Right Side Up: A History of the Space Transportation System

Chapter 3: Assembly
“The goal we have set for ourselves is the reduction of the present costs of operating in space from the current figure of $1,000 a pound for a payload delivered in orbit by the Saturn V, down to a level of somewhere between $20 and $50 a pound. By so doing we can open up a whole new era of space exploration. Therefore, the challenge before this symposium and before all of us in the Air Force and NASA in the weeks and months ahead is to be sure that we can implement a system that is capable of doing just that.”


Chapter 3: Assembly


With the arrival of the Constitution in the Vehicle Assembly Building to join the already-present S-IVC stage and the Space Shuttle Endeavour, the pieces were in place for the first operational Space Shuttle mission. The only task remaining was to fit them into their proper places in the stack, integrating them into a single assembly to prepare them for flight. It was a familiar task for the VAB technicians, and they set to work with their typical care and skill. This particular stack drew particular interest from visiting tourists and NASA engineers alike, but the attention was nothing new to the team which had less than a decade before prepared Saturn V moon rockets in these very same spaces. Now, descendants of those famous craft were being readied for a mission much closer to home--but no less important for the future of NASA's space exploration ambitions.

The assembly process began with the arrival of Crawler-Transporter 1, bearing on its back Mobile Launch Platform 3, which had been the first of the three MLPs to have its Launch Umbilical Tower modified to service the RS-IC Space Lifter. Under the eyes of a dozen directing technicians, the driver in the cab positioned the massive steel structure within High Bay 3, then gently lowered it onto the waiting support mounts. Technicians swarmed over the MLP, conducting the final checks of the hold-down mounts and service masts in preparation for the stacking process. Meanwhile, other technicians in High Bay 4, located across the transfer aisle on the west side of the building, worked around Constitution, still resting on her transport trailer beneath the five hundred foot ceiling. Not for much longer--the crews used the massive travelling cranes up in the rafters to position and mount two large yellow lifting fixtures to the nearly-747-sized vehicle. One mounted near the nose, just aft of the cockpit, supported by the new 325-ton crane added specifically for working with the RS-IC's bulk. The other, closer to the engines, was supported by the original Apollo-era 250-ton crane running on the same tracks. Technicians with torque wrenches worked their way around the lift fixtures, cross-checking the inch-thick mounting bolts for the fixtures. With that complete, the crews stepped back towards the walls, and while tourists looked on from the roped-off area in the transfer aisle, the overhead cranes took up the slack. Like a massive Harrier, the delta-winged booster lifted straight up off the transport rig--first a foot, then two, then ten, then thirty. With enough height, the two overhead crane operators almost 500 feet above worked a careful ballet at the direction of headset-wearing technicians on the ground. The 325 ton crane pulled in its lines, raising the RS-IC's nose as the 250-ton crane closed the distance between them, bringing the tail into line under the nose. Like a marionette on strings, the massive vehicle pirouetted and pointed its nose skywards, its wing-mounted tails clearing the floor by less than ten feet as its nose rose almost 200 feet into the air.

With the vehicle lifted to the vertical, the two overhead cranes worked together, lifting the booster up by its own length, clearing the cross-bracing of the VAB structure at the 160 foot level and twisting it slightly around its axis to clear its wings through the gap into the transfer aisle. Engineers watched with technicians and yet more tourists as the booster--the size of the Statue of Liberty--crossed overhead beneath the two cranes, moving directly across the transfer aisle and into the the waiting High Bay 3, supported only by the thick cables--made thin by distance. More than a few let out careful breaths as the booster was lowered back to the level of the MLP deck, carefully aligned by technicians, then finally lowered onto the launch hold-down mounts and secured. The tension abated almost palpably as the MLP took up the weight. With the move done, the cranes and their fixtures were detached and work platforms were lowered into place around the booster. The cranes went to work on the next tasks, moving the far lighter S-IVC stage into the transfer aisle, lifting it to vertical, and handing it off to the large overhead crane. With the aft skirt and interstage which would protect its engine already attached, the S-IVC was lowered onto the mounting points on the nose of the RS-IC. As yet more work platforms were swung out to access the S-IVC, the cranes went back for the final pieces: the 30-ton Space Shuttle and its adapter. Once lifted into position, the Shuttle crowned a stack that was almost 300 feet tall. The final set of work platforms were rotated into place to access the Shuttle, and the engineers and technicians of the VAB crew set to work finishing the job of checking out the integrated vehicle. Four days after the arrival of Constitution in the VAB, the stack was assembled. Now it needed to be tested and readied for flight.



With Presidential support secured for the Space Transportation System, NASA was able to line up several key trump cards behind the program, beginning in the oval office, moving down to supporters like Cap Weinberger at the Office of Management and Budget, and powerful Congressional interests from districts representing aerospace-heavy areas like California, Florida, Alabama, and Texas. It could also offer a vision for the future of space exploration directly endorsed by the President himself to follow the highwater marks of Apollo: a future where spaceflight might not be limited to the select group of military test pilots who in 1972 had so far landed on the moon, but scientists, doctors, blue-collar workers on space construction projects, teachers, reporters, and housewives. The vision of accomplishing missions in space in a cheaper, more cost effective way was a vision that was embraced to some extent by both space enthusiasts and space skeptics alike--though many of the latter still doubted if the savings of the vehicles depicted on paper could be achieved by vehicles built of metal. However, to see these plans tested, NASA would first have to move forward with translating these political successes into the reality of a new generation of manned spacecraft. The assembly of NASA’s centers and contractors behind the project and the division of responsibility for the vehicle began shortly after the President’s approval of the program.

The distinction between the parts of the Space Transportation System offered a natural break between the spheres of influence of the agency’s most powerful centers: the Space Lifter was the obvious province of Marshall Spaceflight Center in Huntsville, while the Space Shuttle glider became with little challenge the preserve of the Manned Space Flight Center in Houston. As with Apollo, Marshall would provide the rocket, while Houston would supply the vehicle, crew, and carry out the missions. This wasn’t the only connection to Apollo, however. It was assumed within many of the studies supporting the ISRS architecture that the booster would be derived from existing stages and tooling, and the result was a rapid--and largely pro forma--Request for Proposal being issued February 21, 1972 with all proposals due two months later on April 21. Boeing, the foremost industry advocate for ISRS and originator of many of the key concepts with their involvement in the INT-22 design studies of similar vehicles in the mid-60s, unsurprisingly submitted one of the strongest proposals for the Space Lifter booster. However, a surprisingly strong second submission came from North American Rockwell, who proposed to draw on their history with the X-15 (described in their proposal as the “first reusable suborbital rocketplane”) and the XB-70 Valkyrie Mach 3 bomber in the development of a Space Lifter derived not from the Saturn V first stage, but from its second stage, using the same ballasted, retro-boosting hot structure approach applied to the S-II stage that Boeing suggested to apply to the S-IC. However, NAR’s proposal was weaker in several areas, particularly development cost: the J-2 engines of the S-II would need to be replaced with new high-pressure engines like the proposed SSME, the VAB and MLPs would need to be more heavily modified to mount to the S-II at zero level, and other changes would cascade through the architecture. Thus, though North American’s proposal was rated quite highly, the contract was awarded in May to Boeing. Marshall and Boeing immediately set to work fleshing out the details of the design and arranging the evaluation of S-IC tooling which had been preserved since the end of the first run of Saturn V rockets two years before.

