of it. As chapters of the SKM were formed outside of Kansas, its name was changed to the Sovereign Militia. The organization appeared on the radar of the FBI, the DEA and the ATF, who painstakingly tried to dismantle cells for lack of enough evidence to tackle the entire group. It was treated as a criminal organization just like the Mafia and the Mexican cartels, not as a domestic terrorist organization which it was fast becoming. Ultimately a foreign policy decision by the Clay Administration concerning South Africa was his motivation to go from the “propaganda phase” to the “action phase.”

South Africa had known a system of institutionalized racial segregation for many years. The political culture was authoritarian and facilitated the political, social and economic dominance of the country’s white minority. Minority rule began to emerge in the 1940s with phenomena like segregation of public facilities and events as well as housing and employment opportunities based on skin colour. Interracial marriages and sexual relations became de facto illegal in the 1950s. The entire population was divided into four racial groups (Black, White, Coloured and Indian) and racial classification determined place of residence, with blacks being forced out of their original homes and into de facto ghettos in mass forced evictions. Of course, domestic militant opposition to Apartheid swelled in the 70s, 80s and 90s, prompting brutal crackdowns by the National Party government and increasing sectarian violence. Some reforms were made to grant Indian and Coloured representation, but this didn’t appease most activist groups.

Simmering discontent continued until it escalated into civil war in the early 2000s, in part thanks to a reorientation in US foreign policy vis-á-vis the cape: despite petitions to do so from domestic and foreign individuals and organizations, for years the United States had quietly tolerated the Apartheid regime for fears that it’d request Chinese support if the Americans supported the opposition. Days after his inauguration in January 2000, President Clay denounced South Africa’s segregationist system and condemned its disproportional violence against opponents and dissidents whilst urging it to reform. He economically embargoed the regime and froze its assets whilst starting deliveries of arms and ammunitions to the opposition. In the first phase of the South African Civil War between 2002 and 2004 the National Party tried to stay in control of the entire country. After 2004, the civil war became a secessionist conflict, with separate Afrikaner, Zulu and Bantustan based republics emerging and trying to conquer as much territory as possible for a good hand in future peace negotiations. The breakup of the country and peace in South Africa wouldn’t be settled until after Clay’s presidency. Meanwhile, the fear of South Africa’s nuclear weapons coming into play remained.

McVeigh was infuriated by American intervention in favour of the South African opposition. He viewed the Apartheid model of a racially segregated society dominated by white men as the example the United States ought to follow, with the specific addition that state governments and not the federal government should decide on such policies. Additionally, he supported an isolationist course in foreign politics and believed the US shouldn’t interfere in the domestic policies of any country, including South Africa. He saw President Clay’s anti-Apartheid move as confirmation that DC had been infiltrated by a “socialist elite of secret un-Christian, Jewish, Black and Asian interests” and detested it. It encouraged him to escalate from “propaganda” to “action” to prevent the feared enslavement and possible extermination of the WASP (White Anglo-Saxon Protestants).

This threat only existed in the fantasies of McVeigh and his following, but encouraged them to plan violent action. They felt they had to wipe out the President, his cabinet and the Democratic representation in Congress, though they realized this was an ambitious and possibly unattainable goal. The worst terrorist attack in US history was in the making nonetheless, planned with military precision as McVeigh had organized the Sovereign Militia based on his military experience and had actively sought to attract disillusioned veterans like himself to it. This diluted but didn’t remove the criminal element and gave them heavier weapons and specialist training that made these criminals heavy hitters, something that other criminal organizations copied. This would in turn force a militarization of the police, with assault rifles, rocket propelled grenades and armoured vehicles.

They chose the symbolic date of July 4th 2006, Independence Day, probably America’s most important holiday. The reason was that they believed they were going to ignite a “second war of independence” with white Christian America fighting against the federal government, allegedly controlled by foreign and Jewish interests. They fully expected a race war to erupt after their attacks. Orders were distributed in a low-key, low tech style: by hand written notes passed from one Sovereign Militia cell to the next, telling them where to go and what objectives to take. McVeigh knew his plot would quickly be discovered and foiled if all of this communication would take place by phone and email, suspecting that he was under surveillance from the FBI and taking every conceivable countermeasure against it.

