The end of the Arab-Israeli War and the union of Syria and Iraq has had far reaching consequences for the Middle East, and for global geopolitics as well. While Arab nationalism had been an ideology that affected the politics of the middle east for a long time, it was only after the formation of the UAS that it actually found a country that accepted it as its own ideology. And while Baathism was not the only political movement from the Arab Nationalism branch, nor the most radical even, it would become the most important one. For many in the west “Baathism”, “Arab fascism” and “Arab nationalism” would become synonymous terms, the UAS viewed as one of the fascist Axis Powers, and thus an opponent in the Cold War. Such a view wouldn’t be baseless, as the UAS would come closer to the central European fascist powers, joining many of its organization either directly (such as the anti-Comintern Pact) or as observers (the Berlin Pact), while also entering into numerous agreements with them. But the UAS moving closer towards the Axis states was more an effect of having common opponents and interests with the fascist states, rather than being opposed to either communism or capitalism ideologically. The UAS viewed the USSR, as well as the western states as powers that stood in the way of their goal of Arab unification, but cared little for their internal politics and ideas. The Baathist’s goals were thus completely concentrated on the region of the Middle East, their leaders not having global ambitions.
Constantin Zureiq, one of the chief philosophers of Arab Nationalism
With Iraq joining the UAS and becoming the dominant power in the now two-country state (sometimes even being called “Iraq-Syria”), the Baathist ideology went through certain changes. While calling for Arab unification and heightening the sense of Arab nationalism, being Pan-Arabic in its very core, it also began as a very much Syrian creation and with Syrian-centric views, much of its early leaders and philosophers originating from Syria, being educated either in France or according to the French system, but coming to grow disillusioned with the western democratic model, considering it inadequate for Arabia. German and Italian fascism proved to be more appealing to them, with their strong sense of national unity and pursuit of ending dependency on others, as well as its emphasis on “spiritual renewal”, something many Baathists thought Arabs needed after centuries of Turkish rule followed not by independence as it happened to various European nations after the Great War, but by yet another form of foreign domination. Basing their new ideology on those concepts, while altering it in a way to better suit Arabic culture and social structures, Baathist Pan-Arabic message managed to spread across the Arab population, particularly the lower-middle class of, but not only. Other countries, as well as various Baathist parties and groups in Arab states mostly just adopted Syrian thoughts and programs, taking over also its “Pan-Arabic nature”, while trying to reduce any kinds of “country-centrisms” some home-grown philosophers and “regional nationalists” (the way those who called for the establishment of various nation-states in the Arab world rather than a single Pan-Arab one were called) had, other than pointing out certain challenges and difficulties any “Pan Arabic” state would have to face in their own neighborhood. That was also the case of Egypt, where Nasser and his “Nasserists” simply adopted Baathist ideology and gave it a different name, while also adding the issue of the Maghrab states to the Baathist agenda. Egypt joining the UAS and later losing the war with Israel badly had however significantly reduced its prestige and ambitions, the country much more concerned with internal strife, dealing with pressure from Italy and recovering from the war overall, than trying to regain its position among Arab powers. That both Italy and Germany had been, as a rule of thumb, supportive of European colonialism was an important factor in Egypt splitting off from Baathism, stopping to even use the term and using “Nasserism” all the time. This was also in fact very much okay for the Iraqi Baathists who saw the Germans and Italians as their best allies and did not want to have serious conflicts with them over the Maghrab states at all, or to stand up to protect Egypt. Leaving it as a “plaything” of Italy meant, that Baghdad would have even less opposition in the Arab world to itself.
Iraqi Propaganda poster portraying Party Chief Saddam Hussein, as Assyrian king Ashurbanipal. The Baathist propaganda machine worked hard to re-write history to promote its ideology, presenting Iraq as the continuation of Mesopotamia.
Baathism under Iraqi command would have mostly maintain its Syrian heritage and propaganda, though it wouldn’t have the same goals as Syria, nor the same spirit. Maintaining the same propaganda and using the same “thinkers and philospohers”, including those such as Michael Aflaq and other Baathism founders served to give them credibility, even though their goals for Baathism and the UAS were somewhat different. Whereas for the “Syrian branch” baathism was meant as a revolutionary ideology meant for a complete reorganization of the Middle East, and global affairs as well, the Iraqi branch was more pragmatic and perceived the UAS as the “beginning of an Arab nation state” which ought to act as an “Arab nation state” - in accordance to its national interests, not romantic nationalism. This meant most importantly that its foreign and internal politics were conducted with different goals in mind, often much to the dislike of the Syrians – though few would dare to call it “betrayal of ideas”, fearing punishment, prison, or even simple removal from the little power they still held. Whereas Aflaq and his Syrian Baathism called for the unity of “Arab Lands”, the ultimate goal being the termination of any western presence in the Middle East, destruction of Israel, expulsion of Jews and other non-Arabs, its Iraqi branch was more restrained, its goals being the unification of the Arab people, and establishing Arabia as a great power on the cross-roads of Europe, Asia and Africa – without the necessity of “complete destruction” of perceived enemies as the Syrian branch sometimes demanded. It was, in a way, a matter of priorities – where Syria saw “Arab unification” as a means to the end of “eliminating outside influence”, Iraq saw “eliminating outside influence” as a means to the end of “Arab unification”. Thus while Syria did not, and could not, look towards finding a modus vivendi and way of coexistence with the west, Iraq could do that, if it wouldn’t go against its pursued goals. That the Baathist regime formed after the Arab-Israeli war was dominated by the latter, but still held elements of the former, made it an enigma for the west, which didn’t know whether to treat this state as a long-term threat, or a genuine power possible to compromise and achieve peace with.
Michel Aflaq and Saddam Hussein, the Party leaders of the Iraqi and Syrian branches of the Baathist Party
Baathism drew extensively from European fascist ideologies, as well as from European historic experiences. These were incorporated into the philosophy, and interpreted in a propaganda way, which nevertheless had proven effective. Whereas the radical type of Syrian baathism would lead many moderates to feel more dislike than approval for it, it’s Iraqi counterpart could find more support. In the words of Abdullah Rimawi, the Baathist chief ideologist, “Arabia is 100 years behind Europe” in terms of social development, roughly at the same stage as Germany and Italy had been prior to their unification. Having “mostly” defeated the “foreign powers” which prevented the people from getting on the path leading towards “unity, freedom and independence” (like the Germans and Italians did, after the Napoleonic Wars) and effectively established their own political institutions as well as a “national elite” (the creation of the “State of Iraq”, “State of Syria”, “State of Egypt”, those being the “Prussias and Piedmonts of Arabia”), the Arab people now stood before the challenge of being united “in spirit and belief, not only in body” – being able to work together and unite as Arabs for the creation of a single Arab State, not only being united in face of foreign threats. What the Arabs now needed was, according to Baathist ideology, their own “Bismarcks and Garibaldis” who would be able to mobilize those national sentiments and reforge them into a force of unification – Arabia being united not by “blood and iron”, but “gunpowder and oil” as the UAS was mostly that – an exporter of oil and petroleum products worldwide, revenue from which was spent on maintaining its strong military.
The UAS would be among the largest global producer of oil and petroleum products.
These sentiments of course led to certain parallels being drawn, many of them not being the most pleasant. That the UAS was stylized as the “Prussia of Arabia” led many to think that it would enter a similar path of conquests as Prussia did during the German unification – the war with Israel being just a prelude. The other smaller Arab states were thus compared to the countries of South Germany - Saudi Arabia specifically being called the “Austria of Arabia”, due to it being one of the stronger opponents of UAS domination within the Arab League (that organization in turn being compared to the German Confederation, both the UAS and Saudi Arabia fighting for domination in it, UAS standing on the side of the panarabists, nationalists, republicans, various “progressives”, while Saudi Arabia supported the “traditional” Arab monarchies, Islamic religion and conservatism). The termination of the “post Sevres order” was thus of similar importance for Baghdad, as the termination of Versailles was once for Berlin. According to the Baathists, the Arab people “missed their chance” of achieving unification after the Great War, specifically because the “great revolt” was led by monarchs – a “reactionary class” whose goal was never unification, but establishing themselves as local overlords. While for the west calls for “abolishing the borders in the arab word” sounded like a call for war, the Baathists wanting to ”repeat the Islamic conquests”, for the Baathists themselves it wasn’t that – the borders were considered artificial creations brought by a western dictate, abolishing which simply would mean uniting the already existing nation, not one conquering another. Their termination would however require a consensus on both sides of any border, and that in turn requiring a change of perspective of the border by the people living on both their sides. Thus for true unity to be achieved, the “national revolution” had to take place together with a “social revolution”, which had to mean the abolishment of “backwardness and exploitation” the monarchies stood for. The UAS thus strongly supported the anti-monarchist groups in the southern arab states, but not because it saw them as geopolitical opponents. To the contrary, it saw them as natural allies and strived for uniting with them, and only the royal houses (supported by the west) and the apathy of the “non-awakened” arabs standing in their way. The UAS was also meant to act as an example of progressiveness in the region, taking similar steps to the ones the European fascist states did – huge public works programs meant to show progress, regardless of their true effectiveness. Though to be fair, many of such projects were remarkable successes – the construction of pipelines from Iraqi oil fields to the Mediterranean was both a symbolic move, as well as economically very effective one, bypassing the Suez canal, giving hope for possibly extending it even further directly to southern Europe on the seafloor. Hydroelectric power plants, damns and water reservoir projects on the Tiger and Euphrates regulated those rivers preventing flooding, providing electricity and running water and what was important – arable soil, as water diverted from the river allowed for the irrigation of deserts. This “conquered land” was an important part of the UAS land reform, the state-owned farms established there providing workplaces for the unemployed, turning them into real settled farmers. These type of moves looked good for propaganda, as well as did create a real sense of “progress” being achieved, even if most of the benefits were concentrated in the cities, which were given electricity, running water, food and with time, also local industry. This type of “revolution” was meant as a way to combat the “regressives”, who could not offer anything in competition, great wealth being accumulated in the hands of a few and used to bribe those small groups who stood up to the regime.
