Not necessarily the only reason. Its just one of the possibility.
Say Mongols didn't invade. Greater Persia and Abbasid Caliphate would continue with their Golden Age and their eventual enrichment would create a competition, in multiple factors, which Europe will be forced to overcome, after decades or centuries of stagnation and political and economic insecurity.
You don't necessarily need a Great Plague to open up the way to such things. You can have various ways for it to happen. The difference in my timeline would be that Persia and the lands under it and the Abbasid Caliphate would join the Age of Enlightenment and the Great Divergence and Europe would be more.populated, in general.
Persian dynasty in India is a bit difficult. If they can subdue the various tribes in Afghanistan and Turkmenistan region, then it would be possible. Subduing such tribes is a difficult task unless they have more advanced weaponry and army. It is possible but needs further PODs with a continuing Golden Age.How do you think Northern India would have fared? Would we seen an ethnically Persian dynasty rule India?
Continuing Golden Age bringing about an Age of Enlightenment in both regions, simultaneously, could bring both the regions close as it brought European nations of various denominations closer, as the Age of Enlightenment dawned.And how would later relations between Europe and West Asia be changed by a joint ENglightenment?
Enlightenment would be difficult to combine with a surviving feudalism. Of course gun powder might arrive to Europe at a later stage - or it might be reinvented in Europe. It is also possible that the Black Death will arrive at a later stage, although less contact means that it might never arrive. Both the Black Death and gunpowder was important in bringing and en to feudalism and capitalism was strengthened by an alliance with the stronger monarchies that resulted from gunpowder as the kingdoms that were most efficient in collecting taxes managed to defeat its rivals. Capitalism was a force in the Enlightenment due to the values of the bourgeoise and because it helped destroy feudalism.
Is it really possible gunpoweder could have been reinvented in Europe? Were they going along that path?
as i said a plague can still happend due to the weakening of the peasants due to the overpopulation and the end of the little optimumI am just not ruling it out. Without it, the rise of the modern state, capitalism and the Enlightenment seems very unlikely. Even with gunpowder, the peasants would be in a weaker position in this scenario. The Black Death was an important factor in the social, cultural and political changes in the following centuries.
I mean, if you're not doing constant heavy labor that's not too bad in terms of calories.Even without the Plague, population in Europa was already thriving and falling before it. There were too many people in Europe in that time, compared to what lands could produce. Not enough food for people. In Florence (which was very far from being a poor city), before the Plague, 40% of the people lived with around 1300 calories per day, which is about what they received in Aushwitz. 40% ! So imagine in other cities.
That's why the Plague killed so many, especially the poors. So if it wasn't the Plague, something else would have done this.
Therefore, there is no "no Plague" PoD. People would have died from other causes.
I mean, if you're not doing constant heavy labor that's not too bad in terms of calories.
I lived off 1200 tops for ten months and it worked wonders for me. And I'm 5'11" about and the number of calories my body needs per day is closer to 2k than 1k.
And the majority of people did not live in cities.
A surviving Roman empire or an another Imperial successor from Europe, who retains Middle East and North Africa could help? The excess of populations can always spread out, in times of need.Even without the Plague, population in Europa was already thriving and falling before it. There were too many people in Europe in that time, compared to what lands could produce. Not enough food for people. In Florence (which was very far from being a poor city), before the Plague, 40% of the people lived with around 1300 calories per day, which is about what they received in Aushwitz. 40% ! So imagine in other cities.
That's why the Plague killed so many, especially the poors. So if it wasn't the Plague, something else would have done this.
Therefore, there is no "no Plague" PoD. People would have died from other causes.
I don’t think that all or even most of the geographic Europe had been overpopulated. Of course, there were crowded areas (especially the big cities) but other than that there were much less people than in the later (pre modern) times and the big areas clearly were underpopulated including most of the Eastern Europe. Making the general conclusions based upon example of, say, Florence is like making assessments of the US based upon NYC.A surviving Roman empire or an another Imperial successor from Europe, who retains Middle East and North Africa could help? The excess of populations can always spread out, in times of need.
as i said a plague can still happend due to the weakening of the peasants due to the overpopulation and the end of the little optimum
An earlier Plague (The Justinian) came from Central Asia when there was no Mongol Empire so the Plague of 1347 could have come to Europe with or without a Mongol Empire or am I missing something🤔
Even without the Plague, population in Europa was already thriving and falling before it. There were too many people in Europe in that time, compared to what lands could produce. Not enough food for people. In Florence (which was very far from being a poor city), before the Plague, 40% of the people lived with around 1300 calories per day, which is about what they received in Aushwitz. 40% ! So imagine in other cities.
That's why the Plague killed so many, especially the poors. So if it wasn't the Plague, something else would have done this.
Therefore, there is no "no Plague" PoD. People would have died from other causes.
A surviving Roman empire or an another Imperial successor from Europe, who retains Middle East and North Africa could help? The excess of populations can always spread out, in times of need.