More than one thousand militiamen arrived at New Washington DC as tourists in the days and weeks prior to the attacks, wearing civilian garb rather than the usual uniforms they liked to show off and arriving in their private cars. They had three objectives: the White House, the Capitol Building and the Pentagon. At noon, teams assembled light artillery guns and mortars around the Capitol Building and the Pentagon within minutes and opened fire. This distracted from the heavy trucks smashing through the light fences and anti-vehicle obstacles and parked as close to the buildings as possible. These trucks were wired to explode with dynamite attached to barrels filled with ammonium nitrate fertilizer, nitromethane and diesel fuel mixture with acetylene filled canisters added for brisance. Whilst these attacks were underway, twenty minutes later at 12:20 PM, three hundred men with pistols, assault rifles and RPGs took down the fences and tried to storm the White House.

The Sovereign Militia terrorists had arrogantly expected that they’d storm their targets and seize control through the element of surprise, overwhelming the “complacent elites.” The bombs they’d set off at the Capitol Building certainly caused major damage and killed hundreds, but they’d wildly overestimated by how much the surprise would throw off their opponents. The Pentagon alone was staffed by thousands of experienced military personnel while the White House was protected by the Secret Service, and both fought off the attack. US Marines stationed close to New Washington DC had been mobilized and were on their way by 12:30 PM while attack helicopters and jetfighters became airborne. With their guns and missile pods, the helicopters decimated the attackers on the White House lawn and at the Pentagon. The marines only had to mop up. On Capitol Hill, the attackers managed to enter the building and take hostages and posed impossible demands, which led to SWAT units storming the building.

The attack had been fended off with disastrous results for the attackers, and without the desired result of provoking a race war. Out of the 1.011 deadly casualties of that day, 320 were civilians and the rest terrorists. Thousands more were injured, both innocent civilians and terrorists. The great irony was that they could never have caught and killed President Clay even if they had managed to enter the White House because he wasn’t there. He’d chosen to celebrate Independence Day private with his family in the privacy of the presidential country retreat Camp David in Maryland. President Clay returned to New Washington to visit the wounded in the hospitals and to address the nation about this tragedy, proclaiming three days of national mourning.
 
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Great, the stupid right just discredited themselves for some good decades with that act of terrorism. It'll help Clay consolidate the support for his frankly warranted policies and discourage, um, the deleterious attitude towards those.
I wonder about the effects of this attempted coup on gun control and prevention of hate speech ITTL.
Unfortunately, those perpetrators were no freedom fighters. I would not be surprised if their guns would be called along their heads, and with the resulting militarisation of the police, well the most logical extreme have always laid itself present...
Illang-The-Wolf-Brigade-1.jpg

Nah, it'll just be more like the United Kingdom with the stolid existence of its NHS.

Anyways,

I STAND WITH CLAY IN 2008
 
Like the timeline, a few thoughts.

European power here have here shifted back to the Mediterranean and the north have been more or less been reset. But at the same time the hard hit north would even with or maybe even because the increased infant mortality see massive increase in birth rates, which likely truly hit around 1995-2005, but it will likely take generations to see falling birth rates again. As rural population have survived to greater extent we will likely also a increased religious conservative population of course urbanization will likely turn that around.

Countriess which have a interesting in European immigrants like the Americas, South Africa and Oceania will likely see large scale European migration. It’s pretty hard to imagine that Apartheid South Africa doesn’t survives with this.

In general I think you have been a little too conservative with how many refugees countries could take in, as example I’m pretty sure that Austria as example would be able to 3-4 million German refugees. If refugees are cultural similar to a country, the Country can take far more refugee in than if they’re seen as aliens. In general I expect Austria to develop into a significant industrial and economic center and see a massive influx of Germans over the coming decades.