Al-Bakr dam on the Euphrates river in Iraq. Large scale infrastructural projects meant to combat unemployment and once finished, producing massive revenue and other benefits, were yet another concept brought from fascist Europe to the UAS.
The presence of the UAS was a rather large problem for the monarchies from the Arab peninsula, as the royal families strongly feared the Baathist and their republicanism - the secular, republican ideology directly threatening their livelihood. The population there was much more supportive of it though, and the royals were the first target for Baathist organizations. The southern regimes thus found themselves in an increasingly difficult spot, having to oppose both their own population, and their tough, northern neighbor. The Arab League, formed originally as means of maintaining British influence in the Middle East, but which drifted away with time from that as the monarchies fought off British colonial presence and influence, would become among other things, a group meant to “contain” the Baathist threat. While Syria had been a strong opponent of the organization, much of it leaders considering the necessity of an “All-Arab” revolution to occur and the impossibility of a single Baathist state to exist for an extended period of time due to the lack of resources and population, Iraq had more favorable view of it, seeing it as potentially possible to be used to spread baathism among the arab world, or at least creating some sort of Arab unity, even between monarchist and non-monarchist countries. Thus whereas Syria was non-active in the Arab league since its independence, the Iraqi-led UAS took a much more active role within that organization, cynically obstructing efforts at fighting anti-monarchist sentiments while refusing to be restrained by it. Baghdad did believe that it can in fact maintain the UAS as an Iraqi-Syrian union state for an extended period of time thanks to its oil wealth, and more importantly – that their state would serve as the best proof of baathism being successful and thus attracting other Arabs to follow the ideology and strive to establish it in their own countries – even if it meant having to fight against their local “overlords”.
Arab League summit in Riyadh in 1976. The UAS was often considered a “pariah state” by other Arab countries, but it nevertheless held significant influence among them.
The relation between Baathism and Islam was a complex one. Officially Baathism proclaimed itself as a secular ideology, detached from any religion, being irrelevant to the issue of personal beliefs. A number of Baathists considered it actually necessary for “real Baathists” to be atheistic and outright hostile to religion – the various religious conflicts between Arabs groups, most importantly between the Sunni and Shia Muslim, being one of the main reasons Arabs found it hard to unite in the past and present. Unofficially, it was incapable of abandoning Islam and gave quiet consent for the religion to be practiced, even supporting Imams and Mullahs who preached Islamic teachings in line with baathism. The ideology, like all fascist ones, was inherently based on emphasizing “traditional culture” and idealizing “past glory” – in the case of Arabs, their culture and glory being all based on Islam. Thus it was impossible for any ideology stressing the importance of “combining traditional ways with progressive ones” not to adopt some of the products of past culture, even of religious origin. Sharia law, Islamic morality, glorification of past religious warriors (especially the ones who fought the “crusaders”) were thus all incorporated into Baathism. This of course never meant that the UAS leadership was in any way directed by religion – like its European equivalents, they only saw it as another way of controlling the population. For many Islamic fundamentalists, such treatment of the religion of Muhammad was of course unacceptable – the Baathists earning themselves the ire of not only the deeply religious southern monarchies, but also the Islamo-communists who much more closely tied religion and ideology, not hiding the connection. The latter were thus an especially hostile force to the Baathists, as much of their program was proving to more appealing to the lowest of classes from the Arab world – those who did want better livelihood, but were not willing to give up the religion of their ancestors. Thus whereas Baathism was more popular among the middle and lower-middle class, Islamo-communism found more appeal among those being even lower in the social structure.
Among the countries where Baathism quickly found considerable support was Lebanon, where Baathists held considerable influence since the country obtained independence in 1965. The Baathists quickly found themselves in conflict with both the Christian communities whom they considered “agents” of western influence, as well as the more religious Muslim groups. They were the main force which opposed any kind of “national pact” which was attempted to be reached in the multi-cultural state to prevent civil strife – and were successful at that. Lebanon, which when under French rule was one of the richer and more pleasant places of the middle east and where French administration managed to contain much of the conflicts there preventing an escalation, found it hard to cope with the newly formed democratic system, its first government managing to last only for nine months – and being the longest lasting one until the Arab-Israeli War. As many were dissatisfied with the government, opposed to the rather centralized administrative system (many of the popular political movements advocating turning Lebanon into a confederate state with a Swiss-like canton system, though that was not implemented for various reasons), their way of dealing the situation was simply to ignore the central powers and refuse to abide by new legislation, sticking to local, traditional laws. With police and the judicial administration proving incapable of remedying the situation quickly enough, the capital’s answer was to introduce more centralization. The Lebanese Army, initially a rather small formation (specifically made small to prevent giving the central authorities too much power) grew in size and influence, being dispatched to aid local administration in their efforts – even in such simple tasks as distributing water or collecting taxes in some cases. This in turn strengthened dislike for the government as well as distrust between neighboring communities – the country turning into a mosaic of various groups, many of which were barricaded in ghettoes or having their own armed militias.
Despite French attempts at disarming the population and calming down ethnic and religious tensions, Lebanon remained a highly unstable country from its foundation.
The Arab-Israeli War disturbed the fragile equilibrium that kept Lebanon peaceful through the previous years. The early Syrian successes in Israel motivated the powerful Baathist movement to take action, and since much of their members were members of the official Lebanese Army, they had the tools to do it. A popular uprising of Muslims (which’s “spontaneous character” would be heavily debated for decades to come, whether it was planned prior to the war and executed, or really just a popular uprising driven by ideological fervor) that started just a few days after the first Syrian offensive led to a silent military coup of the country, the government surrendering power to the military to “restore order”. Military rule has however proven to have political consequences, allowing the Baathists to finally get into power, something they have been denied for the past years despite being among the strongest (if not the strongest) political movement there – just not powerful enough to claim power by itself in the parliament, and not having any capacity to enter long-term coalitions. The popular uprising turned into a complete civil war after the Syrian defeat in early 1971, when the military which had de facto taken control of the country, much of which sympathized with the Baathist cause and the uprising. Demands for the military to stand down and surrender power back to the civilian authorities were in a large part ignored – with only less than a half of the Lebanese military standing beside the government. The rest, along with the Baathist rebels took up their arms against it and quickly managed to gain much success, surrounding and besieging the capital of Beirut, bombarding it with Syrian provided artillery. With much of the “loyalist” army being tied in the south, relief came too late and its offensive did not manage to lift the siege. The Lebanese government, which had initially decided to stay in the capital in order to uphold morale and counting on foreign intervention in their support , would eventually fold and decide to flee the capital going south to join it’s army. The escape was however compromised by Baathists infiltrating the government, the civilian plane on which both the prime minister and president and much of the cabinet was (along with 48 civilians and the plane’s crew) being shot down over the Mediterranean, leaving no survivors. By the time the peace conference between Israel and the UAS was taking place, Beirut has fallen, the Baathists installing their own government in the capital, the remnants of the Lebanese Army mostly deserting, retreating home to protect their own families, or joining one of the many organization and militias forming everywhere in the country. Lebanon collapsed into complete anarchy, the Baathist government not being recognized by most of the world, it’s army not being able to take or enforce control over much of the country, pre-war supplies having run out and only a little material support coming from the UAS. In the south swarms of Palestinian refugees and rebels flooded the cities and countryside, either joining the existing militias or creating their own –the most powerful and known being the Palestinian Liberation Organization and its many military wings. While the new Baathist government did request for the UAS to intervene and occupy the country, Baghdad refused, fearing what the British response would be, leaving the Lebanese people to deal with the chaos themselves.
The term “Intifada” would be coined in reference to the initial uprising, later adopted as generally referring to any “popular Arab revolt”.