Despite the unexpectedly strong challenge from North American, Boeing’s design for the Space Lifter was similar in broad strokes to their previous designs for reusable S-ICs, ranging back to the earliest 1962 Marshall studies: a broad delta wing grafted to the side of a fuselage derived from the existing 10-meter S-IC tanks, with a cockpit and nose in the front and a set of airbreathing engines below the wing around the middle, near the intertank between the kerosene and liquid oxygen tanks. However, the design now needed to address aspects which had been left as “details for later study” in its earlier ancestors. Would the landing engines use feed lines to a new side-located sump in the kerosene tank, or were smaller “ferry” tanks just for flyback prefered to minimize the risk of slosh within nearly-dry fuel tanks? How would the VAB, Michoud, and other facilities be able to handle the large rudders necessary for the aerodynamic control of the booster? A variant of the F-101 engine was selected for the airbreathing propulsion system, but the manufacturer, General Electric, would have to do additional tests on how the engines would be started during a supersonic glide as the booster exited the hypersonic portions of its return to Earth. Although Rocketdyne had already designed the F-1 engine for up to 20 starts and an operating time of up to 2250 seconds between major overhauls, part of requirements to enable the initial proving tests back in the late 50s, the Lifter would require two starts on its engines in every mission: once at liftoff, the other above the atmosphere to slow the vehicle for entry. This air start had to be completely reliable--without it, the vehicle’s structure would be incapable of surviving entry in a condition to be reused. A new variant, the F-1B, was commissioned from Rocketdyne to enable this use.

The design of the crew cabin and nose posed additional challenges. The Space Lifter design called for the assured ability to get the Lifter’s flight crew away from the stack in the event of any abort before separation. Thus, the vehicle needed not just a cockpit, but an entire ejectable flight deck--a separate spacecraft capable of independently surviving atmospheric entry at an un-slowed speed, then ditching in the ocean and staying afloat while rescue crews arrived at the site. With most of Boeing’s efforts focused on the broader vehicle, the company decided to subcontract the design of the abort capsule, and thus of the flight deck of the vehicle. In 1973, Boeing gave the contract to the same Grumman team they had worked with during the initial Phase B Shuttle studies, then opposed in the TAOS/ISRS configuration debate just a year later. Friends and enemies changed quickly in the military-industrial complex, and Grumman’s work on their entry for the glider competition gave useful grounds for the work on the design of the abort capsule and flight deck. Below the flight deck and forward of the liquid oxygen tank was another major feature which would go on to inspire serious concerns: the vehicle’s nose structure. Boeing’s original concepts called for the “point” of the booster’s nose to slide backwards prior to integration, creating a space for the upper stage engine to be stored prior to separation. This would enable the upper stage to mount directly to the forward structure of the booster and eliminate a need for a disposable interstage fairing. For return flight, the nose would extend and lock, covering the gap for atmospheric entry. At the time, it was anticipated to be complex, but not more of a problem than any other part of the RS-IC.

With the specifics of the booster laid out, Marshall focused on fleshing out the other portion of the Space Lifter design: the expendable stage which would complete the ascent to orbit and deliver the payload, whether that be Shuttle or a satellite. The design of the upper stage was bounded by the capabilities of the booster, but the responses received following the June 1972 Request for Proposal included a variety of specific approaches. The final selection converged on two top designs. The first, from McDonnell-Douglas, was a stretched “Chinese copy” of their S-IVB stage: a lengthened stage incorporating many changes to enable higher-rate production at lower cost. Building on their own work during Saturn cost reduction studies, McDonnell estimated that they could produce the stages for roughly half the cost of their S-IVB while drawing extensively on the existing production, handling, and checkout facilities created for Apollo. The design also called for a slight modification to the J-2S engines developed for the S-IVB, giving them a nozzle with an 84:1 area ratio rather than the stock 40:1, to increase vacuum specific impulse from 436 seconds to 451, the Isp targeted by the Space Shuttle Main Engine. The second, from Convair, was a an oversized “balloon tank” design, similar to the design of their Centaur upper stage though scaled up dramatically in every dimension. The result would be a fantastically high-performance stage, particularly if fitting with a cluster of up to ten RL-10s instead of the lower-performing (without the nozzle extension) J-2S. The Convair proposal was scored highly on their grasp on technical issues and their studies of low-cost production: the study included many pages detailing how their stage could be built using cheap rolling techniques, the low costs Pratt & Whitney was willing to project for the required numbers of RL-10s, and drawing on their Atlas missile experience to explain how production of 70 or more stages per year could be economically supported. In the end, the deciding factor was initial design cost, as it had been with Marshall’s selection of the RS-IC.

As the year had worn on, it had become apparent that Johnson was running behind and that the design of the glider might prove more expensive than had been projected originally. If any Shuttle was to actually carry astronauts to space, Marshall would have to economize its development to cover Johnson’s overruns--even if this meant elevated recurring costs in the future. Among much grumbling from Marshall’s management, who resented being handicapped in their work to assist another center which was unable to manage its area of responsibility, cost was ranked higher in the selection criteria, and McDonnell’s S-IVC lept to the top of the list. With Marshall’s existing relationship with McDonnell on the S-IVB, it wasn’t an undesirable result, but Johnson’s overruns remained a point of contention between Marshall and Johnson as the program developed.

The Space Lifter upper stage wasn’t the only project to suffer as the decisions on the design of the glider dragged on and questions about budget were raised, and the consequences to other programs were more permanent. Only a few years before in 1969, the nuclear thermal engine NERVA had beckoned to open up the planets, while Pratt and Rocketdyne had competed for the prize of the high-pressure, high-thrust, long-life Space Shuttle Main Engine--a staged-combustion hydrogen-oxygen engine with a chamber pressure three times that of the modern F-1B. This SSME was to have been used on both stages of the early and fully reusable Space Shuttle designs. With the selection of Boeing’s RS-IC booster over North American Rockwell’s RS-II and the use of the expendable J-2S-2 on McDonnell’s S-IVC upper stage, the SSME was a very expensive project without a purpose, just like NERVA had become. Both of NASA’s new high-technology engines were targeted for elimination, in spite of protests from engineers involved and congressional representatives from the districts affected. Rocketdyne was partially compensated for the cancellation of SSME with their contract for the F-1B, but many planners felt as though the quest of NASA for ever-more-advanced technology had ended: the engines for the Space Lifter would be bound firmly within the 50s-era past, not the advances of the future.

The issues with the budget may have been encountered primarily by the Manned Space Flight Center and their work on the glider, but the root of the issue came directly from the original Shuttle Decision and announcement. While the ISRS program had already studied many details on the specific booster and upper stage requirements, meaning Marshall was working towards a very well-defined vehicle, the glider had emerged from the Flax Committee recommendations barely more than some rough conceptual numbers on a blank sheet of paper: a 45,000 pound dry-weight vehicle with capacity for six to eight crew and up to 10,000 pound payload in a 10 foot by 20 foot payload bay. It was a rough enough set of specifications that every major group within NASA could project their preferred designs for the Shuttle onto them, and the result was that the process of preparing the Request for Proposal for the orbiter design was lively at best, and completely chaotic at worst. Maxime Faget once again raised the question if cross-range was still a critical requirement, and thus if his preferred (and patented) straight wings could be used instead of the delta wings which had emerged as the preferred option for both the booster and the TAOS orbiters. The glider design group also reexamined the choice of tiles versus hot structures for the glider's thermal protection. With such core questions reopened, configuration questions and studies abounded. The Manned Space Flight Center was quickly swamped with alternative designs as they worked to focus on a single design for the final Request for Proposal as groups took a last opportunity to pitch the advantages of their designs. The most emblematic of this came with a final attempt by McDonnell to pitch a variant of their Big Gemini: if the glider only needed to reach orbit and return, why couldn't a capsule with internal payload bay serve just as well?