A few thoughts about Scandinavia. There’s two potential nuclear target in Denmark Copenhagen and Esbjerg, no other targets make sense. That leave the majority of agricultural areas in good shape and as Danish agriculture hadn’t mechanized yet, we would likely see Denmark survive with a loss of around 10-20% of the population, but with government relative intact and able to take in a large number of refugees from Germany. Industrial Denmark is hit harder with the loss of Copenhagen, but still much of the industry is placed decentralized around the country, we don’t see a complete collapse. Aarhus would likely become the new capital. I could also see Denmark administrate Schleswig-Holstein and Mecklenburg for Germany until the German government was able to establish control over the region again.

Norway doesn’t have any strategic targets for the Soviets, so the only place which makes sense for USSR to hit is Oslo to decapitate their government. Norway as such also survives relative intact, but instead have to deal with famines as their harvest fails the following years. Bergen would likely be set up as new capital.

Iceland have either seen Reykjavik survive or being destroyed, Iceland would survive no matter what, but if Reykjavik have survived Iceland would likely develop much like in OTL.
 
Given how 9/11 and PATRIOT act led to the erosion of freedom OTL I expect the shitshow from this attack to be much worse. Ban everything! Let the hysteria flow and the tempers flare! Sacrifice freedom from security!
 
Iceland have either seen Reykjavik survive or being destroyed, Iceland would survive no matter what, but if Reykjavik have survived Iceland would likely develop much like in OTL.
Iceland without Reykjavik would be very rural. Greater Reykjavik is 64% of Iceland today. In 1962, it's lower, but that's still 40% of Iceland's population lost.
 
Ye Gods, there's going to be hell to pay after this... :mad: Attacking multiple targets in the US capital and killing 300+ innocent people in a futile and suicidal attempt to start a race war on Independence Day no less is going to result in the government's law enforcement agencies going after the Sovereign Militia with a vengeance and the great majority of the American citizenry turning against radical right militia groups in general for a long time to come!
 
Ye Gods, there's going to be hell to pay after this... :mad: Attacking multiple targets in the US capital and killing 300+ innocent people in a futile and suicidal attempt to start a race war on Independence Day no less is going to result in the government's law enforcement agencies going after the Sovereign Militia with a vengeance and the great majority of the American citizenry turning against radical right militia groups in general for a long time to come!
This might be the catalyst to prevent civilians from owning Military-grade weapons and require proper verifications on the people wanting to buy weapons for hunting or personal defense. Likewise the pressure to ban militias will be very strong and consensual among most parties (even minor parties).
 
This might be the catalyst to prevent civilians from owning Military-grade weapons and require proper verifications on the people wanting to buy weapons for hunting or personal defense. Likewise the pressure to ban militias will be very strong and consensual among most parties (even minor parties).
The Militia banning is likely going to come under a 2nd amendment challenge, one that'll likely find it unconstitutional to ban them. So then you'd need to have a new amendment to replace the 2nd and I don't see that happening.
 
The Militia banning is likely going to come under a 2nd amendment challenge, one that'll likely find it unconstitutional to ban them. So then you'd need to have a new amendment to replace the 2nd and I don't see that happening.
Well, that unless they railed on the concept of the militia itself, and if that does happen, no hidden cache's and protracted struggles can match the resulting police and military actions.

(Sordid, yes, but it has been thirty years since the Nuclear War. Well, this wouldn't have even been considered in the first place if that genie was not let out of the bottle.)
 
Well, I read all of it, but it was fantasy after this point:

At 01:00 PM, US navy destroyers Beale, Cony, Murray and Barry began investigating a sonar contact. At 04:17 PM, USS Beale made contact with Soviet Foxtrot-class submarine B-59 and began making attempts to “communicate” by pinging with active sonar and dropping practice depth charges. USS Cony added to the attempts to establish contact by dropping hand grenades into the water. The B-59’s crew misperceived these taunts as attacks and the exhausted Captain Valentin Savitsky thought the same, though aware of American tactics, as communications with Moscow could not be established. Believing the war had already begun, he furiously ordered a 15 kiloton nuclear torpedo to be readied. The crew, fatalistic at this point, figured like their captain that if they were going to go down they would take some Americans with them.


