JWQ
Banned
Even those Peace Democrats (beyond the traitorous copperheads) really didn't want to end the war with a recognized Confederacy. They wanted a negotiated Peace to end the war with a Union Victory. 1864 is simply too late for the war to be won for the Confederacy, and I very much doubt that a General Davis shifts the balance that significantly.
Not really relevant. Lincoln was worried he might lose the election, but when you actually look at the results his fears were actually completely unfounded. Lincoln CRUSHED McClellan. It wasn't even close. You'd need massive shifts in multiple states to get McClellan to even have a decent showing. to actually win you'd need the vote totals shifting by 5+ percent in many states, which its extremely difficult to have happen. Even IF it did, that doesn't actually give the CSA much of a boost. Why? Because Lincoln is still president. He's still president until March 1865, that gives five months to continue the war, and by that point Petersburg is less than a month from falling. When it goes Richmond falls too.
Beyond even that, the shifting fortunes of war meant McClellan had to completely denounce the entire peace platform of the copperheads. And since McClellan himself was a former general, if an overly cautious one, I sincerely doubt there are any circumstances under which he looks at the military situation in March 1865 and decides, "yeah, let's just abandon the war we've got in the bag and give up. That seems sound."
There's no evidence of that. Yes many people in the Lincoln Administration and among the Republicans thought losing the election inevitable, but the thing is they aren't actually a reliable source on that front, because they don't have the information we do. IF the election had been close then you might have a point. But it wasn't. 1864 was a landslide. Lincoln beat McClellan across the board. He got 55% of the vote, TEN TIMES more electoral votes. McClellan only carried three states. He only even came CLOSE in three more, Pennsylvania, New York, and Conneticut. And even if all three swung to him, Linclon still would have won in a slam dunk. If the ENTIRE Confederacy had been allowed to vote in the election then Lincoln still would have crushed McClellan nationally.
The Blind Memorandum was a pledge to respect the election results if they should go against him, which is crtical because the United States at the time was very fragile, and if someone at the time had decided to be 45 instead then it might well have doomed the country even after Union victory.
You have a major flaw in your logic. Lincoln believed that he would lose without significant military success. He got the success and won comfortably. You are arguing that since he won comfortably, he didn't need the success. I'll take his judgment over yours.
before I begin I'm not responsible for slavery or even the constitution protecting slavery. It would have probably been better without cotton gon reviving slavery while not praising slavery I will note that slavery created a biracial society in the south. I do agree with President Lincoln that the bonds holding the nation together would be strained if America made a rabid break from the past. I support allowing slavery to eventually die out a natural death with no Jim crow and the south preserving the economy. Black people also won't have to suffer massive unemployment either with the economy being preserved instead of imminently ending. Also, race relations could mean coexistence in their biracial society. Unlike in the north where Free-Soilers didn't want plantations to take the best land and bring black people in their frontier. I favor before slavery ends on the south desired time table allow laws to soften slavery.No, you're making the mistake of assuming the people of the time had perfect judgement of their situation. This is completely untrue. You're just saying correlation equals causation. But the reality is that elections aren't nearly so cut and dry as the simplistic cause and effect put forward says. Would McClellan have done better if Atlanta hadn't fallen? Probably. But he wouldn't have done one hundred electoral votes better. That's why I pointed out that even if he managed to flip the "close" states (that is states with under a 5% margin) he still would have been thrashed by Lincoln in the end. McClellan needs a swing of 7% nationwide for that to happen, and there's no basis to think its ever going to. Lincoln, despite his fears was very popular with a very important group, the army, and while they weren't allowed to vote in several states (notably New York, which was the closest state in the election) they DID write home urging their families to support him.
This sort of thing is something that Lincoln almost certainly didn't know, but we can with hindsight see it. Lincoln winning reelection wasn't the result of some specific military success.
1 Yes Jefferson Davis probably could have defeated General Sherman before he was even close to Atlanta here is a could documentary
2 Davis would have been the better of the political generals, but he would not have been the best option to stop Sherman either. Actually, Joe Johnston had the right idea of preserving limited southern manpower exchanging it for land. The confederacy, fortunately, has a nice list of good generals that could very well stop Sherman.
3 Yes the south could have won their independence. Lincoln very well could have lost his election if Atlanta had been a confederate victory. Or even if other battles had gone different Lincoln would have lost the election.
4th. The border states did look favorably on the side of the peace democrats and it was thought that the democrats would have done well in 2 new England states Connecticut, New Hampshire. George B. McClellan could have won the Belllwheather states of Penslaviania, Ohio, Indiana The soldiers under his command actually loved him and it is possible he could have retained Loyalist support from the army of the potamic. Nonetheless, he might still be have been able to rely on civilian voting support. If the confederates could have held on to Atlanta that media victory could not be used to the Republicans' advantage.
When President George B. McClellan is inaugurated on March 4th and promises to end the war as active commander in chief. President Mcclellan makes sure soldiers are to be given full pardons. The emancipation proclamation will be canceled as it was illegal, to begin with. Eventually, the court would strike against the emancipation proclamation. The freed slaves would likely be deported to Liberia rather than be returned to their masters. The president would favor the southern states quickly returning the union if politics allow it back to Jefferson Davis as a general then
B