The main power resisting the Baathist regime was the Lebanese People’s Army, which considered itself a successor of the Lebanese Army and later – also the Republic of Lebanon. Operating mostly in the south and west, compromising mostly of Christians (about 60% of its forces being Christian of different rites, including the Maronites) it fought a constant struggle over territory and cities, with both the Baathists as well as the Palestinians and Islamo-communists. The LPA had a certain degree of support from Israel and the UK, who perceived it as a power capable of keeping south Lebanon relatively stable, thus keeping part of the Israeli frontier safe-ish. Much like the Baathists, the LPA also requested foreign intervention from either Israel, the BCoN, or the LoN even – a call that wasn’t answered. The Lebanese civil war would take up much of the headlines of global press for years, being a ridiculous situation where the status quo was not accepted by anyone, but which was impossible to break without expected large casualties that any foreign intervention would bring. That the civil war rather quickly generated more casualties than any intervention was expected to - their numbers counted in millions by 1980 – made it an even greater failure of the international community. The expectation that the war can’t last forever and would have to end eventually – one way or other, and in the opinion of most analysists since it’s start “sooner rather than later” – did not come to fruition.
General Saad Hadad, Commander in Chief of the Lebanese People’s Army.
The UAS however never abandoned its ambitions towards and conducted its own type of work to somehow resolve the situation. With the UAS army being reformed and strengthened in the years after the war, it became more confident about asserting itself, and with the conflict in Lebanon not ending (much to the displeasure of the western societies who – it was felt –were growing more and more accepting to the thought of a foreign intervention being conducted by anyone just to end the bloodshed. As the Iraq-led UAS was able to rid itself of some of the bad reputation its previous Syrian-led incarnation had, many politicians thought that entering talks with the UAS over Lebanon and jointly taking action to end the conflict was the only way to go.
Reports of the conflict in Lebanon would often take the headlines of western newspapers.
Unofficial talks began in 1979, with a joint LoN resolution of a cease-fire between the struggling groups in Lebanon signed by the UAS, NCoN, Israel and other LoN members, being voted in on January 17th 1979. The resolution did stop the violence, but did create the hope of the first step towards that end being taken. Unfortunately, problems began already at the second step, as the UAS requested to be allowed to enter Lebanon to bring peace by force – even under international observation. That was something both the BCoN and Israel opposed. France on the other hand suggested the possibility of partitioning Lebanon into two states, together with a population transfer, with the UAS and the BCoN taking responsibility for one each. That in turn was opposed by the UAS, as much of its leadership perceived it as denying the Arab people land that was “rightfully theirs”. Baghdad misinterpreted the western lack of unity regarding Lebanon as a sign of their will and resolve weakening – and thus being vulnerable to a sudden move. With Israel also being considered unable to act unilaterally, being dependent on London regarding the use of force, the UAS took action. The decision to strike was also in part motivated by the recent change in UAS leadership, al-Bakr being replaced in the position of President of the UAS by the secretary of the Baathist Party, Saddam Hussein – the new leader needing a display of power to prove his worthiness before both the people and the state apparatus as well.
Saddam Hussein, second president of the United Arab States. Unlike most fascist states, the leaders of the UAS would not adopt any significant “titles” sticking to the term “President”. President Hussein would be known for his very populist and volkisch presentation in propaganda, rather than that of military man or a member of the “elite”.
The UAS forces entered Lebanon on December 20th 1980, officially with the consent of the (still barely recognized) government in Beirut. This move, meant place the world before a facti accompli, was done together with a huge diplomatic offensive on the western capitals and the LoN, the UAS bombarding them with countless proposals, suggestions and declarations regarding what went on – all meant to discourage western reaction. The strategy worked, but only in part, as Jerusalem would not watch idly as Lebanon was occupied by the UAS, nor accept what was unraveling – almost immediately launching a lightning fast counter-strike, while also informing the western powers it would not accept any UAS proposals until the UAS withdraws. This was a spectacular move by the Israeli Prime Minister Mieczyslaw Biegun (hebr. “Menachem Begin”) as the UAS proposals sent to London, Paris and Washington were in fact much different from each other, but close to the various suggestions and plans proposed by the western powers in the past. The aim was to cause them to bicker between each other over whose proposal was “best” or “most realistic” rather than to concentrate on what went on in Lebanon, once any answer was ready to have it be placed on a negotiations table while the UAS would have a free hand on doing what it wanted in Lebanon in the meantime. Israel’s firm stance that it would not join any such negotiations before a UAS withdrawal made Western speculations and plans null, as they were all impossible to put to practice without Israel working in that direction too – and Israel kept reminding the west of their past promises and the declarations of the UAS. The IDF moved into Lebanon from the south with the objective to secure as much territory as possible, though with orders to minimize engagements with the UAS. The Arab forces were coincidently given similar orders regarding non-engagement with the Israelis, its officers also given remarkably large privileges in signing field treaties with approached local militias. This did not prevent a number of skirmishes from occurring between the two militaries, especially in the south-east of the country, though casualties were low, only 23 killed and 58 wounded on both sides during the entire “invasion”. In just two days Lebanon was completely occupied, an undeclared ceasefire being present between the UAS and Israel – though with both sides preparing for war while disarming their occupation zones and looking for allies there. The middle east stood at the brink of yet another war.
Mieczyslaw Biegun, Prime Minister of Israel. His uncompromising stance and initiative was crucial in the battle of wits between Israel and the UAS during the Lebanon Crisis.
The goals of all sides were much different – whereas the UAS did seek to annex Lebanon, Israel sought to prevent that. Germany wanted to humiliate and weaken Israel, as well as to severe the “special relation” that connected Jerusalem and London. France and the USA just wanted for the fighting to stop, as well as to introduce a new democratic government to the country. The UK had the toughest nut to crack, having to both ensure the safety of Israel, peace in the entirety of the middle east, a change of the situation and system in Lebanon, calming down the Arab monarchies of the south – all with an occupation of Lebanon and guerrilla attacks still taking place there, with two trigger-happy forces having a stand-off there, while its own ability to use military threats impaired by the uncertain situation in Kuwait.
What was awkward, though not noticed, was the fact that neither the UAS nor Israel wanted a war with each other – merely accepted it as a last resort, though declaring things to the contrary, claiming complete willingness to protect their interests with force if necessary or provoked. This made all attempts at mediating in the conflict tough, as the mediators believed the opposing sides were much more willing to escalate the conflict than they really were. Neither was however capable of “loosing face” by backing out or down. A joint British-French-American diplomatic mission was dispatched to Baghdad, the fifteen-men group spending almost three weeks flying between Baghdad and Israel to prevent the war as well as open a dialogue. Diplomatic efforts to the same were also made in the LoN, as well as between Berlin, London and Moscow. The “armed peace” in Lebanon was a cauldron ready to burst, the locals not helping in finding a peaceful solution – to the contrary in fact, as opportunists on both sides were using the occasion before them to escalate the conflict and use it to fulfill their agenda. Mortar barrages and raids on towns and villages occupied by the opposing side or attacks on their patrols were not an uncommon occurrences, which also caused accusations of mutual provocations. Overall however, the UAS was more satisfied with the new status quo than Israel, as it well believed that it could “forcefully integrate” the part of Lebanon it held into the UAS regardless what Israel and the west did. It was Israel that neither wanted to be permanently tied with an occupation, or to have a longer border with the UAS. The UK was concerned about Israeli security, but more so about being forced to accept a facti accompli, or the effects of giving in to any UAS demands at that point. The question London raised, was what would strengthen Arab nationalism in the region (especially in the south) more: the UAS being defied and the UK together with Israel becoming once again “western imperialists” meddling in Arab affairs, the Arabs joining the Baathists out of spite for the west and in a sign of solidarity; or the UAS being allowed to be given some gains, but only once it would back out first, thus showing it that trying to bypass democratic procedures and international negotiations could not give it any benefits. The UK was a strong supporter of maintaining the existing international institutions despite their flaws and limitations, as it relied on them in part to keep its global position. It’s overall strategy of the defence of the various parts of its empire and the other realms of the Commonwealth relied not so much on the local troops and garrisons being able to withstand any aggression and resist until reinforcements arrived (the BCoN and the potential threats it faced were too large for that to be a reliable strategy), but on keeping a highly mobile and well trained military capable of annihilating any threat in a retaliatory “second strike” on the British Isles, as well as a powerful navy . Such a strategy however required a great deal of confidence and strong will, so as to maintain the resolve between a hostile first strike at any territory under it’s protection and the arrival of the “second strike” force. International support in the meantime was thus deemed important so as not to be viewed as an ”archaic empire” fighting overseas colonial wars, but as a protector of the established democratic, international order, potentially even gathering allies for its cause, giving them the “umbrella” of the BCoN to push through their own interests in the conflict area in question. This was exactly what the UK was facing now, though harder, as Israel wasn’t under UK protection per se. and the British troops still present in Israel weren’t targeted. In fact, it was Italy that would effectively ensure their safety, very strongly pushing Egypt into doing absolutely nothing for the duration of the crisis.