Ain't no way in hell anyone on a tin can with the brains to pound sand would do that! We are a rather peculiar bunch, but we ain't THAT stupid! Pound them to the surface with sonar, yes. But dropping explosives over the side without direct contact and direction from CincLant - No way in hell! The whole thing is a fairly good read, but this is bovine scatology!
 
Well, I read all of it, but it was fantasy after this point:




Ain't no way in hell anyone on a tin can with the brains to pound sand would do that! We are a rather peculiar bunch, but we ain't THAT stupid! Pound them to the surface with sonar, yes. But dropping explosives over the side without direct contact and direction from CincLant - No way in hell! The whole thing is a fairly good read, but this is bovine scatology!
Uhhh, that really did happen.
However, on October 27, units of the United States Navy – the aircraft carrier USS Randolph and 11 destroyers – detected B-59 near Cuba. US vessels began dropping depth charges of the type used for naval training and containing very little charge, not intended to cause damage. There was no other way to communicate with the submarine; the purpose was to attempt to force it to surface for positive identification. Messages from the US Navy, to communicate that practice depth charges were being used, never reached B-59 or, it seems, Soviet naval HQ.
I'm not trying to be harsh, but you should do your research before you post.
 
As someone who has written a timeline or two, I've noticed that when there are big national events afoot, the comments will often dry up. I want you to know, mein Onkel, that I'm enjoying your writing in spite of it's somber subject and look forward to the latest installments.
 
Well, I read all of it, but it was fantasy after this point:




Ain't no way in hell anyone on a tin can with the brains to pound sand would do that! We are a rather peculiar bunch, but we ain't THAT stupid! Pound them to the surface with sonar, yes. But dropping explosives over the side without direct contact and direction from CincLant - No way in hell! The whole thing is a fairly good read, but this is bovine scatology!
I could point out that this really happened, but somebody already beat me to it.
 
Technology seems two or three decades behind OTL, right?
I was in northern Maple Heights at the time...did I survive? It might depend just where the Cleveland hypocenter is.
 
Chapter XVIII: Republican Revolution, 2006-2008.
Update time.


Chapter XVIII: Republican Revolution, 2006-2008.

McVeigh was caught trying to escape to Canada and was put on trial for 320 counts of first degree murder, use of weapons of mass destruction, conspiracy to use weapons of mass destruction, destructive use of explosives and incendiaries, arms trafficking, drug smuggling and drug dealing. After a lengthy trial – which he tried to use as a pulpit for his beliefs, which led to numerous reprimands and removals from the court room for contempt – he was ultimately sentenced to death in 2008 along with his surviving senior lieutenants who’d helped plan the whole operation. After numerous appeals, declaring his attack as a legitimate tactic against a tyrannical government, he was finally executed in 2019. The rest of the organization was effectively dismantled by prosecuting its criminal activities through the RICO act, which was designed to deal with entities rather than individual members that could be replaced. The Sovereign Militia was declared a criminal and terrorist organization and joint efforts by FBI, DEA, ATF and state as well as federal prosecutors gutted it to the bone. Some cells continued under new names, but have been tightly monitored ever since. Never again would the extreme right be able to organize itself on such a level and become a threat once more.

The worst domestic terrorist attack had consequences for how New Washington DC and other prominent cities handled their security. President Clay ordered an overhaul of the city’s security infrastructure. Whilst a conventional military attack from a foreign entity on the capital was virtual suicide, the designers of its security infrastructure hadn’t anticipated the city would ever come under attack of a domestic irregular paramilitary organization because that had simply never happened before. New Pennsylvania Avenue was closed off to motorized traffic permanently using ornamental bollards to protect the White House, a construction program was initiated to direct traffic around the Pentagon and the Capitol Building underground so the roads around these buildings could be closed to traffic permanently too, checkpoints to inspect vehicles were installed, fences were erected around these buildings that could not be smashed down by civilian vehicles of any type, barricades were implanted in the streets that could be raised in the event of an emergency, all federal buildings were fitted with metal detectors and items brought in by visitors would be scanned by an x-ray machine.