It took almost six months to once again review and retire these resurgent, previously abandoned designs. The Shuttle still needed to have cross range for polar orbit and for a greater number of landing opportunities, which straight wings like Faget’s orbiter couldn’t achieve. However, there were concerns about the high peak heating which might be experienced on the leading edges of a delta-winged orbiter headed to space, and on the volumetric efficiency of such a design for the smaller glider. Advocates of the delta wing and straight wing orbiter reached loggerheads, which left an opening for a compromise neither liked. Lifting bodies, with small aerodynamic surfaces providing control for a vehicle whose fuselage provided most of the lift, had been extensively studied by NASA and the USAF at Edwards Air Force Base. These early tests of the X-24 demonstrated the advantages of such a design for a small but maneuverable entry vehicle. Several of the studied designs could achieve the cross range required by the Air Force for single-orbit polar missions, but the blunter bodies offered more volume and lower overall heating than the thin leading edges of a delta wing. The debate went in circles for weeks, then months, and the delays lead Administrator Fletcher and others familiar with OMB and Congress to worry that if Shuttle didn't get moving, it might put the entire Space Transportation System in jeopardy. The pressure came down on high in a series of meetings with the design leadership. In one legendary (and possibly apocryphal) story, a NASA manager began one of these meetings by upending a briefcase full of various contractor models onto the conference table, sending lifting bodies, delta-wings, straight-wings, and capsules scattering across the tabletop. “Do we want to keep building these? Because if we do, we’re not getting the money for the real one,” he supposedly continued. Whether the incident is true or not, the message from Fletcher on down was clear: if NASA was going to have an orbiter at all, they needed to get moving. The final design settled on the lifting body, offering a design with the volume for a larger crew cabin and payload bay, and the cross-range required for USAF missions. Orbital maneuvering propellant and other systems could be packed into oddly-shaped spaces within the structure which wouldn’t have fit the propellant tanks of an orbiter with its own propulsion. A grudging agreement was secured on these points, and the lifting body emerged as the selected architecture.

Even after the Lifting Body architecture was settled upon, debate raged about the exact capabilities of the eventual Orbiter, most particularly with regard to its propulsion systems. The Orbiter initially called for two jet engines, to be used in the last phase of flight for assistance in landing and giving the crew the ability to go around for another pass if the first approach did not seem feasible. Deke Slayton, at the Astronaut Office, insisted on these engines for a long time, despite protests from lifting body test pilots from Edwards AFB that they were totally unnecessary, as demonstrated by hundreds of unpowered landings at that base. Slayton countered that, after an extended time in orbit, the astronauts would be out-of-practice at actual piloting, unlike the Edwards pilots, who trained in the simulator up to the day of their actual flights. Even after the RFP was published, the debate raged, and not until late 1972 did the requirement for jet propulsion disappear, as the impact on Orbiter payload (a full 25% reduction from 8 tons to 6) ultimately trumped Slayton’s caution.

Further debate centered on the Launch Abort System. In a break from Apollo and building on the precedent of Gemini, the Orbiter was to be equipped only with ejection seats, and these only for the first few missions. The system was to be built safe enough that an abort tower would be unnecessary. This decision was criticized from numerous corners, particularly from the astronaut office, but statistical analysis indicated that an abort tower would only be useful in a handful of abort scenarios anyway. This did not stop Thiokol and other solid rocket motor manufacturing companies from lobbying to reverse the decision in any way possible--up to and including going over Administrator Fletcher’s head to the President of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints, who met his coreligionist and tried to persuade him to direct some work to Utah. Somewhat angrily, Fletcher responded that any decision he made would be in the interests of the US government and NASA first, and Thiokol last.

Ultimately, engineers at Martin-Marietta hit on a compromise that allowed abort capability without unduly driving up per-mission costs or reducing Orbiter payload too badly. In order to accomplish all the missions intended for it, the Orbiter had to be able to maneuver in orbit, to the tune of at least 300 m/s of delta-v. This required a storable propellant engine and sizeable propellant tanks. Drawing on their experience with the Titan II upper stage, which NASA had trusted to lift Gemini crews to orbit without redundancy, they proposed an Integrated Launch Abort and Maneuvering System, using the same propellant for orbital adjustments and for launch abort, as no mission could conceivably involve both operations. In November 1973, NASA adjusted the requirements for the Orbiter to feature just such a system, with one AJ-10 for orbital maneuvering and four of the Titan-legacy LR-91 engines for abort thrust, tackling the problems of maneuvering and abort with the same system. With the Shuttle configuration finally largely decided, Houston was able to push a Request for Proposal out the door just before the close of 1972.

North American Rockwell, who had so far been unable to secure any work on the Space Lifter, devoted substantial effort to their Shuttle proposal, and their experience with the X-15, Valkyrie, and Apollo programs served them well in preparing one of the top two responses. For additional experience in the design of lifting body vehicles, NAR partnered in their proposal with Martin, who brought extensive experience with the type, and which had won support in NASA by proposing the ILAMS system. The strongest competition in technical scoring came from Grumman, who joined with Northrop on the design of their Shuttle. However, while Grumman's design was ranked well in technical aspects, including the lowest dry weight of any entrant, its proposed system designs were criticized as excessively complex and there were concerns expressed about the company's shaky financial footing. It certainly did not help Grumman’s case that Willard Rockwell and other members of the North American and Rockwell leaderships had been donors to the Republican Party in general and President Nixon in particular since the 1950s. Whether or not corruption was involved, the result was that in March 1973, the NAR proposal was officially selected. However, Grumman was able to secure a major consolation prize: Boeing accepted a proposal from them for the subcontract on the Space Lifter's cockpit abort pod.

The Orbiter, as finally proposed by North American and Martin, was based on an enlarged Martin X-24A lifting body, whose blunt nose was deemed less vulnerable to heating at hypersonic speeds than the pointed nose of the X-24B, with facilities for six crew (though, in practice, it was not supposed to fly with that many occupants except for very short space station crew rotation flights). The use of conduction- and liquid-coolant-based heat rejection made it possible to operate the spacecraft at an internal pressure of either 14.7 oxygen-nitrogen or 5 psi pure oxygen, depending on mission requirements. The payload bay was wedged in front of the vertical stabilizer, 10 feet by 20 feet, just big enough for small satellites or other test payloads. A small airlock and docking system, based on the Docking Module in development for the Apollo-Soyuz Test Project, was designed to mount at the forward end of the bay, tied into the cabin for missions which would require docking or EVA.

With the prime contractors for the Space Lifter, its upper stage, and the Space Shuttle orbiter decided, 1973 found a veritable army of engineers setting to work on the components of the Space Transportation System. Marshall had already been serving as the hub of feverish work surrounding the RS-IC booster and the S-IVC upper stage; now the newly-renamed Johnson Space Center became the center of their own new web of contractors and subcontractors as North American Rockwell dug into the task of turning their Space Shuttle design into a flying vehicle within five years.

With the design of the vehicle taking shape, studies also began at Kennedy Space Center on how the vehicles would be handled, assembled, and launched. Some study was given to launching the Space Transportation System from other sites, ranging up and down the eastern seaboard and the west coast in search of cheap and functional sites for equatorial and polar launches. Senator Clinton Anderson from New Mexico repeatedly attempted to influence a decision in favor of a new joint polar and equatorial launch site located at White Sands: flights of the Lifter downrange to the east for equatorial flights and to the north for polar flights would overfly one of his state's most plentiful resources: underpopulated land. Thus, some studies suggested, it would be easier to land the Space Lifter down range with less fuel for the Lifter's air-breathing jets. After landing down range, the Lifter could refuel and and work its way back to the launch site via a series of commercial and Strategic Air Command airstrips. However, while alternate launch sites received extensive lobbying focus, they were quickly revealed as the fantasies they were, given the substantial infrastructure that existing sites already possessed. In particular, given the significant heritage that the Space Lifter would share with the Saturn V and existing infrastructure at KSC, the Cape was rapidly confirmed as the site for equatorial launches. Vandenberg Air Force Base in California was selected as the polar launch site, with the Space Lifter to join the rockets it might someday replace.

With the inevitable confirmed, work began on laying out changes which would be required to the Mobile Launch Platforms, Mobile Servicing Tower, Vehicle Assembly Building, and other infrastructure around Cape Canaveral. As Boeing's plans for the Lifter firmed up in 1974, ground was broken on a set of large hangars and servicing facilities for the new boosters, while across the road another survey party took measurements to lay out the location of a smaller set for the maintenance of the Orbiters. Kennedy was still planned to see the launch of one final Saturn IB and Apollo for the Apollo-Soyuz Test Project, but NASA's most famous launch site--along with the rest of the agency--was already actively working towards their next challenge. The politics and contracts were complete and the teams had been assembled. However, the challenge of getting from a designs on paper to a vehicle on the pad still remained to be met.
 
OK, that's more to chew on for this week!

