I just hope whoever sets the standard for such a movement is less Mugabe and more Mandela, for whatever that's worth.
You're assuming there will be one person to set the standard. That's never a safe assumption here.
There will be several flavors of pan-Africanism, as well as other governments or political parties that borrow from it to suit their interests. They'll range from democratic and progressive to... not so much.
But your point about Zanzibar is well taken. Would the aftermath of the war in India possibly make waves in that particular bee's nest, perchance?
Quite possibly - Indians have a long history in Zanzibar, after all. The Zanzibari empire won't be the only place they show up during the 30s and after, either.
It's been building for a while, but I love the direction South Africa is going. It's such a lovely hodgepodge, with all the good and drawbacks of such a union. I like too how the Boers are expanding into a multiracial entity. Besides the Griqua, this seems pretty sharply the opposite of OTL as far as I understand the racial and ethnic politics/identity formation of OTL's Boers.
Boers aren't becoming multiracial, but Afrikaners are - by this time in TTL, the two haven't been synonymous for a generation. The Boers are the white Afrikaners, but the Coloureds and Cape Malays have also been brought under the Afrikaner umbrella at this point. "Afrikaner" has become a linguistic and cultural term, not an ethnic one.
There were hints of this in OTL - some nineteenth-century Coloureds called themselves Afrikaners, and I've seen it claimed that Abdullah Abdurahman (who served on the Cape Town city council from 1904 to 1940) had the tacit support of the Afrikaner Bond. The difference in TTL is that rather than retreating into cultural isolationism, some forward-looking Boers saw the advantage in this alliance and ran with it. And yes, this means that both Afrikaner identity and the part of it that is Boer identity will be very different from OTL.
Natal though, that place sounds like a text book example of that phrase,"For every action there is an equal and opposite reaction."
It might also become an example of that classic phrase, "karma's a bitch."
The post did say per capita, guys. Mind you, with such a big population, Germany's per capita GDP is very, very high.
"Per capita" means "per person." A small country with a per capita GDP of (say) $30,000 is as rich as a large one with the same figure. There are some advantages small countries often have, though - the capital city is often a relatively greater proportion of the population, and there's less of a poor hinterland. To take an extreme example, Singapore probably doesn't have that much higher a living standard than Kuala Lumpur, but it has a much higher one than Malaysia because it doesn't have poorer country areas bringing its numbers down.
This is before the OTL massive population explosion in Asia and Africa (though with better agriculture and access to medicine, and a more developed economy, it may happen rather earlier ITTL. )
On the other hand, the back end of the demographic shift - urbanization leading to smaller families - will also happen sooner. The population of Africa (and especially West Africa) in the 1930s is higher ITTL than IOTL, but by 2014, and probably well before that, it will be lower.
I do hope the Orange Free State's confessionalism ends up better than OTL Lebanon's...
Well, the fact that religion is only tangentially involved, and that the parties mostly don't hate each other like poison, will help. But you're right that consociational politics aren't always the most stable (Switzerland excepted) and that the Bloemfontein Pact is likely to come with an expiration date.
And on a slightly related note, it was decided that there's a Malagasy diaspora currently in Germany for work right now, correct? I'd really like to see somebody paint us a picture of that particular mixing.
Watch this space.
Ah. Makes sense. I assume that they're also growing in other regions of the copper belt then?
Yes and no. They're there, but the German mining companies actually prefer Africans who can speak German and were educated in German-sponsored schools. The Portuguese will fit in mostly as small merchants, and many of them will move beyond the Copperbelt into the hinterlands of Kazembe and Barotseland.
And yes, another potential vector for Congo fever, although public health programs are starting to bite by this time.
Yeesh. That's worse than I expected.
But not all that surprising - I did mention OTL Swaziland as a model, and most of the Indian princely states in OTL were like that pretty much to the end. In TTL, the Indian Congress party was more aggressive about promoting democracy in the princely states, but in South Africa, the African political movement is still finding its feet and the common people of the protectorates aren't yet politically mobilized. By the 40s or 50s, though, it will be another story.