The issue became a hot topic during the 2006 midterm elections, which took place in November. By then the mourning phase had ended and people had had the time and the motivation to ingest the messages of the Democrats and the Republicans. Democratic proposals included gun regulations that would prohibit civilian ownership of automatic weapons and any type of “rocket propelled and/or explosive military weapon” so no such arsenal could ever be amassed again. Additionally, the Democrats believed people registering for a gun permit ought to present not only a medical declaration that they had no mental illnesses but also had to declare their religious and political convictions to weed out extremists. When there was doubt about a gun permit applicant, the Democrats proposed an interview with a psychologist and if that was inconclusive a lie detector test. The Republicans rejected any new gun legislation and decried Democratic proposals as unconstitutional, as violations of the second amendment. They denounced the gun regulations proposed by the Democrats as “the beginning of a socialist nanny state, which can only have an Orwellian 1984-esque outcome.” They campaigned on a law and order platform, which the Democrats in turn denounced as draconian.

Fortunately there was an immense success that Clay claimed as his own as it could still give the blemished latter part of his Presidency a positive shine. The year 2007 saw a vehicle take flight that was the result of a massive scientific, technological and economic investment. After WW III, NASA became the redheaded stepchild whenever it was time for austerity on the part of the federal government and only very little spaceflights took place at all in the 60s and 70s to launch necessary satellite. Scientific research in space was considered a luxury the US couldn’t afford at the time, but in the 80s this started to change with Kennedy giving NASA the means to carry out manned flights into outer space again and to begin work on space station Freedom. This work continued into the 90s under President Bush and the ambitious Freedom station was indeed built while thought was given to a manned mission to the moon. Bush was sceptical, but Clay had raised the budget to the levels that NASA needed to pull it off, resulting in a successful launch in July 2007.

It wasn’t yet completely obvious, but the magic of the first black President was starting to wear off, which would ultimately show in the 2008 US Presidential elections (there were, however, other contributing factors as well). The Republicans made some gains in the 2006 midterms. They increased their slight majority in the Senate by two seats and made significant gains in the House of Representatives, though the Democratic majority there was preserved. This didn’t seem alarming to the Democrats as they thought they’d enter the Presidential elections with a strong, popular candidate. After two terms, President Clay was of course ineligible due to the 22nd amendment, but Vice President Mario Cuomo was more than able to fill his shoes (he would’ve been the first Italian American President if elected). Cuomo, however, announced in mid-2007 that he wouldn’t run as his health didn’t allow it, as his heart issues had seriously been acting up for months. This had led to a brief hospitalization.

The decision of Vice President Cuomo not to run for office meant the position of Presidential candidate for the Democrats was wide open. The result was that anyone who meant anything in the Democratic Party entered the primaries to obtain the nomination, though most dropped out of the race early as President Clay supported his intended successors. He’d initially asked Mayor of New York John F. Kennedy Jr., the son of JFK and the nephew of RFK, but the latter respectfully declined as his gut told him 2008 wouldn’t be a good year for his party. The Kennedy Dynasty patiently bided its time, as instructed by head of the family Robert F. Kennedy and his sister-in-law Jacqueline, the widow of JFK. In response, President Clay turned to Secretary of State Joe Lieberman, who’d been his running mate in ’96, who secured the nomination and selected Massachusetts Senator John Kerry as his running mate. Lieberman became the country’s first Jewish Presidential candidate.

On the Republican side, last time’s candidate Mitt Romney respectfully declined to run as a scion from another and more prominent political dynasty presented himself. Texan Governor George W. Bush, the son of President George H.W. Bush, joined the race and easily secured the nomination as a fairly centrist, slightly liberal candidate by GOP standards. As a southerner he thought he’d likely do well in the Deep South whilst also doing moderately well in the northeast and on the West Coast because of his mildly liberal positions, except for his pro-life views. To pull in neoconservative as well as undecided female swing voters, George W. Bush selected neoconservative Minnesota Senator Michele Bachmann as his running mate. She was the first female vice-presidential candidate.