Looking up the X-24A, Encyclopedia Astronautica remarks that the form handled well in glide but when thrust was applied it went nose-up. With the decision to eliminate flyback thrust for the Orbiter, that is no problem! Good handling in pure glide is an excellent criterion and although the hull shape is rather odd compared to a simple cylinder or OTL Orbiter's boxcar shape, there seems to be plenty of volume in its tubby form to pack everything needed. Presumably the Orbiter, considerably larger than the glide test form of the X-24A, will have a much smaller cockpit blister in proportion.

I do wonder about the glide ratio though. Wikipedia mentions the OTL Orbiter's ratios as ranging from 1:1 at hypersonic speeds, 2:1 at supersonic, and 4.5:1 at subsonic landing approach speeds. Looking at the ceiling of just under 22 km and range of 72 km given for the test glider I can infer a sink ratio of 0.3, implying lift/drag of 3.3333. The glider was tested at subsonic speeds of course and so it seems that the low-speed performance of the form would be some 74 percent that of the OTL delta-wing Orbiter. Cross-range is going to be a function of hypersonic and subsonic ratios, which I believe, just glancing at the rounded thing, would be substantially lower than those of the OTL orbiter as well, though I might be mistaken about that. But by worse than 25 percent, or less? In any event it would seem that cross range would be substantially less, and that the lifting body will enter somewhat steeper and probably land at a faster speed too. The latter depends on the effective "wing" area of the body as a ratio to its mass--depending on how much weight we suppose it actually landed with (maximum weights would presumably include a lot of rocket propellant blown off at high altitude) it seems to be 250-300 kg per square meter--Wikipedia giving an area of 18.1 square meters. If a 30 ton Orbiter, extrapolated from this approximately 5 ton test glider, were to maintain the same mass ratios it would need to have 6 times the area, thus 2.45 times the linear dimensions and its density would be lowered by that same ratio. Which is probably good, I suppose the glider was jam-packed full of stuff so halving the density should open up some elbow room for crew space and easier access to internal components, in space and for maintenance on the ground.

The Orbiter of OTL had a ratio of 400 kg per nominal wing area, so we could either make the ATL Orbiter a little more compact to match, or take the lower ratio to lower the landing speed. Given that its sink rate is greater than OTL's craft I'd opt for the lower speed; this would also mean that the ATL Orbiter would "bite" on atmospheric drag a little higher and probably would have to endure somewhat higher G, but offset by this happening in thinner air thus the net heat flux per square meter would be lower. Not however tremendously lower; I imagine although the post did not settle it they are going to go for tiles. Though the deep curved design does allow perhaps for a hot structure instead, which would be nice though the crew might get uncomfortably warm and a much greater portion of the interior machinery would have to endure swings to high temperature.

Extrapolating for an area 6 times that of the test glider, we get a bit under 109 square meters, 43 percent that of the OTL Orbiter. Length, 18.3 m; span, 8.6, height 7.15. The latter is especially subject to variation because the glider had three fins, including a centerline one, while the post text refers to only wing-mounted ones so perhaps these are made higher.

Given OTL figures for the Saturn V S-1C and S-IVB, the total length of the stack does not quite jibe with the 300 foot length mentioned, but it does come close. It seems the RS-1C is a bit longer than the OTL first stage, which I suppose makes sense--although frankly I would think that if it has a thick delta wing, the kerosene, or some of it anyway, could go there and overall the thing could be shorter despite all the extra bric-a-brac-crew station, landing gear, cruise engines, etc.

One troubling thing is that the preface text in italics in an earlier post told us the Orbiter being installed was a new, second design that was smaller than its predecessor, which is presumably what the the main development text here is talking about. With quoted weights for dry body and payload adding up to more than 25 tons already and with OMS fuel for 300 m/sec delta V raising it very close to 30 tons, I've assumed 30 tons for the Mark 1 Orbiter and derived the above dimensions accordingly. But the italic text states the new Orbiter also masses 30 tons!

In what sense is the new one smaller than the old then?

I suppose it could be that when Rockwell got down to actually drafting the Mark 1 Orbiter, the dang thing grew; for this and that reason it became advisable to add mass here there and everywhere, and it was OK'd since it is not difficult to put a more powerful upper stage on the Lifter than something derived from S-IVB.

But no, I don't think so--a 5 or 10 percent mass overrun might be permitted and accommodated with expedients, but one thing the authors have stressed in responding to my speculations is that NASA does not want to design several upper stages; they want to standardize on just one, and that one is taken from the S-IV family. Now we don't know for sure its exact mass or even number of engines from this; but while dual engine sets are common enough it would be a bit awkward because the simple expedient of controlling thrust by simply shutting excess engines down is not available when we have only two--well, it technically is but it is tricky. With three engines they could be mounted in line instead of in a triangle. But I suppose a 3 engine stage is pretty far from the single-engine origin the company proposes to make "Chinese copies" of for cheapness. So the Orbiter would be designed for a pretty narrow mass range and tremendous overruns are just not allowed. Besides the draft of the hull form is probably fixed early on and it would be much harder to expand or contract the complex double curvature shapes of the lifting body than simple linear shapes; they are volume limited.

I can understand why early Lifter usage begins with a smaller standard upper stage that does fall far short of maximum paper capability. One way the Lifter with its propellant ballast strategy saves money on a low-mass launch is that the lighter upper stack enables the whole thing to be moving at much higher speed at Lifter "burnout" (reserving its "ballast" propellant to lower it to a safer entry speed after separation). Higher separation speed means the upper stage has less work to do so its payload can be larger than it would have been at a standard separation speed. Thus a stage similar to the second stage of a Saturn 1B can loft considerably more payload to orbit. To get down to the modest 10-30 ton ranges actual launch "customers" are mostly going to regard as large, we have to start with a small stage, and this is cheaper than some grandiose 5 or more J engine thing, and can be made cheaper still with the proposed mass production techniques, allowing very frequent launches which reduce the share of fixed site costs.

But looking at the remarks in the opening quote, the goal is to reduce total launch costs by at least a factor of 20, hopefully 50! This means that every component must either be reduced in cost by that much, or some must be reduced even more to compensate for bottlenecks.

Settling for 30 ton payloads when I estimate that going to the maximum possible extremes of a super heavy launch (4000 tons-higher than any I discussed before, the limit of the 5 F engines at sea level) as much as 180 might be launched (with a second stage nearly twice as big as the S-II) means blowing off a possible factor of 4 or 5, pushing the component cost reduction target overall on the more modest launch further to 80-200 range!

The authors have explicitly rejected carrying over the S-II upper stage as out of bounds, but I interpret that to mean "not for now." It means that the contract with North American Rockwell will lapse, their tooling and plant facilities and workforce will be repurposed or laid off, and even if it is concluded later that that stage as designed in the 1960s was essentially perfect and a new one will be pretty much identical to the old, it will be a new project and possibly a clean-sheet one. But in essence, a right-sized upper stage that gives a similar mass ratio of stages to the Saturn V will be very similar to the old S-II, and to come anywhere near even a factor of 20 overall cost reduction it will be necessary to promote batch launches in the range of at least 100 tons. And very possibly to reach even an overall cost reduction of 20 if that is attainable, it will be necessary to press on to something double the mass.

It might not be called an S-II, it would probably be manufactured by someone other than Rockwell, and design details may differ, but I am certain that either something essentially the same as an S-II will have to be mounted to the Lifter at some point, perhaps a decade or more after the first Lifter flights--or else the program cannot come close to a factor of 20 cost reduction, let alone 50. And it will have to become the standard, comprising most launches to accomplish the desired cheapening.

This assumes of course that the much bigger stage masses that are allowed by the basic physics of using 5 F engines can in fact be borne structurally by the standard Lifter. It is possible that a few savings in Lifter design cost, construction and maintenance mean that it lacks the structural capacity to mount upper stages in the 500-1000 ton range and therefore the desired economies must wait on a Mark II lifter with more robust construction.