Edward Short, Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. Personally more interested in internal rather than foreign affairs, his handling of the Lebanon Crisis would be both praised and criticized for its lack of initiative, much “backroom diplomacy” and reliance on the BCoN, France and the USA in handling it.
The crisis took a step towards the worse when the UK eventually dispatched it’s Mediterranean Carrier Fleet to Israel as a sign of support, as well as began to threaten to recognize the LPA as the legitimate government of Lebanon, and to cause for the same to be done in the LoN. It was a sign of readiness by the UK for an actual war. Also, with the approval of the BCoN, the Indian Carrier Fleet set sail for the Gulf of Persia, threatening Iraq directly and showing conviction to protect Kuwait. With diplomatic attempts at preventing the Arab pendulum from swinging further succeeding, Britain was now mobilizing to push it back, speaking softly while pulling out its big stick. It’s display of “hard power” was coupled with USA “soft power” involvement – America offering considerable aid and support – material, financial, medical – to all Lebanese parties even for simply entering peace talks and giving up fighting (going so far as to straight out buy guns from armed militias) The UAS thus turned to Berlin for more diplomatic support, the Reich until that point operating from a distance and behind the scenes, to nullify the British threat. But Germany could not feel as certain in a direct confrontation with Britain as it once did, not with the west turning out to be quite united over the issue of Lebanon – and it itself certainly not wanting a war over it. The new German leadership however could not allow for an ally of Germany to be “pushed around by the Jews and their Rotshild gang in London” – in the words of chancellor von Thadden – and decided to act analogously to Britain, sending the “Sudsee Flugzeugtragerkampfgruppe” (Adriatic Sea Aircraft Carrier Battle Group) to the eastern Mediterranean in a display of strength (officially to act as escorts for UAS oil tankers going for central Europe), while also quietly suggesting for the UAS to seek a beneficial compromise – allow for free elections with LoN observers to take place while still upholding the occupation and accept one of the proposals for the new Lebanese constitution – the “confederal” one, which would allow for significant parts of the country to remain under Baathist control even after elections thanks to the proposed voting system. Germany would support this move, per usual as a way of protecting the right of nations for self-determination, thus leaving Lebanon a “grown apple waiting to fall to the Arab basket”, once Israel would withdraw and the new, internationally recognized government and state would be able to legitimately vote through “unification”.
The German Adriatic Sea Aircraft Carrier Battle Group in the eastern Mediterranean. Under von Thadden’s leadership, Germany would ignore the “gentleman’s agreement” it had with Italy regarding foreign policy in the Mediterranean zone and acted unilaterally, much to Italy’s frustration.
The “Schiller – Edwards Plan”, named after the German and American emissaries to the League of Nations tasked to handle the Lebanese conflict, would be accepted much as advertised by Berlin, despite significant Israeli grumbling. Lebanon was supposed to be divided into 112 “cantons” with free elections (in a first past the poll system) taking place while the occupation was still present to ensure its peaceful conduct. They were also meant to be guaranteed by LoN observers, and from these elections a National Assembly was to form, which was to appoint a new government, upon which both the Baathist government in Beirut and the LPA one were to disband, surrendering their powers to the new authority. Same was to happen with the few remaining militias, such as the Palestinian Liberation Organization. With both Israel and the UAS having their presence gradually during the process, according to a pre-established “roadmap”, a new legitimate was to form in six months since from the signing of the Schiller-Edwards Plan (signed on the 15th of March 1981 in Geneva), a full withdrawal of foreign forces from Lebanon to occur within another 12 months. Israel agreed to the plan under British, French and American pressure, after being promised the Lebanese elections would be fair and the west would resist attempts at tampering with it or UAS attempts at annexation after it. The UAS agreed eventually under German pressures, who promised the elections would allow for the Baathists to come to power in Lebanon democratically and be internationally recognized, thus paving the way for a future Anschluss of Lebanon without threats of Israeli or British involvement – all the UAS would need was a little patience.
Hotel Victoria in Geneva, one of the meeting places of diplomats trying to resolve the Lebanese Crisis.
Neither of these promises would be fulfilled however. The elections were subject to significant fraud, both on the Arab and Israeli end. Israel refused to grant the right to vote to hundreds of thousands of people on the basis of them not being able to prove to be Lebanese citizens or other made up reasons, whereas the UAS would purposefully introduce people from the UAS to act as native Lebanese and settle them there, so as to give additional votes to the Baathists. While not as popular as they were years ago, they still performed exceptionally well, thanks to their unity; the non-Baathists group were able to create a common “National Bloc”, but failed to gather all the potential support they could into it, leading to their votes being divided in many cantons – the PLO had proven to be one of the most unruly parties in this regard, next to the various Islamo-communist groups backed by Moscow, which objected to the plan considerably. The result was an electoral victory of the Baathists who gathered 45 out of the 112 mandates in the National Assembly – not enough to form a majority government, not even in a coalition as numerous mandates went neither to them or the National Bloc (which gathered 38 mandates), but to various “independents” representing local communities, creating a strongly fractured parliament. The introduced “small constitution” also didn’t yet give the new central authorities much power, being thought of as a temporary measure for the duration where new institutions were to be established, in accordance to the new legislature – the legal framework to come before executive powers were granted. Staying true to the agreement though, both the Baathist government in Beirut and the LPA officially disbanded, surrendering their power to the new “national unity government” made up from most of the political factions in the National Assembly. The task of creating a new, permanent constitution along with an apolitical military and police force, as well as the reconstruction of the broken country being the first lying before it. The withdrawal of both the IDF and the UAS army began soon after the elections, though slowly, as neither side was really trusting towards the other – in fact, upholding the plan required periodical British and German pressures.
Voting in Lebanon. Adopting the first-past-the-poll system was criticized by France which feared it would lead to exclusion of much of the electorate in “countrywide” politics; the UK eased those concerns by emphasising the decentralized nature of the new Lebanese state, the “cantons” being allowed to choose their own election laws and given much self-rule.
Few believed this “temporary peace” would last. The National Assembly was incapable of conducting even the simplest reforms, its work being under constant mutual obstruction, the “national unity government” being completely disunited, cabinet members off different political parties hardly communicating with each other. Factionalism was strong, with the high ranking officials being more concentrated on keeping power in “their” cantons and relying on the still present foreign militaries there, as well as the local militias supportive of them. American aid had little effect due to the rampant corruption in the country, most of it falling into private or military hands. The cherry on top were the Palestinians and the Islamo-Communist factions, who, having failed at making themselves politically present (each managing to only win one mandate) resorted to once again using domestic violence and terrorism. With the IDF and the UAS army having their hands somewhat tied (though the former’s were tied more than less, while the latter the opposite)and the slowly created police and military being dramatically inefficient, most people believed more in doing things themselves and organizing into barricaded, closed communities, than relying on the “new free government”.
The prediction of inevitable collapse would come to fruition on March 21st 1982, when the MP’s of the Baathist Party walked out of the meeting of the National Assembly, resigning after yet another of their attempts at holding a vote of no-confidence against the National Bloc-aligned Minister of Internal Affairs Antoine Lahad was once again dismissed without a vote taking place by the President of the National Assembly. The Baathists had tried to use democratic mechanisms instrumentally on many occasions, offering multiple “constructive votes of no-confidence” on replacing cabinet members with their own loyalists, creating alliances of opportunity with various of the micro-factions in the national assembly. These failed most of the time, as the Parliament’s Presidents would not allow for them to be even voted on. Same went for attempted votes on the dismissing of either the whole cabinet or even the National Assembly itself and holding another election – the “coalition of fear” of the non-Baathists being terrified of potential results. Thus the attempt at introducing in Lebanon failed, both sides using democratic mechanisms so instrumentally, that they eventually broke. The resignation of the Baathists was followed by them invoking the right of nations for self-determination and declaring the independence of the “State of Lebanon” – the entire ruse in the National Assembly being done just to justify the declaration (legally speaking, the small constitution did not deny the right of any canton to secede from the Republic of Lebanon). A hasty referendum was to be organized to determine which of the cantons would choose to leave the Republic of Lebanon, but was immediately declared illegal by the state, action being taken to prevent it, both by the state police and the IDF. The west would too object to this move, calling it a breach of the Schiller – Edwards Plan. Germany however would display friendly neutrality towards it, pointing out that no “plan” can stand in the way of the self-determination of any people. With the UAS still not fully withdrawn and neither the Lebanese military or police being able to intervene in some areas, the referendum went ahead in the Baathist-controlled parts of the country. The IDF has been warned that it’s intervention in this “internal Lebanese matter” would cause a UAS reaction – a warning it did not heed. IDF troops did leave their bases, heading for those areas the government in Beirut had little or no control over, breaking through barricades and attacking the resisting population. The UAS did not remain idle, also moving in grabbing territory to “protect the Lebanese people’s right of self-determination from Israeli aggression” – though thankfully the relatively low number of soldiers on both sides prevented an immediate escalation of hostilities. Jerusalem called for London and Paris to uphold their promises in defending Lebanon, but both western powers were reluctant to do so – not when the UAS was not directly threatening Israel or even all of Lebanon, not with the German threat becoming real once again – the German Carrier Battle Group in the Adriatic Sea being set to full alert, the Reich declaring its determination to protect the right of nations to self-determination anywhere, especially from “The Jewish Menace”. Israel too did not have a good press in the west at the time, being considered at least partly guilty of the state of events, the idea that it used the west instrumentally to force through its agenda while not being willing to show enough good faith in the entire affair (both before, during and after the elections, Israeli meddling in the Lebanese National Assembly being a subject of much journalist investigations), and that dissolving Lebanon was the best what could happen to secure peace in the region being a common thought among political analysists and western media. Thus London and Paris expressed their dissatisfaction, broke off a number of oil and gas trade deals – but did not go to war, nor even embargo the UAS. Israel was not willing take further action without clear western support – and thus matters went their way.