Unfortunately, an economic depression had begun in spring 2008 due to a crisis in the Persian Gulf caused by the shootdown of Iran Air Flight 257, a Boeing 747 which had originally taken off from Mehrabad International Airport in Teheran and hade made a scheduled stop in Kuwait before continuing to Bangalore. In the evening of April 8th 2008 the plane disappeared from Iranian civilian and military radar screens. Initially, it was as if the flight had vanished into thin air, but in the following days and weeks wreckage started to show up at the coasts of several Persian Gulf states that made it clear the airliner had crashed. This meant that the 332 people onboard – of which 317 were passengers and 216 had the Iranian nationality, with the rest being Indian, Iraqi, Kuwaiti, Bangladeshi, British and American – were most likely all dead. There was one question: why had it crashed? For weeks the answer eluded investigators as the perpetrators, the Royal Saudi Air Force, kept their mouths shut.

The Iranian and Indian investigators were in luck: the flight data recorder and the cockpit voice recorder were found (in international waters) while a large piece of wreckage showed up on a beach in Abu Dhabi that showed signs of an explosion outside the airplane. At this point the Saudis had to confess and they did, but they also insisted it was a spy plane and not a passenger flight. It was clear now what had transpired. Due to a technical malfunction the crew of a Boeing 747 airliner made a navigational error that caused them to stray into Saudi prohibited military airspace. They were flying at night and in unusually thick cloud cover, which meant the pilots couldn’t tell from the stars that they were off course and had entered Saudi airspace. A Saudi jetfighter fired warning shots the crew most likely didn’t see and after that shot the plane down with its air-to-air missiles as ordered because this was believed to be an aerial espionage mission.

This crisis had every potential to escalate into an military conflict, not just of a regional but possibly also of an international scale. Iran was irate: massive public demonstrations took place demanding military retaliation and riot police with shields and water cannons had to be used to prevent an angry mob from storming the Saudi embassy and do god knows what to the building and its staff. If had been left up to Shah Reza II, he later admitted that he felt tempted to let to mob storm the embassy and intended to go further by bombing the airbase responsible for the shootdown. New Delhi, which also had a nuclear arsenal at its disposal, was also furious as there’d been 46 Indians on the flight, making India the second largest victim in number of casualties. Both countries declared the Saudi ambassador persona non grata. The Saudis added fuel to the fire by finally testing a nuclear weapon of their own.

The Imperial Iranian Armed Forces carried out a partial mobilization while an Indian Navy taskforce departed from Mumbai, headed for the Persian Gulf. The Saudis responded by raising the alertness level of their own armed forces. All of this alarmed the Americans as they had a carrier force stationed at Bandar Abbas centred on USS John F. Kennedy, which was likely to end up getting caught in the crossfire if a Saudi-Iranian war erupted. If the other members of CENTO supported an Iranian military response, the entire region between the Bosporus and the Khyber Pass could become the scene of a regional nuclear war. Such a conflict had every potential of spreading to Asia as Imperial China might try to intervene on behalf of the Saudis, which would in turn involve SEATO and possibly also NATO.

Beijing was not about to risk it all in a conflict that could go nuclear and told the Saudis they should back down, affirm their responsibility for the shootdown, apologize to the affected countries, severely punish the officers responsible and offer monetary compensation to the families of the victims. High level talks took place between the Forbidden City and the White House. This resulted in the US heavily pressuring Teheran to accept this solution and telling them they wouldn’t support Iran if it pressed ahead and responded militarily. Similar to Iran being pressured by the United States, Saudi Arabia was pressured by China to go along with this. By June the crisis had ended, but fears of a Middle Eastern war had affected oil prices very badly.