Or perhaps the experience with the big Lifter can point the way to a smaller Lifter that can achieve superior economies using advanced tech, ultralight materials and whatnot. But that will sacrifice the huge maximum capability the first generation Lifter is capable of--with big upper stages.

I have considered the possibility of reuse of the second stage to compliment the savings from reuse of the booster. These however would inherently contribute a smaller saving margin since the raw cost of a disposable second stage is small compared to overall costs--unless the biggest component, the booster cost, is indeed reduced to mere handfuls of percentages of the baseline disposable launch cost. Recovering a stage from full orbital speed is inherently difficult and would require substantial increases in the svelte dry masses the disposable stages achieve. I even considered "propellant ballasting" for the second stage, holding back some tons of propellant from launch and using it to lower the entry speed of the stage, thus simplifying and lightening the dry mass with relaxed TPS requirements--but this seems to be a wash at best, probably a losing strategy.

No, it seems to me that if orders of magnitude cost reduction such as desired can occur, it must be by means of raising the payload to amortize fixed costs, and that means everyone getting used to several thousands of tons being orbited every year! Even if the Lifter and associated stages are slashed back by a factor of ten while retaining all the economies and introducing new ones from smaller scale, we'd still be looking at several hundred tons a year--good news for space program boosters, but is it really sanely attainable with rockets?
 
Shevek,

Can you quote the text which lead you to think the descriptive text mentions two generations of Orbiters? I've re-read it a couple times and don't see it, but maybe I'm missing it because as one of the writers I kow what a sentence "should" mean.
 
Shevek,

Can you quote the text which lead you to think the descriptive text mentions two generations of Orbiters? I've re-read it a couple times and don't see it, but maybe I'm missing it because as one of the writers I kow what a sentence "should" mean.
The third vehicle in the VAB was the most exotic of the three. Sleeker and smoother than the RS-IC, this last one had a black underside, a new tile-based thermal protection system to protect her from the greater thermal stresses of orbital reentry, and a set of Apollo- and Titan-heritage rocket engines on her rear for orbital maneuvers and, if the worst happened, to boost the crew to safety. As her larger cousin had years earlier when she’d first been unveiled, this one had a crowd of admirers eager to snap a picture with America’s newest spaceship. Engineers from both NASA and Rockwell who worked on her at the Cape were joined by busloads of tourists from the Visitor’s Center, bedecked in track jackets despite the Florida heat, though the latter generally remained behind a rope barrier to stay out of the former’s way. Polaroid camera flashes illuminated her from every angle as engineers and technicians checked her even more thoroughly than Constitution. Umbilical cables and air hoses (maintaining a constant positive pressure within the vehicle, to ensure that no contaminants entered) trailed from access panels all around the vehicle.
I believe he means the bolded part.
 
I believe he means the bolded part.
Absolutely! Thank you very much.

It seemed the sensible way to read it that it referred to a second generation Orbiter. The whole point of Lifter is that it becomes a workhorse for a decade or so.

Of course a Lifter is a mighty workhorse indeed; it could make sense that it would not last in service nearly as long as an OTL Orbiter--in very large part because the projected flight rate of STS, which would have brought the initial fleet to end of life very much sooner than the 2010s, was unattainable and so the ones that were not lost in service served three or four times longer than planned. Whereas presumably STS ITTL has success closer to the plan, which hopefully is realistic enough for this to happen, and then the first Lifters made would exit service within a decade.

So it also makes sense that new Lifters would be entering service, and so apparently we are actually seeing a typical, standard 30 ton Orbiter (perhaps also a new one) but being launched on a new generation and smaller Lifter.

But I figured that more important than making smaller, right-sized Lifters would be making smaller, right-sized Orbiters. After all the notion that all cargo should be carried in an itty bitty little Orbiter cargo bay seems daft on the face of it; why should up-cargo be such a tiny portion of the vast capability of something launched on a Lifter? Eliminating the concept of ordinary Orbiters lets them focus on the mission of carrying people. An Orbiter splitting the function of carrying people with cargo carrying would have to be bigger than one that carries just modest numbers of people; only if we wanted to carry dozens of people at once (implying there is someplace in orbit that can accept several dozen astronauts aboard at once, that is, a pretty big space station) would it make sense to have a 30 ton spaceplane. Or of course, if we want to carry several crew and also give them workspace in orbit for some extended free-flying mission, which is how the Orbiter came to be used in the first couple decades of the OTL program, as mini and temporary space stations, then we'd need the tonnage. But if we have more modest crew capabilities on a space station, and only want to carry up and down ten or less, we'd want a smaller, cheaper Orbiter.

So that is how I read that--smaller new type Orbiter being launched on a standard Lifter, not standard 30 ton Orbiter on a new smaller Lifter. After all, HL-20 could pretty well match the OTL Orbiter's crew capacity and then some and yet would mass under 15 tons, so why not? With the first few posts we could only speculate on what size the first generation Orbiter would be, and I did figure they'd go for something as big as OTL's, since the Lifter certainly could boost a big enough second stage to put a 100 ton ballpark spaceplane up. (Assuming it was stressed for it of course).

The Mark II strategy though would be to design a much smaller Orbiter to just carry a dozen or less crew, and let cargo be launched with it, behind it on the stack so the crew and passengers could escape in the lighter Orbiter; if the mission goes nominally the small Orbiter would either be driven by fuel and auxiliary orbital engines sized to move the combined Orbiter/payload package, or conceivably the Orbiter's built in OMS could provide the thrust instead, fueled from tanks included in the cargo, carrying crew and cargo to a destination such as a space station, or launching a bunch of spacecraft in a batch while the Orbiter does something else. Or a free-flying mission where the 'cargo" is a big Spacelab type module that cannot be carried down to Earth, or has its own TPS to reenter separately.

A really big spaceplane might be justified by the occasional need to bring orbited masses back down, as in the ETS scenario where a structural member on Freedom had to be replaced and it was remarked it was a darn shame there was no way to bring the failed one down to Earth for careful study there. Or that there was no capacity to fix Hubble or bring it down. If one were to take the 30 ton lifting body Orbiter design and "inflate" it, raising its linear dimensions by 1.41+ (root 2), this would double its area and hence its glide-back landing mass, to 60 tons. If we figure doubling the surface area would imply having to double many masses--TPS for instance, outer skin, etc--while others could stay fixed or even be reduced, overall it might mass say 45 tons, but that frees up 15 more tons for down mass, and volume can be made by shoving essential internal masses off to the sides to make a decent sized return bay. Kicking launch capability up by the extra 15 tons, or even more if we want to fill the bay with up-cargo, should be pretty easy. So building two or three of these could address the occasional desire to bring down some large mass pretty well. 45 tons is still much smaller than an OTL Orbiter of course, but it would be able to bring down as much mass as the heavier OTL Orbiter could manage. And even bigger craft along such lines, little more indeed than space trucks, could be launched without too much difficulty beyond making the second stage to handle it.

Although I do hold that if cargoes are going to typically be in the 20-40 ton range we certainly do want to save operational money by using smaller Lifters, I also hope for a great ballooning in typical annual launch weights that would justify the huge size of a 5 F engine Lifter, that the way things evolved was to max out the Lifter with upper stages as big as S-II or bigger. That apparently may never happen ITTL, or if does perhaps not for decades past the preface scene.

Ah! If so, that was meant as a reference to the Lifter RS-1C.

And maybe if I read it over carefully, that would be clear. With the clarification everything looks different.
 
A couple more things about the ATL Orbiter:

The public would be familiar with the shape of it from the movie Marooned, where an Air Force spaceplane with such a form either rescues the astronauts or fails to do so (IIRC it is ultimately some Russians who save the Americans--but I don't see how a Soyuz could rescue 3 astronauts so I may have that wrong, I saw the movie as a kid many decades ago). Anyway I think people will think it looks properly futuristic and cutting edge, the way a spaceship ought to.