UAS soldiers patrolling the streets of Tripoli.
The referendum obviously resulted in almost all of the Baathist/UAS controlled cantons choosing independence , with only six choosing to stay with the Republic – these six all being in the south east near the Golan Heights, which was thought the UAS chose not to take so as not to enlarge its border with Israel and keep the Republic of Lebanon as a buffer state (believing that given time, the Republic of Lebanon would itself demand the IDF to move out of the country). From these six the UAS peacefully withdrew. The Republic of Lebanon, now commonly known as “West Lebanon”, would not recognize the referendum or the “State of Lebanon” (now called “East Lebanon”). Diplomatic talks yielded no results, West Lebanon declaring the referendum a fraud, but not being willing for it to be repeated under any circumstance, invoking the rule of “territorial integrity” to dismiss the legality of the new country. The state itself would not exist for long, as it would last only five months before it’s new parliament voted to join the UAS as it’s third member state. Much to the displeasure of many, this secession would in fact improve the situation in West Lebanon, which could now try and begin a new “reconstruction”, albeit still facing many problems. With the Baathist Party being delegalized, so was the PLO as well as other violent militias, their members being arrested or outright exiled to the UAS – this fate also forced upon the Palestinian refugees from Israel, who would once again be forced to move from one country to another against their will, where they wouldn’t be cared about much. Lebanon did manage to introduce a new permanent constitution in later years, with a confederal character as well as a relatively competent police force – though corruption remained a big problem. The IDF would eventually withdraw from West Lebanon only in 1988, though the country would be given guarantees of its remaining territorial integrity from Israel, France and the whole of the BCoN, establishing a working relationship with all of them. Though not without problems, recovery started to take place, the country beginning to look into the future with more hope.
Division of West and East Lebanon
Arab nationalism wasn’t the only ideology to influence the political scene of the middle east. Apart from it, another powerful movement was the so-called “Islamocommunism” – a relatively new creation, combining Islamic faith with elements of Marxist doctrine. Although technically its origins went as far back as the times of the Great War, starting in Persia and the Soviets established there, it hasn’t truly developed and expanded until the 50’s during the late Stalin era, when the Middle East was seen as another domino piece of colonialism expected to fall, religious faith being seen as a motivating force for the population to take up arms and move them in the “right” direction.
Symbol of the Islamic Internationale
Islamocommunists became active during the Persian Crisis of 1958, which eventually led to the conversion of the Tudeh Party from a “traditional” Communist Party into a “Islamo-communist” one. The members of the Tudeh Party would be the one to form the majority of “Persian Government in exile”, and after the death of Mohammad Mosaddegh in 1963 – its entirety. The Tudeh Party would be strongly connected with the Communist Party of the USSR, and though it would operate legally in the USSR, it’s citizens would still be discouraged from joining it. Many still would despite that, and even making a career in Soviet ranks. The Tudeh Party would be a somewhat popular alternative for the youth of Central Asia, for whom the atheistic character of the CPSU was discouraging, though who still wanted to seek a better life in the country, Party membership being a necessity in order to do that. The 60’s were a time when the Islamocommunism rose in prominence, thanks to the conflicts in East Turkey, Pakistan, the Dutch East Indies and other areas of the globe where Muslims fought their “oppressors”. In each case, the “oppressed faithful workers” eagerly accepted Soviet guns to fight their wars, and with them, also the twisted religio-ideology. For not a few people in the USSR those were also opportunities for bettering their own careers – Muslims choosing Islamocommunism and receiving KGB or Red Army training would commonly be sent undercover to areas of conflict, training the locals in guerrilla warfare, as well as spread their propaganda and extend Soviet influence. This type of dangerous covert work would be highly prized by the USSR, providing the Red Army with firsthand experience of waging irregular warfare – experience gained in one place being put to practice elsewhere, making the Communist guerrillas among the most dangerous in any conflict they participated in. The Islamocommunists were the main power in fighting colonialism in the Muslim world, their work being felt and heard about from the shores of the Atlantic sea in Morocco to the Pacific Islands of Indonesia.
Training camp of Islamists paramilitary somewhere in Central Asia. The USSR would provide shelter, equipment and training for the “ready and willing” paramilitary groups fighting the western colonial empire, also indoctrinating them in Marists ideology.
Although present in the Arab world, Islamocommunism turned out not to be as dangerous and common as many expected it would be, once the phenomena came to the west’s attention. This was primarily attributed to the higher degree of secularization of much of the Arab societies, as well as nationalism being overall more popular – those countries still being more developed than those such as Afghanistan, Persia or the “backwater” of Pakistan. Arab nationalism arrived there earlier and once present – stayed there, often taking earlier and stronger action against Islamocommunism than the colonial powers did. This was both due to “Communism” and its “internationalism” being in clear opposition to the “Nationalism” of the Arab movement (though both technically proclaimed the goal of “uniting all Arabs”), as well as the Arab nationalists considering Muslim faith to be one of the factors that kept the Arabs back – emphasising and strengthening it having to have a negative effect on the social development of the Arab people (ironically, the slogan “Religion is the opium of the masses” would be used against the Communists in this instance). Apart from that, Islamocommunism faced the opposition of “traditional” Islam which viewed its Marxist interpretation as heresy, and the strong pro-royal sentiment many Arab people felt, particularly in the southern Arab monarchies (Marx’s prediction of the peasantry with a pro-royal sentiment and strong in religious faith being overall a “reactionary class” turning out to have much truth in it in the Arab world). Whereas Arab nationalism was particularly popular among the lower-middle class, Islamo-communism would find appeal among the lower classes, the most poor and the most uneducated – and most successful where the usual opposition to it in the form of nationalism, “organized” religion or pro-royal/pro-state sentiment did not exist – that being the non-urban areas of much of the colonized world, and the cleptocratic monarchies such as in Persia and Afghanistan. There, it only had to fight various superstitions and conservative preservationists who were de facto just apathetic – their apathy rather easily overpowered by “the zeal of the youth”. Pro-royal sentiment would be often non-existent, “royalty” itself not unusually associated with the “imperial west” (as the UK, Netherlands, Belgium and Italy were all monarchies, or in some cases, the ruling monarchs considered only puppets of the west, like in Persia or Afghanistan). It was in such conditions that calls such as “abolishment of the oppressors regime through a workers jihad” (the Islamic “holy war” being analogical to the Marxist “class revolution” – Islamo-communist doctrine usually claiming Muhammad had been “the first Marxist”, the crusades being early incarnations of “western imperialism”, etc.) was the most popular, especially with state institutions which would typically prevent militia/guerrilla structures to form being non-existent or too weak to prevent them. Islamo-communists had little problem with moving large quantities of weaponry from the USSR to neighbouring states to maintain the conflicts there – east Turkey, north Persia, Afghanistan and Pakistan. And where the means to fight were present, will to do so came with them, along with the belief that they can be used to achieve a “glorious better tomorrow”, and an improvement of their lives. Apart from providing tools of warfare, the USSR would also wage its battle for the hearts and minds, KGB-trained Mullahs being sent to those countries to preach the new religio-ideology, indoctrinating people, sending their own students further for them to keep on preaching. This had proven to be very effective, tales of “warrior-monks” who spread the “true message” of Islam and fought infidels at the same time, with the Koran in one hand and an AK-47 in the other, spreading fast ad attracting followers, not few picking up the ideology by themselves, even in such far away places as Yemen or Oman.