The American Presidential election was inevitably affected. Skyrocketing oil prices during the spring and summer of 2008 caused an economic crisis that lasted long enough to precipitate a stock market crash on Wall Street. A global economic depression had been born that would last for several years. This depression didn’t do the Lieberman/Kerry ticket any good, though the economic depression wasn’t one the Clay Administration could’ve foreseen or prevented as it could be traced back to an almost completely avoidable incident. While that was a fair defence, the Republicans didn’t neglect to accusing the previous administration’s “big government, socialist” policies of stifling the American entrepreneurial spirit, while the Democrats responded that “big government” had rebuilt the country after WW III. The Republicans opposed the Democrats on other topics too. The Democrats were in favour of wide-ranging gun regulations that would make it much harder to obtain a gun license and which restricted the types of weapons civilians could legally buy. The Republicans believed these were unconstitutional and intended to have them overturned in the Democratic states were such regulations had become law. When asked outright about new gun regulations, he said “Read my lips: no new gun regulations.”

The Republicans also alluded to an intangible sense of moral decay by pointing out the legalization of gay marriage and the legalization of marihuana in a couple of Democratic states, the state-wide legalization of prostitution and organized activities like brothels in Nevada, the decriminalization of prostitution in Rhode Island, letting illegals flood the country, and the legal status of abortion. To preserve his popularity in the north and on the west coast, Bush kept a low profile on topics like gay marriage and abortion as he had his running mate Michele Bachmann for that. As someone from the north herself she couldn’t exactly be accused of preaching to southern redneck voters, as progressives denigratingly assumed. A second consideration may have been that Bachmann, as a woman, could get away with such criticisms easier, as harsh as they were. On the campaign trail she repeated multiple times “It’s my belief that God intended marriage as an eternal bond between a man and a woman” and “That life created by God starts at conception, which makes abortion murder.” She appealed to conservative voters across the country who felt they weren’t being heard as the country seemed to be on an inexorable march to a liberal America. The Lieberman/Kerry ticked rebutted with a firm declaration for individual liberty and the right to pursue happiness, even if that wasn’t always in line with Christian beliefs. During a debate against Bachmann it got to the point that Kerry said “What Mrs. Bachmann fails to understand that not everyone in this country follows her interpretation of Christianity or, indeed, that not everyone in this country is Christian.”

The debate had shifted away from matters like the economy and foreign policy where numbers and facts mattered. Issues like sexual orientation, sexual freedom, abortion, gun rights and the role of faith in society played a major role in the debate about the country’s future. Most people had feelings about these topics and rational arguments were hard to make as right and wrong was practically unquantifiable. The only exception perhaps was the gun rights debate, though statistics on gun deaths were dismissed by the Republican argument that those people should’ve been given a gun to defend themselves. These debates left the country polarized.

Election day in 2008 on November 4th was anything but predictable because even within the two parties there was tension: Arizona Senator John McCain – a maverick willing to break with his party on certain issues, being significantly more liberal than the party base on issues like LGBT rights, gun regulations and campaign finance reform – didn’t recognize himself in the neoconservative turn that Bachmann represented and announced he’d vote Lieberman. Conversely, former Democratic politician Jesse Jackson said he’d vote Bush because of the Republicans’ pro-life stance. The Republican Bush/Bachmann ticket won carrying thirty states, 280 electoral votes and 50.3% of the popular vote. This left the Lieberman/Kerry ticket with twenty states plus DC, 258 electoral votes and 48.7% of the popular vote. While America would have to wait for its first Jewish President, the country did now have the first female Vice President right after the first black President.

The US also experienced a Second Republican revolution, as the GOP finally gained a majority in the House of Representatives after six years of opposition there. The Republicans won 220 seats and the Democrats 218 seats. This gave the GOP control of the White House and both houses of Congress, a situation that hadn’t been seen for decades. The Democrats had dominated Congress for the entire sixties and early seventies until Nixon became President. During the 70s the Republicans making gains to the point of a rough 50/50 split for much of his presidency until in the end of that decade the GOP gained a slight majority. This minor success was completely overturned during the Presidency of RFK in the 80s. During the Bush years, the Democrats held the Senate and the Republicans the House, but during the first midterms of the Clay Administration in 2002 they lost the House and took it back together with the Senate in 2008. For the next few years the Republicans would have free reign.
 
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