Looking at thrust and weight of the LR-91 engine family, 4 of them would be able to shove a 30 ton mass at 6 G's, in vacuum. But only at 3 G's at sea level, and sea level is where you need escape thrust more than anywhere else. The ISP plummets to half vacuum levels at sea level. Is this due to the gas generator being weak when exhausting to sea level pressure as with the J-2, or mainly due to nozzle optimization for vacuum efficiency? In vacuum and therefore on the ground, they'd be operating for only 10 seconds if the OMS propellant supply is limited to 300 m/sec delta-V. Thus if EA and Wikipedia figures for sea level ISP and thrust hold, the total delta-V we could get away from a pad explosion is merely 150 m/sec, and that would take 10 seconds to acquire. That is certainly far better than zero, but is it remotely adequate to escape two exploding stages?

It is really nice to have the ability to try to escape a mishap at all of course.

I also wonder if, since these are short-duration burning engines, if it is possible to supplement or upgrade the pumping gas-generator driven turbines. Say with solid fuel charges, a common way of starting these types of engine anyway. Or simply redesigning the GG to operate at higher pressure. Hypergolic propellant mixes after allow us to forego such expedients in favor of simply mixing the two components and standing back as they blow each other up very nicely.

It seems 4 such engines would mass something like 2.4 tons, which is not too bad out of a 30 ton total ship.
 
Shevek23 wrote:
Ranulf was talking about upper stages here. One severe problem with simply wrapping a standard upper stage in an airframe with TPS is that venting and leakage from the tanks is trapped in the airframe and can easily create hazards. This is most especially so when fuel is hydrogen.

A well-known 'hazard' for any vehicle that has places where escaped hydrogen which can in fact leak 'through' materials I might point out has both sensors and methods to ventilate problem areas. For example the S-II-to-SIVB inter-stage on the Saturn-V and both Saturn-1 and Saturn-V Lunar Module Adapter sections had both sensors and vents to detect and prevent hydrogen build up. All Centaur inter-stage sections have sensors and venting as well. Most worrisome leakage tends to be along feed lines along which, it being hydrogen after all, leakage through the even closed valves tends to build up. This is why the Shuttle engine bay was heavily equipped with sensors since it was much more difficult to vent and they hydrogen would tend to build up in the forward/upper engine bay where venting was difficult at best.

Also why the "Shuttle-Centaur" was not-popular and frankly scary as there was no practical way to 'vent' the payload bay and no built in provisions for equipping a way to vent over-board and the stage WOULD vent no matter what in any case so I've never been sure how the concept made it as far as it did in the first place. Had the Shuttle been DESIGNED with the Centaur in mind initially...

Polish Eagle wrote:
Now there's an interesting concept, though I have to wonder about how easy it would really have been to reconfigure a balloon tank for the loads of winged flight. The S-IC, like a lot of Saturn hardware, was built like a locomotive by comparison--I wouldn't want to be in the pilot's seat if the Atlas core suddenly depressurizes!

The quoted cite shows a stage similar to a Centaur with two engine bells used as a basis and the idea is to enclose the 'balloon' tanks in the aeroshell with bracing and supports. The same idea was used for the fly-back Atlas since it had to have structural supports added (stingers, reinforcements, and bracing is noted in the illustration along with a 'hard-back' structure for the wings and engines) to allow the wings and cockpit instillation anyway. By the time the concept came about Convair was already planning on dropping full balloon tanks for a combined support structure with a partially pressure supported design. Since the design didn't stage the boosters anymore there was a need for such a structure to support the horizontal loading of the vehicle. And if it started depressurizing during launch they fully expected to use the ejector seat if they had to :)

TheBatafour/Patupi wrote considering what a Soviet response and considering the POD is the very late-60s/early-70s and the N1 is canceled around 1974 there are a couple of options open. It's quite possible the Soviets will simply move forwards with down-range recovery of the first and possibly second stage though at this point the overall payload 'hit' is probably preclusive of the idea. Second the announcement of America building the Lifter and later Orbiter could cause a significant re-thinking of the Soviet program since they have Proton coming on-line and there are still several "competing' designs for HLV's out there, it's possible the rivals will get off the mark with different LVs sooner rather than later. On the other hand by the mid-70s the Soviet space program is finally coming together and organizing so that when/if the Central Government gets around to authorizing a new 'program' it could try to tie 'reusability' even more into the thinking. At which point I have to point out that the Energia booster complex WAS supposed to be highly reusable with the boosters being recovered down-range or flying back while the core and any upper stage was 'expended' though I should point out that the 'core' still could make orbit and be the basis of on-orbit uses such as tankage, pressurized space, and 'wet' modules IF anyone wanted to go in that direction. If the N1 is continued the Soviets might be willing to play to some of their strengths and consider things the Americans did not such as boost back and maybe even powered landing :) But again that's going to hit payload quite a bit without more powerful/efficient upper stages to work with.

Of course the "problem" from OTL that still might crop up is someone on the Soviet side can STILL note that a Lifter launching towards polar orbit from Vandenberg could loft a couple of hundred MIRV warheads that could hit the Soviet Union without much if any real warning in a similar manner as was suggested for the Shuttle itself. In a counter argument part of the proposed purpose for heavy lift launch vehicles like the N1 was the capability of lofting significant 'first strike' heavy nuclear weapons over the SOUTH pole towards the United States to avoid our northern detection and defense net. So in generally ANY Soviet HLV can be used for such a mission AND any over-the-pole launch can be used in such a manner. And we need to keep in mind that unlike the Shuttle OTL the Lifter here actually makes more economic and operational 'sense' and will look a lot less likely as having a 'classified' mission such as bombing Moscow.

In general a "Lifter" winged first stage may in fact have great appeal to the Soviets as a winged 'fly-back' booster it will no longer be tied to their rail or canal system and could be (in theory) flown to the test site from the factory in a self-ferry mode.

Randy
 
Polish Eagle wrote:
While the ISRS program had already studied many details on the specific booster and upper stage requirements, meaning Marshall was working towards a very well-defined vehicle, the glider had emerged from the Flax Committee recommendations barely more than some rough conceptual numbers on a blank sheet of paper: a 45,000 pound dry-weight vehicle with capacity for six to eight crew and up to 10,000 pound payload in a 10 foot by 20 foot payload bay.

Even after the RFP was published, the debate raged, and not until late 1972 did the requirement for jet propulsion disappear, as the impact on Orbiter payload (a full 25% reduction from 8 tons to 6) ultimately trumped Slayton's caution.

Not sure what's going on, if the payload mass went up in design or what but 10,000lbs is 5 tons, 8 tons is 16,000lbs and 6 is 12,000lbs respectively. Was the crew capacity included in the overall 'payload' rating? The reason I'm asking is one thing the original Flax committee was clear about is that the overall 'payload' criteria they discussed for gliders specifically was "payload" was an overall mass rather than a specifically divided as the 'bay' was supposed to handle a crew module to carry personnel OR a separate payload module. Hence one of the things NASA didn't like about the designs was the "crew" was two to four while any additional personnel had to be carried in the bay with the 'other' payload for a station supply mission. IF the 'crew' is being counted that makes some sense in that NASA preferred counting crew and 'payload' as separate with a dedicated 'crew/passenger' compliment from the overall 'payload' load. But that's around 750lbs 'allowance' per person for an 8 person crew and more if there are only 6. If it's a straight payload mass growth requirement, (quite possible as we're talking NASA and the Air Force after all :) ) then it should probably be noted there was an increase in payload.

Nice abort system despite using storable propellant, but inevitable under the circumstances. And NICE slapdown of Thiokol though this is going to have some butterflies down the road and may effect future military missile development. (Thiokol was one of the companies that was going to 'go-out-of-business" without a major role in the Shuttle program OTL along with Aerojet, Pratt-&-Whitney, Lockheed, Boeing, et-al :) )

Hmm, "S-IVC" I'm not really surprised that there were cost and time overrun's on making it 'expendably-cheap', though I'd have a really hard time believing that the new-build Centaur based upper stage would be either cheaper or easier to build as the S-IVB was a pretty efficient stage and with the J-2S and maybe the J-2T versions, (200K/250K) or an HG-3 version (@315,000lbs) later on it would be a very cost effective stage. The MLP and Pad changes from S-II to S-IVB are mostly in volume and sizing though I will point out all the ACTUAL S-IVB equipment and connections are going to have to be move anyway because the Orbiter or other payload are now in that spot and they are going to be below the Apollo CM/SM connections by quite a bit.