Despite the détente providing an opportunity for the country to reform its economy (and ideology) towards a more sustainable direction, like many of the fascist states did (as well as the western powers who reformed their colonial empires), the changes which had occurred were hardly of the type that would help Russia long term. Soviet Russia maintained its highly centralized, interventionist, central-planned economic model and did not introduce any kind of free-market reforms, preserving its economy in a state of steady-going decline and obsoleteness. Production plants of every type were protected from any competition, whether foreign–not even from the other countries of the COMECON - or internal. Their management was not oriented towards consumers, but towards the plans provided to them from superiors. Those superiors in turn had no way of knowing what the popular demand for various consumer goods was, maintaining the population in a state of poverty. Smuggle and “black market production” became very lucrative businesses, not a few entrepreneurs managing to sell even average-quality consumer goods smuggled from the fascist states or manufactured illegally for precious metals, jewels or works of art, which would later be moved out of the country and sold in the west for small fortunes. The leaders of Soviet economic planning were unable to learn of the changing trends, leading to organizational failures, as plans intended for a long time would be changed in rapid succession, preventing anything what was started to be ended. Such poor economic coordination was just as true for common goods, such as line of actually functional and quality-made water boilers being suddenly ended after just a few months (making them highly prized in the country) to large infrastructural projects – metal structures meant for bridges rusting away in the countryside.
“Bridge to nowhere”. Started and unfinished construction projects would often decorate the Russian countryside.
Technological innovations such as radios, television, affordable books and press as well as general education and a relative freedom of travel within the USSR had made the population completely aware of their situation, as well as that which was beyond the “anti-fascist wall” in the west. This knowledge led to a decline of the morale of the workforce, which saw no benefit in its work. Their efforts were in vain, as were those of their parents, as despite already decades having passed since the revolution, social conditions have become only remotely better – urbanization causing simply more people to live in cramped housing made mostly from large concrete blocks, the quality of those quarters not improving. While electricity and running were provided and made available, the quality of tap water was very much questioned (as it was often contaminated due to poor sanitation techniques) and electrical appliances hard to obtain. Petty theft from workplaces soared, as did other types of “crimes of opportunity”. Alcoholism became a national scourge, affecting all parts of the society – the efforts at creating an skilled workforce, and educated class of specialists and a powerful army being undermined by low morale and not able to compensate the poorly functioning economy, which could not use created talents. Military production was the only branch of industry that remained fully operational and effective, but even there, the fruits of the work were nil, as the USSR would replace old weaponry with new one, but in old weaponry being either given out for free to the “international struggle” and when sold – rarely above their production/maintenance price.
Soviet weaponry would be extremely common all around the world, being even sold-off by anti-colonial forces in the “third world” to terrorist groups in western Europe.
The agricultural sector was one among the most spectacular failures of the Soviet economy. The blacksoils of Ukraine, which many Nazis looked towards as their “Lebensraum” ad estimated them as being able to feed billions of people when properly managed, were wasted under collectivist agriculture, unable to feed even the few hundred million of Soviet citizens. Malenkov’s reforms allowed for small parts of otherwise uncultivated land to be leased to private people (known as “Worker’s Allotment Gardens”), reaching 4% of the arable land of the USSR – those few percent making about a quarter of the USSR’s total food production, often sustaining the people with hoarded food during winter. In the 70’s, the USSR had become a net importer of food, its rising population being urbanized, but the relatively shrinking rural population not being able to keep production sufficiently rising despite the benefits of the Green Revolution. Poor redistribution and organizational chaos had also led to much waste, of crops either not being harvested from the fields, or never making it to the market, rotting in silos.
Allotment Gardens would be an important part of the wealth of many families, often serving even as a place of retirement, elderly people intensively caring for the little land they were allowed to keep for themselves.
The USSR was able to maintain a cash flow thanks mostly to its sales of oil and natural gas abroad – large infrastructural projects in the far east allowing for Siberian natural wealth to be exported through the Pacific ports, mostly to the USA and other states of the Americas. But with the infrastructure declining, production becoming more costly and waste increasing, so did the price of exports – and thus, also competition. With the USA and some of the countries of Latin and South America being more vary of the USSR, the USA coming closer to joining the Cold War on the side of the “western democracies” rather than staying neutral or crafting its own “Pan-American” bloc, it was also trying to distance itself from being seen as the power to indirectly finance “communist wars”. The signing of the BAFTA treaty would become the ultimate turning point, American imports of oil and natural gas from the BCoN (particularly from Kuwait) increasing, while those from the USSR decreasing (though the USA maintained a remarkable diversity in its oil imports, buying oil also from fascist Italy, Venezuela, the Middle East, as well as maintaining domestic production in the Gulf of Mexico and continuing on German works in the creation of synthetic oil from mined coal and extraction of shale gas).
Black Thunder Coal Mine in Wyoming. America’s continued economic and population growth created constant growth on energy demand , the USA would seeking to diversify its fossil fuels imports, as well as invest in new technologies such as shale gas and oil sands.
The USSR would thus gradually lose its main source of hard currency, and with the fascist powers in Europe being adamant about not allowing any infrastructural Soviet projects to take place on their territory, or even for Soviet trade to pass through it, the USSR was feeling that it was being more and more “chocked” – and more and more in need in having to acquire “access to warm southern seas” and thus break the “surrounding coalition” of fascists and capitalists. Suslov has rekindled old hatreds, starting a new “secular tradition” (as it was ironically called) of “national hatred months” – each month being dedicated by the censorship and propaganda bureaus to be a propaganda offensive against a specific nation (usually Germany, Britain, France or Poland) on their past and present crimes, against the Russian people and others. Historic movies based on those themes would be played in public television, the press would place emphasis the occurrences in those particular countries and their actions, public officials would speak out their thoughts about them, etc. – all for the purpose of uniting the peoples through common hatred and fear.
Scene from the movie “Alexander Nevski” –a classic of film propaganda
Suslov perceived Malenkov’s foreign policy during the détente as too soft and too Euro-centric, one which had forgotten the ideals of the Soviet revolution and wrongly concentrated on European power-plays rather than furthering its goals. Malenkov’s policy of destabilizing the western democracies and collapsing their empires from the “top down” – weakening the metropolises will to keep the empires and their incentive to fight for them once a challenge would be called through supporting anti-war movements, anti-colonial movements, the social democrats calling for “less military, more welfare” and other such factions collectively described as “useful idiots” – was seen as wrong and ineffective, having given the west too much respite and allowing them to “keep what they could have lost”. The fact that the British Empire was allowed to reform into the British Commonwealth of Nations and France was allowed to keep its overseas departments were considered proof of Malenkov’s policies failing. Suslov perceived the “compromises” made between the European metropolises and their colonies as “neocolonialism” and compared it to what Marx described as “petite-bourgeois socialism”, only on an international scale rather than between classes. Just as “petite-bourgeois socialism” was considered to be ploy by the capitalists to keep the masses docile and content by providing them “scraps from the table” – higher wages, welfare benefits, some voting rights and other political freedoms – so was “neocolonialism” considered by him to be a ploy played against the colonized people, giving them the “perception of independence” and certain freedoms, but keeping full control over their capital and means of production. Thus, any struggle against the western powers could not be considered “finished and won” in any country with the western forces just withdrawing and recognizing some country’s independence, but having to be followed by a socialist revolution to remove any remaining capitalist influence in the country. As he said:
This was one of the reasons for a huge detachment between the communists and the “working people” who often perceived the same things very differently. Whereas the communists would for example consider the movement of manufacturing plants from the European metropolises to the colonies as an almost hostile act, meant to tie the colonized people with a workplace and deny them the opportunity to further advance in the social structure through the fear of being sacked while paying them scraps – the people employed in those factories would almost universally see it as a change for the better, an opportunity for social advancement and a better livelihood. Suslov was a firm believer in the necessity of having to take a “bottoms up” approach in fighting the colonial empires, through arming anti-colonial forces there and “bleeding the empires white” in long irregular wars. He kept to the belief that without the colonial possessions to sustain them, the imperial powers would collapse and fall, making way for a socialist revolution to take place. This was significantly different from Malenkov’s “top-down” approach, who saw the way of destroying the colonial empires as having to occur through the metropolises and political changes and applied pressure there. In his mind, the capitalists would never stop sending soldiers to fight colonial wars as long as there was a profit in them for it, thus such wars would only lead to the deaths of countless proletarians. If fought, they would have to be fought for a reason and used as a leverage against them, particularly for strengthening anti-colonial sentiments at home, “useful idiots” being used for that just as much as the “traditional left”. Fighting a war for the sake of fighting, even when done when not using your own manpower could not be considered a viable strategy.