One question though about the "requirements" for the Orbiter glider; Given the Lifter can and pretty much is designed to carry multiple payloads other than the Orbiter Glider is it necessary that the Orbiter continue to meet all the Air Force requirements since it is now obvious that launch of a satellite does not in fact 'require' the use of the Orbiter and in fact would benefit more from NOT being launched in the Orbiter. Which unlike the Shuttle in OTL the economic and technical requirements TTL is going to make the use of the Orbiter as a 'cargo' hauler highly debatable at best for any other mission than Space Station resupply mission rather than satellite deployment or retrieval. As noted in the post the 'cargo bay' is mostly designed for experimental and research use rather than a practical mission anyway so I would have assumed the Air Force was less interested in its design than OTL since even if the Lifter/STS does end up replacing the majority of US launch vehicles, (still has the lower end problem and frankly the Air Force has far less incentive to allow that to happen TTL) there is a very strong argument for not using it to launch polar and DoD payloads even from Vandenberg.

Randy
 
Polish Eagle wrote:

Not sure what's going on, if the payload mass went up in design or what but 10,000lbs is 5 tons, 8 tons is 16,000lbs and 6 is 12,000lbs respectively. Was the crew capacity included in the overall 'payload' rating? The reason I'm asking is one thing the original Flax committee was clear about is that the overall 'payload' criteria they discussed for gliders specifically was "payload" was an overall mass rather than a specifically divided as the 'bay' was supposed to handle a crew module to carry personnel OR a separate payload module. Hence one of the things NASA didn't like about the designs was the "crew" was two to four while any additional personnel had to be carried in the bay with the 'other' payload for a station supply mission. IF the 'crew' is being counted that makes some sense in that NASA preferred counting crew and 'payload' as separate with a dedicated 'crew/passenger' compliment from the overall 'payload' load. But that's around 750lbs 'allowance' per person for an 8 person crew and more if there are only 6. If it's a straight payload mass growth requirement, (quite possible as we're talking NASA and the Air Force after all :) ) then it should probably be noted there was an increase in payload.

It was a matter of more payload capacity getting written into the design as the Lifter's payload-to-LEO was refined. After all, if you can loft the Shuttle plus 8 tonnes, with the actual orbital insertion done by the Lifter's upper stage, well, you may as well spec an 8 tonne payload.

Nice abort system despite using storable propellant, but inevitable under the circumstances. And NICE slapdown of Thiokol though this is going to have some butterflies down the road and may effect future military missile development. (Thiokol was one of the companies that was going to 'go-out-of-business" without a major role in the Shuttle program OTL along with Aerojet, Pratt-&-Whitney, Lockheed, Boeing, et-al :) )

Missile development is something we'll touch on when we actually reach the 1980s--there are still a few missile development programs in the pipeline, after all. As to that "slapdown," that was actually cribbed from OTL--they really did try to go over Fletcher's head to the President of the Mormon Church!

Hmm, "S-IVC" I'm not really surprised that there were cost and time overrun's on making it 'expendably-cheap', though I'd have a really hard time believing that the new-build Centaur based upper stage would be either cheaper or easier to build as the S-IVB was a pretty efficient stage and with the J-2S and maybe the J-2T versions, (200K/250K) or an HG-3 version (@315,000lbs) later on it would be a very cost effective stage. The MLP and Pad changes from S-II to S-IVB are mostly in volume and sizing though I will point out all the ACTUAL S-IVB equipment and connections are going to have to be move anyway because the Orbiter or other payload are now in that spot and they are going to be below the Apollo CM/SM connections by quite a bit.

S-IVC is just a stretched S-IVB. The thinking goes, much of the stage cost is just in handling it and in the engine--stretching the tankage is a minor cost increase for a major payload increase. Centaur is too small to be a second stage--though this isn't the last we'll hear from that stage...

One question though about the "requirements" for the Orbiter glider; Given the Lifter can and pretty much is designed to carry multiple payloads other than the Orbiter Glider is it necessary that the Orbiter continue to meet all the Air Force requirements since it is now obvious that launch of a satellite does not in fact 'require' the use of the Orbiter and in fact would benefit more from NOT being launched in the Orbiter. Which unlike the Shuttle in OTL the economic and technical requirements TTL is going to make the use of the Orbiter as a 'cargo' hauler highly debatable at best for any other mission than Space Station resupply mission rather than satellite deployment or retrieval. As noted in the post the 'cargo bay' is mostly designed for experimental and research use rather than a practical mission anyway so I would have assumed the Air Force was less interested in its design than OTL since even if the Lifter/STS does end up replacing the majority of US launch vehicles, (still has the lower end problem and frankly the Air Force has far less incentive to allow that to happen TTL) there is a very strong argument for not using it to launch polar and DoD payloads even from Vandenberg.

Randy

The USAF requirements ITTL are more about testing the concept of "payload effects" and any kind of hypersonic maneuvers the USAF might find interesting--the cross-range is still desirable, as is the ability to maneuver and grapple a satellite. Some faction of the USAF always wanted to try out their own manned spacecraft--Shuttle gives them an excuse to see if there's really any application.
 
It was a matter of more payload capacity getting written into the design as the Lifter's payload-to-LEO was refined. After all, if you can loft the Shuttle plus 8 tonnes, with the actual orbital insertion done by the Lifter's upper stage, well, you may as well spec an 8 tonne payload.

Understood but I'm noted they started OUT smaller and there was no mention of an increase which is why it sounded odd. Of COURSE you're going to lift as much as you can, go big AND go to space... It's America after all :)

Missile development is something we'll touch on when we actually reach the 1980s--there are still a few missile development programs in the pipeline, after all. As to that "slapdown," that was actually cribbed from OTL--they really did try to go over Fletcher's head to the President of the Mormon Church!

Yep, 'local' history actually but the President bypassed Fletcher and the Utah delegation in Congress had more 'pull' than pretty much anytime before that and, shall we say they 'abused it for all it was worth and then some' for which we are still seeing echoes of today. Seriously, any analysis of the economics clearly shows that while fishing the SRBs out of the ocean and refurbishing them makes all kinds of sense it NEVER made a bit of sense to ship them across the country to do so and then back to the Cape. Which is why all the analysis' of the day do not in fact SHOW that part of the equation. There is a rather obvious reason that PACs from Florida, Alabama, and Mississippi were funding efforts in Utah to get Orin Hatch out of office at the same time they were lobbying to put the 'boosters' for SLS up for competition :)

It is an open and acknowledged fact that Hatch-et-al are very proud that the EXACT capacity that "experts-in-the-field" told them would require continued use of SRBs was "130 tons of payload" which is exactly how the requirement was written :)

S-IVC is just a stretched S-IVB. The thinking goes, much of the stage cost is just in handling it and in the engine--stretching the tankage is a minor cost increase for a major payload increase. Centaur is too small to be a second stage--though this isn't the last we'll hear from that stage...

Knew about stage stretching :) Centaur's too useful to NOT use so I understand that and can't wait to see where it goes. No seriously, I can't wait. At all. Update, update this very moment! ;)

The USAF requirements ITTL are more about testing the concept of "payload effects" and any kind of hypersonic maneuvers the USAF might find interesting--the cross-range is still desirable, as is the ability to maneuver and grapple a satellite. Some faction of the USAF always wanted to try out their own manned spacecraft--Shuttle gives them an excuse to see if there's really any application.

I've noted elsewhere that OTL Air Force 'requirements' were a lot less "required" by the segment that was actually launching satellites than NASA was made to understand and obviously as the REAL people who should have had a say in the requirements were in fact a super-secret organization that neither NASA or the Air Force in general KNEW about so when they talked, nobody listened. TTL circumstance are very different so the overall conflict is probably a lot less than OTL NASA/Air Force relations :) As given in OTL the actual 'cross-range' requirement was what drove the wings and killed some of the more promising low-cross range concepts but at the same time the Air Force was probably more aware than NASA that there were numerous ways to GET that cross-range other than large delta wings. The Air Force had lost out on that kind of ability for spacecraft with the lose of the Dynasoar but strangely enough they had by the time it was canceled already begun to question the utility of "wings" for spacecraft in most situations. The still tended to have a lot of winged spacecraft concepts get studied but they were aware that it was actually in some ways easier to NOT have wings on a high utility spacecraft below a certain size. The Russians came to the same conclusion but were forced to pursue a winged design BECAUSE that's what the American's were doing. Without some of those drivers...

Randy
 
My belief is that the Air Force wanted both the Shuttle and to keep their evolved launchers too. Why not? It's all for defense!

I think the record shows that the Air Force was considerably more enthusiastic about evolved launchers than STS, to be honest. If they wanted both - which to some degree they eventually did - it's also clear which they preferred.

In any event...the entire project of involving the DoD in any form with STS conceptualization and development proved to be much more trouble than it was worth, sadly.
 
Understood but I'm noted they started OUT smaller and there was no mention of an increase which is why it sounded odd. Of COURSE you're going to lift as much as you can, go big AND go to space... It's America after all :)

Perhaps it could have been written more clearly, but for the record, the sequence of events is that Lifter-S-IVB was the configuration chosen to define Shuttle's mass and initial payload. When S-IVC was worked in (on the basis of tank stretches being cheap), payload on the Shuttle nearly doubled, so we went from 5 tons to 8.

Knew about stage stretching :) Centaur's too useful to NOT use so I understand that and can't wait to see where it goes. No seriously, I can't wait. At all. Update, update this very moment! ;)

Patience. ;) We'll have a mini-update with the specifications and possibly some pictures this weekend--stay tuned!

I've noted elsewhere that OTL Air Force 'requirements' were a lot less "required" by the segment that was actually launching satellites than NASA was made to understand and obviously as the REAL people who should have had a say in the requirements were in fact a super-secret organization that neither NASA or the Air Force in general KNEW about so when they talked, nobody listened. TTL circumstance are very different so the overall conflict is probably a lot less than OTL NASA/Air Force relations :) As given in OTL the actual 'cross-range' requirement was what drove the wings and killed some of the more promising low-cross range concepts but at the same time the Air Force was probably more aware than NASA that there were numerous ways to GET that cross-range other than large delta wings. The Air Force had lost out on that kind of ability for spacecraft with the lose of the Dynasoar but strangely enough they had by the time it was canceled already begun to question the utility of "wings" for spacecraft in most situations. The still tended to have a lot of winged spacecraft concepts get studied but they were aware that it was actually in some ways easier to NOT have wings on a high utility spacecraft below a certain size. The Russians came to the same conclusion but were forced to pursue a winged design BECAUSE that's what the American's were doing. Without some of those drivers...

Randy

True, but X-20 did have other purposes than just being a spacecraft of its own--it was also supposed to be a testbed for some Aerospaceplane technologies. X-20's demise was hastened when that program went under.

Here, the USAF's manned flight lobby is interested in what they can actually do in space--their take on the industrialization and economic exploitation party line for the Space Transportation System. The small Shuttle can satisfy that desire as well as the large. That they don't have to build the vehicle themselves only makes it more appealing.

A couple more things about the ATL Orbiter:

Looking at thrust and weight of the LR-91 engine family, 4 of them would be able to shove a 30 ton mass at 6 G's, in vacuum. But only at 3 G's at sea level, and sea level is where you need escape thrust more than anywhere else. The ISP plummets to half vacuum levels at sea level. Is this due to the gas generator being weak when exhausting to sea level pressure as with the J-2, or mainly due to nozzle optimization for vacuum efficiency? In vacuum and therefore on the ground, they'd be operating for only 10 seconds if the OMS propellant supply is limited to 300 m/sec delta-V. Thus if EA and Wikipedia figures for sea level ISP and thrust hold, the total delta-V we could get away from a pad explosion is merely 150 m/sec, and that would take 10 seconds to acquire. That is certainly far better than zero, but is it remotely adequate to escape two exploding stages?


The LR-91s we use have a much smaller expansion ratio--enough to deliver suitable thrust:weight at SL. It also reduces the degree to which they interact with the hypersonic flow around the reentering Orbiter. Of course, that reduces their utility once on-orbit--which is why we kept an AJ-10.

I want to thank you all again for your interest in this TL. The next chapter will be up on Tuesday, at the regular 1400 UTC.
 
Interlude: Technical Specifications
L5 Society Lobbying Brochure, “The Space Transportation System: A Wagon Train to the High Frontier”--1975

“The Space Transportation System is, therefore, crucial to ensuring the competitiveness of the United States in space exploitation. Its launch cost, at $18.6 Million (1971 dollars--see attached breakdown), is an order-of-magnitude reduction from the costs of the Saturn V, while still retaining the ability to launch almost half the total payload. By reusing the largest single part of the vehicle, the Space Transportation System eliminates the costly task of building an entire new vehicle after every flight, and opens up new possibilities for economic development of the high frontier.”

Cost per Launch Breakdown (planned in 1971):

Lifter $6.4 Million
Interstage $1 Million
S-IVC $7.9 Million

Propellant $0.3 Million
Labor* $3 Million
Total: $18.6 Million

*: Labor costs are the cost of the STS support workforce amortized over 20 launches per year.


Revell-Monogram Educational Booklet “America’s Space Truck: The Space Transportation System,” released with “Space Transportation System” model kit, 1977, 1:144 scale.

Though it will operates more like an airplane than previous rockets did, the Space Lifter, like all rockets, will be mostly fuel and oxidizer at launch. On the pad, the Space Lifter Constitution will weigh 5,342,140 pounds, but when its wheel stop at landing, it will weigh only 600,000 lb. The S-IVC Upper Stage, which will be disposed of at the end of every mission, will be even lighter compared to its fuel load--50,000 lb dry to 450,000 lb wet. The Space Shuttle carries only the fuel it needs to maneuver on-orbit: its weight is 91,270 lb wet, 72,140 lb dry, of which 17,600 lb is the Shuttle’s payload.
 

Archibald

Banned
At least I can post my feelings about that interesting TL. I spent last month 5000 miles from home without an internet connection (La Réunion, a little French confetti down under, near Madagascar. An outstanding place, really).
It all started with 10 hours stuck into a 777-300 with a kid that won't sleep sheesh. Which I had a suborbital transport: the trip would hav been 45 minutes, not 10 hours (sigh)

More seriously: here's some schemes I did for my TL

https://www.alternatehistory.com/forum/threads/explorers-ad-astra.366697/page-4#post-11469167

scheme%203_zpszeacn2bo.png


Looks like ITTL NASA managed a different fate, somewhat "Fletcher plan A" mixed with the glider...
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So does the S-IVC take this Shuttle all the way to orbit? IOTL, the ET could take the Shuttle to about 100-300 m/s short of LEO.
Technically, even IOTL Shuttle could carry the ET the remaining few hundred m/s to orbit, it just would sacrifice a little payload and they wanted to dispose of the ET in the atmosphere anyway. Similarly, the S-IVC on Lifter ITTL can carry something of Shuttle's mass all the way to orbit, but Shuttle typically will do the last bit of circularization itself to ensure disposal and boost payload.
 
Technically, even IOTL Shuttle could carry the ET the remaining few hundred m/s to orbit, it just would sacrifice a little payload and they wanted to dispose of the ET in the atmosphere anyway. Similarly, the S-IVC on Lifter ITTL can carry something of Shuttle's mass all the way to orbit, but Shuttle typically will do the last bit of circularization itself to ensure disposal and boost payload.

Since this is a S-IVC with a J-2S, it theoretical could use it's engine for de-orbit the stage,
The J-2S has restart option and can use remaining fuel and gases from the tanks,
Alternative the S-IVC could use similar Reaction Control System, like S-IVB mot only to stabilized the Stage in flight but also to de-orbit the stage after use.
a hundred m/s would be adequate.
 
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