The difficulties the USSR faced, and the growing discontent of parts of the population, had led many people to move away from socialist doctrines. A common direction was nationalism, particularly strong in the Ukraine. Suslov was strongly opposed to such movements, seeing them as a danger to state security, stability and integrity, the only nationalism to be allowed being Russian nationalism, meant to be used as a type of “glue” for sticking all the nations of the USSR together. Suslov did not reverse the reforms made by Malenkov in that direction, such as allowing for the Russian and Ukrainian Orthodox churches to continue to operate under state oversight. But nevertheless, it was impossible for the USSR to truly compete in winning the Ukrainians to their side, as it faced considerable opposition – one, from the Ukrainian factions in Poland and Germany (who advocated the establishment of an independent Ukrainian state following the “inevitable final war” between fascism and communism), two, from the Ukrainian diaspora in the west, particularly strong in the USA and France. Paris had been the host of six Ukrainian World Congresses from 1965 to 1980 (those taking place in 1965, 1968, 1972, 1973, 1975 and 1979), and the “Ukrainian question” wasn’t ever a top priority for it, it would nevertheless be raised in the many diplomatic summits between the European great powers. For France, the Ukrainians had in a way taken the role the Poles had during the Great War, where championing their cause was meant as a way of gathering allies in both the east and the west (through the diaspora), in this case though – without the threat of alienating an ally, as while France did not consider Russia an enemy of great importance (with the loss of the great majority of its colonial empire, a strong ideological reason to be in conflict with each other was gone), it was far from being thought of as a partner against Germany (as France was still bitter about Soviet involvement in West and Equatorial Africas and them forcing the French out). This was an inconvenience for Moscow which mostly tried to blackwash the Ukrainian diaspora and the Ukrainian nationalists as “traitors” and “sellouts”, but found itself too often incapable of agreeing to even moderate demands for greater cultural and political autonomy brought by the more nation-conscious population. Soviet “internationalism”, when faced with “modern nationalisms” usually failed and had to resort to extraordinary measures to combat it – such as the termination of the Belarusian SSR, a move meant to end the still tiny, but growing, concept of separate Belarusian national identity before it could blossom.
Logo of the Ukrainian World Congress
Islamo-Communism had thus helped the USSR internally in the goal of weakening national sentiments in parts of the country where it hadn’t yet reached and taken root. The ideology would be used to keep the population supportive of the regime, especially in the Caucasus and Central Asia, and to combat nationalism that may spring out there like they did in the Ukraine. The national awakening that took place there in the 50’s and 60’s was feared to be possible to spread further east, and just as Orthodoxy was deemed a potential tool to keep the people of eastern Europe together with Russia , so it was deemed that Islam could be used to the same goal – opposition towards nationalism, fascism, capitalism and liberalism. This was also exactly what allowed Islamocommunism to develop in the USSR in the first place, as it was only with time that the potential of using this combination of religion and ideology as an “offensive tool” in the “international struggle”, rather than a “defensive means”, was noticed.
A mosque in Moscow at Poklonnaya Gora. While still under heavy state control, organized religions would be allowed to operate openly, provided subjection to state authority.
The works of Constantin Zureiq, Abū Dharr al-Ghifārī, Ali Shariati, and others have become very influential among the lower classes of the followers of the Prophet once released, spreading like wildfire. The successes of communism in terminating colonialism in some areas of Asia and Africa had bought the ideology credibility, and strengthened the perception of the USSR being the number one force in the global struggle against colonialism. Although it’s “pure Leninist” version did not manage to win the hearts and minds of the people outside the USSR, it’s “regional variations” based on the works of Marx, Lenin and Stalin, such as “Maoism” in China or the various “tribal socialism” ideologies in Africa, often did. Islamo-communism was thus nothing else than the regional variation of Marxism meant for the Middle East – the USSR recognizing it had much greater chances of increasing its influence by having that ideological variation of communism spread, than it would by sticking to the traditional teachings of Lenin. As many countries in the Islamic world lacked either an organized education system or industrial facilities where spreading ideology and organizing the masses was the easiest, but had a highly devout population which did attend Mosques or otherwise listen to the preachings of the clergy, those were the best gateways through which the “Islamic theology of liberation” could be spread – even more so, since Islam lacked a central authority like the Roman Catholic Church did, which could object to these type of “heresies”. The religio-ideology of “uniting all Muslims” regardless of which branch of Islam they followed and taking a pro-active stance towards the world, in contrast to the usual apathy, would quickly give results. The ongoing wars in east Turkey and Pakistan, as well as the historic victory in Afghanistan in 1972, did make Islamo-Communism, and by extension Moscow, a hugely important power in the decolonization process.
Overthrowing the Afghan monarchy in 1972 was the first great success of Islamo-communism, serving as motivation for others.
Thus Suslov’s coming to power played an important part in the rekindling of the cold war, his aggressive moves in Asia and Africa contributing to putting an end to the détente. With Turkey fighting the communist Kurds in east Turkey, Italy having to deal with growing unrest in East Africa, France having to withdraw from West and Equatorial Africas, the UK having to aid India in its fights in Pakistan – the conflicts between Islamo-communism and the European empires became more and more pivotal, even Germany experiencing the presence of African mujahedeen in Portuguese Africa and Spain having to deal with Morocco becoming the “go to” place for Islamo-communist refugees exiled from Morocco, Algeria, and Tunisia. The USSR once again began to speak more openly about assuming the mantle of the champion of anti-colonialism, no longer fighting its struggles in cabinets and palace halls, but in the cities and countrysides of colonized states. Suslov had little restrain in declaring the various fights to be “socialist revolutions”, thus also firmly announcing his support for a particular side in those conflicts. Such actions had to cause the reaction of the fascist states, Germany in particular, which had based its international prestige and status on sticking to its doctrine of “containment and liberation”, trying to stop communist expansion wherever in the world in threatened others, and pushing them back if possible. The western powers, who usually were the ones with the most interests in conflict-stricken areas, whether colonial, neocolonial, trade or investments, thus having to weight those loses against potential costs of military interventions – not being above opportunistically supporting anti-democratic anti-communist forces in various regions of the world just to protect their assets.
Persia would be a fine example of a place where the paths of the three global great powers and their ideologies collided. Since 1958, the country was ruled autocratically by the Shah Reza Pahlavi as a royal dictatorship. The Shah has strong backing of the United Kingdom and maintained an anti-communist stance, as it’s government technically wasn’t recognized by the USSR since 1958. Among the domestic supporters of the Shah were much of the military and the local fascist brigades, many of whom sought the establishment of a “total” fascist stats, complete with the complete militarization of the society, fascist legislature and economic model, propaganda proclaiming the greatness of the ancient Persian Empire etc. After 1958, the Shah continuously kept the fascists and his German connections around so as to play it and the UK against each other, seeking who would offer him more. The UK almost entirely won such “competitions”, but Germany never truly abandoned its ambitions, partly in pursuit of the oil there, partly out of simple prestige and the internally felt necessity of being present in all the corners in the world “like a proper global great power should”.
The royal family of Persia, of the Pahlavi dynasty.
Oil had been the main export of Persia, sustaining its economy, antiques being a distant second good on the exports list – the practice of selling “cultural heritage” for Pounds, Franks and Dollars being sanctioned by the cleptocratic monarchy. Both the BCoN and Persia drew significant profits from the extraction of processing of Persian oil and its export both into the countries of the BCoN and abroad. British policies of consolidation of various state-owned or partly state-owned enterprises into humongous conglomerates spanning all of the countries of the BCoN had spawned many gigantic companies, private owned, but with the BCoN members states having their own stakes or shares in them, this type of “unification” being considered a great way of keeping the BCoN together and eliminating competition between its member states, as well as reducing the feeling of “UK economic domination”, as such unification allowed for many non-UK citizens to enter the boards of these companies, many even choosing to move their headquarters out of London – the movement of industrial facilities from the “developed states” to the “developing one” being one of the trademark moves of British decolonization. This economic practice had produced giants such as the British Airways which operated up to 70% of the flight connections within the BCoN, or the British Steel, which was the fourth largest steel producer in the world. But among the most important creations was the foundation of British Petroleum, which was the result of numerous mergers and takeovers of oil companies and refineries both within the member states of the BCoN and outside them. BP, which had begun as a state-owned enterprize founded from the AIOC was partly privatized in 1956, and later done so completely in 1975, though with various countries still holding significant amounts of its shares. The company managed to obtain the assets of the Royal Dutch Shell Company, Kuwait Oil, Australian Gas and Oil Corporation and other oil companies of the BCoN countries, along with some outside it, such as Nigerian Oil. Through BP, the BCoN collectively, and the UK in specific, controlled the production and exports of Persian oil, which mostly found its way to the countries of the BCoN. The relatively low price of it was to be thanked by underhanded tactics of the British who had no problem bribing the Persians into allowing such contracts, as well as them turning a blind eye on the low wages and terrible working conditions of Persian oil workers. The nationalization of the oil industry, which was the source of the crisis in 1958, was never attempted again, the Shah being content with the enormous amounts of Pounds coming his way, though he and those surrounding him were perfectly aware that their country was de facto at the mercy of the BP board – as they couldn’t even hope on having a monopoly on oil production, the total potential production of oil in non-Persian facilities and fields owned by BP far surpassing the demand of the BCoN and other buyers.
BP Tower in London, headqurters of British Petroleum, one of the largest companies in the world.
The luxurious lives of the royal family and their suppression of freedoms in the country was the reason for much hatred aimed towards it by the population. The “westernization” the Shah proclaimed and allowed to occur in the country mostly just meant the presence of western made goods in shops, including alcohol, tobacco and pornography, deemed unethical and immoral by much of the traditional and conservative population, breeding moral decay. The “positive aspects” of westernization were almost unseen, the country not undergoing any major industrialization, electrification, construction of running water infrastructure or railways or any of these sort. Neither were political or social freedoms allowed, political opposition being banned in the years after 1958, much of which ended up emigrating and giving up on the country. By the end of the 70’s, the only meaningful and heard about opposition was the Tudeh Party and the Islamo-Communists, along with the “regular” Islamic fundamentalists. With no one else to turn to, the Tudeh Party being the only opposition with organized structures, which additionally could operate in the relative safety of the USSR and later also Afghanistan, much of the dissatisfied population opposed to the royal dictatorship came to join the Islamo-Communists, not necessarily for ideological reasons, but giving them strength nonetheless.
The non-improving economic situation, hedonism of the royal family, sales of national treasures and other ways “Persian culture” was being destroyed by the regime (such as the infamous “westernization”), growing demand for reforms fueled by the knowledge of the improving situation in even such “backwards countries” like the East African Federation, was what brought the Persian population to a demand for a revolution. While the Persian secret police had been successful in tracking down, arresting, expelling and killing political dissidents, it couldn’t really hope to catch all of them, their numbers constantly growing. The death of the Shah on 27th July 1980 brought a great new surge of hope, as not long after his death being announced, masses of Persians took to the street cheering, crying with happiness, hoping that his death meant the end of their suffering. Tears of joy would turn into tears of pain as the Persian police would sweep the streets, beating the celebrating without mercy, arresting many for such “offenses”. With the death of the Shah, the throne was assumed by his wife, Empress Farah (Shahbanou Farah Pahlavi) the first women on the Persian throne since ancient times. Her ascension was hardly celebrated, as it was her luxurious lifestyle, including supposed baths taken in milk, drinking pearls and having hairdresser and dinners brought via plane from Paris just for her, making her extremely disliked. Further, the Empress had relatively little interest in state affairs, remaining just a side and consort to her husband for years, the influential military, fearing that her “womenhood” might negatively influence the Shah’s policies, effectively managing to keep her out of much of the state’s affairs. With her taking the throne, much of the state responsibilities were thus undertaken by the new Prime Minister of Persia, Kambiz Atabai, her personal favorite.
Empress Farah and Kambiz Atabai, the Prime Minister of Persia.
Atabai was inexperienced for his political role, but still understood the state the country was in much better than the Empress, who was isolated from everyday lives of her subjects and who knew next to nothing about running the country. After being sworn into office, he began a program aimed at remedying the situation of the state, trying to live up to the expectations of the public that with the death of the “evil Shah” things would change for the better. Among his first moves was providing a great number of pardons and amnesties for political dissidents, as well conducting a number of PR manoeuvres, such as cracking down on the antiques sales, ending gossips of the fantastically rich lives of the royal family and trying to portray the new Empress as much humble (as well as trying to pin the blame for former extravagancies on the dead Shah). State press and radio would inform about the Empress visiting orphanages and selling royal jewels to gather the funds for establishing schools and such. But many of these stories were either completely made up, of outright false, as despite the urges of the new Prime Minister for reducing the costs of the court and the Empress supporting him in fighting bribery and corruption (the Empress often folding to the pleadings of the wives of accused, or even convicted criminal to pardon them, granting them de facto immunity and very negatively impacting her image once stories of this went out), she was not willing to make such sacrifices. Thus the charade of creating the image of a “good Queen” failed miserably, the hopes of change died soon, and the population went back to hating the royal regime. Atabai’s attempts at introducing social and political reforms found the resistance of the military and had proven impossible to push through the Empress; neither would he be able to gather the funds for the creation of new workplaces, the only one he managed was signing a contract on the modernization of the Abadan refinery using Persian, rather than the “traditional” Hindu workforce – that such a thing required the actions of the Prime Minister himself proving just how low Persia had fallen through the decades.
Atabai resigned from his position on 15th November 1981, following yet another conflict with the military, in which he would not get the support of the Empress, and be replaced by general , Yusuf-i-nijad, the military’s choice. And just in time for him, as soon after that, the storm over Persia would start to gather. On May 1st 1982, a large demonstration would take to the streets of Teheran, in celebration of Worker’s Day, but also as a manifestation of support for the Communist cause. Communist slogans would be what provoked the police to an excessive answer, shots being fired at the crowd, leading to the death of twelve people. While the regime tried to cover up the incident, the communists used it in a brilliant popularity move, declaring a three month period of national mourning and calling for the people not to riot or demonstrate, but to stay at hope and contemplate. In this way, the communists not only discredited the regime which forcefully tried to bring state flags up to full mast or otherwise making it look like it ignored the tragedy of the deaths from May 1st, while also using the “forced silence” on the streets as a symbol of the fact that communists, not the regime, owning the loyalty of the people – politically unconnected civilians witnessing the empty streets, lack of parties, self-imposed alcohol prohibition, coming to the conclusion that the communists had more influence over the people than the government. It also created a very powerful sense of “the calm before the storm”. A little over three months after the “Teheran massacre” another, larger demonstration took place – this time not religious, but clearly political in nature, and not only in the capital, but all across the country. And once again it was responded to with the use of force, the military being brought to the streets to clear. Yet even in the military ranks of the common grunts morale fell low, as they too well realized the decadence of the higher officer ranks and the poverty their families or neighbours lived in, feeling little loyalty to the crowned heads and not being willing to shoot at their own countrymen. The army suddenly underwent a wave of desertions following the second event in Teheran, many public officials also feeling that the regime would not survive another upheaval, preferring to gather their savings and flee while there was still time. This demoralization created a “self-fulfilled prophecy”, as the lack of belief in being able or willing to combat the “ready and willing masses” had many choose to prefer to stay out of their way, or even join them – claiming, or honestly having a change of heart after the terrible events that unfolded.
Photos of the Teheran Massacre. The shooting of workers caused a global outrage, even in the fascist countries.
The “Iranian revolution” would thus finally start in December 1981. It was organized in a remarkable fashion, the USSR concentrating its forces on the Persian border in answer to what it claimed was “the potential hazard of the collapse of order in the Persian state”. This was answered with the Persian general staff ordering to move its forces north, along with gathering reservists – who now had no intention of being forced into joining the army. On the 15th on December 1981 the communists gave the signal to start the revolution, together with a general strike, great swaths of people taking to the streets. The army, concentrated in the north, and lacking manpower, found itself incapable of stemming the tide. Fighting broke out within its ranks, as junior officers and grunts refused to accept orders from their officers, even arresting them, to be placed before a “People’s tribunal”. In Teheran, the Royal Palace was stormed by the angry masses, who looked for the endless wealth hoarded by the queen and her cabinet, in a “storm on the winter palace” fashion – only to find it empty, the Empress having fled the capital at the first knowledge of the revolution starting, her plane being loaded with Persian gold, jewels, antiques and other valuables, flying straight for Bahrain, and further, to London. With the Empress gone, the People’s Democratic Islamic Republic of Iran was proclaimed in Teheran, its leader becoming Ali Shariati. Fighting between the rebels and the few remaining pockets of military resistance would be takinf place for the next few weeks, and the Tudeh Party would move along with its members from the USSR to Persia, the “Persian government in exile” being no longer in exile and officially surrendering the vestiges of its power to the new rulership. Persia was becoming the next acquisition to the communist bloc, the world faced with a terrible shift in the local situation in the middle east.
Ali Shariati Revolutionary leader of the People’s Democratic Islamic Republic of Iran.
Immediately after the revolution had started, the local garrison of the BCoN moved into Persia to occupy the Abadan refinery, as well as the royal navy seizing Persian tankers. The new government in Teheran immediately demanded from London for the Empress and other escapees to be handed over to them, along with the stolen national wealth, and leaving Abadan as well as releasing the captured ships and other assets (such as certain bank accounts of Persian companies being frozen). Persia obtained the immediate and total support of the USSR, for which the revolution was a true godsend – the country not having had any such success on the international stage since the revolution in Afghanistan. The members of the Tudeh Party living in the USSR would be sent en masse to Persia to replace the monarchist administration, their loyalty being divided between Teheran and Moscow, providing the USSR with another power boon. It completely changed the situation in the middle east and greatly impacted all power present there, as well as the global great powers. It was highly theorized, that the UAS’s actions in Lebanon were in a large part the result of the revolution having occurred – as it feared the potential of a war with Iran breaking out soon, a islamo-communist revolution taking place in the UAS itself or Lebanon for that matter, the possibility of a connection between Teheran and Israel being found aimed against the UAS – or otherwise, that the presence of this new power would weaken the UAS strategic standing towards Lebanon. Thus Baghdad had to cut its plans in the west short, so as to be able to prepare for what was coming in the east – a clash between the two middle eastern powers, acting as proxies for the two totalitarian, opposing ideologies of fascism and communism.